XAUUSD After PPI news...Here is the analysis of XAUUSD (gold against the US dollar) following the release of the latest US PPI data, based on current market data and charts :
Technical XAUUSD (1 Hour)
Last price: $3,646.13
Daily range:
Open: $3,642.83
High: $3,647.21
Low: $3,641.81
Stochastic: 45.73 → starting to rise, potential bullish signal
RSI: 52.71 → neutral, but leaning upwards
The chart shows light consolidation at the resistance area of $3,647, with potential breakout if momentum strengthens.
Fundamental: Impact of PPI
US PPI falls by 0.1%, surprising the market which expected an increase.
This decline reinforces expectations for interest rate cuts by The Fed, as producer inflation weakens.
The US dollar is likely to weaken, providing additional support for gold prices.
Geopolitical tensions and safe haven demand also support XAUUSD prices.
Potential Strategy
1. Bullish Breakout
Entry: Buy if the price breaks and closes above $3,647
Target: $3,670 – $3,700
Stop Loss: Below $3,640
2. Rejection Bearish
Entry: Sell if a reversal candle appears in the area of $3,647
Target: $3,625 – $3,600
Stop Loss: Above $3,650
Community ideas
Long trade
Trade Journal Entry
Pair & Session
Pair: USDJPY
Date: Tue 9th Sept 2025
Session: NY PM
Trade Setup
Direction: Buyside
Entry: 147.421
Profit Level (TP): 148.575 (+0.78%)
Stop Level (SL): 147.269 (−0.10%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 7.59
Context 🧠
The market was in corrective mode after a multi-session decline.
A strong demand zone is observed near 147.30 – 147.40, with liquidity sweep below the prior day’s low. The PDL (Previous Day Low) was breached and subsequently reclaimed, confirming a shift in intraday order flow. VWAP & EMA confluence: Price reclaimed VWAP + short EMA, supporting bullish continuation.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): Several bullish FVGs acted as re-entry opportunities, particularly around 147.34 – 147.50.
Volume spike on reclaim signalled aggressive buy program.
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 41.198 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NZDUSD – H4 Fakeout & HnS SetupWith DXY showing bullish potential, I’m shifting my focus to short opportunities against USD. Among the majors, NZDUSD stands out.
On the H4 timeframe, price action suggests a Fakeout Potential near recent highs. At the same time, structure is shaping into a possible Head and Shoulders pattern with a clear left shoulder (LS), head, and forming right shoulder (RS).
This confluence strengthens the bearish bias. A confirmed reversal on H4 would open downside targets back toward the lower range.
Daily and Weekly charts also show that upside momentum is limited, aligning well with the short idea.
Plan: Waiting for H4 confirmation before entering short.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a trade call. Analysis shared here is for educational purposes only. Please manage your own risk accordingly.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Breakout of the Local High
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin failed to immediately update the high: the $112,600–$112,000 support did not hold as expected and was broken downward.
After reaching the $111,000–$110,600 volume zone, we saw a strong buyer reaction, which eventually pushed the price to break the local high.
Currently, the price is approaching resistance, while a new support has formed just below at $113,700–$113,000 based on pushing volumes. We’ll be watching the reaction here to make decisions based on the context.
Buy Zones:
$113,700–$113,000 (pushing volumes)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume area)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Can the DJIA Maintain Its Momentum? A Strategic Long Setup📈 DJIA Money-Making Plan: Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚀 Swing/Day Trade Setup for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD
Join the "Thief OG" crew with this bullish plan to navigate the market with precision! Using a layered limit order strategy, this setup targets smart entries and calculated exits while keeping risk management first. Let’s dive into the plan! 💥
📊 Trade Plan Overview
Asset: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD 💰
Direction: Bullish 🐂
Current Price (Sep 10, 2025): 45,711 🟢 (+0.43% from previous close)
Strategy: Thief Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️♂️
Place multiple buy limit orders at key levels to "steal" entries during pullbacks.
Suggested Entry Levels: $45,400, $45,500, $45,600, $45,700 (or customize based on your analysis).
Note: You can add more layers or adjust levels to suit your risk appetite. Flexibility is key! 🔧
Stop Loss (SL): $45,100 (Thief OG’s starting point).
