BTC.D - Technical Analysis: Trendline Breakdown & Key LevelsWelcome to another Mubite technical update. Today we are focusing purely on the market structure of Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) on the 1H timeframe.
The index has just confirmed a significant structural shift that suggests a change in the immediate trend direction.
Here is the technical breakdown of the chart.
1. The Trendline Breakdown For several days, BTC.D has been respecting a steep ascending trendline (White Line), creating a series of higher lows.
The Signal: As shown on the chart, the price has now decisively broken below this trendline support. This invalidates the immediate uptrend structure on this timeframe.
2. The Immediate Support (Yellow Zone) The decline is currently approaching a critical demand cluster—the Yellow Zone located between 4,600 and 4,620.
Technical Importance: This zone previously acted as a consolidation base before the last leg up. We expect it to act as the first line of defense, potentially pausing the initial drop.
3. The Forecast: The "Break & Retest" Pattern Based on the breakdown, we are projecting a classic bearish continuation pattern, as illustrated by the white arrows:
Phase A (The Bounce): Upon hitting the Yellow Zone (4,600), we anticipate a bounce.
Phase B (The Retest): The index will likely attempt to rally back up to test the Broken Trendline. This trendline, which was previously support, should now flip to act as Resistance.
Phase C (Continuation): If the retest rejects at the trendline, it confirms the bearish structure, likely leading to a lower low below the yellow zone.
Summary
Trend: Bearish (Trendline Broken).
Key Support: 4,600 - 4,620.
Key Resistance: The underside of the ascending trendline.
Disclaimer: This analysis by Mubite is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk.
What is your technical bias on this chart? Do you see a bounce or a straight drop? Let us know below.
-TuffyCalls (Team Mubite)
Community ideas
Gold Outlook (GC / COMEX, 1D)Gold just broke above a multi-month resistance line and followed through hard into the 5,300 area. The move is steep, but it’s coming after a long grind up and repeated higher lows, not a single one-off spike.
What I’m watching
Price is extended and momentum is elevated on the daily. That usually leads to one of two things: a sideways base to cool off, or a pullback into the breakout area.
Key levels
5,300 is the current high and obvious overhead reference.
5,000 is the first big psychological level below.
4,700 to 4,650 is the breakout zone from the prior resistance line. If this is a real trend continuation, this area is where buyers should show up on a pullback.
4,400 is the last major swing area below that. Losing that would change the structure.
Scenarios
1) Continuation (most likely while trend holds)
A brief consolidation under/around 5,300, then another push higher. This is typical after a clean breakout when dips stay shallow.
2) Pullback and retest (healthy)
A retrace back toward 5,000 and potentially into 4,700–4,650. If price holds there and bounces, that’s still a long trend, just with better entries.
3) Failed breakout (low probability but important)
Acceptance back below the breakout zone (4,650 area) and continued weakness. That’s the first sign this was exhaustion rather than trend continuation.
Invalidation for the long bias
Long bias stays intact as long as price holds above the breakout zone (roughly 4,650–4,700). A clean break and acceptance below it is where I stop treating this as a trending market.
This lines up with the “institutional hedge” angle too. The chart looks like steady accumulation that turned into an upside expansion, not a retail chase.
GOLD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold is currently respecting an ascending trendline, showing overall bullish structure. Price has reacted strongly from the demand zone near 5045, creating a higher low and pushing back toward resistance.
Technical Overview
Depend on the price closes above 5105, buying momentum may accelerate toward the upper resistance zone around 5125–5150. This area is marked as the primary target for longs Failure to hold above the trendline and rejection from resistance may lead to a pullback toward:
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SOL - The Building Block!I call this area the Building Block, and it’s doing exactly what it’s supposed to do.
Right now, CRYPTOCAP:SOL is trading below the $129 structure, and as long as price stays under this level, the bias remains bearish. No guessing, no forcing it. Structure is structure.
That said, this level is important.
👉 A clean break and hold above $129 would change the picture completely and mark the start of a bullish phase, opening the door for higher prices.
