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XAUUSD 30m – Continuation Outlook | BULLISH TREND | BUYERS ONLYFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Gold remains bullish with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Price is consolidating near 3630–3640, creating a decision zone for the next move.
Market Overview
Buyers are still in control after the breakout, but price is facing strong resistance at 3646. A breakout continuation could fuel upside momentum, while rejection risks a pullback.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Target 1: 3660
Target 2: 3685
Target 3: 3720
Stop Loss: Below 3612
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Target 1: 3612
Target 2: 3592
Target 3: 3577
Stop Loss: Above 3646
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 3646 – 3660 zone
Support 🟢: 3612 – 3592 zone
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
USDCHF BUY Bias on W1 is quite weak on the bullish side as previous low is still intact, on D1 we have an OB which price is looking to respect and head up as much liquidity accumulating remain visible.
Entry is expected to be taken on H1 close above the horizontal level within the marked AOI. Fingers crossed
DXY Daily TF Consolidation Pending a Major BreakoutPrice has been ranging between a daily resistance and demand zone since the beginning of August. Another bounce in the demand zone this week will take price back to the resistance zone and if the resistance zone continues to hold then we short back to demand.
However, should resistance break, then the next target will be in daily supply. CPI should give us a better indication of should we get a break of this consolidation.
Personally I am leaning towards a bullish dollar for the short-term foreseeable future.
LINK/USDT 12h chart🔹 key levels
• Support (red lines):
• 21.73 USDT → First strong support (tested several times).
• 20.17 USDT → Another key support (potential descent, if the price drops below 21.7).
• 18.10 USDT → deeper support (larger pullback).
• resistance (green lines):
• 23.22 USDT → The price is currently testing this level.
• 24.14 USDT → strong resistance if you manage to break 23.2.
• 25.54 USDT → Higher resistance, last local peaks.
⸻
🔹 Trend
• We see an upward trend (orange trend), which was defended at around 21.7.
• The price is currently testing the top of the channel → If the candle closes above 23.2, possible movement towards 24.1 - 25.5.
⸻
🔹 oscillators
• Stoch RSI:
• strongly bought (blue and orange line high in zone 80).
• It may suggest short -term withdrawal if there is no breakdown.
• RSI classic:
• He bounced off the level ~ 40 and grows slightly.
• Still a lot of space to grow before entering the purchase zone (70+).
⸻
🔹 Scenarios
1. Bycza (Bullish):
• Breaking above 23.2 USDT and confirmation of this level as support → Target 24.1 and 25.5.
2. Bear (bearish):
• Rejection from 23.2 and Trendline fracture down → decrease to 21.7, and then even 20.1.
⸻
✅ Summary:
The link is now at an important moment - either it will break 23.2 and will go higher (24-25.5), or will reflect and return to around 21.7. The oscillators show that there may be a small correction short -term, but the medium -term trend still looks upwards.
Chopped into Indecision - Some Thoughts on jacesabr_real's queryIf you’ve even felt chopped up with your trading, particularly with a situation where no matter what you do you ‘feel like your stop is getting picked off’ then you would not be alone.
jacesabr_real reached out with such a challenge last week and so I’ve offered to share a few thoughts for what they're worth. Please feel free to take what resonates and ignore the rest.
here's the original idea post :
There are 3 areas a trader needs to understand and align with in order to be able to trade successfully:
Market - The market condition: Bull, Bear, Sideways, Quiet Volatile, etc
Method - Your process/strategy for engaging with the market (breakout, mean revert, etc)
Mindset
- The emotional state of the trader throughout the lifecycle of the trade
These 3 areas overlap and despite being last in the list, I suggest that Mindset is the most important as it underpins everything. The late (great) Dr Van Tharp (featured in the original Market Wizards book) used to say that Mindset accounted for 80% of performance but later amended that to 100%.
So I’ll address this from that focal point. The reason? It’s the mind from which the process/strategy is selected, the ‘impulse’ to trade emanates and then the lived experience resides.
If a trader is having challenges with being stopped out frequently - it can result in a trader feeling like…
‘They’re picking me off’
'I was ticked out'
'The idea hasn’t failed, I’m just going to get back in again'
And it's easy to get into a revenge cycle of ‘doing the right thing’ but suffering fractional loss accumulation that adds up to a decent sized (even catastrophic) loss.
