Bullish Trend ContinuingOverall, the market structure remains bullish. Price is moving within a strong continuation phase and has just mitigated the 4‑hour bullish continuation demand zone. From this area, I expect price to continue aligning with the prevailing trend until the weak higher high is taken out.
Community ideas
The gold bull market has just begun, are you ready?At $5000, I said that the bull market for gold had just begun. After a few days, gold has now broken through the $5500 mark. Recently, gold has seen significant fluctuations, and blindly chasing rises and falls can easily lead to losses. During the Asian session, gold experienced a decline of over $140, plunging the market sentiment into panic.
From a technical perspective, the current resistance for gold is at the daily high of $5596. If the price effectively breaks through the psychological barrier of $5600, it will further open up upward space, with the next target being the $5700 area. On the support side, attention should be focused on the lowest point near $5450 after the Asian session falls. A stronger support is located near $5420. Only if the daily line level effectively breaks below $5420 and shows a stagnation signal can we confirm the formation of a short-term top; otherwise, the price may continue to break new historical highs.
For subsequent operations, I suggest focusing on long positions, and before a trend reversal, it is prudent to sell gold cautiously.
Operation strategy: After a gold correction, the main idea is to go long, with short selling as a supplement after a rebound. Above, focus on the resistance range of $5595-5600, and below, focus on the support range of $5420-5440.
I would like to remind everyone again that gold fluctuates greatly, so it is essential to carry SLand TP with you.
HAL – STWP Equity Snapshot📊 HAL – STWP Equity Snapshot
Ticker: NSE: HAL
Sector: ✈️ Defence / Aerospace
CMP: 4,624.00 ▲ (+6.34% | 29 Jan 2026)
Learning Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (Neutral–Range with Breakout Attempt)
Chart Pattern Observed: 🔺 Descending Triangle (Compression Phase)
Candlestick Pattern Observed: Strong Bullish Marubozu (Breakout Attempt)
📊 Technical Snapshot
HAL has been trading within a descending triangle structure, marked by a sequence of lower highs pressing against a rising demand base — a classic compression setup. The recent session produced a strong bullish Marubozu candle, indicating aggressive buying interest emerging from the demand zone and an initial attempt to resolve the triangle to the upside. RSI is positioned near the higher-mid zone, reflecting improving momentum without entering exhaustion territory. Stochastic has moved out of the lower range, supporting a recovery phase rather than a mature trend. Bollinger Bands remain moderately wide, suggesting volatility expansion post-compression. MACD shows early improvement but remains in a developing phase, implying momentum is building, not fully confirmed yet. Price has also moved closer to the CPR zone; sustained acceptance above the triangle’s upper boundary and CPR pivot would be critical to validate continuation beyond the range.
📊 Volume Analysis
🔹 Current Volume: ~1.84M
🔹 Average Volume (20-period): ~0.89M ✅
💥 Volume is running at more than 2× the recent average, confirming strong participation during the breakout attempt.
💡 Interpretation: Elevated volume emerging from a compressed triangle structure strengthens the probability of directional resolution. However, continuation will require consistent volume support near overhead resistance zones.
🔑 Key Levels – Daily Timeframe
Support Areas: 4444 | 4264 | 4167
Resistance Areas: 4721 | 4818 | 4998
These are zones where price has paused or reacted earlier.
What’s Catching Our Eye: Triangle compression resolving with strong bullish participation.
What to Watch For: Acceptance above triangle resistance and CPR pivot.
Failure Zone: Breakdown below the rising demand trendline.
Risks to Watch: Overhead supply near upper range resistance.
What to Expect Next: Range expansion with directional clarity pending confirmation.
Bullish Case: Sustained acceptance above triangle may trigger trend continuation.
Bearish Case: Rejection at resistance can pull price back into range.
Momentum Case: Strong breakout momentum, needs follow-through.
