Gold prices hit a record high ahead of the interest rate decisio1๏ธโฃ Trendline
Price is moving clearly within an ascending channel.
The Higher High โ Higher Low structure remains intact โ the main trend is still BULLISH.
The most recent strong rally was a breakout from a consolidation zone, confirming that buyers are in control.
2๏ธโฃ Resistance
๐ต 5,278 โ 5,280 (Strong Resistance Zone)
Confluence of: channel top + previous supply zone + trendline + Fibonacci level.
Profit-taking and short-term pullbacks are likely to appear here.
To confirm further upside โ price needs a clear breakout and candle close above this zone.
3๏ธโฃ Support
๐ข 5,200 (Near-term Support)
The most recent breakout area โ first technical support.
If price pulls back and holds here, the uptrend remains valid.
๐ข 5,105 (Strong Support)
Recent structural low + lower boundary of the ascending channel.
If price drops deeper into this area and shows a buying reaction โ potential continuation of the medium-term uptrend.
4๏ธโฃ Main Scenario
โ The trend still favors buying the dip while price holds above 5,200.
โ A strong break above 5,280 โ opens room for further upside within the channel.
โ A break below 5,105 โ warns of a short-term structure breakdown and a deeper correction.
๐ Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 5,200 โ 5,202
Stop Loss: 5,190
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 5,278 โ 5,280
Stop Loss: 5,288
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
Resistence
Will gold prices return to a liquid state and continue to rise? ๐ 1๏ธโฃ Trendline
Primary Trend: BULLISH
Price is moving within a medium-term ascending channel
Market structure continues to form Higher Highs โ Higher Lows
The recent decline is only a technical pullback to the rising trendline
No structural breakdown โ no confirmed reversal
โก๏ธ The lower trendline is currently acting as dynamic support
๐ฆ 2๏ธโฃ Support Zones
๐น 4,996 โ 4,994 โ Near-term support
Confluence of ascending trendline + recent demand zone
If price reacts positively here โ high probability of bullish continuation
๐น 4,974 โ 4,976 โ Stronger support + structure retest
Aligns with Fibonacci level + previous structural low
A break below this zone would signal weakening bullish momentum
๐ฅ 3๏ธโฃ Resistance Zones
๐ธ 5,109 โ 5,111 โ Near-term resistance / recent high
Price has reacted multiple times at this level
A clear breakout and close above is needed to confirm bullish continuation
๐ธ 5,148 โ 5,150 โ Major resistance / supply zone
Next upside target if breakout occurs
Strong profit-taking pressure may appear here
๐ฏ Trading Plan
๐ข BUY GOLD: 4,996 โ 4,994
Stop Loss: 4,989
Take Profit Targets: +100 / +300 / +500 pips
๐ด SELL GOLD: 5,148 โ 5,150
Stop Loss: 5,155
Take Profit Targets: +100 / +300 / +500 pips
LTC/USDT 30M Short-Term๐ 1) Market Structure (Price Action)
The market is consolidating/accumulating between ~67.2 and ~70.1.
Previously, there was a strong decline, then range trading with false breakouts.
Currently, the price has rebounded from the ~66 low and is making a higher low โ short-term bullish.
๐ This looks like a retest of the range bottom โ a push to the middle of the range.
๐งฑ 2) Key Levels (Your lines are well marked)
๐ด Support Levels
67.20 โ the most important local support (range low).
64.89 โ a strong swing low (if 67 breaks โ decline here).
63.14 โ the bulls' last defense.
๐ข Resistance
69.37 โ mid-range, local S/R flip.
70.11 โ key range high.
71.60 โ strong HTF resistance (if it breaks 70 โ target).
๐ 3) Trend (moving average)
The green MA (probably the 200 EMA/SMA) has been acting as dynamic resistance previously, and now the price is starting to hold above it โ bullish short-term.
Structure:
low โ higher low โ test resistance = breakout potential.
โก 4) RSI + Stoch RSI
RSI (lower panel)
RSI ~55โ60 โ bullish momentum (above 50).
No overbought โ room for further upward movement.
Stoch RSI (middle panel)
Oscillates, but not to an extreme โ no dump signal.
If it crosses upwards >80 โ a scalp short signal (at 30m).
