Barchart says SPY had a nice bounce on the 100MA... uhhhh..So yeah, Barchart posted on FB with a screenshot of a "nice bounce" on the S&P500.
Firstly, that wasn't much of a bounce at all with the weekly closing not far from the point of impact on the 100-day moving average.
Secondly, this is just retail thinking and not considering the entire context of where the market wants to go in terms of liquidity, efficiency, and fair value.
Let's dive a bit deeper into how price REALLY moves.
- R2F Trading
Road2funded
The Leap Update - November CompetitionHere is some analysis on the pairs I am in in this Leap round. Quite a bit away from the top 10 place, but anything is possible. Remember, luck plays a part, but it flattens itself out more over a period of time. There is a month to trade, so just stay in your own lane and you will do better than worrying too much about how someone else is doing. Nobody has consistently even made it in the top 10 consecutively.
Hope you enjoyed the analysis.
R2F Trading
Liquidity, Efficiency, and Fair Value - THE SECRETS OF TRADINGIn this video I go through the BTCUSDT chart again to highlight the 3 core principles of how the market moves. It really is as simple as this. All the other gimmicks out there, all the news, it is all nonsense for the most part if you are doing anything less than long-term investing. At the very least, seeing the markets through this lens is going to allow you to see how those other tools are used to manipulate the masses for the most part. You may argue that your or your mentor's or this guy you say on social media is using a system with those tools, and that they work. Yes, if you find the right combination of factors, and good risk management, and a bit of luck, you can find a positive edge in the market. Whether it is one that lasts forever in any market or any timeframe, that is another question. But for me, I prefer to actually understand why it rains and when it will rain rather than to say "cloud grey... rain coming".
Enjoy!
R2F Trading
A Tutorial on LIQUIDITY and EFFICIENCYLike I've mentioned in the past, these are the 2 core concepts of how the market moves. When you begin to understand them, you start to understand where price HAS to go. That may sound arrogant, but I am last the person to say anything about the market with certainty unless I am actually certain. It is akin to understanding why and how the sun comes up in the morning and goes down at night. Because you understand the science behind it, you are able to say with certainty where and when it will happen. (Unless you believe some flat earther stuff like the sun is a hot air balloon ride away...
So, I hope you find this video educational. Remember, successful trading is about consistency, discipline, and hard work. It is about making profit and minimizing risk. It isn't about winning or losing, or being right or wrong.
Take care,
- R2F Trading
Liquidity and Efficiency — It is HOW the market movesI made a video not long ago about lower prices on the crypto market, specifically Bitcoin, which usually determines how the entire crypto market moves for the most part. Lo and behold, we are moving lower. A fortune teller? Nope, I just see things in terms of how the market moves.
How does the market move you ask?
I've said it many times before...
Liquidity and Efficiency. That is all there is to it.
I give a general example in the video, but feel free to check out my other educational videos where I've gone more in depth and offer more examples of how this occurs.
Happy trading!
- R2F Trading
BITCOIN... THE DROP IS NOT OVER YET!I see a lot of people fomo-ing to buy the dip, but I don't think this is the bottom yet. At least, that is not what my technical analysis is showing me.
I am expecting Bitcoin to likely go down to the 100k level again, maybe even less to 95k. The question is, will it go back up from there? I think there is a good possibility to make new all-time highs. BUT, if it does not show support or bounce hard, and higher timeframe candles start to close lower, this could mean quite bad things for crypto..
Let's wait and see..
Trade safe!
- R2F
EURUSD and DXY - Reading Instituitonal Order FlowHi there,
It's been a while since my last post. Just catching up on my favourite pair, the EURUSD, and of course not missing out on the DXY for comparative analysis as it is heavily tied to the strength of the EURUSD.
For those new, these are ICT Concepts, with my own touches in it. Hope you enjoy
Happy trading!
- R2F Trading
The SECRET is Compounding Tiny Objectives & Finding SatisfactionIn this video I talk about what I don't really find people talking about, which is how important it is to find satisfaction in your trading. When I say 'satisfaction', I am talking about the monetary kind. What do I mean by this?
