DOTUSD Can this Channel save it from complete obsolescence?Polkadot (DOTUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down since the December 26 2022 Low and it only broke momentarily during last Friday's flash crash. Having recovered instantly above it and closing the 1W candle inside the pattern, it technically counts as a Lower Low.
The last two Lower Lows (both inside 2025), delivered rebound that hit tested the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As a result, the obvious technical Target on the medium-term is the 1W MA50 and our (a but more conservative) estimation is $4.600, which is right on the 0.382 Fibonacci Channel level. Of course that's assuming the market doesn't close any 1W candles below the Channel Down. The current price levels offer an excellent Risk/ Reward ratio on this.
If the 1W MA50 breaks, we can see an even more aggressive extension towards the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. The best indicator for a Sell Signal in that scenario is the 1W RSI Resistance Zone. It has priced the last three major Highs since 2023. Naturally the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is the obvious long-term Resistance and potential Target in that scenario but can go even as high as 9.5000 if we repeat the previous +225.10% Bullish Leg.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Polkadot
$DOT \ PolkadotCRYPTOCAP:DOT \ Polkadot 🔃
Polkadot has been accumulating for a long time in both USD and CRYPTOCAP:BTC pairs and is gathering strength above the demand zone.
With the RSI supporting this movement, DOT is preparing for a new upward phase. The sleeping giant, which has been quiet for a long time, seems to be waking up soon.
Can DOT/USDT Sustain Its Bullish Momentum This Week?🎯 DOT/USDT: The Kijun Breakout Heist 💎 | Swing/Day Trade Setup
📊 Market Overview: POLKADOT vs TETHER
The DOT/USDT pair is flashing some serious bullish signals, and this setup is looking too good to ignore! We've got a Kijun moving average breakout brewing alongside a CCI momentum oscillator golden cross — the kind of technical alignment that makes traders smile. 😏
🎯 The "Thief Strategy" Game Plan
Trading Style: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Bias: BULLISH 🚀
Confirmation: Kijun MA breakout + CCI golden cross momentum surge
💰 Entry Strategy: The Layered Limit Order Approach
Here's where it gets interesting. Instead of market buying like a rookie, we're using multiple limit orders (the "layering strategy") to scale into this position like professionals:
Suggested Entry Layers:
🎯 Layer 1: $4.150
🎯 Layer 2: $4.200
🎯 Layer 3: $4.250
You can add more layers based on your position size and risk appetite. The beauty of layering? You average into the move instead of gambling on one entry!
🛡️ Risk Management Zone
Stop Loss: $4.050 🚨
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) — this is MY stop loss level based on MY analysis. You are NOT obligated to use this level. Trading is YOUR responsibility, YOUR risk, YOUR reward. Set YOUR own stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Manage your money, take your profits, and protect your capital at your own discretion.
🎯 Profit Target: Know When to Exit the Heist
Target Zone: $4.600 💰
This target aligns with:
Strong historical resistance
Overbought RSI/CCI conditions (potential trap zone)
Natural profit-taking area
🚨 Exit Strategy Reminder:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) — this is MY target based on MY technical analysis. You are NOT required to follow this target. Take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Lock in gains, scale out, or let it ride — it's YOUR choice and YOUR capital. Make money, then take money at your own risk.
🔍 Key Technical Indicators Breakdown
✅ Kijun Moving Average: Bullish breakout confirmed
✅ CCI Momentum Oscillator: Golden cross formation (bullish momentum shift)
✅ Price Action: Higher lows forming, trend structure improving
✅ Volume Profile: Increasing buying pressure on breakout levels
💎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Play)
Keep an eye on these correlated assets for confluence:
CRYPTOCAP:DOT Dominance — Overall Polkadot ecosystem strength
$KSM/USDT (Kusama) — Polkadot's canary network, often moves in tandem
$ATOM/USDT (Cosmos) — Similar interoperability narrative
$AVAX/USDT (Avalanche) — Competes in similar L1 smart contract space
$BTC/USDT — King Crypto correlation; DOT typically follows BTC trend direction
$ETH/USDT — Ethereum's strength often lifts altcoins including DOT
Why watch these? If CRYPTOCAP:DOT rallies while CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH consolidate, that's relative strength — a bullish divergence. If ASX:KSM pumps, CRYPTOCAP:DOT often follows. Smart traders watch the whole ecosystem, not just one chart! 👀
🧠 Final Thoughts: Trade Smart, Not Hard
This setup combines:
📈 Momentum confirmation (CCI golden cross)
📊 Trend confirmation (Kijun breakout)
💰 Smart entry execution (layered limits)
🛡️ Defined risk (clear stop loss)
🎯 Clear target (resistance + overbought zone)
The "Thief Strategy" isn't about greed — it's about stealing profits from the market with precision and discipline. Layer in, manage risk, and take profits when the market gives them to you. 💼
📌 Disclaimer
⚠️ This is the "Thief Style" trading strategy — for educational and entertainment purposes only. This analysis is NOT financial advice. Trading crypto carries substantial risk of loss. The "Thief" approach is a fun, stylish way to describe disciplined layered entries, but YOU are responsible for your own trading decisions, risk management, and capital. Trade what you can afford to lose. Do your own research (DYOR).
