Pfizer | Fundamental Analysis | LONG SETUP ⚡️Pharmaceutical giant Pfizer has been at the forefront of the industry, developing drugs to treat COVID since the pandemic began. Unfortunately, the world continues to struggle with different strains of the virus, most recently with the Omicron variant, but Pfizer's products are still in high demand, which will likely boost its results in 2022.
It's been about a year since the first COVID vaccine became available in the U.S., and a race has begun to ramp up production and dose distribution. Several companies have been working on vaccines, but the market has become a two-company market. The vast majority of the doses administered in the U.S. came from Pfizer and Moderna, two companies that developed vaccines using mRNA technology.
Pfizer and Moderna have developed mRNA vaccines that use the genetic code of the virus to trigger an antibody response in the human body.
Traditional vaccines use an attenuated form of the whole virus, which teaches the body to defend itself against it. This is essentially similar to how the body develops immunity after a person gets chickenpox, but the weakened virus does not make the person sick. Both types of vaccines achieve similar results, but pharmaceutical companies can reproduce the genetic code for production faster and easier than the virus itself.
Demand for the vaccine has increased primarily because of the ability of the virus to mutate into new variants. Initially, Pfizer's vaccine was supposed to treat with two doses, but as new variants emerged, many began to give a third shot (called a booster). Pfizer's original 2021 forecast called for 1.3 billion doses, but it ended up producing about 3 billion doses in 2021. Now, the company's management predicts that Pfizer will produce about 4 billion doses in 2022.
This is a tragic and challenging time for society as the pandemic continues, but Pfizer's leadership position has created tremendous benefits for the company. First, the actual sales of its vaccine have been enormous: The company's expected revenue in 2021 was $36 billion. By comparison, Pfizer's 2020 revenue was $41.9 billion; this means that the COVID vaccine nearly doubled Pfizer's business!
What's more, it was profitable for Pfizer. The company's earnings before interest and taxes, called EBIT margin, increased over the past year as the vaccine business grew. The company has also significantly increased free cash flow, which was more than $29 billion in the past twelve months, up from $11.6 billion in 2020. Increased free cash flow makes the business more sustainable, which gives Pfizer more money to invest in research and new product development, pay dividends, or strengthen its balance sheet.
As the Omicron option spreads, it is becoming more likely that COVID will not disappear entirely shortly. Pfizer recently developed an oral antiviral pill to treat early-stage COVID symptoms, and company executives estimate that 80 million courses of treatment could be produced in 2022. Although our focus today is on the next twelve months, Pfizer could potentially profit from the COVID treatment for several years.
Investors have reacted to Pfizer's COVID success; the company's stock is up 56% in the last year, a big gain for a company with a market value of $329 billion. Still, the market may not be valuing Pfizer highly enough.
If we want to value a stock by the amount of free cash flow that investors receive per share, we can look at the free cash flow yield; this percentage reflects how much of the stock price investors receive in free cash flow. We want to get as much free cash flow for our money as we can because it pays dividends, funds new products, and generally creates value for shareholders - it's like the "lifeblood" of a company. Accounting or non-cash items can affect earnings, so free cash flow can provide a fresh perspective on stock valuation.
Pfizer's increase in free cash flow this year resulted in higher returns because free cash flow grew faster than the stock price. Now that the stock has started to rise, yields are down, but we are still near multi-year highs, which means that the stock offers you more "value for your money" than it has for most of the last ten years. In other words, they are still cheap. With COVID firmly entrenched in our world, Pfizer retains its chances of success in 2022.
PFE
711 - Desperados: Momentum/Trend Cloud @ 7 - 12% correction to well over 23% on Trend... extremes.
Notice how Momentum has fallen below Trend.
A Picture of health or dysfunction.
IV
AAPL @ 61%
TSLA @ 63%
NVDA @ 77%
AMD @ 88%
and Beacon of Safety PFE @ 85%
Baba is now 90%
Pfizer is extreme as is Baba.
These are all later stage readings for Implied VX.
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All signs of a Shorter Term process of carving out a High prior
to the Ice Bucket challenge from the Federal Reserve.
PFIZER, INC Black Mountain Analytical Team in the previous Pfizer Idea update:
We see that the resistance line of the rsi indicator is broken in the monthly time frame, if the failure is not fake and has happened validly, we can expect good things from this company.
