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HYPE: Extreme Greed vs Reality99.4 RSI Says This Parabolic Move Is Living on Borrowed Time ⏰ We're witnessing one of those rare extremes that makes mean reversion setups nearly irresistible. RSI at 99.4 and MFI at 94.5 represent the kind of dual exhaustion readings I've seen maybe a handful of times in crypto, and they almost never end well for late longs. Price is trading 39% above equilibrium in deep PREMIUM territory, stretched like a rubber band ready to snap back to fair value. 1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉 • Price at $33.93 vs equilibrium at $24.44, a $9.49 deviation (39% overextension) • Trading deep in PREMIUM zone with bearish order block at $24.23-$23.77 representing last institutional supply before this parabolic move • 53.2% upper wick rejection at $34.85 high signals serious distribution at these levels • Volume at $3.99M (below $4.61M average), concerning lack of confirmation for a breakout this strong 2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️ Bearish Signals: • RSI 99.4, borderline absurd reading, extreme overbought • MFI 94.5, money flow completely exhausted • Massive upper wick rejection showing distribution • Price stretched 39% from fair value Bullish Signals: • 46.4% lower wick suggesting some support exists • Ascending support trendline intact at $22.36 (15 touches from $20.48/$21.10) • Dynamic support still holding The Conflict: While the trendline support remains intact, the lower wicks at these extreme overbought levels likely represent late buyers getting trapped rather than genuine accumulation. When you're this overextended with this kind of top-side rejection, the lower wicks are a trap, not a tell. 3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯 🔴 Scenario A: Mean Reversion (Primary Path) • Trigger: Rejection from current levels OR breakdown below $26.42 premium zone boundary • Entry: Confirmation of breakdown below $26.42 • Target 1: $24.23 (bearish OB, first meaningful support) • Target 2: $22.88-$23.97 (unfilled bullish FVG, these gaps almost always get filled) • Target 3: $20.48 (swing low and trendline anchor, 40% drop from current price) • Stop: Above $24.23 (not tighter, we need room for alternative scenario) 🟢 Scenario B: Continued Parabolic Extension • Trigger: Price holds ascending support at $22.36 AND reclaims $26.42 premium zone • Entry: Reclaim and hold above $26.42 • Invalidation: Breakdown below $22.36 trendline support (triggers CHoCH bullish failure) MY VERDICT The higher probability play is fade this move, not chase it. Dual momentum exhaustion combined with 39% overextension from fair value creates a textbook mean reversion setup. Wait for confirmation, either rejection at current levels or breakdown below $26.42, before entering shorts.
Short
by MonoCoinSignal
1
Bitcoin Bear Flag Breakdown in Play - Target $74k - $75kAnd this chart of Bitcoin we see the Bear Flag pattern playing out as forecast by the Red zigzag line a few weeks ago. Price pushed up directly into the Red Cell Zone which are just visualizations of limit sell orders on the order books. Similarly, there are strong limit buy orders in the buy support green zone below around 84 to 85k. But based on my prior study of the macro Head and Shoulders that likely will play out, even if we get it bounce here I do believe we will roll over and take out the buy support Zone below us and complete the Bear Flag measured move target down to 74k to 75k. This will likely be the bottom, as Bitcoin is never gone below the price it was when a new incoming president won an election. 74k was a prior resistance level flipped as support and I expected to hold. If it doesn't, then likely Bitcoin can head to 62k which would be the measured move on the macro Head and Shoulders in the prior study here. In the meantime, lots of uncertainty in the markets, that could drive prices either way in the short term. Today we have FOMC and although there is a 97% chance they do not cut rates, Powell's comments will be important and may move the markets depending on how hawkish or doveish he sounds. With war tensions in the Middle East and Iran's escalatory language, Market participants are staying out as they don't like uncertainty. On the other hand, hearing rumors that the US is buying Japanese yen to help prop up their currency and potentially start the money printer which would be bullish. The DXY is also heading down, and if it breaks the 95 level then typically we enter another bullish phase as we saw in 2021. Let me know your thoughts!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by BrettFogle
1
BTCUSD at a Critical Zone | Market Structure in FocusBTCUSD is currently trading around 87,900, with support near 87,000 and resistance around 88,200. Price action remains constructive as the market continues to stabilize above key support levels. Market participants will be watching closely how BTCUSD behaves around these zones to assess whether momentum can build for a continuation higher. If bullish conditions persist, the 90,000 level stands out as an important area of interest. As always, monitoring price reaction and structure around key levels will be crucial in understanding the next directional move.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FOREX_ODYSSEY
1
The Setup: Patience is the Edge Most traders will chase this breakout. I am waiting for the trap. The chart shows a textbook liquidity grab before a projected deep retracement. We are seeing a strong impulse, but the momentum is reaching a local ceiling. Technical Breakdown Trend Status: We are on bar 4 of a confirmed "Trend Up" cycle with a probable length of 18 bars. The macro momentum is in our favor, but the immediate move is overextended. Momentum Warning: The SMI is sitting at 88.51. This confirms intense buying pressure but warns that the "rubber band" is stretched. A snapback is coming. The Target Zone: I am watching the 0.70130 resistance. A rejection there validates the move into our green demand zone. The Buy Zone: The high-signal entry sits between 0.68752 and 0.69279. This is where the smart money re-accumulates after flushing out late-to-the-party longs. Execution Strategy Avoid the FOMO: Don't buy at the tip of the yellow arrow. Monitor the Retracement: Watch for price to descend into the green box with decreasing volatility. Confirm the Bounce: Look for the DMI green line to maintain its lead as price hits demand. Target the Expansion: Once the correction is complete, the path to new highs is clear. The Market Encouragement: Success in this move isn't about being fast; it’s about being positioned. If you have the discipline to wait for the market to come to your price, you've already won half the battle. Let the impulsive traders provide the liquidity. You provide the execution. Intentionality beats activity every single time. Stick to the zone.
