Bitcoin Stabilizes as Traders Await Fed’s Rate Path Signal🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – BTC/USD (1H)
Market State:
– Price is reacting strongly from the major support zone and forming a short-term base after the sharp selloff, showing early signs of buyer absorption.
Key Levels:
– Support: 89,600
– Resistance: 91,450
– Breakout Zone: 92,100 – 92,300
Next Move:
– Bullish bias holds as long as price stays above support; reclaiming 91,450 would open the path toward 92,300.
Community ideas
BTC | 4HCRYPTOCAP:BTC — Quantum Model Projection
4H Zoom-In | Reversal Structure
The current bounce in Minute Wave ⓑ is expected to give way to a final Minute Wave ⓒ decline, completing the Minor Wave 2 retracement — approximately a -7.77% pullback — toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level, the primary zone for structural completion.
The reversal thesis remains favoured, with the Leading Diagonal still the most probable early-wave formation—an origin phase of the Primary degree uptrend.
Notably, from my perspective, BTC may be in the initiating stage of Primary Wave ⓹ within the 2nd Cycle (the fifth wave of Wave III).
🔖 This potential reversal has been projected since Nov. 15 during the BTC decline.
🔖 This outlook is based on insights from my Quantum Models framework. Within this methodology, Q-targets are defined as high-probability possibilities generated by the confluence of equivalence lines. These equivalence lines also act as structural anchors, shaping the internal geometry of the model and guiding the evolution of alternative paths as price action progresses.
SLNH | DailyNASDAQ:SLNH — Quantum Model Projection
Technical Update
Soluna has surged 38.6% as anticipated, marking the standout rally of the week, trading for two sessions above the meeting point of the equivalence lines, which now serve as a structural support confluence.
The projected advance in Minor Wave 5 via its impulsive Minute degree 3rd wave is progressing well, as expected.
The Q-Target of $8.88 💫 remains unchanged, implying a near-term upside potential of roughly +530% likely by late December, as the broader bullish structure of Intermediate Wave (1) continues to unfold.
A decisive break above $5.13 will fully confirm the Leading Diagonal in Intermediate Wave (1), validating it as the structural foundation for the emerging Primary degree uptrend.
🔖 This outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework.
ETH: Price Slice. Capital Sector. 3033.73🏷 ETH: Price Slice. Capital Sector. Dated: 12.12.2025
🏷 3033.73 — Price not yet reached at time of publication
🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 7
🏷 Screenshot
🏷 Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations.
The Architect
BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
GBPUSD SellGBPUSD
Sell
Entry / Current Price: 1.33910
Stop Loss: 1.34380
(≈ 47 pips)
Take Profit 1: 1.33680
(≈ 23 pips)
Take Profit 2: 1.33350
(≈ 56 pips)
Take Profit 3: 1.33050
(≈ 86 pips)
• Strong rejection near 1.3438 high
• Lower timeframe showing distribution / consolidation
• Overall move looks like a pullback after impulsive push
• NY close → Asia often gives continuation or liquidity sweep down
GBPUSD Holds Uptrend as Buyers Await a PullbackOn the H4 chart, GBPUSD maintains a clear uptrend with consistent Higher Highs and Higher Lows, confirmed by the early-December Break of Structure that reinforced bullish momentum. Two key FVG zones support price action: the near-term 1.3330–1.3350 area and the deeper 1.3280–1.3320 zone. Overhead, the 1.3370–1.3400 FVG acts as resistance, highlighted by repeated upper-wick reactions.
Ichimoku continues to favor the bullish bias with price trading above the cloud and a thick future Kumo supporting trend continuation. Volume Profile shows strong demand at 1.3250–1.3300, while liquidity above 1.3370 is thin — suggesting a clear path higher if broken.
The primary outlook remains bullish: wait for a correction into 1.3330–1.3350 or 1.3280–1.3320 to seek long setups. A breakout above 1.3400 opens targets toward 1.3450–1.3500. Only a clean H4 close below 1.3280 would put the uptrend at risk.