A problem I used to have in my earlier days was over-trading, revenge trading, blowing accounts, the usual story. I even had a decently high win-rate and I was good at understanding price. What I discovered was that I was not finding satisfaction because I was not risking enough on my trades. You see.. my strategy had a high win-rate with a positive R average, but the setups did not appear that often. Not as rare as a unicorn, but still, I'd have to sit around and wait and wait and wait. By the time my setup came, I put on a small risk, and I won small. Subconsciously, I found that quite frustrating, even though I was actually winning most of my trades. You can imagine how I felt when I lost a trade. I felt like I invested all that time for nothing. One could argue that I was being careful, but the problem was I was being too careful. I age the same as everyone else, and everyone else ages the same as me. I am investing my time into this strategy, time I will never get back. If I am not utilizing my time in relation to the earning potential, then that is a bad investment. Being a psychologically prone person, I made it a serious rule that all my criteria for my setup must be hit before I take that trade, no exceptions. I kept myself on the higher timeframes so that my mental state can safely process what I needed to process, whether it was analytical or just psychological.
Another point was getting over what others were showcasing or doing. Material luxuries and large wins are all subjective things. It was frustrating seeing people trade every single day, most of them with green days. I felt like I had to do the same too to be a good trader. I was WRONG. What I actually need to do was make my system work for me, and that included how I implemented risk and what was satisfying enough for me to pursue. Like I said in the video, if what you want to do is not interesting or attractive to you, you won't want to do it. As long as what you want to do makes sense and isn't you trying to go from zero to a hundred in 2.5 seconds. As the title says, compound tiny objectives but make it satisfying in terms of risk and your time invested.
- R2F Trading
Why Higher Timeframe Analysis Increases Your WIN-RATE!Many traders focus too heavily on lower timeframes, chasing setups without any real context. But what if the secret to improving your consistency was as simple as zooming out?
In this video, we break down why analyzing higher timeframes—and trading in their direction—can significantly increase your win rate across Forex, crypto, stocks, and futures. This isn’t just a theory. It’s a principle used by institutional traders, prop firms, and consistently profitable independent traders.
✅ Here’s what you’ll learn in this deep-dive:
The real purpose of higher timeframe analysis and how it acts like a GPS for your trading decisions.
How to identify structure, liquidity, and key levels on the daily, 4H, and weekly charts
Why trading against the higher timeframe flow often leads to premature stop-outs or fakeouts
The power of multi-timeframe alignment: how to sync HTF bias with LTF entries
How trading with higher timeframe momentum helps filter noise, reduce overtrading, and increase conviction
A walkthrough example showing how to use HTF context to validate a lower timeframe setup
Whether you're trading ICT concepts, Fibs, RSI, VWAP, or your own system—this principle applies. Trading in alignment with the higher timeframe doesn’t just increase your odds, it adds structure, patience, and confidence to your process.
📌 Key takeaway: When you understand what the market is doing on the higher timeframe, you stop guessing and start positioning yourself with the move—not against it.
🛠️ Helpful for traders using:
Smart money concepts (SMC)
ICT-based models (like AMD, OTE, and NDOG)
Supply and demand strategies
Price action or indicator-based systems
PRACTICALLY ANY TYPE OF STRATEGY OR METHODOLOGY
So, I hope the video was insightful for you. Let me know if you apply higher timeframe analysis, and how it has helped you.
- R2F Trading
NQ Analysis - 11th May 2025Here is my analysis of NQ, a pair I do not trade and only very seldomly do analysis for.
I've been wanting to get into indices futures, so I will be doing more analysis on them in the future. I still have to learn about the contract sizes, average moves, etc.
- R2F Trading
A 3-Step Process For Analytical SuccessIn this video I go through the 3-step process of implementing a Bias, Narrative, and Model.
This process was a game-changer for me when it came to analysis, as well as taking actual trades. It considered high-probability targets, patience in waiting for traders to coming for me, and the calm of being prepared when it was time to take an entry. It filters out pointless trades, because if I don't have Bias, then I can't have a Narrative, and if I don't have a Narrative, then I don't have a Model.
I use ICT concepts, but this process works equally well for most other methodologies that aren't completely mechanical and algorithmic.
I give a real example of a trade I took yesterday on EURUSD where I utilized this 3-step process to frame a trade.
I hope you find this video insightful and gives you more clarity in your trading!
- R2F Trading






















