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Reminescence of a Scam Operator (ANTI SCAMMER GUIDE)Reminiscent of the roaring 1920s, the 2020 epidemic and the inability to work for many people brought an influx of new retail investors to the public market. Furthermore, the FED's decision to prop up the market by dropping interest rates combined with stimulus checks handed out by the U.S. government lured in even more investors who were hungry for profits. Although the market sensation also brought a rise of omnipresent scams across all trading platforms. Lack of workforce, sophisticated methods, and automated bots often play into the hands of perpetrators who try to get ahead of the platform and its users. Therefore, we decided to write this concise article with the purpose of helping new investors to recognize good apples from bad ones. The most common means of communication for criminals is to use private chat, public chat, comments, ideas, and headline references. Several examples of red flags are shown below. RED FLAGS AND OTHER POINTS: Asking for personal information and TradingView account information One common tactic criminals use to exploit their victims is to ask for personal information or account information (login and password). This information should not be disclosed to anyone, including someone claiming to be a platform's employee/support (as these people tend to have access to this information). Asking for trading account information Another standard method bad actors use is asking for trading account information. On such occasions, a perpetrator asks for existing account information or requests a victim to create a new account; then, a perpetrator usually asks the victim to invest money into the account and let them use it in return for shared profits. False promises The third point probably accompanies every other point on our list. This point relates mainly to false promises about trading achievements, which often include statements about having a high win rate, high net worth, and an unbeatable trading system. Financial gurus and lavish lifestyles A high follower count and strong social media presence do not equal reliability. Perpetrators often portray lavish lifestyles across social media platforms to entice more people and trick them into buying a trading signal service or trading course (or any other service). The public image does not necessarily have to match a person's authentic lifestyle. Indeed, trading as a career is highly time-consuming and does not come with trading from a vicinity of a pool or ski resort; that is just public perception. Trading signals and trading courses Unfortunately, most of the time, trading signal services (for buy) lack performance and do not consider subscribers' risk tolerance and account sizes. In regard to trading courses, we hold a similarly low opinion of them as we think learning a skill to trade goes far beyond a few hours of any trading course. Unrealistic win-rate claims Most brokerages report that their retail clients lose about 50-90% of the initial capital, especially when trading CFDs. Therefore, we would like to put in perspective how realistic claims about a high win rate really are. Professional traders tend to peak at approximately a 50% win-rate over a consistent period. Thus, claims about a 90% or higher win rate are likely to be false. Guaranteed moves and risk-free investments Another tactic of scamming utilizes guaranteeing moves in the market. However, there is nothing like a guaranteed move since the market constantly changes and is influenced by complex factors. These are just few points we included, however, we ask a public to share their own points in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This content serves solely educational purposes.
SP:SPXEducation
by Tradersweekly
68
The Truth About Trade AccuracyA critical component relating to trading success is the relationship between your win percentage and your bottom line. Many new traders hold some extremely inaccurate views when it comes to what kind of win percentage is required to generate net profit, including the notion they need a 70% or higher win percentage to achieve success. This notion is wrong and misleading. The relationship between your win percentage, your risk management, and the profit you generate from each trade are intricately related. The beauty of this post is that the backtest logic in our Olympus Cloud indicator showcases the concepts covered with real trades, which is shown under this post in the data section. The Positive Win Percentage A win percentage over 50% is regarded as a probable edge or edge. Yet, even with a 60% win rate, you can generate a net loss. How? If your average loss is $100, but you are in the habit of