๐ง 5) Scenarios (most important)
๐ข BULLISH SCENARIO
Condition:
Close of the 30m candle above 69.40
Targets:
70.11
71.60
73+ (if a breakout range on HTF)
๐ This will be a consolidation breakout โ an impulsive move.
๐ด BEARISH SCENARIO
Condition:
Rejection of 69.4 + return to below 67.9
Targets:
67.20
64.89
63.14
๐ This will be a classic range fake breakout โ dump to the lower zone.
๐งจ 6) What do I see as smart money?
A liquidity grab above 69.5โ70 is very likely, followed by a dump.
Market makers like to:
break resistance
collect longs
dump to range low
๐ฐ 7) Trading setup (pro)
๐ LONG scalp
Entry: 69.4 breakout retest
SL: 68.8
TP1: 70.1
TP2: 71.6
๐ SHORT swing (better R:R)
Entry: 70โ71 rejection
SL: 71.8
TP1: 67.2
TP2: 64.9
What will the new ATH level be? 26/01/20261๏ธโฃ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH (UPTREND).
Price remains above the long-term ascending trendline โ Higher High โ Higher Low structure is still valid.
The current move is a technical pullback after a strong bullish wave, with no reversal signal confirmed yet.
2๏ธโฃ Resistance
5,138 โ 5,140: Strong resistance (target peak + upper boundary of the channel).
Scenario: Profit-taking / price congestion is likely to appear.
Bullish continuation condition: Clear break & close above this zone.
3๏ธโฃ Support
5,021 โ 5,019: Nearest support (confluence of ascending trendline + horizontal support).
If held โ prefer buying in line with the trend.
If broken โ price may pull back deeper toward the lower trendline / EMA.
4,967 โ 4,965: Deeper support + EMA zone + liquidity sweep area (backup support).
๐ Trade Plan
BUY GOLD: 5,021 โ 5,019
Stop Loss: 5,011
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 5,138 โ 5,140
Stop Loss: 5,148
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
XRP/USDT 1D Chart Review๐ Market Structure (Most Important)
The market is in a clear downtrend.
The price is moving within a descending channel (the upper and lower boundaries are well respected).
Each uptrend ends with a lower high.
โก๏ธ The trend remains bearish until the channel breaks out to the upside.
๐ Downtrend Channel
Upper channel line = dynamic resistance
Lower channel line = demand/bounce zone
Price:
has been rejected from the upper band of the channel
is currently moving back down.
This is classic behavior in a downtrend.
๐ข / ๐ด Key Levels
๐ข Resistance (sell zone)
2.38 USDT โ very strong resistance (previous support)
2.26 USDT
2.10 USDT
๐ Any return to these areas = potential short/distribution
๐ด Support (buy reaction, not long confirmation)
1.91โ1.89 USDT โ current fight zone
1.80 USDT
1.76 USDT
1.57 USDT โ last strong base (capitulation if broken)
โ ๏ธ These are reaction zones, not automatic longs.
๐ Stochastic RSI
Oscillator has broken out of overbought
Direction: down
No bullish divergence
โก๏ธ Momentum favors continued declines
๐ง Scenarios (specific)
๐ป Baseline scenario (most likely)
Price loses 1.90 USDT
Test:
1.80
then 1.76
If there is no strong volume, a drop to as low as 1.57
โก๏ธ Continuation of the downtrend
๐ Corrective scenario (short-term bounce)
Bounce from 1.89โ1.80
Pullback to a maximum of:
2.10
2.26 (ideal short zone)
BNB/USDT 4H Chart๐ Market Structure
โข The uptrend has been broken โ a clear breakout of the black trend line + an impulsive decline.
โข Currently consolidating after a drop โ a classic bear flag/base after a downward impulse.
โข The market is in a decision phase, not in a trend.
