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Bitcoin - Daily Gap Inversion Aligns with UptrendBitcoin recently made a push higher that cleared local highs and swept liquidity above the previous range. This move created a temporary fake out before price sharply retraced, filling inefficiencies left behind in the market. After completing this corrective move, price has begun reclaiming structure and is now respecting higher timeframe demand zones. Daily Structure The daily chart continues to show a clean uptrend, with higher lows forming along the rising trendline. After the liquidity sweep, price retraced to test key imbalances and has since confirmed a bullish shift by inverting a daily gap. This gap has been retested multiple times, suggesting it is holding firm as support and reinforcing the bullish continuation bias. Liquidity Dynamics The sweep of liquidity at the highs cleared buy-side pressure, resetting the market. This type of liquidity event often precedes sustained directional moves as the market seeks out new inefficiencies and liquidity pools. For now, downside liquidity has been satisfied and the path of least resistance appears to be higher. Upside Scenarios If the inverted daily gap continues to hold, price could target the major resistance block above 120,000 USDT. This zone aligns with the previous rejection area, where liquidity remains untested. Any approach into this resistance will be key to monitor for continuation or rejection. Downside Risk Should Bitcoin lose the daily inverted gap and trendline support, further retracement toward 111,000 to 112,000 USDT becomes possible, where a deeper liquidity pocket and structural support remain. Until then, the higher low structure remains intact. Conclusion Bitcoin has absorbed liquidity, filled inefficiencies, and inverted a daily gap that is now holding as support. Combined with the ongoing daily uptrend, this strengthens the bullish outlook with a clear target toward the 120,000 USDT resistance zone. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
51
BTC: From Triangle to Flag → 118K?Let's take a look at the recent market context. Bitcoin climbed aggressively, creating a powerful impulsive leg upward. That rally formed the pole of our bullish flag, a clear continuation pattern. After that, price consolidated, shaping a tight, downward-sloping flag, while overall momentum stayed bullish. The critical moment came just recently when price broke out of the flag with real strength. A decisive breakout candle! So the bias is clear — the bullish flag is active, the breakout is confirmed, and the projection points us toward 118,000. The structure is clean, the momentum is strong… and the market is telling the story.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrendDiva
39
FOMC Day: Prepare for Potential Bitcoin Volatility!Today is a big day for the markets – the US Federal Funds Rate decision and the FOMC Press Conference are scheduled, events that could potentially change the game for Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) and other assets . But until the meeting begins , we still have time to analyze the charts and prepare. Keep in mind : as we get closer to the announcement and especially during the release, the market could turn highly volatile. Manage your positions wisely and don’t forget your stop-loss levels . ------------------------------------------- Bitcoin rose about +2% yesterday on the news that " Trump Family's American Bitcoin just went public on the Nasdaq ." Bitcoin is currently trading in an ascending channel and Resistance zone($116,900-$115,730) near the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($118,354-$117,329) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , if interest rates cut , Bitcoin could be completing wave 4 and then rising again and possibly forming a new All-Time High(ATH) . On the other hand, if interest rates do NOT cut , Bitcoin appears to have completed wave C of the Zigzag Correction structure(ABC/5-3-5) . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $114,860(First Target) before the Fed meeting starts , and if interest rates are not cut , we will see a further and more sudden drop in Bitcoin . And if interest rates CUT , there is a high probability of a Bitcoin pump, so stick to the first target($114,860) for now. Second Target: $114,470 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $115,597-$115,330 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $114,351-$113,640 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $113,031-$112,430 Do you think the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
31
