Gold - Bullish Structure Still Intact… Eyes on the Next Higher!!📈Gold remains overall bullish, consistently forming higher lows along its rising trendline. Every time price tapped the lower boundary of the structure, buyers stepped in aggressively, and we may be approaching that point again.
⚔️Price is currently hovering near a blue support zone, which aligns perfectly with the rising trendline. As long as this confluence holds, we will be looking for trend-following longs, targeting the upper resistance zone highlighted in beige.
🏹If buyers defend this area once again, Gold could be preparing its next impulsive leg upward.
Do you expect Gold to print another higher low here? Share your thoughts below 👇
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Safehaven
XAUUSD - The Golden Retest Zone!📈Gold remains overall bullish , respecting its rising structure and printing higher lows along the way. Each corrective dip has been met with strong buying pressure, keeping the broader trend intact.
📉As price pulls back, it is now approaching a key blue structure zone that aligns perfectly with the lower blue trendline. This intersection forms a high-confluence area where we will be looking for trend-following longs.
⚔️As long as Gold holds this zone, the bullish scenario remains dominant, with the next potential push targeting the previous ATH highlighted on the chart.
🏹A clean reaction here could be the catalyst for the next leg of the uptrend.
Will the bulls defend the golden zone again? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Gold Reload Zone… Bulls Waiting Patiently!📈Gold remains overall bullish, respecting both its rising structure and the major support zones beneath current price. After breaking above the light-blue resistance area, XAUUSD is now pushing higher, but a pullback remains very likely before the next impulse.
⚔️On the upcoming retest of the blue structure zone and the rising trendline, we will be looking for trend-following longs. This area has acted as support multiple times and now aligns with the bullish context, making it a high-probability buy zone.
🏹As long as Gold remains above the red demand area and respects the rising structure, the next wave upward toward the 4,385 resistance remains the most likely scenario. Only a clean break below the red zone would weaken the bullish outlook.
For now, patience is key… wait for the retest, then look for longs from structure. 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAUUSD - Bulls Still Stepping In at Demand… Watching the Retest!Gold remains overall bullish, holding firmly above the major support zone around $4,000–$4,050. This entire red area has been acting as a strong demand zone for weeks, with price bouncing from it multiple times, a clear sign that buyers are defending this level aggressively.
📈XAUUSD is also respecting the rising trendline , forming a clean higher-low structure. As long as Gold remains above both the trendline and the support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. I will be looking for long setups on the next retest of this confluence area.
🏹If buyers step in again, the next move could push toward the previous highs near $4,385. But if price breaks below the support zone and the trendline, the bullish structure would weaken and open the door for a deeper correction.
For now, this zone is the key. Will Gold bounce again… or finally break through support? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USDJPY breakout: Can the rally extend toward 155?The dollar-yen pair smashed through 150 with one of the strongest breakouts recently, confirming a new technical phase as it trades above the 61.8% Fib retracement. Here’s what’s fuelling the move and what traders should watch next:
Dollar strength returned as safe haven flows dominate, even with a US government shutdown, while Japan’s new prime minister’s dovish signals are sending the yen into freefall.
Key drivers
Safe haven flows : Investors seek shelter in the dollar as global uncertainty rises; DXY index hit a 6-week high.
Yield differentials : The Fed/BOJ spread powers further carry trade buying as Japanese rates remain ultra-low.
Japanese political shift : PM Takaichi’s win spurs fiscal stimulus and pushes back market hopes for BOJ tightening, deepening yen weakness.
Technical breakout : Clean break above multi-year resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement; watch for support validation and continuation toward the next 78.6% Fib at 154.80.
What to watch
Holding above 150 and 61.8% Fib support sets the stage for a bullish continuation.
Profit taking is possible near 153.25–154.80, as RSI shows signs of overbought.
Tonight’s FOMC minutes, Thursday’s BoJ/Ueda speech, and political headlines could trigger sharp moves.
Cross-pair momentum : EURJPY at record highs, GBPJPY surging, confirming broad-based yen weakness.