Short
by casey_craft1226
1
Gold SellGold pushed to an ATH during London session, after a strong bullish end to yesterday's trading. We are expecting a slight correction / pullback, followed by a continuation to the upside. So while we wait for the buy opportunity, will look for a reaction at the London exhaustion for the short term sell. Buying could be from a reaction at the Asia mid-range exhaustion, however a deeper correciton to the Asia lows / exhasution zone, would be a greater opportunity for a long position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RicoChe1
1
USDJPY - Interventions strengthen the JPY (price decline)FX:USDJPY is in a negative rally phase, passing through the entire trading range, breaking through the daily timeframe support at 154.450 and closing below the level, hinting at a possible continuation of the decline. The dollar is falling, the yen is strengthening. The Bank of Japan intervened, which contributed to the strengthening of the national currency. The current movement may continue... The currency pair breaks through the fairly important support level of 154.500 (154.45) as part of the rally and closes below the level. Consolidation is forming on the local timeframe, which may be aimed at a further decline. A short squeeze in the 154.45 zone could trigger a decline to 153 - 151.8 Resistance levels: 154.45, 155.65 Support levels: 152.96, 151.85 A breakdown from the local consolidation could trigger a continuation of the decline, as could a retest of the nearest resistance (liquidity hunt). The market still has the potential to continue falling to 151.85 and to the intermediate bottom of 149.5. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
$XOM breaking ATHFor the past weeks, I been persistent in tracking NYSE:XOM forecast from different bank corporation and other firms. I have noticed it has been breaking the resistance level for the past weeks. Even if you look into the past month, the stock has increased approximately $18-$20. The way I view this opportunity is by breaking it down from technical analysis, price target trends, Crude Oil Futures, Weather Report, and Major Economical & Geopolitical tensions. Due to these reasons, it gives me enough confidence to purchase multiple call options at a strike price of $135 with an expiration date of 1/30. The goal is to sell the contracts before they release their earning reports. Many investors would say to "HOLLLLLLDDD" but I rather play it safe and take the profits before it crashes due to uncertainty. The Q4 FY2025 estimated EPS (Earnings per share) is predicted to be $1.68 which is lower than the previous Q3 earnings at $1.88. $EXOM has a history of beating expectations by $0.10 - $0.20 EPS. Therefore, the EPS may hit a target between $1.78 - $1.88 this Friday before market opens. Additionally, it has been stated from other analyst that NYSE:XOM revenue estimates hover around $82.85 billion which is less than Q3 Revenue at $85.29 billion. I can positively state that this company is a long-term growth for continuously being the major global refiner, its largest facility is the Beaumont Refinery in Texas. The forecast estimates per share and revenue prediction shouldn't phase any investor since this stock isn't dropping any time soon. Use this information as you wish. See you at the top!
NYSE:XOM
by ldircio2015
1
CC/USDT – Spot Buy Setup!Hey Traders! If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! CC has formed a clean rounding bottom / cup pattern on the higher timeframe and is now breaking above the neckline resistance — a classic bullish structure. This kind of breakout often leads to strong upside expansion, especially after long consolidation. 🔹 Spot Buy Plan Buy Zone: $0.155 – $0.165 Targets: • 🎯 TP1: $0.22 • 🎯 TP2: $0.28 • 🎯 TP3: $0.35+ Invalidation / SL: Close below $0.14 📌 Momentum is building, volume expansion is expected after this breakout. This is a spot trade, so manage risk and accumulate smartly. Patience pays in spot.
