XAG/USD – A Market That Refuses to Go LowerThere is one thing that stands out very clearly on XAG/USD right now:
the market has absolutely no intention of moving lower.
The news flow is quiet, with no major shocks — and paradoxically, that is exactly what favors the BUY side. The Fed is not hawkish enough to choke precious metals, real yields are failing to create pressure , and defensive sentiment remains quietly present beneath the surface.
For silver, the narrative is even stronger than gold: it is both a safe-haven asset and an industrial metal. Capital inflows are not speculative hit-and-run trades — this is hold, push, and accumulate behavior.
Looking at the chart, price is clearly advancing within a clean and steep ascending channel. Every pullback is disciplined and controlled — p rice taps the lower trendline and immediately reacts upward. No panic, no aggressive sell-offs.
This is a textbook sign that smart money is in control, not a market driven by FOMO.
Ichimoku may only be playing a supporting role here — but it is an extremely reliable one. Price is firmly above the cloud, the cloud itself is sloping upward, and the distance between price and the cloud confirms that bullish momentum still has room to run. There are no signs of exhaustion or distribution at this stage.
The 112.7 zone is not a level to fear — it is a trend-validation boundary. As long as price holds above this area, every retracement should be viewed as an opportunity for the market to reload. And once momentum is fully rebuilt, a move toward 124.3 becomes a matter of time, not doubt.
Community ideas
GBP/JPY Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 400 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GBOP/JPY On 4H T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside & Then to downside since Last 2 weeks , and we have a good range for buy and sell started between 211.900 to 210.000 so we can buy and sell GBP/JPY This Week from 2 areas , 210.000 will be the best place for Buy and 211.900 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area so we can Enter a buy trade now and targeting 211.900 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 210.000, It`s All Depend On Price action , if we have a daily closure below our support then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Entry Reasons :
1- Lowest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res .
3- New Support Touched .
4- Clear Price Action .
5- Clear Support & Res .
6- Price Range Cleared .
Lingrid | GOLD Continued Bullish Momentum in MarketOANDA:XAUUSD perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price remains firmly bid after defending the rising trendline and printing another sequence of higher lows within the ascending channel. The recent push above the 5,200 area confirms sustained demand, while momentum continues to build rather than fade. Price action suggests strength, not exhaustion, as buyers keep stepping in on shallow pullbacks.
If the market holds above the rising support band, TVC:GOLD could grind higher toward the 5,500 psychological level, where the upper channel resistance comes into play. Any short-term dip toward trend support may attract fresh demand rather than trigger distribution.
➡️ Primary scenario: continuation above 5,135 → advance toward 5,500.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive breakdown below the rising trendline could delay upside and expose a deeper consolidation.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Mean Reversion in Action | Intraday Structure & Market MechanicsShort-term market moves often appear chaotic, but beneath the surface, price frequently follows statistical and structural tendencies — one of the most important being mean reversion.
This chart provides a clean real-time example of how price behavior stabilizes following volatility expansion.
What Is Mean Reversion?
Mean reversion describes the tendency for price to return toward its short- and medium-term averages after extended deviation.
Rather than forecasting direction, this framework focuses on understanding market mechanics — specifically:
• Volatility expansion
• Distance from trend EMAs
• Momentum exhaustion
• Structural re-balancing
What We Observe Here
Following aggressive downside momentum:
• Price extended significantly below key short-term EMAs
• Volatility expanded rapidly
• Momentum reached short-term exhaustion levels
• Mean distance became statistically stretched
As a result, price began reverting back toward its structural equilibrium zone.
This process reflects mechanical market behavior, not predictive bias.
Why This Matters
Mean reversion is one of the most important principles for understanding:
• Intraday stabilization
• Volatility compression
• Structural resets
• Trend sustainability
Rather than attempting to predict bottoms or tops, observing how price behaves around its structural means offers clearer insight into market condition and participation.
Final Structural Note
When markets experience rapid deviation, reversion toward trend averages is a natural response — especially when volatility becomes extended.
This does not imply directional certainty.
It simply demonstrates how markets normalize after imbalance.
Nifty 50: Bullish "Inner Trend" Breakout Setup (RR 1:4)Market Analysis
While the Nifty 50 remains compressed within a large-scale Symmetrical Triangle, a critical shift is occurring on the 15-minute timeframe. Inside this "squeeze," we observe a clear short-term uptrend characterized by consistent Higher Lows (the blue arrow path).
