Nifty on the verge of a Trendline breakout. Nifty did a great job today by closing above a very important resistance of 25128. Now the major hurdle seems to be near the trendline which is near 25228. Once this range is crossed the next hurdles will be at 25306, 25431 and channel top near 25579. The supports for Nifty are at 25128. Mother line support near 25021 which is also a mid channel support. (Making this area a very strong support). Followed by 24965 (Father line support). If by chance father line support is broken we can see Nifty falling towards 24806 or even 24601 which is the channel bottom support. As of now the shadow of the candle seems to be positive (Green).
To know mover about Mother line, Father line, Mid channel support / resistance, Chanel top resistnace and channle bottom support, trend line support and resistance (To understand the role of Mother line and Father line) or to be able to draw resistances and supports based on historic peaks and valleys you can read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. The book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version and is rated 4.8/5. This book teaches you Techno-Funda investing. (Techno Funda investing means Knowing which are Fundamentally strong companies and investing / booking profits / staying invested in them based on Technical analysis). The book has some more unique features like rating a stock with the help of Happy Candles Number wherein you can give a stock marks out of 100 based on Techincal and Fundamental analysis you have learned by reading it. Thus you can know if the stock is currently investible or not based on the marks it scores out of 100. The book also covers various aspect of behavioural finance. Lot of people who have read the book consider it as a hand book to equity investing. Buy the book you will not be dissapointed as the book is reasonably priced. Search by the key words The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation and you will get it.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Parallel Channel
EURCAD – Waiting for the Perfect ConfluenceEURCAD remains overall bullish while trading inside a rising channel.
At the moment, price is approaching the intersection of the channel’s lower trendline and the horizontal structure zone.
That’s where I’ll be watching closely for trend-following long setups, ideally a rejection or reversal confirmation around that confluence area.
As long as this structure holds, the bulls remain in control, and we could see a continuation toward the upper bound of the channel.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GOLD → The correction will provide a good opportunity for longFX:XAUUSD remains above the psychologically important level of $4,000, having corrected from a record high of $4,059. The market is awaiting Powell's speech, which could set the medium-term tone for the markets...
Key supporting factors: Uncertainty over the shutdown: The phased reopening plan has not yet been approved, which is keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Expectations of Fed easing: The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December is 80%, despite disagreements within the Fed.
As prices rise, the risks of a correction increase, especially against the backdrop of the Fed chair's speech.
Gold remains in a bullish trend. A correction to $4,000 looks like a healthy pause. Further dynamics depend on the Fed's tone and developments with the shutdown — a break below $4,000 is unlikely without new fundamental reasons.
Resistance levels: 4041, 4059, 4100
Support levels: 4001, 3986
Technically, gold has been rising without pullbacks for 35 days. The growth amounted to more than 22%. Accordingly, the market may form corrections, pullbacks, or consolidations within local timeframes. News may provoke such corrective maneuvers before the main movement. I consider the support levels of 4000 - 3986 - 3961 to be areas of interest. A retest or false breakdown could trigger a rebound and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF → Change in local trend. Confirmation...FX:USDCHF confirms a change in the downtrend and is ready to move into a distribution phase amid growth in the dollar index.
The dollar is breaking through resistance and may continue its bullish correction within the global downtrend. Against this backdrop, the Swiss franc is losing ground...
The currency pair is forming a breakout of the local trend. The breakout of the resistance of the ascending triangle confirms bullish action. As part of the distribution, the price may test local highs.
Resistance levels: 0.8071, 0.8132
Support levels: 0.800
A consolidation of the price above 0.800 may form an intermediate bottom, which will provide support for the bulls before the next run.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Testing 4050 - 4100. Need a pullback to tradeFX:XAUUSD is hitting a new all-time high, testing $4,050, and looks set to reach $4,100. This record growth is linked to falling interest rates and economic risks, which are causing money to flow into hedge assets...
Key drivers: The White House may announce civil service cuts amid the shutdown, which increases uncertainty. The probability of interest rate cuts in October is 95%, supported by the delay in data publication due to the shutdown. Global central banks continue to build up reserves. However, as prices rise, so do the risks of correction. The USD is also receiving support as a safe haven, which may limit further growth in gold.