There is also a pulse of positive news from the company. (Pfizer and BioNTech Provide on Omicron Variant)
INVERSE MRNA... Ridiculously bullish.MRNA targeting $125 and it could happen FAST. Massive insider selling the past month and evidence is building that Omicron will leave the infected with a robust immunity. The case for vaccines is eroding by the day and hard to argue that the current orders for MRNA are not priced in. Very dangerous to be long PFE and MRNA right now
$PFE keep an eye on it.$PFE has been trending up for the past few weeks. mostly probably because of the covid variant and news. today it just reach the ATH and could possibly continues when they release a news for oral medication for covid.
average move of this stock is about .70 to $2.00 depending on a day.
on a smaller time frame, the momentum is almost reaching the exhaustion.
possible Put play tomorrow as people take profits after reaching all time high.
Hello Guys,
welcome to this free and technical analysis. ( mostly momentum play )
I am going to explain where I think this stock is going to go over the next day or week play and where I would look for trading opportunities.
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Pfizer | Fundamental Analysis | LONG SETUP | MUST READ 🔔Some people say that the Chinese word for "crisis" is composed of two characters, one meaning "danger" and the other meaning "opportunity. In fact, this is not the case. Nevertheless, the word often hits the mark. While many crises carry danger, they also often present opportunities.
In the case of COVID-19, we can certainly see this happening. To date, more than 5 million people worldwide have died from this viral infection. At the same time, numerous businesses made a lot of money during the pandemic by selling personal protective equipment, tests, therapies, and vaccines.
None of them benefited more financially than Pfizer. In the third quarter alone, the company reported $13 billion in sales of its COVID-19 Comirnaty vaccine. SVB Leerink analyst Jeffrey Porges estimates that Pfizer expects to make a staggering $131 billion on sales of the COVID-19 vaccine by the end of next year. But is this pharmaceutical company stock worth buying?
Let's first look at how Pfizer could make $160 billion on coronavirus over the next two years. First, we need to consider the company's projected revenue of $36 billion in 2021 from Comirnaty.
Porges believes that sales of the vaccine will actually be much higher this year. He expects that approvals and authorizations in many countries for booster doses and for children could boost Comirnaty's total worldwide sales to $59 billion in 2021.
The Wall Street analyst expects vaccine sales to drop to about $48 billion next year. So by the end of 2022, Pfizer's revenue from Comirnaty sales will be $107 billion.
But Comirnaty probably won't be Pfizer's only source of revenue from COVID-19. The company hopes to soon get emergency approval and approval for the oral antiviral drug Paxlovid in the U.S. and other countries.
Purges predicts that sales of Pfizer's COVID-19 pills could be about $95 million this year and $24 billion next year. If you add it all up, Pfizer's total revenue from COVID-19 sales would be about $131 billion over two years.
Pfizer shares the profits from the sale of Comirnaty with its partner BioNTech. Although the company's revenue will be huge, its profits from the vaccine will not be as large.
Sales of the COVID-19 vaccine are also likely to be lower in 2023. Porges, however, predicts that Paxlovid sales will grow to $33 billion in 2023. After 2023, though, the picture becomes less cheerful.
Many investors speculate that COVID-19 will be like the flu, requiring annual vaccinations. But it is too early to judge whether this will actually be the case. If not, Pfizer's revenues will fall markedly over the next few years.
Looking ahead, Pfizer faces a patent cliff beginning in 2026. Several of the company's currently best-selling drugs will lose patent exclusivity in the second half of this decade.
Despite these potential problems, it should be noted that there are three reasons why Pfizer stock is still worth buying.
Let's start with the most compelling one on the list, the dividend. Currently, Pfizer's dividend yields just under 3%. Given the cash flow the company will generate, there is a good chance that the dividend will increase.
Pfizer is also predicted to use its growing cash reserves to make business development deals. The company is expected to license more promising drugs developed by other drugmakers. In addition, many believe that Pfizer will make a major acquisition in the not-too-distant future. The right deals could go a long way toward offsetting the impact of the patent cliff, which is looming in a few years.
Finally, there is the possibility that sales of Comirnaty (or its successors) and Paxlovid will remain strong for a long time to come. COVID-19 could become endemic and bring Pfizer much more money over the next decade than anyone expects.
Given that Pfizer made $13 billion on sales of its coronavirus vaccine in the third quarter alone, it's understandable why investors are wary of the rapidly evolving threat posed by the new variant, dubbed Omicron. If Omicron proves to be as insidious as early reports suggest, it could well become a serious problem for vaccinated people and vaccine manufacturers worldwide.
