Patternanalysis
A Bitcoin Prediction (2024)In this chart, I uncover price levels across an identified cyclical pattern hidden within Bitcoin.
I was initially hesitant to publish this, as I had been pondering the theory for a few days. However, as the price approaches the Phase 2 level, I believe the timing cannot be ignored, and a reaction may be imminent as Bitcoin could be on the verge of breaking out into Phase 2... I've posted a screenshot prior to where BTC is now (below)
My discovery in finding this was not intentional nor was it believable. However, after identifying some familiar projective price targets deriving from Bitcoin's first cycle the compelling results left me intrigued and were enough for me to continue. Whilst continuously applying my method more and more results seemed to match with key pivotable phases. Once I hit 2020, I was sure to expect some variances, but to my surprise, there was not, and price levels were again matched to pivotable levels. It is to that point I followed through into 2024 and beyond. As stated in the chart there is no trickery rather, there is logic and reason. It appears, these predictions beyond 2024 are realistic and do not point to crazy moon boy levels. So with that, I leave this here to revisit and pay my respects.
Some Observational and Key Points:
I base some findings on a 2 x 8-year cycle rather than the conventional 4-year cycle. However, it may appear shorter than expected. Just as there are diminishing returns, there too is an aspect of diminishing cycle timing.
While cycles are often recognised by their low and high targets, not many observe the time it takes to surpass a previous all-time high (ATH) or low. This is interesting because Bitcoin does not exhibit this repetitive behaviour in its history.
I observed the peaks and troughs while noting the counts and periods across cycle phases and took a visual snapshot towards 2022-24 playing into more likely that of 2013-16.
I've projected 2 ATHs as a range due to the nature of placement. The first target is primary, and wicks above could stretch into the second. Projections are also based on a 2-week (close) timeframe.
Final comments:
This is not an indication to be mega bullish and is NFA. The chart merely highlights developments I've identified and is not certain to play out, although quite probable. It is more of a "let's look back and indulge" - at least for me.
Thanks and Enjoy!
The Unspoken Mystery behind SL Hunting - Example: EaseMyTripThe Unspoken Truth & Mystery behind Stop-Loss Hunting:
*** The Most Important Point ***
Many Training Academies & Experts say it is Most Critical to have SL, but where ? How much % ? In Equity Delivery Trading (Not F&O / Not Intraday) – when you have done thorough analysis of stock and sector, more than SL, patience is key. Understand the Unspoken Truth – In Trading, Money is not grown organically – the Loss of one person gets to another one as Profit.
If Everyone knows a scrip will bounce from a Strong Support – then how will Big Players make money ? By Cheating us, By Faking a Breakdown Scenario, By Stretching beyond our SLs. Although no one knows where we have placed our SLs, Big players know for the fact that a Retail trader won’t have their SLs beyond 10-15%. That’s the normal capacity. So, they try to shatter your patience, break your SL by a Fake Breakdown just beyond an average Retail player. Once our SLs have been hit, then they will pump in money aggressively to take the price Higher. This will hit the SLs of other set of Retail players who may have Shorted the scrip Intraday / F&O when the support was broken.
Voila – the Big Players now have hit SLs of Retail players on both sides and will take the price much higher. On a Chart – this will appear as “Wick” on higher timeframe. A proper Breakdown of Support on Daily timeframe will appear as Wick on Weekly and weekly breakdown appears as Wick on Monthly.
2) Pattern Negation:
While Taking a trade using Breakout patterns (Rounding Bottom, Inverted H&S, Cup & Handle etc…), the Pattern is Deemed as Negated when the price re-enters below the BO zone. But watch carefully on higher timeframe to ensure it is not a Fake Negation. At least we need to have patience to confirm negation of Pattern on Weekly Close. Even if it gets negated on Weekly – do not exit the trade on SL. Understand where the next major support is. Only if it is far down below – take a calculated decision to exit the trade on SL. Else hold patiently for the price to take support from the next Demand zone and bounce back. 9 out of 10 times (unless the sector itself is in negative sentiment) the price will bounce back / goes sideways accumulating power from the Demand zone.
