Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Signal Buy Setup Entry: ~5,266 (Demand Zone after full retracement complete on 5m chart)
Target: ~5,290–5,300 (next resistance area)
Invalidation: Sustained break below 5,254
Reason: Price completed retracement into strong demand zone — buyers defending this level for potential continuation higher. Wait for bullish confirmation before entry.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #DemandZone #GoldTrading #Investing #PreciousMetals #InvestorNot financial advice — Technical observation only. Trading carries high risk of loss. DYOR and manage risk properly.
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EURUSD 1H Forecast TodayEURUSD 1H Forecast Today: Bullish Structure Holds, Weak High Is the Next Liquidity Target (Key Levels + Trade Setups)
EURUSD on the 1H timeframe remains in a clear bullish market structure after multiple structure shifts and expansions higher. Price is currently consolidating around 1.1984, just below the recent spike high, while the chart highlights a Weak High above. In this context, the market often seeks liquidity first, then decides whether to continue trending or rotate deeper for a better re-entry.
This plan is built around trendline logic, Fibonacci retracements, EMA alignment, RSI confirmation, and clean support/resistance execution.
1H Market Structure Read
The sequence of higher highs and higher lows confirms an active bullish trend.
The latest impulse created a strong displacement, followed by a tight consolidation under 1.2000.
The marked Weak High suggests buy-side liquidity is still present above the current range, making a sweep or breakout attempt likely.
Bias: Bullish until key supports break and 1H closes start failing to reclaim.
Key Resistance Levels
R1: 1.2000 (psychological + near-term decision level)
If 1H candles hold above 1.2000, continuation setups become cleaner.
R2: 1.2050 – 1.2060 (Weak High / liquidity top)
Primary upside magnet. Expect stop-run behavior and wicks.
R3: 1.2100 (extension zone)
Only becomes relevant after a clean break and retest above the Weak High.
Key Support Levels
S1: 1.1970 – 1.1950 (first pullback support / local base)
This is where bulls ideally defend to keep momentum healthy.
S2: 1.1920 – 1.1910 (deeper retracement support)
If the market rejects the Weak High and sells off with momentum, this is a high-probability reload area.
S3: 1.1870 – 1.1830 (major demand zone on the chart)
The most important support band visible. A revisit here often triggers strong reactions, but only trade it with confirmation.
S4: 1.1760 – 1.1730 (secondary demand shelf)
If price reaches this zone, it signals a larger correction cycle rather than a simple intraday pullback.
Fibonacci Map (Practical Intraday Framework)
Using the most recent bullish swing approximately from 1.1835 → 1.2055, key retracements sit around:
0.236: 1.2003
0.382: 1.1971
0.50: 1.1945
0.618: 1.1919
0.786: 1.1882
How to apply:
In strong trends, the best dip-buys often happen at 0.236–0.382.
If volatility increases, the market may seek 0.50–0.618 before continuing.
EMA and RSI Filters (To Avoid Low-Quality Entries)
EMA (suggestion: EMA20 and EMA50 on 1H)
Bull trend behavior: price respects EMA20; EMA20 stays above EMA50.
Warning sign: multiple 1H closes below EMA20 and failure to reclaim it, increasing odds of a deeper pullback to 1.1945–1.1919.
RSI (14)
Bull trend strength: RSI tends to hold above 50.
Watch for bearish divergence near 1.2050–1.2060 (price higher, RSI not higher). That often precedes a pullback even if the larger trend stays bullish.
High-Probability Trading Setups for Today
Setup A: Breakout Buy Above the Weak High (Continuation)
Condition:
1H closes above 1.2050–1.2060 with real body strength (not just a wick).
Prefer a retest of the broken level holding as support.
Execution:
Entry: on retest confirmation above 1.2050
Stop loss: below the retest swing low (or back under 1.2030 depending on structure)
Take profit: partial at 1.2100, then trail under new higher lows or EMA20
Best for: trend continuation sessions.
Setup B: Pullback Buy Into Fib Support (Best Risk/Reward)
Condition:
Price rejects the top and retraces into:
1.2003–1.1971 (0.236–0.382), or
1.1945–1.1919 (0.50–0.618) if the pullback deepens.