โธป
๐ฅ Key Levels
๐ด Support
โข 890โ888 โ current fighting zone (local HL after dump)
โข 872 โ very important support (if broken โ acceleration of the decline)
โข 849 โ last line of defense for the bulls
๐ข Resistance
โข 901 โ first resistance (local LH)
โข 923 โ strong S/R flip (this is where the avalanche began)
โข 958 โ key structural resistance (return to bullish scenario)
โธป
๐ Momentum & RSI
โข Stochastic RSI:
โข High/overbought โ weak fuel for growth
โข Typical spot for a recoil or false breakout
โข No bullish divergence โ no signal yet Reversals
โธป
๐ฏ Scenarios
๐ป Baseline Scenario (more likely)
โข Recoil from 890โ901
โข Pullback to 872
โข If 872 breaks on volume โ quick move to 849
โก๏ธ This is a classic pullback โ continuation
โธป
๐ Alternative (conditional) Scenario
โข Defense 888โ890
โข Breakout of 901 + close of the 4-hour candle
โข Retest of 901 as support
โข Target: 923, and only then consider 958
โก๏ธ Without a breakout of 901, there is no way the uptrend will resume
Continuously setting new ATH records, getting closer to the 50001๏ธโฃ Trendline
Primary trend: BULLISH
Price is still moving within a long-term ascending channel.
The most recent move broke the short-term rising trendline โ this signals a technical correction, not a trend reversal, as the major trendline remains intact.
2๏ธโฃ Resistance
5,000 โ 5,005: Strong resistance (channel top + distribution zone).
โ Profit-taking pressure is likely to appear. A clear break & close above this zone is required to confirm further upside.
3๏ธโฃ Support
4,888 โ 4,890: Near-term support (pullback area to the channel trendline).
4,840 โ 4,845: Strong support (correction low + demand zone).
โ If this zone holds, the bullish trend remains valid.
4๏ธโฃ Main Scenarios
Preferred scenario: Pullback into support โ bullish reaction in line with the trend.
Risk scenario: A break below 4,840 โ bullish structure weakens, market may shift into short-term consolidation or bearish movement.
๐ Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,888 โ 4,890
Stop Loss: 4,880
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 5,000 โ 5,002
Stop Loss: 5,010
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
Will there be a correction today, January 22nd, 2026?1๏ธโฃ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH.
Price is still holding above the long-term ascending trendline โ the Higher High โ Higher Low structure remains intact.
The current move is a pullback / consolidation after a strong rally, with no confirmed trend reversal yet.
2๏ธโฃ Resistance
4,855 โ 4,888: Strong resistance zone (previous high + distribution area).
โ Profit-taking and false breakouts are likely in this zone.
โ Bullish continuation only if price breaks and closes clearly above 4,888.
3๏ธโฃ Support
Ascending trendline: Key dynamic support, focus on price reaction here.
4,755: Strong support (structural low + demand zone).
โ Losing this level would break the short-term bullish structure, increasing the risk of a deeper correction.
4๏ธโฃ Main Scenarios
Primary scenario: Price pulls back to the trendline โ holds โ rebounds to retest resistance.
Risk scenario: Break below the trendline and lose 4,755 โ market shifts to sideways or short-term bearish.
๐ Strategy: Look for trend-following buys at support, avoid FOMO entries at resistance.
๐ Trade Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,755 โ 4,757
Stop Loss: 4,747
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,854 โ 4,856
Stop Loss: 4,866
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
ETH 4H Chart1๏ธโฃ Market Structure (HTF โ 4H)
We had a clear uptrend in the channel (black lines).
A breakout from the channel occurred at the bottom โ this is a break of structure.
The decline was impulsive, without any major corrections โ supply prevailed.
โก๏ธ Medium-term bias: bearish/corrective
2๏ธโฃ Key price levels
๐ด Supports
$2,938 โ currently the closest technical support
$2,862 โ a very important zone (strong reaction, long wick)
$2,740 โ next HTF support (if the market collapses)
โก๏ธ 2,862 = key decision level
Loss โ high chance of a breakout to 2,740
๐ข Resistances
$3,081 โ local resistance/flip after a breakout
$3,215 โ former support, now resistance (ideal for shorts)
$3,430 โ upper HTF resistance (only after a structure change)
3๏ธโฃ Price Action (what we're seeing now)
After a strong dump, an impulsive downward wick appeared โ Possible short-term relief (dead cat bounce).
The current bounce looks corrective, not impulsive.
Not yet:
higher low
4-hour candlestick closes above 3,081
โก๏ธ This could still be just a pullback for further declines.
4๏ธโฃ RSI Stochastic
RSI was heavily oversold โ a technical bounce is normal.
Now a quick return to the upper regions โ watch out for a bearish cross.
