Bitcoin’s Next Move Starts Here Key Levels MappedBTC is currently in a technically critical phase. Price is trading below a major dynamic trendline resistance after a confirmed bearish break, keeping the broader structure corrective rather than impulsive. Momentum remains capped unless bulls reclaim key dynamic levels.
The plan from here is straightforward and scenario-based:
A. If price retraces into the Immediate Dynamic Trendline (IDT) and gets rejected again, that rejection becomes a high-probability short trigger. In that case, downside continuation toward the Demand Pool Zone (DPZ) is expected to complete leg 5 of the corrective wave. This zone is where I would anticipate strong accumulation and a relief rally, targeting a move back into the Supply Pool Zone (SPZ).
B. Alternatively, if BTC breaks and holds above the IDT, momentum should accelerate to the upside, with the Supply Pool Zone remaining the primary upside target, exactly as mapped on the chart.
What happens at the Supply Pool is decisive. If bulls fail to hold price and we see a strong rejection, that would confirm distribution and could trigger a complete bearish expansion, opening the door to much deeper targets, potentially toward the $50k region.
Market is at a decision point.
Are you bullish or bearish from here?
Let’s discuss your view
Community ideas
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin?
Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase after a strong bearish move and is currently ranging between a clearly defined support and resistance zone. As long as price remains inside this range, no major directional move is expected.
At the moment, price is expected to move toward the upper boundary of the range. Once this area is reached, price behavior should be closely monitored for confirmation.
Bullish case:
If price breaks and holds above the range high, the next upside targets marked on the chart will come into play.
Bearish case:
If price gets rejected from the range high and the lower boundary of the range is broken, bearish continuation is likely, with the next downside target around 73,000.
⚠️ Until a clear breakout occurs, the market remains in a consolidation phase
Please Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Ethereum (ETHUSDT): Short-Term Recovery Attempt Hi guys!
ETH is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, keeping the broader short-term structure bearish. The previous upside breakout attempt near the upper boundary resulted in a clear fakeout, confirming strong supply pressure at higher levels. Following that rejection, price experienced a sharp sell-off and formed a notable double bottom structure around the 2,800–2,850 zone, indicating demand absorption and short-term stabilization.
Currently, price is consolidating below a key supply zone around 3,000–3,020, which acts as a pivotal decision area. This zone aligns with prior intraday resistance and must be reclaimed to confirm further upside. A sustained breakout and acceptance above this area would open the path toward the upper channel resistance near 3,125–3,130, which is the next major technical target.
On the downside, failure to hold above the current support zone would invalidate the recovery structure and could lead to another retest of the recent lows.
Gold (XAUUSD) | 1H SMC Liquidity Outlook
Price rejected from 4350–4360 resistance and is testing 4310 support.
A break below support may target 4265; otherwise, price may consolidate.
Price is consolidating below a key resistance zone around 4350–4360, showing rejection after a recent push higher. Market remains within an ascending channel, with structure still technically bullish but weakening.
Resistance: 4350–4360
Immediate Support: ~4310–4320
Trend Support / Lower Target: ~4265
A clean break below support could open continuation toward the lower trendline, while a hold above support keeps price ranging below resistance.
BITCOIN - Manipulation and liquidity hunting before the crash BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is stuck in the range of 85K - 90K. There is no liquidity in the market, but at the same time, the downward trend continues...
Earlier, we discussed such a nuance as the breakdown of support for the upward local trend. The global trend is bearish, and this nuance generally indicates a weak market. In addition to this, there is no liquidity in the market: there has been no inflow of funds into the cryptocurrency market in the last few weeks, hence the current manipulations that have been taking place over the last few days. (A low-liquidity instrument is easy to control...)
Technically, Bitcoin is within the trading range of 85,000-89,400, which is formed after the breakout of the support of the upward channel, i.e., in the short zone. A retest of 89-90K could lead to a short squeeze and a fall.