But the fear of Pfizer's defeat of Omicron is quite premature. In fact, there is probably no company in a better position to solve such a problem as a new option, as an opportunity to rise to the next level.
The dangers of this crisis may not go away. And the opportunities for Pfizer may not disappear either.
ONCS - WEEKLY CHART DOUBLE BOTTOM? IS IT POSSIBLE? WILD.All,
I mean you can't tell me this isnt a textbook double bottom if this was on 5M its a buy. Crazy on a weekly chart. Would be a huge long position and wouild have to hold. Interesting. If this bottom holds here might actually buy and hold some just to see if we can get a 3-4 PT hit.
Moderna about to reclaim bullish Channel. Short-Term-BULLISH! Not financial advice!
With the new corona variant spreading fear all over the world, PFE and MRNA are running. I think it's possible for MRNA to reclaim the bullish channel, aka the Bull-Trap that broke down, when PFE announced the Paxlovid-med. I got in MRNA way to late, now taking a risky trade, since MRNA gaps like crazy, and there's always the chance that it'll brake down to be traded at skipped price-levels. I think one should watch out for PFE announcing Paxlovid being effective against the omicron variant, which could lead a lot of investors to switch to PFE.
Today I want to see MRNA reclaiming the bullish channel at $377,xx and hold within this channel.
From there on, it's more than a 30% ride to the top of the channel. But this stock has done crazy things like this in the past. Depending on how fast MRNA manages to reclaim the top, the price correlates with the last ATH at $494,xx. I think, if it manages to get back at the center of the channel, it will be rejected at the old resistance at $463,xx first, settle a bit and then trying to break the $500. My plan is to sell at $463 and then watch how things develop.
But remember if, you're not in it by now, it maybe is bad timing to get in at this pricelevel. Risk is way to high, because of the gaps. That is why I marked this trading strategy as Neutral.
Good luck in the markets!
Again, this is not financial advice!
PFE Pfizer to All Time HighIf you haven`t bought at my first call, when PFE was $40:
Than you should know that Pfizer’s vaccine with BioNTech SE is on track to be the best-selling drug product on a yearly basis and received backing from a European regulatory panel on Thursday to expand its use into children as young as five.
Still low PE Ratio (TTM) 15.42
Decent Forward Dividend & Yield 1.56 (2.89%)
The stock jumped also on the promise of its antiviral pill!
For me is a Buy even at this level!
11/28/21 PFEPfizer, Inc. ( NYSE:PFE )
Sector: Health Technology (Pharmaceuticals: Major)
Current Price: $54.00
Breakout price trigger: $54.90
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $52.00-$48.00
Price Target: $69.70-$71.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 252-268d
Contract of Interest: $PFE 6/17/22 60c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.70/contract
Pfeizer. Flat again. PFEThis is beginning to sound like a broken record.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
ascending channel, gains after earnings, short-time bullishNot financial advice!
We can clearly see the ascending channel of this stock. Even though the stock is running for quite some time now, I don't think it will actually stop before we see $54,XX.
After last earnings the stock gained about 20% and reached the top of channel after 14 trading days. From my point of view, since the last earnings reported were even better and the Covid-medication is on the way, there is no doubt that it will touch the top of channel again within a few days. If it does, it magically gained about 20% within 14 trading days after earnings.
Watch the last high closely, as PFE may get rejected there.
Not financial advice!
MRNAWe took a short on MRNA in the high 300's or so and now Moderna is in the mid 200's.
I'm looking for potential gaps to be filled on Moderna to the upside before any further move to the downside.
Possiblity is still there for further downside, although this one may try to get a dead cat bounce in here.
Targets :
280
340
226 LIS..
$EXPE PEG and Cup With Handle BreakoutI've put relevant notations on the chart. I'm putting this on my action list for next week. Many ways to play this one. If it opens in the upper wick that's strong. If that's the case I may go long with a stop below the day low or open. I may wait for a pullback but look for the gap to hold. It could also flag here for a few days or weeks. Either way this should be on your watch list. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
As a side note there are quite few gappers this week worthy of a watch list such as $GDYN, $SYNA, $LYV, $PFE, $GT, $TGI and $BA which I've posted an idea on.This list is only a few, it's been a great week for many stocks breaking out.
PFE is bullish with Aspen Trading Support & Resistance LevelsPFE has bounced up from support @ 41.5 using Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels.
Next target is 49.5 and a move above this level can lead to further upside.
