Pivot
EURUSD Short: Targeting the 1.1560 Demand ZoneHello, traders! The prior market structure for EURUSD was a complex downward wedge, from which the price eventually broke out and entered the current consolidation range. This range has been established between the 1.1795 supply 2 level and a demand zone at the lows, with the price action rotating between these two key boundaries.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point. After bouncing twice from the demand zone at the bottom of the range, the price has rallied back up to test the key horizontal supply at the 1.1670 level. After a brief test, the price has been rejected from this area, showing that sellers are in control here.
My scenario for the development of events is a continuation of this decline from the supply level. I believe this rejection confirms the range is still active and that the next logical move is a rotation back down to the lows. In my opinion, the bearish initiative from this rejection will be strong enough to push the price to the demand zone. The take-profit is therefore set at 1.1560. Manage your risk!
Bitcoin can Reverse Sharply After this CorrectionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market structure for Bitcoin has turned decidedly bearish in the short term, following a significant breakdown from its recent triangle consolidation pattern. This corrective phase began after a failed rally to a new all-time high near 126000, which led to a prolonged and volatile period of price action, including a sharp drop to 102000. Currently, following the resolution of the recent triangle to the downside, the price of BTC is in a clear downward movement. In my mind, this final decline is a capitulation move that is heading towards a major area of historical support. I expect that the price will fall into the main buyer zone. I think that a strong and confirmed reversal from this zone will signal that the entire corrective phase is complete and that buyers are ready to re-take control for the next major trend. This would present a significant long opportunity. Therefore, I have placed my TP for this reversal scenario at the 116000 level, targeting a key area of prior price action and a logical first objective for a new rally. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Smart Money Absorbs as Max Pain Setup UnfoldsSTX has been quietly range bound for nearly four years, but the recent price action demands attention. While most alts printed fresh lows during the October 10th liquidation flush, STX held firm its wick didn’t breach the Selling Climax (SC), and volume surged. This Last Point of Support (LPS) signals strong demand and potential smart money presence (weekly timeframe).
Trade Scenarios
Option 1: Immediate Entry
Entry: Current price
Stop Loss: Just below the LPS
Targets:
TP1: Yearly pivot + major 50% level
TP2: If price breaks the range high, a projected range extension gives a minimal target of ~$42
These targets may seem ambitious, but they’re derived directly from the chart structure, no hopium, just data.
Option 2: Pullback Entry
Entry: Wait for a pullback near the EQ of the large wick
Stop Loss: Based on daily TF structure
Targets: Same as Option 1
Bitcoin may Rally Back Towards the 118000 ResistanceHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market for Bitcoin has experienced extreme volatility recently, with a powerful rally to a new all-time high near 126000 being completely erased by a sharp, news-driven decline down to 101000. This dramatic price swing has reset the market structure. Since that low, however, the price of BTC has staged a significant recovery, breaking back above the major 109500 support level and showing strong signs of a bullish reversal. Currently, the asset is in a minor corrective phase after this initial powerful rebound. In my mind, the strong reversal from the lows indicates that the sell-off was overdone and buyers are now re-engaging. I expect that the price will make a small corrective movement down to retest the major support level around 109500. I think a successful defense of this level, which also aligns with the buyer zone, will confirm the recovery is sustainable and will trigger the next major rally. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 118000 resistance level, targeting the top of the prior consolidation range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Euro will potentially Fall to 1.1680 After a Fake RallyHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market dynamic for the Euro has shifted from bullish to corrective after the price broke down from a prior upward channel. This structural change has led to the formation of a large downward pennant, a consolidation pattern that has been guiding the price of EURUSD lower. The market is currently trading near the resistance line of this pennant, with volatility compressing as it approaches the apex, signaling that a significant move is imminent. In my mind, an immediate breakout from this pennant could be a deceptive move designed to trap buyers. I expect that the price may initially break out to the upside and rally towards the major 1.1800-1.1780 seller zone. I think this rally will fail upon testing this significant area of historical resistance, creating a 'bull trap'. A confirmed and strong rejection from this seller zone would validate the overarching bearish scenario and likely trigger a sharp reversal to the downside. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 1.1680 level, representing a logical objective for the decline that would follow such a failed breakout. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Simple Trade Plan on Small Cap StrengthConfirmed, BU/LPS in Play
Another promising small cap chart showing strong technical alignment. After a healthy pullback, price has now printed a significant Higher Low (HL) right at the confluence of two major 50% retracement levels (macro and local). This zone has historically acted as a magnet for liquidity and trend continuation.