Not a registered financial advisor. Just a chart enthusiast sharing ideas. 🎨📊
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#DOTUSDT #DOT #Polkadot #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CCIOscillator #KijunBreakout #CryptoSignals #AltcoinSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #ThiefStrategy #BullishSetup #MomentumTrading
DOT — Key Levels Reclaimed, Breakout Ahead?DOT has been in sideways chop for 222 days, but things are finally getting interesting. Price is now sitting above the yearly level ($4.309), the daily 233 EMA/SMA, and the weekly 21 EMA/SMA. Even better, it reclaimed the POC of the entire 222-day range.
Why $4 Is So Important
Yearly level → $4.309
Daily 233 EMA → $4.37 / Daily 233 SMA → $4.21
Weekly 21 EMA → $4.15 / Weekly 21 SMA → $4.05
POC of 222-day range → $4
0.618 Fib retracement (current move) → $4
That’s a whole lot of support stacked at one zone.
Where It Gets Exciting (Targets)
First major target is the monthly 21 EMA/SMA ($5.3–$5.5), which also lines up with the range highs. That’s the first real test. The swing target zone sits around $6–$6.5, with multiple layers of confluence:
Key Level → ~$6
Fair Value Trend Model Line → ~$6.5
0.382 Fib retracement of the downtrend → ~$6.19
0.618 Fib speed fan → ~$6.2 (October projection)
1.618 trend-based Fib extension → $6.308
Market Cap Confluence: 10B market cap at $6.18
Yearly Open: $6.642 → the overall target and an additional layer of resistance
📌 This creates a solid resistance cluster between $6–$6.6, ideal for taking profits and potentially looking for shorts.
🟢 Long Trade Idea
Entry: Ladder longs from $4.36 down to $4
Stop: Below $4 (clear invalidation)
Take Profit: If $4 holds, DOT’s path is clear: first stop $5.3-$5.5, then $6.0–$6.6 as the macro target with the yearly open at $6.642 marking the final resistance.
Key Levels
Support → $4.36–$4
Resistance → $5.3–$5.5, then $6.2–$6.6 (10B market cap $6.18 + yearly open $6.642)
🔍 Indicators used
LuxAlgo — Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored)
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the monthly 21 EMA/SMA.
Fair Value Trend Model → Calculates a regression-based fair value curve
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
WHAT GOES UP, MUST COME DOWN – $DOT DUMP TIME?In my last analysis we nailed the move: CRYPTOCAP:DOT pumped to sweep the weak 14 Aug high exactly as projected. ✅ That mission is complete – now it’s time for the other side of the trade.
Analysis
14 Aug high swept → equilibrium reached.
Price in HTF Golden Pocket + strong Fib cluster.
Bearish harmonic + hidden bear div on CVD.
Orderflow: longs piling in, OI ↑ but price stuck → squeeze risk.
Likely SFP around $4.65 (take out Sept 13 high) → then dump.
First target: $3.75.
DOT USD at the bottomDOT is at the bottom where the Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern was formed and it is in the final stages and I expect to start rising from these levels. The first target will be the top of the pattern at a price of $10. Breaking the top will open the way to the distant targets. I note that a huge limit has been set by Polkadot DAO on the network, as the total supply of tokens that will be minted has been changed. A ceiling has been set for it at 2.1 billion DOTs , unlike what was previously there was no ceiling, as the number of tokens was be around 5billion DOT in the year 2050.