More tailwinds, it is above 50 & 200 moving averages and PFE typically displays seasonal strength this time of year.
Please like, share and follow if you agree with the analysis.
Note - Aspen Trading S/R levels are invite only. They can be accessed through my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Pfizer | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read ⚡️Pfizer has grown an authority at being first. The pharmaceutical behemoth was the pioneer to introduce a coronavirus vaccine a year ago. Since then, it has had several other successes: bringing the COVID-19 booster to market, getting approval for its vaccine for adolescents, and most recently getting approval for a vaccine for children.
This has been followed by a lot of revenue. Moreover, the company recently raised its revenue forecast for coronavirus vaccines this year to $36 billion. Pfizer also raised its total revenue forecast to at least $81 billion as demand for the company's other drugs grows as well.
At the same time, the company's stock is up about 18% this year. So now the big question is: Is it too late to buy Pfizer stock?
First, let's look at Pfizer's performance now and what may lie ahead. Last week, Pfizer reported a 134 percent increase in third-quarter revenue to $24.1 billion. That includes sales of the coronavirus vaccine.
It's impossible to say exactly how much sales of this drug will grow after the pandemic, but it looks like sales of the vaccine could remain at the "best-seller" level for a long time to come. Experts say the virus will persist into the future, so we need protection - and that means regular vaccinations. As recent studies have shown, immunity declines a few months after the initial vaccination.
Let's take a look at what Pfizer itself says about future vaccine revenues. During its earnings report, the company said that some projections of vaccine revenue for 2022 look "very high," and offered more moderate projections. Pfizer projected vaccine revenue for 2022 at $29 billion, based on the delivery of 1.7 billion doses.
That's still a pretty impressive level. And that figure could be higher. Pfizer can produce 4 billion doses, and the company is still negotiating with governments.
Meanwhile, two elements are helping Pfizer continue to gain market share for coronavirus vaccines: the booster and the use of the vaccine in children and adolescents. The company is just getting started in these areas, so they clearly can help boost orders as countries plan the number of doses needed for next year and beyond.
The competitor's Moderna vaccine is not yet available for teens and children in the U.S. This means that Pfizer has an opportunity to dominate these age groups.
At the same time, Pfizer is moving closer to conquering another COVID-19 market: the treatment market. The company's investigational coronavirus pill is currently in late-stage clinical trials. The company says trial data could be available as early as this quarter. The potential pill could be a game-changer because it could be prescribed immediately after a person is diagnosed with COVID-19 and could be taken at home.
Competing company Merck, however, maybe first on the market with a potential pill treatment. It has already requested approval for its drug. But given the need for such a drug, both companies could generate billions of dollars in revenue in this area.
Analysts talk a lot about coronavirus. But the reality is that Pfizer has many other sources of revenue today - and potential in the future. This means that Pfizer can continue to thrive even if sales of the COVID-19 vaccine stall or decline.
The drivers of today's revenue are seven other drugs. Two of them, the blood-thinning drug Eliquis and the cardiovascular drugs Vyndaqel/Vyndamax, posted double-digit revenue growth in the third quarter. Pfizer has 94 programs in development. Of these, 29 are in phase 3 trials. This is cause for optimism about the company's ability to make up for possible declines in sales of its older drugs.
As mentioned earlier, Pfizer stock is up this year, but the stock is only trading at 10 times earnings guidance. This is a bargain, given Pfizer's near- and long-term growth prospects.
Pfizer's growing return on invested capital and free cash flow are two more reasons to be optimistic about the stock.
Pfizer is also a good bet for income-seeking investors. The company just paid its 331st consecutive quarterly dividend.
So, is it too late to buy Pfizer? Not if you're a long-term investor. Pfizer stock hasn't soared as fast as stocks of biotech companies involved in the fight against the coronavirus. And they're unlikely to do so in the future. But Pfizer has plenty of fuel for incremental earnings growth in the future - and that should lead to sustained, long-term stock price gains.
$PFE Monday EASY PLAY!!!!-Cloud breakout gives us some confirmation of trend reversal
-Ichimoku Twist tells us that the bullish volume / Pressure has overtaken the bears
- On Friday we closed super strong and the daily candle has some high Buying pressure
-Looking to take an entry on the next pullback if any OR looking for a NHOD break
- Looking at contracts 2-3 weeks out for safety and taking this one up to $51.96






















