quantguy

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About me Quantitative trader with a background in Math and Physics. Find me on Instagram @quantguy and Twitter @quant_guy
Joined Florida daniel_kovach
Markets Allocation
72 % cryptocurrency 13 % stocks 7 % forex 8 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BTCUSD 13% | 48 LTCUSD 11% | 40 NEOUSD 10% | 37 IOTUSD 8% | 31
quantguy quantguy BTCUSD, 30, Long ,
131 0 3
BTCUSD, 30 Long
Bitcoin Rangebound

Although Bitcoin has taken a relatively large plunge in the past 24 hours, there is little evidence that this is anything other than another 'Bart Simpson' pattern. As I've written in a previous post, there isn't a lot of liquidity or volume in the crypto markets. Most of the weaker HODLers have been washed out, and any serious investors are in it for the long ...

quantguy quantguy BTCUSD, 1D, Long ,
216 0 6
BTCUSD, 1D Long
Three Reasons to be Bullish of Bitcoin

Cryptocurrency HODLers have been hammered into oblivion in 2018, but the doldrums may be nearing an end for crypto enthusiasts. First, let's take a look at the technicals. We are so ridiculously oversold, that we should be seeing at least a small relief rally like in April. But this coming rally may have more substance, since BTCUSD has been very stubborn about ...

quantguy quantguy ZN1!, 15, Short ,
15 0 1
ZN1!, 15 Short
Risk On Again for Bonds

Although the US Supreme Court decided that states could require online companies charge taxes, which caused major tech companies to tumble resulting in a down day for stocks world wide, the smoke has cleared and we appear to be in risk on mode again. Further, Trump has been threatening tariffs again, but that only caused a very small hiccup which could be ...

quantguy quantguy SPY, 15, Long ,
76 0 1
SPY, 15 Long
Stocks at Good Prices

Yesterday, the US Supreme Court decided that states could require online companies charge taxes, which caused major tech companies to tumble, which in turn, effected the tech heavy NASDAQ. This index bled through to the others, and it was a down day in stocks world wide. Today, we have Trump threatening tariffs yet again, which caused a small hiccup in stocks ...

quantguy quantguy BTCUSDSHORTS, 30, Long ,
311 0 4
BTCUSDSHORTS, 30 Long
Bitcoin Shorts on the Rise

The crypto markets have been completely hammered as of late. Volume has completely dried up and there is very little volatility, despite massive spikes as massive players move whale sized amounts around. This behavior gives rise to the onerous 'Bart Simpson' pattern. At first, it did look like we were out of the woods some time around April, when markets picked ...

43 4 2
ZN1!, 30
Bonds Remain Irrational

Regarding today's bond market behavior, I am reminded of the following words of wisdom mostly attributed to the economist John Maynard Keynes: "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." From Trump's successful efforts in negotiating an end to a 70 year North/South Korean war, and denuclearization of NoKo, to the Fed raising interest ...

quantguy quantguy IOTUSD, 1D, Short ,
211 0 1
IOTUSD, 1D Short
Hope for IOTA?

IOTA has disappointed investors waiting for some semblance of a recovery. It is currently solidly down trending, haven given up the $1.30 handle entirely. If we can manage to break $1.37, we’ll face resistance at $1.435 and $1.44, which seems light years away. At $1.20, we’ll find support, then there is a vacuum zone to $1.02, which seems to correspond with the $1 ...