Until that happens, patience is key. Let CRYPTOCAP:SOL prove itself before switching bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
PUMPUSDT: 65% Wick Rejection at Supply ZoneWe just witnessed a textbook rejection at $0.003096 with a shooting star candle sporting a 65% upper wick. After an 18% rally into extreme overbought conditions, the market delivered a violent rejection at our identified bearish order block. This is smart money distribution, not retail strength.
1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉
• Trading in PREMIUM zone per SMC framework – the sell zone, not the buy zone
• Unfilled bullish FVG at $0.002541 acting as magnet for price reversion
• Bullish OB demand zone sitting at $0.002354-$0.002492 below current price
• Strong low at $0.002240 becomes primary target if demand fails
2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️
Bearish Signals:
• RSI at 72.8 – extreme overbought territory
• Stochastic at 81.7 – confirming overbought conditions
• ADX reading of 19.3 shows weak trend strength despite +18% move
• Shooting star with 65% upper wick at resistance = distribution pattern
Bullish Signals:
• Recent 18% rally shows momentum capability
• Bullish OB demand zone intact below at $0.002354-$0.002492
The Conflict:
The rally percentage looks impressive, but ADX reveals there's no real conviction behind this move. Overbought indicators at resistance suggest this is a liquidity grab, not a breakout.
3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯
🔴 Scenario A: Mean Reversion Short
• Trigger: Continued rejection below $0.003096 bearish OB
• Entry: Current levels or retest of $0.002936-$0.003096 supply zone
• Target 1: $0.002541 (bullish FVG fill)
• Target 2: $0.002354-$0.002492 (bullish OB demand)
• Target 3: $0.002240 (strong low)
• Stop: 4H close above $0.003096
🟢 Scenario B: Rejection Invalidation
• Trigger: Strong 4H close above $0.003096 bearish OB
• Entry: Reclaim and hold above $0.003096
• Target: $0.003243 (24h high retest) and potentially higher
• Invalidation: Failure to hold above $0.003096 on retests
MY VERDICT
The setup favors the short side with 72% confidence. We're in the premium zone with overbought indicators and a weak ADX reading – this rally lacks the conviction for continuation. The line in the sand is clear: $0.003096. Below it, bears control the narrative. Above it, reassess immediately.
XAUUSD – Brian | M45 Technical Outlook — Buyers Still in Control Above 5,200
Gold continues to trade firmly above the 5,000 milestone, with price action confirming strong bullish acceptance at higher levels. On the M45 timeframe, the market remains in an expansion phase, supported by aggressive buying volume and well-defended value areas.
Current conditions suggest that buyers are still in control, with pullbacks being absorbed rather than sold into. This behavior typically characterises a strong trending environment rather than a distribution phase.
Macro Context (Brief Overview)
From a fundamental perspective, institutional positioning remains stable, with no signs of defensive de-risking despite gold trading at record highs. At the same time, the market remains sensitive to upcoming macro events, which may introduce short-term volatility but have not altered the broader bullish bias so far.
As long as uncertainty persists and risk appetite fluctuates, gold continues to benefit from its role as a strategic hedge.
Market Structure & Volume Context (M45)
The current structure on M45 remains constructive:
Price is holding above the rising trendline.
Buying volume remains elevated, indicating strong demand and reduced willingness to sell.
Pullbacks continue to develop in a corrective manner rather than impulsive declines.
In strong trends, high volume combined with shallow retracements often signals continuation rather than exhaustion.
Key Technical Zones to Watch
Based on the chart structure and volume profile, several zones stand out:
Upside Reaction Zone
5,385: A major resistance and extension area where price may pause, consolidate, or react before deciding the next directional leg.
Primary Value Support
POC + VAH: 5,243 – 5,347
This is the most critical zone for continuation. Acceptance and holding within this range would reinforce the bullish structure.
Secondary Support
VAL: 5,163 – 5,168
A deeper pullback into this zone would still be considered corrective as long as price stabilises and reclaims value.
