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How Lisa Cook’s Rejection Sparked a Dollar Rebound Markets were quick to react to President Trump’s decision to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. The U.S. dollar softened immediately, as traders weighed the possibility of political interference undermining confidence in the Fed’s policy outlook. The EURUSD found support near 1.1690, before retracing as Cook’s stance restored some market confidence. Cook has refused to step down and is preparing legal action, arguing that the president lacks the authority to remove a sitting governor. If Trump doubles down or the legal fight escalates, we could expect volatility with a possible bias for euro strength. If 1.1640 breaks cleanly to the upside, EUR/USD could attempt to retest the 50% retracement at 1.1660, and then the 61.8% level near 1.1680.
by BlackBull Markets
Can Sound Waves Become Tomorrow's Shield Against Global Chaos?Genasys Inc. (NASDAQ: GNSS) operates at the convergence of escalating global instability and technological innovation, positioning itself as a critical player in the protective communications sector. The company's sophisticated portfolio combines its proprietary Long Range Acoustic Device (LRAD) systems with the cloud-first Genasys Protect software platform, serving over 155 million individuals across more than 100 countries. With law enforcement agencies in over 500 U.S. cities utilizing LRAD systems for applications ranging from SWAT operations to crowd control, Genasys has established itself as the global standard in acoustic hailing devices, delivering messages 20-30 decibels louder and with superior intelligibility compared to traditional systems. The company's growth trajectory aligns with powerful macroeconomic forces driving unprecedented demand for protective communications. Global defense spending surged to $2.718 trillion in 2024—a 9.4% increase representing the steepest rise since 1988—while the critical infrastructure protection market is projected to grow from $148.64 billion in 2024 to $213.94 billion by 2032. Genasys's integrated solutions directly address this expanding market through non-kinetic de-escalation capabilities and cyber-physical threat mitigation, recently securing $1 million in LRAD orders for the Middle East and Africa as geopolitical tensions intensify. Genasys's competitive advantage rests on a robust foundation of 17 registered patents, particularly in acoustic hailing technology, creating significant barriers to entry while enabling premium pricing. The company's $4.2 million annual R&D investment ensures continued innovation, while strategic partnerships like its collaboration with FloodMapp demonstrate the platform's evolution toward predictive threat mitigation rather than merely reactive response. Despite current profitability challenges—with Q3 2025 net losses of $6.5 million—the company maintains a substantial project backlog exceeding $16 million, plus the transformative $40 million Puerto Rico Early Warning System project expected to generate $15-20 million in fiscal 2025 revenue. The investment thesis centers on Genasys's unique positioning to capitalize on the global shift toward sophisticated, non-lethal security solutions amid rising geopolitical instability. With percentage-of-completion accounting currently suppressing gross margins to 26.3% but promising significant margin expansion as major projects near completion, the company represents a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to defense, public safety, and critical infrastructure growth markets. The convergence of technological superiority, strategic market positioning, and substantial revenue visibility through confirmed backlog suggests significant long-term potential despite near-term financial complexities.