Important: Adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. This is a suggestion, not a rule! ⚠️
Target Price (TP): $46,600 (Escape before the "police barricade"!).
Note: Set your own TP based on your goals. Take profits at your discretion—don’t follow blindly! 💸
Risk Disclaimer: Dear Traders (Thief OG’s), this plan is a guide, not a guarantee. Always trade at your own risk and adjust SL/TP to your strategy. Protect your capital! 🛡️
🧠 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Insights
The "Thief" strategy uses layered limit orders to capitalize on pullbacks in a bullish trend, backed by solid market data. Here’s why this setup shines:
Thief Technical Strategy 🕵️♂️:
Layered Entries: Multiple buy limit orders ($45,400–$45,700) allow you to scale into the trade during dips, maximizing entry precision.
Risk Management: Suggested SL at $45,100 protects against unexpected reversals. Customize to your comfort level.
Profit Potential: Target $46,600 aligns with resistance levels and recent momentum. Exit strategically to lock in gains.
Fundamental & Macro Score: 7/10 (Solid Foundation) 🟢
Earnings Growth: Expected 7-10% for 2025, driven by strong corporate balance sheets.
Sector Strength: 10/11 S&P sectors up YTD, with tech and industrials leading.
Macro Environment:
Cooling inflation (CPI ~3.1% YoY).
Fed rate cuts expected, supporting growth.
Mild headwinds from tariffs and global trade risks.
Resilient labor market (unemployment 4.3%) and consumer spending fuel upside.
Trader Sentiment Outlook 😊:
Retail: 51% Bullish 🟢 | 34% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Optimism driven by dip-buying in tech and industrials.
Institutional: 45% Bullish 🟢 | 40% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Cautious positivity, focusing on corporate fundamentals amid policy uncertainties.
Overall Mood: Mildly positive, but stay alert for volatility from trade talks or inflation data.
Fear & Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) ⚖️
Balanced emotions: Not too scared, not too greedy.
Steady momentum, but watch for volatility spikes with upcoming data (e.g., inflation reports).
Market Outlook: Bullish 🚀
Bullish trend intact with no recession signals.
Expect modest single-digit % gains, led by earnings.
Stay cautious of pullbacks from policy news, but avoid shorting for now.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
S&P 500 CFD ( SP:SPX ): Tracks broader market trends, often moves in tandem with DJIA.
NASDAQ 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tech-heavy index, great for confirming bullish momentum.
FX:USDJPY : Currency pair sensitive to U.S. economic data and Fed policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): Safe-haven asset; monitor for risk-off moves if sentiment shifts.
📝 Final Notes
This DJIA setup combines the tactical "Thief" layered entry strategy with robust market data to guide your trades. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and adapt the plan to your style. Let’s make smart moves together! 💪
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#TradingView #DJIA #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis
$HIFI - Huge breakout incoming? $HIFI - Huge breakout incoming? 🚀
Major buy volume coming in on the daily! 📈
Key resistances to watch:
→$0.0970 & $0.1170
Key demand zone:
→$0.0750 - $0.0760 (see 2nd chart)
If the price consolidates above, that’s a strong green light! 🟢
⚠️ Caution: I’d stay patient, wait for a clean breakout above $0.1200 (D1 close) for true confirmation.
Pump potential:
150%+ (medium term)!🚀
But watch out for short-term volatility.
Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype?Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype? $300 Fair Value in Play?
Reddit (RDDT) shares surged 4.44% to close at $240.20 yesterday, with pre-market trading pushing it to $243.70 today amid optimism over its AI data licensing deals and a 78% YoY revenue jump in recent earnings. Year-to-date, the stock is up 46.97%, but analysts are split—some see it undervalued by 26% with a fair value of $302 based on free cash flow projections, while others flag overvaluation at current levels. With a lawsuit over alleged privacy issues making headlines and Q3 earnings looming on October 28, is RDDT the undervalued growth play in social media's AI era, or just riding short-term momentum? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and scenarios for September 10, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
Reddit's core strength lies in its massive user-generated content, positioning it as a key AI training data source with deals like OpenAI's integration boosting revenue. Recent Q2 results showed $499.6 million in sales, up 78% YoY, surpassing estimates, driven by ad growth and user expansion to over 100 million daily actives.