The bulls are in control as long as USDJPY stays above 151.15–150.50. Pullbacks to support offer opportunities to buy dips, with 154.80 as the next bullish target. Keep stop losses disciplined, and don’t ignore the chance for sharp reversals if intervention or a dramatic shift in sentiment emerges.
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This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Gold Eyes 4,000 — Key Buy Zone Ahead!!Hey Traders,
Today we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD, which continues to trade firmly within its medium-term uptrend. Price is currently pulling back in a healthy correction, and the 4,000 zone stands out as a major confluence level — a structural support, previous reaction area, and dynamic trend touchpoint.
A controlled dip into this zone could attract fresh buyers, especially with markets still leaning toward risk caution and demand for safe-haven flows remaining elevated. As long as the broader trend structure holds, Gold may attempt another leg higher from this area.
Trade safe,
Joe.
XAUUSD IDEA FOR 10TH OCT, 2025. (2H)Here we go again, I'm back at trading the XAU against the USD. It's been a hell of a ride this year, but it is what it is. The Pair is bullish due to sentiment and because Gold is known as a safe-haven asset, and currently, investors are long on the pair because of the weak USD
As we can see, the pair is resuming back on its overall trend from a previous retracement, so what's next?
Note: This is a very volatile pair and often filled with manipulations ensure to risk what you can afford to lose.
As usual, my calls or analysis are based on what I see, the current Bias, and from a probability standpoint, meaning that this projection may be or may not be validated, so tread carefully. This is not financial advice; trade responsibly.
Does US Tech Dominance Outweigh Dovish Fed Policy?The recent slight rise in the USD/CHF pair toward 0.7940 signals a crucial shift in favor of the US Dollar, despite immediate monetary headwinds. While the Federal Reserve is broadly expected to deliver a dovish 25 bps rate cut driven by cooling US inflation and a soft job market, the DXY remains resilient. This Dollar strength is not simply speculative; it highlights profound structural weakness in the Swiss Franc. The chronically negative Swiss ZEW Survey Expectations, which improved only marginally to -46.4 in September, point to persistent domestic economic pessimism, which significantly erodes the Franc's safe-haven appeal. This divergence of underlying economic health proves more influential than short-term rate expectations.
The influence of geopolitical and geostrategic risk further supports the US Dollar. Upcoming high-stakes discussions between the US and Chinese leaders on trade and technology issues, including tariffs and rare earth controls, inject uncertainty into global markets. When major power tensions escalate, the US Dollar automatically benefits from its unrivaled status as the world’s most dominant reserve currency. Capital rapidly flows from smaller, risk-exposed jurisdictions and into USD-denominated assets. This flight to the world's most liquid currency strengthens the Dollar against rivals like the Franc, which is typically a safe-haven but lacks the USD's depth and liquidity.
Crucially, the long-term upward trajectory of the USD/CHF is underpinned by US technological dominance. The United States leads decisively in high-tech sectors, particularly in AI and life sciences. This leadership, evidenced by robust patent analysis and significant private sector investment, guarantees a continuous inflow of global capital. Generative AI alone is projected to add trillions in annual economic value, primarily benefiting US-listed companies. This enduring, structural edge in high-tech and science creates a massive, consistent demand for US assets, systematically bolstering the Dollar's value and allowing it to outperform the Franc, regardless of short-term interest rate adjustments.
In summary, the USD/CHF gain is a complex interaction of factors. Although the Fed is expected to cut rates, a fundamentally weak Swiss economic outlook and immediate geopolitical risks drive capital to the superior stability of the Dollar. Ultimately, the US Dollar's strength derives from the unmatched geostrategic advantage of its reserve status and its sustained global leadership in technology and innovation. These long-term structural drivers decisively outweigh the immediate dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, positioning the USD for continued strength against the Franc.
GBPJPY Eyes 203.000 as Risk-On Mood Weakens YenHey Traders,
In tomorrow’s trading session, we’re monitoring GBPJPY for a buying opportunity around the 203.000 zone. The pair remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the 203.000 support and resistance area, which aligns with the prevailing trend structure.
On the fundamental side, easing tensions between the US and China are fueling a risk-on environment, typically leading to weaker demand for safe-haven assets like the JPY. This sentiment shift could support further upside in GBPJPY if buyers step in at this level.