Resistance levels: 4050, 4075, 4100
Support levels: 4020, 400, 3986
Technically, we need to wait for a slowdown and correction to take a full breath before further movement. I consider the local liquidity zones of 4020 - 4000 - 3986, 3961 to be promising areas of interest. I do not rule out the possibility of sharp shocks in the market, so we need to be prepared...
Best regards, R. Linda!
DOGEUSDT → Correction to 0.246. The hunt for liquidity BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P attempted to realize its potential after breaking out of the downward resistance. After updating the local maximum to 0.27, the price entered a phase of correction and consolidation...
Bitcoin slows down its growth after reaching the 125K zone. A correction may form in the altcoin markets due to the risk of profit-taking. For DOGE, there is a zone of interest at 0.2466
The price of DOGE has reached a strong resistance zone, where bears have increased pressure. A false breakout of 0.2653 - 0.2694 has formed. A sell-off is forming...
Resistance levels: 0.2653, 0.2694
Support levels: 0.2466, 0.2431, 0.2376
Against the backdrop of market correction, a downward rally associated with panic selling is forming. The support zone that is of interest to the market is 0.2466, and this zone is quite capable of stopping the decline. A false breakdown and holding the price above 0.246 - 0.243 may renew interest in growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
2-3% selloff incoming? Down to $651-655? Then BTD to $700+We've finally hit my target of $672 and while I still think we'll get downside after hitting this target, I don't think the sell will be as dramatic (yet).
I know everyone got bulled up after the price action today, but I think it's wise to be cautious here. Both the chart and the flows are telling me that we're likely to see a bearish move before we see more upside in markets.
I'm not looking for anything crazy, but I think 2-3% down to that $651-655 level is likely.
Then I think that will be a dip buying opportunity and that it's likely that many stocks (including SPY) can see new highs.
I've marked off new resistance levels should this idea play out.
Losing the support levels on the chart would be a caution for lower prices.
Novo Nordisk – 40-Year Supercycle Breakdown (Monthly)After nearly four decades inside a rising secular channel, Novo Nordisk broke below it for the first time ever in July 2025 . Since then, two consecutive monthly closes below the channel — coupled with two consecutive closes under the monthly EMA 100 (previously flawless support) — confirm a major structural shift .
The failure of bulls to reclaim either the EMA 100 or the channel underscores that bears are now firmly in control .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, price action since 1987 forms a clear completed 5-wave super-cycle , suggesting a larger-degree corrective phase is underway. A move toward ±$25 — aligning with the 23.6 % Fibonacci retracement of the entire advance — stands out as a primary downside target .
Even this level would represent only a shallow retracement of the full trend, implying that the current decline may still be in its early stages.
Very rare diamond patternThis very rare pattern usually indicates a change of trend. Is doing it in the weekly timeframe and setting up for a massive breakout of the descending channel. Also, oil is setting up an inverse HS and many of the big oil companies show bullish patterns. SL and TP are shown on the charts.
Good luck.
TSLA maybe retest support near 360$ but target is 700$Price is near channel resistance and red trendline sell pressure zone so we can expect short-term fall here like the red arrow but soon after that short-term fall we can expect heavy gain here like the green arrow on chart and targets like 600$ and more also if the red trendline break valid to the upside without that correction target can hit.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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NZDUSD | RBNZ’s Surprise 50bps Cut – Testing Channel SupportMacro Hook:
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand shocked markets with a 50bps rate cut, maintaining a dovish tone and signaling room for further easing. NZD/USD dropped over 1% following the announcement.
Technical Lens:
Price is now retesting descending channel support near 0.5750 after the sharp post-decision selloff. RSI shows oversold conditions, suggesting potential for a short-term pause if support holds.
Scenarios:
If 0.5750 holds → potential rebound toward 0.5900 resistance.
If 0.5750 breaks → opens room toward 0.5600 and extends the broader downtrend.
Catalysts:
Next RBNZ meeting in November (market now pricing another 25bps cut).
U.S. CPI and Fed commentary shaping USD direction.
Takeaway:
0.5750 is the key inflection zone — watch for confirmation if the channel base holds or gives way.
