[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 24, 2025Today, as of October 24th, I would like to share my bearish (short) outlook on Bitcoin.
Currently, after taking partial profits from the short position entered on October 21st, I am still holding the remaining portion.
A meaningful short entry zone has been identified on the chart today, and I am considering an additional entry.
If a downward move unfolds, I plan to scale into the position further based on this idea.
However, since part of the position has already been established and the new entry zone overlaps with the previous one,
I will proceed with caution, gradually adding to the position rather than entering aggressively.
The reasons for considering an additional short entry are as follows:
First Basis — FIBONACCI 0.886~1.13
Bitcoin is currently positioned within the 0.886–1.13 range relative to the upper structure.
This zone is generally interpreted as an overbought region, often marking the final extension of a prior upward wave.
Therefore, once the price enters this zone, selling pressure tends to increase,
which can signal a short-term correction or a potential trend reversal.
Second Basis — WAVE.M = WAVE.N × 0.786
In terms of wave structure, the ongoing arbitrary M wave
shows a ratio of approximately 0.786 relative to a previous arbitrary N wave.
This ratio frequently appears near turning points,
indicating that the momentum of the upward wave is gradually weakening.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 108,347 USDT.
Depending on future price developments,
I will provide further updates regarding any changes to this idea
and my position management strategy.
Thank you for reading.
Community ideas
ETC/USDT Short Set-upMultiple tests of the $15 support level, solid breakdown and consolidation below the 50/200 MA on the daily timeframe (trend reversal), lower highs, and the Bitcoin market index also failed to confirm the short divergence.
— Entry: $16.00 (market sell)
— Stop: $19.10
— Target: $11.00 ✅
Risk is 1% of the account balance RR 1:1,7
Analysis of the trend of gold next weekCurrently, the gold market is in a stage of "shock - upward movement driven by news". Although there is a battle between bulls and bears at the $4112 level, the upward opportunities next week are more worthy of attention. It is necessary to lay out in line with the trend and strictly control risks. The specific strategy is as follows:
I. Core Logic: Key Factors Influencing the Gold Price Trend Next Week
1. **The medium - and long - term support foundation remains intact**: The Federal Reserve has already started the interest - rate - cutting cycle. Judging from the meeting minutes, officials tend to gradually continue to loosen policies. As a result, the cost of holding gold is getting lower and lower, and its attractiveness is naturally increasing. Moreover, global central banks are still continuously buying gold. This long - term and large - scale buying can underpin the gold price, making a significant decline highly unlikely. In addition, the output growth rate of the world's top ten gold - mining enterprises has only been 1.8% in the past three years, and the problem of tight supply will also support the price in the long term.
2. **Short - term positive signals are increasing**: There are new signs of tension in the Middle East situation. The Houthi militia in Yemen has attacked the cargo ships in the Red Sea, resulting in 18% of the world's container ships changing their routes, and the shipping costs have soared. The market's safe - haven demand has significantly rebounded. Once such geopolitical risks ferment, they will drive funds to flow into gold. At the same time, the gold price rebounded after falling to around $4000 this week, indicating that the buying support at low levels is very strong, and much of the previous pullback pressure has been released.
3. **Key events next week will determine the direction**: The market is closely watching the changes in relevant news. Whether it is the new dynamics of the Middle East situation or the policy signals from the Federal Reserve, they will directly affect the gold price trend. Judging from the recent fluctuations, as long as the support near $4000 is not broken, the possibility of an upward trend is greater than that of a downward trend.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @buy4040-4060
TP:4110-4150-4200
LINKUSDT 1D#LINK is moving inside a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart, and there is a bullish divergence on the RSI. It is currently facing the daily SMA200. In case of a breakout above it, the potential targets are:
🎯 $19.01
🎯 $20.50
🎯 $21.70
🎯 $22.90
🎯 $24.61
🎯 $26.79
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
ONDO/USDT — At Golden Zone: Major Rebound or Complete Breakdown?ONDO is now sitting at its most critical structural level of 2025 — the golden demand zone between 0.735 and 0.62 USDT.
This area has historically acted as the foundation for every major bullish rally. Each time price tapped this zone, strong accumulation followed.
But this time, things look different — the chart reveals a persistent sequence of lower highs, signaling weakening momentum, while the latest deep wick indicates a liquidity grab — a classic sign that large players might be accumulating or offloading positions before a major move.
The key question now:
> Will this zone become the launchpad for another major rally, or the final floor before a deep collapse?
---
Market Structure & Price Pattern
Primary Range: ONDO has been ranging broadly between 0.62 – 2.10 since mid-2024, with a steady bearish compression forming through lower highs.
Demand Zone (Yellow Block): 0.735 – 0.62 remains a strong historical accumulation area. Rejection or bullish confirmation here could trigger a macro reversal.