The "Trend Within a Trend" Logic
Long-Term Structure: Price is squeezed between Descending Resistance (falling upper trendline) and a horizontal demand zone.
Internal Support (25,350): This serves as the Ascending Support line for the immediate short-term trend. It acts as a rising floor where buyers are aggressively stepping in.
The Logic: This internal strength acts as a leading indicator. If the "inner trend" holds above 25,350, it will likely drive the price to break out of the "outer" descending resistance toward the next major supply zone.
Trade Execution (Buy on Retest)
Long Entry: 25,300 (Retest of demand zone / Premium Discount 50% of Fib).
Take Profit (Target): 25,600 (Major supply zone target post-triangle breakout).
Stop Loss: 25,235 (Structural invalidation below the internal support).
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:4.6.
Conclusion
The internal structure is increasingly bullish despite the overall sideways compression. As long as the 25,350 Ascending Support holds, the pressure remains on sellers to defend the overhead resistance. A breakout with high volume above 25,400 will confirm the move toward 25,600+.
What's happening in the GOLD market What's happening in the gold market right now isn't just a normal price surge; it reflects a shift in gold's role itself. Gold is no longer simply used as a hedge against inflation or interest rate fluctuations. It has become a safe haven for investors when their confidence in economic policies and monetary systems wanes. The price surge above $5,500 wasn't triggered by a single piece of news or decision, but rather by a general feeling that the financial system has become less stable and less predictable.
At this stage, price movements are no longer driven by expectations and speculation. Instead, the high price itself is forcing the market to rethink future expectations. Therefore, price levels are no longer viewed as ceilings or targets from which the price might reverse, but rather as temporary phases in a longer-term trajectory. This reflects investors' shift from short-term thinking to treating gold as a long-term asset for preserving value in an environment of widespread uncertainty.
Markets are convinced that a strong dollar policy is no longer an absolute priority at a time when the global desire to diversify away from dollar assets is growing. Therefore, as long as real interest rates remain low and US geopolitical and political uncertainty persists, gold will retain its leading role as an alternative to currencies and bonds.
USDJPY is forming a strong ascending channelUSDJPY – 30M Timeframe | Bullish Setup 📈
USDJPY is forming a strong ascending channel, indicating continued bullish momentum 🚀
Price is reacting from channel support, creating a potential buying opportunity.
🔹 Buy Zone:
• 153.000 – Ascending channel support & key reaction area ✅
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ 153.900
2️⃣ 154.700
Bullish bias remains valid while price holds above support. Wait for confirmation and trade with discipline.
⚠️ Use proper risk management
This is not financial advice. Protect your capital at all times.
👍 Like | 💬 Comment | 🔁 Share | ➕ Follow for more market updates
EUR/JPY | Between NWOGs! (READ THE CAPTION) As it can be seen in the 2H chart of EURJPY, it opened the week with a massive NWOG, and it has been testing and retesting the NWOG since the beginning of the week. It also has been stuck in the last week's NWOG, going through it then coming back to it like magnet several times. Currently it is being traded at 183.400, just barely above last week's NWOG high.
I expect EURJPY to retest this weeks NWOG relatively soon.
Targets for EURJPY: 183.440, 183,600, 183.760 and 183.920.
Silver Is Digesting the Breakout — Continuation Depends Hello traders, Silver is currently trading near $114.60, following a strong impulsive advance that previously pushed price into all-time high territory. That expansion leg was sharp and initiative-driven, confirming that the broader bullish structure remains intact. Since then, price has transitioned into a controlled pullback and rotation phase, which is a typical response after vertical price discovery.
From a structural standpoint, the recent retracement remains corrective rather than impulsive. Price has pulled back toward the former breakout region around $112.60–$113.00, an area that now acts as a key technical reference. This zone represents short-term balance, where the market is reassessing participation rather than distributing aggressively.
Below current price, the highlighted demand zone around $104.80–$106.50 continues to serve as the major structural support. As long as silver holds above this area, downside moves should be viewed as part of a broader consolidation process, not a trend reversal. Buyers have previously defended this zone with conviction, and it remains the line that separates healthy digestion from structural failure.
On the upside, sustained acceptance above $116.00–$117.00 would signal that the consolidation phase has completed, opening the door for another expansion leg toward the $122.00–$124.00 region, where price may again pause due to profit-taking and liquidity interaction. These levels should be treated as reaction zones, not guaranteed targets.