Resistance levels: 89,400, 89,900, 90,600
Support levels: 85,000, 83,800
A short squeeze and liquidity capture relative to the specified resistance zone could trigger a further decline, provided that bears keep the market near the previously broken boundary of the upward line...
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Hey guys guess what !!! $BTC is strong !!!If we pump this we break out of a long down trend. If you look to the left we have a similar structure that broke out the same way.
Do you think we can see history repeat it self ?
Comment like and share for more charts.
(If you need me to draw something up for you comment bellow)
EURUSD: Rejection From Key Resistance - Support 1.1660 in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD is trading within a broader corrective structure, and the current price action suggests increasing bearish pressure near key resistance. Earlier, the pair formed a triangle structure, where price respected both the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. Multiple breakouts occurred during this phase, but they failed to generate sustained bullish continuation, indicating weakening buyer momentum. After breaking out of the triangle, EURUSD moved higher and entered a consolidation range, where price paused and built liquidity. This range was later resolved to the upside, pushing price into the Resistance Zone around 1.1750. However, this move was followed by a fake breakout, signaling that buyers failed to maintain control above resistance. At the highs, a clear Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder developing directly under the descending trend line and within the resistance zone. This structure highlights strong seller presence and confirms rejection from higher levels. Price is now rolling over from resistance and starting to move lower.
Currently, EURUSD is pulling back toward the Support Zone around 1.1660, which aligns with previous breakout levels and horizontal demand. This area is acting as the nearest downside target, and price reaction here will be critical.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bearish as long as EURUSD remains capped below the 1.1750 Resistance Zone and the descending trend line. I expect continuation to the downside toward the 1.1660 Support Zone, which represents the next key level for buyers to attempt a defense. A clean breakdown below the support zone would confirm further bearish continuation and open the path for deeper downside movement.
However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, a short-term bounce or consolidation may occur. For now, the structure favors sellers, with 1.1750 as key resistance and 1.1660 as the main downside target.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Weekly review of Overall Market
Commodities:
Gold has been running a good uptrend for a while, now looking it is going to break out again after this consolidation.
US Stocks:
SNDK and XMTR looking really nice as it consolidates, top and bottom of orange bar are the entry and stop loss respsectively.
Have a nice Christmas!
How to Stop Guessing and Start Trading with IntentThe Psychology Behind Trading Decisions
Estimates suggest that only about 5% of human brain activity is conscious . The remaining 95% operates at a subconscious level — outside our direct control and awareness. If this is true, then in trading, most decisions are also made unconsciously.
As Somerset Maugham once said:
“ Money is a sixth sense — without it, you cannot fully use the other five. ”
Money goes far beyond being a simple medium of exchange. It becomes an emotional and psychological factor that directly affects our sense of security, freedom, and control .
Investing and trading are among the few fields where participants work directly with money for the purpose of increasing it . And this is exactly where the trap lies — one that almost all beginners, and even experienced traders, fall into.
Why Trading Is Psychologically Different from Business
When the object of activity is not a product, not a service, and not a process, but money itself , the psyche begins to respond differently.
Consider a motherboard manufacturer. Their activity generates income only after the product is sold. There is always distance between the action and the money :
development
production
logistics
marketing
distribution
time
Profit in such a business is the result of a well-built system , not the outcome of each individual action.
In trading and investing, this distance disappears.
Money is no longer the result — it becomes the direct object of work.
Every decision is instantly reflected in the account balance
Every mistake becomes an immediate loss
Every winning trade delivers instant emotional reward
At this point, money ceases to be a neutral tool and turns into a psychological trigger .
How the Market Hijacks Decision-Making
Fear of loss intensifies.
Greed increases.
Decision-making accelerates.
Choices are no longer driven by logic, but by automatic reactions :
fear of loss
greed
the need to be right
the urge to quickly recover losses
The market constantly provokes these reactions. Without structure, a trader begins to act impulsively — even while believing that everything has been “ carefully thought through .”