Adding to the bullish case:
We've seen a Jump Across the Creek (JAC), signaling strength
Followed by a clean Back Up / Last Point of Supply (BU/LPS), confirming the retest and potential for markup
Trade Strategy
Simple Execution Plan:
Entry: Current levels offer a solid entry opportunity
Stop Loss: Just below the BU/LPS zone. If price breaks below, reassess as this could signal a failed breakout or fakeout
Take Profit: Initial TP just below the R2 yearly pivot
Trend Management: Potential Trail stop loss beneath each new swing low to stay aligned with trend structure and maximize upside
TLX is Approaching a Pivotal JunctureWhile the prevailing trend remains bearish, a short-term relief rally wouldn’t be surprising given current price dynamics. If the price rallies toward the ~$20 level and faces a strong rejection, that would likely confirm a significant bearish Lower High, reinforcing the downtrend.
Scenario 2 envisions a break above $20, potentially driven by "positive news" that fuels retail optimism. In this case, we may see distribution by smart money, quietly offloading positions while retail investors chase perceived upside.
Scenario 3, while less probable in my view, involves a period of reaccumulation followed by a breakout. Though unlikely, it’s important to remain open-minded and balanced—markets often defy expectations.
Three Paths for VEEM: Pullback, Breakout, or BreakdownScenario 1 (yellow line): Strategic Pullback to Value Zone
Price retraces to the ~$0.67 region, aligning with a Low Volume Node (LVN) and the Fair Value Gap from the June candle. A bullish reversal candle in this zone would signal a high-probability long setup, suggesting accumulation at a key structural level.
Scenario 2 (green line): Breakout & Reaccumulation Above Resistance
The most bullish scenario unfolds if price decisively breaks and closes above the major resistance at $1.50. A successful reaccumulation above this level would confirm strength, offering a textbook pullback entry for continuation higher.
Scenario 3: (red line) Rejection & Macro Lower High
Price pulls back but fails to hold above the ~$1.16 zone, facing rejection. A subsequent break of the recent lows would confirm a macro lower high (LH), shifting the bias toward bearish continuation and invalidating bullish setups.
XAUUSD: The Correction Phase BeginsHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price of Gold has been in a strong uptrend since breaking out of a prior Downward Channel. This entire bullish phase has been developing within the confines of a large broadening wedge, a pattern that indicates expanding volatility as price makes higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, the price is at a critical point, testing the Broadening Resistance Line at the very top of this wedge. This test comes after a very strong and steep upward impulse, which often suggests that a trend might be overextended and due for a correction.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is a tactical short, based on the idea that this strong rally is due for a healthy pullback. Trends rarely move in a straight line forever, and the resistance line of this multi-week wedge is a high-probability area for sellers to step in.
I'm looking for the price to make one final, small push higher and then show a clear sign of rejection. The primary target for this corrective fall is 3500 points. As you noted, this is an intermediate target, not the major Support 1, making it a logical first objective for a pullback.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
AMD — Watch for Pivot Reversal or Trend ContinuationMarket view
Actual volatility is high, confirmed by the Volatility Bars indicator.
The rate of change in the SMA is decreasing, suggesting momentum is weakening.
The previous candle was a Doji, indicating short-term indecision.
Price closed below the prior day’s low, adding bearish pressure.
A potential Pivot Point reversal is forming.
This reversal setup is confirmed by increasing Convolution Probability, supporting a higher chance of a directional move.