Deeper Structural Support
POC: 5,086 – 5,091
This level represents broader value and would likely come into play only during heightened volatility.
Forward Expectations & Bias
Primary bias: Bullish continuation while price holds above value zones
Pullbacks are currently viewed as opportunities for re-accumulation rather than trend reversal.
Short-term volatility is expected, but structure remains the key reference point rather than individual candles.
Strong trends rarely move in straight lines. The ability of gold to hold value during pauses continues to support the case for further upside.
Refer to the accompanying chart for a detailed view of value areas, trend structure, and projected paths.
Follow the TradingView channel to get early structure updates and join the discussion on key market levels.
AUDNZD Setup: Symmetrical Triangle + Bullish FundamentalsToday, I want to share a long idea on AUDNZD ( OANDA:AUDNZD ) with you.
Let’s walk through the fundamental and technical picture step by step.
From a fundamental perspective, AUDNZD maintains a mild bullish bias.
Australia’s monetary policy remains slightly more restrictive compared to New Zealand’s.
Persistent inflation pressures keep the RBA cautious about rate cuts, while recent inflation data in New Zealand has largely been priced in and has not provided a fresh advantage for the NZD.
Additionally, Australia continues to benefit from relatively stronger growth support driven by the commodity sector, which adds to AUD resilience.
Overall, the fundamental balance currently favors AUD over NZD, making a long AUDNZD position reasonable — though, as always, not without risk.
AUDNZD is currently trading near key support lines.
From a classic technical analysis perspective, the pair is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, signaling compression and a potential expansion phase ahead.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, AUDNZD appears to have completed the main wave 4, suggesting the market may be preparing for the next impulsive move.
If price breaks above the upper line of the symmetrical triangle, I expect AUDNZD to push at least toward the 1.16370 NZD as an initial upside target.
First Target: 1.16370 NZD
Second Target: 1.1668 NZD
Stop Loss(SL): 1.1547 NZD
Points may shift as the market evolves
Do you think AUDNZD can resume its upward trend?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar Analysis (AUDNZD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Gold Pulls Back After Impulse – Trend Still IntactQuick Context
Recent geopolitical uncertainty continues to support safe-haven flows. Gold has already delivered a strong bullish impulse, and the current move looks like a healthy correction, not a reversal.
Technical Snapshot (H1–H4)
Strong bullish impulse already completed
Current price action = controlled retracement
No bearish CHoCH, no structural breakdown
Market is resetting momentum after expansion
This is typical impulse → retrace → continuation behavior.
Key Levels to Watch
Buy Zone: 5,180 – 5,160
Invalidation: H1 close below 5,120
Upside continuation targets:
5,300
5,360
Extension toward 5,440+
If – Then Logic
If price holds above 5,160 → expect continuation higher
If price sweeps into 5,180–5,160 and reacts → buy-the-dip opportunity
Only if H1 closes below 5,120 → bullish bias weakens
Bottom Line
Gold is not reversing — it is reloading.
Pullbacks are part of trend strength.
Wait for reaction, not confirmation at the highs.
Gold Decision Map – XAUUSD Structured Expansion & Decision Zones🟡 Gold Decision Map – XAUUSD
TradingView | Daily Decision Framework
🔹 Fundamental Context
Gold’s sharp rise was not news-driven, but the result of a structural release of accumulated pressure.
The move unfolded in a risk-off geopolitical environment, allowing price to expand without meaningful resistance.
This created a controlled expansion, not a random spike.
🔹 Current Market State
Structured Expansion – Managed Pullback
Primary structure: Bullish
Current behavior: Cooling phase after strong expansion
No confirmed reversal signals at the time of publishing
🔴 Upper Decision Zone
5275 – 5295
Primary rejection / acceptance area
Suitable for:
Short-term selling
Profit-taking
Position reduction
Continuation requires clear acceptance above 5295
🟡 Balance Zone – No Trade Area
5205 – 5245
Neutral price behavior
No directional edge inside this range
Trading inside the balance is methodologically rejected
🟢 Repricing Zones (Buy on Behavior)
5145 – 5185
Primary repricing area
Suitable for rebuilding long exposure
Requires:
Stabilization
Downside rejection
Absorption behavior
5075 – 5110
Deep repricing zone
Defensive buy only
A break below weakens the short-term bullish scenario
🚫 No-Trade Conditions
Any price action inside 5205 – 5245
Entries taken without price reaching a defined decision zone
🔺 Upper Expansion Levels (Reference – Not Daily Targets)
5310
5340
5385 – 5400
Used for structural assessment and scenario planning, not execution.