Execution:
Entry: after bullish confirmation (reclaim level, strong bullish candle, or minor structure break on lower TF)
Stop loss: below the pullback low (keep it logical, not tight)
Take profit: back to 1.2000 first, then 1.2050–1.2060
Best for: disciplined dip-buyers trading with the trend.
Setup C: Failed Breakout Sell (Countertrend, Short-Term Only)
Condition:
Price sweeps above 1.2050–1.2060 but closes back below with a strong rejection candle.
Extra confirmation: RSI divergence or failure to reclaim 1.2000 afterward.
Execution:
Entry: after rejection confirmation (avoid selling the first wick)
Stop loss: above the sweep high
Take profit: 1.2000, then 1.1970–1.1950 if momentum continues
Note: This is a countertrend idea. Keep targets realistic and manage aggressively.
Bullish Bias Invalidation (What Would Change the Plan)
Sustained 1H weakness and failure to hold 1.1950, followed by inability to reclaim it on pullbacks.
A clean breakdown toward the 1.1870–1.1830 zone would suggest the market is shifting into a broader corrective phase.
Conclusion
EURUSD 1H remains bullish, and the Weak High at 1.2050–1.2060 is the key liquidity target. The highest-quality approach is to either buy the breakout with confirmation and retest, or wait for a pullback into Fib-supported levels and execute with EMA/RSI alignment.
XAUUSD – Relentless Bullish MomentumGold prices have set another record high today, as investors continue to rotate out of the U.S. dollar and aggressively shift capital into the precious metal.
At the time of writing, gold is trading around $5,220, up more than $200 from the overnight low near $5,009. This level also matches the price target highlighted in our previous analyses , reinforcing the strength of the current trend.
The breakout is unfolding as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s two-day monetary policy meeting remains in focus, alongside the highly anticipated press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Markets are closely watching for any signals that could influence expectations around future monetary policy.
Across other markets, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped sharply to its lowest level in four months, providing additional support for gold by making it more attractive to global investors.
From a technical standpoint, the bullish structure remains firmly intact. Gold continues to explore new all-time highs while holding steady within a short-term ascending channel. A modest pullback would likely represent an ideal buying opportunity ahead of the next leg higher. Current upside targets are seen in the $5,250–$5,300 zone.
How do you view the next move for OANDA:XAUUSD ?
GOLD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold is moving in a strong bullish trend, clearly respected by the ascending trendline that has guided price higher since the 24th. The market recently made a sharp impulsive move upward, showing strong buying momentum.
After this rally, price has entered a healthy consolidation phase near the highs. This sideways movement indicates buyers are still in control, while the market pauses before the next move. There is no major bearish pressure visible at the moment.
On the upside, price is approaching a key resistance / supply zone near the top. This zone may cause a temporary pullback or consolidation before any further upside continuation.
Market Outlook as long as price stays above the trendline and support zones, the bullish structure remains valid.
Overall, Gold remains bullish, with the market showing strength, controlled pullbacks, and respect for key technical levels. Traders should watch for price reaction at support and resistance to confirm the next move.
“If you come across this post, please like, comment, and share. Thanks!”
SPX500 H4 | Bullish ContinuationMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 6,976.08
- Pullback support
- 23.6% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 2,946.65
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 7,017.09
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Toward Higher Highs🔍 Technical Analysis (H1):
Market Structure:
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure with clear higher highs & higher lows ✔️, firmly respecting the ascending trendline 📈.
Breakout & Momentum:
Multiple clean breakouts above previous resistance zones confirm strong buying pressure 💪. Each breakout is followed by healthy pullbacks, showing controlled bullish momentum.
POI → Pivot Support:
Previous POI zones have successfully flipped into support 🔄, and price is currently holding above the Pivot Point zone, which strengthens bullish continuation bias 🟢.
Current Price Action:
Price is consolidating above the pivot area, suggesting a brief pause before the next impulsive move higher ⏳➡️⬆️.
🎯 Upside Targets:
Target 1: 5,300 🎯
Target 2: 5,330 🎯🎯
Extended Target: 5,360+ 🚀 (if bullish momentum accelerates)
🛡️ Invalidation / Support to Watch:
Bullish bias remains valid as long as price holds above the Pivot Point zone. A break below may trigger a deeper pullback, not trend reversal ⚠️.