Trade plan
Long (trend continuation): buy on a break above the August 19, 2025 open.
Short (reversal): sell on a break below the pivot reversal at 158.25.
Stop-loss and position sizing: use volatility-based stops (e.g., ATR multiple) and risk no more than a small fixed percentage of capital per trade.
XAUUSD Short: Sellers to Maintain Control at 3380 SupplyHello, traders! The macro structure for the XAU price auction has been defined by two critical pivot points, establishing a wide and volatile consolidation range. A major pivot point high was formed at the 3390 supply zone, while a subsequent pivot point low anchored the market at the 3300 demand zone. All price action since has occurred between these two dominant control zones, transitioning the market into a state of balance.
Currently, the price action is contracting within a large symmetrical triangle, signaling a compression of volatility. The auction is now at a critical inflection point, as it is directly testing the upper boundary of this formation. This area represents a powerful confluence of resistance, where the descending supply line and the horizontal 3380 - 3390 supply zone intersect, providing a key battleground for market participants.
The working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on sellers successfully defending this resistance confluence. It is anticipated that the price will make a final push into the supply zone before being rejected. A confirmed failure to break higher would validate the triangle's integrity and initiate a full rotation to the downside. The take-profit is therefore set at 3330, targeting the high-liquidity area where the ascending demand line converges with the horizontal demand zone. Manage your risk!
Two Ranges, One Breakout: TCL’s Wyckoff-Gann ConfluenceCurrently tracking two distinct Wyckoff ranges on TCL, each color-coded for clarity. The structure is clean despite a few lines—each range tells a story.
Accumulation Zones
Key buying opportunities are emerging at the LPS (Last Point of Support), marked by higher lows. These are classic signs of strength and absorption.
Resistance & Breakout Potential
Expect notable resistance around $15.55, but a breakout is likely. We’re approaching a Gann 4th-time breakout setup, which historically carries strong momentum. If price reaches this zone with expanding volume and wide candle spreads, it adds conviction for a Sign of Strength (SOS) and a potential pullback to retest.
Targets & Confluence For take-profit zones, I’m watching:
Yearly pivots
Range extensions from both Wyckoff structures (100%, 150%, 200%)
Gann extensions for harmonic targets
This setup blends structure, volume dynamics, and time-price symmetry. If the breakout confirms, TCL could offer a textbook Phase E markup.
*please note no time analysis is done, just looking at pathing
Strategic Reaccumulation Zone – NXT’s Next Move Is CriticalNXT is at a pivotal level and shouldn’t be overlooked. Price has rallied strongly off a clean April hammer, which aligned with:
Yearly S1 pivot
Macro 50% level (projected from ATL to ATH)
High volume confirmation
This confluence marked a powerful reversal. Price has now reached the 50% resistance zone from the ATH and April low. What happens next will likely define the longer-term trajectory.
Scenario Modeling
Scenario 1 – Most Bullish
Price breaks and holds above $14.48
Reaccumulation above this level
Sets up a challenge of ATH and potential price discovery
Scenario 2 – Strategic Pullback
Missed the April low? This offers a second chance.
Pullback to the Yearly S1 pivot (dynamic tool—watch where the local top forms)
A higher low here = ideal entry with strong R:R
Scenario 3 – EQ Demand Zone Entry
Price dips into the EQ zone of the April wick
Bullish candle off this level = high-quality entry
Converges with macro 50% ATL–ATH projection
will take much longer for price to challenge ATHs
Scenario 4 – Breakdown Risk
April low breaks
Downside targets: $6.96 and $5.78
Takeaway: This is a step-by-step reaccumulation watch. Let price reveal intent—each scenario offers a unique R:R profile. Stay nimble, stay strategic. I will update the chart when price settles
*please note, arrows are not time analysis
How Do Traders Use the Pivot Points Indicator? How Do Traders Use the Pivot Points Indicator?