Lingrid | GOLD Record Breaking Rally ContinuesOANDA:XAUUSD is maintaining bullish structure after bouncing from higher lows and breaking through the 3,670 level, reinforcing upward momentum. Price is now consolidating just below the resistance zone, with the upward channel continuing to guide direction. If buyers hold above 3,670, gold could extend its move toward 3,715, aligning with the projected resistance area. The strong impulse leg and supportive trendline suggest that momentum remains with the bulls unless key support is lost. ⚠️ Risks: A drop back below 3,670 could shift momentum and expose downside toward 3,625. A stronger US dollar driven by macro data or hawkish Fed commentary may weigh on gold. Sudden profit-taking near resistance could trigger short-term volatility and a retracement. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
30
TSLA path to 550/650 USD Breakout Still Pending🔥 What specifically drives TSLA into 550–650 📦 Deliveries + mix surprise If unit volumes beat whisper numbers and mix favors higher-trim/FSD attach, you get more gross profit per vehicle without needing price hikes. Watch the cadence of regional incentives and shipping vectors; strong NA/EU mix plus improving China utilization is the sweet spot. 🛠️ Margin stabilization → operating leverage Gross margin base effect + opex discipline = powerful flow-through. Even a 100–150 bps lift in auto GM, coupled with energy GM expanding as Megapack scales, can push operating margin into low-mid teens. That alone recodes the multiple market is willing to pay. 🔋 Energy storage stepping out of auto’s shadow Megapack/Powerwall growth with multi-GW backlogs turns “side business” into a credible second engine. As deployments and ASP/contract mix normalize, investors begin modeling $10–$15B annualized energy revenue with attractive GM — this is multiple-expanding because it looks more like infrastructure/software-tinted industrials than cyclical autos. 🤖 Autonomy & software monetization bridges Two things move the needle fast: (1) clear progress toward supervised autonomy at scale (drives FSD attach + ARPU), and (2) licensing (FSD stack, charging/NACS, drive units). Even modestly credible paid-miles/seat-based models (think $50–$150/month vehicles on fleet) transform valuation frameworks. 🦾 Optimus/robotics as a real option, not sci-fi The market doesn’t need commercial ubiquity — it needs line-of-sight to pilot deployments and unit economics where labor-substitute ROI < 3 years. A few high-credibility pilots (warehousing, simple assembly, logistics cells) can tack on optionality premium that pushes the multiple toward the top of the range. 💹 Options-market reflexivity Flows matter. Elevated call demand near ATH turns dealers short gamma, forcing delta hedging that lifts spot, which triggers more call buying → a familiar feedback loop. On breakouts, watch open interest skew to short-dated OTM calls, and put-call ratios compressing; these magnify upside in a tight float day. 🌍 Macro & liquidity If indices hold highs and the rate path doesn’t tighten financial conditions, growth duration gets rewarded. TSLA’s beta + story premium thrives in that regime. ________________________________________ 🧠 Outside-the-box accelerants 🛰️ “Software day” packaging A coordinated showcase that bundles FSD progress, energy software (fleet, VPP), service/insurance data, and Optimus pilots into a single capital-markets narrative could reframe TSLA as a platform. The Street responds to packaging; it compresses time-to-belief. 🤝 Third-party FSD/charging licensing headlines A single blue-chip OEM announcing software licensing + NACS deep integration reframes the competitive landscape. The equity market pays a software multiple for recurring seats. 🏗️ Capex signaling for next-gen platform without GM hit Announcing a modular, high-throughput manufacturing scheme (cell to structure, gigacasting tweaks, logistics compression) with proof that unit economics are accretive from ramp can flip skeptics who anchor to past ramp pain. ⚡ Grid-scale contracts + financing innovation If Tesla pairs utility-scale storage with project-level financing (think repeatable ABS-like channels for Megapack), you de-risk cash conversion cycles and unlock a new investor constituency (infrastructure/green income). That tightens the multiple. ________________________________________ 🏎️ Comparative playbook: RACE (Ferrari) & NVDA (NVIDIA) 👑 RACE — the scarcity & brand ROIC lens Ferrari’s premium multiple rests on scarcity, orderbook visibility, and brand pricing power. TSLA doesn’t have scarcity, but it can borrow the RACE lens via (a) limited-run, ultra-high-margin trims that anchor halo pricing, (b) waitlist-like energy backlogs that create visibility, and (c) bespoke software packages that mimic “personalization” margin. In bull phases, RACE trades as a luxury compounder rather than an automaker; TSLA can earn a slice of that premium when the energy + software story dominates. 