Next Volatility Period: Around December 23rd
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#BTCUSDT
To initiate a bullish trend, the price must rise above and sustain the OBV Low indicator level.
Considering the basic trading strategy of buying around DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low and selling around HA-High ~ DOM(60), the current price position represents a buying opportunity.
However, if the price falls between DOM(-60) and HA-Low, a stepwise downward trend is likely, so you should consider a response plan.
If the price falls below the DOM(-60) indicator, you should check for support around the 69000-73499.86 level.
This is because the 69000-73499.86 level represents an important support and resistance zone for sustaining an uptrend from a long-term perspective.
If the price declines from the 69,000-73,499.86 range, it is expected to form an uptrend around 42,000, a level never seen again.
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If the price rises above the OBV Low indicator level and continues its upward trend, we should check for an upward breakout near the area circled on the chart.
If the price fails to break out, we should consider a response plan, as this could signal a full-blown bear market.
If the price continues to rise, the target levels are: - Right Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (133,889.92)
- Right Fibonacci ratio 3 (151,018.77) ~ 3.14 (157,296.36)
It is expected to re-establish the trend by rising near the above range.
The coin market is likely to experience a major bear market around the week of January 26, 2026.
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Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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Community ideas
BTC Outlook (Post FOMC plan)It is clear to see that Bitcoin is in the late stage of what seems to be Re-distribution/a relief rally
So far, we have seen aggressive stop hunting (Shorts getting stopped out/liquidated)
Many major figures (Banks, firms, influencers) are now calling for crazy targets like $120K+, which shows that optimism is returning amongst people and that retail investors are finally feeling more comfortable when it comes to longing
My plan is simple. I believe bitcoin will make its way to the lower end of this range, that being $80K - $85K and for that reason I am short at $93K.
FOMC is right around the corner, so I expect a bit of volatility. If we move any higher, which realistically is very possible, I plan on adding more size to my short.
Don't get bullish AFTER we move up $15K from the bottom , right now is the time to be bearish unless bitcoin flips major S/R levels.
My invalidation is a weekly close above $100K
Good luck
USDCHF pullback ahead of Fed rate decision The USDCHF remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.7980 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.7980 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8060 – initial resistance
0.8070 – psychological and structural level
0.8090 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.7980 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.7960 – minor support
0.7935 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the USDCHF holds above 0.7980 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD - time to buy nowGBPUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and struggled to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. GBPUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. Time to buy GBPUSD now
LITECOIN / NEW AGE LTC Target: +$500 (more)LTC is loading... ⏳ Target: $500+ Timeframe: 2026
🚨 LITECOIN (LTC) MACRO UPDATE: The Sleeping Giant Wakes 🚨
Ladies and gentlemen, the chart speaks for itself. We are looking at one of the most pristine Ascending Parallel Channels in crypto history.
We are currently sitting at a "make or break" generational entry point.
1. The Macro Structure: Perfection 📐
Look at the boundaries. The algorithm is respecting the lines perfectly.
The Floor (Support): We have just tapped the lower support trendline of a channel that has held since 2013. Every single time LTC touches this bottom rail (2015, 2017, 2020, 2022), it marks the absolute bottom before a parabolic run.
Current Status (Dec 2025): Price is ~$84.55. We are hugging the support line. The risk/reward ratio here is mathematically asymmetric.
2. The Fractal: History Rhymes 🔄
Notice the Red Triangle structure from 2015-2016?
That was pure accumulation. Boring, sideways, "LTC is dead" sentiment.
Result: It preceded the legendary 2017 run to $370.
Now: We have just completed a similar multi-year accumulation phase (2022-2025). The weak hands have been shaken out. The compression is done.
3. The Target: $500+ Programmed 🚀
The Orange Arrow isn't hope; it's geometry.
A bounce from the bottom of the channel historically targets the top of the channel.
The upper trendline for 2026 sits comfortably above $500.
This implies a vertical expansion phase is imminent.
LTC is loading... ⏳ Target: $500+ Timeframe: 2026
Gold? ContinuationThe plan
Incoming
www.tradingview.com
Hi,
Yest, heavy transacted 4202 range
Today price range 4216-4206 (Asia)
If this high range have got big interest. Good chance today. We'll have a rally ahead of FOMC.
If waiting for discount 4202 would be good.
Both ways.. buyside.
All the best
Not a guru
The Market Is Quietly Building a Trap1. Market Structure
- Price has been climbing cleanly from the support zone, forming a consistent bullish sequence: Higher Lows (HLs) and Higher Highs (HHs).