The Illusion of Rationality
A sense of rational process emerges:
the chart is analyzed
arguments for entry are found
exit levels are reconsidered
Yet without pre-defined rules , these actions are not logic. They are attempts to justify a decision made under the influence of the moment.
Trading turns into a sequence of chaotic market decisions:
mental pressure builds
motivation fades
fatigue sets in
internal tension accumulates
Each new trade begins to feel like a way to “ fix ” the previous one.
In such an environment, the trader stops managing risk and starts being managed by emotions .
An illusion of control appears:
just a bit more analysis, one more argument — and the market has to respond correctly.
If this sounds familiar, you know the feeling.
Why Most Losses Actually Happen
Most losses occur not because of poor analysis, but because the plan was not fixed before entry .
When trade management is no longer handled by a strategy, it is taken over by the psyche.
And the psyche cannot work with probabilities — it can only:
avoid pain
seek pleasure
Where Logical Trading Begins
Logical trading begins where the subconscious has nothing left to decide .
All key questions are answered in advance:
What is a valid trigger and confirmation for entry?
When and how will I exit?
How do I interpret mistakes?
Under what conditions do I not trade?
How is risk managed?
At the moment of execution, the trader does not think — he executes .
And the fewer decisions that must be made while in a position, the lower the chance that those decisions will be driven by fear or hope .
The Role of a Trading Strategy
So how can this be achieved?
The answer is a trading strategy.
A trading strategy is not :
a set of indicators
a “favorite setup”
A trading strategy is a formalized logic of actions that exists before entering the market.
It answers all key questions in advance and leaves no room for improvisation at the moment when pressure is highest.
Crucially, the strategy must be documented — not only in your head, but on paper or in digital form — so the market has no chance to confuse you.
What a Solid Trading Strategy Defines
A complete strategy clearly specifies:
which method of analysis is used
under what market conditions trading makes sense
how a trade idea is formed
what time of day trading is conducted
which analytical tools are used and how they are interpreted
where the trade idea is proven wrong
specifics of trading different assets
how risk and position size are calculated
how the trade is managed after entry
how mistakes are reviewed and analyzed
A strategy is not something you “feel”
If it can be changed during the trade — it is not a strategy
Strategy vs. Losses
It is important to understand:
A strategy does not eliminate losses. It eliminates chaos.
A loss within a strategy is a planned expense , not a mistake.
A mistake is a rule violation driven by emotion .
When a strategy is clearly defined and tested, the trader’s role is reduced to execution .
At this point:
you stop “feeling the market”
you start working with probabilities
A single trade no longer matters.
What matters is the series , the statistics , the long run .
That is why professionals think not in terms of profit or loss, but in terms of process .
Final Thought
A trading strategy takes over the 95% of decisions that were previously made subconsciously.
The trader is left with only one task:
Follow the system..
Enjoy!
You Don’t Lose by Being Wrong — You Lose by OveranalyzingYour problem isn’t that you don’t understand the market.
In fact, most losing traders understand the market fairly well. They know what a trend is, where key levels sit, and which side the structure is leaning toward. But when it’s time to make a decision, they sabotage that edge with something very familiar: just a little more analysis.
At first, everything is clear. The chart tells a simple story.
Then doubt creeps in. You zoom into another timeframe. Add another zone. Add another tool. Not because the market demands it, but because you’re not ready to accept the risk of a decision. And with every extra layer of analysis, you don’t gain more certainty — you create another narrative.
This is the key point many traders miss:
the market hasn’t changed — the story in your head has.
When you overanalyze, you’re no longer reading the market; you’re negotiating with yourself. One timeframe says buy, another says wait. One level looks valid, another suddenly looks dangerous. In the end, you’re no longer searching for a good opportunity — you’re searching for reasons to delay or reverse a decision. And by the time you enter, you’re either late or lacking conviction.
Overanalysis also destroys your sense of informational weight.