Liquidity Sweep: The long downside wick suggests liquidity has been collected — often preceding a sharp move in the opposite direction.
---
Bullish Scenario — Reversal from the Golden Zone
Confirmation Conditions:
A 4-day candle close above 0.735, or a strong bullish rejection candle within the zone.
Increasing volume with follow-through momentum.
Upside Targets:
TP1: 0.8665 — local resistance
TP2: 1.10 — mid-range resistance
TP3: 1.44 – 1.96 — macro distribution zone
If price forms a higher low above 0.735 after rejection, ONDO could enter a re-accumulation phase targeting mid-range resistance.
Stop Loss: Below 0.60 to avoid being trapped by liquidity spikes.
---
Bearish Scenario — Breakdown from Structural Base
Confirmation Conditions:
4D candle closes below 0.62 with strong selling pressure.
Failed retest of 0.62–0.70 (support turns resistance).
Downside Targets:
TP1: 0.50 — minor liquidity zone
TP2: 0.40 — structural support
TP3: 0.25 — full capitulation extension
A confirmed break below 0.62 would mean ONDO’s macro structure has fully collapsed, indicating the start of a prolonged bearish phase.
---
Strategic Summary
The 0.735 – 0.62 zone is ONDO’s line of survival.
As long as price holds or rejects strongly from this area, a macro reversal remains possible.
But a confirmed breakdown below it could lead to a full structural reset toward 0.40 or even 0.25.
> Simply put: this is ONDO’s “make or break” moment —
Either the base for a strong comeback, or the beginning of a deeper decline.
---
Trading Approach
Wait for 4D confirmation before entering any position.
Conservative entries near 0.63–0.68 with SL below 0.60.
Increase position size only after confirmed structure reversal.
Manage risk strictly — volatility in this zone is high and unpredictable.
#ONDO #ONDOUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #SwingTrade #DemandZone #SupportAndResistance #CryptoChart #LiquiditySweep #CryptoTechnical #4DChart #SmartMoneyConcept #CryptoMarket #ReversalSetup
Bitcoin - How the cycle end's going to go down This idea examines the Fib relationships that have already played out this cycle, combined with the 1.618 curve obviously in motion to arrive at a likely cycle top.
The most likely cycle top is in the vicinity of $170k, I give this idea a 50% chance of playing out. the path to 170k likely involves a correction around $150k and drop to meet the rising 1.618 curve - somewhere around $138k. The final blow-off would then reach $170k
The 2nd most likely possibility is a top at $150k and an extended distribution there with no blow-off top of significance. I give this idea a 25% chance of playing out.
The 3rd possibility, which cannot yet be invalidated despite all the macro evidence being to the contrary, is that we are topping and in full distribution in the $105k-$125k range. This chart shows some confluence for that idea, and of course it aligns with 4-year cycle theory and eclipses - and so I will give it also a 25% chance of playing out.
That said - whilst we are clearly distributing, with OG whales selling enthusiastically, I do not believe this is THE distribution. Rather I believe it to be a transfer from OG whales fixed to the 4-year cycle ideology to smart(er) money, predominately TradFi.
Nifty levels - Oct 27, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Gold on Support levels / #6,100.80 Medium-term TargetTechnical analysis: This week's huge red Daily candlestick pattern is an indication of increased tension and war / conflict escalation negativity as geopolitical tensions arise which invalidated Buyers intent and comforted Short-term Gold’s Sellers early on. Gold was once again on High demand as Investors used the metal as an traditional safe-haven asset where capital strongly flew into Gold, pushing the Price-action way above the #13-Month High’s however due Profit taking of most Buyers (Long-term Investors) Gold dipped on Friday's session traditional Profit taking and was testing #4,000.80 benchmark and as (by my personal opinion) DX skyrocketed and engaged Short-term Buy-off rally where Selling pressure from DX de-escalated Gold towards June #1 High’s again (currently even Lower) and currently it is the question where market will be headed next. Gold was on hard Resistance levels and current consolidation levels (historical regression analysis) points that when Trading for Long on those levels, strong downside direction comes in form of #100 to 200 point + decline. Besides this, nothing else Supports the downwards argument (except current High Impact factor) since all Charts turned critically Bearish on Short-term. #4,000.80 mark is now new / old Support and by my calculation chances for breaking it again without new news are Technically really impossible (too far fetched and without catalyst to take the Price-action towards those / current High’s).
My position: However, in each market situation, Trader has to adapt. Therefore, do not take strong bets on the market, Buy and Sell current Intra-day timeframe with aggressive Scalps (#3 to #5-points) and close your order, calling it for the week. Expect new instructions with my Monday-session commentary. Also my #6,100.80 benchmark is posing as my new Medium-term Target.