falling prey to your emotions and prematurely selling your winners so you only generate an average of $50 when you win, you will lose money regardless of your 60% win rate. No trader goes into a trade thinking, “Hey, I’ll lose $100 if I’m wrong and I’ll make $50 if I’m correct.” Nevertheless, random wins of $75, $25, $60, $40, $90, and $10 will average out to $50 per win. No one purposely tries to win half of what they lose, but random trading combined with random emotions produces random results. We all desire winning and making good profits when we take a trade, but as emotions come into play, things quickly change. You may take a trade that reaches $75 in profit and then decide the move looks gassed out, so you sell. On another trade, you might get scared by some volatility, or notice a resistance you neglected to spot initially and sell for $25 of profit. It is all too common to fall prey to your emotions and behave in a way you didn’t plan to. The irony is, that you will regard the $25 trade as a winner, and it will raise your trade accuracy. Let’s look at a simple example: Example: 100 total trades with 60% trade accuracy 60 winning trades at an average of $50 per win = $3,000 40 losing trades at an average of $100 per loss = $4,000 Net loss of $1,000 In the example above, your break-even point is a 67% win percentage for a whopping $50 in profit. With this type of random risk and profit management, any meaningful net profit requires a win percentage upwards of 75-80%. The psychological damage of having a higher average loss than an average win is hard to quantify, but it’s easy to feel frustration when one loss wipes out two wins. While this sounds like common sense, many, many new traders fall into the habit of random profit management and find themselves in this undesirable situation. The same theory holds true even if you let your winners play out, but you also let your losses escalate and take a few big hits to your account. In either scenario, your 60% win rate means nothing. The Negative Win Percentage In the case of a negative win percentage, you can produce a net profit even if you are correct less than 50% of the time. In this scenario, your advantage over the market is getting into trades that consistently provide large gains when you win, and by letting those winners play out fully. Furthermore, you can’t hesitate to cut your losses and keep your drawdown controlled. With this kind of win rate, you must not sell early or your entire business model falls apart. You must understand that the big winners will make up for any profit you leave on the table. Let’s look at what happens if you are correct 40% of the time, but your average win is $100 and your average loss is $50: Example: 100 total trades with 40% trade accuracy 40 winning trades at an average of $100 per win = $4,000 60 losing trades at an average of $50 per loss = $3,000 Net gain of $1,000 It is now clear that win percentage is not everything. You can make money even if you are correct on 40% of your trades as long as your average win is double your average loss. The smaller your average win compared to your average loss, the higher your accuracy must be to make a net profit. Of course, if you can maintain a win percentage over 50% while also having proper risk and profit management you will end up far ahead. Putting It Together Clearly, the best approach is to combine a reasonable win percentage of over 50% with proper risk and profit management. You must consistently let your winners play out regardless of the emotions you feel in the moment and ensure you don’t take losses beyond a certain threshold. Furthermore, scaling out of trades – selling portions of your position as the market moves in your favor – will increase your accuracy and ease your mind. By dividing your position into two or three tranches you can lock in a certain amount of profit at predefined targets and then let the final portion ride out the trend with a trailing stop-loss. Revisiting our example, let’s put these concepts together with a reasonable win percentage: Example: 100 total trades with 55% trade accuracy 55 winning trades at an average of $100 per win = $5,500 45 losing trades at an average of $50 per loss = $2,250 Net gain of $3,250 Now, that’s what you want to see! It’s more important you behave in a consistent manner and follow a predefined game plan than it is to have 80% trade accuracy. It is wise to strive for reasonable trade accuracy – 50% to 65% – and remain consistent in order to fulfill your trading potential. After you have mastered your emotions with a consistent strategy, perhaps you can raise your win percentage to mythical values like 80%. As we have covered, though, such accuracy is not required for great trading results.
