Qullamaggie
Sentiment cycle. Two sentiments and FUD.Based on Livermores "opposite day trading", Qullamaggies 10/20/50.
Livermores emotion cycle doesn't fully explain price dynamic. In practice markets or crowd have a clear sentiment of "safety" and trust. and "danger" and distrust.
You can have a strong market... that breaks and starts crashing --> You know the sentiment wont be the same. You see some risk taking fomo.. but it doesnt end nowhere. Because the core of every strong market is strong momentum technicals or setup. Odds in your favor etc.
It's very clear where the SENTIMENT (cycle) shifts to crashing and "it wont be the same anymore". towards risk on (setup).
Categorizing all market on RISK-ON, RISK-OFF (at near term) wouldnt explain the dynamic either... because like most of the time (maybe 80%) market is on a FUD mode.
Livermore was good at explaining crowd temperature.
Something could be bullish, but still on FUD mode -> and you get these tiny sell offs, losing due to SL or selling on fear.
clear "RISK ON" is where, based on Qullamaggie, there are strong upsloping quick MAs (10/20/50). --> best explanation would be that people trust in the market. It's hard to lose, when everyone throws money at market.
eventually it leads to FUD channels etc. or corrections.
Even today --> there do always be some chance, that market just crashes. No guarantees. Strong technicals but FUD sentiment.
//April, May, June were all FUD.. fear uncertainty doubt.
Livermore said there was only two emotions, Fear and Greed.
Price Cycle, post correction. Based on Qullamaggie concepts.1. Price movement starts with bearish 50dma slope.
2. advancement to upsloping 10/20dma.
3. consolidation, price discovery and 50dma NORMALIZING.
4. upslope of 50dma. 🐂
5.consolidation. Before break-out.
6. Everything upsloping. 🐂
7. extension.
Now. Best returns during post-2 phase. Which is contrarian, with a falling 50dma.
A+ Momentum Setup | Plug Power (PLUG) BreakoutA clean A+ momentum setup on Plug Power (PLUG) — a perfect example of how price structure, volume, and momentum align before a big move.
🔍 Discovered using my volume scan.
🔹 Structure: Higher low → reclaim of key moving averages → breakout through resistance
🔹 Volume: Big demand on the move up, light volume on the pullback
🔹 Momentum: 6.5R move (72% gain on partials) — strong follow-through as trend expanded, offering a great risk/reward opportunity
This is what I look for every week — clear structure, expanding volume, and strength confirming participation.
My goal isn’t to predict; it’s to react with discipline when everything lines up.
No hype. No gimmicks. Just price action, volume, and process.
AZ LONGanother Qullamaggie-type trade. AZ has held up quite well during this turbulent period. the 10, 20, and 50 moving averages (not depicted) have tightened coupled with a higher low.
a breakout of the chart pattern will trigger an entry. the stop loss level is a bit more complicated. we will consider closing the trade if this pattern fails.
we concede that market conditions are not ideal for such setups, but it would not hurt to try.
Crypto Hedge against Trumpism chaos, destruction and tariffsTrump is going to wreck havoc on the US economy which is why many are hedging against USD with crypto. Inflation, shortages and recession are coming in a few years.
For awhile, Biden policy will prop up USD but once Trump policy kicks in and effects the government, expect food shortages from deportations, recession from tariffs and draconian policy and more wars with Putin unchecked.
Chaos is coming in about year 2 into Trump presidency. Until then I expect positive Biden policies to continue to strengthen US dollar while smart hedgers long crypto the hedge against the chaos that is coming. When not if.
BYNDBeyond Meat,
One of the most shorted stock in the US market.
It is clear the had difficulties to ramp up the production and to expand their business, still waiting the beyond burger at McDonalds.
BYND has a quite interesting chart pattern.
• A big move in the past 1-3 months anywhere from 30%-100% the rally last for a few days to weeks.
• Stock is going to catch up the ema 200
• Orderly consolidation with higher lows & tightening range:
• RDM, VCP
• Stocks surfs the rising EMA 10 or the EMA 20, and sometimes the EMA 50
• Volumes are significative compared to previous phase
• Volumes are strong
I would like to watch a breakout with strong volumes show some short sellers covering their positions.
The Company is not dead , the tide seems rising !!!









