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Bitcoin - Must go down to retest this pattern + new ATH soon!Bitcoin recently broke out of the head and shoulders pattern and made a pretty strong uptrend. That's a sign of strength that Bitcoin will be ready to continue in the uptrend and go to a new all time high, but not yet! I still think that Bitcoin should retest the previous Head and Shoulders pattern at around 113,300 USD. It's because this is an important liquidity level and there are a lot of orders from traders, in other words - it's a strong point of interest. Alt season continues, so is it still good to hold Bitcoin? Not really, in my opinion you should be selling Bitcoin and prepare for a huge 2026 bear market. I expect Bitcoin to go down to 60k - 70k, but this is for another analysis. I really do not recommend buying Bitcoin, rather focus on altcoins, such as LINK or ADA. There is a potential of 50% to 200% profit in the next weeks, this is not possible on Bitcoin! Bitcoin is relatively weak, that's why a retest of the pattern makes so much sense. In a strong bull market it may go up, but in a weak bull market we see a lot of retests. It's even possible that Bitcoin will go a little bit below the head and shoulders neckline to test the 112k level or so. So be prepared for it! Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Xanrox
131
1000 USD: Coffee Bull Market Overview: Prices set to DOUBLE ☕ Coffee (Arabica, ICE “KC”) — Outlook to 2026 Where we are: Nearby Arabica trades ~405–410 US¢/lb after a parabolic 2025 on weather stress, thin deliverable stocks, and policy shocks. The Dec ’25 contract is ~400 ¢/lb. Big picture 2025/26: Official global production is pegged at a record ~178.7 M bags (robusta-led) versus ~169.4 M bags consumption; ending stocks remain tight near ~22.8 M. Inside that headline, arabica is the pinch point: Brazil’s arabica is down year over year on heat/drought, and multiple private houses flag an arabica deficit on the order of ~–8.5 M bags for 2025/26. ________________________________________ 🤖 1) Brazil 2025 flowering & 2026 crop execution (↑ to 9.5/10) Why it matters: Brazil is the swing producer for arabica; 2026 outcomes hinge on Sep–Oct 2025 flowering and the trees’ carryover stress from 2024–25 dryness/frost. Local co-ops in Cerrado report frost-related damage with six-figure bag impacts to 2026 potential. What we’re seeing: The latest national estimate cuts 2025 output to ~55.2 M bags total (arabica ~35.2 M), confirming a weaker arabica “off” year. Talk of a “super 2026” has faded unless rains arrive and stick through flowering and early fruit set. Why 9.5/10? A missed flowering or poor fruit set is the cleanest path to a 2026 arabica shortfall big enough to rip futures. ________________________________________ 🌍 2) U.S. 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee (new 9.0/10) Why it matters: The U.S. typically imports ~8 M bags from Brazil. A 50% tariff (effective Aug 6, 2025) distorts flows, inflates U.S. landed costs, and channels more hedging into NY “KC,” structurally supporting futures. Brazil trade groups directly linked August’s vertical move to the tariff shock. Why 9.0/10? If the tariff persists into 2026, basis stays elevated and retail prices remain sticky even if global aggregates look “adequate.” ________________________________________ 🧭 3) EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) go-live (↑ 8.8/10) Why it matters: Traceability/geolocation rules begin Dec 30, 2025 for large/medium operators (SMEs Jun 30, 2026). Compliance temporarily shrinks “eligible” supply and reprices differentials. Why 8.8/10? Early-2026 could see EU-grade shortages, wider diffs, and higher KC via arbitrage. ________________________________________ 📉 4) Exchange (ICE) certified stock drawdown (↑ 8.5/10) Why it matters: Deliverable supply amplifies squeezes. Arabica certified stocks ~0.67–0.78 M bags in early September—thin for the season. Why 8.5/10? With low float, any weather or logistics hiccup can air-pocket futures into blow-off spikes. ________________________________________ 🌡️ 5) ENSO/La Niña watch & Brazil rainfall tail-risk (holds 8.0/10) Why it matters: La Niña-skewed patterns risk ill-timed rain (flower knock-off) or too-little rain (poor fruit set) in Minas Gerais during Sep–Oct. Early September dryness was