Analysts expect EPS of $2.23 TTM, with forward P/E at 84.03, reflecting high growth premiums. However, a high PE of 107.71 and enterprise value/EBITDA of 291.25 suggest stretched valuations, compounded by a lawsuit alleging privacy violations.
- **Positive:**
- Surging revenue and user growth underscore AI data monetization potential; profit margin at 12.97% with $2.06B cash on hand.
- Institutional interest rising, with market cap at $44.96B and levered free cash flow of $290.61M signaling operational strength.
- **Negative:**
- High debt/equity at 1.05% and ongoing lawsuit risks could erode investor confidence if macro slowdowns hit ad spending.
- Sticky inflation and Fed rate uncertainty may pressure growth stocks like RDDT if AI hype cools.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths: Dominant in user-generated content for AI datasets; strong revenue growth (78% YoY) and cash reserves ($2.06B); loyal community driving organic traffic.
Weaknesses: Elevated valuations (PE 107.71) amid profitability challenges; history of operational issues like site outages; dependency on ad revenue vulnerable to economic dips.
Opportunities: Expanding AI partnerships (e.g., data licensing deals); global user base growth in emerging markets; potential for new features like premium subscriptions amid digital ad boom.
Threats: Intensifying competition from TikTok and Meta; regulatory scrutiny on data privacy (e.g., ongoing lawsuit); market volatility if Fed delays rate cuts.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, RDDT is in a rising trend channel after breaking out from $223 support, with volume spiking on earnings momentum but now consolidating near all-time highs.
This follows a 52-week range from $55.84 to $253.14, with the stock up over 300% from April lows. Current price: ~$243 (pre-market), pivoting around $240.
Key indicators:
RSI: At 68.60, bullish but nearing overbought—watch for pullback if it hits 70.
MACD: At 12.35 with positive histogram, signaling sustained upside momentum.
Moving Averages: Price above 21-day EMA (~$230) and 50-day SMA (~$220)—golden cross intact for bull bias.
Support/Resistance: Support at $223 (recent low), resistance at $253 (all-time high).
Patterns/Momentum: Rising channel targets $260 on breakout; higher highs confirm trend. 🟢 Bullish signals: Strong buy per technical summaries. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overbought RSI could trigger correction.
Scenarios and Risk Management
Bullish Scenario: Break above $253 on positive lawsuit resolution or AI deal news targets $260–$302; buy on pullbacks to $230 support.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below $223 eyes $220 (50-day SMA); watch for death cross if macro data disappoints.
Neutral/Goldilocks: Range-bound $223–$253 if earnings guidance is mixed.
Risk Tips: Use stops at $220 (2% below support). Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid tech sector correlations—pair with stable assets like bonds.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, bullish bias if RDDT holds $240 and leverages AI tailwinds, affirming its undervalued potential with 25%+ upside to $302 fair value. But watch October earnings and privacy lawsuit for confirmation—this fits September's growth stock rotation amid Fed cut optimism.
What’s your take? Bullish on RDDT's AI edge or bearish on valuations? Share in the comments!
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout support at 23500Key Developments
US labor market revisions: BLS cut payrolls by -911k through March 2025, implying weaker labor conditions than thought. Markets took it in stride, with rate cut pricing steady at ~27bps for next week (-1.5bps on day).
Fed outlook: Treasury Secretary Bessent urged recalibration of policy, echoing Trump’s criticism of “choking off growth.” Governor Lisa Cook remains in her role after a court blocked Trump’s attempt to remove her, ensuring full FOMC participation next week.
Geopolitics:
Middle East: Israel’s strike on Hamas leaders in Qatar drew criticism from Trump, seen as not aiding conflict resolution.
Europe: Poland shot down drones from a Russian strike on Ukraine, escalating tensions with Moscow.
Market Takeaways
Payroll downgrades confirm a weaker labor backdrop but don’t materially change Fed cut expectations for September.
Political noise around the Fed could fuel uncertainty, but markets are treating it as background risk.