Pivot points are a popular technical analysis tool for spotting areas where the price is expected to react, i.e. pause or reverse. Calculated using the previous day’s high, low, and close, they’re projected onto the current session to highlight potential support and resistance levels, especially useful for intraday traders.
Alongside stock charts, pivot point levels can be used in a wide variety of markets, including forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. As a versatile indicator, pivot points also come in many different types. This article breaks down the definition of pivot points, the variations traders use, and how they can fit into a broader trading strategy.
A Deeper Look at Pivot Points
A common question in technical analysis is, “What is a pivot point?” Pivot points trading, or pivot point theory, is a popular technical analysis concept used in a range of financial asset classes, including stocks, currencies, cryptocurrencies*, and commodities. The indicator assists traders in gauging overall market trends and determining possible support and resistance barriers.
How to Read Pivot Points
The pivot point indicator is static—it’s an average of the high, low, and close prices from the previous trading day. It includes three levels: pivot point (P), support (S), and resistance (R). If the price is above the pivot point, it is supposed to target resistance barriers. Conversely, if it’s below the pivot, it could move to support levels. Thus, support and resistance levels serve as targets or stop-loss zones. They remain constant throughout the period, enabling traders to plan ahead.
In the EURUSD daily chart below, the price is trading above R2; therefore, market sentiment is assumed to be bullish. R3 indicates the next possible price target. Should a shift below P occur, bearishness arises, and S1 becomes the upcoming support level.
Pivots are widely used with trend indicators such as moving averages and Fibonacci tools. In the chart below, Fibonacci retracements could be used to identify intermediate levels of support and resistance within widely placed pivots.
How to Calculate Pivot Points?
There are four key types of pivots, including standard, Woodie’s, Camarilla, and Fibonacci. While there’s no need to use a pivot points calculator—they’re calculated automatically when implemented on a price chart—it is worth looking at their formulas to understand how they differ from each other.
Note the labels for the following formulas:
P = pivot point
H = high price
L = low price
C = close price
Standard Pivot Points
Traders commonly use standard pivot points. Traditional pivots (P) identify potential levels of support (S) and resistance (R) by averaging the previous trading period's high, low, and close prices.
P = (H + L + C) / 3
S1 = (2 * P) - H
S2 = P - (H - L)
R1 = (2 * P) - L
R2 = P + (H -L)
Although they are popular among traders, they can produce false signals and lead to incorrect trades in ranging markets and during periods of high volatility.
Woodie’s Pivot Points
Woodie's pivots are similar to standard pivots but include a slight modification to the calculation. In Woodie's method, the close price is assigned more weight.
P = (H + L + 2 * C) / 4
R1 = (2 * P) - L
R2 = P + H - L
S1 = (2 * P) - H
S2 = P - H + L
However, their extra sensitivity can make them less reliable during choppy markets or when the price lacks a clear direction.
Camarilla Pivot Points
Camarilla pivots use a set formula to generate eight levels: four support and four resistance. They are based on the previous day’s close and range and multiplied by a certain multiplier. The inner levels (R3 and S3) often act as reversal zones, while R4 and S4 are watched for breakouts. Still, in trending markets, the reversals can fail frequently.
R4 = C + (H - L) x 1.5
R3 = C + (H - L) x 1.25
R2 = C + (H - L) x 1.1666
R1 = C + (H - L) x 1.0833
P = (High + Low + Close) / 3
S1 = C - (H - L) x 1.0833
S2 = C - (H - L) x 1.1666
S3 = C - (H - L) x 1.25
S4 = C - (H - L) x 1.5
Fibonacci Pivot Points
Fibonacci pivot points are based on the Fibonacci sequence, a popular mathematical concept in technical analysis.
They are calculated in the same way as the standard indicator. However, the levels of support and resistance are determined by including the Fibonacci sequence with a close monitoring of the 38.2% and 61.8% retracement levels as the primary price points.