🧭 Execution Framework
Sell / reduce: 5275 – 5295
Buy (conditional): 5145 – 5185
No trade: 5205 – 5245
Acceptance above 5295 → expansion continuation
Break below 5145 → invalidate short-term buy
🧠 Core Rule
Decisions at zones, not in the middle.
Litecoin (LTC): Expecting Trend Switch | Entering Bullish PhaseLTC is again reacting from the same support zone we have seen multiple times in the past. Every time price comes into this area, we usually see a strong reaction to the upside. Right now we are sitting exactly at that zone again, so the focus is on whether buyers can step in and defend it.
As long as this support holds, upside potential remains very attractive. Breakdown below this area would invalidate the setup, otherwise this is a solid zone to watch for continuation higher.
Swallow Academy
BTCUSD- Final Shake-out to the 58K Zone Before a New ATHFinal Shake-out to the 58K Zone Before a New All-Time High?
- Market Overview
Bitcoin is trading around $88,800 and is facing corrective pressure after failing to break above a high-liquidity resistance area. The current wave structure suggests the market may be entering a complex correction phase, designed to shake out weak hands before the next major expansion leg.
- Technical Analysis & Key Levels
Resistance (High Liquidity Zone):
The $108,000 – $110,000 region is identified as a major liquidity zone, where sellers appear dominant and have capped upside momentum.
Near-Term Support (Key Support Zone):
Price is rotating toward the first key support at $76,000 – $78,000. Based on the scenario on the chart, BTC could see a brief rebound here (a potential bull trap) before continuation lower.
Long-Term Buy Zone (Core Focus):
The main zone in this analysis is $56,000 – $60,000, aligning with deeper Fibonacci extensions (1.618 – 2.618). This area is viewed as a potential “Spring” (final shake-out) to fully flush late longs before BTC reverses into a strong uptrend.
- Trading Scenarios (Trading Plan)
Short-Term:
Look for short setups or stay sidelined if price breaks smaller bullish micro-structures. The short-term target is the $76,000 region.
Mid-Term:
Be cautious of a fake rebound around 76K. Avoid FOMO dip-buying too early.
Long-Term:
Stay patient and wait for clear reversal signals inside the $56K – $60K long-term buy zone. This is considered the lowest-risk, highest-upside area for the next major wave.
Conclusion
The chart suggests BTC may need a deeper correction to rebuild momentum. Stay patient and watch how price reacts at the marked key levels.
Gold at ATH before FOMC shakeout first or straight breakout?🧭 Macro Snapshot
Donald Trump maintains a hardline stance, increasing military presence in the Middle East → geopolitical risk remains elevated.
Tonight’s key focus: Federal Reserve
Political pressure and questions around Fed independence.
DXY continues to weaken, retesting major historical support (2020–2022) → supportive for gold.
👉 Conclusion: Geopolitics + a weaker USD set the bullish bias, while the Fed determines short-term volatility.
📊 Intraday Range to Watch
Upper range: 5,280 – 5,305
Lower range: 5,190 – 5,160
→ High probability of range trading and liquidity absorption ahead of the Fed decision.
🟢 Support
5,220–5,225 | 5,150–5,165 | 5,080–5,085 | 5,050–5,060
🔴 Resistance
5,280–5,294 | 5,300 | 5,315 | 5,380–5,385
⚠️ Strategy Notes
Expect possible fake moves / stop hunts within the range.
Avoid chasing highs or catching tops without confirmation.
Focus on price reaction at key levels and stay disciplined.