Which can lead to a loss in confidence, energy and discipline.
It’s a slippery slope. Which can lead to behaviours such as moving stops, sizing up bigger to make back, taking stops off entirely - continuing to take more trades as one is feeling ‘invested’ in the idea by sheer virtue of time spent in the process. Continue like this - maybe we get lucky and get the odd win to flatten out. Over time however, the risk is Tilt.
As you will likely understand, this is a massive area, so, a few general points that I’ll invite you to consider:
Approach your trading in this order: Mindset → Market → Method
Your Mindset may start out strong but the Market will try to wear it down
Protect your Mindset at all costs
Build steps into the process to simplify decision making.
Be clear on your rules for entry, management and exit. If you're unclear - you'll ask questions of yourself in the moment of the trade when it's hard to think clearly.
Ensure there are rules around capital preservation.
Some Suggestions:
Don’t allow revenge trading to take over… create breaker switches. (i.e. walk away!, take breaks)
Allow a re-entry of the same idea as part of your Method… but cap the number of attempts at the same trade idea to preserve capital and sanity (to perhaps 2 or 3 attempts).
Don’t remove (or move) stops… ever. Always have a worst case stop for risk management
If you’re getting stopped out frequently but the trade idea ultimately goes in your favour then your stop may be too tight (more to do with Market & Method)
Use a larger worst-case stop… and reduce position size if necessary
Monitor changes in volatility for your market (the Market condition may have changed and require an adaptation to your stop sizing to accommodate
With regards to your specific questions the following thoughts came up for me.
Many of your what if scenarios suggest that you may still need to look at your method. Pick an exit mechanism and stick with it. Collect the data points that will help inform whether your strategy is positive expectancy or not. If you keep changing the variables its really tough to track what works and what doesn't.
Get to understand your strategy and the stats around it. What is ‘normal’ in the way of number of losses. I’d suggest that seeing 4-5 losses of the same trade type a number of times a week might be a lot.
Consider the language that you are using. I notice the phrase ‘suicide stop’. Consider what that does to psychology subliminally. Perhaps use something like ‘hard stop’ or ‘capital preservation stop’ to keep your emotional balance and professionalism in your craft.
I hope this is helpful.
HUSDT Reversal Signal – Wedge Pattern BreaksHUSDT has been forming a falling wedge pattern over the past three months. During this period, the price has tested both the wedge support and resistance multiple times, confirming the structure.
Now, a breakout has appeared on the daily chart, suggesting that bullish momentum may be building. Falling wedges are typically seen as reversal patterns, often leading to upside continuation once the breakout is confirmed.
Resistance 1:$0.045
Resistance 2:$0.066
Resistance 2:$0.095
cheers
Hexa
XRP breakoutXRP just confirmed a bullish breakout from a falling wedge and has reclaimed the 50 EMA, holding comfortably above the 200 EMA. If momentum continues, the first hurdle is $3.00, followed by $3.20 and $3.60—each level will need to be cleared decisively. A successful push past $3.60 could open the way toward $3.90–$4.00. As long as support holds at $2.90, the bullish outlook remains intact, though a break below $2.60 would invalidate the setup.
PUMP NOW THANK ME LATERBeen holding this gem since 0.0028, project has perfect tokenomics with team specialising on draining crypto degen-monkeys, investing profits from pump.fun platform into SPOT token buybacks, no sell-out has been started yet (and it won't be until new ATH).
So I expect at least x2 from current price range in the upcoming weeks with a rapid parabolic-like growth on the daily.
I used basic fibs to mark support/resistance levels, feel free to comment and suggest ideas/takes.
I cannot see a reason to search for any kind of any more advanced patterns because BYBIT:PUMPUSDT is just starting to grow and the trend is mostly towards new price-discovery.
pump.fun has already facilitated over 5.3M token launches since early 2024, generating nearly $800M in revenue and even pulling off a $1.3B ICO in minutes. Current market cap sits above $1.7B with daily volume regularly crossing $200M — massive liquidity for a memecoin-born project. With ~350B tokens circulating (vs. 1T max), the room for valuation expansion is still huge.