Invalidation is clear and objective. A decisive breakdown below the $104.80–$106.50 demand zone would disrupt the current bullish structure and shift focus toward a deeper corrective phase.
For now, silver is not breaking down. it is digesting gains.
“Bearish Price Action Analysis After Rejection at Key ResistanceAfter an extended bullish rally, price has reached a key supply zone where strong selling pressure emerged, leading to a clear rejection from the highs. This rejection signals weakening bullish momentum and the presence of institutional selling at premium prices. The subsequent move lower indicates a bearish corrective phase, with price now heading toward a previously established demand/support zone. Failure to reclaim the prior highs and the formation of lower intraday highs suggest a short-term bearish market structure. If price breaks and closes below the support zone, it would confirm bearish continuation and increase the probability of a deeper pullback. Until then, any upside moves are likely to be corrective rather than impulsive.
SLV - Parabolic Exhaustion Play - $100 Puts Feb 13📉 Pattern Recognition Setup
AMEX:SLV just completed a 68% run from $65 to $110 in under 3 months. This isn’t normal commodity ETF behavior - this is meme-stock price action.
Key Observation:
The current parabolic structure mirrors the prior $30→$48 spike that collapsed violently after hitting exhaustion (see bar pattern overlay on daily). Same RSI divergence, same volume behavior, same exhaustion signature.
Technical Confluence:
• RSI: 74 (overbought with multiple bear divergence signals)
• Structure: Double top at $110 resistance zone
• Volume: 8h chart shows peak Volume surges mark local Tops/Bottoms
• Pattern Target: $88.91 measured move
• Historical Precedent: Prior parabolic collapse followed identical setup
Trade Details:
Entry: $100 Puts, Feb 13 expiration
Trigger: Close below $105 on 4H timeframe
Target: $88-90 zone
Stop: Reclaim and hold above $110 invalidates pattern
Risk Management:
This is a defined-risk speculation on technical pattern completion. When parabolic runs exhaust at resistance with stacked divergence, retracements are swift and violent - not gradual. Size accordingly.
Timeline: 11 trading days for execution
This is my own thoughts put together by Claude.ai
This is my own charting and my own words and thoughts gathered into a presentable form.
gold on sell#XAUUSD price await retest above 5559, 5575 for sell to pullback below 5447 more.
Sell from break above 5575, target 5447,5391, SL 5600.
We wait firstly when price touch 5559 to see if price will head 5575 but if reject can sell from there. 5601,5609 still holds reject on buy until valid breakout above.
Nasdaq At Perfect Area For Sell , Don`t Miss 500 Pips !Here is My 8H NASDAQ Chart , and here is my opinion , we again @ 26200.00 With 4H Candle , first time this area forced the price to respect it and moved very good to downside more than 2300 Pips , now the price trying to retest this area again , i hope we can sell from the same area and targeting 150 : 400 pips , and we all know that this area are very strong and will push the price to downside even if we have any fake breakout , the price will go down again and give us at least 200 pips ,so we can sell now and targeting from 150 to 350 pips or if you want to be more safe you can wait if the price go up a little and then enter when the price touch the high area again . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect First Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4- Over Bought .
5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
6- Old Res
BTCUSDT HISTORY CRASH ? Overall structure is still bullish on the macro level.However, the recent behavior shows loss of momentum and distribution near the top.Current price is around 88k, sitting inside a 35+ days consolidation range after a sell-off. Secondly a big confirmation allience that US Bonds market break the 40 years resistance that make sence the BTC history crash is ahead.
Buckle up !!!
GOLD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold was in a strong bullish trend, making higher highs and higher lows, which clearly shows buyers were in control. Price respected the ascending trendline, confirming overall bullish momentum.
Suddenly, the market experienced a sharp bearish impulse (strong red candles), which looks like a liquidity sweep / stop-hunt rather than a full trend reversal. This drop tapped into a major demand zone and also respected the rising trendline, where buyers quickly stepped back in.
After reaching this demand area, price showed a strong bullish reaction, forming a solid rejection wick and impulsive bullish candles. This indicates institutional buying and confirms that the zone is acting as support now, price is pulling back slightly, creating a potential higher low. This pullback is healthy and suggests a buy-the-dip scenario rather than weakness.
Bullish continuation expected if price holds above the demand zone and trendline, Gold is likely to continue upward toward the highlighted resistance area.
“If you come across this post, please like, comment, and share. Thanks!”