📌 Conclusion:
Overall trend is bullish, structure is healthy, and price action favors a continuation toward the marked target zone after minor consolidation 📦➡️🚀.
✨ Trade with the trend & manage risk wisely! 💼📊
NZDCAD – Counter Trend Sell Idea NZDCAD – Counter Trend Sell Idea 📉
Looking at a counter trend sell on NZDCAD as the pair shows early signs of topping. Multiple factors suggest a short-term pullback.
Why I’m considering a sell:
• Price is struggling at key resistance 🛑
• Momentum appears to be slowing ⚡
• Confluence of previous highs and trendline resistance 🏦
Targets:
• Take Profit 1: 0.8100 ✅ (conservative)
• Take Profit 2: 0.8000 🔮 (speculative)
Call to Action:
Watch for a clean pullback to enter 👌
GOLD: Overbought But Still Bullish? Gold sits at $5,278.21, exactly where EMA50 and EMA200 converge. This isn't random; it's a critical decision point where neither bulls nor bears have control. We're technically overbought across the board, yet momentum remains intact. The market is at equilibrium, and equilibrium requires patience.
1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉
• Price rejected at $5,298.26 (24h high) with strong lower wick (42.3%) showing buyer support
• Currently above Bollinger middle band ($5,103.12) but rejected from upper band at $5,295.97
• Holding above EMA20 ($5,109.86) is bullish, but sitting right at EMA50/200 confluence = no clear control
• Range: $62.99 (1.19%), standard gold volatility
2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️
Bearish Signals:
• RSI at 74.2 - overbought territory
• Stochastic at 89.6 - extreme overbought
• MFI maxed at 100.0 - maximum buying pressure
Bullish Signals:
• MACD still bullish (97.2 vs 84.2 signal)
• ADX at 39.3 - moderate trend strength intact
• Price structure holding above key EMAs
The Conflict:
Momentum indicators screaming "cool off" while trend indicators say "keep going." Equal buy/sell signals (2 each) with only 50% confidence, the definition of mixed signals.
3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯
🔴 Scenario A: Overbought Rejection
• Trigger: Failure to reclaim $5,298.26
• Target: $5,235.27 (24h low support retest)
• Move: ~$43 or 0.8% pullback
• Invalidation: Break below $5,220.00 (confirms reversal, not pullback)
🟢 Scenario B: Breakout Continuation
• Trigger: Conviction break above $5,298.26
• Entry: Confirmation above resistance
• Target: $5,320.00 (psychological round number)
• Stop: Below $5,278.00 (EMA confluence)
MY VERDICT
Risk-reward isn't compelling at this pivot. If you're long from lower, consider profit-taking at resistance. If looking to enter, wait for either breakout confirmation above $5,298 or pullback to $5,235-$5,240 support zone. Gold respects levels cleanly, let it come to you rather than forcing trades at equilibrium.
Day 97 — Grinding Back Profit in Short Squeeze ModeEnded the day +$204.85 trading S&P Futures. Operating on just 3 hours of sleep, the morning started rough with some losses due to a false signal as the market entered short squeeze mode. It was a grind, but I managed to claw my way back to profitability by the close. The MES market feels incredibly difficult right now—signals are mixed, and the relentless squeezing makes me hesitant that a sudden unload is coming. My plan moving forward is to size down to reduce risk while leaving just enough room to catch the downside if the rug finally gets pulled.
Day 97— Trading Only S&P Futures
Daily P/L: +$204.85
Sleep: 3 hours
Well-Being: Good
🔔News Highlights: *S&P 500 ENDS AT A NEW RECORD HIGH AS TECH SHARES RALLY AHEAD OF MEGACAP EARNINGS, FED MEETING
📈Key Levels for Tomorrow:
Above 6955= Bullish Level
Below 6950 = Bearish Level
📊Reviewing signals for today (9:30am – 2pm EST):
9:40 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DP Sell Signal,
9:50 AM ES1! Phase Change: Neutral :check~2:
9:50 AM MES Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check~2:
10:00 AM Market flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check~2:
10:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Overbought/toppy Signal
11:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Overbought/toppy Signal :check~2:
11:50 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Overbought/toppy Signal :check~2:
12:20 PM ES1! Phase Change: Bearish :check~2:
12:30 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DP Buy Signal :check~2:
12:54 PM MES Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
1:16 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Oversold signal
1:30 PM Market flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
BTC Next leg downI had a previous chart from early 2023 where I predicted BTC price movement based on previous cycles. (yellow bars)
In this chart I expected a double top around ~225k. We never reached that high and there have been many reasons for it over the past year especially. Sometime in 2025 when we hit our double top around ~125k I figured this was it. I adjusted the price estimation (yellow bars) down to match the new top.