170 0 2
BCHUSD, 1D
Bitcon Cash Regains $1K Handle

Bitcoin Cash has recovered to $1K or so, although the $1,087 level caved. The psychological $1K boundary seems to be holding for now. We also have strong support from the lower bound of the KRI. While other coins are down trending, BCH appears to be holding its range, and we may even have a bull wedge forming. If weakness persists, we must consider levels in ...

quantguy quantguy XRPUSD, 1D, Short ,
590 1 5
XRPUSD, 1D Short
Ripple Breaks its Range

Although volatility in Ripple has dramatically subsided since January, it is on a clear downtrend. Like other coins, it has broken down from its range, and is currently finding support from $0.74. What appeared to be a bull wedge has been invalidated as we’ve broken the trend line at $0.76. The Kovach Momentum Indicators are still very bearish. The only ...

quantguy quantguy NEOUSD, 1D, Short ,
348 1 1
NEOUSD, 1D Short
Neo Death Spiral

Over the past 15 days, there are only two bull candles for Neo. This is a persistent bear cycle that is unprecedented in the history of this coin. It is puzzling to even the most bearish Elliott Wave analysts who would expect more from even the minor corrective phases within this abysmal progression. Any rally seems to be a minor correction to this trend. Neo ...

quantguy quantguy LTCUSD, 1D, Short ,
800 7 2
LTCUSD, 1D Short
Litecoin Tanks

Litecoin joins the ranks of cryptocurrencies that are currently breaking down. Kovach Momentum Indicators are bearish at all levels except for the Kovach OBV, which still seems to indicate long term momentum, which is the only silver lining. Elliott Wave analysis is predicated on momentum, and we must accept the fact that at this point we are in a persistent ...

120 0 0
IOTUSD, 1D
IOTA Ranging

IOTA joins the rest of the cryptocurrencies who insist upon ranging. This is a frustration to investors waiting for some semblance of a recovery. IOTA currently seems to be facing resistance 1.37, and may be giving up the $1.30 handle entirely. It seems to be settling on the range between $1.20 and $1.37. If we break out to the upside, we must punch through ...

84 0 0
NEOUSD, 1D
Ripple Insists on Lower Levels

Ripple is currently forming a range with a hard upper bound at $0.82, a level identified here many times. The lower bound seems to be the trend line of an ascending (bull) wedge currently at $0.76. The Kovach Momentum Indicators are still very bearish. The only consolation is that they appear to have peaked and must eventually turn up soon. The ranging period ...

261 0 2
NEOUSD, 1D
Neo Rejects Breakout

Neo broke its losing streak with a brief rejection from the lower bound of the KRI at $81, only to revert to this level once more. This has thwarted our hopes of a bull segment to the impulse phase of the Elliott Wave. Neo currently seems to be establishing the range between $81 and $92, the latter corresponding to a Fibonacci level. The bullish crab cypher ...

290 0 3
LTCUSD, 1D
Litecoin Reverts to Lower Bound

Litecoin swiftly rejected a breakout from the lower bound of the KRI. Again, it seems to be hugging it at $176 at the time of this writing. Our rebound indeed seems to have faced a swift speed bump and it seems equally likely that LTC may test levels from above and below, though we have strong support from below. Elliott Wave analysis is predicated on momentum, ...

376 0 4
XLMUSD, 1D
Stellar Lumens Gains Footing

Stellar Lumens has edged lower, within inches of the lower bound of its range which corresponds to the lower bound of the KRI at $0.30. It is still range bound between $0.31 and $0.38, though the upper bound of this range seems to have narrowed to $0.35. If support does not hold, we have the lower bound of the KRI which still sits at $0.30, which is also a ...

186 3 4
BCHUSD, 1D
Bitcoin Cash Dead Cat Bounce?

Bitcoin Cash has tested some levels in the lower $1,200 handle. Thankfully, it rejected these and rebounded to $1,275, which appears to be a very strong level. Currently, it corresponds with the central moving average of the KRI. If current prices do not hold, we'll have support from $1,200, as well as Fibonacci levels at $1,144, $965, then the lower bound of ...

quantguy quantguy IOTUSD, 1D, Long ,
225 2 7
IOTUSD, 1D Long
IOTA Finds Support

IOTA too has remained range bound, currently testing the upper level of this range near $2. Like the other cryptos, IOTA could really use a burst of momentum to confirm entry into wave 3 of the impulse of the Elliott Wave. The central moving average of the KRI continues to provide support around $1.92. Other levels of support include $1.95, $1.78, then $1.60, ...

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