USDT Dominance(USDT.D%) RoadmapUSDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is one of the crucial indexes in the crypto market. Alongside token analysis, it’s important to consider this metric because an increase in USDT.D% often leads to a decrease in crypto asset prices.
Currently, USDT.D% has successfully broken through its support lines and even created a fake breakout above the resistance lines.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that USDT.D% has completed its 5 impulsive waves over the past 10 to 12 days, and we can expect a corrective downward movement.
Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks.
I anticipate that USDT.D% will begin to decline, potentially reaching the Fibonacci support levels. This decline could lead to an increase in crypto asset prices, especially Bitcoin .
Notes: If USDT.D% drops below the support zone(6.234%-6.090%), we can expect a significant upward trend in the crypto market.
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Market Cap USDT Dominance% Analyze (USDT.D%), 8-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
$ROSE / USDT update !!LSE:ROSE update 🌹
ROSE remains one of the **stronger trending tokens** right now. From a technical perspective, price **broke out of a symmetrical triangle** and is now coming back to **retest the structure** — which is completely normal after a breakout.
At the moment, ROSE is pulling back into a **confluence zone**:
• former trendline support
• key Fibonacci levels
• dynamic support below
👉 If this retest holds, we could see a **solid bounce and continuation to the upside**.
That would confirm the breakout as valid.
If price fails to hold this zone, then we may see a **deeper retrace** before the next attempt — but no major damage yet.
For now, this looks like **retesting strength, not weakness**.
Patience > emotions.
#ROSE #ROSEUSDT #CryptoTA
BTC Structural Breakdown: Rejection at $89k Leading to New 2026 This analysis covers the recent price action on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe, utilizing SMC to identify key institutional levels. After failing to hold levels above the $88,000 – $89,000 range, Bitcoin has entered an aggressive bearish expansion phase.
Key Technical Insights:
• Structural Shift (CHoCH & BOS): The chart displays a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. This confirms that sellers are now in control of the medium-term trend.
• Strong High vs. Weak Low: Price was rejected from a identified "Strong High" near $88,394. It is now targeting the "Weak Low" located in the yellow demand zone around $83,400 – $84,000, which aligns with fresh 2026 lows recently established below $85,000.
• Liquidity & Gaps: The aggressive drop has left behind unmitigated supply zones (red boxes). The large red arrow suggests a high-probability continuation toward lower liquidity pools as institutional sell-side pressure remains high, evidenced by over $160M in ETF outflows this week.
• Market Context: This downturn coincides with a broader Wall Street selloff and investors shifting toward gold as a preferred safe-haven.
Summary: The technical outlook is bearish. A recovery would require reclaiming the $88,000 resistance; otherwise, further downside toward the $81,250 support level is likely.
XAGUSD Bullish Breakout: Trend Continuation Toward 124.00This is a 30-minute XAGUSD (Silver vs USD) chart showing a bullish breakout within a well-defined uptrend.
Overall trend: Price is moving inside a rising channel, respecting an ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is above the cloud, confirming bullish market structure.
The cloud is rising and expanding, signaling strong underlying momentum and trend stability.
Key resistance & breakout:
A horizontal resistance zone capped price multiple times.
Silver has now broken and held above this level, confirming a bullish breakout.
Price action: Post-breakout consolidation shows higher lows, indicating acceptance above resistance rather than a false break.
Support confluence: The breakout level aligns closely with the rising trendline and the top of the Ichimoku cloud, strengthening the bullish bias.
Target projection: An upside target is marked near 124.00, consistent with trend continuation and prior structure extension.
Overall, the chart favors trend continuation to the upside, as long as price remains above the breakout zone and ascending trendline.
Falling towards pullback support?USTEC is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 25,801.30
1st Support: 25,361.85
1st Resistance: 26,481.54
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Selena | USDJPY – 4H – Bullish Structure Under CorrectionFX:USDJPY
The recent drop represents a liquidity-driven correction rather than confirmed trend reversal. Price is now testing a critical support zone aligned with previous demand and the lower boundary of the broader structure. Holding this region keeps the bullish continuation scenario valid.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 →
Sustained support above 151.00–150.60 may trigger a corrective bounce
🎯 Target 1: 154.00
🎯 Target 2: 156.50
🎯 Target 3: 159.00–160.00 (HTF Liquidity)
❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Invalidation) →
Acceptance below 150.00 would weaken bullish structure and open deeper downside.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 154.00 – 157.50
Support 🟢: 151.00 – 150.00
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice






