In the case of EasemyTrip - The Falling Parallel Channel / Flag Pattern breakout happended on Weekly and it had to cross the resistance at 46 to be deemed a successful Breakout. But even after Breakout, the scrip started falling down sharply below the 46 Resistance zone on Daily. But look at the Weekly Candle - Only Wick below. for 2 Weeks Big Players tried to scare-off weak hands by faking Breakdown again and again on Daily Timeframe. But on Weekly - for both the weeks only Wick is below 46 and candle ended above 46 zone confirming the Flag Pattern Break-Out as Successful and Still Valid
Disclaimer:
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HBAR as a Good Example of Common Patterns & Measured MovesHBAR presents a good example of how simple market pattern trading using measured moves still work quite well.
As these are moves in crypto, the measured targets exceed recommended lengths for a typical pattern trade, yet still line up quite well in continuing to use the same measurements beyond 1x -> 1.5 or 2x.
First, a parallel channel containing a double-bottom, saw a nearly 4x measured move up on the weekly. Its highest wick, breaking 4x.
Then a rising wedge that could also be called a double-top, worked out for a nearly 2.5x measured move down back into weekly support; stopping inches above the stronger area of support near the bottom.
Also, if you look at HBAR's most recent weekly highs, they stopped right around the 1x measured target of the upward move, and is now pushing on the 1.5x measured target of the downward move.
Both measurements are still providing direction on where price might make pit-stops.
FDN - falling wedge patternWhat we can see on the chart is a falling wedge pattern.
The price is still moving inside the pattern, once it breaks above the trendline it can be a good momentum to enter long.
Do not forget to put the stop loss under the wedge .
Possible target area is shown on the chart.
NZDCAD PLAN.Hello traders around the world!
My name is Alexandre Karim and today I want to talk about NZDCAD for a possible long position scenario.
On the weekly chart we can draw a descending channel since April 2016 (Low at 0.86573) & November 2016 (High at 0.98831) till present taking multiple touches.
The descending channel shows us an upside gravity + on the higher time frame we can clearly see that the price made a "V shape" and a bullish correction after it.
If we zoom in to the daily chart, we can draw the upper and lower TL of this bullish correction.
Moving to the 4H chart, we can check our areas for a long position. The first one would be a reversal on the lower 4H TL and the second one would be a breakout of the upper TL + giving us a continuation after.
I will be focusing on the 1H chart to execute the trade.
These are two possible scenarios on NZDCAD!
What are your thoughts?
Remember, patience is key!
Wait for the perfect set up before entering any trade.
#ThePrimes
SQQQ on Bullish Signal Uptrend - Potential Recession is Coming SQQQ price closing on 50.24 USD where on the breakout of resistance level 48.68 USD yesterday. Notice that having a huge buying volume to support the breakout (cup and handle pattern), this indicate it is a strong bullish signal where investor can consider to take "Long" position on SQQQ with current price (50.24 USD). To be conservative, can take 46.19 USD as stop loss position which approximately 8.03% of risk.
This would possibly on strong upward trend while potentially NASDAQ would be on bearish trend. Most likely " Recession is Coming" ...
On the other hand, take a look on another chart regarding QQQ ETF which tracking on NASDAQ-100 Index:
Based on my humble analysis, we can see NASDAQ-100 index had formed "Head and Shoulders" pattern. Yesterday the chart just on the breakout support level position with high selling volume of transactions. This mean it is high possibility that NASDAQ might go into "free fall".
Thus, might be a good opportunity to trade SQQQ with manageable risk now (if practice stop loss of 8% from yesterday closing price - 50.24 USD)
“Past performance does not guarantee future performance. This is for just my personal opinion but not trading advise.”
📊 Chart Patterns Cheat SheetPatterns are the distinctive formations created by the movements of security prices on a chart and are the foundation of technical analysis.
A pattern is identified by a line connecting common price points, such as closing prices or highs or lows, during a specific period.
Technical analysts seek to identify patterns to anticipate the future direction of a security’s price.
These patterns can be as simple as trendlines and as complex as double head-and-shoulders formations.
🔹 Reversal patterns are those chart formations that signal that the ongoing trend is about to change course.
If a reversal chart pattern forms during an uptrend, it hints that the trend will reverse and that the price will head down soon.
Conversely, if a reversal chart pattern is seen during a downtrend, it suggests that the price will move up later on.