BE Eyes Bullish Momentum: Katy AI Signals Upward TrajectoryInstrument: BE
Signal Type: CALL (LONG)
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 65% / 60% depending on strike
Conviction Level: MEDIUM
Expiry Date: 2025-12-19 (8 days)
Recommended Strike & Entry:
Strike 104.00 → Entry Price: 7.85
Strike 95.00 → Entry Price: 11.65
Profit Targets:
Strike 104.00 → Target 1: 12.30 | Target 2: 15.10
Strike 95.00 → Target 1: 18.64 | Target 2: 23.30
Stop Loss:
Strike 104.00 → 5.50
Strike 95.00 → 8.16
Position Size:
Strike 104.00 → 2.5% of portfolio
Strike 95.00 → 2% of portfolio
Weekly Momentum:
Strike 104.00 → NEUTRAL (+0.15% 1W)
Strike 95.00 → BULLISH (+2.10% 1W)
Flow Intel / Options Flow:
Strike 104.00 → Bullish (Low P/C Ratio 0.25)
Strike 95.00 → Bearish (High P/C Ratio 1.53), contrarian opportunity
Technical Highlights:
Entry levels below VWAP provide mean reversion upside
Oversold or bounce setups for both strikes
Elevated volume indicates institutional interest
Low gamma environment for directional play
Risk Level: MODERATE – manage position size carefully due to Katy AI’s 50% confidence in neutral trend classification.
Key Notes:
Strike 104.00 aligns with Katy AI upward trajectory and bullish flow
Strike 95.00 is a contrarian play against bearish options flow, but AI predicts clear upward trajectory
Monitor VWAP resistance, intraday price movements, and weekly expiration gamma effects
Gbpusd11DEC25I’m looking for longs on G/U after seeing a long-term low form, concluding the previous downtrend. Along with two earlier buy setups I’ve identified (but haven’t posted yet), this provides further evidence of bullish market structure and supports my expectation of a bullish continuation.
In this setup, I’m seeing a positive reaction off a 3H FVG(+), with tomorrow’s target being today’s high, since we’ve gotten supportive details within 48 hours of the previous setup.
Grok Analysis of Gold/Silver Ratio - 4 month Price TargetsI asked Grok: Gold and silver 4 months price targets using Gold-silver ratio analysis of m2.
Grok: Gold Target $4,800 +13%
Grok: Silver Target: $70 +35%
Grok 4 month Summary
Thought for: 4m 33s
These targets align with a distribution of expert forecasts, which range from $4,000-5,500 for gold and $45-100 for silver in early 2026, but are specifically adjusted using the M2 and ratio framework. Risks include faster-than-expected M2 contraction (e.g., due to Fed policy) or geopolitical events accelerating precious metals demand. Not financial Advice
Quant Signals V3 LULU Earnings: Bearish Setup DetectedLULU Earnings Signal | 2025-12-11
• Direction: BUY PUTS
• Confidence: 60%
• Expiry: 12/12
• Strike: 177.50
• Entry: 6.45–7.05
• Target: 10.13
• Stop: 5.00
• Risk Level: Moderate
• Flow: Bearish (PCR 1.80)
• 24h Move: -2.26%
Katy AI: Neutral label but bearish bias — 75% of predictions below current price, with lows near -2.22%. Persistent downward pressure in the prediction timeline.
Technical: Near critical support at 180 with weak volume (0.3×). No bullish reversal patterns; momentum favors continuation lower.
Sentiment: Cautious tone — leadership concerns, revised expectations, tariff impact. No strong positive catalysts.
Flow: Heavy put positioning; institutions hedging aggressively. IV elevated for earnings move (11.2% implied).
Why This Trade:
Options flow + Katy’s bearish trajectory provide alignment for downside play pre-earnings. Tight stop and balanced delta reduce risk on the 1-day expiry.
Note: Earnings beat rate is high (75%) — keep size controlled.