flagged; late-September storms are pivotal. Why 8.0/10? The timing of rain matters as much as totals; a mis-timed pattern is enough to dent 2026 yields. ________________________________________ 🇻🇳 6) Vietnam robusta recovery vs. water stress (↑ 7.8/10) Why it matters: Robusta tightness forced blend shifts. A rebound toward ~31 M bags in 2025/26 would cap KC via spread relief; persistent water stress/tree fatigue would keep robusta tight, forcing arabica to carry the world. Why 7.8/10? Binary swing factor: a real rebound cools spreads; a miss extends the squeeze into 2026. ________________________________________ 🏛️ 7) Policy & trade fragmentation beyond U.S. tariffs (↑ 7.5/10) Why it matters: Frictions and exemptions remain fluid. Retaliation or parallel measures could redirect flows to EU/Asia, move basis, and distort origin diffs. Why 7.5/10? The tariff is already biting; add-ons would compound tightness. ________________________________________ 💵 8) FX (BRL) & producer selling (↑ 7.0/10) Why it matters: A stronger BRL curbs farmer selling; a weak BRL unleashes hedges and pressures KC. Policy/inflation noise keeps BRL volatile. Why 7.0/10? Not first-order, but magnifies weather/policy shocks. ________________________________________ 🏭 9) Demand elasticity & substitution (holds 6.8/10) Why it matters: 2025 sticker shock clipped demand by roughly –0.5%. 2026 could stabilize if prices plateau; if retail rises further (tariffs/EUDR), more down-trading or substitution (robusta/other beverages) caps upside. Why 6.8/10? A genuine headwind to the $10/lb path unless supply breaks further. ________________________________________ 🚢 10) Logistics, certifications & differentials (new 6.5/10) Why it matters: Tight washed/tenderable pools, evolving ICE rules/diffs, and shipping bottlenecks can widen basis and squeeze deliverables. Why 6.5/10? Secondary, but adds fuel to any fundamental spark. ________________________________________ 📈 11) Spec positioning & financial flows (↑ 6.5/10) Why it matters: 2025’s run featured panic buying in a low-float market. Another weather scare + thin stocks invites CTA/momentum flows through round-numbers. Why 6.5/10? Not fundamental—but can yank KC vertically. ________________________________________ 🧪 12) “Record global production” optics vs. arabica reality (new 6.0/10) Why it matters: The record headline is robusta-led. Inside, Brazil arabica declines and exporters stay cautious. The market trades the arabica bottleneck, not the aggregate. Why 6.0/10? This optics gap sustains volatility—bulls can still win if arabica under-delivers. ________________________________________ Updated Catalyst Scorecard Rank Catalyst Score 1 Brazil 2025 flowering → 2026 crop 9.5 2 U.S. 50% tariff on Brazil 9.0 3 EU EUDR (Dec 30, 2025 start) 8.8 4 Low ICE certified stocks 8.5 5 ENSO/La Niña rainfall risk 8.0 6 Vietnam robusta recovery risk 7.8 7 Wider trade policy fragmentation 7.5 8 FX (BRL) & selling behavior 7.0 9 Demand elasticity/substitution 6.8 10 Logistics, diffs & certification frictions 6.5 11 Spec/CTA flows 6.5 12 “Record crop” optics vs arabica bottleneck 6.0 ________________________________________ 📊 Supply–Demand Snapshot — Why Arabica Is the Pinch Point • World 2025/26: Production ~178.7 M; consumption ~169.4 M; ending stocks ~22.8 M (still lean). • Brazil arabica: ~40.9 M (down ~2.8 M YoY); robusta records elsewhere (Brazil/Indonesia); Vietnam recovery penciled near 31 M. • Private balance: Arabica deficit ~–8.5 M for 2025/26 (vs ~–5.5 M in 2024/25). • ICE plumbing: Certified arabica ~0.67–0.78 M bags and trending lower → thin deliverables, higher tail-risk premia. ________________________________________ 🔍 Recent Headlines You Should Know • KC spiked toward/above $4/lb in early 2025 on panic buying, weather, and policy shocks. • “Record global crop” headlines coexist with lower Brazil arabica and tight ending stocks. • U.S. 50% Brazil tariff (Aug 6, 2025) credited with a ~30% surge in August. • EUDR deferred to Dec 30, 2025 for large/medium operators; compliance scramble into 1H26. • Early-Sep 2025 Minas dryness kept flowering risk live; markets watching late-Sep showers. ________________________________________ 🎯 Street & Agency Views (as of Sep 2025) • Early-2025 consensus had end-2025 ~$2.95/lb, expecting mean reversion. The market disagreed post-tariffs. • One