EURCHF Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.9909 (stop at 0.9931) The weaker Euro has affected performance. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Our short term bias remains negative. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 0.9910. Our profit targets will be 0.9854 and 0.9844 Resistance:...
Gold has fallen further, finding support exactly at our target that we identified yesterday at 1735. We are starting to see what could be the beginnings of a pivot, with a green triangle on the KRI suggesting we are finding support at this level. The Kovach OBV is very bearish, but has flatlined a bit which may indicate that the bleeding has stopped for now. If...
Gold has plummeted, smashing through levels in the 1800's and upper 1700's. We finally found support around 1759, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has fallen off significantly, but does appear to be rounding off. If we do not find support here in the mid 1700's, we may find it in the 1740's or perhaps even at 1735. If we pivot from...
Gold broke down into the value area between 1815 and 1795, but swiftly spiked back to 1826, where we are seeing resistance confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still very bearish, but we are starting to look oversold as both Kovach momentum indicators are bearish. We will see if the spike back to 1826 can sustain, or if it is just a relief...
Gold is encroaching upon lower levels of support as we predicted yesterday. It has steadily trended downward, though spikes in volatility have tested higher levels. We are seeing good support from 1826, confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has been steadily down trending, but appears to be leveling off, suggesting support may hold, but if...
i posted an idea about 5 minutes ago which suggested that gold would be due for yet another all time high in the coming months, but immediately after doing so i recognized a glaring invalidation in the bottom of my wave structure. with a three-wave move swinging down from $2063 to $1682, i consider this to be the first move within a 3-3-5 flat correction (better...
Gold broke out through the vacuum zone after edging down in the lower 1800's. We tested 1826, though multiple green triangles on the KRI started to indicate that the selloff was encumbered. This suggested a break out was near and subsequently we hit 1851. Recall that we can expect increased resistance starting at this level through the mid 1850's and that is...
Gold found support at 1815 and shot up to the mid 1850's. As we have mentioned in these reports multiple times, we are meeting resistance from a cluster of levels in the mid 1850's. In particular, 1851 and 1857 are providing formidable resistance. If we are able to break through then 1865 and 1876 are the next targets. The Kovach OBV is rounding off suggesting...
Bonds have gotten slammed as yields have soared, smashing through several levels below when we've reported last, as the APAC session prices in CPI data from Friday. We smashed expectations for inflation and investors are rushing to price in the Fed's reaction. Barclays thinks that they will raise rates by 75 bps in order to counter these soaring numbers. We...
Gold continues to consolidate in the mid 1800's. We have met strong resistance from a cluster of levels beginning at 1851, with strong resistance from the upper most of these at 1865. Earlierthis month, 1876 proved to be a hard upper bound, and we expect this to hold as a ceiling even if more momentum comes through. From below 1836 and 1826 should hold as a...
Bonds have found support just above our level at 117'19. We appear to be forming a bear wedge, but the Kovach OBV is flat, suggesting we may range at current levels. After the precipitous decline from 121'00, it is likely that we will establish value in a sideways correction or even a relief rally, before another selloff. If we break down further, then 117'08...
The correlation between the 2Y & gold indicates that when the US2Y peaks, there is a US recession & gold rallies to new highs subsequently after. ** 1 = Peak in US2Y ( 1989 ) did not see a rally in gold because gold was depegged from the USD in the mid 1970's. 2 = Peak in US2Y ( 2000 ) saw a massive rally in gold as investors look for a safe haven from the...
Gold broke through our upper bound at 1865. We had noted the strong technical resistance at this level, confirmed by multiple red triangles over the latter half of May. But as predicted, gold hit our profit target of 1876. We are seeing immediate resistance here, confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV spiked up hard with the rally, but has...
Bonds have sold off into the mid 118's after smashing through 119'01. We have gradually drifted up from there, but are meeting resistance at 119'01. It will take some momentum to break through this level and right now it does not seem that ZN can muster the strength. The Kovach OBV has edged upward, but appears quite weak. If ZN is able to somehow break out,...
Friday & today we can clearly see recovery of metals & crypto -But not stocks. Meaning, inflation hedging instruments are on the rise while the USD is diving. Makes a lot of sense. What makes much less sense is the rally of USD between March to last week, the last 9-10 weeks. It was pushed by rate hike news and overall panic/investment liquidation. But this...
Gold has found support exactly at $1836, one of our levels. We noted in previous reports that gold should find support at $1836 or $1826. From here we saw a pivot back to relative highs in the mid $1800's. Recall that we have a dense cluster of levels in the mid $1800's at $1857, $1857 and $1865. These align with relative lows from early May, and are currently...
Bonds have edged up higher, with ZN hitting our target of 121'00. This is a strong psychological and technical level. We are seeing a bit of a divergence between the price action and the Kovach OBV so unless more momentum comes thorugh, anticipate a dip or some ranging between 120'14 and 121'00. If we dip further, 119'23 should provide support. If we are able...
Gold H4 Played out exactly as expected after posting yesterdays analysis, would have preferred to see a larger breakout, however, with the DXY break and bullish gold sentiment, I feel this is what we could see today. Eventual targets of $1900/oz. One step at a time, one high at a time...