Geopolitical tensions remain elevated but had limited immediate market impact.
Conclusion for Nasdaq 100
The Nasdaq 100 is likely to remain steady to slightly supported:
Weaker labor revisions reduce concerns about overheating, reinforcing the Fed cut narrative.
Limited geopolitical spillover into tech equities so far.
Bond yields and Fed pricing, not payroll revisions, remain the key driver.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24200
Resistance Level 2: 24380
Resistance Level 3: 24600
Support Level 1: 23500
Support Level 2: 23320
Support Level 3: 23125
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
CROUSDT Trading IdeaThe price is currently moving within a falling wedge pattern and trapped between immediate resistance and support lines. Breakout from this range will determine the CRO's major direction. Although Elliot wave pointing towards potential downward move, I will prefer to trade the range.
Targets for both bullish and bearish breaks are shown on the chart.
Stay tuned for more updates and trade safe!
TSLA 1D Time frame Tesla (TSLA) Daily Snapshot
Current Price: $346.97
Change: +0.61% from the previous close
Intraday Range: Not specified
Trend: Bullish continuation
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $347.17 – $350.85 (short-term resistance zone)
R2: $360.56 – $362.90 (medium-term resistance zone)
Support:
S1: $324.94 – $330.14 (short-term support zone)
S2: $313.64 (trendline support)
S3: $302.62 (horizontal support)
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 57.10 — Neutral
MACD: 5.23 — Sell signal
Moving Averages:
5-day EMA: $339.84 — Buy
50-day SMA: $324.49 — Buy
200-day SMA: $330.33 — Buy
📌 Market Sentiment
Catalysts: Positive market sentiment, with TSLA outperforming key competitors in recent sessions.
Sector Performance: Tech sector showing strength, with TSLA leading gains among peers.
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $347.17 could lead to a push toward $360.56–$362.90.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $324.94–$330.14 may test support around $313.64.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
Impending bearish pushBear: looking at the adx indicator, we are very low on trend strength on the daily and 4h timeframe of AMEX:SPY . There is room for some more upside to possibly test ath around 652. I believe it will go up to test before it has a pullback again but that being said, adx is low, there are many touches of bearish divergence (lower rsi peaks : higher price points), and we have not seen much drastic big candles in a while. Its important to note that rate cuts are ALREADY priced in. We are forward looking ALREADY. I do not think it impossible that we see a pullback around rate decision or sooner. The current immediate 4h and 1h trend is steep (showing possible exhaustion incoming) especially with all the indicators showing momentum consolidating or slowing down - which could be a possible reversal signal. WATCH ath and the immediate reaction in the days coming.
Bull: Fib extension gives upward price points at 653.52 and even up at 659.09. I think its more possible to combine bearish with bullish thesis and say we will hit the 653.52 then drop- we might just bounce after the drop (which may not be very big). We are in a unique environment with policy and an administration that favors the biggest players in our market. It's silly to expect any SIGNIFICANT downside unless something fundamental *global or political happens. I see pullbacks but nothing like April.
simply put, we are going up there's no stopping that the market is A-symmetrical. However, there are points where I can predict high probability exhaustion and reversals in the coming days and week. aka pullback incoming. Watch all time highs and the adx once it starts to curve up.
EURUSD 4Hour Time frame📊 EUR/USD Snapshot
Current Price: ~1.1706
Recent Range: ~1.1685 – 1.1739
Intraday Change: Slightly negative (~-0.03%)
🔎 Key Levels (4H Focus)
Pivot Point: ~1.1702
Resistance:
R1: ~1.1712
R2: ~1.1729
R3: ~1.1739
Support:
S1: ~1.1685
S2: ~1.1675
S3: ~1.1658
📉 Technical Indicators
RSI: Neutral (~50) → no overbought/oversold condition.
MACD: Slightly positive → mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Price is holding above the 20-period SMA (~1.1710), which acts as short-term support.
📌 4-Hour Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If EUR/USD stays above 1.1700–1.1710, it may push toward 1.1780 and higher levels like 1.1825–1.1850.
Bearish Scenario: If it drops below 1.1700, short-term weakness could test 1.1685 → 1.1675.