The time axis was still pretty spot on. This is reinforced by the blue date range bars at the top as well. So I'd say we are getting ready for a big BTC sell off this year, heading toward mid ~30k
BTC: The Chart Designed to Wreck You (102k Incoming?)This current correction is extremely deceptive. I have re-labeled this chart more than 8 times, and this is arguably one of the trickiest price actions I’ve seen in my trading experience.
I am sharing this strictly for educational purposes only.
Honestly, trading a complex correction like this is reckless. I see people calling "longs" just because the correction is technically an uptrend or because of some EMA signal— Trading the direction of a correction drastically lowers your win rate compared to trading the main trend. This price action is designed to liquidate reckless and inexperienced people—you won't see it coming.
The structure might be shaping up as a Expanding Triangle to complete a W-X-Y correction.
* **W:** Zigzag
* **X:**
* **Y:** Expanding Triangle (Current)
Unlike standard triangles that contract, this structure shows increasing volatility. In these specific "Expanding" setups, the final Wave E often exhibits a blow-off top expanding significantly in price.
Potential Target:
If the "blow-off" play out, we could see a thrust toward **98,000 – 102,000**
Critical Levels & Invalidation:
- Watch **87,777**. If this level breaks, assume Wave D is extending.
* **Invalidation:** If **84,398** is broken, then this entire triangle idea is invalid.
* **C-5 Confirmation:** If the **80,604** is lost, it confirms C-5 is underway.
Field Brief: GSR and The Harvest MoonYesterday Gold and Silver both set new ATHs and set the GSR at 43.6.
In relative terms, this places silver in the 90th percentile of strength versus gold.
Historically, similar GSRs marked late-stage compression.
Across every instance after 2000 where the GSR compressed into the 40s or lower, the next year never stayed compressed.
The ratio reverted decisively, with avg expansion of the GSR the following year at 29% and aggressive expansions reaching 61%, placing the ratio between roughly 56 - 70.
In 1980, the GSR opened at 18.84, and closed the year at 39.74, for a 210% expansion.
On Silver that looked like opening the year $30, dropping to $11 and closing the year at $16.
Then it took nearly 3 decades for Silver to even touch $30 again.
Silver has outperformed aggressively, and positioning is overcrowded.
What comes next is harvest, not discovery.
It's 2026,
war is normalized, political dysfunction is the baseline, and crises are managed, monetized, and absorbed.
Gold is being accumulated quietly. Silver is being traded loudly.
Markets feel calm because they trust intervention.
That's conditional confidence
- and conditional confidence is fragile.
Geopolitical Tensions
Debt
Fragmentation
(trade blocs, friend-shoring replacing free trade, one GDP with different realities for asset owners vs wage earners)
Legitimacy Questions
(about Government, Money, Policy, Media)
But liquidity still flows, so markets prep instead of panic.
We are not in collapse but we are detaching from beliefs.
As I write this, GC closes the day with a new ATH at 5187, while SI closes on the sideline at 112. GSR now at 46.24.
Expansion has begun.
Go Sovereign.
Canadian Dollar vs. US Dollar. The Spring is CompressingIn previous posts, we have already begun to look at the key drivers of the US outperformance over the past decade.
The US market dominance has been largely driven by the rapid rise of tech giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet), which have benefited from strong profit growth, global market reach and significant investor inflows.
Unsatisfactory International Performance
Markets outside the US have faced headwinds including multiple stifling sanctions and tariffs, slowing economic growth, political uncertainty (especially in Europe), a stronger US dollar and the declining influence of high-growth tech sectors.
The Valuation Gap. By 2025, US equities will be considered relatively expensive compared to their international peers, which may offer more attractive valuations in the future.
Recent Shifts (2025 Trend)
Since early 2025, international equities have begun to outperform the S&P 500, and European and Asian equities have regained investor interest. Global market currencies are also widely dominated by the US dollar.