🧮 NVDA — the flywheel & supply-constrained S-curve NVIDIA’s explosive run blended (1) clear demand > supply, (2) pricing power, (3) ecosystem lock-in. TSLA’s battery and compute stacks can echo that dynamic: limited 4680/cell supply + Megapack queues + proprietary autonomy data moat. The moment the market believes TSLA is supply-gated (not demand-gated) in energy/AI, it will award NVDA-like scarcity premia. Add toolchain stickiness (training data, fleet miles, Dojo/AI infra), and you get ecosystem multiples rather than auto multiples. 📊 What the comps teach for TSLA’s 550–650 zone • RACE lesson: visibility + pricing power boost the quality of earnings → higher P/E durability. • NVDA lesson: credible scarcity + platform control turbocharge EV/Sales and compress the market’s time-to-future state. • Translation for TSLA: blend of luxury-like quality (energy contracts + premium trims) and platform scarcity (cells/AI stack) → multiple rerate into our target band. ________________________________________ 🧾 Valuation outlook 🧮 Earnings path • Units up mid-teens % Y/Y; ASP stable to slightly higher on mix; energy + software up strongly. • Auto GM +100–150 bps; Energy GM expands on scale; opex +SMC disciplined → op margin 12–15%. • Share count glide modest. Forward EPS ≈ $9–$11. • Multiple: 50× (conservative growth premium) → $450–$550; 60× (software/autonomy visibility) → $540–$660. • Why the market pays up: visible recurring high-margin lines (FSD, energy software, services) + AI/robotics optionality. 📈 EV/Sales path • Forward revenue $130–$150B (auto + energy + software/services). • Assign blended EV/Sales 6.5–7.5× when energy/software dominate the debate. • Less net cash → equity value per share in $550–$650. • Check: At 7× on $140B = $980B EV; equity ≈ $1.0–$1.1T with cash, divided by diluted shares → mid-$500s to $600s. Momentum premium and flow can extend to upper bound. ________________________________________ 🧭 Technical roadmap & market-microstructure 🧱 Breakout mechanics A decisive weekly close above prior ATH with rising volume and a low-volume retest that holds converts resistance to a springboard. Expect a “open-drive → pause → trend” sequence: day 1 impulse, 2–5 sessions of rangebuilding, then trend resumption. 🧲 Volume shelves & AWVAPs Anchored VWAPs from the last major swing high and the post-washout low often act like magnets. Post-break, the ATH AVWAP becomes first support, then the $500 handle functions as the psychological pivot. Above there, $550/$590/$630 are classical measured-move/Fib projection waypoints; pullbacks should hold prior shelf highs. 🌀 Options & dealer positioning On a break, short-dated OTM calls populate 1–2% ladders; dealers short gamma chase price up via delta hedging. Expect intraday ramps near strikes (pin-and-pop behavior) and Friday accelerants if sentiment is euphoric. A steepening skew with heavy call open interest is your tell that supply is thin. ________________________________________ 🧨 Risks & invalidation 🚫 Failed retest below the breakout shelf (think: a fast round-trip under the $4-handle) downgrades the setup from “trend” to “blow-off.” 🧯 Margin or delivery disappointments (e.g., price-war resumption, regional softness) break the EPS/EV-Sales bridges. 🌪️ Macro shock (rates spike, liquidity drains) compresses long-duration multiples first; TSLA is high beta. 🔁 Flow reversal — if call-heavy positioning unwinds, gamma flips to a headwind and accelerates downside. ________________________________________ 💼 Trading & portfolio expressions for HNWI 🎯 Core + satellite Hold a core equity position to capture trend, add a satellite of calls for convexity. If chasing, consider call spreads (e.g., 1–3 month $500/$600 or $520/$650) to tame IV. 🛡️ Risk-managed parity Pair equity with a protective put slightly OTM or finance it with a put spread. Alternatively, collars (write covered calls above $650 to fund downside puts) if you’re guarding a large legacy stake. ⚙️ Momentum follow-through Use stop-ins above key levels for systematic adds, and stop-outs below retest lows to avoid round-trips. Size reduces into $590–$630 where target confluence lives; recycle risk into pullbacks. 💵 Liquidity & slippage Scale entries around liquid times (open/closing auctions). For size, work algos to avoid prints into obvious strikes where dealers can lean. ________________________________________ 🧾 Monitoring checklist 🔭 Delivery run-rate signals (regional registration proxies, shipping cadence). 🏭 Margin tells (bill of materials trends, promotions cadence, energy deployment updates). 🧠 Autonomy milestones (software releases, safety metrics, attach/ARPU hints). 🔌 Licensing/partnership beats (NACS depth, FSD/AI stack interest). 📊 Options dashboard (short-dated call OI ladders; put-call ratio shifts; gamma positioning). 