Trade safe,
Joe
EURCHF Watching 0.92400 as Risk-On Mood Pressures Safe HavensHey Traders, in today’s trading session we’re monitoring EURCHF for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.92400 zone.
The pair remains in an overall uptrend, and price is now in a correction phase, approaching the trendline confluence and key support area near 0.92400.
Structure: EURCHF continues to form higher lows within the broader bullish channel. A successful hold above 0.92400 could signal continuation toward previous highs.
Fundamentals: The recent US–China de-escalation has improved global risk sentiment, leading markets into a risk-on mode. As investors rotate out of safe-haven assets like CHF and JPY, the Euro could gain further ground.
Next move: Watching how price behaves around 0.92400 for potential bullish continuation signals.
💬 What’s your take on the CHF weakness amid improving risk appetite? Share your thoughts below!
Gold Eyes 4,010 Support Ahead of CPI – Big Move Loading?Hey Traders,
In tomorrow’s trading session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,010 zone. Gold remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching a key support and resistance confluence around 4,010 that aligns with the ascending trendline.
Market Focus:
All eyes are on tomorrow’s U.S. CPI release, with expectations for headline inflation at 3.0% and core at 3.1%. A softer-than-expected print could weigh on the U.S. Dollar, potentially igniting fresh momentum for GOLD to resume its bullish trend.
Next Move:
Watching price action around 4,010 closely — if CPI data confirms disinflation, we could see a strong rebound toward recent highs as safe-haven demand strengthens.
💬 What’s your take on the CPI? Are you positioning long or waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts below!
Trade safe,
Joe
Palladium - The Calm Before the Next Surge!🏹Palladium has been on a strong bullish run , riding within a clean rising channel. After a sharp impulse, price is now cooling off — and this pullback might just be the calm before the next surge.
⚔️The metal is approaching a major intersection zone where the rising trendline meets a strong demand and structure area, a confluence that has previously sparked powerful rallies. As long as this intersection holds, I’ll be watching for bullish confirmations to join the trend.
A healthy correction into this zone could set the stage for the next impulsive wave, with potential upside targets around $1,550 and even $1,700 if momentum kicks in.
In short, Palladium remains overall bullish, and this upcoming retest could be the perfect reload zone before the next big move north.
📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Gold Testing 4,210 Support as Bulls Eye Another Leg HigherHey Traders, in today’s session we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,210 zone. Gold continues to trade within a broader uptrend, and the current pullback appears to be a healthy correction toward a key support and resistance confluence at 4,210.
Market structure:
Momentum remains bullish, with price forming higher highs and higher lows. The ongoing correction could provide a trend-continuation entry if buyers step in near support.
Key level:
4,210 — a decisive zone where previous reactions have sparked renewed buying interest.
Outlook:
A sustained bid from this area could pave the way for another push toward 4,300 and beyond, keeping Gold aligned with its dominant bullish trajectory.
Trade safe,
Joe.
USDJPY Rally Faces Pressure Near 151.250 on Safe-Haven FlowsHey Traders, in the coming week we’re monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around the 151.250 zone.
The pair remains in a broader downtrend, currently in a corrective phase as it approaches this key resistance level.
Meanwhile, DXY is also correcting within its own downtrend, approaching resistance near 98.600, which reinforces the bearish bias on USD pairs.
With US–China tensions escalating, we’re seeing renewed safe-haven demand for JPY, potentially setting the stage for another leg lower in USDJPY.
Trade safe,
Joe
Gold’s Golden Retest?Gold continues to trade within a rising blue channel, maintaining its overall bullish structure.
Currently, price is retesting the intersection between the lower blue trendline and the red structure zone, which has acted as strong support multiple times.
As long as this confluence area holds, I’ll be looking for trend-following longs targeting the upper boundary of the channel.
A break and close below this zone would temporarily pause the bullish momentum and open room for a deeper correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Gold Near 4,280 as US–China Tensions Fuel Flight to Safety!Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with price currently correcting toward a key structural support area where buyers may look to re-enter.
