quantguy

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About me Quantitative trader with a background in Math and Physics. Find me on Instagram @quantguy and Twitter @quant_guy
Joined Florida quant_guy
Markets Allocation
58 % cryptocurrency 20 % stocks 12 % forex 11 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BTCUSD 16% | 39 LTCUSD 8% | 20 IOTUSD 5% | 13 NEOUSD 5% | 13
quantguy quantguy LTCUSD, D,
LTCUSD: Litecoin New Relative Lows
541 0 5
LTCUSD, D
Litecoin New Relative Lows

LTC continues to be hit hard by the fallout, plunging into the $200 handle, and heading further. As we predicted in the last newsletter, we are getting some support from a nested Fibonacci level at $162.65, but if recent events are a predictor of the future, then we will need the next one at $117.22. We have had to redefine our Elliott Wave to include this ...

quantguy quantguy NEOUSD, D,
NEOUSD: Neo Crosses Vacuum Zone
581 1 5
NEOUSD, D
Neo Crosses Vacuum Zone

The once mighty Neo has seen a drastic correction, blazing through the vacuum zone created by its epic rally to $200. It finally found support after an astonishing 50% retracement to $100. In particular, we have some support where a Fibonacci level and a Fibonacci Fan level meet at $102. This also seems to coincide with the central moving average of the KRI. ...

quantguy quantguy XRPUSD, D,
XRPUSD: Ripple Hit Hard
964 1 9
XRPUSD, D
Ripple Hit Hard

Ripple has been hurt severely in this fallout, currently trading at less than one third of its value as of the beginning of this month. We completely retraced the vacuum zone readers were warned about in this newsletter, finally finding support at the $1 level, which coincides with the lower bound of the Kovach Reversals Indicator, and a nested Fibonacci level. ...

quantguy quantguy IOTUSD, D,
IOTUSD: IOTA Whacked
661 1 4
IOTUSD, D
IOTA Whacked

IOTA has definitely broken its ranging streak, unfortunately to the downside. We have smashed through levels in the $3 handle, to find support in the lower $2 handle, a Fibonacci level at $2.12 to be specific. It still appears that we are in wave 2, a minor corrective segment of the Elliott Wave. We must reconsider our rendition of the corrective phase if IOTA ...

quantguy quantguy BCHUSD, D,
BCHUSD: Bitcoin Cash Broke its Range... To the Downside
573 0 5
BCHUSD, D
Bitcoin Cash Broke its Range... To the Downside

Bitcoin Cash was hit hard too, breaking past support in the $1,700’s currently finding support amidst some congestion in the upper $1,500’s. We have completely redrawn the Elliott Wave to frame yesterday’s action as the corrective segment of a 5-3 Elliott Wave, and may need to extend the lower segment further if fallout continues. Now, unfortunately, nested ...

quantguy quantguy XLMUSD, D,
XLMUSD: Stellar Lumens Bloodbath
641 3 8
XLMUSD, D
Stellar Lumens Bloodbath

Stellar Lumens has also careened through levels of support and seems desperate to test the lower bound of the KRI which should correspond with a Fibonacci level at $0.28 by then. After that, we will have another support level at $0.23. Again, investors were warned in this newsletter about the huge vacuum zone formed from XLM’s rise to the $1 mark. The Kovach ...

quantguy quantguy ETHUSD, D, Long ,
ETHUSD: ETH Breakout
335 0 4
ETHUSD, D Long
ETH Breakout

Ethereum momentum reignites after having investors on edge for a while in the 1100's. Both Kovach Momentum Indicators are positive, which tells us we're a-go for more gains. However, we are testing the upper bound of the KRI, which means that a pullback could be close, so consider taking some profits. We have made new highs yet again, so it looks like the ...

quantguy quantguy TRXBTC, D, Long ,
TRXBTC: TRX the sleeping giant...
1191 0 12
TRXBTC, D Long
TRX the sleeping giant...