On a chart, not all data carries equal value. A price level in the right context is worth more than ten minor signals. But when everything is marked, everything looks “important,” and you lose sight of what’s actually worth risking money on. The market needs prioritization, not enumeration.
Here’s an uncomfortable truth:
Many traders overanalyze not because they’re curious, but because they’re afraid to commit. They fear being wrong, so they look for more confirmation. But the market doesn’t reward the trader with the most confirmations. It rewards the trader who accepts risk at the right location. Every time you delay a decision through analysis, you move yourself further away from that location.
I only started trading better when I realized this:
analysis is not meant to make decisions certain — it’s meant to make them reasonable.
Beyond that point, what matters is discipline and acceptance of outcomes. The market doesn’t require you to be right 100% of the time. It only requires that you don’t break your own structure.
If you often find yourself “right on direction but wrong on results,” try cutting back on analysis. Not to oversimplify the market, but to clarify what truly matters. When the picture is already clear, adding detail doesn’t make it better — it just makes you hesitate.
And in trading, hesitation is often more expensive than being wrong.
BTC Gold - BKC Charting ExampleBare Knuckle Charting BKC is something I developed (And still developing) over the years.
I will use this chart to give you a crash course in BKC.
Here is the original post I made back in March to follow along. )
So, BKC, let's start with:
1. Always start with a plain chart.
2. 99.9% of the time, look for 3 waves plus a hook.
3. Count 4 points (2 top and 2 bottom) connecting with a line. Price can NEVER violate price. EVER! so it must be the highest or lowest points in that particular wave.
4. A structure will reveal itself pointing in a direction up, down sideways.
-Sideways means continuation of the previous trend.
-Up/Down structure means a reversal structure is coming.
5. Now you can clearly identify key areas of the structure. What I call "CRACK!" A break in momentum.
6. A CRACK can collapse or give you early warning signs.
7. Once a crack has revealed itself at key areas, don't be fooled by the subsequent price action. This is where most get F up. They don't see what you see. A CRACK & weak buying barely trying to hold the trendline that will ultimately CRACK again and more likely than not collapse with them holding a bag of schitt! Mesmerized with the overall trend and more specifically mesmerized by the most recent trend after the CRACK (they don't see) that moved in their favor.
These people can't see past their noses. Completely unaware of what is actually happening. The best part is when they show you a chart, they just draw lines randomly violating price (CRACKS) and concluding that the chart is bullish or bearish, and telling you how it is. HAHAHAHA! SMH!
8. Because you can all see past your noses using BKC. This will help you in so many ways that you can't even imagine! Why?
- You won't take random trades anywhere in the chart! You will wait for key areas to get involved. This alone will dramatically cut down on the # of needle trades you make, which at best are 50/50 happenstance results that you then give meaning to. Basically, gambling with the illusion of analysis.
-Next, you completely remove the subjectivity and cute stories that produce the illusion of "analysis."
THIS IS IMPORTANT! With BKC you extract information FROM the data. Not applying your vague hunches and feelings TO THE DATA! That's the difference between Real & Illusion of analysis.
- Continuing on. With BKC, you have a much more holistic understanding of price and what investors' emotions are. It's all right there in the chart. People talking with their money. Not their mouth!
- Once you see charts properly and understand what they are actually telling you, Waves - hooks - Structures - key Areas - Strengths -Weaknesses - CRACKS etc... you can't UNSEE IT! It's impossible!
- Your actual trade or investment positioning and size drastically improve. You understand that a single CRACK may just be a warning, as such, you don't run out and bet the farm and have it blow up in your face! That alone will greatly improve win win-loss ratio and help prevent blown-out accounts or massive losses. You can't be a trader investor if you are losing your ars beyond the typical cost of doing business draw downs. That is just so basic!
- Most importantly, you will finally STOP! this maddening going for 2, 3, 4% "targets"! Then on to the next big guess and keep repeating until you blow yourself out! I know I used to do it! Now with BKC you will go for mammoth moves 30, 50, 75, 100% plus moves! Bc you see the holistic view. Not the hiccups of random simple price movement, thinking you did something.