STWP Price Levels – Educational View
Intraday Setup:
Trigger Zone: 4,624
Invalidation Level: 4,265
Reference 1: 4,721
Reference 2: 4,818
Swing Setup (Hybrid Model – 2–5 days):
Trigger Zone: 4,624
Invalidation Level: 4,167
Reference 1: 4,998
Reference 2: 5,200 (Range Projection)
STWP View:
Momentum: Strong | Trend: Range → Breakout Attempt | Risk: High | Volume: High
Learning Note:
Triangle patterns reward patience — confirmation matters more than anticipation.
Disclaimer:
Educational view only. Not a recommendation. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any trading or investment decision. STWP is not responsible for actions taken based on this post.
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🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
USDCAD Rebound | Target 1.3619 – 1.3631 | Bullish Above 1.3541The USD/CAD pair is currently showing signs of a technical rebound after testing a key support zone. The price has managed to hold above the critical pivot level, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this area. As long as the market maintains its footing above 1.3541, we expect a relief rally toward the immediate resistance targets.
Trade Plan:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Buy on pullbacks as long as the price stays above 1.3541.
Targets: First target: 1.3619 | Second target: 1.3631.
Risk Condition: Bullish only if the price holds above 1.3541.
Market Logic:
The price is trading above the daily pivot level of 1.3541.
The RSI is back above its neutrality area at 50, indicating recovering momentum.
The MACD is above its signal line, though a break above the zero level is needed to trigger stronger gains.
Structure aligns with an SMC (Smart Money Concepts) demand zone mitigation and potential reversal.
Invalidation:
This bullish view is valid only above 1.3541. A sustained break below this level would cancel the rebound thesis and potentially lead to a test of 1.3520.
Disclaimer:
This idea is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Currency markets are highly volatile. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
OANDA:USDCAD $LOONIE AAII:BULLISH $REBOUND $INTRADAY NYSE:SMC $SUPPLYDEMAND $PRICEACTION NYSE:RSI $MACD CRYPTOCAP:FOREX
Long on USD/CAD pairI’m currently very long on the Dollar Index, following its rebound from a four-year historical low. From a technical perspective, the USD is already showing signs of recovery against most major pairs, at least for now.
That said, extra caution is required tonight due to the Fed meeting, which could trigger significant volatility across the markets. Additionally, the Bank of Canada left its policy rate unchanged today, removing an immediate catalyst on the CAD side.
Stay safe tonight.
Gold is bound to experience a significant decline soon!Gold experienced its largest single-month increase in history this month. Historical highs have been repeatedly broken!
Due to ongoing economic and geopolitical uncertainty, investors continue to flock to precious metals.
In the long term, gold will certainly rise. However, in the short term, gold will definitely experience a significant correction and decline. The recent gold market has been extremely volatile, but we must remain calm when trading. Maintain a clear head and don't be carried away by the current surge.
I predict this correction will cause many people to lose their entire accounts. Therefore, timely profit-taking is essential. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.
There are also interest rate decision results today; do not blindly chase the rising price.
Apple H4 – Bullish Order Block Respect & RSI ConfirmationApple Inc (AAPL) H4 Bullish Order Block Respect
On the H4 timeframe, price previously showed a rapid upward move from an old bullish order block. After that, the market made a healthy pullback and again approached the same order block, showing clear respect, which is a strong sign of bullish continuation.
The RSI is also in a bullish structure, forming a higher low and supporting upward momentum, confirming buyers’ strength.
Trade Plan:
Entry: 252.80
First Target: 274.00, Upper side order block
Final Target: 288.7, Previous High / Recent ATH
Stop Loss: 236, order block
As long as price holds above the order block and RSI remains in the bullish zone, the overall bias stays bullish.
Pullbacks can be viewed as buying opportunities with proper risk management.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, so always do your own research and manage risk properly before taking any trade.
USDCAD sellMarkets are waiting for today’s Bank of Canada decision. If rates are kept the same, this should support the Canadian dollar.