In downtrends, the Stoch RSI often:
Quickly reaches 80โ100
and immediately reverses
โก๏ธ RSI does not yet confirm a trend change
5๏ธโฃ Scenarios
๐ก Scenario A โ correction and further decline (more likely)
Bounce to 3,080โ3,215
Rejection
Return to 2,860 โ 2,740
๐ Short setup:
Reaction below 3,080 / 3,215
Weak volume, pin bar / bearish engulfing
๐ข Scenario B โ return to growth (less likely)
Conditions:
4-hour close above 3,215
Hold as support
Only then target: 3,430
๐ Without this โ longs are counter-trend
Gold prices continue to set all-time highs (ATH).1๏ธโฃ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH
Price remains above the ascending trendline โ the Higher High โ Higher Low structure is still valid.
The current move is a consolidation / technical pullback, with no signs of a structural breakdown yet.
2๏ธโฃ Resistance
4,900 โ 4,905: Strong resistance (target peak + confluence with the upper trendline) โ profit-taking pressure is likely.
Condition for continuation: A clear break and close above 4,900.
3๏ธโฃ Support
4,816 โ 4,814: Near-term support (consolidation / pullback zone).
4,766 โ 4,768: Strong support (Higher Low + demand zone). Holding above this area keeps the bullish trend intact.
4๏ธโฃ Main Scenario
Priority: BUY with the trend as long as price holds above 4,768, target 4,900.
Warning: A break below 4,766 increases the risk of a deeper correction and requires close price action monitoring.
Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,816 โ 4,814
Stop Loss: 4,804
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,900 โ 4,902
Stop Loss: 4,912
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
BTC/USDT 1D Chart Review๐ MARKET STRUCTURE
The price is moving within an ascending channel, but:
The last candle is a strong rejection of the upper levels.
We have a clear downward impulse from the ~97.6k area.
The price is currently testing the lower line of the ascending channel.
โก๏ธ Short-term trend: correction / weakness.
โก๏ธ Medium-term trend: still up, BUT at risk.
๐ KEY LEVELS
๐ข RESISTANCES
97,642 โ local high / strong rejection.
94,465 โ 94,400 โ zone from which the downward impulse occurred.
๐ After a downward breakout, it now acts as resistance.
๐ก DECISION ZONE
92,370 โ 93,400
The price is currently below.
A return above this zone = a chance for continuation. Channel
๐ด SUPPORT
89,500 โ 88,960 โ a very important zone
local demand
currently being tested
84,411 โ key structural support
80,710 โ the last line of defense of the uptrend
๐ STOCH RSI
strongly downward
no bullish divergence
there is still room for further decline
โก๏ธ momentum = bearish
๐ง SCENARIOS
๐ฅ SCENARIO 1 (more likely)
Continuation of correction
Loss of 89,000
Descent to:
84,400
and with panic even 80,700
โก๏ธ Healthy correction in the uptrend
๐ฉ SCENARIO 2 (less likely) (likely)
Defense of the lower channel line
Demand reaction to 88.9k โ 89.5k
Return above 92.3k
Retest 94.4k
โก๏ธ Requires strong volume (not visible yet)
๐ฏ WHAT IS KEY NOW
Close of the daily candle
Price reaction to:
88.9k
Ascending channel line
Gold continues to be a safe haven 20/01/261๏ธโฃ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH
Price is moving above the long-term ascending trendline โ Higher High โ Higher Low structure remains intact.
The current pullback is only a technical correction within an uptrend, with no signs of structure breakdown yet.
2๏ธโฃ Resistance
4,680 โ 4,682: Short-term resistance, previous consolidation zone โ requires a clear break and close to confirm bullish continuation.
4,715 โ 4,717: Strong resistance, confluence of previous high + upper trendline โ high probability of profit-taking reaction.
3๏ธโฃ Support
4,640 โ 4,642: Near-term support, technical pullback zone.
4,620 โ 4,622: Strong support, demand zone + EMA confluence + GAP โ ideal trend-following buy zone if price shows holding signals.
4๏ธโฃ Preferred Scenarios
Priority: Buy with the trend at support zones.
Break and hold above 4,690 โ confirms bullish continuation, target 4,715.
Loss of 4,620 โ short-term trend weakens, wait for a retest of the lower ascending trendline.
Trading Plans
BUY GOLD (Scalp): 4,640 โ 4,642
Stop Loss: 4,635
Take Profit: 50 โ 100 โ 150 pips
BUY GOLD: 4,620 โ 4,622
Stop Loss: 4,610
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,715 โ 4,717
Stop Loss: 4,727
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
ETH/USDT 4H chart๐งญ Trend Context
โข Main Trend: Up โ clear HH/HL breakout.