🌡️ Macro regime (rates, liquidity, risk appetite). ________________________________________ ✅ Bottom line 🏁 The 550–650 tape is not a fairy tale — it’s a stacked-catalyst + rerate setup where energy/software/autonomy rise in the narrative mix, margins stabilize, and options-market reflexivity does the rest. Execute the breakout playbook, respect invalidation lines, and use convex expressions to lean into upside while protecting capital. esla (TSLA) — Breakout Playbook 🎯 Core Thesis • Insider conviction: Musk’s ~$1B buy. • Risk-on macro: equities at highs, liquidity supportive. • Options reflexivity: call-heavy flows can fuel upside. • ATH breakout (~$480–$490) = gateway to price discovery. ________________________________________ 🚀 Upside Drivers to $550–$650 • Deliveries & Mix: Surprise beat + higher trim/FSD attach. • Margins: GM stabilization + energy scaling → op margin 12–15%. • Energy: $10–15B rev potential with infra-like multiples. • Autonomy/Software: FSD attach, ARPU, licensing. • Optimus/Robotics: Pilot deployments → ROI < 3 yrs adds optionality. • Licensing Headlines: OEMs adopting NACS/FSD stack. • Capital Markets Narrative: Packaged “software + energy + robotics” story reframes Tesla as a platform. ________________________________________ 🏎️ Comparative Bull Run Lens • Ferrari (RACE): Scarcity, orderbook, luxury multiples. • NVIDIA (NVDA): Scarcity + ecosystem flywheel → EV/Sales premium. • Tesla Parallel: Blend of luxury quality (energy backlogs, halo trims) + AI scarcity (cells, fleet data, Dojo). ________________________________________ 📊 Valuation Bridges • EPS Path: $9–$11 EPS × 50–60× = $450–$660. • EV/Sales Path: $130–150B revenue × 6.5–7.5× = $550–$650. ________________________________________ 📈 Technical Roadmap • Breakout > $490 → retest holds → next legs: o $550 / $590 / $630 / stretch $650–$690. • Watch anchored VWAPs; ATH shelf flips to support. • Options chase accelerates above round strikes.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
42
Dealing Ranges - Powerful filter tool to your tradingHello Traders today. I ll break down for you how to enter on a pullback with high accuracy and not being stopped out by using a fibonacci in other words a Dealing range. A Dealing Range forms when price takes out both a swing high and a swing low, followed by a clear expansion move. That expansion swing becomes the dealing range. • By dividing the dealing range in half, we get two zones: • Discount region (lower half) – where buying opportunities are typically more favorable. • Premium region (upper half) – where selling opportunities are typically more favorable. • You can think of a dealing range as similar to a PD Array Matrix, but specifically applied to expansion swings rather than consolidation phases. On the example bellow I drew a Dealing range. If I took the long from the key level in the premium the trade would fail. But if waited for the key level in discount I could get much better RR and explosive move vice versa is happening on the bearish order flow charts. Check on your charts So why is this situation on the above happening quite often? It's simple - Liquidity. Market makers needs liquidity to fill their orders so they print nice trade opportunities in the premium where trader enter this setup, for trend continuation. Setup is technically right. But by placing the trades in premium they creates a stop loss cluster = liquidity in the discount. Then this happen - price go for the liquidity of early buyers in the premium hits key level in the discount and it continue with the trend. Im not saying that key levels in the premium cant work, in the strong trend there is no always pullback to the discount. But by applying Dealing ranges you will get: Less but more accurate trades Higher Risk reward setups You can build HTF narrative Use it for targets Better risk management Remember, there is not always a key level in the premium and pullback to the discount is not enough. Trade must go from a key level. So if there is not a key level in the premium price is often retracing to the discount key level in order to create a liquidity around a key level price makes a false break which sucks traders in to the market and create a liquidity on a key level. Dont enter if price is not going from key level its a trap. Time frame alignments Always use 2 timeframes Higher time frame (HTF) and Lower timeframe (LTF) • Higher Timeframe (HTF) = Dealing ranges • Lower Timeframe (LTF) = Market Profiles / Profiling Timeframe sequence HTF Monthly - LTF - Daily / H4 HTF Weekly - LTF - H4 / H1 HTF Daily - LTF H1/ M15 HTF H4 - LTF M15 / M5 Im giving 2x LTF options because sometimes you need to scale lower timeframe to understand price action and best entries. However for the confirmations you can do well with the main sequence of first two. Apply this rule to any markets. Im adding links to few examples from stocks, crypto an FX where you can see application of this concept. Click to charts to open them and see how price behave in discount and premium. Examples from successful Tradingview Ideas Tesla pullback to the discount - Low created in discount ATH most likely coming Bitcoin pullback to the discount - Followed by expansion to ATH Palantir pullback to the discount - followed by expansion to ATH Bitcoin pullback to the Discount - followed by expansion GBPCHF - Targeting Liquidity in the discount Hope this help you in your trading journey. Let me know in the comments David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