- With BKC, Small losses are viewed as informational. Schitt didn't do what it was supposed to do. It went back into structure strongly, so I am out! Simple. Who cares? If I repeat this 10 times in the end, I will be profitable. Even if 9 weren't! WHAT? Yes! Because when you go for the big moves, that is actually possible as crazy as it sounds. But you will never experience that unless you actually learn how to do it. That's what BKC is for. You will never learn how to do it if you keep going for silly 2-3% piker moves! 100% GUARANTEED! You must stop wasting your time & fooling yourself with randomness and then trying to apply meaning to it.
This is not by any means an inferential! You all share your stuff and approaches, scripts, bots, and mostly the same old tired candlesticks, moving averages, FIBS, and targets etc.. which is why you can all speak the same language and understand each other, but fail to produce real, meaningful results.
BKC is a completely different approach as far as I know. It does not give you a fish, it teaches you HOW to fish! For BIG ONES!
I will keep posting examples here as I have been, but now you should have a bit more clarity as to how and why I post what I post. Follow along and see the difference in real time. No hindsight crystal ball nonsensical bullschitt.
As for this chart with a H&S at a top Look for a pop then a drop! Should this H&S break, it will be ugly for the Crypto Bros.!
The proof is in the pudding! ;)
THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Boost
👉 Follow
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
FCPO Important LevelFCPO has been falling for 4 consecutive months. The important level is 3700. If the 3700 level is broken, FCPO is likely to fall again to 3250. My expectation is that FCPO will continue to close the bearish candle of December 2025. The January 2026 candle will determine whether the price will continue to fall or rise.
Let's all pay attention to the 3700 level!
Market Panic: Gold or Crypto?When the market enters a state of panic, the question is no longer “How much profit can I make?” but rather “Which asset helps me survive and protect my capital?”
In moments like these, gold and crypto are often placed side by side. Both are seen as safe havens—but in very different ways, and that difference is the key to making the right decision.
1) Gold – Where Capital Flows When Confidence Breaks
Gold has existed for thousands of years with one core purpose: preserving value.
When inflation rises, geopolitical tensions escalate, or the financial system shows signs of stress, large capital tends to move into gold first.
Why gold performs well during crises:
High global liquidity, accepted across all markets
Relatively “orderly” volatility, suitable for defensive positioning
Often benefits when real interest rates fall and the USD weakens
In other words, gold won’t make you rich overnight, but it helps you avoid being washed away when the storm hits.
2) Crypto – An Asset Driven by Expectations and Emotion
Crypto represents a new generation of assets, where value is heavily influenced by future expectations, technology narratives, and speculative capital.
In normal or euphoric market conditions, crypto can rise very quickly.
But when panic sets in, the story changes.
Here’s the reality we need to face:
Crypto reacts extremely sensitively to “risk-off” sentiment
High leverage + thin liquidity during stress periods can trigger chain liquidations
In major shocks, crypto is often sold alongside growth stocks, rather than acting as a true safe haven
Therefore, crypto is not a defensive asset in the traditional sense—it is an asset of belief and market cycles.
3) When Should You Choose Gold? When Should You Hold Crypto?
The answer is not “which is better,” but what the market context is.
True panic (systemic risk, war, financial crisis):
➡ Gold is usually the preferred choice.
Capital seeks certainty, not stories.
Short-term crisis followed by monetary easing:
➡ Gold often leads the first wave,
➡ Crypto tends to recover more aggressively after a psychological bottom forms.
Stable markets with abundant liquidity:
➡ Crypto performs at its best.
4) My Perspective: Don’t Choose with Emotion
From my experience, the biggest mistake traders make during panic is choosing assets based on personal belief instead of capital flow and market behavior.
A professional trader asks:
Where is large capital taking refuge?