From a fundamental standpoint, rising US–China geopolitical tensions have pushed investors toward safe-haven assets. Market sentiment is tilting defensive, and Gold — already hovering near all-time highs — continues to reflect that global risk aversion.
A sustained bid above 4,280 could reinforce bullish momentum and potentially open the path toward new highs if uncertainty persists.
Key level: 4,280 (support / trend confluence)
Bias: Bullish while above this level
Trade safe,
Joe.
USDCHF 10-year support points to major breakdown to 0.70! USDCHF BREAKDOWN ALERT: Decade-long support shattered – here's why this could be the start of a major move to 0.70 and below!
The Dollar-Swiss Franc pair is setting up for a potentially significant breakdown after breaking decade-long support levels since May. Both fundamental and technical factors are aligning for Swiss franc strength, creating what could be a rare high-probability trading opportunity.
Key Drivers:
Fed Dovish Pivot: Powell's Tuesday signal acknowledged downside risks to job markets, with 97% probability of October rate cuts and two more by December fully priced in
Swiss Franc Strength: CHF has strengthened nearly 9% over the past 12 months, now testing the 0.78 level, while Trump's tariff escalation forces Switzerland to slash GDP forecasts
Technical Breakdown: Multiple analytical methods (range breakouts, Fibonacci projections, and triangle pattern analysis) all point to targets around 0.7417-0.6840, representing potential moves to levels not seen since 2011
SNB Constraints: The Swiss National Bank cannot intervene in forex markets while trade talks are ongoing, meaning the Franc is likely to stay strong by default, with stable inflation data
Don't miss this detailed technical and fundamental breakdown! Like and subscribe for more high-probability forex setups, and drop a comment below with your USD/CHF targets - are you seeing the same bearish signals?
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
US–China Tensions Put Pressure on AUDJPY Near 98.600!!Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re closely watching AUDJPY as price approaches the 98.600 zone, aligning with a key resistance level within the broader downtrend. After a short-term corrective move higher, the pair now faces an area that has historically acted as a turning point for sellers.
From a fundamental perspective, global sentiment appears to be tilting toward risk aversion once again.
Ongoing US–China tensions have reignited geopolitical uncertainty, with markets increasingly pricing in the possibility of further escalation. In such an environment, high-beta currencies like the AUD tend to underperform, while safe-haven flows favor the JPY.
If risk sentiment deteriorates further, AUDJPY could see renewed downside momentum from this resistance region.
Key zone: 98.600 — confluence of structure resistance and trend alignment.
Bias: Bearish while below this level.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Silver just hit a record high but a double‑top signals pullback!After a strong rally to new records spurred by safe-haven demand and new entrants, silver is now testing critical support levels near $47‑$48 amid the recent Gaza ceasefire news, forming a classic double‑top pattern that may turn into a long-term Cup & Handle that could place price action in a handle pattern for the years to come.
🔑 Key Drivers (Silver‑focused)
Technical breakout : Price breached $51, approaching the 161.8 % Fibonacci level at $47.50.
Double‑top formation : A clean double‑top suggests a near‑term correction could be on the way.
Support zone : The $47‑$48 area acts as the next major support; a break below could open the door to $45‑$46 levels.
Fibonacci retracement : The 61.8% retracement sits around $49.30, providing a potential bounce point before any deeper pullback.
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This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
GOLD => $4000 The MagnetGold has been pushing higher within its bullish log-chart structure, moving inside two rising channels (red short-term and blue long-term).
The interesting part? The $4000 level is acting like a magnet, and it happens to intersect with the upper bound of both channels. This rare confluence makes $4000 a key level to watch.
As long as the bullish momentum holds, Gold remains on track toward this magnet level. But once there, the reaction will be critical, a clean breakout could open the door for fresh highs, while a rejection may trigger a correction before continuation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Will US government shutdown add further fuel to silver’s rally?
Concerns over a weakening US labor market, expectations for further Fed rate cuts, and heightened government shutdown risks have fueled sustained demand for silver as a safe haven.
September ADP private payrolls fell by 32,000, the steepest drop since March 2023, while August figures were sharply revised from a 54,000 gain to a 3,000 loss, underscoring labor market softness.