- Each yellow swing shows buyers still in control but momentum is visibly slowing as price pushes into the major resistance zone above.
2. Key Zones (Support & Resistance)
- Support Zone: Strong reaction base where the reversal started; buyers clearly defended this level multiple times.
- Resistance Zone: The market is now pressing into a heavy supply area visible from previous bearish reactions. This is where buyers typically weaken and liquidity shifts to the sellers.
3. Price Behavior at the Zone
- Inside the resistance area, price is starting to produce smaller HHs, overlapping candles, and hesitation early signs of bull exhaustion.
- The projected yellow path on your chart visualizes the most probable flow:
- A final liquidity grab above the resistance, then a sharp pullback as demand weakens.
4. Expected Scenario
The bullish structure remains intact for now, but the market is setting up a textbook bull trap.
Most likely scenario:
- Price pushes slightly higher to sweep liquidity
- Fails to maintain momentum
- Drops back into the resistance zone
- Then confirms the shift with a new Lower High (LH) → Start of short-term bearish correction
5. Trading Plan
No chasing longs into resistance.
Instead, wait for:
- A liquidity sweep above the zone
- Break of the minor bullish leg
- Retest → rejection → short entry
- Target: mid-range or the previous HL zone
This is a high-probability counter-move, aligned with how smart money manages liquidity at key levels.
TOTAL MARKET CAP. The total crypto market cap is still in a strong weekly uptrend, currently bouncing off the main ascending channel support and trading around the 3.1T area.
The price has respected the long-term ascending channel since 2023, and the recent correction from the 4T+ highs has so far held at the lower trendline and within the Ichimoku cloud, keeping the macro bullish structure intact.
Recent weekly candles show a rejection wick at the channel support, followed by a positive reaction, indicating that buyers are defending this zone rather than a complete breakdown occurring.
DYOR | NFA
Monthly Metals Analysis: Gold (XAUUSD), Issue 211 The analyst expects XAGUSD’s price to rise by the specified end time, based on quantitative analysis.
The take-profit level only indicates the potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a prediction that price will reach it.
You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely.
Allocating just a portion of your funds keeps overall risk minimal.
Our approach follows institutional portfolio principles — not the all-in or blow-up trading style often seen on social media.
Results are measured over the full time window, regardless of whether the take-profit level is hit.
The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 06 Jan 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days).
Next analysis : Monthly Forex Analysis: GBP/USD – Issue 213
Gold Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold Price has been moving within a descending trendline structure but is currently approaching a strong support zone where a reversal is expected.
Key Highlights:
Support Zone: Price is reacting around a major demand area near 4175–4185, indicating potential buying pressure a breakout above the descending trendline signals bullish momentum.
1st Target: Around 4225
2nd Target: Around 4255
The chart indicates two possible accumulation movements before a strong upward push marked in red below the support area, showing the invalidation region this setup suggests a high-probability long opportunity if price confirms support and breaks upward from the trendline structure.
Kaspa (KAS): If Buyers Don't Secure This Zone We Are DoomedKAS pulled back into the last support zone we marked, and this is the spot where buyers need to take back dominance. The reaction isn’t strong yet, but the zone is holding, so the long idea still makes sense as long as price stays above it.
For continuation, we need to see buyers reclaim that small resistance above the “ideal entry” zone. That becomes the trigger that confirms the build-up and opens the move toward the major target area. Until that reclaim, we’re just watching how price behaves in this support and whether buyers manage to step back in.
Swallow Academy
S&P 500: Last Bullish Push
On the medium-term horizon OANDA:SPX500USD AMEX:SPY CME_MINI:ES1! still looks like a clean impulse:
Wave 3 shows a classic extension
Wave 2 is a sharp zigzag
Wave 4 has the structure of a flat – a running flat on S&P, while Nasdaq 100 forms something closer to an EFL
Connecting waves 1–3 and 2–4 gives us an almost perfect trend channel, which strongly supports the impulsive interpretation. At the same time, the main volume cluster sits near the highs, which is typical for a distribution phase.
Before a proper medium-term reversal, I still expect one more leg up as a final blow-off 5th wave.
From a local-structure perspective , the last leg higher looks very much like a leading diagonal. My base case:
📉 first, a correction
📈 then continuation to new highs within wave 5
🔻 Invalidation: a break and confirmed close below 6600 would cancel the bullish scenario and suggest that the impulse is already complete.
🎯 Upside levels:
Primary target zone: 7100–7200
Extended target: up to 7400
Not financial advice – just my working roadmap as long as price action respects the channel and stays above 6600.