Silver Historical breakout into the upper channel zoneSilver has reached levels the market has not touched in more than a decade. The move is so aggressive that the price almost in one vertical impulse hit the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel that has been in play since the 90s. This is a key zone reactions here always reveal the real balance of power.
Current structure:
Price tested the 48–50 level and failed to break it on the first attempt. Expected this is a historical supply zone where major sellers have always sat. But importantly, the market broke above the long-term mid-trend line and held. The structure is shifting into a stronger bullish phase.
Next major zone sits at 75–110. This is where the market may face its final resistance or enter a phase of massive capital rotation. Below, we have huge accumulation areas at 24–16 and 14–11, but the market is nowhere near revisiting them. The trend is too strong.
Key point:
We’re at a natural correction zone, but the broader momentum remains the strongest of this entire cycle. If silver secures a monthly close above 50, the 75+ target becomes realistic.
This entire move looks like textbook smart-money behaviour long accumulation, breakout, expansion, test of strength. The market is now deciding whether this trend becomes historic.
Verge (XVG) 1M Multi-Year Compression + Privacy Meta TailwindsSummary:
Verge (XVG) has spent nearly 7 years forming a massive symmetrical triangle on the 1-Month timeframe, compressing between a long-term ascending trendline dating back to 2015 and a multi-cycle descending resistance from the 2017 blow-off top. With privacy coins regaining momentum over the past two months, XVG is approaching a structural apex that historically precedes large expansions in this asset class.
Price is currently sitting just above the long-term trendline and pressing into tightening monthly range highs, with both EMAs flattening — a sign of equilibrium before resolution.
📌 Technical Breakdown
1. Multi-Year Symmetrical Triangle
Ascending support holds strong since 2015, tested numerous times.
Descending macro resistance from 2017 ATH keeps price capped.
Price is now near the apex, where long-term compression typically breaks with force.
2. Monthly EMAs Converging
35 EMA and 205 EMA are flattening, reflecting equilibrium.
This usually occurs before a macro trend shift.
Reclaiming the 35 EMA on the 1M would be the first sign of trend strength.
3. Privacy Coin Narrative Strengthening
Over the past 2 months, several privacy-focused assets have shown strong relative performance amid:
Regulatory debates
Increasing interest in anonymity-preserving tech
Capital rotation into older privacy brands
XVG historically benefits from these narrative cycles.
4. Key Levels on the Chart
Immediate Resistance: 0.0080–0.0082
Macro Breakout Level: Descending trendline (currently just above price)
Structural Target if Broken: 0.026–0.03
Ultimate Macro Target: 0.264 (top of chart’s marked level)
Major Support: Long-term ascending trendline
📈 Bullish Scenario
If XVG breaks above the descending trendline on a monthly close, it would mark the first macro breakout in years.
This could align with ongoing privacy sector strength.
Upside targets:
0.0080 → first major test
0.026–0.03 → measured move from the triangle structure
0.264 → long-term supply zone (multi-cycle level)
Given the size of the pattern, a breakout move could be significant.
📉 Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold the ascending trendline could trigger a retest of mid-range supports or invalidate the long-term structure.
This would occur if price closes firmly below the rising 10-year trendline.
📊 Final Takeaway
XVG is entering the most important point of its multi-year consolidation — the apex of a massive symmetrical triangle.
With privacy coins seeing renewed attention, XVG is positioned at a potentially explosive point on the chart.
All eyes should be on the monthly close as price tightens into long-term resistance with narrative momentum behind it.
CHFJPY SellCHFJPY
Sell
Entry / Current Price: 195.720
Stop Loss: 196.050
(33 pips)
Take Profit 1: 195.300
(42 pips)
Take Profit 2: 194.900
(82 pips)
Take Profit 3: 194.450
(127 pips)
⸻
Confidence Level: 8.1 / 10
Reasoning:
• Price at a 4H resistance ceiling
• Slowing momentum + rejection wicks
• JPY pairs have been pulling back today
• Trend still bullish overall → this is a counter-trend scalp, not a long-term sell
(which is why confidence isn’t 9 or 10)
⸻
Estimated Time To Hit TP1:
1–3 hours
(Depends on JPY volatility; CHFJPY tends to move fast in waves.)