Education
by David_Perk
21
EUR/USD - Fundamental Move (18.09.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1744 2nd Support – 1.1704 Fundamental Updates : Fed Chair Powell described this rate cut as a way to manage risks due to a weaker job market, and said there is no need to rush further rate cuts. The Fed's future plans suggest more rate cuts this year, but only one more in 2026. 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22
Gold's Surge: What's Next for XAUUSD?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ? Will the price rise or fall? Recently, the gold market has witnessed an extraordinary price surge, with the price continuing to reach new milestones around $3,700. This increase marks the third consecutive session where gold has hit a new all-time high, solidifying its impressive growth in the current economic environment. This sustained uptrend is occurring as market participants prepare for the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cut, with high expectations that the Fed will lower the benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points in the upcoming meeting, which is favorable for gold. From a technical perspective, in the short term, the chart shows that gold has been consolidating for a certain period before breaking out strongly, and it is currently in a slight pullback toward the new support level. With the current uptrend, we may find buying opportunities at pullback points near the new support zone, especially if the market shows consolidation at the current price levels. Any minor pullback could be just an opportunity to increase long positions. What do you think about the trend of XAUUSD? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
39
GOLD → The market depends on the mood of the FED. Rate cuts FX:XAUUSD , after reaching 3700, entered a correction phase triggered by profit-taking ahead of important market news—the Fed's interest rate meeting. Gold is falling and testing 3660-3650 after updating its ATH to 3703 ahead of the Fed's decision. All eyes are on Powell's forecasts and comments on future policy. Fundamentally, a 25 bp rate cut is already priced in. Much more important is whether the Fed will hint at more than two cuts before the end of the year. The market is expecting aggressive easing due to the risks of stagflation (weak labor market + persistent inflation). If the Fed takes a dovish stance (three rate cuts), gold could hit new records. If it is hawkish, i.e., a surprise (only one or two rate cuts), the dollar will strengthen and gold will correct Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3686, 3700 Support levels: 3657, 3646.5, 3637 Technically, the further scenario for gold depends solely on the mood of the Fed and Powell's comments. The market still hopes to hear more positive hints and, before that, is forming a deep correction to the liquidity zones indicated on the chart in order to buy cheaper, if the situation allows... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
GER40 Loading the Break – Big Move Coming!Hey guys, I’ve analyzed the GER40 index for you. Right now, it’s too early to drop a clear target—the price is stuck in a consolidation zone. It’s either gonna break down or break out. Once that move happens, I’ll share the exact target right away. For now, just waiting on the breakout. Also, every single like from you guys is what keeps me motivated to keep sharing these analyses. Big thanks to everyone supporting me with those likes.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by TraderTilki
19
Gold Pullback Toward 3,650 as DXY Weakness Supports UpsideHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) for a buying opportunity around the 3,650 zone. Gold is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, with price pulling back toward a key area of interest. Key level in focus: 3,650 — a zone where buyers may look to re-enter and resume the trend. Fundamentals: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) maintains a bearish bias, currently in a downtrend and approaching 97.150 resistance. This weakness could continue to support Gold due to their negative correlation. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
13
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) -> MPL and QML AnalysisHello guys! Let's analyze btc! ⚡ Trading Strategy MPL Level: 115,000 should be tested before the price rises, so wait for confirmation here before entering long positions. Target: The next major target for the uptrend is around 117,500. -------------------- 📈 Outlook Bullish: If price holds above the QML, the bullish trend could continue towards 117,500. Watch for Retest: Keep an eye on 115,000 for a possible retest before further upside.