ETH Is Reloading — The Next Expansion Will Shock the Market.ETHEREUM 4H MARKET ANALYSIS
1. Current Price Structure
- ETH previously completed a strong impulsive wave up, breaking through multiple resistance levels until it reached the major resistance zone at 4,800–5,000.
- From that zone, price entered a clear distribution phase, followed by a large corrective decline, shown by the descending dotted trendline on your chart.
- Recently, ETH formed a large accumulation range (marked in green), similar to the accumulation phases earlier in the chart where massive trends began.
- Price is currently respecting the bottom of this range, showing signs of building higher lows inside the zone.
2. Liquidity Zones
- Major resistance zone: 4,800–5,000 (the next big target once the accumulation completes).
- Accumulation zone: 2,750–3,150 (where the current building structure is taking place).
- This zone is identical in behavior to the previous accumulation block that preceded the massive ETH rally in mid-year.
- Liquidity has been swept multiple times inside this green zone, indicating smart money absorption.
3. Today’s Market Scenario
This matches the green projection you drew:
🔹 Main Scenario – Bullish Breakout After Accumulation
ETH is likely to:
- Continue ranging inside the accumulation block → building a complex structure of higher lows and equal highs.
- Break the descending trendline with a bullish structure shift.
- Retest the breakout zone creating the final HL inside the range.
- Expand upward, targeting the mid-resistance area around 3,600 – 3,800.
- Continue the larger expansion toward the large resistance zone at 4,800 – 5,000.
This scenario aligns perfectly with your chart’s projected movement.
4. Market Psychology
- Big players are clearly absorbing positions in this wide range.
- Retail traders are getting shaken out by constant spikes up and down.
- This sideways accumulation is typical before a major bullish run.
- Same behavior occurred in earlier zones of your chart → accumulation → breakout → expansion.
- Market is preparing energy for a strong uptrend once liquidity collection is complete.
5. Intraday Strategy Guidance
- No aggressive selling inside the accumulation range — smart money is buying here.
- Look for false breakdowns, wick sweeps, liquidity grabs at the bottom of the green zone.
Best setups:
+ Buy the bottom of the range
+ Buy retest after trendline breakout
+ Targets: 3,600 → 4,000 → 4,500+
This zone is where big investors position themselves before the trend reversal.
Alibaba (BABA) Weekly – BABA is holding above a major structural support zone and remains inside a rising channel from the 2023 lows. The bullish scenario activates only if price stays above support and reclaims key levels.
Entry Trigger:
• Break and close above 156–162 zone (confirmation of bullish momentum)
Targets:
• Target 1: 192
• Target 2: 219
• Target 3: 232
• Extended Target: 303
Invalidation / Stop Levels:
• Conservative stop: below 129
• Aggressive stop: below 140–142 (trendline support)
• Full bullish bias invalidated if weekly closes below 129
Why Bullish:
• Rising weekly structure
• Higher lows respecting trendline
• Strong demand zone between 129–142
• Clean upside imbalances toward 192 and 219
Bullish bias remains valid only as long as price holds above the 129 support zone. Reclaiming 156 is the key to upside continuation.
Long XRP.xrp 5+8+9 = 22
xrp always moves in patterns… december has been the month where the charts line up and the cycles flip.
if it made the same type of move it did in december 2017, the math lines up around 22.
that’s why people link 22 ↔ 589… not as a guarantee, but as a hint buried in the structure, in the algos, in the way liquidity rotates.
nothing’s confirmed, but the numbers rhyme. and markets love to rhyme.
AUDNZD Trade Recap 09.12.25In this recap I break down my AUDNZD short position I took last week using the 4H in combination with the 5M to refine my entry.
Full explanation as to why I executed on this position, using the 4H to my advantage but also understanding why I managed the way I did for a breakeven.
Any questions you have just drop them below 👇
Cardano (ADA): Trendline Breakout vs. The "Golden" Buy Zone 🚀 Cardano (ADA): Trendline Breakout vs. The "Golden" Buy Zone
Cardano ( CRYPTOCAP:ADA ) is currently compressing under a **major descending trendline**, squeezing price action into a pivotal decision point. As we approach the end of 2025, the market structure is revealing two distinct scenarios for traders.
We are watching two key areas of interest on the chart:
**1. The "Red Box" (Immediate Resistance & Breakout)**
Price is currently testing this descending resistance. A clean Daily Candle close above this trendline—and specifically clearing the "Red Box" supply zone—would confirm a structural Break of Structure (BOS).
**Strategy:** Aggressive traders can look for a "pilot buy" (small position) on the breakout, or wait for a retest of the trendline as support to add size.