โข Price respects the uptrend line (orange).
โข The last upward impulse was very strong (dynamic breakout to ~3400).
โธป
๐ Key Horizontal Lines
๐ดSupports
โข 3188โ3200 โ local support + prior S/R flip
โข 3130 โ strong structural support
โข 3052 โ last line of trend defense (critical)
๐ข Resistances
โข 3232 โ current resistance (price reaction now)
โข 3317 โ important resistance/consolidation
โข 3404 โ high impulse (local ATH)
โธป
๐ Price Structure
โข The drop from ~3360 to ~3188 looks like an impulse correction, not a trend reversal.
โข Currently, the price:
โข has rebounded from support
โข is above the trend line
โข is fighting against 3232
๐Into the decision zone.
โธป
๐ Stochastic RSI
โข Was oversold (0โ20)
โข Now retracing upward
โข Potential for an uptrend, but no confirmed breakout
โธป
๐ฎ Scenarios
โ
Baseline scenario (bullish โ more likely)
Conditions:
โข Hold >3188
โข Breakout and 4-hour close above 3232
Targets:
โข 3317
โข 3400โ3420
โธป
โ ๏ธ Corrective scenario
If:
โข Rejection from 3232
โข Reversion to the downtrend
Targets:
โข 3188
โข 3130
โข Extreme: 3050 (still uptrend)
ADA/USDT 12h๐ Market structure
Medium-term trend: corrective / sideways after an upward impulse
Price is moving in a narrowing channel (descending wedge/triangle)
Lower highs + held support โ pressure before breakout
๐ Key levels
๐ข Resistances
0.407โ0.410 โ local resistance + upper structure line
0.426 โ very important level (previous high + price reactions)
0.451โ0.452 โ strong HTF resistance (if an impulse occurs)
๐ด Support
0.384โ0.385 โ key support (if it falls โ weak)
0.371
0.352
๐ Price Action
The last upward impulse was rejected exactly at the resistance of 0.426
Currently, the price is consolidating just above 0.384
Every move lower is bought, but there is no strong volume for growth
๐ The market is in compression - the breakout is getting closer.
๐ Stochastic RSI
Oscillator close to the oversold zone
No clear bullish crossover yet
This favors a rebound, but is not a confirmation of the long
๐ง Scenarios
โ
Bullish scenario (more technically correct)
Conditions:
Defense 0.384
Breakout above 0.407โ0.410 (preferably close 12h candle)
Goals:
0.426
0.451
โก๏ธ This would be a breakout from the wedge + continuation of the impulse
โ Bear scenario
Conditions:
Candle close below 0.384
Goals:
0.371
0.352
โก๏ธ This means negating the structure and returning to the range
Beautifully made HH and then HL.QUICE Analysis
Closed at 38.93 (16-01-2026)
Beautifully made HH and then HL.
Crossing & Sustaining 46 may lead it towards 59 - 60.
Immediate Support seems to be around 35.
However, it should not break 31 now else we
may witness more selling pressure towards 28 initially.
Gold price movements at the end of the week, January 16, 2026.1๏ธโฃ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH.
Price remains above the long-term ascending trendline โ the Higher High โ Higher Low structure is still intact.
Current phase: sideways consolidation below resistance within an ascending channel โ the market is building pressure.
2๏ธโฃ Resistance
4,640 โ 4,642: Major resistance.
Confluence: previous high + upper trendline.
Scenarios:
Rejection โ high probability of a corrective pullback.
4,668 โ 4,670:
New ATH zone + break of previous high + trendline extension.
3๏ธโฃ Support
4,578 โ 4,580:
Near-term support, equilibrium zone within the range.
4,515 โ 4,517:
Strong support / breakout retest + previous GAP.
Loss of this zone โ short-term bullish structure weakens, downside risk increases.
4๏ธโฃ Preferred Trading Scenarios
Sell on reaction at 4,640 โ 4,645 if clear rejection signals appear.
Buy with the trend at 4,515 โ 4,520 once strong holding signals are confirmed.