multilateral outlook saw >50% y/y up in 2025, then –15% in 2026, assuming supply normalization and Colombia recovery. • Several trade houses continue to highlight a widening arabica deficit into 2025/26. Takeaway: Consensus expects some 2026 cooling, but policy + compliance + arabica weather can overwhelm “aggregate surplus” narratives. ________________________________________ 🧭 Pathways to 1,000 ¢/lb in 2026 (Aggressive Target) We’re already near 400 ¢. To reach $10/lb, the market needs a stack of arabica-specific shocks that persist into 2026: 1. Brazil under-delivers in 2026: Patchy/failed flowering (Sep–Oct ’25) and/or heat during fruit set reduce yields; 2026 arabica ≤ ~38–40 M. 2. Tariffs persist through 2026: U.S. 50% duty remains in force, lifting U.S. basis and rerouting flows; fewer tenderable lots into ICE. 3. EUDR friction bites in 1H26: Non-compliant lots stranded; compliant premiums surge; differentials widen and pull KC higher. 4. Certified stocks < ~500k bags: Roaster drawdown + limited grading/tendering triggers backwardation and squeeze mechanics. 5. Vietnam misses rebound: Water stress or tree fatigue keeps robusta tight; arabica must carry blends globally. 6. Pro-cyclical flows: Thin deliverables + headlines = momentum/CTA accelerants through round numbers (500 → 700 → 900 → 1,000). Probability assessment: Not the base case, but plausible if two or more of (1–4) coincide while financial flows amplify. Call it ~20–25% conditional on Q4’25 weather and policy staying restrictive. ________________________________________ 🧮 Scenario Framework (NY Arabica, nearby; end-2026) • Bull (30%) — Squeeze: Brazil 2026 < 40 M; tariff persists; EUDR tight; certifieds < 0.5 M; Vietnam under-shoots. Price: 800–1,000 ¢/lb (blow-off spikes possible above 1,000 on transient squeezes). • Base (50%) — Elevated & volatile: Brazil 2026 ~41–44 M; tariff partially eased or offset; EUDR frictions fade by 2H26; Vietnam rebounds. Price: 450–650 ¢/lb with episodic spikes on weather or logistics. • Bear (20%) — Normalization: Strong Brazil flowering → 2026 ≥ 45 M; tariff rolled back; EUDR compliance smoother; certifieds rebuild > 1.2 M; demand softens. Price: 280–420 ¢/lb (vol still above pre-2024 norms). ________________________________________ 🗓️ Watchlist & Timeline (what to track) • Sep–Oct 2025: Brazil flowering windows (Minas/Cerrado/N. São Paulo). Look for rain onset, follow-up, and heat bursts. • Nov–Dec 2025: Fruit set confirmation; disease incidence; updated 2026 potential. • Dec 30, 2025: EUDR go-live (large/medium operators). • Q1–Q2 2026: Compliance bottlenecks, EU diffs, tenderable quality flows into ICE. • All 2025/26: Tariff status, BRL swings, certified stock trajectory, Vietnam water/harvest updates. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Matrix (what flips the call bearish) • Timely rains in Sep–Oct 2025 and mild temps → robust fruit set; Brazil 2026 ≥ 45 M. • Tariff rollback or broad exemptions reduce U.S. basis support. • Vietnam outperform (> 31 M) relieves spreads; Indonesia robusta stays strong. • Certified stocks rebuild > 1.2 M bags by mid-2026. • Demand destruction accelerates (retail fatigue, substitution), capping upside. ________________________________________ 📌 Positioning Lens (informational, not advice) • Drivers of upside convexity: Brazil weather into October, policy stickiness (tariff/EUDR), and certified stock path. • Tell-tales of a squeeze: Steepening backwardation, diffs blowing out for compliant washeds, and rapid certified draw alongside rising exchange open interest. • Tell-tales of normalization: Strong flowering reports, improved grading pass-rates, certified rebuilds, and easing EU compliance premia. ________________________________________ Bottom Line • The base case remains elevated and volatile into 2026, not automatic mean reversion. • A credible path to 1,000 ¢/lb exists if Brazil’s 2026 arabica disappoints, policy frictions persist, EUDR pins EU-grade supply, and certifieds fall sub-0.5 M, with CTA flows doing the rest. • Conversely, timely Brazil rains, tariff relief, and a clean EUDR transition cap the rally and pull prices toward the high-$3s/low-$4s.
PEPPERSTONE:COFFEELong
by ProjectSyndicate
50