Long-term targets:
22$
36$
60$
90$
140$
DOT/USDT has not made a new all-time high in the current cycle.In my opinion, in this cycle, considering the end of the trend and the fact that it hasn’t formed a proper bottom, we are unlikely to see a new high. However, we could reach the 50% or 68% retracement levels of the previous decline and start the first impulsive wave. This movement is similar to what XRP experienced in the previous cycle.
Polkadot: Rally Gains MomentumPolkadot’s DOT token has posted impressive gains recently. We primarily attribute this rally to wave iii in orange, which appears poised to break decisively above the $4.68 resistance level. At the same time, we see a 30% chance that a new correction low could still develop within the green alternative Target Zone between $3.22 and $2.31.
DOT — September 01, 2025.CRYPTOCAP:DOT #Polkadot — September 01, 2025.
Good ol' Polkadot is trading sideways on the daily chart and has hit the Long Max Pain level. I think this is a solid spot entry point with a potential for a +15% move.
Entry price: $3.612 - $3.650
Take Profit: $4.160 (+15.18%)
➖➖➖
Short Max Pain = $4.160
Long Max Pain = $3.612
Polkadot Holds Key Support - Analysts See Toward $23 Long-TermThe price has reacted positively to a key weekly support zone, which has prevented further downside movement. As seen on the chart, the latest pivot low is higher than the previous pivot low, and the resistance that had created the lowest low was unsuccessfully broken once.
taken together, these signals suggest the beginning of a bullish trend that could provide solid returns for investors.
Price targets:
> $5.40
> $6-7
> $9
> $11
if the $10-11 resistance zone will get broken, the price has the potential to reach $23 an ultimately $49 -- although these two targets are currently considered long-term and less attainable in the near future.
This analysis reflects personal opinion and is not financial advise.
Polkadot Dot usdt daily analysis
Time frame hourly
Risk rewards ratio =1.75
Target = 4.33 $
I expected the price to drop to $3.67 and then rise.
Now, in the short term, I’m opening a position with low risk. If this position gets closed, we’ll have to see whether the price breaks the green trendline or continues fluctuating between these two lines.
Up to $5 - DOT weekly update August 13 - 19thWe are currently in Minor Wave 5 and Intermediate Wave 1, with the broader Primary Cycle forming a Wave 3. Once Intermediate Wave 1 is complete, I anticipate a larger corrective move toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, or potentially deeper.
The liquidation heatmap reveals limited liquidity slightly above the current price, but a substantial concentration below it—liquidity that is likely to be targeted during the formation of Wave 2. The order book further indicates some resting orders at the 1.0 Fibonacci extension level and a significantly larger cluster at the 1.618 extension level.
Funding rates remain moderately positive, and open interest is steadily increasing, suggesting a stable upward trend. This also implies that market sentiment has not yet reached excessive euphoria and that risk appetite remains relatively contained.
In summary, the confluence of liquidity positioning, derivatives data, and Elliott Wave structure leads me to favor a primary scenario in which prices reach the 1.618 extension level of Minor Wave 5, encountering both the psychological $5.00 mark and a prominent sell wall. This confluence is expected to trigger the onset of Wave 2.
DOT/USDT Profit Heist | Don’t Let Bears Catch You🚨Polkadot Crypto Vault Break-In Plan | DOT/USDT Robbery Blueprint🚨
🌍 Hola Heist Crew! 💰📡
Ready for another vault-cracking strategy? Here's your DOT/USDT Crypto Heist Plan based on pure Thief Trading Style™—a fusion of smart-money tactics, technical traps, and stealth execution. 🎯💸
🔓 🎯 Entry Zone – Lockpick Ready
"The vault’s wide open! Swipe the bullish loot anywhere, anytime—but smart thieves plan pullback entries."
📌 Recommended: Use 15–30 min timeframe for sniper buys near swing highs/lows.
💡 Pro Move: DCA with layered buy limits like a seasoned thief stacking getaway routes. 🧠💵
🚔 Stop Loss – Evade the Patrol
📍 Secure SL just below the nearest 4H candle wick low (e.g., 4.000 zone)
🔐 Customize SL to match your risk profile & lot size—escape routes vary by thief rank.
