Aussie Resumes Its RecoveryAussie came nicely to the downside in the last few months with clearly three waves down from the highs, so apparently this was a correction, a completed one, after a very nice rebound from the 0.6420 area, from where we can now see impulsive move that broke the trendline and even coming back above the previous triangle swing resistance. This certainly looks like a turning point, and ideally it will take us even higher after some new retracement, so watch out for more upside while the market trades above the November lows.
Even on the daily chart you can clearly see some very choppy and messy price action for the last few months, so sooner or later we think that bulls are ready to hit new highs,, and maybe we are now at the beginning of this thrid wave up; C or 3.
Recovery
Crude Oil Has Finally Finished An Intraday Corrective SetbackCrude oil made a very strong rebound back in mid-October with an impulsive move of more than 11%, while the current retracement from 62 is very slow, which still suggests a counter-trend movement despite the weakness now retesting the 78.6% support levels. We can still see three waves down, and ideally subwave c is coming into a potential support zone, so a rebound can still happen while the market trades above 55.96 invalidation.
Looks like Crude oil is finally on the way back to October highs, as we see a sharp and impulsive rebound from the 78,6% Fibonacci retracement after a completed wedge pattern. So be aware of more intraday gians, especially if breaks back above 60 level, just watch out for pullbacks.
AFTER THE BREAKDOWN 105K IS THE KEY LEVEL FOR RECOVERYWe have seen an unexpected breakdown in BTC, even despite the positive news about the China deal. BTC continued to decline further, although the data has generally been pointing in the right direction.
At the moment of writing, BTC is still in a downtrend. However, the $105K level could be a key point that triggers a potential recovery, depending on how the upcoming data unfolds.
We will continue to monitor whether BTC can enter the $105K zone in the coming time frames.
EURGBP Is Looking For A Larger RecoveryEURGBP Is Looking For A Larger Recovery with a complex correction from a technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
EURGBP has turned around strongly this year and even broke above the downward channel connected from the 2023 highs. This suggests that wave C has ended at the lower side of a very big triangle, and the pair could still be recovering within subwave D. It may eventually reach the upper side of the pattern around 0.89 within W-X-Y formation, where wave Y can now be in play; ideally it will reach higher prices soon with break out from current triangle.
NZDJPY Is Forming A Bullish SetupNew Zealand dollar turned up against the Japanese Yen since April, when we saw a strong rebound from 80.40 support, a key level going back to March 2023. The recovery is quite strong, and it looks like a leading diagonal pattern into wave A; so it's a motive wave structure that already pushed above the 87.34 resistance, which is a strong bullish signal, suggesting more upside ahead. So if we are correct, then current retracement is a contra-trend move; possibly wave B that has a nice support at 85-84 area, which is not that far away, so we may get a new bounce in a few weeks; ideally an impulse, out of a current downward channel.
EURGBP Steps Into A Correction Within Ongoing RecoveryEURGBP is sharply down after reaching April highs for wave »v« of an impulse into wave A. As expected, the pair is now unfolding a three-wave abc corrective setback within higher-degree wave B. Currently, EURGBP is breaking below the channel support line in a sharp and impulsive projected wave »a«. A corrective recovery in wave »b« may follow, considering that RSI is already at the lower side of its range. Overall, we are still tracking this correction toward the 0.85x support area, which could act as a base before a potential bullish continuation higher into wave C.
AMP - Set for a comeback?After a troublesome decade, is AMP Limited set for a recovery?
Our Bullfinder-official Team has identified a potential opportunity within ASX:AMP
If price can hold above the $1.220 mark, there may be potential for a re-rating of momentum to 'bullish'.
We would like to note however that below ~$1.220 significant bearish continuation risk comes into play.
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The Stock Market (SPX) Will Also RecoverGreat news my dear friends, reader and followers, truly great news.
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is now reversing after challenging a strong support level. This level is the 0.618 Fib. retracement for the bullish wave that started after the October 2023 market low. A strong bounce is visible as soon as this level was hit.