Factors include optimism around the following three big themes.
DE-DOLLARIZATION. DE-AMERICANIZATION. DIVERSIFICATION.
De-dollarization is the process by which countries reduce their reliance on the US dollar (USD) as the world's dominant reserve currency, medium of exchange, and unit of account in international trade and finance. This trend implies a shift away from the central role of the US dollar in global economic transactions to alternative currencies, assets, or financial systems.
Historical context and significance of the US dollar
The US dollar became the world's primary reserve currency after World War II, as enshrined in the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944. This system pegged other currencies to the dollar, which was convertible into gold, making the dollar the backbone of international finance. The United States became the world's leading economic power, and the dollar replaced the British pound sterling as the dominant currency for global trade and reserves.
The dollar has been the most widely held reserve currency for decades. As of the end of 2024, it still accounts for about 57% of global foreign exchange reserves, far more than the euro (20%) and the Japanese yen (6%). However, this share has fallen from over 70% in 2001, signaling a gradual shift and prompting discussions about de-dollarization.
How De-Dollarization Works
Countries looking to reduce their reliance on the dollar are pursuing several strategies:
Diversifying reserves: Central banks are holding fewer U.S. dollars and increasing their holdings of other currencies, such as the euro, yen, British pound, or new alternatives such as the Chinese yuan. While the yuan's share remains small (about 2.2%), it has grown, especially among countries like Russia.
Using alternative currencies in trade: Countries are entering into bilateral or regional agreements to conduct trade in their own currencies rather than using the dollar as an intermediary. For example, China has introduced yuan-denominated oil futures (the "petroyuan") to challenge the petrodollar system.
Increasing gold reserves: Many countries, including China, Russia and India, have significantly increased their purchases of gold as a safer reserve asset, reducing their dollar holdings.
Developing alternative financial systems: Some countries and blocs, such as BRICS, are working to develop alternatives to the US-dominated SWIFT payment system to avoid the risk of sanctions and gain true economic and political independence.
Reasons for de-dollarization
The move towards de-dollarization is driven by geopolitical and economic factors:
Backlash against US economic hegemony: The US often uses dollar dominance to impose sanctions and exert political pressure, encouraging countries to seek financial sovereignty.
Rise of new economic powers: Emerging economies like China and groups like the BRICS are seeking to reduce their vulnerability to U.S. influence and promote regional integration and alternative financial infrastructures.
Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts like the war in Ukraine have intensified efforts by countries like Russia to remove the dollar from their reserves to avoid sanctions.
Implications and outlook
While the dollar remains dominant, a more de-dollarized world is already changing global economic power. The U.S. may lose some advantages, such as lower borrowing costs and geopolitical influence. For the U.S. economy, de-dollarization could lead to a weaker currency, higher interest rates, and reduced foreign investment, although some effects, such as inflation from a weaker dollar, could belimited .
For other countries, de-dollarization could mean greater economic independence and less exposure to U.S. policy risks. However, no currency currently matches the dollar’s liquidity, stability, and global recognition, so a full transition is unlikely in the near future .
Summary
De-dollarization is a complex, ongoing process that reflects a gradual shift away from the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. It involves diversifying reserves, using alternative currencies and assets, and creating new financial systems to reduce dependence on the dollar.
Driven by geopolitical tensions and the rise of emerging economic powers, de-dollarization challenges the entrenched role of the dollar but is unlikely to completely replace it anytime soon.
Instead, it is leading to a more multipolar monetary system in international finance, increasing demand for alternative investments to the U.S.
Technical task
The main technical chart is presented in a quarterly breakdown, reflecting the dynamics of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar
CADUSD in the long term.
With the continued positive momentum of the relative strength indicator RSI(14), flat support near the level of 0.70 and a decreasing resistance level (descending top/ flat bottom) in case of a breakout represent the possibility of price growth to 0.80, with the prospect of parity in the currency pair and strengthening of the Canadian dollar to all-time highs, in the horizon of the next five years.
--
Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
SILVER (XAG/USD): Confirmed Break of StructureThere is a confirmed bullish breakout of an important intraday structure BoS on SILVER.
This development suggests a potential for further growth and expansion.
The subsequent medium-term objective for buyers is anticipated to be the 118.00 resistance level.