GOLD → Testing 3700. What to expect from the price going forwardFX:XAUUSD continues to rally. Ahead lies the psychological barrier of 3700, where the market may form profit-taking ahead of Tuesday and Wednesday's news... Gold is testing 3700. The bullish trend remains unshakable thanks to a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Expectations of Fed policy easing: There is a high probability of a 25 bps rate cut (possibly even 50 bps) as early as this week. Trump's pressure on Powell reinforces these expectations. Stagflation risks: Slowing growth amid steady inflation increases the appeal of gold as a hedge. Risks: Profit-taking: After a sharp rise, a short-term correction is possible in the psychological target zone of 3700. Retail sales data (today): Weak data will support gold, while strong data may temporarily strengthen the dollar. Fed decision (tomorrow): Even if the rate is lowered, a “sell on the fact” reaction is possible. Resistance levels: 3700, 3710 Support levels: 3685, 3675, 3657 Technically, since the opening of the session, gold has lost part of its daily ATR, and the upward movement may be zigzag-shaped, especially ahead of the news. I expect a correction from the market to 3685-3675 with the aim of rebounding upwards... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
Lingrid | GOLD Record Breaking Rally ContinuesOANDA:XAUUSD is maintaining bullish structure after bouncing from higher lows and breaking through the 3,670 level, reinforcing upward momentum. Price is now consolidating just below the resistance zone, with the upward channel continuing to guide direction. If buyers hold above 3,670, gold could extend its move toward 3,715, aligning with the projected resistance area. The strong impulse leg and supportive trendline suggest that momentum remains with the bulls unless key support is lost. ⚠️ Risks: A drop back below 3,670 could shift momentum and expose downside toward 3,625. A stronger US dollar driven by macro data or hawkish Fed commentary may weigh on gold. Sudden profit-taking near resistance could trigger short-term volatility and a retracement. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
19
GOLD → A s.triangle against the backdrop of a bullish trend... FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in anticipation of positive news from the Fed, namely a cut in interest rates. Against this backdrop, the dollar is falling, which only supports the price of gold... Gold is trading in a sideways range around $3650 at the start of a week packed with central bank events. Despite the lack of a clear direction, the metal is finding support thanks to several factors. Key drivers: Weak economic data from China, anticipation of the Fed's decision: On Wednesday, the Fed will almost certainly cut rates by 25 basis points, but there is a chance of 50 basis points. This supports gold. The tone of Powell's comments will determine expectations for further cuts. Technically, gold remains stable ahead of key events. China's weak economy and the Fed's dovish policy limit the potential for decline. A break above $3650 is possible with dovish signals from the Fed or an escalation of trade risks. Resistance levels: 3646, 3657, 3675 Support levels: 3630, 3620, 3600 As part of the formation of a “symmetrical triangle” consolidation, I will consider a retest of the consolidation support with the possibility of further growth (distribution). Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
XAU/USD | Gold Prints New ATH at $3,685 – Rate Cut Rally Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price broke the key $3,657 level, just as expected, and today it even printed a new ATH at an impressive $3,685! As you know, this week is the interest rate decision week, and markets are preparing for a rate cut — either 0.25% or 0.5%. Each scenario can have a different level of impact: a 0.5% cut could easily push gold above $3,700–$3,740. Right now, gold is trading around $3,679. As long as it does not break and close below $3,674, we can expect some sideways movement followed by more upside, with the first target at $3,700. However, there’s also an important FVG (Fair Value Gap) between $3,664 and $3,674. If the first scenario fails, gold could sharply drop to fill this gap. I hope this analysis was helpful for you — stay tuned for more setups based on this outlook!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
56