NASDAQ:GNSSLong
by UDIS_View
U.S. Slaps 39% Tariff on Swiss Gold BarsU.S. Slaps 39% Tariff on Swiss Gold Bars, Shaking the Global Bullion Market By Hirad Aryanejad – Macroeconomic & Gold Markets Analyst --- The United States has moved to impose a 39% tariff on imports of one-kilogram and 100-ounce gold bars from Switzerland — a shock decision that could ripple across the global bullion market. In a letter dated July 31, 2025, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reclassified these widely traded bullion products — critical to the Comex futures market — as “semi-manufactured”, making them subject to duties. Previously, they were classified as “unwrought, nonmonetary gold” , exempting them from earlier tariff rounds. --- A Blow to the World’s Largest Refining Hub The decision follows former President Donald Trump’s broader tariff package on all Swiss goods, announced after rejecting Switzerland’s proposal for a 10% tariff in exchange for \$150 billion in U.S.-bound investment. Switzerland — the world’s largest gold refining hub — exported roughly $61.5 billion in gold to the U.S. over the 12 months ending June 2025. The new tariff could add nearly $24 billion in duties. Christoph Wild, President of the Swiss Association of Manufacturers and Traders of Precious Metals, called the ruling “another blow” to Swiss-U.S. gold trade, warning that exports may become “economically unviable”. --- Market Reaction: Record Gold Prices The ruling triggered an immediate market shock. Gold futures in New York surged past $3,500 per troy ounce, hitting a record $3,534 on August 8, before pulling back slightly. Analysts say the rally was driven by both the tariff announcement and gold’s safe-haven appeal amid escalating trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty. Some traders described the CBP’s decision as “shocking” and possibly mistaken, predicting legal challenges ahead. The lack of clarity has already caused certain shipments to freeze in transit. --- The Critical Role of Switzerland in Bullion Logistics Global bullion trade depends on a triangular supply chain: Raw gold refined in Switzerland Cast into kilo bars for the U.S. market or 400-ounce bars for London Delivered to satisfy Comex contracts and central bank reserves This logistical network is now under threat. UBS strategist Joni Teves has questioned whether U.S. gold futures trading can remain viable if tariffs on deliverable products persist. The Swiss Precious Metals Association noted that the CBP’s clarification applies to all 1kg and 100oz gold bars imported into the U.S. not only those from Switzerland — raising the stakes for global trade flows. --- Negotiations and Uncertainty Ahead Switzerland continues to negotiate with Washington to reduce the tariff burden, but uncertainty remains. The White House is reportedly preparing a clarification on the bullion tariffs that could determine whether the market stabilizes or faces prolonged disruption. Until then, gold industry players — from major banks to refining houses — are bracing for further volatility, both in pricing and physical supply chains. --- Keywords: gold market news, Swiss gold bars, U.S. gold tariffs, Comex gold futures, bullion trade, Switzerland gold exports, precious metals refining, gold price surge, macroeconomic analysis.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by hiradaryanejad
2
Swing opportunity on cluster support, technical & macro plan__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum : Tech sector bias supportive on higher timeframes (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Buy” on 1D/12H) despite MTFTI “Down” on intraday (15min to 6H). Key Supports : Major cluster at 111,900–112,772 (W Pivot High, 12H/24H Pivot Low). Critical defense short/mid term. Resistances : 114,723, then 115,900, then 119,800–122,318 (break to relaunch impulse). Volumes : Moderate to normal across all timeframes: no panic or capitulation. Multi-TF Behaviour : ISPD DIV neutral everywhere: neither fear nor euphoria; wait-and-see market. No climax nor emotional extremes: conducive to squeeze or extension after catalyst. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global Bias : Neutral to cautious bullish if 111,900–112,772 holds (invalidate if <111,900). Opportunities : Defensive swing long entries on support. Gradual targets: 114,723, 115,900, 119,800–122,318. Risks : Daily/4H close below 111,900 = acceleration towards $110k/$105k (on-chain air-gap). Macro Catalysts : Geopolitical tensions (Gaza/Ukraine/China), China crypto ban headlines, sector decoupling, Fed/BoE policy. Action Plan : Strict stop management (<111,750), agile on volume/ISPD signals. Critical macro monitoring: any exogenous move can trigger directional volatility. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D (Daily) : Key support 114,723.2. Tech sector indicator (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator) bullish. MTFTI Up. Normal volume, no panic. Lack of ISPD oversold signal. 12H : Support W Pivot High 111,900 – 12H Pivot Low 111,920. Uptrend, moderately higher volumes, ISPD neutral. Battling for support maintenance and bounce. 6H : Core pivot support 111,900–112,000. MTFTI Down. No volume excess or sentiment signal. End of momentum, increase vigilance. 4H : Weakness confirmed, supports 112,000–112,500, resistance 117,722 to 119,800. Last short-term rampart tested. 2H-1H : Bearish, attacks on 111,900–112,772 supports, immediate resistance at 114,723/115,900. Weak range market. 30min-15min : Neutral, lower range between supports (111,900–112,772) and resistances (113,950–114,723). Volatility on breakout events, no sector bias. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Persistent “Buy” on higher timeframes (12H/1D), neutral/bearish intraday (4H and below). ISPD DIV : No extremes detected: no exhaustion, panic or major oversold; “range” environment. Volumes : Normal, no climax or anomaly. Market awaiting a catalyst. __________________________________________________________________________________ Fundamental, Macro Events, Sentiment Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro : Newsflow on China crypto ban, multiple tensions (Gaza, Russia-Ukraine), Fed/BoE slowing. Globally cautious setting despite no direct institutional shock. On-chain (Glassnode) : Major OTC sale (~80k BTC) absorbed, 97% supply in profit: “moderate euphoria” phase, not capitulation; on-chain supports $110–117k, resistance $125–141k, air-gap below $115k. Twitter : No panic, “final wick” narrative then anticipated technical rebound. No institutional outflows. China ban read as cyclical FUD. __________________________________________________________________________________ Summary & Action Plan __________________________________________________________________________________ Support 111,900–112,772 = key multi-TF cluster; area for defensive swing opportunity. MTFTI is “Down” on lower TF, but Risk On / Risk Off Indicator bullish on daily/12H. No capitulation, normal volume, market waiting for catalyst. Swing bullish invalidated below 111,900—stop required, R/R 1:2 minimum. Fast reclaim above 114,723 plus strong upside volume: short squeeze & potential extension to 119,800–122,318. Macro monitoring essential (China ban, monetary policy, geopolitics). __________________________________________________________________________________ Operational Summary : Favor defensive swing long plans on multi-TF cluster support (111,900–112,772), strict stop <111,750, progressive TPs to 114,723/115,900/119,800. Stay opportunistic: bias cautiously bullish but risk management is paramount in a cautious global environment and with no strong extremes detected. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
DCF VALUATION ANALYSIS OF BSEConclusion: OVERVALUED :-OVERVIEW BSE Limited has shown strong financial growth in recent years. Its revenue jumped from ₹924.84 crore in FY23 to ₹1,592.50 crore in FY24 (a 72% increase), and further surged to ₹3,212 crore in FY25, doubling year-on-year. EBITDA grew impressively to ₹1,779 crore in FY25 with a 60% increase, and EBIT reached ₹1,670 crore, up 56%. Net profit also rose significantly to ₹1,112 crore, with earnings per share increasing to ₹81. Dividend per share improved to ₹23, reflecting healthy returns DCF: -The valuation was performed using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) approach based purely on verified financial data and market risk parameters without relying on user-specific growth assumptions. -The cost of equity was calculated using an adjusted risk-free rate plus equity risk premium multiplied by beta, resulting in a discount rate of approximately 13.58%. The terminal growth rate was conservatively taken as 4%. Using these reliable inputs and actual EBIT cash flows, the intrinsic enterprise value was estimated at around ₹36,839 crore, translating to an intrinsic value per share of approximately ₹1,364. -Currently, BSE’s market price is around ₹2,480 per share, which is substantially higher than the intrinsic value derived from fundamentals, indicating the stock is trading at a significant premium. This valuation is grounded in audited company financials and globally accepted valuation methodologies, providing a trustworthy reference point for investors.