💣 Target – Break the Vault & Vanish
🎯 TP: 5.200
🕶️ Optional: Dip out early if market heat rises near resistance traps. Escape clean.
⚠️ High Alert – Police Checkpoint Ahead
👮 Red MA Zone = Barricade.
It’s a hotspot for bearish cops + consolidation traps.
Only strong thieves survive here—book profits before you get cornered.
💼 For Scalpers & Swing Agents
🔍 Scalpers: Only ride long—quick bags, quick exit.
💰 Swingers: Follow the full robbery plan. Patience pays.
🎯 Trailing SL is your body armor—keep it tight.
📊 Fundamental Force Behind the Break-In
🔥 DOT/USDT is flashing bullish momentum supported by:
Sentiment shift
Intermarket alignment
COT positioning
On-chain data
📡 Stay updated via macro reports & sentiment dashboards—intel is profit.
📰 News Alert – Chaos Creates Opportunity
🧨 Avoid fresh entries during high-volatility news drops.
🎯 Trailing SL can save you during headline crossfire.
❗️Disclaimer:
This blueprint is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own recon and apply strict risk management. Thieves who don’t scout first... get caught.
🚀 Boost the Heist – Support the Crew
💥 Smash that “Boost” if this plan adds value 💥
Your boost fuels more chart crimes, more profit hits, and a growing rob-the-market brotherhood! 💪💼📈
🧨 See you in the next job... Stay hidden, stay funded!
– Thief Trading Style™ HQ 🕶️🐱👤💰🚁
DOTUSDT - The Monster!It would be a shame if you’ve lost hope in DOT like many others have recently.
This is a strong project with a large market cap, and in every bullish season, it delivers solid performance — not explosive, but consistent. A moment will come when you’ll regret not buying it at $4.
From an investment perspective, its minimum long-term target is $40, while its more conservative mid-term target is $10.
Currently, the coin has broken out of a falling wedge pattern with a successful retest and has crossed above the 25 EMA on the 3-day chart.
These are all bullish indicators and a clear opportunity, especially with a nearby stop loss at $3.5.
Best regards:
Ceciliones🎯
This time, we'll get there - DOT weekly update August 6-12thPolkadot is currently in the early stages of a major impulsive advance, supported by a strong multi-timeframe Elliott Wave structure. According to the primary count, the asset has just completed a corrective Wave and is now entering a new bullish cycle that could unfold across several degrees of trend. Specifically, we appear to be at the beginning of Cycle Wave 1, Primary Wave 3, Intermediate Wave 1, and Minor Wave 3 — a highly bullish alignment suggesting both immediate and longer-term upside potential.
There is an alternative scenario with lower probability that assumes the recent advance is still part of a larger corrective structure, implying that the correction could extend further to make a new low. This would correspond to an ongoing Wave (5) or , targeting a drop below the $3.02 level. However, given the clean impulsive structure of the recent move and the rejection from key support zones, this bearish alternative currently lacks strong evidence and remains unlikely unless the local low is breached.
Sentiment and derivatives data support the bullish thesis. Funding rates are positive, indicating that traders are willing to pay to hold long positions, and open interest is rising, showing increased conviction and participation. One area of caution, however, comes from the liquidity heatmap, which highlights significant liquidity sitting below the current price. This suggests that a short-term liquidity sweep cannot be ruled out, even within a bullish context.
That said, structurally and probabilistically, the primary scenario remains intact and dominant. The recent corrective structure has found strong support, and the initial breakout signals the early phase of a Wave 3 advance. Given the high reward-to-risk ratio at current levels, this zone represents an optimal entry opportunity for traders aligning with the macro bullish thesis.
Which altcoin hits the $50 club first? $INJ or $DOT? Which altcoin hits the $50 club first? CRYPTOCAP:INJ or CRYPTOCAP:DOT ? 🚀
3W HTF Technical Breakdown:
1⃣ CRYPTOCAP:INJ (@injective )
✔ Reclaimed structure above $13.31
✔ Targeting $31 → $52.98
✔ Clean 385% R:R setup
⚠ Invalidation below $8.79
2⃣ CRYPTOCAP:DOT (@Polkadot )
✔ Bounced from multi-year TL + demand zone
✔ Hold above $3: Targets $16.67 → $24.37 → $55
✔ Monster 1,660% setup loading
Both charts are screaming high-conviction breakout.