Summary: Gold is fundamentally supported, but today the key is how price reacts within 5,160–5,305.
Be patient — wait for confirmation — trade the reaction.
Hyperliquid HYPE price analysis🚀 #HYPE against the market
While the entire crypto market is stuck in a shaky correction, OKX:HYPEUSDT keeps moving confidently upward — and this move doesn’t look random.
A few key factors behind the strength 👇
• Early sellers and disappointed holders already exited around $20
• Right after price stabilized near $22–22.5, #Hyperliquid ’s founder highlighted that:
– CRYPTOCAP:BTC order book depth is deeper than #Binance
– precious metals trading volume is over $1B daily for several days in a row
📊 More volume = more fees = stronger #HYPE buybacks
And here we are already near $28.
⚠️ On top of that, a large pool of short positions has been building up for the last 3 months — potential fuel for future liquidations , and market buying...
If price action follows its previous fractal, the first half of 2026 could be extremely interesting
❓Do you see #HYPE as a long-term ecosystem play, or just a short-term momentum trade?
______________
◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates!
🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves
🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
NZDJPY: Manipulation Risk – Triangle Break Will DecideNZDJPY: Manipulation Risk Remains High – Triangle Break Will Decide
We are in a very risky position with NZDJPY. The price is rallying. As I explained in my previous analysis, the JPY remains heavily manipulated by the Bank of Japan.
It started with Forex Intervention on Friday and the downward moves were very aggressive.
So far we are in a downward correction and not a bullish trend after the BOJ warned of more intervention.
If the price moves below the Triangle pattern, it could fall further with the bearish scenario as shown in the chart.
If the price moves above the Triangle pattern, we will only be in a larger correction but with a possible bearish base. There is a high risk.
A comment from the BOJ and it could easily push everything down. There is a very high risk in a trade.
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
#XMR Triangle Is Almost Complete — The Final Flush Could Be Brut
Yello Paradiser! Are you watching closely, or are you going to be late again to one of the cleanest wave-based setups on #XMR? We may be approaching the final stages of a larger corrective cycle, but the trap is being set — and only those with patience and discipline will be ready when the real move begins.
💎#Monero has been unfolding in a textbook five-wave decline from its major high near $800, and right now, we are deep in wave 4 of an extended wave 5 — a critical stage where most traders either overcommit too early or get completely shaken out before the actual reversal. The current structure is forming a contracting triangle, which is a classic characteristic of wave 4. These patterns are notorious for building tension and compressing volatility before a sharp final move in the direction of the prevailing trend.
💎The price action is also perfectly respecting a well-defined descending channel, reinforcing the idea that the broader bearish structure remains intact. This channel, along with the triangular consolidation, suggests that there’s one final flush to come — the terminal wave 5 of the extended fifth — which could complete the entire corrective cycle from the macro top.
💎Our projected completion zone for this entire move lies in the $400–$420 region. This area isn’t just a psychological round number zone; it also represents the convergence of structural channel support and historically reactive levels from earlier phases of the trend. This makes it a high-probability demand zone, where we expect long-term buyers to step in, especially if broader market sentiment hits capitulation.
💎It’s important to highlight that the invalidation level for the current count is sitting around the $600 mark. A sustained move above that level would negate the triangle and invalidate the current interpretation of this being a final wave 4–5 sequence. Until then, however, the structure remains technically valid and offers a clear road map.
💎As with all wave 4 triangles, we must remain extremely cautious. These patterns are designed to frustrate both sides of the market, producing multiple fake breakouts and whipsaws. Acting prematurely — especially in a late-stage wave structure — can be extremely dangerous, and most traders lose capital here not because they’re wrong, but because they’re impatient.
💎If the final wave 5 unfolds as expected, we’ll likely see sharp liquidation and emotional selling that clears out weak hands. That would align with the psychology of a terminal move — marked by panic, exhaustion, and climax volume. It’s at that moment, when everyone gives up, that we’ll begin hunting for the reversal confirmation.