EURAUD Triple Bottom SpottedPrice on EURAUD has been in a strong downtrend, pressing lower with sellers in control. But notice what happens at this level. Price tests it once… bounces. Comes back again… And then a third time, buyers defend the level once more. That’s a clear Triple Bottom, a strong sign that sellers are losing strength, while buyers are building momentum. Now look at this: the real confirmation came when price broke above the neckline, the resistance that connects the swing highs between the three bottoms. That breakout tells us the shift is real! Strong and clean. And now he market drives higher. This is the Triple Bottom: a classic reversal pattern that often signals the end of a bearish trend.
Long
by TrendDiva
15
GOLD: Remains In a Very Risky PositionGOLD: Remains In a Very Risky Position The current price of gold is around 3643. Currently, the price is moving sideways within a triangle pattern (consolidation). The highest price ever reached was at 3675. The current picture is a bit complex, considering that after the Gold reached 3675 without news, it moved down when Israel carried out an airstrike on Doha during the last couple of weeks. Since that moment, GOLD has only been developing a larger correction without direction. Two possible scenarios are ahead but as long as we are in a strong manipulated trend, we have to be careful because it can resume the predominant trend again: If price breaks UP 3675 (blue arrow), gold can first test 3672–3675 (the all-time high). If it breaks that, possible next targets are 3712 and 3750 If price breaks DOWN 3627 (red arrow) It could drop towards these targets: 3612; 3583; 3545 and 3507 Key point: Market is very risky here because it’s close to all-time highs and stuck in a tight pattern. A strong breakout in either direction will decide the next move. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
20
Bitcoin - Daily Gap Inversion Aligns with UptrendBitcoin recently made a push higher that cleared local highs and swept liquidity above the previous range. This move created a temporary fake out before price sharply retraced, filling inefficiencies left behind in the market. After completing this corrective move, price has begun reclaiming structure and is now respecting higher timeframe demand zones. Daily Structure The daily chart continues to show a clean uptrend, with higher lows forming along the rising trendline. After the liquidity sweep, price retraced to test key imbalances and has since confirmed a bullish shift by inverting a daily gap. This gap has been retested multiple times, suggesting it is holding firm as support and reinforcing the bullish continuation bias. Liquidity Dynamics The sweep of liquidity at the highs cleared buy-side pressure, resetting the market. This type of liquidity event often precedes sustained directional moves as the market seeks out new inefficiencies and liquidity pools. For now, downside liquidity has been satisfied and the path of least resistance appears to be higher. Upside Scenarios If the inverted daily gap continues to hold, price could target the major resistance block above 120,000 USDT. This zone aligns with the previous rejection area, where liquidity remains untested. Any approach into this resistance will be key to monitor for continuation or rejection. Downside Risk Should Bitcoin lose the daily inverted gap and trendline support, further retracement toward 111,000 to 112,000 USDT becomes possible, where a deeper liquidity pocket and structural support remain. Until then, the higher low structure remains intact. Conclusion Bitcoin has absorbed liquidity, filled inefficiencies, and inverted a daily gap that is now holding as support. Combined with the ongoing daily uptrend, this strengthens the bullish outlook with a clear target toward the 120,000 USDT resistance zone. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
14
GBPUSD: Expecting ContinuationLet's observe the market structure on this pair. Price is moving inside a clean ascending channel. This shows clear bullish momentum. Price pushes up, then pulled back to retest the broken resistance. This created a mini break-and-retest setup inside the broader bullish channel. Once it held as support, confidence build among buyers. And it shows! From here, the projected target becomes the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which is around the 1.37160 level.