EURCAD EUR/CAD 4H chart shows a bullish setup after a strong corrective move into a key demand zone. Price is currently rebounding from support around 1.6220–1.6250, suggesting potential for an upside continuation. A clean break and retest of the mid-zone could trigger momentum toward the 1.6400 resistance area — the marked target level. Buyers are expected to step in from the current demand zone, maintaining the bullish structure for a potential rally continuation.
"Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts.
EDENUSDT 4H#EDEN has broken above the descending triangle resistance on the 4H timeframe chart. In case of a successful retest or a breakout above the 4H EMA50, the potential targets are:
🎯 $0.1574
🎯 $0.1638
🎯 $0.1729
🎯 $0.1845
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
Ripple vs Tether — Can Bulls Escape the Resistance Trap?📌 TradingView Idea Description (XRP/USDT Thief Strategy)
Asset: XRP/USDT — “Ripple vs Tether”
Market: Crypto Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
Bias: 🔵 Bullish Setup
🗺️ Trading Plan
Entry Style (Thief Layer Strategy):
Multiple buy-limit layered entries →
✅ 2.8000
✅ 2.8500
✅ 2.9000
✅ 2.9500
(Layers can be increased based on your own risk tolerance)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@ 2.7000 (personal setup — adjust as per your own risk appetite)
Target Zones:
🎯 Primary Target: 3.1500 → Key resistance zone + overbought condition + potential bull trap (take profits smartly).
🎯 Secondary Target: 3.3500 → Strong resistance cluster (“police barricade” zone) + overbought trap risk (partial/exit profits advised).
⚠️ Important Notes
👥 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs):
I’m not recommending my exact stop loss or target — these are my personal levels.
Manage your own risk responsibly: “Make money, then take money at your own risk.”
This strategy is built around layered entries for flexibility in volatile markets.
🔍 Correlation & Related Pairs to Watch
Ripple (XRP) often shows sentiment correlation with broader altcoin momentum and BTC’s dominance. Key pairs worth monitoring for confirmation:
BINANCE:BTCUSDT → Bitcoin drives overall crypto market liquidity.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT → Strong ETH moves can influence Ripple flows.
BINANCE:XLMUSDT → Stellar often mirrors or diverges from XRP due to similarity in use cases.
BINANCE:ADAUSDT → Watch ADA for altcoin sentiment correlation.
Monitoring these pairs can give early signals of potential XRP strength or weakness.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
📜 Disclaimer
This is a “Thief Style” Trading Strategy, shared for educational & entertainment purposes only.
Not financial advice. Trade responsibly — risk management is your best weapon.
#XRP #Ripple #Crypto #Altcoins #USDT #TradingStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeredEntries #ThiefStrategy
#APE/USDT chart (1-hour timeframe)...#APE
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price higher at 0.680.
Entry price: 0.3857.
First target: 0.4058.
Second target: 0.4300.
Third target: 0.4617.
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
NQ Week 43Updated levels for week 43
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
Can Small Caps Outperform as US2000 Approaches Resistance?📊 US2000 Index – Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) – here’s a fresh layering entry plan for US2000 with a bullish outlook. This is my playful "Thief Strategy" style — multiple entries, multiple chances, and yes… multiple exits too. 😎
🔑 Plan: Bullish Bias
💸 Entry (Layering Style):
Limit Buy Orders: 2430 / 2440 / 2450
You can expand layers further depending on your own risk appetite.
👉 This layered entry style (a.k.a. Thief Strategy) spreads out execution points to reduce risk of missing the move.
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL):
Thief SL parked at 2410
⚠️ Note: This is my risk level. Please set your SL according to your own money management.
🎯 Target (TP):
2490 → “Voltage Lock” Zone ⚡ (Strong resistance barrier + overbought levels + possible trap area).
⚠️ Note: Not financial advice. I’m sharing my target, but your TP is your choice — secure profits as you see fit.
📌 Correlation Watchlist / Related Pairs:
OANDA:SPX500USD (S&P 500) → often leads the broader market sentiment.
TVC:DJI (Dow Jones 30) → check rotation between large caps vs small caps.
NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100) → tech moves can spill over into Russell small caps.
TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) → higher volatility can impact layered entries & SL triggers.
Correlation tip: When SP:SPX and NASDAQ:NDX are pumping together, US2000 often follows with strong momentum. But if TVC:VIX spikes, layered buys can get trapped near support levels.
📖 Key Notes:
Layering helps spread entries across multiple levels to avoid emotional panic buys.
The "Voltage Lock" resistance at 2490 is my escape zone. Don’t marry the trade — date it, profit, and leave. 💍➡️💵
This is a strategy style I use — not a recommendation. Trade safe.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📌 Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — shared just for fun & educational purposes. Not financial advice.
#US2000 #Russell2000 #SP500 #NASDAQ100 #DowJones #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrading #IndexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
BAC Swing Trading Strategy – Bearish Dip Turning Bullish Soon!🔥 BAC “Bank of America” – Thief Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 💼📉➡️📈
📊 Plan: Bearish to Bullish Reversal Setup
Entry: You can enter at any price level (flexible strategy 🕶️).