So back to 'crypto degen monkeys' - don't become one, chose your exit points cleverly and avoid high margin (I know it might be tempting).
WLDUSDT – Breakout Confirmed, Eyes on $1.78 and Higher📈🌐 WLDUSDT – Breakout Confirmed, Eyes on $1.78 and Higher 🚀🧠
WLD continues to deliver clean technical setups—and yesterday’s breakout gave us a perfect new entry at the base of this rising channel. This update builds on the same structure I’ve been tracking since early May, now reinforced by both fundamentals and price action.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
📌 New Support Zones:
$1.0633
$1.4185
📌 Next Targets:
🎯 Target 1 – $1.7827
🎯 Target 2 – $2.5275
and then if the markets help we can dream for:
🎯 Target 3 – $3.5074
🎯 Target 4 – $5.0708
🎯 Target 5 – $8.6900
🎯 Target 6 – Upper extension (long-term trajectory toward $16+)
The structure follows the classic market rhythm:
1️⃣ Falling Channel Breakdown
2️⃣ First Re-Entry with Support Reclaim
3️⃣ Perfect Flag Retest → New Rally Begins
🧠 Why WLD?
One of Leading Layer 2 inflows last week across all chains
Expanding ecosystem with real-world apps:
🎮 Humans vs AI
🏨 Hotels Cryptorefills
👤 Human Actions (identity layer tech)
And many many more.
Worldcoin’s biometric World ID system continues expanding in the US and Asia—bringing new users into the WLD economy
⚠️ Note: WLD is a high-volatility, speculative asset. Trade setups like this follow strong momentum patterns—but always manage risk and respect invalidation levels.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Is the gold price still rising, targeting 3700?Is the gold price still rising, targeting 3700?
As shown in Figure 2h,
1: The orange rising channel becomes the primary rising channel.
2: The white triangle becomes the breakout triangle of the previous uptrend.
Based on these two technical patterns, we draw the following conclusions:
Current trend support level: 3600
Current key support level: 3628
Current uptrend targets: 3660-3680-3700
3: Trading strategy:
As long as the gold price is above $3628, enter a low-cost long position with a stop-loss at $3625.
As long as the gold price is above $3600, the bullish trend remains the primary trend, and there is no possibility of a reversal.
BTC 1D – Retesting Fair Value Gap, Break Lower or Bounce?BTC is consolidating after breaking its trendline, with price now hovering above a daily fair value gap between $104K–106K. This zone aligns closely with the EMA 200, making it a critical area to watch.
If this FVG holds, bulls could see a push back toward $112K and potentially $123K resistance. A breakdown, however, exposes the next liquidity and FVG region near $92K, with major support further down at $76.5K.
The Stoch RSI sits mid-range, leaving room for volatility either way.
📊 Key focus: does BTC fill and hold the $104K–106K FVG, or break lower into the next imbalance?
IOUSDT Forming Falling WedgeIOUSDT is forming a classic falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal signal that often precedes a strong upward breakout. After an extended period of consolidation within narrowing trendlines, the pair is now showing signs of strength with improving momentum. Historically, falling wedge breakouts lead to significant gains, and with current market structure, an upside move of 90% to 100%+ looks achievable.
The trading volume has remained healthy, confirming sustained interest in this setup. Strong volume during consolidation generally indicates accumulation, which adds weight to the bullish outlook. Once a confirmed breakout occurs, the momentum could trigger rapid price expansion toward higher resistance zones, aligning with the projected gains.
Investor attention around IOUSDT continues to grow, with increased buying interest suggesting confidence in the long-term potential of this project. This aligns well with the technical structure, creating an ideal scenario for traders who focus on high-reward chart patterns.
If the wedge breakout unfolds as expected, IOUSDT could deliver a sharp rally in the coming sessions, providing one of the most attractive setups currently in the market.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Will gold experience a technical decline on September 9th?Will gold experience a technical decline on September 9th?