Long
by TrendDiva
23
Bitcoin fall ahead or breakout and new ATHstill the price is near 116K$ which is strong and major resistance of market and if it hold then heavy dump here will lead dump price even below 100K$ this time but also we can expect more rise and gain if we see valid breakout to the upside and then at least targets like 130K$ is easy one for bulls to reach. also possibility of long is a little higher now with altcoin season that is started or even more range here. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
by MMBTtrader
11
Complacency Before the Fall? Bulls in Control, But For How Long?Yesterday, I was debating whether last week’s consolidation was a rectangle (suggesting continuation) or, in fact, a triple top (hinting at correction). I began the session with a slightly bearish bias, but the reversal from support and the subsequent breakout above the consolidation’s resistance forced me to reevaluate. The breakout was clean, momentum followed, and the market even printed a new ATH at 3689. Unfortunately, my pending buy order wasn’t filled, so I remain flat for now—an important reminder that in trading, sometimes discipline keeps you safe, even if you miss an opportunity. Technical outlook: • Price broke above resistance, confirming bullish control. • The 3660 zone now acts as key support—any dips into that area can be treated as potential buying opportunities. • The measured target for this breakout points toward 3710, which could represent the next objective for the bulls. But here’s the psychological twist: The market feels euphoric and complacent at this moment. Historically, reversals from this type of mindset tend to be brutal. Traders get comfortable, start believing in endless uptrends, and that’s exactly when the trapdoor opens. Medium-term, I still anticipate a significant correction. Timing it is always the hardest part, but acknowledging the risk helps keep emotions under control. For now, bulls clearly hold the wheel—but they may not realize they’re driving toward a cliff. 🚀 Stay sharp, trade the trend, but don’t forget that markets punish overconfidence.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
20
Gold will correct to support area and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish, with the price action being guided by a well-established upward channel that has defined the trend for a significant period. The structure of this channel has been confirmed by multiple rotations between its support and resistance lines, originating from the deep 3370 - 3390 buyer zone. Currently, after a rejection from the channel's highs, the price of XAU is undergoing a healthy corrective phase. This pull-back has brought the asset into a critical confluence of support, defined by the 3635 - 3615 support zone and the ascending support line of the channel itself. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, which anticipates that buyers will step in to defend this key support cluster. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the conclusion of the corrective move and the resumption of the dominant upward trend. This would likely initiate the next impulsive wave higher within the channel's structure. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 3740 points, representing a new potential structural high and a measured objective for the next impulsive wave. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
25
President Trump Speaks, Israel Strikes—What’s Gold Gonna Do?Hey Guys, It’s been a while since I dropped a gold chart. Got a ton of requests—so here’s a fresh swing setup for you. Fundamentally, President Trump recently said “Trump says his patience with Putin is running out.” That kind of statement adds fuel to gold’s upside. Plus, Israel’s attacks in the Middle East are also pushing gold higher. Right now, gold’s in a resting phase. But I’m expecting a move toward $3700 either this week or next. Technically, I’m seeing a clean bull flag pattern. I always work with both fundamentals and technicals. That’s why my swing target is $3700. Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderTilki
61
Gold Surges - Shining Bright In Green.👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD trend? Yesterday, gold continued to shine with another strong session, climbing close to the 3700 USD target. At the time of writing, it’s consolidating around 3680 USD, showing that bullish momentum is still intact. Gold started the week trading near record highs, supported by a weaker US Dollar and falling US Treasury yields, as investors prepare for this week’s Federal Reserve meeting—an event that could set the tone for the rest of the year. The US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped to its lowest level in a week against major currencies, making gold more attractive. The next upside targets appear to be 3700 USD, followed by 3730 and 3750 USD in the short term. What’s your outlook on gold today?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