TRX has retraced significantly from highs, putting investors with serious FOMO who bought at the top under water. However, our long term outlook remains bullish. TRX is a sleeping giant. The Elliott Wave indicates that this is simply the corrective phase, which is a great buying opportunity. We have a divergence between the Kovach OBV and the price, which ...

quantguy quantguy BCHUSD, D, Long ,
BCHUSD: Bitcoin Cash Ranges
816 2 8
BCHUSD, D Long
Bitcoin Cash Ranges

Bitcoin Cash remains range-bound as well. It was affected very little with yesterday’s crash, though that did bring it down to the $2300 handle. Along with IOTA, it seems hesitant to correlate with other cryptos, but also more resilient in dealing with crashes. BCH remains just below the central moving average of the KRI, which should continue to provide ...

quantguy quantguy XLMUSD, D, Long ,
XLMUSD: Stellar Lumens Hit Hard
1665 3 9
XLMUSD, D Long
Stellar Lumens Hit Hard

Stellar Lumens has contracted sharply, not fully recovering from yesterday’s crash. Along with Ripple, yesterday’s crash stood to hit XLM hard, since it was already in a corrective phase anyway. Consolidation is inevitable, and this will constitute the final phase of the dragon head pattern before another breakout. We are currently hovering at about $0.61 or ...

quantguy quantguy TRXBTC, 240, Long ,
TRXBTC: TRX Looks Ready to Breakout
1541 10 10
TRXBTC, 240 Long
TRX Looks Ready to Breakout

TRX has pulled back from highs to form the classic dragon head pattern, so common to cryptocurrencies. Although it's been ranging for some time, a breakout is inevitable at some point for numerous reasons. First, volatility has consolidated immensely, as evidenced by the contraction in the band width of the upper and lower bounds of the Kovach Reversals ...

quantguy quantguy BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Cedes Control to Alts
251 1 3
BTCUSD, D Long
Bitcoin Cedes Control to Alts

Ethereum has finally taken back market share from Ripple, which has retraced notably. We have rebalanced the Altcoin Index and Crypto Spread Indicator to account for this. Unfortunately, despite gains in Ethereum, this just doesn’t seem enough to carry the team, and the Altcoin Index has retraced a bit, but not to the extent of BTC, which has ceded control back ...

quantguy quantguy LTCUSD, D, Long ,
LTCUSD: Litecoin Remains Competitively Priced
291 0 2
LTCUSD, D Long
Litecoin Remains Competitively Priced

Along with Bitcoin, Litecoin has a pop over the weekend, but retraced roughly to where it started in the $250’s. LTC seems sluggish to respect the arbitrage it has with BTC when it rallies, but quick to retrace with it. We still have long term bullishness with the Kovach OBV, but the Kovach Chande is bearish, indicating now might be the time to get LTC at a good ...

quantguy quantguy NEOUSD, D, Long ,
NEOUSD: Neo Clings to $100 Handle
424 1 3
NEOUSD, D Long
Neo Clings to $100 Handle

As we predicted, Neo eventually found some resistance at the upper bound of the KRI after its significant December rally. It is currently hovering in the $100 handle, $102 at the time of this writing. Although we’ve seen two long legged doji candles on the day chart, which portends a retracement, Neo seems reluctant to give up the $100 handle. It faces ...

quantguy quantguy XRPUSD, D,
XRPUSD: Ripple Retracement Continues
627 0 3
XRPUSD, D
Ripple Retracement Continues

Ripple has retraced its gains and has given up the $3, comfortably seated at about $2.50 at the time of this writing, where it is finding support from a nested Fibonacci Extension level. Some congestion at $2.75 (also a psychological level) will prove difficult to penetrate. A red triangle on Friday’s candle via the KRI serves as another ominous sign for XRP. ...

quantguy quantguy IOTUSD, D, Long ,
IOTUSD: IOTA Still Ranging
579 0 5
IOTUSD, D Long
IOTA Still Ranging

IOTA is currently ranging with support from the central moving average of the KRI. It sits in the dead center of this indicator and has a long way to go, up or down. The upper and lower bounds are of the KRI are beginning to contract sharply, which indicates a breakout soon. On the downside, it will find support at the lower bound of the KRI at $3.02, though it ...

quantguy quantguy BCHUSD, D, Long ,
BCHUSD: Bitcoin Cash Ranges
344 3 3
BCHUSD, D Long
Bitcoin Cash Ranges

Bitcoin Cash remains ranging in the $2400 handle. Along with IOTA, it seems resistant to correlate with the momentum (either bull or bear) in other cryptos. BCH remains just below the central moving average of the KRI, which should continue to provide resistance. The band width of the KRI indicator is contracting which could indicate a breakout is near. It ...

quantguy quantguy XLMUSD, D, Long ,
XLMUSD: Stellar Lumens Continues Pullback
435 0 3
XLMUSD, D Long
Stellar Lumens Continues Pullback

Stellar Lumens has continued to retrace, which should be understandable, as it rallied over 1000% in a matter of days. It is most likely forming a dragon head pattern, from which we will see some consolidation. We are currently hovering at about $0.65 though there is a 2.618 Fibonacci Extension Level at $0.68, where we can expect to consolidate before another ...

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