Detailed Analysis
I. News Analysis (Driving Factors)
Immediate Bullish Factors:
Weak non-farm payroll data: Only 22,000 jobs were added in August, far below expectations, and the previous figure was revised downward to negative, indicating a significant deterioration in the US labor market. This is the most direct driving force for rising gold prices.
Medium-Term Bullish Environment:
Strengthening Expectations of a Fed Rate Cut: The market is pricing in the possibility of a September rate cut, with a higher probability of three cuts before the end of the year. Lower interest rates will weaken the dollar's appeal and push up the price of non-interest-bearing gold.
Future Focus:
This week's US inflation data (CPI): This will provide the next key basis for the Fed's interest rate decision and may set a new direction for gold prices.
II. Technical Analysis
Daily Chart (Determining the Overall Direction):
Trend: A clear unilateral uptrend, with Bollinger Bands opening and the 5- and 10-day moving averages aligned in a bullish pattern, indicating strong momentum. Warning: Despite the bullish trend, it's not advisable to chase the market higher; wait for a pullback before going long.
Key position: It has successfully broken through the 3600 mark and is aiming for higher targets.
H4 Level (4-hour chart - short-term momentum):
Bullish conditions: Price remains above moving average support, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upwards.
Weakness Signals:
Signal 1: Bollinger Bands begin to narrow → indicating a slowdown in upward momentum and a possible period of high-level fluctuations.
Signal 2: A break below moving average support → a deeper pullback may be triggered.
Core Support: 3550 is the weekly strength and weakness dividing line; a break below could lead to a period of fluctuation; 3510 is the trend lifeline; a break below could signal a reversal of the current uptrend.
Intraday Trading Level (Finding Entry and Exit Points):
Upper Resistance: The 3660-3670 area is the short-term target resistance level for the day.
Lower Support (Critical):
First Support (Intraday Strength Line): The 3620-3610 area. This is the top-bottom reversal level following Monday's breakout, serving as the first line of defense to maintain intraday strength.
Second support (key bullish zone): 3595-3580. This is the short-term dividing line between strength and weakness.
Third support (trend core): 3560 (Friday's breakout point) and 3545-3550 (non-farm payroll report starting point). If the price holds above this zone, the bullish pattern remains intact.
Ultimate defense (bull-bear reversal point): A break below the 3510-3500 area would signal a potential fundamental trend shift.
III. Comprehensive Operational Strategy
Main Strategy: Buy on dips
Ideal Long Zone: Enter after stabilization at the 3620-3610 support zone.
Safe Long Zone: A pullback to and stabilization at the 3595-3580 area would be a safer opportunity to add to the long position.
Stop-loss Setting: The stop-loss should be placed below the corresponding support level (for example, if going long at 3620, the stop-loss could be set below 3610). Target: 3660-3670, or even higher.
Secondary Strategy: Sell on Rebound Highs
Opportunities: Only attempt a short position with a small position when the price first touches the strong resistance area of 3660-3670 and a clear resistance signal (such as a long upper shadow or a bearish candlestick pattern) appears.
Attributes: This is a counter-trend operation, which belongs to a short-term pullback. You must enter and exit quickly, and strictly set a stop loss (place the stop loss above 3670).
Summary and Trading Tips
Trend is King: The current market is dominated by bulls, and all operations should prioritize following this primary trend.
Key Levels: 3620-3610 is a key observation point for intraday strength and weakness, while 3560-3550 is the lifeline for whether this week's trend can continue.
Risk Control: Avoid blindly chasing higher prices after a series of sharp gains. Always wait for the price to pull back to support before taking action, and always set a stop-loss to mitigate the risk of a sudden pullback.
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis.
- As I mentioned in my previous idea, we are still moving in this micro correction wave X likely the pink color here.
- Now we have these movements for the white wave B, it will be a harder wave to analysis, So I have now two scenarios for it
1st: if it will break 110K, I will extend this white wave B to be as the Blue WXY waves.
2nd: if it will back to break 113.3K, I will monitor 1D TF, and I think we will watch an irregular flat pattern for this white wave B to be as the yellow WXY waves .
>> Reminder:
* For the bigger imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Orange wave A of the final White C for ABC from its beginning.
* For the smaller imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Blue wave B of the final Green C for the upper Orange wave A.