Bias: Moderately bullish, but momentum depends on breaking above 1.1780.
✅ Conclusion: On the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD is holding a cautious bullish tone, supported by short-term moving averages. The key battleground is around 1.1700 support and 1.1780 resistance — whichever side breaks first will guide the next move.
Chronex | AUDJPY - LONG | Conviction: High🎯 90 % mechanical | Just your entry model
No trend-line art, no gut calls. Just a repeatable institutional process delivered every day at London Open
Context:
🧠 What Chronex does (bird’s-eye view)
- Scans all 28 major FX pairs every session.
- Ranks each currency’s relative strength / weakness from multi-TF data.
- Pairs strongest vs. weakest to create a tight outlook list.
- Adds built-in risk filters → posts one clean table: *Direction · Conviction · Entry zone · SL*.
📍 Today’s Playbook:
Risks
1. Do we have economic high impact news release?
2. Any higher-timeframe counter-trend zones?
3. Has better zone above/below?
Verdict:
💬 Drop questions, challenge the outlook, or share your own setups below!
#022: AUD/CHF SHORT Investment Opportunity
The AUD/CHF is consolidating in a tight range after recent attempts to rally. The pair remains stuck below the 0.5265-0.5270 zone, which has acted as a liquidity-seeking area in recent sessions. Hello, I'm Andrea Russo, an independent Forex trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time.
Key Observations
The low volumes seen during the latest rally suggest the move is more related to stop-loss hunting than actual accumulation.
A confirmed break below 0.5235 on high volume could trigger accelerated downside momentum.
Broader fundamentals still favor the CHF in times of uncertainty, while the AUD struggles in risk-off conditions.
This setup aims to capture a move back towards the 0.5200 area, aligning with the upper technical resistance and a potential bearish continuation.
BNBUSDT 1H coin holding the channelBinance Coin keeps moving inside its upward channel, once again confirming support at the lower boundary. EMAs are aligned below price, creating a local cushion, while the volume profile highlights accumulation around 860–870.
As long as price holds above 838, the structure stays bullish with the next upside target around 920–940.
Fundamentally BNB still carries the weight of the largest exchange behind it, which adds long-term confidence for buyers.
Right now BNB looks like a train on its rails
the direction is clear, only the speed of the ride remains in question.
The Golden Run Continues: XAUUSD Eyes $3800? The Golden Run Continues: XAUUSD Eyes $3800?
Prior Bullish Momentum & Consolidation : XAUUSD entered a period of consolidation following a robust bullish rally earlier in the year. This initial surge established a strong underlying demand.
Symmetrical Triangle Formation : This consolidation phase manifested as a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. This pattern typically represents a period of indecision, or accumulation/distribution, before a continuation of the prior trend.
Decisive Bullish Breakout: Gold has now executed a powerful and decisive upward breakout from the upper trendline of this symmetrical triangle. This action confirms the prevailing bullish sentiment and signals the likely resumption of the uptrend.
Key Support Level Established: The former upper trendline of the triangle, now residing around the $3500 mark, has effectively transformed into a critical immediate support level. A successful retest and hold of this level would further validate the breakout.
Strong Upward Trajectory: Post-breakout, the price action has been emphatically bullish, currently exhibiting a steep ascent within the marked green channel, indicating significant buying pressure.
Primary Price Target at Based on the measured move principle, often applied to symmetrical triangle breakouts (projecting the height of the pattern from the breakout point), our primary upside target for XAUUSD is 3800. This implies significant rally potential from current levels.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Breakout Above Resistance Could Fuel Strong Rally$MAGIC/USDT has been moving inside a clear structure where buyers and sellers are battling for control.
The major resistance line above has acted as a strong barrier multiple times, and a clean breakout here could open the door for a much stronger bullish move.
On the flip side, the ascending support line has been holding well, showing steady higher lows and signaling that buyers are still active. The mid support–resistance zone has also been a key pivot area, with price bouncing off it several times.
As long as price continues to respect this support and manages to push through the resistance trendline, the bias remains bullish.
If it fails to hold the support, though, the structure weakens and further downside becomes possible.
More updates coming soon, stay tuned.
DYOR, NFA