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Gold Record Highs Under the Lens of ATAI VPA & VPRCGold Analysis Report In recent days, as gold has reached new historical highs, two analytical tools have been used to assess the market conditions: - ATAI Volume analysis with price action V 1.03 - ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA) It is important to emphasize that the gold market is heavily influenced by global economic and political events, and precise volume data is not publicly available. The only volume data considered here comes from OANDA. For this evaluation, a 70-day period has been chosen to study the broader behavioral and volume pattern of gold over the past two months. Bull Trap Risk Detection (ATAI Volume analysis with price action V 1.03) In this indicator, Bull Trap detection is based on the interaction of price behavior and order-flow volume. The logic is as follows: 1. Bull Sweep (False Breakout with Long Wick) - If price exceeds the recent high (`high_level`) but closes back below it, and the upper wick of the candle makes up a sufficiently large fraction of the total range, then a Bull Sweep is detected. - Formula: upper_wick_ratio = (high - max(open, close)) / (high - low) Condition: upper_wick_ratio >= trap_wick_threshold (e.g., 0.6) 2. Bull Break - If the close is above the breakout level without a long wick, it is treated as a Bull Break. 3. Mismatch Condition - If the candle is bullish (close > open) but delta ≤ 0 or seller ratio > 50%, then there is a mismatch between price action and order flow. - Formula (simplified): mismatchBull = (close > open) and (delta <= 0 or seller_ratio > 0.5) 4. Dominance Inversion - If buyer volume ranks highest in the lookback window, but cumulative seller volume is greater than buyer volume while the candle is bullish, a dominance inversion occurs. - Condition: domInvBull = (rank_buy == 1) and (sum_sell > sum_buy) and (close > open) 5. Low Volume Breakout - If a bullish breakout occurs with total volume less than the average total volume, then the breakout is flagged as low-volume. - Condition: lowVolBull = isBullBreak and (TF_tot < avg_tot) The module assigns scores to these conditions: - Sweep: +2 - Break: +1 - Mismatch: +2 - Dominance Inversion: +2 - Low-volume Break: +1 If total score ≥ trap_score_risk (default = 3), then a Bull Trap Risk is flagged. If, within `trap_confirm_bars`, price reverses and closes back below the breakout level, then Bull Trap Risk Confirmed is displayed. Complementary View (ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer – VPA) The VPA indicator, with its left (C→B) and right (B→A) wings and offset capability, allows a parallel evaluation of flow balance. In the current gold chart, the right wing (B→A) reflects weakness on the buyers' side, reinforcing the Bull Trap risk detected by the previous indicator. This alignment strengthens the probability of a bearish scenario. However, the extent of any downward path will depend on the pivotal price levels where the largest buy and sell volumes were registered over the past 70 days. These are represented by points B1 and S1, clustered around the 3409 USD level. Notes - On lower timeframes, accuracy in buy/sell volume calculation depends on the data window. Here, a 1-minute timeframe was selected, which provides ~74 days of buy/sell flow data. - Gold remains highly sensitive to political and economic news globally. - This analysis is based solely on mathematical calculations and volume/behavioral pattern recognition. It must not be interpreted as investment advice of any kind.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ata_sabanci
SILVER: Market Sentiment & Price Action Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
TRADENATION:XAGUSDShort
by UnitedSignals