Canada’s economy has been fairly steady, while the US dollar has been losing strength as traders expect easier policy ahead.
With fundamentals leaning toward CAD strength and price stretched, a mean reversion move becomes more likely after the announcement. Be ware of that for now the downtrend is your friend.
HINDZINC -BullishChart Structure Analysis
Ignoring the drawn trend lines, the price action over the displayed period (June 2025 to January 2026) reveals several key bullish characteristics:
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price consistently forms higher peaks and higher troughs, which is the classic definition of an uptrend.
Rounding Bottom Pattern: The chart displays a large "rounding bottom" or "cup" formation, an accumulation pattern that typically precedes a strong upward movement. The stock recently broke above the neckline of this pattern around the ₹654–₹660 level, confirming the bullish signal.
Price Above Key Moving Averages: The stock price is trading well above its significant moving averages (like the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages), further reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Volume Confirmation: The recent rise in price has been accompanied by strong trading volume, which confirms high buying interest and adds strength to the upward move.
Expected Targets and Resistance
Based on technical analysis from various sources, several potential price targets can be expected if the bullish momentum continues:
Immediate/Near-Term Resistance: The stock just reached a fresh 52-week high of ₹733.00, which acts as an immediate resistance level.
Targets: ₹920.
Silver continue to reach another record highSilver broke its last record high to briefly reach 120 USD/ounce and retested at the last record high around 116 -118 with expanding EMAs and.. Price is trading near the top of an ascending channel, above short‑term moving averages and around the 161.8% Fibonacci extension area, which is a classic zone for either a breakout acceleration or a swing‑high correction.
If XAGUSD is holding above 112–114 and breaking 118–120 signals continuation toward 125–130 within the rising channel.
Conversely, rejection around 118–120 plus a break below 114 then 110–112 would favor a deeper drop toward 106–108, potentially 100–102 at the channel’s lower boundary.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
Gold Jan 29 Intraday Trade 📊 XAUUSD INTRADAY TRADING PLAN
Strategy: SMC + EMA + RSI + MACD + Ichimoku
Higher Timeframe Bias: 1H
Execution Timeframe: 5m–15m
Main Bias: BUY following the bullish trend
🧭 1. Market Structure & Trend (1H)
SMC: Clear Higher High – Higher Low structure → bullish continuation.
EMA: Price above EMA50 & EMA200, EMA50 trending upward.
Ichimoku: Price above the Kumo, Tenkan above Kijun.
RSI: Holding above 50, no overbought condition yet.
MACD: Positive histogram, MACD above Signal line.
➡️ Conclusion: Bullish bias remains valid. Priority is BUY setups.
🎯 2. TRADE SETUPS WITH TP & SL
🟢 SETUP 1 – BUY PULLBACK (Primary Setup)
Entry Zone: 5538 – 5542 (1H Demand + FVG)
Confirmation on 5m:
Price holds above EMA200.
RSI pulls back to 40–50 and bounces.
MACD bullish crossover or bullish divergence.
Strong bullish confirmation candle.
Entry: 5540
Stop Loss: 5532
Take Profit 1: 5550
Take Profit 2: 5560
Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5
🟢 SETUP 2 – BUY BREAKOUT
Trigger Zone: Break & Retest above 5550
Conditions:
H1 candle closes above 5550.
Successful retest holding above the level.
RSI above 55.
MACD expanding bullish momentum.
Price above Kumo on lower timeframe.
Entry: 5552
Stop Loss: 5544
Take Profit 1: 5562
Take Profit 2: 5570
Risk–Reward: ~1:2
🔴 SETUP 3 – SHORT-TERM SELL (Counter-Trend)
⚠️ Only valid with strong confirmation at supply.
Entry Zone: 5565 – 5570 (Supply + Liquidity Sweep)
Conditions:
RSI above 70 with bearish divergence.
MACD bearish crossover.