The correction is a classic ABC and the C wave is very steep. When a move is really strong, great force, it can't last that long. So the drop happened all at once, fast, and this means a fast end as well as a strong reversal, but the reversal will not be the same.
We are more likely than not to experience a long drawn out recovery, higher highs and higher lows long-term. Higher prices next.
This is the main support level, 0.618 around 4885. If this level breaks, the next strong support sits at 4540. We are going up.
It is not only Bitcoin and the Altcoins, the stock market will also grow.
The correction is over.
Total drop amounts to a little more than 21%.
This is huge and more than enough.
The bears are satisfied. The bears are done. A bearish wave is followed by a bullish wave.
Short bearish action, long bullish action.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
CNXMET : Nifty Metal index shows the sign of recoveryWhile most sectors in Indian market are still in down trend, Nifty Metal index(CNXMET) shows signs of trend reversal. This is a positive sign in at least one of the Indian sectors.
Note: It is always a risk to go against the larger market trend, Nifty and Sensex are still in down trend. This analysis is for eduacational purposes only, do not trade based on this study.
AUDJPY Is Recovering After The Wedge PatternAUDJPY pair is sharply and impulsively recovering after we spotted the wedge pattern, so it’s now rising in minimum three waves A/1-B/2-C/3 that can retrace the price back to the starting point of the wedge pattern and back to 99-100 area, especially if we consider an unfilled GAP at 98.35 level. Currently we can see it making a five-wave impulse into wave A/1, so after corrective pullback in wave B/2, be aware of a bigger rally within wave C or maybe even wave 3 if goes decisively above 100 area.
The ending diagonal (wedge) pattern is a special type of wave that occurs in wave 5 of an impulse or wave C of a correction. An ending diagonal pattern is a type of pattern that can occur at the completion of a strong move. It reflects a “calming” of the market sentiment such that price still moves generally in the direction of the larger move, but not strongly enough to produce an impulsive wave. Ending diagonals consist of five waves, labeled 1-2-3-4-5, where each wave subdivides into three legs. Waves 1 and 4 overlap in price, while wave 3 can not be the shortest amongst waves 1, 3 and 5.
The reason why they are so interesting is because they are indicating a reversal, usually a strong one, which can retrace the price back to the starting point of the pattern.
USDollar Is In Higher Degree Recovery ModeDollar Index with ticker DXY has turned bearish after the corrective rally stopped at 105.70-106, an important resistance area at the end of June. Since then, the price even accelerated lower through summer so it appears that a bearish impulse, but with current sharp bounce out of an ending diagonal on 4h TF, we believe that correction is now in play. Notice thats a very sharp leg up, so its wave a, still first leg of a minimum three-wave a-b-c recovery that can take index back to 61.8% Fib, near 104 which can be very strong resistance for the next sell-off, especially if we consider that this can be wave 2 rally.
Awaited Dollar Rebound, Too Expensive FrancCHF
- Market Internals
- SNB doesn't like it high
USD
- Strong GDP data. Claims were released slightly below the cons.; ISM PMI positive expectations
- Oversold dollar due to exaggerated cut expectations
- Bullish CFTC
Technical & Other
Setup: TR(B)
Setup timeframe: 4h
Trigger: 1h
Medium-term: Down
Long-term: Down
Min target: Local mirror level, 3R
Risk: 0.22%; 1R
* 1st entry 0.5R near the down band of the local range (buy limit); 2nd 0.5R when 1h closed above DMA(10)
Fall Rally Patterns Setting Up: GMNYSE:GM was driven down way below its fundamentals by panicky retail. It is now back up into its fundamental level, well ahead of the Fall Rally. The fast recovery indicates that the selling was not aligned with fundamentals. Auto sales have an annual cycle with the highest number of sales in the final quarter of each year.