P = (High + Low + Close) / 3
S1 = P - (0.382 * (H - L))
S2 = P - (0.618 * (H - L))
R1 = P + (0.382 * (H - L))
R2 = P + (0.618 * (H - L))
Despite their popularity, Fibonacci pivots can become less reliable when the price reacts to other fundamental drivers.
Trading with the Pivot Points
Although every trader develops their own trading approach, there are common rules of pivot point trading that are expected to improve their effectiveness.
Day Trading
Day trading with pivot points is usually implemented for hourly and shorter intraday timeframes. As pivot levels are updated daily and calculated on the previous day's high, low, and close prices, this allows traders to react promptly to market changes and adjust their strategies. Some traders prefer Camarilla pivots as their calculation takes into account the volatility of the previous trading period to produce pivot levels closer to the current price.
Medium-Term Trading
When looking at a medium-term analysis, weekly pivot levels are added to four-hour and daily charts. These are calculated using the previous week's high, low, and close prices, which remain unchanged until the start of the next week.
Long-Term Trading
For longer-term analysis, traders use monthly pivots on weekly charts. These levels, gathered from the previous month's data, offer a broader picture of market trends and price movements over time.
Pivot Point Trading Strategies
The pivot points indicator is typically used in two ways – breakout and reversal trading.
Breakout Trading Strategy
The breakout approach seeks to take advantage of market momentum by entering trades when prices break above or below significant levels of support and resistance.
- Bullish Breakout. When levels P and R1 are broken, and the price closes above either, it’s more likely a rise will occur.
- Bearish Breakout. When levels P and S1 are broken, and the price closes below either, it’s more likely the price fall will occur.
Strong momentum and high volume are two critical factors needed for a solid price movement in both cases.
Trading Conditions
If a breakout is confirmed, traders enter a trade in the breakout direction. A take-profit target might be placed at the next pivot level. A stop-loss level can be placed beyond the previous level or calculated according to a risk/reward ratio. Traders continuously monitor their trades and adjust their stop-loss levels to lock in potential returns if prices move in their favour.
Reversal Trading Strategy
The reversal strategy seeks to take advantage of a slowdown in market momentum by entering trades when prices stall at significant levels of support or resistance.
- Bullish Reversal. When levels S1 and S2 are not broken and the price stalls above either, a reversal is more likely to occur.
- Bearish Reversal. When levels R1 and R2 are not broken and the price stalls below either, a reversal is expected to happen.
Note: Reversals are always confirmed by another indicator or a chart pattern.
Trading Conditions
If a reversal is confirmed, traders consider entering a trade in its direction. The next level may be a take-profit target, which might be trailed to the next level if the market conditions signal a continuation of a price move. A stop-loss level is typically placed below a swing low or above a swing high, depending on the trade direction.
Pivot Points and Other Indicators
While pivots show where the price may reverse, there’s nothing to say a market won’t trade through these areas. Therefore, traders typically pair them with other technical indicators and patterns.
Candlestick and Chart Patterns
Traders often combine levels with specific reversal candlestick formations, like three black crows/three white soldiers or engulfing patterns, to confirm a change in market movements. For example, a bullish engulfing candle forming at S1 could reinforce the idea of a reversal at that level.
Moving Averages
When a pivot aligns with a major moving average, e.g. the 50-period or 200-period EMA, it strengthens the area. As moving averages act as dynamic support and resistance levels, an overlap can signal a strong area where a reversal might occur.
RSI and Stochastic Oscillator
Momentum indicators like RSI or Stochastic help judge whether the price is likely to bounce or break through a pivot. If it hits support and RSI is oversold, that adds conviction. But if momentum is still strong in one direction, it might get ignored.
Considerations
Even with strong confluence, these combinations can fail. Markets don’t always respect technical alignment, especially around data releases or sharp movements in sentiment. For instance, in stocks, pivot points may be ignored if an earnings release strongly beats analyst estimates. Instead, they are believed to work when treated as one piece of a broader technical framework.
Limitations
Pivot points are widely used, but like any tool, they have flaws. They’re based purely on past price data, so they don’t account for news, sentiment shifts, or broader market context.