Primary Trade Setups
SELL GOLD: 4,668 โ 4,670
Stop Loss: 4,678
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
BUY GOLD (Scalp): 4,578 โ 4,580
Stop Loss: 4,574
Take Profit: 50 โ 100 โ 200 pips
BUY GOLD: 4,515 โ 4,517
Stop Loss: 4,505
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
LTC is in a clear downward trend๐ MARKET STRUCTURE
Main Trend: Down
Sequence: Lower High โ Lower Low
Price is moving in a clear downward channel.
Any upward breakout = correction, not a trend change.
๐ KEY LEVELS
๐ฉ RESISTANCES (sell zones)
84.50 โ current S/R flip (was support โ now resistance)
94.50 โ strong HTF level, where the market has been rejected multiple times
107.50 โ key trend reversal level (BOS)
๐ฅ SUPPORT
72.00โ72.50 โ key support, currently being tested
63.10 โ next strong HTF support
Below โ empty space to ~55โ58
๐ PRICE ACTION โ WHAT YOU CAN SEE
Recent Bounce:
Weak HH
No volume
Strong rejection from:
Upper channel line
Level ~84.5
Current candle:
Aggressive supply
No demand response
๐ Sellers in full control
๐ STOCH RSI
Turnover from the upper zones
Bearish momentum
No bullish divergence
๐ Oscillator confirms continuation of the downtrend
๐ง SCENARIOS
๐ด BASELINE SCENARIO (60โ65%)
Descent lower
Condition:
Close D1 below 72
Target:
63.1
Possible breakout to 60โ61
๐ก CORRECTIVE SCENARIO (25โ30%)
Bounce Technical
Condition:
Holding 72
Demand candle + follow-up
Target:
84.5
Maximum 94.5
DOES NOT change the trend
๐ข TREND REVERSE SCENARIO (<10%)
Condition:
Close D1 > 94.5
Then reclaim 107.5
๐ Only then can we talk about a bull market
๐ฏ HOW TO PLAY IT (technically)
Short:
Retest 84โ85 or 94โ95
SL: above the structure
TP: 72 โ 63
Long:
Only a reaction to 63
Short-term scalp / swing
No forcing the low
XAUUSD (Gold) โ 1H Chart | Price Action Analysis**XAUUSD (Gold) โ 1H Chart | Price Action Analysis**
**Current price:** ~4,610
### ๐ Market Structure
* Gold is moving **sideways within a defined range** after a strong prior bullish move.
* Price recently bounced from the lower range and is now **testing the upper boundary (resistance)**.
### ๐ Moving Averages
* **EMA 9 & EMA 21:** Closely aligned and flat โ short-term consolidation.
* **EMA 50 (โ4,607):** Holding as **key dynamic support**.
* Price above EMA 50 keeps the **overall bias neutral to bullish**.
### ๐ฅ Support Zones
* **Immediate support: 4,590 โ 4,585**
* Strong demand zone where buyers stepped in previously.
* **Lower support:** 4,560 โ 4,540
* Breakdown below this area may weaken bullish structure.
### ๐ฉ Resistance Zones
* **Immediate resistance: 4,620 โ 4,625**
* Price is currently reacting here.
* **Upper resistance / breakout zone:** 4,650 โ 4,670
* A sustained break could open further upside.
### ๐ Scenarios
* **Bullish scenario:**
A **clean hourly close above 4,625** may trigger upside continuation toward **4,650+**.
* **Bearish scenario:**
Rejection from resistance and a **break below 4,585** could lead to a deeper pullback.
### ๐ง Summary (Mind-Safe)
* Gold is **range-bound between support and resistance**
* **Breakout above resistance = bullish continuation**
* **Rejection + support break = corrective move**
* Wait for **clear confirmation on H1**
*Educational purpose only โ not financial advice.*
Following yesterday's PPI report, what will the gold price be li1๏ธโฃ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH
Price is moving inside an Ascending Channel โ the Higher High โ Higher Low structure is still intact.
Currently, price is trading in the upper half of the channel, meaning buyers remain in control, but the market has started to consolidate / correct after a strong bullish impulse.