NSE:BSEShort
by Tap_trader
4
Risk-to-Reward and Journaling : Track, analyze, and evolve 📈 Mastering the Markets: Why Risk-to-Reward and Journaling Are Every Trader’s Edge In trading, profitability isn't just about making winning trades — it's about managing risk smartly and learning from every position. Two of the most underrated habits that separate amateurs from consistent traders are: 1. Understanding Risk-to-Reward (R:R) The risk-to-reward ratio is the foundation of trade planning. It's a simple calculation of how much you're willing to risk versus how much you aim to gain. A ratio of 1:2 means you risk $1 to potentially make $2. ✅ Why it matters: Even with a 40% win rate, a positive R:R can still yield profitability. It disciplines your entries, stops, and targets — no more emotional exits. It forces you to filter out trades that don’t offer enough upside. 📊 For example, if you take 10 trades risking $100 each with a 1:2 R:R: Win 4 = $800 gain Lose 6 = $600 loss Net Profit = $200 despite winning less than half. 2. The Power of Journaling Trading without a journal is like flying blind. Your memory fades, but data doesn’t lie. A trading journal helps you: 🧠 Improve strategy by analyzing what works (symbols, timeframes, setups) 📉 Spot patterns in losses — overtrading? wrong R:R? bad timing? 📈 Stay disciplined — journaling enforces accountability 📒 Capture emotions — was it fear or FOMO? A journal tracks mindset too. In my experience, journaling alone can boost a trader’s edge more than tweaking indicators. It turns experience into insight. 🎯 Final Word The market rewards preparation, not prediction. A solid risk-to-reward framework keeps you in the game. Journaling turns your trades into tuition. Together, they compound your growth. Happy Trading
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by TATraderSid
Mastering Risk Management: The Trader’s Real EdgeYou’ve all heard it, “Cut your losses and let your winners run.” Simple words — but living by them is what separates survivors from blown accounts. Here’s some tips on how to approach risk management when trading: ☑️ Risk is always predefined: Before I click Buy or Sell, I know exactly how much I’m willing to lose. If you don’t define risk upfront, the market will do it for you. ☑️ Position sizing: Never risk more than 1–2% of your account per trade. Small losses mean you can keep taking high‑probability setups without fear. ☑️ Always use a stop‑loss: No stop? You’re not trading — you’re gambling. ☑️ Stop‑loss discipline: Place stops where the market proves you wrong — not where it “feels comfortable.” Then leave them alone. ☑️ Focus on risk/reward, not win rate: A 40% win rate can still be profitable if your average reward outweighs your risk. ☑️ Risk/reward ratio: Only take trades with at least a 2:1 or 3:1 potential. You don’t need to win every trade — your winners should pay for your losers (and more). Remember: “It’s not about being right all the time. It’s about not losing big when you’re wrong.” Risk management won’t make your trades perfect — but it will keep you trading tomorrow. And in this game, staying in the game is everything. 💭 How do you handle risk in your trading? Drop your strategy or tip in the comments — let’s share and learn together! 👇 Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, we appreciate the support! All the best for a good week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
Education
by BluetonaFX
2
SPX Is Pure RiskAbsolutely insane for people to be saying things like "a new bull market" when it never ended. All of the risk is to the downside. If markets ran another 10% to the upside that gives investors a chance to determine if they want to buy a correction to see new highs or not. But to say that a bull market is coming is the antithesis of thinking when current risk is all downside. This is risk management 101: Lets say you have a SP:SPX target of 10,000, would you rather buy it at 6,500 where you know your downside is 7-8% or right here at 6300 with a potential downside of 22%+? Who in the market is long right now? Everyone because all the short sellers are stopped out, and the dumbest of money the guys who just got promoted to the rank of captain in the branch of hindsight bought the "breakout." The retracement to the highs has been one of the most hated rallies off of a bounce ever seen and why? Because it required a large amount of vibes and to a degree stupidity to buy where it bounced but it paid off. So if it was borderline stupid to do that, what does it mean to lever up at the top? The correct method is to either be short here or be patient for a breakout with volume and a successful retest. There you can limit your downside and have nearly unlimited upside if it plays out that way.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CrashoutCapital