AVAXUSDT gives Bullish indicationsAVAXUSDT has finally broken out of the consolidation zone that has been developing since early August. On the weekly timeframe, the market formed an inside bar pattern, and the price has now surged above it, signalling a bullish outlook. Like many altcoins, AVAXUSDT has tested historical lows, revisiting levels from November 2023, where a significant price surge previously occurred. On the 4H timeframe, the price action has also broken through a triangle pattern, marking the end of an accumulation phase around 20.00 and indicating a potential bullish move. The market may retest the channel border and upward trendline. The target is the resistance zone around 27.50
USTech possible correctionUSTech may produce a temporary pullback before continuing the recovery to the up side. If the price drops down in the 18500 - 18700 range you can look for entry conditions to indicate a Buy entry but also be cautious at that time - if the price breaks below those supports, it can go lower to retest the 17250 - 17750 range
NZDUSD Is Looking For A Bigger RecoveryLooking at the 4-hour time frame of the Kiwi with ticker NZDUSD, we can see a strong rebound after a completed final subwave “v” of C of (C), as Zealand beat jobs data, so seems like a new three-wave A-B-C rally can be in play within higher degree wave (D) that can recover the price back to the upper triangle line. Wave A looks to be finished after RNBZ delivers surprise 25 BPS rate cut to 5.25% today, so seems like it’s now making a pullback in wave B that can retest 0.59x support area before a continuation higher for wave C towards 0.61 – 0.62 resistance zone.
German Bund Is On The Rise, So As EURUSD PairWe talked about a bullish turn on German Bund back on June 20th, where we mentioned and highlighted more gains within wave C of an A-B-C rally, which can also recover the EURUSD pair.
As you can see today on August 05, German Bund is extending strongly higher within a five-wave bullish cycle for wave C with space up to 140 area. At the same time EURUSD is also nicely recovering due to a positive correlation and with still bullish Bund, EURUSD can easily see more upside.
TOTAL - An Overview on the crypto marketcap#TOTAL #Analysis
Description
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+ After a clear bounce from the support, another drop is occurring, which is normal.
+ We also have a strong support line that is providing significant support.
+ As long as the market cap remains above the horizontal and trendline support, there is hope for an upcoming bullish market.
+ A breakdown from this support zone could lead to further declines in the market.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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VectorAlgo
Crude Oil Steps In A Corrective RecoveryCrude oil is strongly stabilizing after a completed five-wave drop from the highs, so it's making a higher degree A-B-C corrective recovery. Current impulse up into wave A can be coming to an end at temporary 79-80 resistance area, from where may see a corrective setback in wave B before we will see a bigger recovery for wave C up to 81 – 83 strong resistance zone.
Trading Strategy for REC Ltd. (NSE: RECLTD)
Analysis:
1. Trend: The stock is currently in a downward channel as indicated by the parallel lines. This suggests a bearish trend in the short term.
2. Support Levels:
- Strong support is present around the 600 mark, which coincides with the current price level.
- Another key support level is at 575.
3. Resistance Levels:
- Immediate resistance is around 610.
- The next major resistance level is around 625-640.
Volume:
- The volume has been significant, especially during the drop, indicating strong selling pressure.
Strategy:
1. Entry Point:
- Consider entering a long position if the stock shows signs of reversal or consolidation around the 600 support level.
- Alternatively, if the stock breaks below 598 with significant volume, it might be wise to wait for it to approach the next support at 575.
2. Stop Loss:
- Set a tight stop loss around 595 to limit potential losses.
3. Targets:
- First target would be around 610 (immediate resistance).
- If the stock breaks above 610 with volume, the next target is 625-640.
Conclusion:
- The stock is in a downtrend but is approaching a critical support level at 600. Monitoring the price action around this level is crucial.
- Entering a long position with a stop loss at 595 and targeting 610 initially is a prudent strategy.
- If the support at 600 fails, look for opportunities closer to 575.
Note: Always consider the overall market conditions and use proper risk management techniques when trading.
DMART - Momentum is building for upside move - Time to go LONG!DMart looks like it has bottomed out, presenting an opportunity for a long trade with a tight stop loss in place!
Trade Idea Explanation:
- Entry Point: Best around 4300+
- Stop Loss: Tight SL to 4100 on closing basis of D tf candle
- **Target:** Expecting a significant upside around 5900++
Stay updated for further insights and trade safely!
If you have liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recomendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do you due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray






