JUBLFOOD Strength at Support Indicates a Potential Rally AheadJUBLFOOD — Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
Monthly Timeframe:
JUBLFOOD is showing strong support on the EMA, with the first key support area positioned near the 580 level. This zone has historically acted as a major demand area, suggesting potential accumulation.
Weekly Timeframe:
The stock is currently trading near the 570–590 support zone, where the Supertrend indicator is also providing confirmation of support. Sustaining above this zone could trigger a potential reversal or upward momentum.
Daily Timeframe:
Both the quarterly and monthly pivot levels indicate strong support between 575–591, reinforcing this area as a crucial price base from a pivot-point perspective.
4-Hour Timeframe:
On the lower timeframe, JUBLFOOD is moving within a falling channel and forming a descending broadening wedge pattern near the 580 support zone. This structure suggests a possible bullish reversal if the price holds and breaks above the upper trendline.
if this level is sustain then we may see higher prices in stock.
thank you!!
EURUSD: Reversal from the Lows and Up MoveHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price of EURUSD has shifted into a bearish phase after a prior Upward Channel failed and broke down. This reversal led to the formation of the current Downward Wedge, a pattern that has been guiding the price lower.
Currently, the price is at a critical decision point. After a complex series of moves, it is now testing the lower support line of the wedge, which aligns with the major Support at the 1.1615 level.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea of a 'fake breakdown' at this key support. I'm looking for the price to dip briefly below the wedge's support line into the Support zone to hunt for liquidity, and then quickly reverse.
A swift reclaim of the wedge's interior would be a powerful signal that sellers are exhausted and a bullish reversal is underway. This is the key confirmation I am waiting for.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this reclaim. A successful reversal would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent rally is the Wedge Resistance Line at the 1.1670.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Short: Targeting 3870 on a Corrective MoveHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been moving within a clearly defined ascending channel, reflecting a persistent and well-structured bullish trend. This pattern has effectively guided the market upward, with buyers maintaining firm control and driving the price through several significant resistance levels, including 3375 and 3610. Such momentum highlights the continued dominance of bullish sentiment in recent sessions.
At the moment, the price is approaching a critical inflection point near the upper boundary of this channel. Following an aggressive rally, XAUUSD is now testing the channel’s ascending supply line, an area that often acts as a strong resistance zone. This is typically where selling pressure begins to surface, as traders look to capitalize on overextended bullish moves.
My short-term expectation is a corrective phase. I anticipate that the price may attempt a brief breakout above the channel’s resistance, forming a potential “fake breakout” trap for late buyers, before reversing lower. A confirmed rejection from this region would likely trigger a pullback toward the 3870 area, which aligns with prior structural support. Accordingly, I have placed my take-profit target at 3870. Manage your risk!
Gold can Start a Correction Towards 3855 SupportHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The broader market context for Gold has been decidedly bullish since the price reversed and broke out from a prior descending channel. This structural shift established a new uptrend, which has since been neatly contained within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action for XAU has been creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the asset is trading very close to the resistance line of this ascending channel, an area where sellers may re-emerge. My strategy is based on the expectation that the price will reach this line, be rejected, and then begin a corrective decline. I think after such a strong run, a pullback is a probable scenario. A confirmed reversal from this upper boundary would validate the short idea. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 3855 current support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
ETHFIUSDT → Correction to support consolidation. Rally?BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is correcting after updating its local maximum to 1.9382. The breakout of the 1.6775 zone is an attempt to start distribution after a long consolidation. Will the bulls hold this zone?
Bitcoin is correcting after a false breakout of resistance. Against this backdrop, the entire cryptocurrency market is declining. However, the trend is bullish and the fundamental background is positive. The end of the correction may resume growth in the market.
ETHFI on the daily timeframe is trying to move into a distribution phase after 5-6 months of consolidation. The trend is upward, and after breaking through resistance, a correction to the liquidity zone of 1.6775 is forming. A false breakdown, a change in market imbalance, and consolidation above 1.6780 could increase buyer interest, which in turn could lead to growth.
Resistance levels: 1.8980, 1.9382
Support levels: 1.6775, 1.5343
The chart shows two key levels - 1.6775 and 1.5343. If the bulls hold their ground above the nearest level of 1.6775, this could lead to a rebound and growth, which in turn would confirm the continuation of the distribution phase. Otherwise, the market may test the POC zone at 1.5343, and liquidity capture may in turn trigger growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → The correction will trigger growth to $4,000.FX:XAUUSD hit a new record high of nearly $3,977 and entered a correction phase to build up potential before further growth. Despite the local strengthening of the dollar, the upward trend continues thanks to a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.