Is current volatility suitable for my trading style?
Is my goal capital preservation or outsized returns?
If your priority is safety and stability, gold is usually the more reasonable choice.
If you accept high risk in pursuit of high reward, crypto should only be approached after clear confirmation, not during extreme panic.
Bitcoin Tests Resistance - Downside Risk Toward $85,700Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish move inside a clearly defined descending channel, Bitcoin attempted a recovery and managed to break out of the channel. However, this upside move lacked strong follow-through. Price entered a consolidation range, where multiple reactions and fake breakouts signaled distribution rather than accumulation. This behavior suggested that sellers were still active at higher levels. Following the range, BTC formed a triangle structure, capped by a descending Triangle Resistance Line and supported by a rising Triangle Support Line. Price has been compressing within this structure, but recent attempts to push higher were rejected near the 88,500 Resistance Level (TP1), confirming strong selling pressure at this zone. Currently, BTC is trading near the upper boundary of the triangle, where sellers continue to defend resistance. As long as price remains below the Triangle Resistance Line and fails to reclaim 88,500, the bearish scenario remains in play. My scenario: I expect a rejection from the triangle resistance, followed by a move back toward the 85,700 Support Level, which aligns with both horizontal support and the lower triangle boundary. A clean breakdown below 85,700 would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper decline. Only a strong breakout and hold above 88,500 would invalidate this short setup. For now, the market favors sellers below resistance, with 88,500 as key resistance and 85,700 as the main downside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC – Weak Rebound Below EMAs, Bias Still Toward CorrectionHello everyone, Domic here.
Looking at BTC on the H4 timeframe right now, the overall feeling is not panic — but there is certainly nothing reassuring either. Price is trading around 85,700 USD, sitting firmly below both the EMA34 and EMA89, and that alone already says a lot about the current market condition.
Since mid-month, a lower high – lower low structure has become fairly clear. The rebound we are seeing at the moment is essentially just a technical pullback after the prior sharp sell-off, as price attempts to climb back up and retest resistance. However, BTC has still failed to reclaim the EMA34, which shows that buying pressure is not strong enough to regain short-term control. At this stage, EMA34 acts as an overhead pressure ceiling, while EMA89 remains the key boundary defining the H4 trend. As long as price stays below both of these moving averages, the market should still be viewed from a defensive perspective.
On the macro and news side, BTC is not being driven by any crypto-specific shock, but rather by broader macro conditions and the risk-on / risk-off environment. The Fed continues to signal higher rates for longer, making it difficult for risk assets to attract fresh inflows. US Treasury yields remain elevated, pushing short-term capital toward the USD and bonds instead of crypto. US equities are undergoing a mild correction, and BTC, at this stage, is still moving quite in sync with the broader risk asset complex. In addition, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have cooled significantly compared to the earlier surge, further weakening the price support.
From my perspective, as long as BTC remains below the EMA34, any upward move should still be treated as a rebound into resistance. And while price stays below the EMA89, the H4 trend remains in a corrective state.
ETH-The final drop before the cows come home (SHORT TERM SHORT)hello all 👋🙋♂️🙋♀️ Thank you so much for coming today
Let's get right to it💡. Today we are looking at a 4 hour view of ETHEREUM. I have noticed several things about ETH price action and what it could indicate.
⬆️ above on chart 📈📉 you can see I have labeled
major trend line (support line)
We have made contact with this long standing trend line and have seen some bullish pressure after doing so.
🤸🤸♂️
HOWEVER
There has been a Head and shoulders bearish pattern formed on the 4 hour view in which we did go down from but bounced back up to make a bearish flag 🐻🧸
🌊🏄♂️🏄♀️
MORE RECENTLY
We have formed a bearish harmonic pattern, which leads me to believe we will try to continue our head and shoulders pattern (with a drop in price) ⏬🔻But will catch support at our major trend line ~(3800)
🐼This is a Short term short Idea. The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile.💣
This is not financial advice
🐶
Always have a stop loss ✋🛑💲 set🆗
Any thoughts 💭💡, questions 🙋♀️🙋♂️❓, good 👍, bad👎, happy 😄 or sad 😥, in the comments always welcome.😄
Jazerbay ☯️
Ethereum (ETH): Buyers Forming Market Structure Break Ethereum has made a decent foundation near $1,500, where buyers have formed a market structure break and secured the area.