**2. The "Yellow Zone" (Main Accumulation Area)**
If the breakout fails or we see a broader market correction, this lower zone represents the **high-probability institutional entry**. This area aligns with historical liquidity where smart money has previously defended the price.
**Strategy:** This is our **"Main Buy Zone."** If price wicks down here, we are looking to deploy larger capital for swing trades targeting the 2026 recovery.
**💡 Fundamental Catalysts (Why Now?)**
**Midnight Sidechain Launch:** The recent integration of the Midnight privacy chain (Dec 8, 2025) provides a fundamental tailwind that could fuel the breakout scenario.
**Treasury Growth:** The 70M ADA allocation for ecosystem infrastructure is a long-term bullish driver.
**🎯 Trade Setup Summary**
**Scenario A (Bullish Breakout):** Break trendline + Red Box → Buy small → Target $0.60+.
**Scenario B (Bearish Rejection):** Rejection at Red Box → Wait for Yellow Zone ($0.32-0.35 region) → **HEAVY BUY**.
**⚠️ Disclaimer:**
*This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies involves high risk. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.*
*Agree with this analysis? Drop a like and let me know in the comments if you are waiting for the Yellow Zone or buying the Breakout!* 🚀
SA Seabridge Gold: 93.3% Score - And Why I'm Watching CloselyIs this the World's Largest Undeveloped Gold Project?
Gold has been on a tear in 2025, and for good reason. Rate cuts on the horizon, central banks accumulating, geopolitical uncertainty everywhere. In this environment, I have been scanning for gold equities that combine technical strength with real assets. Seabridge Gold NYSE:SA emerged with a 93.3% score on my system, one of the highest I have seen in the precious metals sector this year. Here is what I found when I looked under the hood.
So Why This Stock Caught My Attention
I evaluate over 15 technical conditions with intelligent weighting, and NYSE:SA passed nearly every checkmark. The setup shows Perfect Order moving average alignment, with price trading comfortably above all key averages. The 3-month gain stands at 67.33%, more than double my 30% threshold, while relative strength versus SPY registers at 62.36%. Against its own sector, SA leads by 64.22%.
The price structure confirms a healthy uptrend with 5 higher highs and 5 higher lows over the last 10 days, weekly timeframe aligned, and the stock sitting just 5.85% below all-time highs. Momentum indicators across the board confirm bullish conditions. Most importantly, the risk warning section shows all clear: no distribution detected, no warning signals, no chasing situation.
The only weakness is the Tightening score at 39 out of 100, suggesting the consolidation needs a few more days to compress before the ideal breakout emerges.
The Company Behind the Score
Seabridge Gold is not your typical gold miner. They do not operate mines. Instead, they acquire, explore, and advance world-class deposits, then partner with major mining companies to develop them. This asset-light model means lower operational risk and massive leverage to rising metal prices.
Their flagship is the KSM project in British Columbia's Golden Triangle, and the numbers are staggering: 47.3 million ounces of gold and 7.3 billion pounds of copper in reserves. This makes KSM the world's largest undeveloped gold project and the third-largest undeveloped copper resource. The 2022 Pre-Feasibility Study outlines a 33-year mine life with all-in sustaining costs of just $601 per ounce, compared to the industry average of roughly $1,500. That cost advantage comes from copper byproduct credits and access to BC Hydro's clean, cheap hydroelectric power, giving KSM one of the lowest carbon footprints of any large-scale mining project globally and I like Green companies a lot.
What separates Seabridge from other developers is execution. They spent over $1 billion and 20 years advancing KSM through exploration, economic studies, and permitting. In July 2024, they secured "Substantially Started" status from the BC government, locking in environmental permits for the life of the project. Most competitors are still fighting permitting battles. Seabridge already won that war.
Beyond KSM, the portfolio includes Courageous Lake in the Northwest Territories with 11 million ounces of indicated gold, and the Iskut project just 20 kilometers from KSM, which management believes could become "another KSM" based on recent drilling results at Snip North. A maiden copper-gold resource at Iskut is expected by early 2026.
The Catalyst That Could Change Everything
CEO Rudi Fronk announced on November 12 that Seabridge is now in direct negotiations with a preferred JV partner after three finalists completed site visits. A deal could come before year-end. This is the moment the company has been building toward for 25 years.
The JV structure makes sense for everyone. Seabridge lacks the $5-6 billion needed to build KSM alone, but they hold 100% of a permitted, de-risked, world-class asset. Major miners have the balance sheets but struggle to find quality projects at this scale. The expected deal structure involves a phased earn-in, allowing Seabridge shareholders to retain meaningful exposure while a larger partner funds development.