''Leverage is a Privilege, Not a Right''🔥 LEVERAGE, BROKERS, & THE EVOLUTION OF A REAL TRADER 🔥
(Why maturity in trading looks boring… and why that’s elite)
⸻
🔥 1. Leverage Is Not Power — It’s Exposure
Let’s kill the myth first.
Leverage does one thing only:
It increases exposure per unit of time.
That’s it.
It does NOT:
• increase edge
• improve accuracy
• fix psychology
• replace patience
🔥 Truth:
Leverage magnifies behavior, not skill.
If your execution is clean → leverage magnifies growth
If your execution is sloppy → leverage magnifies destruction
That’s why leverage feels like a cheat code early… and a curse later.
⸻
🔥 2. Why Beginners Fall in Love With Leverage
This phase is almost unavoidable.
Early-stage traders:
• don’t fully trust their edge yet
• don’t understand market cycles
• don’t see how often price comes back
So leverage becomes:
• speed
• validation
• excitement
• emotional payoff
🔥 The brain starts associating leverage with progress
When in reality, it’s just compressing time — for better or worse.
This is why most traders don’t blow accounts from bad analysis…
They blow them from urgency.
⸻
🔥 3. The Moment Everything Shifts
This is the rare pivot.
🔥 Awareness.
When a trader:
• understands structure
• reads inducement
• respects market phases
• knows where invalidation actually is
They stop needing leverage to feel profitable.
Because now they know:
“If this is real… price will give me time.”
That’s not hope.
That’s experience talking.
⸻
🔥 4. The Role of a GOOD Broker (This Is Underrated)
A good broker doesn’t just execute orders.
A good broker:
• enforces margin discipline
• limits reckless sizing
• keeps spreads honest
• removes casino incentives
🔥 This is huge:
A good broker protects your equity curve from your emotions.
Bad brokers + high leverage =
👉 overtrading
👉 revenge sizing
👉 dopamine addiction
👉 zero accountability
Good brokers introduce healthy resistance.
And resistance builds strength, not weakness.
⸻
🔥 5. Why Low Leverage Traders Last Longer
Here’s the paradox:
🔥 The better the trader gets… the less leverage they need.
Why?
• Their entries are location-based
• Their invalidation is tight
• Their patience is trained
• Their win rate stabilizes
They don’t care about how fast the account grows.
They care about:
• drawdown control
• psychological neutrality
• staying in sync with market rhythm
🔥 Survival becomes the priority — and survival compounds.
⸻
🔥 6. Market Cycles Change How Leverage Should Be Used
This is advanced, so lock in 🔥
Leverage should never be static.
📉 Manipulation / Distribution Phase
• leverage ↓
• size ↓
• patience ↑
• observation > execution
📈 Expansion / Delivery Phase
• leverage slightly ↑
• size increases only after confirmation
• continuation logic applies
🔥 Elite traders earn leverage from the market.
They don’t assume it.
⸻
🔥 7. Why “Starting Over” Hurts More Once You’re Skilled
This part is emotional but real.
When you were new:
• blowing an account was expected
• resets felt normal
Now?
• resets feel disrespectful to your growth
• they interrupt momentum
• they break psychological rhythm
🔥 At this level, leverage isn’t dangerous because of money.
It’s dangerous because it destroys continuity.
And continuity is where mastery lives.
⸻
🔥 8. The Account Manager Mindset (This Is Pro Level)
You’re no longer just a trader.
You’re becoming:
• a risk manager
• a capital preserver
• a system operator
🔥 Your job shifts from:
“How much can I make?”
To:
“How long can I stay optimal?”
That’s when:
• leverage is used intentionally
• brokers matter
• rules become sacred
⸻
🔥 9. The Ultimate Nugget (Read This Twice)
Here’s the real flex:
🔥 Any trader can grow an account fast.
🔥 Very few can grow one without restarting.
The market rewards:
• respect
• patience
• repetition
• restraint
Not aggression.
⸻
🔥 Final Truth (This Is the Line)
Leverage is a privilege — not a right.
When you treat it that way:
• your equity curve smooths
• your psychology stabilizes
• your confidence becomes quiet
• your edge gets protected
You’re not slowing down.
You’re locking in.
Patience is key, Tracking is the edge.