Price enters Kumo on 5m.
Strong bearish rejection candle.
Entry: 5568
Stop Loss: 5576
Take Profit 1: 5555
Take Profit 2: 5545
Risk–Reward: ~1:2
⏰ 3. Best Trading Sessions
London & New York sessions preferred.
Avoid trading in the middle of the range without SMC confirmation.
🧠 4. Risk & Trade Management
Risk per trade: 1–2% max.
Secure partial profits at TP1 and move SL to breakeven.
Avoid holding counter-trend trades during high-impact news.
📌 5. Quick Summary
Bias: Bullish on 1H.
Buy Pullback: 5540 | SL 5532 | TP 5550–5560.
Buy Breakout: 5552 | SL 5544 | TP 5562–5570.
Short-term Sell: 5568 | SL 5576 | TP 5555–5545.
AMZN Bullish SMA Pullback | Institutional Swing Setup🚀 AMZN: The AI Cloud King's Pullback Play! | Swing Trade Setup 💰
🎯 Instrument: Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN)
⏱️ Timeframe: Multi-Day Swing Trade (3-7 days)
📊 Strategy Type: Bullish Mean Reversion + Technical Confluence
🔥 Confidence Level: Institutional Grade 📋
📌 THE SETUP (Current Price: $241.44)
Amazon is consolidating near critical support zones after a 60% rally from 52-week lows ($161.38 → $258.60). With earnings on Feb 5, 2026 and keynote expansion into AI data centers, this presents a textbook swing trade opportunity. 🤖
🎯 BULLISH THESIS
✅ Technical Confluence:
Simple Moving Average (SMA 50/200) providing dynamic support
Price bouncing off $228-$232 support zone (psychological + institutional levels)
Rounding bottom pattern forming (classic bullish reversal indicator)
✅ Fundamental Tailwinds:
AWS Growth Acceleration: Amazon Web Services driving 30%+ YoY revenue growth, commanding 17% of total revenue
AI Data Center Demand: Strategic copper deal with Rio Tinto signals massive capex into AI infrastructure (70% of cash flow allocated)
Retail Dominance: E-commerce segment (74% of revenue) shows 12.24% quarterly growth
Margin Expansion: EBITDA at $141.68B with 19.15% margin—highest in 3 years ⚡
Analyst Consensus: 63 out of 67 analysts rate BUY | Average target: $295.21 (+23% upside)
💎 ENTRY STRATEGY (Smart Laddering)
Use multiple limit buy orders to scale in smoothly (25% position per layer):
🎯 Layer 1: $239.50 - Confirmation of support
🎯 Layer 2: $236.00 - Intermediate zone
🎯 Layer 3: $232.00 - Key psychological level
🎯 Layer 4: $228.00 - Ultimate accumulation zone
Pro Tip: Adjust ±$2-3 based on daily price action. Stay flexible! 📍
🎯 PROFIT TARGET
Primary Target: $260.00 🏆
Secondary Target: $270.00 (Psychological resistance + prior resistance band)
Tertiary Target: $280.00 (Monthly resistance + analyst consensus)
Rationale:
Breaks above 52-week high of $258.60
Aligns with institutional resistance clusters
Captures pre-earnings momentum
Provides 7-17% unrealized gains ✨
🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT (Critical!)