by melikatrader94
10
ETHEREUM Is it realistic to expect last Cycle's rally?Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been practically consolidating since the mid-August High, following an impressive rally on the April 07 Low. Technically it is coming off a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross. It is the exact same pattern that confirmed ETH's massive parabolic rise (green Channel Up) during the previous Cycle in August 17 2020. The 1W RSI fractals between the two sequences are similar. However, time-wise we are not in the same stage as last Cycle, in fact we are much closer to the end of the 4-year Cycle model. If there is still some time to repeat such a parabolic run, the price is 'limited' by the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $13500, which again will be a wonderful and increasingly optimistic target for this Cycle Top. Do you think it is realistic to expect such repeat at this stage? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by TradingShot
9
Bitcoin will break resistance level and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market dynamic for Bitcoin has undergone a significant shift, with the prior bearish trend being invalidated by a strong breakout from a downward channel. This reversal has established a new bullish market structure, with the price action for BTC now being methodically guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. This pattern has been confirmed by multiple rotations between its support and resistance boundaries, originating from the 108400 - 109400 buyer zone. Currently, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction after testing the upper part of the channel, and the price is now approaching a critical confluence of support. This area is defined by the ascending support line of the channel and the major horizontal 109400 support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, anticipating that buyers will defend this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary upward trend. This move is expected to break through the intermediate 117500 resistance level. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 119600, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
10
XAU/USD | Gold Prints New ATH at $3,685 – Rate Cut Rally Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price broke the key $3,657 level, just as expected, and today it even printed a new ATH at an impressive $3,685! As you know, this week is the interest rate decision week, and markets are preparing for a rate cut — either 0.25% or 0.5%. Each scenario can have a different level of impact: a 0.5% cut could easily push gold above $3,700–$3,740. Right now, gold is trading around $3,679. As long as it does not break and close below $3,674, we can expect some sideways movement followed by more upside, with the first target at $3,700. However, there’s also an important FVG (Fair Value Gap) between $3,664 and $3,674. If the first scenario fails, gold could sharply drop to fill this gap. I hope this analysis was helpful for you — stay tuned for more setups based on this outlook!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
69
Gold: Buying the Dip? A Plan for the Pullback to the Daily OBAfter breaking out of its local range and establishing a new ATH, Gold has begun a correction and is approaching support in the form of a daily order block . I will be looking for a long position, with the target of creating another ATH, upon the mitigation of this order block in conjunction with a reversal reaction from one of three Fibonacci retracement levels: the 50%, 61.8%, or 78.6% level . A break of the 78.6% level by the price will invalidate the long scenarios and, with a high probability, will mean the correction is transitioning to the higher, weekly structure. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇 P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView for timely updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TheWhaleSM
9
EURUSD: Is the USD Weakness Already Priced In?Is the USD Weakness Already Priced In? The market expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points at this meeting. Right now, the main story is that this expectation is driving the USD lower. But is that really the reason behind the weakness? The USD has often shown weakness no matter the news — weak on good data, weak on bad data, weak when the Fed holds rates, and even weaker now as the Fed prepares to cut. It almost looks like a no-brainer. If everything is already priced in, the USD could drop further right after the Fed cuts rates. Still, if the unusual USD weakness and EUR strength continue, EUR/USD may keep rising. Be cautious though — if it breaks above the red zone, it could be a false breakout before falling again. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
17