Stop Loss (SL): Thief-style SL @ 48.50 🛑💔
⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending to use only my SL. It’s your choice. Manage your risk like a boss and protect your bag.
Target (TP): Strong resistance + overbought trap zone 🚧 — escape with profits @ 54.00 🎯💸
⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending to use only my TP. Take money when you see money — at your own risk.
🧩 Key Thief Notes:
Market psychology points to a bearish shakeout ➡ bullish trap escape move.
BAC is currently in a range between demand & supply zones — liquidity hunting zone 🎯.
Overbought conditions may trigger profit-taking → watch carefully for reversal signals.
🔗 Related Assets to Watch (Correlation Play):
NYSE:JPM (JPMorgan Chase) – strong sector leader, moves often lead BAC.
$C (Citigroup) – tracks similar banking flows.
AMEX:XLF (Financial Select Sector ETF) – index-level financial exposure.
AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – overall risk sentiment affects banking stocks heavily.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) – stronger USD can weigh on financial stocks.
TVC:TNX (US 10Y Yield) – bond yields = big driver for bank profitability.
📌 Tip: Watch AMEX:XLF & TVC:TNX closely. Rising yields = positive for banks, while falling yields can slow momentum.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy, shared just for fun & educational vibes. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#BAC #BankofAmerica #StockMarket #SwingTrade #DayTrade #XLF #JPM #C #SPY #FinancialSector #ThiefTrader #Stocks
Trading Map for USD/CAD — Bullish Layered Entry Strategy🦒 The Loonie Heist: USD/CAD Swing & Day Trade Wealth Map 🚀
Asset: USD/CAD ("The Loonie")
Outlook: Bullish 📈
Vibe: Thief-Style Layering Strategy — Sneaky, Smart, and Stylish 😎
Welcome, Ladies and Gentlemen, to the Loonie Heist! This USD/CAD trading plan is designed for the crafty traders out there — our Thief OG's — ready to layer up entries and snatch profits like pros. Let’s break down this stylish, rule-compliant TradingView idea that’s ready to steal the spotlight! ✨
📜 The Plan: Bullish Breakout with a Thief’s Precision 🕵️♂️
Strategy: Thief Layering — A multi-limit order approach for smooth, calculated entries.
Entry Levels: Deploy your buy limit orders like a mastermind at:
1.39300
1.39400
1.39500
1.39600
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite — scale it up, Thief OG style!
Stop Loss (SL): Set a sneaky SL at 1.39000 to guard your loot.
Note: This is my suggested SL, but you’re the boss of your trades — adjust to your risk tolerance! ⚠️
Take Profit (TP): Aim for 1.40500, just shy of the 1.40600 police barricade (a strong resistance zone with overbought signals and potential traps). Lock in profits and escape like a pro! 🏃♂️ Note: TP is your call — take the money when it feels right!
🔍 Why USD/CAD? Key Market Insights 🧠
Market Context: USD/CAD is riding a bullish wave, driven by USD strength and CAD’s sensitivity to oil prices. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data like US Non-Farm Payrolls and Canadian employment reports, as they can sway the Loonie! 📊
Technical Setup: The pair is testing key support levels around 1.39300–1.39600, making it a prime spot for layered entries. The 1.40600 resistance is a historical hurdle, so watch for price action there! 🚨
Thief’s Edge: By layering buy limits, you’re stacking the odds in your favor, catching dips and riding the trend with finesse.
💰 Related Pairs to Watch 👀
Keep these correlated pairs on your radar to spot opportunities and confirm trends:
OANDA:USDCHF ($): Positive correlation with USD/CAD due to USD strength. If USD/CHF is climbing, it could signal more upside for USD/CAD.
OANDA:AUDUSD ($): Negative correlation with USD/CAD. A falling AUD/USD (stronger USD) often aligns with USD/CAD bullish moves.
OANDA:NZDUSD ($): Similar to AUD/USD, this pair’s weakness can support USD/CAD’s bullish case.
Key Point: Watch oil prices (WTI, Brent) since CAD is a commodity currency. If oil weakens, USD/CAD may push higher! 🛢️
⚠️ Risk Management (Thief’s Code) 🛡️
Risk Disclaimer: Trading is a high-stakes game, and this Thief-Style Strategy is for fun and educational purposes. Always manage your risk, set your own SL/TP, and trade responsibly. Don’t chase the market — let it come to you!
Position Sizing: Adjust your lot sizes based on your account and risk tolerance. The Thief OG never risks the whole vault! 💸
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer: This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trade at your own risk, and always conduct your own analysis.
#Hashtags: #USDCAD #Forex #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #LoonieHeist #Bullish #TradingView






