Risk and Probability in Trading — Why Risk Assessment MattersRisk and Probability in Trading — Why Risk Assessment Matters More Than Chasing the “Holy Grail” In trading, most participants and analysts are focused on finding the so-called “Holy Grail” — the perfect entry point where the price moves in the desired direction and yields profit. However, few actually assess the risks involved, as if success is possible without factoring them in. Market reviews are often filled with levels, forecasts, and price directions, but rarely include probability estimates or potential losses. In my view, the real Holy Grail isn't a guaranteed profitable entry, but a scenario where the market offers a position with minimal risk relative to historical context. To identify such setups, we need a risk scale based on historical data — how favorable the current risk-to-reward ratio is compared to the past. It’s also crucial to understand that no one can predict price direction with certainty. The key to opening a position is not hope, but evaluating all possible scenarios — upward, downward, or sideways — and knowing the outcome in each case. Risk management is more than just placing a stop-loss; it’s a structured approach that should be central to any trading strategy. What Are Minimal Risks? “Minimal risk” is a relative concept — it only makes sense when measured against a defined scale. Building such a scale requires historical statistics: what were the maximum and minimum losses and profits for similar positions in the past? Profit-to-Loss Ratio The idea behind the search for the “Holy Grail” is to find moments when the market offers the best possible profit-to-risk ratio. For example, if the current ratio is 10, and historically it has ranged from 0 (low risk) to 100 (high risk), then 10 may be a good entry point. If the ratio approaches 80–90, it signals that the position is extremely risky. Why Are Probability and Risk Assessment Important? Market reviews often talk about resistance levels, volatility, and price direction — but rarely address the risks of different scenarios. No expert can predict market movements with certainty — if they could, they’d be billionaires. Opening positions without accounting for risks and scenario probabilities is extremely dangerous. How to Factor in Risks When Entering a Position The key question is: what will the profit-to-loss ratio be after entering a position, depending on whether the price goes up, down, or stays flat? It’s important to understand the consequences of each case and make decisions based on risk assessment. Risk Management Must Account for the Inability to React Instantly Conventional tools like stop-losses and limit orders often fail to protect capital effectively during sudden price spikes. These tools are particularly vulnerable when market makers or high-frequency algorithms trigger stop levels en masse. This highlights the need for more resilient risk management instruments — ones that can respond to volatility instantly and automatically. Options are one such tool, capable of limiting losses regardless of market dynamics. Without robust risk management, long-term profitability becomes statistically unlikely. Sooner or later, the market will present a scenario that can wipe out your capital — unless you’re properly protected. Important note: this is not an endorsement of options or any specific broker. It’s simply a conclusion based on the logic of building effective capital protection. If a broker only provides access to linear instruments (futures, spot, stocks) without the ability to hedge, it will inevitably lead to capital erosion — even for systematic traders. And if this article gets more than 100 rockets, I’ll continue sharing specific examples of low-risk trading assessments.
SP:SPX
by wien6000796
1
Crude Oil Prices Rocketing amid geopolitical risks NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1! NYMEX:BZ1! Macro: Geopolitical tensions remain high and markets are now likely to price in our scenario discussing ongoing air and missile war, given one-off intervention from the US thus far. According to Reuters, the U.S. now assesses that Iranian retaliation could occur within the next two days.What happens next is anybody’s guess but as traders, it is important to navigate these uncertainties with scenario planning and/or reduce risk to account for increased volatility. We also get Services and Manufacturing PMI data today and PCE Price Index on Friday. Chair Powell is set to testify on Tuesday 9am CT. Key levels: Jan 2025 High: 76.57 2025 High: 78.40 2025 CVAH(Composite Value Area High): 75.68 Key LIS zone: 73.50-73.15 We anticipate the following scenarios in crude oil: Scenario 1: Prices remain elevated as tensions remain high, despite limited retaliation, however, the situation overall now escalated beyond return to diplomacy. Scenario 2: Any push towards de-escalation, unlikely in our analysis, but given the headline risk, crude prices may remain volatile and come off the highs. Given our key LIS (Line in Sand) zone above, we favor longs above this and shorts below this zone.