Long
by CoreCrypto1
1
XAUUSD – Relentless Bullish MomentumGold prices have set another record high today, as investors continue to rotate out of the U.S. dollar and aggressively shift capital into the precious metal. At the time of writing, gold is trading around $5,220, up more than $200 from the overnight low near $5,009. This level also matches the price target highlighted in our previous analyses , reinforcing the strength of the current trend. The breakout is unfolding as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s two-day monetary policy meeting remains in focus, alongside the highly anticipated press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Markets are closely watching for any signals that could influence expectations around future monetary policy. Across other markets, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped sharply to its lowest level in four months, providing additional support for gold by making it more attractive to global investors. From a technical standpoint, the bullish structure remains firmly intact. Gold continues to explore new all-time highs while holding steady within a short-term ascending channel. A modest pullback would likely represent an ideal buying opportunity ahead of the next leg higher. Current upside targets are seen in the $5,250–$5,300 zone. How do you view the next move for OANDA:XAUUSD ?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Win_Sama
3
$HYPE – Strong Momentum, Waiting for New StructureHYPE is currently one of the most talked-about altcoins. I’ve marked the key support and resistance zones on the chart. If price starts forming new structures within this range, I’ll update the analysis accordingly. A potential last buy opportunity would have been a daily close above 28.40. At these levels, I wouldn’t recommend fresh entries. If anyone entered earlier from this zone, taking profits at resistance makes sense, and if a breakout occurs, managing risk with a tight stop would be the safer approach. Price has shown strong momentum, so new formations are likely to develop. In the worst-case scenario, we could see a 4H flag formation, which might offer a fresh entry opportunity for those waiting on confirmation.
by tottimain
1
Brent Crude bullish trend breakout ahead?The BRENT crude oil remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 6508 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 6508 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 6758 – initial resistance 6840 – psychological and structural level 6920 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 6508 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 6430 – minor support 6330 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Brent crude oil holds above 6508. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BRENT
by Trade Nation
1
XAUUSD – 30M – Bullish Continuation StructureOANDA:XAUUSD After sweeping liquidity and forming a higher low, XAUUSD delivered a strong bullish leg. The current pause below resistance suggests absorption rather than weakness. As long as price holds above the 5,230 support, bullish continuation remains valid. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Clean break and acceptance above 5,330 🎯 Target: 5,380 → 5,420 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Failure to break resistance A rejection from 5,300–5,330 could trigger a corrective pullback toward 5,230, while structure remains bullish above demand. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 5,300 – 5,330 Support 🟢: 5,230 / 5,000 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research before trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
4
GOLD UPDATED: FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS – $5,131 Hit, NEXT?hey everyone — quick update on the GOLD Grand Supercycle Chart ( 2026 edition ). We've been riding this beast hard, and it's delivering exactly as mapped. We smashed through that first big fib target at $5,131 ( nailed it perfectly today ), printed a fresh all-time high around $5,190 on the 3W, and now... yeah, we're seeing the classic pullback kicking in. This looks like the transition from the end of the 3rd minor wave into the 4th — a healthy, needed breather before the final 5th leg of this minor cycle. Short-term roadmap right now: Expecting a correction down toward the $3,600–$3,500 zone (marked in red on the chart as that 3-to-4 wave dip). Could be sharp, could grind, but it's the shake-out most people miss or panic-sell. Support clusters there line up with prior structure, fib retraces, and the longer-term channel floor. Once that 4th wave bottoms, boom — 3rd wave of the minor cycle fires up, targeting ~$9,419 ( 3.618% extension cluster — clean alignment). After that? The chart tells the rest of the story: Micro 4th wave correction (probably multi-month, classic profit-taking / "gold is done again" vibes). Then Micro 5th pushes the envelope higher potentially topping near $22,744 (3.618%) , feeding into the Macro Wave 3 climax. Bigger picture stays unchanged: Macro Wave 3 potentially topping near $22,744 (3.618%), then deep Wave 4 shakeout, followed by the monster Wave 5 blow-off into $78,940+ (or way higher in full fiat-reset chaos — $100k–$250k not off the table if trust fully evaporates). This isn't hype — it's the same Elliott + fib + PA structure that's respected every major turn since the '70s. We're deep in the "price discovery" phase of Macro Wave 3, where third waves get parabolic and make doubters look silly. Smart money's been accumulating for years; now retail's piling in, central banks keep buying physical, and the fiat narrative keeps cracking. Dips like the one coming are the last real gifts before the next leg rips. Plan: Watch for confirmation of the $3,500–$3,600 bottom (higher lows, volume dry-up, reversal candles). Scale in on weakness if you're positioned — this correction is setup for the next impulse. Don't fight the trend; third waves extend, corrections get ugly but end. Stay sharp, manage risk, and let's see if we print $9k+ sooner than most think. Drop your thoughts below — you calling this dip to $3,500 or shallower? Positions? What a time to be watching gold... the system's hedge is waking up for real. Disclaimer: Not financial advice — just sharing the chart structure and my read. Do your own homework, trade your plan.
TVC:GOLDLong
by fibcos
4