- False signals in ranging markets: The price often oscillates around pivot zones in markets without a clear direction, meaning setups might not follow through.
- Less reliable during strong trends: In trending conditions, the price can blow past several levels without reacting.
- No built-in volatility filter: The points don’t adapt to changing volatility, so levels might be too close or too far apart to be useful.
- Lag in real-time shifts: Since pivots are pre-calculated, they don’t adjust mid-session as new data emerges.
Final Thoughts
Pivot points are widely used in stock trading as well as in commodity, cryptocurrency*, and currency markets. While they can be useful tools, their limitations cannot be overlooked. It is essential to conduct a comprehensive analysis and confirm the indicator signals with fundamental and technical analysis tools.
FAQ
What Is a Pivot Point in Trading?
The pivot point meaning refers to a technical analysis tool used to identify potential support and resistance levels. It’s calculated using the previous day’s high, low, and close prices, and helps traders find areas where the price may react during the current session.
What Is the Best Indicator for Pivot Points?
There isn’t one best indicator, but traders often pair pivot points with moving averages, RSI, or candlestick patterns to confirm a potential reversal. The most effective setup usually depends on the strategy and market conditions.
What Are the Pivot Points’ R1, R2, and R3?
R1, R2, and R3 are resistance levels above the central point. They represent increasingly stronger potential resistance zones where the price may stall or reverse.
Which Is Better, Fibonacci or Camarilla?
Fibonacci offers wider levels based on retracement ratios, useful in trending markets. Camarilla focuses on tighter reversal zones, which are mostly used for intraday strategies. Each suits different trading styles; neither is objectively better.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FDAX Today 1. Wave (3) likely near completion:
Price hit the 1.618 extension of Wave 1, which is textbook for a Wave 3 target.
There’s also confluence with the 23.6% retracement from the previous swing high (24,703), and we're near a Bearish FVG + Order Block zone.
High-probability zone for a short-term rejection or distribution top.
2. Wave (4) could start today
If Wave 3 is topping into OpEx, dealers might unwind long gamma hedges, contributing to volatility + pullback.
EURUSD Bearish SMC Setup | Premium Supply Rejection + CHoCH +FVGPair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Price reacted strongly from a Premium Selling Zone, forming multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations.
🔻 Red Zones indicate strong institutional selling
🔺 Weak High is now likely to remain protected
Market structure has shifted bearish, and price is targeting imbalances (IMB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) below.
⸻
✅ Entry: Taken from the premium supply rejection
🎯 Target 1: 1.16000 – Minor imbalance fill
🎯 Target 2: 1.15000 – Mid-level demand
🎯 Final Target: 1.14500 – Major liquidity zone
❌ Invalidation: Clean break above 1.18000
⸻
📉 Smart Money Confirmation Setup:
• Premium Supply
• CHoCH
• BOS
• FVG & IMB below
🔄 Missed the entry? Wait for a pullback into lower OB or supply zone.
#EURUSD #SmartMoney #SMC #CHoCH #BOS #FVG #OrderBlock #Forex #LiquiditySweep #SupplyDemand
Everybody loves Gold Part 6Great week in Part 5.
Starting this week with a strong bias towards the upside.
Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics:
1. Expecting price to break past green line, level of significance (LOS) for continuation up
2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from -50/-100 or -150pips to the upside
3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way
As always price action determines trades
Upward Momentum, Caution Near 106,500–110,000 Resistance__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
Momentum: Strong bullish bias on mid/long-term (1D-4H), short-term "Down" divergences (1H/2H). Overall alignment, no capitulation/euphoria signals.
Key supports / resistances: Supports at 103,300/102,600 (D Pivot Low, 720 Pivot). Major resistances: 106,480–109,952. Price compression under daily/weekly resistance, technical rejection risk.
Volumes: Normal to moderately high, 1H abnormal volumes signal possible squeeze.