💎A big liquidation event, which will first take both longs and shorts and fully get rid of all inexperienced traders before the real move happens, is very close to happening again, so make sure you are playing it safe, Paradisers. It will be a huge money-maker for some and a total disaster again for the majority.
Stay focused Paradisers , follow the structure, and avoid emotional decisions. As always — timing and disciplined execution will separate those who succeed from those who just watch the market move without them.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
NOT Main Trend. Descending Channel -98% 01/27/2026Logarithm. Time frame: 1 week.
The price is in the main trend and remains in a downward channel with a given volatility range.
It's important to understand that the creators of this cryptocurrency always sell at any price (they're created for profit, fueled by hype). However, at low prices (-94-99%), a dilemma arises:
1️⃣ invent a reason for a scam and abandon the project;
2️⃣ or reverse the trend and temporarily restore faith in this scam cryptocurrency. In order to continue sales.
You can use this and profit from it. But, in the long term, you should be cautious with such assets. This applies to absolutely all cryptocurrencies created for hype and without any real future use. When trading such a dying former super-hype, manage your risks. This is the basic principle. If you can't do this, avoid it.
NOT Local trend. Sideways. -98%. Reversal zones 27 01 26
Lingrid | GOLD Continued Bullish Momentum in MarketOANDA:XAUUSD perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price remains firmly bid after defending the rising trendline and printing another sequence of higher lows within the ascending channel. The recent push above the 5,200 area confirms sustained demand, while momentum continues to build rather than fade. Price action suggests strength, not exhaustion, as buyers keep stepping in on shallow pullbacks.
If the market holds above the rising support band, TVC:GOLD could grind higher toward the 5,500 psychological level, where the upper channel resistance comes into play. Any short-term dip toward trend support may attract fresh demand rather than trigger distribution.
➡️ Primary scenario: continuation above 5,135 → advance toward 5,500.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive breakdown below the rising trendline could delay upside and expose a deeper consolidation.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Elise | XAUUSD – 30M | Bullish ContinuationOANDA:XAUUSD
After the impulsive upside move, XAUUSD entered a healthy consolidation phase. The pullback into demand was met with support, suggesting this move is corrective rather than distributive. As long as price holds above the demand zone, the bullish continuation scenario remains valid.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Hold above 4,995
🎯 Target 1: 5,135
🎯 Target 2: 5,220
❌ Bearish Invalidation 📉 → Sustained breakdown below 4,995 would weaken bullish structure.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 5,135 – 5,160
Support 🟢: 4,995 – 5,015
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 5080 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
XAGUSD Rising Channel Breakdown , Sellers Take Control >>>??OANDA:XAGUSD
Bias: Bearish (Sell the Rally)
Trader Reasoning
Price hit a proven HTF supply zone
The upper black zone (near 117.7–118.8) is a major historical high where price previously collapsed hard.
Markets remember violent rejection zones — institutions unload positions there, not buy.
Rising channel = distribution, not strength
The recent move up formed a tight rising wedge / channel, which historically signals weak bullish momentum.
Strong trends expand impulsively; weak trends grind upward — exactly what we see here.
Structure break confirms sellers
Price failed to hold above prior range highs (~113) after the grind up.
This confirms bulls are trapped and sellers have control.
RSI divergence = momentum exhaustion
RSI made lower highs while price made higher highs.
Historically, this leads to sharp downside reversion, not sideways movement.
Downside liquidity is obvious
Equal lows and unfilled orders sit around 108.5.
Smart money targets clean liquidity pools, not random prices.
Why These Areas Are Key
🔴 Entry Zone – 115.95
Retest of broken structure + channel top
Ideal spot where late buyers enter — perfect for shorts
🔴 Stop Loss – 118.80
Above HTF supply + prior high
If price reaches here, the bearish idea is invalidated
🟢 Target – 108.50
Major demand + liquidity pool
Area where price previously launched impulsively
Trade Plan
Bias: Bearish
Entry: 115.95
Stop Loss: 118.80
Target: 108.50






