AMEX:TANEducation
by Level8Trading
1
AUDCADIn AUDCAD after market test its strong resistance trendline at 0.91059 price drop to 0.90930 after the market open if price break market structure 0.90830 than you go for short position and exit on the coming support which i draw in the charts. if price come back and push to upside than wait for the trendline resistance again test if you see again some strong bearish candles than you go short with very good R:R. ENTRY SHORT 0.90808 AND 2ND 0.91049 TAKE PROFIT 0.90561 TAKE PROFIT 0.9030 STOP LOSS 0.91171
Short
by naumanfx_
Shorting AUD/USD on the basis of S&R !! #ShortShorting AUD/USD on the basis of S&R !! This trade is for Educational Purpose only. The Goal is to highlight the importance of Support & Resistance zones (S&R) and how can Weak and Strong zones be identified. Support & Resistance (S&R) can play vital roles when it comes to trading. Most traders use S&R in order to look for precise entries and exits. The Pair has been Bouncing off from zone Marked in Red which acted as Support earlier. The Support was tested four times.. Soon it was broken with strong Bearish Candle. The more touches/bounces the Support zone had, the weaker it got and as a result it got broken. Often time Support acts as Resistance zones and Vice versa . It is important to note that S&R can act as a strong Confluence but trading just on the basis of it alone can be dangerous. Using other Confluences such as Market Structure, Divergences and Chart Patterns such as Double Top/Bottom are equally important. Since Trading is the game of Probability, it is Essential to have more than One Confluence. The Trade Plan: The trade plan is to Short AUD/USD, once it re-tests the broken support zone which is now likely to Act as Resistance. Note: Take this trade after doing on your own analysis. Target: Target is set on the basis of Fibonacci Re-tracement which comes in between 0.618 & 0.5. Stop Loss: Stop Loss is simply set on the basis of 1:3 Risk to Reward Ratio. Time Frame used: 1H Analysis based on: - Market Structure - Support & Resistance. - Fibonacci Retracement tool .. used for setting Target
Short
by M_Shariq
3
Head & Shoulders Pattern Formed on GBP/USD !! #ShortHead & Shoulders Pattern on GBP/USD !! The Head & Shoulder Pattern seemed to have formed on 4 Hour, I will wait for Retest of Neck-Line before Shorting GBP/USD .The Risk to Return ratio is 1:3. It can be a really good trade if executed correctly. Target is chosen by Measuring the Distance between Neck-line and the Head , further the same distance is then used after Break of Neck-line to establish correct Target area. Stop loss is set where the Price is least likely to get hit hence the 1:3 RR. note: Do your own analysis before taking the trade. Analysis based on; 1, Price Action 2, Chart Pattern 3, RSI - Overbought/oversold zone 4, Candle-stick Pattern Time frames used: 1 Hour 4 Hour
Short
by M_Shariq
6
ENJOY YOUR WEEKEND FAMILY!!!! EURUSD has LEFT THE BUILDING!!!! "They that wait upon the Lord shall renew their strength. They shall mount on wings of eagles and soar!' Excerpt from Isaiah 40:27-31 Patience and Discipline. Patience to wait on your trade set up. Discipline to stay with the BIAS determined for your set up aka Trading With the TREND. If you followed my previous post you're gonna have a GREAT WEEKEND$:)! Treat yourself to something nice. Take your family out for ice cream. Then re invest back into your account to compound again next week! This is a 7 TRILLION DOLLAR SPACE we are BLESSED to be apart of daily. My Mandate is to show you where the $ is flowing and point you in the right direction. Mission complete. Never over leverage. Trust your trade set up. Have fun! I AM Pro Trading Made Simple. We are #SniperGang
Short
by Master-Jedi-Trader
6
UPDATE: MATIC UP 82% after bullish daily signal MATIC pumped 82% after the bullish Supertrend Ninja - Clean signal (green vertical line on the background). MATIC broke out of the bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud , which is bullish. The RSI is in the bullish zone at 68. If we take a look at the Average Directional Index ( ADX DI) its bullish. The +DI (Green Line) is above the -DI (Red Line). While the Trend Strength is becoming stronger. Since the ADX (Orange Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Currently MATIC is also above its Bollinger Bands Middle, Band Basis 20 Period SMA and the Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA). Which are a bullish signs as well. Waiting patiently on a bullish Supertrend Ninja signal, before entering a long paid off. Thank you for reading. Namasté 🙏 Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. What Indicators Do I Use: In the chart I am using the "Supertrend Ninja - Clean", which is a trend-following indicator (Green and red vertical lines on the background). When the background of the candlestick closes green (vertical line). It indicates a possible bullish (up)trend. And red for downtrends.
M
by Kch28