Stop Loss: $227.00
Placement Reasoning: Below the $228-$232 support zone, closing a daily candle here signals bearish invalidation. Protects against surprise earnings miss or macro headwinds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.2 (Excellent! 🎲)
Position Sizing: Never risk more than 1-2% of total portfolio on this single trade
📈 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Correlation Watch) 🔗
🔴 NASDAQ:MSFT (+0.89) – AI competitor strength | Watch $450 breakout
🔴 NASDAQ:NVDA (+0.85) – Chip demand barometer | AWS data center proxy
🔴 NASDAQ:META (+0.82) – Big Tech sentiment | CapEx cycle correlation
🔴 NASDAQ:QQQ (+0.91) – Tech sector ETF | Leading indicator (must hold support)
🔵 TVC:DXY (-0.67) – US Dollar | Stronger $ = headwind for exports
🔵 TVC:VIX (-0.73) – Market volatility | Avoid entry if VIX > 18
⚡ Entry Rule: Wait for NASDAQ:QQQ support confirmation + TVC:VIX below 18 before scaling in! 📊
🌍 MACROECONOMIC & FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS (Feb 2026 Preview)
🔴 HEADWINDS:
FTC Antitrust Scrutiny: Regulators targeting Amazon's marketplace practices (watch for policy shifts)
Layoff Execution Risk: 30,000 job cuts (16K announced Jan 2026) could disrupt operational efficiency short-term
UPS Relationship Breakup: UPS cutting Amazon logistics services = inventory delays possible
Fresh/Go Store Closures: Grocery pivot failing signals capex inefficiency narrative ⚠️
🟢 TAILWINDS:
Earnings on Feb 5: Market historically rewards AWS guidance beats (watch for capex/AI commentary!)
AI Investment Cycle: Amazon's copper deal proves long-term AI data center commitment—signals confidence 🚀
Cloud Market Growth: Gartner projects 20%+ IaaS growth through 2026
International Expansion: Germany, UK, Japan segments showing 8%+ growth
Prime Video Monetization: Ad-tier rollout driving revenue diversification ✨
⏰ Calendar Alerts:
Feb 5, 2026: AMZN Q4 Earnings (Critical!)
Feb 10-15: Analyst callout periods (watch for price gaps)
Mid-Feb: Potential macro Fed commentary on rates (impacts growth stocks)
💼 TRADE EXECUTION CHECKLIST
✅ Pre-Entry:
Wait for daily close above $241 (confirmation)
Check NASDAQ:QQQ support (must be intact)
Verify TVC:VIX < 18 (low volatility environment)
Place all four limit orders simultaneously
✅ During Trade:
Scale in gradually (don't FOMO all at once!)
Adjust stops to breakeven once 25% profit reached
Move stops up by $2 after each 5% gain
Monitor pre-earnings catalysts daily
✅ Exit Plan:
Trail stop at $255 once $260 zone approaches
Take 50% profits at $260 (lock in gains!)
Let remaining 50% ride to $270-$280
Close all positions by Feb 4 (earnings risk!)
⚡ THE FUNNY, PROFESSIONAL TRUTH 😄
Look, the market doesn't care about your feelings or your "fool-proof strategy." What it does care about:
Supply/Demand imbalances (Your limit orders create that!)
Risk-to-Reward ratios (3.2:1 = Institutional quality!)
Catalyst timing (Earnings Feb 5 = This is your window!)
Position sizing discipline (1-2% risk = Sleep-at-night money!)
This isn't about getting rich quick—it's about compounding consistent 5-8% swing trades into generational wealth. Amazon at $241 with $260 targeting is math. The rest is emotional control. 💪
Your engagement directly helps me dedicate more time to institutional-grade swing trade analysis. Much appreciated! 🙏
Happy Trading! May your exits be as smooth as your entries. 📊✨
GBPUSD ShortThe previous trading session we had a weak Dollar Currency and this juggernaut every pair against the dollar, only for now and short term; I can see a pullback happening as the dollar will be doing some recovery for the previous big move. The MACD also showing and signaling momentum to the downside at least for now. FPMARKETS:GBPUSD
$HYPE - Deep Dive or Fly?KUCOIN:HYPEUSDT | 4h
Something like this I'm watching on the 4h chart.
Likely more chop between $32–$37. Failure to break $37 could open a move back to $28–27. From here we’ll see if buyers are going to defend this level or if this starts to roll over back to $24-22s.
Key levels:
local resistance: $37-38
local support: $28-27






