Multi-TF: Bullish confluence 1D–6H, short-term Down divergences, caution required for late long entries under resistance.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: "Strong Buy" signal consolidated across all timeframes except 15min (neutral ST), sector bullish.
ISPD DIV: Neutral on all TFs – no behavioral overheating or exhaustion.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
Overall bias: Bullish HTF setup (1D–4H), buy opportunities on dips towards 103,300/102,600, stop <102,000.
Risk zones: 106,480–109,950 = resistance cluster, active management required. Technical invalidation below 102,000.
Macro catalysts: Window of increased volatility 15:00–16:00 UTC (CB Consumer Confidence & Powell speech). Middle East geopolitics = “wildcard”, caution on any escalation.
Action plan: Buy on pullback, manage actively >106,000, mandatory protection during news hours, reassess post-macro-volatility.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D & 12H: Upward momentum confirmed, solid supports, no exhaustion signals, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator "Strong Buy".
6H–4H: Technical and behavioral confirmation, constructive volumes, caution near immediate resistances.
2H–1H: Short-term downside divergence, 1H very high volumes = potential squeeze or shakeout, active caution required under resistance.
30min–15min: Consolidation/digestion; Risk On / Risk Off Indicator neutral at 15min, no impulsive entry point yet.
Summary: Robust up-structure on HTF, buy-side strategies on dips favoured, active management imperative near resistance and macro volatility events.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fundamental, On-Chain & Macro Risks Analysis
Macro news: No immediate catalysts except USD news (CB Consumer Confidence, Powell) at 15:00-16H00 UTC, source of temporary volatility – no prevailing trend in question at this stage.
On-chain / Market: High volumes, institutional leadership, no “retail” panic, no flush/fomo, healthy structure.
Leverage: OI >$95B, stablecoin dominance, risk contained except on external triggers (macro, geopolitical).
Geopolitics: Middle East context = spike risk, active management mandatory on escalation.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Summary:
• Dominant bias Up (buy on dips >102,600), active management below major resistances (106,500–110,000).
• Key stop <102,000 (invalidation).
• Increased risk window: 15:00–16:00 UTC (USD news).
• Monitor leverage, adjust exposure ahead of key catalysts.
Two MAs, One Ribbon: A Smarter Way to Trade TrendsSome indicators aim to simplify. Others aim to clarify. The RedK Magic Ribbon does both, offering a clean, color-coded visualization of trend strength and agreement between two custom moving averages. Built by RedKTrader , this tool is ideal for traders who want to stay aligned with the trend and avoid the noise.
Let’s break down how it works, how we use it at Xuantify, and how it can enhance your trend-following setups.
🔍 What Is the RedK Magic Ribbon?
This indicator combines two custom moving averages:
CoRa Wave – A fast, Compound Ratio Weighted Average
RSS_WMA (LazyLine) – A slow, Smooth Weighted MA
When both lines agree on direction, the ribbon fills with:
Green – Bullish trend
Red – Bearish trend
Gray – No-trade zone (disagreement or consolidation)
Key Features:
Visual trend confirmation
No-trade zones clearly marked
Customizable smoothing and length
Works on any timeframe
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We use the Magic Ribbon as a trend filter and visual guide .
1. Trend Confirmation
We only trade in the direction of the ribbon fill. Gray zones = no trades.
2. Entry Timing
We enter near the RSS_WMA (LazyLine) for optimal risk-reward. It also acts as a dynamic stop-loss guide.
🎨 Visual Cues That Matter
Green Fill – Trend is up, both MAs agree
Red Fill – Trend is down, both MAs agree
Gray Fill – No-trade zone, MAs disagree
This makes it easy to:
Avoid choppy markets
Stay aligned with the dominant trend
Spot early trend shifts
⚙️ Settings That Matter
Adjust CoRa Wave length and smoothness
Tune RSS_WMA to track price with minimal lag
Customize colors, line widths, and visibility
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
We pair the Magic Ribbon with:
Structure Tools – BOS/CHOCH for context
MACD 4C – For momentum confirmation
Volume Profile – To validate breakout strength
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – For sniper entries
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
This is a confirmation tool , not a signal generator. Use it with structure and price action. Always backtest and adjust settings to your asset and timeframe.