The $50 race is on…
NFA & DYOR
Polkadot · Trading at Bottom Prices · Bullish Scenario ExplainedThe same levels, the same prices, the same support zone. Polkadot is still trading at bottom prices. From the bottom the market tends to grow.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day. Notice the brown lines on the chart. We have the 7-April low, the June 22 low and also the low in March and yesterday, 1 August. This is a bottom range and this is the buy zone.
Polkadot (DOTUSDT) has been trading near this range since February 2025, six months ago. This is a very long—and strong—consolidation period. This much accumulation is surely the preparation for a major market change, a change of trend. A new uptrend. An event that has not happened since 2021.
I think the most important part is to truly understand that a bullish wave develops only from low prices. Notice the peak from December 2024. As soon as prices are high, the market seeks balance and starts to decline. But, when prices are low, an accumulation period develops and afterward a wave of growth. That is what I see happening right now across the market and with this chart. It already happened to hundreds of projects, literally. They all had the same chart.
These projects grew in late 2024, November-December. Then they went into correction in early 2025 until recently. The current low as witnessed on DOTUSDT led to massive growth. Some of these pairs are trading at new all-time highs while others have grown 500% or more. Those trading at the bottom are still early and next in line to move when the market does.
We will be bullish within days, as soon as Bitcoin ends its retrace. I shared in another publication why I believe Bitcoin will recover in the coming days.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
DOT Eyes 15% Rally, Targeting Key $5 Resistance LevelHello✌
Let’s analyze Polkadot’s upcoming price potential 📈.
BINANCE:DOTUSDT has broken above multiple daily resistance levels and is now consolidating near a key support zone. With this bullish structure in place, I'm targeting a minimum 15% move to the upside, with $5 as the main take-profit level. 🚀📈
✨We put love into every post!
Your support inspires us 💛 Drop a comment we’d love to hear from you! Thanks , Mad Whale 🐋
DOTUSDT - A Sleeping Giant in the Bull Market?Polkadot (DOT) has always been one of the leading assets during bull markets
A $10 target now seems inevitable after a clean breakout above the main trendline, followed by a successful retest.🎯
This $10 level has historically acted as a major resistance zone, often manipulated during each bull cycle — price touches it, then sharply pulls back.
But the big question is:
Will DOT break this psychological barrier this time?
Why not?
With many investors losing faith in the crypto market and considering leaving altogether, this might actually be the perfect setup for a massive price explosion.
Historically, the craziest pumps tend to come when confidence is at its lowest.🚀
Best regards Ceciliones 🎯
Polkadot Opportunity Buy Zone · Near Bottom · 2025 Bull MarketThis is what I mean: Opportunities are endless in this market. Compare Polkadot to say, Solana or Cardano which I shared just recently. Can you notice the huge difference?
First, Polkadot is still trading below EMA89 and MA200 weekly. Not to be taken as a bearish signal but instead to be interpreted as the pair being very early in its bullish cycle.
While Solana is trading ultra-high, super-strong, one of the strongest pair, which is bad if you want to go LONG (high risk with a small potential for reward), Polkadot is trading within the opportunity buy zone, very close to its bottom (low risk vs a high potential for reward).
I am a buyer. I am a Cryptocurrency fan. I am a bull.
So I want low prices and that is why low prices are good.
This is an opportunity, DOTUSDT. It is trading low now but it won't be trading this low for long, not even weeks. It is likely to start advancing within days. Once the bottom is gone it is gone forever. These altcoin projects will be the new tech giants and they will rise long-term. This is your chance. This is your opportunity for long-term trading success. Once you catch the bottom, you can't go wrong.
The chart is showing a long-term broadening channel. This is part of the transition period, from bearish to bullish, the consolidation phase. While the channel looks pretty big, the swings, if you activate the linear chart you can see the truth. Perspective. You will see a true bottom on the chart. From the bottom we grow.
When the action challenges the lower boundary of the channel, support; the market reverses, in this case Polkadot will start to go up. It is already growing. Several weeks rising. The upper boundary is the minimum giving us more than 425%. But we are not aiming for the minimum, we want high in the least, we want the maximum, so let's go for a new all-time high or just below the last one.
Namaste.