Meanwhile, the shutdown has officially begun after bipartisan talks failed to reach an agreement, with the key uncertainty now being its duration. A shutdown lasting more than a month could have widespread economic repercussions.
XAGUSD sustains its uptrend above EMA21. The diverging EMAs indicate to a potential expansion of bullish momentum. If XAGUSD closes above EMA21, the price may advance toward the psychological resistance at 48.00. Conversely, if XAGUSD breaks below EMA21, the price could retreat toward the support at 46.00.
Gold: Undervalued Safe-Haven Amid Macro Shifts?Gold: Undervalued Safe-Haven Amid Macro Shifts? $4,000 Target in Sight? 🚀
Gold at $3,817 (+1.28%), undervalued on central bank demand and inflation hedges amid trade barrier concerns—analysts forecast $4,000-$4,289 for 2025, average $4,000 implying 5% upside, asking if Fed cuts boost inflows. 📈
**Fundamental Analysis**
Demand up with central bank buys and 1,271.7t investment in 2019; undervalued vs. historical inflation-adjusted highs, strong fundamentals from geopolitical risks, limited supply adding scarcity premium.
- **Positive:** Inflation protector; ETF inflows rising.
- **Negative:** No yield; opportunity cost with rates.
**SWOT Analysis**
**Strengths:** Dual monetary/industrial role; deficit outlook.
**Weaknesses:** Price volatility; mining costs.
**Opportunities:** Rate cut cycles; emerging demand.
**Threats:** Strong dollar; crypto alternatives.
**Technical Analysis**
Chart in strong uptrend nearing records. Price: $3,817, VWAP $3,800.
Key indicators:
- RSI: 68 (bullish, approaching overbought).
- MACD: 20 (positive crossover).
- Moving Averages: Above 50-day $3,500, 200-day $3,200 (strong).
Support/Resistance: $3,600/$3,900. Patterns/Momentum: Cup-and-handle targeting $4,200. 📈 Bullish.
**Scenarios and Risk Management**
- **Bullish:** Inflation data lifts to $4,000; DCA on pulls to $3,700.
- **Bearish:** Rate hike fears drop to $3,500.
- **Neutral:** Trades $3,800 on PMI data.
Risk Tips: Stops at $3,600, max 5% exposure, diversify with bonds, DCA for fluctuations. ⚠️
**Conclusion/Outlook**
Bullish pending Fed signals. Watch inflation reports. Fits macro theme with hedge upside. Take? Comment!
Gold breaks records and tops out: Where next?Gold achieved a historic breakthrough to $3,759 per ounce, potentially driven by an unusual "barbell strategy" where investors simultaneously bought risk assets while hedging against systemic risks.
On the one hand, continued expectations for two additional rate cuts by year-end supported non-yielding assets. On the other hand, political uncertainty increases as Trump prepares to meet with lawmakers on funding proposals. The probability of a Gov shutdown approaches 70% by October 1st, which would force the FOMC into a 'blind' meeting in October.
Technicals
The short-term setup shows a double top formation at $3,759, suggesting potential consolidation rather than immediate continuation.
Resistance Levels : $3,800 is a critical resistance, both a Fibonacci extension cluster and a psychological level
Support Levels :
Immediate support at $3,740 (breakout confirmation level)
Secondary support at $3,700-$3,730 (previous consolidation zone)
Deeper pullback potential to $3,673 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement)
Wave Structure : Elliott waves suggest completion of a potential Wave 3, with consolidation expected before a possible fifth wave extension toward $3,785-$3,800
Forward Outlook
The setup favours consolidation over the remainder of the week, with key events including Fed Chair Powell's speech and Friday's PCE inflation data serving as potential catalysts for the next directional move.
The momentum divergences suggest limited downside risk from current levels, making any pullback toward $3,700-$3,740 a potential buying opportunity for the anticipated final leg higher toward the $3,800 resistance zone.
Risk management remains crucial given the proximity to potential reversal levels and the unusual nature of gold's correlation with equity strength.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.






