2๏ธโฃ Resistance
๐ 4,683 โ 4,685
Major supply zone + top of the ascending channel
๐ 4,640 โ 4,642
Price has been rejected multiple times here โ Smart Money distribution + trendline resistance
โก Only look for short (SELL) trades if rejection signals appear
(e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing, strong rejection wick)
3๏ธโฃ Support
๐ 4,548 โ 4,550
Strong confluence zone:
Bottom of the ascending channel
Previous breakout zone
EMA + major trendline
This is a BUY zone in line with the trend
โก If price pulls back to this area and holds, the probability is high for a continuation toward 4,685
๐ Trading Plan
BUY GOLD
Entry: 4550 โ 4548
Stop Loss: 4538
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
SELL GOLD
Entry: 4683 โ 4685
Stop Loss: 4693
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
Gold surged and continued to rise on January 12, 2026.1๏ธโฃ Trendline
Short-term structure: Bullish after the breakout.
Price has broken above the descending trendline โ sellers have lost control.
The current move is a bullish impulse, and the market is waiting for a pullback to form a higher low.
2๏ธโฃ Key Support Zones
4,550 โ 4,548
Nearest support (breakout retest zone)
If this zone holds โ the bullish trend remains intact.
4,515 โ 4,513
Strong support zone
Confluence of:
Old resistance โ new support
Rising trendline
EMA & price structure
๐ This is the best buy zone
If this area is broken โ the short-term bullish structure is invalidated.
3๏ธโฃ Resistance
4,640 โ 4,642
Major resistance
Fibonacci 2.618 extension
Supply zone
๐ This is the main target of the current bullish wave
4๏ธโฃ Price Scenarios
Bullish scenario (priority)
Price pulls back to 4,550 โ 4,515
Holds support
Forms a higher low
โ Then continues higher toward 4,640
Bearish scenario (structure failure)
Price closes clearly below 4,515
โ Short-term uptrend is broken
โ Price may drop toward 4,480 โ 4,440
๐ Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,513 โ 4,515
Stop Loss: 4,503
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,640 โ 4,642
Stop Loss: 4,650
Take Profit: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
BTC/USD 4H Chart Review๐ Market Structure
Medium-term trend: up
The price is moving within an ascending channel (the lower and upper limits are nicely respected).
Last move = upward impulse from a consolidation breakout.
๐ Current Situation
The price has broken out above key resistance at ~94,600 USD (red line)
We are currently in the 97,500โ98,200 USD zone (local resistance).
This is the first test of this zone from below โ a natural place for reaction.
๐ฉ Key Levels
Resistance
98,200โ98,300 USD โ local resistance (green line)
103,800 USD โ main channel target / ATH region
Supports
94,600 USD โ most important support (flip from resistance)
89,400 USD โ middle of the structure + previous accumulation
Lower channel boundary ~87โ88k USD โ last defense
๐ MACD
Strong bullish crossover
The histogram is rising โ upward momentum is accelerating
No downward divergence (on (for now)
โก๏ธ This supports continued growth, not a reversal.
๐ง Scenarios
๐ข Baseline scenario (most likely)
Short consolidation/pullback
Retest of USD 94,600โ95,000
Continuation up โ 98k โ 100k โ 103โ104k
๐ก Alternative scenario
Rejection of USD 98k
Drop to USD 89,400
Still uptrend as long as the channel holds
๐ด Bullish negation
4-hour close below 89,400
Then the structure breaks down โ drop to 86โ84k
USDJPY M15 RSI Divergence and Short-Term Pullback Setup๐ Description
FX:USDJPY has extended into a local premium zone after a strong impulsive rally. Price is holding near recent highs, but momentum is slowing as RSI shows clear bearish divergence, suggesting exhaustion rather than continuation.
________________________________________
๐ Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish while price holds below the recent high and RSI divergence remains valid
Preferred Setup:
โข Entry: 158.90
โข Stop Loss: Above 159.11
โข TP1: 158.67
โข TP2: 158.50
โข TP3: 158.30 (H1 FVG / liquidity draw)
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๐ฏ ICT & SMC Notes
โข RSI bearish divergence indicates weakening bullish momentum
โข Price trading in premium after impulsive expansion
โข Pullback expected toward nearby FVGs
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๐งฉ Summary
Despite the strong upside move, momentum divergence suggests limited continuation. As long as price fails to push higher with strength, a corrective pullback toward lower PD arrays is favored.
________________________________________
๐ Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With key US CPI data today, volatility risk is elevated. Any positioning should be approached with strict risk management, as CPI outcomes can trigger sharp, two-sided moves before direction is confirmed.
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โ ๏ธ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.






