Key supporting factors: Ongoing US government shutdown: The Democrats' fifth unsuccessful attempt to resolve the issue increases uncertainty. Markets expect two interest rate cuts before the end of the year.
China has been increasing its reserves for the 11th consecutive month, and global central banks bought +15 tons in August.
No bearish triggers: Any correction is seen as a buying opportunity.
Gold maintains its upward momentum. Breaking through $4,000 seems a matter of time if current drivers remain in place. Key risks are an unexpected resolution to the shutdown or hawkish signals from the Fed.
Resistance levels: 3977, 4000
Support levels: 3945, 3927, 3920
Technically, a false breakdown of support could lead to continued growth. A retest of 3945 is possible; a weak reaction could trigger a deeper correction, for example to 3927, before further growth.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Gold. Waiting NFP trigger? 7/Oct/25XAUUSD nonstop surging need some profit taking? what event trigger the heavy sell off? Coming this Friday delayed NFP? "time / cycle - wise" Look like "some cash out" not just from Gold but also equities market?. 4007.885 are the confluence zone of 1) Monthly R1 2) Parallel Line Resistance 3) AB = CD price volume. and many...P/s all impulsive wave consist of abc subwaves not 1,2,3,4,5 waves
BTC : REJECTION FROM CHANNEL TOPBTC is trading in a rising channel
Rejection from the channel top is clearly visible
Possibility to visit near channel bottom approximately 111000 zone
A risk to reward of 1:9
Keep SL near 125300
40% capital can be deployed.
Remaining position can be built slowly on lower low formation in hourly timeframe
Educational purpose only ..
NZDJPY – Retesting Upper Channel: Looking for Shorts!NZDJPY remains inside a falling channel on the 4H.
Price just spiked back into the upper trendline / supply (87.40–87.80), where sellers have reacted before.
As long as this red zone holds, I’ll look for lower-high + break-of-structure sell setups toward 86.30, then the 85.40–85.00 channel low.
A clean 4H close above ~88.00 would invalidate the idea and open room for 88.70–89.00.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Ascending channels trading applied to Gold current situation🔼 Ascending Channel – Explained Simply
An ascending channel is a bullish pattern — but not always a bullish ending.
It shows a market climbing step by step between two parallel rising lines:
the lower trendline (support) and the upper trendline (resistance).
🧠 Market Psychology
Buyers dominate, but sellers still show up at every swing high.
Each dip gets bought, keeping the trend alive —
until one side finally breaks the rhythm.
⚙️ How to Trade It
• Inside the channel:
Buy near the lower rail, take profit near the upper rail.
• Breakout play:
Go long on a confirmed close above resistance,
or short on a clean break below support.
• Stops:
Just outside the opposite rail — below support for longs, above resistance for shorts.
• Targets:
Use the channel height projected from the breakout point.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
• False breakouts happen often.
• Too-steep channels usually fail faster.
• Volume must confirm — low volume = fake strength.
• Statistically, breakdowns occur slightly more often than breakouts.
________________________________________
Key takeaway:
An ascending channel isn’t a promise of a bull run —it’s a structured climb that eventually ends.
Trade the rhythm, not the hope. 🎯
Statistically, in 57% of cases, up channels are broken to the downside
Gold now situation: the recent 1k pips is way-way-way to steep
Confirmation came with a drop under 3950 zone
Usually, in the case of such a steep channel, all the move is negated, so a drop to the 3850 zone.
However 3900 zone is strong support now, so a break under 3950 zone could lead to "only" a drop to this support.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 6 October 2025- Ethereum broke daily down channel
- Likely to rise to resistance levels 4755.00 and 5000.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently broke the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from the end of August (which encloses the previous intermediate ABC correction (2)).
The breakout of this down channel accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) – which started earlier from the round support level 4000.00.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 4755.00 (top of the earlier wave B) – the breakout of which will open the way for further gains toward 5000.00.






