Strong bounce by cable continues for nowCable moved further up on 11 December to highs of around six weeks as the dollar generally weakened. Possible political instability in Britain is out of focus now and a cut by the BoE on 18 December seems to be fully priced in with around 85% probability. Inflationary pressure in Britain remains overall high, though, so the BoE might be significantly less dovish in 2026 while most participants are expecting two cuts by the Fed next year.
Although cable’s bounce from November’s lows has been vigorous overall this phase might be approaching exhaustion. The slow stochastic has signalled oversold for nearly a fortnight and buying volume has dropped since 28 November. $1.35 would be the next clear possible target while the 23.6% weekly Fibonacci retracement around $1.337 is a technical reference.
Most of the round numbers are possible supports with different likely strengths. Another push all the way down to $1.30 seems very unlikely in the near future unless data and sentiment shift significantly. As for euro-dollar, the double NFP on 16 December and American inflation two days later are centrally important releases which might make upcoming movements clearer.
For the latest analysis and opinions, visit the link on my profile to follow me on X too.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
Euro-dollar pushes above $1.17Euro-dollar’s recent gains continued in the aftermath of the Fed’s cut on 10 December as senior members of the ECB commented on further cuts being likely unnecessary and focus on political problems in the EU, primarily France, declined. The ECB will probably raise forecasts for growth next year while attention remains on the USA’s seemingly weakening labour market.
With only 11 December clearly above $1.17, it’s too early to call that day’s movement a decisive breakout, but since buying volume is at least not lower and the price is above all of the moving averages it’d be possible to see more gains to come, just maybe not immediately. Both the slow stochastic and Bollinger Bands signal overbought. 16 September’s closing high around $1.187 is an obvious medium-term target.
The main candidate for a static area of support is the 23.6% weekly Fibonacci retracement around $1.149, but before that all four moving averages, 20, 50, 100 and 200, are likely to be dynamic supports. The double NFP on 16 December could drive more significant movement.
For the latest analysis and opinions, visit the link on my profile to follow me on X too.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Buy EUR/NZD at strong support.The EUR/NZD has been on a downtrend for a few weeks now and is closing in on strong support. There is also a leading diagonal pattern being formed which meet at around the same level. Stocks at all time highs and AUD, NZD close to strong resistance seems like a perfect time for USD strength. Might not be a change of trend but a nice correction so just need a catalyst now.
Buy Limit : 2.0039 strong support
Stop : 1.9942 under strong support
Profit : 2.0330 before minor high
Risk 1 : 3 / stop is 97 pips.
NZDUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.58162
- Overlap support
- 38.2% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 0.57924
- Overlap support
Take Profit: 0.58437
- Overlap resistance
- 100% Fib projection
High Risk Investment Warning
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TSLA Short targetsI get my stock levels, and sometimes tickers, from my dowsing work with a pendulum and scales I've made.
I have that TSLA is at a swing high and should head down to the $417 area where it may bounce, and I've had numbers come as lower targets at $398, 399 & 400.
Today I was guided to get the date of a price revisit (which I find fairly reliable as guidance). The date came as 11/17. That was a large range day, but it's an area to watch and there's some meat on the bones even at the top end of the range, $424.
The low of that day was $398, so that's neat it aligns with numbers I've gotten. There is a little bullish energy still in TSLA, but the main thing is it'll keep going down.
MIST to shoot MIST has a bull flag and looking to extend its gains. They have a FDA approval coming up on the 13th so this can go either way depending on the outcome of that. though looking at the technical wise this thing is primed and ready. I have taken a small 1500 share position. this is not trading advice just what I am seeing. it has just broken out. have a great day






