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has primarily exhibited downward trends during this week’s abbreviated trading session, narrowly failing to reach the targeted Mean Support level of 5940, as outlined in the previous Daily Chart Analysis. Currently, the index exhibits a bearish trend, suggesting a potential direction toward the Mean Support level of 5940, with an additional critical support level identified at 5888. Contrariwise, there exists a substantial likelihood that following the accomplishment of hitting the Mean Support of 5940, the index may experience recovery and ascend toward the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate a resilient rally, ultimately topping in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073, thereby enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level situated at 6150.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has encountered a significant decline, dipping below the Mean Support level of 1.149; however, it exhibited a modest recovery on Friday. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to decrease further to the Mean Support level of 1.148, with the potential for extending its bearish trend to reach 1.140. Nevertheless, there remains a possibility that the current recovery will persist, which could result in price movements targeting the Key Resistance level at 1.158 and potentially leading to a retest of the Outer Currency Rally's 1.163 mark.
by TradeSelecter
3
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the recent trading session, Bitcoin exhibited an upward trend; however, it subsequently experienced a significant decline from the established Mean Resistance level at 110300. On Friday, Bitcoin exhibited notable price action, characterized by a pump-and-dump scenario. At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downwards as it seeks to approach the Mean Support level at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to acknowledge the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $101500 and/or the Inner Coin Dip at $96500. Such a rally could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level at $107000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Rising Geopolitical Tension (Iran Conflict) Signals Market RiskMoving Partially to Cash (VEA, QQQ, TQQQ, SPY, TECL, SOXL) The global market is entering a high-risk environment. Geopolitical escalation, particularly the growing threat of direct US involvement in a military conflict with Iran, is pushing global uncertainty to new highs. Tensions in the Middle East, rising oil and gold volatility, and increased friction between major world powers all point toward a potential market breakdown. On the chart, VEA ETF is showing signs of topping out within a rising wedge pattern. Meanwhile, institutional funds are starting to reduce exposure to high-risk assets. I'm taking partial profits and shifting to cash across VEA, QQQ, TQQQ, SPY, SOXL, and TECL to preserve gains. Buy-back zones are set around 53.00, 48.00, and 44.00. In an environment of global escalation and rapid risk-off sentiment, active portfolio defense is more important than passive hope.
AMEX:VEAShort
by InvestWorld_777
WTI on high time frame , price reach 60$? "Hello friends, focusing on WTI, the price is currently in a bullish trend on the daily time frame. During the last NY session, the price swept liquidity in the $66 zone and faced a strong rejection. Considering both technical analysis and fundamental news, I believe the price is gearing up for a decline, with the initial target likely around $60." If you need further clarification or have more details to discuss, feel free to share!
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by somayehbasiri
05-25-25 Risk Containment & Trading Strategy ExamplesSkilled Traders have learned to manage risk levels using techniques that allow them to preserve capital and move their assets towards future successful traders. Some beginner traders get stuck trying to swing for the fences. In this video, I try to share a common Fibonacci price/strategy technique where traders can attempt to limit risks while learning to identify efficient successful trade triggers. Remember, taking a trade is the easy part. Protecting and growing your capital is much more difficult. Please use the techniques in this video to learn how to protect and manage your capital. Get some. Happy Memorial Day. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
10
The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings. Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later. This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances. #BTFD
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi
2