🚀 Final Thoughts
If you want a clean, intuitive way to stay on the right side of the trend, the RedK Magic Ribbon is a powerful visual ally. It helps you avoid indecision and focus on high-probability setups.
What really sets the Magic Ribbon apart is the precision of its fast line—the CoRa Wave. It reacts swiftly to price action and often aligns almost perfectly with pivot reversals. This responsiveness allows traders to spot potential turning points early, giving them a valuable edge in timing entries or exits. Its accuracy in identifying momentum shifts makes it not just a trend filter, but a powerful tool for anticipating market moves with confidence.
Try it, tweak it, and let the ribbon guide your trades.
Follow the Flow: Trading with Liquidity ZonesLiquidity is where the market breathes. The Liquidity Zones indicator by BigBeluga helps traders visualize where large players may be hiding orders—revealing the zones where price is most likely to react, reverse, or accelerate.
Let’s break down how this tool works, how we use it at Xuantify, and how you can integrate it into your own strategy.
🔍 What Is the Liquidity Zones Indicator?
This open-source tool identifies pivot highs and lows filtered by volume strength and plots them as liquidity zones —highlighting areas where buy/sell orders are likely to accumulate.
Key Features:
Volume-filtered pivot detection (Low, Mid, High)
Dynamic or static liquidity zone boxes
Color intensity based on volume strength
Liquidity grab detection with visual cues
These zones act as magnets for price , helping traders anticipate where reactions, reversals, or stop hunts may occur.
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We use Liquidity Zones as a contextual map for structure and execution.
1. Entry & Exit Planning
We align entries near untested liquidity zones and use them as targets for exits—especially when confirmed by structure or momentum.
2. Liquidity Grab Detection
When price pierces a zone and reverses, it often signals a liquidity sweep . We use this as a trigger for reversal setups.
3. Volume Context
Zones with higher volume intensity are prioritized. These are more likely to attract institutional activity and generate stronger reactions.
🧭 Dynamic vs. Static Zones
The indicator offers both dynamic and static zone modes:
Dynamic : Box height adjusts based on normalized volume, showing how much liquidity is likely present.
Static : Consistent box size for cleaner visuals and easier backtesting.
Why this matters:
Dynamic zones reflect real-time volume strength
Static zones offer simplicity and clarity
Both modes help visualize where price is likely to “grab” liquidity
⚙️ Settings That Matter
To get the most out of this tool, we recommend:
Volume Strength = Mid or High for cleaner zones
Enable Dynamic Mode when trading volatile assets
Use Color Intensity to quickly spot high-liquidity areas
🔗 Best Combinations with This Indicator
We pair Liquidity Zones with:
Market Structure Tools – BOS/CHOCH for context
Momentum Indicators – Like RSI or MACD for confirmation
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – For precision entries near liquidity
This layered approach helps us trade into liquidity , not against it.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Liquidity zones are not signals —they’re context . In fast-moving or low-volume markets, price may ignore zones or overshoot them. Always combine with structure and confirmation.
🔁 Repainting Behavior
The Liquidity Zones indicator is designed to be non-repainting . However, due to waiting for pivot confirmation, the zones are plotted in hindsight. This makes it suitable for real-time execution .
⏳ Lagging or Leading?
This tool is partially lagging —it waits for pivot confirmation and volume validation before plotting a zone. However, once plotted, these zones often act as leading levels , helping traders anticipate where price may react next.
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Liquidity Zones indicator by BigBeluga is a powerful visual tool for traders who want to understand where the market is likely to move—not just where it’s been. Whether you’re trading reversals, breakouts, or mean reversion, this tool helps you stay aligned with the market’s hidden intent.
Add it to your chart, test it, and see how it sharpens your edge.






