* For the tighter imagination of the BTC path, I think we are still moving into the correction wave A for the upper Blue wave B.
Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon!
Thanks, bros
EURO STILL SHOWING SIGNS OF TOPPING? Hey Traders new week new trading game. Back to the Euro still has the 123 top on the charts so you could either respect the formation or ignore it. For me as a techincal analyst I always repect the formation until it is violated.
The economic landscape has suddenly shifted in favor of rate cuts after that latest Unemployment Number but remember always expect the unexpected in this game. Does that mean the Dollar is about to sell off hard?
Maybe or maybe not😁
Seems to me like everytime that Euro gets close to the 3 point it backs off at 1.1788. Also the COT Funds Large Specs are still Long the market. If they become overcrowded on the long side who else will be left to buy?
They might have to start selling.
So therefore Scenarios for today are imo.
Bearish- still seems to me like the charts are showing a top unless market has daily close above 1.1833 I would say that because she already broke support at 1.1554 pullbacks are common before continuing with downtrend. So its a selling opportunity for now also just because the FED cuts int rates that does not mean the Euro will go up if the Economy is in trouble investors might flock to the US dollar as a safe haven!
Bullish- ahhh yes for all you Euro Bulls out there. If it breaks above 1.1833 that would be a strong signal that market wants to move higher. Also it would then cancel the 123 top that is there. Then buy on pullback of retest of 1.1833 but I would make sure that it's a true breakout with daily close above 1.1833. Also watch the COT to add to long side.
COT- They are long not overcrowded yet but they added like 50,000 long contracts since april so normally if they keep buying they could be at risk of a being squeezed out they call it short squeeze or in this case long squeeze. Watch for the new positioning this Friday after market closes.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
RISK DISCLOSURE
TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
SPY Swing Market Update - 09.09.25📅 Date & Time
Date: 9th September 2025
Time: 21:20 UTC
🏦 Market Context
U.S. markets remain near record highs with Fed rate cut bets fueling optimism.
Tech sector leadership continues, with Broadcom’s surge reflecting AI-driven demand.
Gold and Oil hold strong as safe-haven plays.
🎭 Behavioural Lens
Retail: Growing impatient inside chop, chasing false starts.
Institutions: Calmly absorbing supply at key base levels, waiting for confirmation.
📊 Current Structure
Support Base: 632 zone continues as the critical institutional anchor.
Resistance Ceiling: 652–655 consolidation cap.
State: Market in preparation phase (CZ equilibrium).
📊 Structural Meaning of a Break Above 652–655
This zone is the Ceiling where both buyers and sellers have been battling.
A clean break above it means:
Institutions have absorbed all selling pressure.
Retail short positions inside the range will be trapped and forced to cover.
Liquidity shifts → trend expansion.
🔮 Projection Scenarios
Primary Path (≈80%):
Break above 652–655 → expansion to 665–670, with extension toward 680–685.
Secondary Path (≈20%):
Break → retest of 652–655 as new floor → continuation upward.
Low Probability Path:
False Breakout → return inside Consolidation Zone, delays expansion but does not reverse the bigger trend unless 632 base collapses.
🔮 Projection After Break
Primary Path (≈80%):
Price accelerates higher, forming a new growth leg.
First expansion target: 665–670 zone (next liquidity pocket).
Beyond that, structure opens pathway to 680–685 zone.
Secondary Path (≈20%):
Short pullback → retest of 652–655 ceiling as new floor, then continuation upward.
Invalidation:
If breakout fails and price falls back into the 652–655 box, it signals a false breakout trap (FBX). That would delay expansion but not reverse the bigger trend unless the 632 base breaks.
📉 Pullback Watch
Shallow defense: 640–642
Medium defense: 635–638
Deep invalidation: 628–630
🏆 Final View
Bias: Bullish–Neutral.
Institutions remain in control. A clean break of 652–655 confirms the next expansion phase.
Until 632 collapses, the destiny remains upward.
🧠 Essence
“If 652–655 breaks, the ceiling becomes the new floor. Institutions ride the expansion, retail chases late.”
⚠️ Disclaimer
This research is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or investment recommendation.