🔹 Continuation chart patterns are those chart formations that signal that the ongoing trend will resume.
Usually, these are also known as consolidation patterns because they show how buyers or sellers take a quick break before moving further in the same direction as the prior trend.
Trends don’t usually move in a straight line higher or lower. They pause and move sideways, “correct” lower or higher, and then regain momentum to continue the overall trend.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
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Wish 22 vs Amazon 2001If history is any guide...
It can go to $0.69 just for the memes! Wish to the moon! don't try to outsmart Wallstreet just try to think like them.
I have been wrong 100 times with this one! I just don't want to be 100 + 1!
This is what true risk/reward looks like! Everybody is scared to death and the majority sitting at > -70% losses...
Please do your own research and listen to nobody!!!
hard turn up for vixes1! puts have been lining up for a pump in vx1! and this is captured in uvxy hourly as a bullish engulfing in reversal in red territory sss candles. as long as we hold hourly lows vix and we cross above pivot turning sss signal green and printing a qqe long upper horizontals are in play.
CADJPY Wave And Trend Analysis and SignalBe sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
In the financial markets, in the technical analysis of Elliott wave theory and its different styles, it is like the letters of the alphabet to read the price movement on the chart and it helps us a lot to diagnose and predict the future price.
Fibonacci One of the good friends is a bargain and shows us good and useful support and resistance, especially if the combination of all types of Fibonacci expansion and retracement and the formation of a Fibonacci and PRZ range show us useful and interesting return ranges. Where there is potential for price diversion
Trend lines can be a great help to a trader who finds areas with potential for return or indeed resistance and support on the chart. By drawing the rand lines correctly, you will see that the price responds to these areas with surprise.
In general priceaction what dynamic trend lines are statically useful
ENV Wave AND PATTERN Analyzing Be sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
The structure of the diametric wave is forming in the B wave, or it is in the X-wave construction stage, or the biametric wave is not yet complete, and the F and g waves remain.
AUDUSD WAVE AND PATTERN ANALYSIS TRENDThis post is just a personal idea and analysis should not be the criterion for buying or selling
It seems to be in the g-wave and based on confirmation from other currency pairs such as eurusd, which has a negative correlation with this currency pair and the euro is bullish, this currency pair will probably fall to the specified range in the long run.
It may form in the same diametric microwave
The range I consider for the target is 0.47780
In the rectangles on the chart, the patterns formed in the past in microwaves are labeled in different time cycles and can be used for teaching and learning.
On the chart, I tried to segment as much as possible the educational tips related to the classic Elliott and Elliott in neowave style in the rectangles I drew and the formation patterns in different time cycles. I hope my efforts will be useful for educational materials.
My prediction is that the price will reach this level in the next 4 to 5 years
MOBQ Wave Analysis AND PATTERN It has a structure similar to abc and the minimum thrust up to the specified range can be observed
Be sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
EOSUSD WAve Analysis and PatternBe sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
The wave analysis of this structure that you see in the image has created in my opinion
SUPERTREND AND EMA x2 Strategy for XAUUSD SWING TRADINGTools(Indicators) used:
Supertrend Indicator from KivancOzbilgic no changes.
EMA used twice. Set Length on first EMA at 20 change color to Blue (any you want but I will explain using the settings used).
Set Length on second EMA at 50 change color to Yellow
CHART 5 MINS and UP but under 1H.
Preferred instrument is FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Strategy:-
We enter a trade upon confirmation of the following conditions.
1. When the supertrend suggests a buy. We confirm entry only when the blue line crosses the yellow from below.
If both the conditions are true we place a buy order taking the previous lowest point as stop loss and profit at 1:1
2. When the Supertrend suggests a sell. We confirm entry only when the blue line crosses the yellow line from above.
If both the conditions are true we place a sell order taking the previous highest point as stop loss and profit at 1:1.
This is the strategy that I am using and I have been able to close 90% trades in profit.
The strategy holds good almost every currency pairs and major cryptos. But I have not tried it on stocks. So reviews and suggestions are welcome to improve the strategy
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Disclaimer: The views expressed are for educational purpose only and do not constitute to trading advice. Please do your own research before acting on the views expressed herein.