AUDNZD: Bullish TrendAUDUSD is positioned in ascending channel of support and resistance, moving on a momentum upward rise. in regards to the structure, we can spot the price heading down gradually to the higher support, as we anticipate retracement around this zone.
Possible scenario:
A confirmed reversal above the support, activates a long move eyeing 1.1660 as target.
Thanks for reading.
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27) Trend XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27)
Trend-following environment | Liquidity first, patience pays
Quick summary
Gold is still trending higher inside a clean rising channel, but price is now approaching a weak high / liquidity pocket where stop-runs are likely.
Macro backdrop adds fuel for volatility: reports suggest the US is pressuring Ukraine toward territorial concessions as part of peace talks — this kind of uncertainty often keeps safe-haven demand supported, but it can also create fast spikes + fake breaks.
➡️ Today’s rule: follow the uptrend, but only buy at liquidity test points. No chasing highs.
1) Macro context (why spikes are likely)
If markets start pricing a forced compromise in the Ukraine conflict:
risk sentiment can swing quickly,
headlines can trigger instant pumps, then sharp retraces.
✅ Safe approach: let price hit your zones first, then trade the reaction — not the headline.
2) Technical view (H1 – based on your chart)
Price is respecting an ascending channel and building liquidity around key levels.
Key levels (from the chart):
✅ Support / buy liquidity zone: 4,995 – 5,000
✅ Flip / reaction zone: 5,047
✅ Upper resistance / supply: 5,142
✅ Weak High / liquidity target: 5,192.6
✅ Extension target (1.618): 5,240.8
Bias stays bullish while inside the channel, but near 5,192–5,240 we should expect liquidity sweep → pullback behavior.
3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
A) BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation)
A1. BUY the pullback into the flip zone (cleanest R:R)
✅ Buy: 5,045 – 5,050 (around 5,047)
Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on M15)
SL (guide): below 5,030 (or below the reaction low)
TP1: 5,085 – 5,100
TP2: 5,142
TP3: 5,192.6
Logic: This is the best “trend-following” entry — buy support, sell into liquidity above.
A2. BUY deep liquidity sweep (only if volatility hits)
✅ Buy: 4,995 – 5,000
Condition: sweep + strong reclaim (fast rejection / displacement up)
SL: below 4,980
TP: 5,047 → 5,142
Logic: This is the strongest liquidity test zone on your chart — ideal for a bounce if price flushes.
B) SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction scalps only)
B1. SELL the weak high sweep (tactical scalp)
✅ If price runs 5,192.6 and shows rejection:
Sell: 5,190 – 5,200
SL: above the sweep high
TP: 5,142 → 5,085
Logic: Weak highs often get swept first. Great for quick mean reversion back into the channel.
B2. SELL extension (highest-risk, but best location)
✅ Sell zone: 5,235 – 5,245 (around 5,240.8)
Only with clear weakness on M15–H1
TP: 5,192 → 5,142
Logic: 1.618 extension is a common exhaustion pocket — don’t short early, short the reaction.
4) Key notes
Don’t trade mid-range between 5,085–5,142 unless you’re scalping with tight rules.
Expect false breakouts near 5,192 and 5,240 during headlines.
Best execution today = buy support, take profits into liquidity.
Question:
Are you buying the 5,047 pullback, or waiting for the 5,192 sweep to sell the reaction?
— Liam
USDJPY - Interventions strengthen the JPY (price decline)FX:USDJPY is in a negative rally phase, passing through the entire trading range, breaking through the daily timeframe support at 154.450 and closing below the level, hinting at a possible continuation of the decline.
The dollar is falling, the yen is strengthening. The Bank of Japan intervened, which contributed to the strengthening of the national currency. The current movement may continue...
The currency pair breaks through the fairly important support level of 154.500 (154.45) as part of the rally and closes below the level. Consolidation is forming on the local timeframe, which may be aimed at a further decline. A short squeeze in the 154.45 zone could trigger a decline to 153 - 151.8
Resistance levels: 154.45, 155.65
Support levels: 152.96, 151.85
A breakdown from the local consolidation could trigger a continuation of the decline, as could a retest of the nearest resistance (liquidity hunt).
The market still has the potential to continue falling to 151.85 and to the intermediate bottom of 149.5.
Best regards, R. Linda!






