23
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Movement From : 3645 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
37
Gold (XAU/USD) –> Bullish Rectangle Pattern BreakoutHello guys! 💥Gold has been consolidating in a bullish rectangle pattern after a strong upward move. This type of pattern usually signals continuation, with price gearing up for the next leg higher. 🔹 Setup: The rectangle formed around $3680–$3690 support and resistance near $3689. A clean breakout above $3689 gives the entry signal for the continuation move. 🔹 Targets: First target: $3705 Second target: $3724 🔹 Stop Loss: Below the rectangle support ($3674–$3682) to stay protected against a false breakout. 📌 Conclusion: The bullish rectangle pattern suggests that Gold is preparing for another push higher. A breakout above 3689 opens the path first to 3705, and then to the extended target at 3724. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
11
AUDUSD – Testing the 0.6670 Resistance -->Breakout ? Hello everyone, let’s discuss OANDA:AUDUSD ! Today, the pair maintains its bullish momentum, trading near 0.6670 since the start of the session. The Aussie dollar is strengthening as demand for risk-sensitive assets rises, fueled by solid expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin its monetary easing campaign this Wednesday. Technical View: AUDUSD remains highly attractive as price continues to respect the ascending trendline, supported by EMA 34/89. At the moment, it’s testing the 0.6670 resistance zone – a key level that will decide the next move. If the pair holds above the trendline, a breakout above resistance could open the way for higher targets. What do you think? Will AUDUSD break through resistance and launch a fresh rally? Share your views below!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
12
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the upper boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD has reached the 3,700 resistance, forming a rejection wick that signals weakening bullish momentum at the upper channel boundary. ● A pullback scenario is favored, with downside targets aligning at 3,674 support first and then 3,656 if selling pressure extends. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold is facing renewed headwinds from stronger US Treasury yields, while dollar demand remains firm on expectations of a prolonged restrictive Fed stance. ✨ Summary Bearish below 3,700; targets 3,674 → 3,656. Invalidation on a close above 3,705. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
11
EUR/NZD – Trendline Broken, Bears Warming UpAfter touching the psychological 2.00 handle once more at the end of August, EUR/NZD started to fall. Last week, the pair finally broke below the rising trendline that had been intact since June — a technical signal that momentum is shifting. Following the recent low at 1.9627, the pair is now in a normal rebound. But rebounds after a trendline break are often just pauses before continuation. Once this corrective move is complete, I expect fresh downside pressure to return. My trading plan: • Look to sell rallies into resistance. • Expect at least a 500-pip decline, targeting the 1.9200 support zone. • The bearish scenario remains valid as long as price stays below 1.9950.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
10
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Not bad at all! We wanted price to come down into the red box early session which it did, it didn't extend, gave us the tap and bounce and then continued to completed the red box targets, Excalibur targets and LiTE targets all in one day! An extremely decent start to the week on Gold. As you can see on the chart, we're close to the red box above now and with the 4H candle yet to close we would say the better long trades were from way below. We have resistance at the 3685 level with key level support now 3665 which will need to break to go lower. For now, we'll stick with the plan into the Asia session. KOG’s Bias of the week: Bullish above 3610 with targets above 3655✅, 3667✅, 3671✅ and above that 3686✅ Bearish on break of 3610 with targets below 3605, 3597, 3580, 3565 and below that 3540 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3645 for 3654✅, 3657✅, 3670✅, 3685✅ and 3702 in extension of the move Break below 3630 for 3620, 3610, 3605, 3597 and 3885 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
9