This might be the turning point for the Ethereum and we might see a great start of a rally from here, as price has not yet reached anywhere near its potential price near ATHs, while Bitcoin has already formed its new high.
What we are expecting is the possible market volume to flow into ETH and coins that have been built on the Ethereum blockchain so we will be keeping an eye on them.
Swallow Academy
Key Levels – Where Gold Reacts, Not Indicators?Many traders start trading gold using indicators, and that’s something almost everyone goes through. However, the longer you stay in the market, the more clearly you realize one important truth: gold does not react to indicators; it reacts at key levels . Indicators only describe what price has already done, while key levels are where real money actually makes decisions.
Price does not move randomly. It reacts at important price zones.
Key levels are areas where the market has shown clear reactions in the past — strong reversals, repeated rejections, or consolidation before a breakout. In gold trading, these zones often align with major highs and lows, round numbers, or areas of concentrated liquidity.
This is where both retail traders and large capital are paying attention.
One major reason many traders consistently enter too late is over-reliance on indicators. Indicators are always based on past price data, so when a signal appears, the key reaction has often already happened. At that point, entries are less attractive, risk-to-reward deteriorates, and the probability of false breaks or stop hunts increases.
Indicators are not wrong, but they always lag behind price.
Professional traders don’t try to predict whether price will go up or down. They wait for price to reach a key level and then observe how the market reacts. Is price strongly rejected, or does it break through easily? Is real buying or selling pressure actually showing up?
Key levels are not places to predict — they are places to observe and react.
This doesn’t mean indicators are useless. Indicators still have value for momentum confirmation or for understanding market context. But they should not be the primary factor for making entry decisions.
Key levels tell you where to trade.
Indicators only help you understand how price is behaving.
Conclusion
If you are trading gold and still searching for the “best indicator for XAUUSD,” you may be asking the wrong question.
The better question is:
Which key level is the market respecting right now?
Because in the end, price reacts at levels — not at indicators.
BTC OpEx Weekly OutlookI expect a volatile week for Bitcoin due to the massive OpEx on 12/26. The notional value expiring is roughly 8x the previous week.
Max pain is 96k on Deribit. Other exchanges are slightly higher.
Dealer gamma exposure is negative on Monday which should add volatility, so I expect another trip to recent support around 85k. As the week continues, gamma sharply turns positive which should have a dampening effect on price swings. As OpEx approaches, I expect price to move up at an increasing rate due to dealers unwinding hedges into Friday.
Max pain is around 96k, so it should be a magnet for price throughout the week. Hedges unwinding will apply pressure to short liquidations which could cascade with a peak in the 94-96k range.
After options expiration, price should fall sharply IF whales write more covered calls forcing MMs to hedge.
I am short into Monday. Plan to long if it dips, then open a short in the 94-96k range or whatever the top is near EOD Friday with a final target of 72k in the coming weeks/months.
Head and shoulders in long term .I have identified this kind of patterns multiple times before its full formation. From a technical perspective, the 110k–113k range represents a critical resistance zone. a clean break and sustained acceptance above this area would likely open the door for an impulsive move toward the 147 k and 170k targets.
Prior to that, price must reclaim and confirm above 105k, followed by a decisive breakout of the 110k–113k region. Failure to do so keeps the current structure vulnerable and leaves this pattern valid as a potential distribution top, which could set the stage for the next bear market.
While my macro bias remains bullish, I will stay cautious until these key levels are conclusively reclaimed.






