Bitcoin - New rising wedge, you must see! 127k, then drop to 85kI am the first human on the internet to share with you this rising wedge pattern that is currently forming on Bitcoin. As you know, rising wedges are in general bearish patterns, so you can expect a pretty strong downtrend after this pattern is formed. But right now Bitcoin is strong, and I expect a new all-time high in the following weeks. I know that there are many moon boys in the comment section calling for 300k, 500k, or even 1 million USD per bitcoin until the end of the year or 2026, but this is completely impossible. A much higher chance than that would be that the artificial moon explodes or ugly satanic Saturn explodes. So you can imagine that. From a technical point of view, the falling wedge is somewhere in the middle of its formation; we don't know when it will end, but I expect this pattern to end sometime in the second half of Q4 2025. My Elliott Wave count suggests that we are in the final Wave (5)(5)(5), which is a pretty rare situation; it happens really only once every few years. I think the ultimate top on Bitcoin could be around 127,000 USD for this bullish cycle, and I am pretty realistic here. If this falling wedge pattern breaks to the downside, there really isn't any strong support until 85k that can prevent Bitcoin from further falling. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
25
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. We’ve seen this play well so far this week so we’ll sit back and let them make the move before then looking for a set up to get in. We have initial support at the 3670 level and resistance above at the 3690 level which is the level that will need to break for price to then attempt a new high. Potential level here 3720-30 which is where we will want to assess the price action and potentially an opportunity to attempt the short trade for the swing may arise. Breaking above that level will invalidate the move. Downside, there is a hot spot at 3665 which is the level that will need a strong close, this level also has an extension of the move into the 3650-55 level and on the break 3630-35. Quick summary: Ideally, we support the 3670 level, push upside, attack the 3720-30 region and we’ll look for a reversal up there. IF we break below 3655, we’ll look further down around the 3620-30 region for a reversal for the scalp long. There is a big stretch on and in normal market conditions, this should have dropped all the way back down into the 3500’s at least. But, we have to play the game they present us with so let’s wait and see what happens. Also, FOMC might already be priced in, so it’s the press conference after the statement that will be of interest to the markets. Key levels to watch for the break: Red box level 3690 Red box level 3673 Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
6
EUR/USD Retesting Support Zone for Potential ContinuationEUR/USD has recently broken above the resistance area and is now pulling back towards a fresh support zone around 1.1820 – 1.1830. If buyers defend this area, the pair could continue its bullish momentum towards higher levels. Key points to note: Previous resistance has now turned into support. Price is trading above the 200 EMA, showing bullish structure. A successful retest may open the path for continuation to the upside. Traders should watch how price reacts at the highlighted zone before considering further moves.
Long
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
12
Powell cutting rates? But why would he?📉 Powell cutting rates? 100% priced in. Even talk of 1–2% slashes. But why would he? Let’s look at what the media ignores: 🇮🇳 Reports suggest India plans to cut its US Treasury holdings by up to 50% by 2025. That could mean roughly $450B hitting the market. Who’s going to buy that debt? The Fed? They’re already running negative equity — something that would be called insolvency for any private company. Lowering rates would allow the US government (and its billionaire buddies) to borrow even more cheap money — not to fix the economy, but to speculate, pump Bitcoin, and trash the dollar further. Inflation? Even worse. The US economy shows all the symptoms of a recession: layoffs rising, real wages falling, manufacturing shrinking. Official GDP numbers still look positive, but let’s not forget those “revisions” that always come later. Translation: the data is constantly massaged. So what’s the real goal? Probably to juice the housing market. But let’s be honest: US mortgage rates today are just average by historical standards. Russia’s rates are higher, yet their currency and balance sheet look healthier because they don’t live off endless money printing. The core problem is clear: reckless dollar printing to protect billionaire portfolios. And Powell? If he truly had conviction, he wouldn’t touch the rate at all.
SP:SPX
by CryptoNikkoid
11
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 30M timeframe): XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 30M timeframe): Price recently touched a resistance zone (highlighted in blue at the top around 3695 – 3700) and is now pulling back. my drawn two yellow target zones below: 1. First target zone: around 3670 – 3660 2. Second deeper target zone: around 3635 – 3630 So, if price continues rejecting from the resistance and follows the bearish projection you’ve marked, the first target is ~3660–3670, and the second target is ~3630–3635. 📌 Important: Keep an eye on the Ichimoku cloud support (blue shaded area). If price bounces there, it may not reach the lower target.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by RSI_Trading_point
14