Despite Geo-Political tensions, Nifty closes above Mother line. It was quite remarkable for Nifty to close above the Mother line (50 Hours EMA) despite the Geo-Political tensions and brewing storm of escalations at border. This shows the character of not only Indian market but the resilience of India as a nation. In yesterday's post itself we had mentioned that strong technical resistance has been reached. Add the tension and intent of India to fight against terrorism so it was a perfect recipe for a major fall. Which may happen if things escalate further next week but recovering from 23847 and to close above 24K at 24039 shows that when things will be back to normal the indices will bounce back. Resistance for Nifty now remain at 24096, 24335 and 24504. Supports for Nifty remain at 23914 (Major Mother line support) of 50 Hours EMA, 23800, 23530 and finally 23363. While Long term players, FII, HNI and DII look at such opportunities to invest for Retail trader it becomes very difficult to control their emotions in such an environment of Geo-political pressure and then we saw a huge fall in the market. The opportunity was seized by both DII and FII with both hands as both turned net buyers for Rs.6492+ Crores. So traders / investors should always avoid knee jerk reactions. Who knows what happens during the weekend the support and resistance levels to watch out for are already mentioned in the message. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Crypto Risk Management: The Most Overlooked EdgeIn the thrilling yet unforgiving world of crypto, profit potential is massive—but so is the risk. Every trader or investor enters the space with dreams of 10x gains, but without a solid risk management strategy, many exit just as fast—with a trail of losses. Risk management is the art of protecting your capital while giving yourself the best shot at long-term profitability. It’s not just a skill; it’s a survival strategy. What Are the Risks in Crypto? Crypto markets are unique—24/7, global, and driven by emotion, hype, and tech disruption. With that come several risk categories: Market Risk – Volatile price swings can wipe out unprepared traders. Liquidity Risk – Low-volume coins can be hard to exit during dumps. Regulatory Risk – Government crackdowns or bans (e.g., Binance or XRP cases). Security Risk – Hacks, rug pulls, phishing scams, and smart contract bugs. Operational Risk – Mistakes like sending funds to the wrong address or using faulty bots. These risks aren’t just theoretical—think of the LUNA/UST collapse or the FTX debacle. Billions were lost due to poor risk management at multiple levels. 🧠 Core Principles of Risk Management To stay in the game long-term, you need to adopt some fundamental principles: Preserve capital first, profit later. Risk small, aim big. Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Think in probabilities, not certainties. Be consistent, not lucky. Even the best traders lose—but they survive because they manage their downside better than the rest. 🛠️ Tools & Techniques That Can Save Your Portfolio 1. ✅ Position Sizing Don’t bet your whole stack on one trade. A common approach is to risk 1–2% of your portfolio per trade. That way, even a streak of bad trades won’t destroy your capital. 2. 🛑 Stop-Loss & Take-Profit Always have predefined stop-loss levels to cut losses, and take-profit targets to lock in gains. Trading without a stop-loss is like driving without brakes. 3. 📊 Diversification Spread your investments across different sectors (DeFi, AI, Layer 1s, etc.). Don’t rely on one narrative or one coin. 4. ⚖️ Leverage Control Leverage can amplify gains—and losses. Avoid high leverage unless you’re an experienced trader with a tight plan. 5. 🔁 Portfolio Rebalancing Adjust your allocations periodically. If one asset balloons in value, rebalance to lock in gains and manage exposure. 6. 💵 Using Stablecoins Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, or DAI are great for hedging during volatility. Park profits or prepare dry powder for dips. 🧠 Psychological Risk: The Silent Killer Many traders don’t lose due to bad analysis—they lose to emotions. FOMO leads to buying tops. Fear leads to panic selling bottoms. Revenge trading after losses leads to bigger losses. Greed blinds you from taking profits. The key is discipline. Create a plan, follow it, and review your mistakes objectively. 🚫 Common Mistakes to Avoid Going all-in on one trade or coin Holding through massive drawdowns hoping for a recovery Ignoring stop-losses Overleveraging small positions to “win it all back” Risk management is about avoiding unnecessary pain, not killing your gains. 🧭 Final Thoughts The best traders in crypto aren't those who win big once—they're the ones who survive long enough to win over and over. Risk management is your edge in a market that respects no one. Whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or long-term HODLer, never forget: capital is your lifeline. Guard it with your strategy, protect it with your plan, and grow it with patience. ✍️ By Green Crypto Empowering traders with analysis, tools, and education. Stay sharp. Stay profitable.
Education
by GreenCryptoTrades