B. Riley Securities raised their price target from $50 to $65 on December 2, citing rising gold and copper prices and the imminent JV catalyst. Stonegate Capital values the company between CA$42 and CA$67 per share. Current price: around $29.
My Take
SA checks nearly every box on my system. Perfect Order alignment, exceptional relative strength, clean risk profile, proximity to highs, and a fundamental story that could drive significant re-rating. The macro environment supports gold, the company sits on irreplaceable assets, and a transformational catalyst is weeks away.
I am watching for a decisive break above $29.31 with volume confirmation. If the consolidation tightens further and gold holds its strength, this setup could deliver. The 10 EMA will serve as my trailing stop reference.
Bottom Line
SA has the technical setup, the fundamental story, and the timing. I hope it follows the path of NASDAQ:GLUE which has gained nearly 50% since I first highlighted it.
Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal research and trading approach. It is not financial advice. I may hold or initiate a position in SA. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions
1012 GOLD a new chance for mid-term buyersHello traders,
Gold Entry Opportunities Analysis (Harmonic Pattern + Fundamentals)
1. Key Harmonic Pattern Structure Verification
- Proportions:
- XA wave (Uptrend): Magnitude of 1.359;
- AB wave (Pullback): Retraces 0.794 of XA (aligns with the Bat Pattern’s AB = 0.618-0.786 of XA);
- BC wave (Rebound): Extends 1.102 of AB (aligns with the Bat Pattern’s BC = 1.13-1.618 of AB);
- CD wave (Decline): Currently retraces 0.904 of BC (close to the Bat Pattern’s CD = 0.886-1.13 of BC).
The pattern is nearly complete.
The target support for the CD wave corresponds to the 4170-4175 zone (overlapping with prior technical support).
2. Long Entry Opportunity (High-Level Consolidation + Breakout Bias)
Gold is currently in a high-level consolidation phase (trading within a tight range after recent gains). Entering long at the 4170-4175 support zone not only targets the short-term rebound (to 4220), but also positions for a medium-to-long-term breakout:
- Entry Conditions:
Price stabilizes in the 4170-4175 zone (confirmed by bullish candlestick patterns, e.g., hammer/engulfing) + RSI (current 45.13) rebounds above 50.
- Stop Loss:
Below 4163 (the starting point of the XA wave, a critical prior support level).
- Targets:
1st target: 4220 (the high of the BC wave);
2nd target: 4250+ (driven by the Fed rate cut narrative).
3. Fundamental Resonance
Current Fed rate cut expectations + the “dual buffer” from potential BOJ tightening limit deep short-term declines in gold. The harmonic support zone (4170-4175) coincides with the fundamental “pullback buying zone,” making it a high risk-reward long entry level.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
SOL – 15m Long SetupLast trade idea for today
Bias: Short-term bullish
Reason: A bullish MSS on Total Market Cap
Key Levels i am watching
Monthly VWAP: needs to be reclaimed
Monthly Open: secondary confirmation
Fib 0.382: preferred retest zone for the long setup
Additional Reasoning
We have a bullish MSS on the 15m after a liquidity sweep,
As long as SOL reclaims Monthly VWAP + Monthly Open after the retest, continuation is likely in my opinion.
Risk Management
Once the first target (MH zone) is hit, I am moving my SL to entry.
This is especially important due to upcoming macro volatility — FOMC is scheduled for tomorrow.
Expect increased volatility and potential fakeouts before and after the announcement.
If you have any questions, drop them below.
Mr C
USD/CAD Pair structure and forecast.USD/CAD – Market Structure & Forecast
USD/CAD has completed a strong bearish leg, breaking structure (BOS) on the way down and forming a clear demand zone near support. Price has recently shown signs of accumulation, including internal CHoCH signals indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish order flow.
Current structure shows:
Multiple CHoCH signals around the low, suggesting buyers are stepping in.
A corrective push upward followed by a pullback into a POI (Point of Interest).
The POI aligns with a small demand zone inside the larger support area.
A bullish BOS above this POI supports continuation to the upside.
Projection:
If price respects the POI and maintains bullish structure, USD/CAD may expand upward toward the major resistance zone above 1.39600.
Bias: Bullish (as long as support and POI hold)
Key Levels:
Support: Demand zone at the bottom of the chart
POI: Minor demand where the pullback is expected
Target: Higher resistance block above 1.3960
What you think about USD/CAD, write in the comment section.






















