Search in ideas for "MICROSOFT"
Microsoft breakout and run closed at hod MACD triggerd bullish
RSI breaking out
Volume comes in
Gap will be closed soon
Stock closed at day hod
Microsoft - Severely oversoldThe weekly chart is the main reason for my bullish bias. Last week, Microsoft had the earnings call and obviously the results were disappointing. However, the day opened with a huge gap and most of the selling had been done overnight. Price reached an extremely oversold position in a matter of days. This week however, the threatening picture of the previous week failed to spark more weakness. This is a lack of follow through which resembles very much with what happened during the summer in 2014 (circled period).
On the daily chart, I outlined two possible trades, depending on the trading style of each trader. I for one, am more inclined for the wide stop because after such a big fall, price can wiggle up and down for a consolidation and I am not comfortable with a close stop.
Microsoft Corp Daily (08.09.2014) Technical Analysis Training The Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) Daily Diagram Technical Analysis shows the following:
The (MSFT) share follows the support of the long term trend line (green) on this uptrend. All this development is above the KUMO, which means that the MSFT is bullish in long term. The weekly diagram shows bullish trend as the monthly too (overbought).
So the first think in mind is the 2.618 of fib. MACD is turning bullish and RSI = 68. The volume is more than the usual (28%).
Last Friday's green candlestick is above the Tenkan Sen
There is no special pattern.
Long with stop Loss under the Support line.
Microsoft Corp Daily (13.08.2014) Technical Analysis TrainingThe Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) Daily Diagram Technical Analysis shows the following:
The (MSFT) share follows the support of the long term trend line (green) on this uptrend. The last five days the share made a reversal movement after the Motning Star (Doji). All this development is above the KUMO, which means that the MSFT is bullish in long term. The weekly diagram shows bullish trend as the monthly too (overbought).
So the first think in mind is forcing the Tenkan & Kijun Sens breaching. MACD is weakening its bearishness now and RSI too. The volume is more than the usual.
There was a morning start last week.
There is no special pattern.
Long today for a positive uptrend. Stop Loss under Support line.
Microsoft Corp Daily (09.07.2014) Technical Analysis TrainingThe Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) Daily Diagram Technical Analysis shows the following:
The (MSFT) share follows the resistance of the trend line (green) on an uptrend. This resistance line is over the KUMO, which means that the MSFT is bullish in long term. The weekly diagram shows bullish trend as the monthly too.
So the first think in mind is that MSFT has stabilize its price over the $40. But MACD is bearish now and RSI reaches 50. The volume is less than the usual.
There is no special candlestick pattern. The share is over the KUMO and it is over the Tenkan Sen (green line) and Kijun Sen (blue line) too.
There is no special pattern. The fib is designed and shows the leveles.
So I think that the bearish MACD sign with the divergene show that MSFT will move towards 41.07 first Kijun Sen Target (blue line) and then towards KUMO if it breaches the green support line.
Microsoft Corp Daily (23.06.2014) Technical AnalysisThe Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) Daily Diagram Technical Analysis shows the following:
The (MSFT) share follows the resistance of the trend line (green) on an uptrend. This resistance line is over the KUMO, which means that the MSFT is bullish in long term. The weekly diagram shows bullish trend as the monthly too.
So the first think in mind is that MSFT has stabilize its price over the $40. MACD is forcing its bullish trend and RSI too. The volume last Friday was 35% over the usual.
There is no special candlestick pattern. The share is over the KUMO and it is over the Tenkan Sen (green line) and Kijun Sen (blue line) too.
There is no special pattern. The fib from $31.10 to $38.90 shows 1.618 projection @$43.71 for a first target.
So I think that MSFT will follow the uptrend.
Microsoft Corp Weekly (23) Chart Technical AnalysisThe Microsoft (MSFT) weekly chart shows the following signs:
The Price of MSFT make a Long green Candlestick giving a bullish sign over the Tenkan Sen for two weeks now. The MACD is ready to give a bullish sign on Monday (06.09.2014) and the RSI is already on bullish. Volume is UP. The Stock is over the EMA200, over the KUMO Cloud and the Tenkan-sen is over the Kijun-sen.
I expect that the stock will continue the upside move in the channel up and it will cancel the divergence in MACD. If you see closer at the last week's green candlestick, it looks like a hammer (it closed at high prices of MSFT's weekly movement) that means that the stock left a promise for higher highs.
Microsoft Corp Weekly (22) Chart Technical AnalysisThe Microsoft (MSFT) weekly chart shows the following signs:
The Price of MSFT make a Long green Candlestick giving a bullish sign over the Tenkan Sen. The MACD is on marginally ready to give a bullish sign and the RSI is already on bullish. Volume is UP. The Stock is over the EMA200, over the KUMO Cloud and the Tenkan-sen is over the Kijun-sen.
I expect that the stock will continue the upside move in the channel up inspite of the divergence in MACD as I have mensioned last week.
Microsoft Corp Daily (26.05.2014) Chart Technical AnalysisThe Microsoft (MSFT) daily chart shows the following signs:
The Price of MSFT consolidates around the $40 the last month in a desceding triangle. The MACD is neutral and the RSI too. The Stock is over the EMA200, and has reached KUMO support.
I expect that the stock will continue the consoidations but has a long term divergence in MACD. If the stock break the support line, it has a support level at Span B of KUMO & then the EMA 200.
Microsoft Corp WEEKLY (21) CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSISThe Microsoft (MSFT) weekly chart shows the following signs:
The Price of MSFT consolidates around the $40 the last month. The MACD is on bearish sign and the RSI on bullish. The Stock is over the EMA200, the KUMO Cloud and the Tenkan-sen is over the Kijun-sen.
I expect that the stock will continue the consoidations but has a divergence in MACD. If the stock break the support line has a support level at $38 on Kijun-sen. Otherwise on bullish move, over the Tenkan-Sen the 1,618 projection of fibonacci is at $43,15
Microsoft to continue southThis is an inside fox wave pattern, looking for Microsoft to continue it's way down after this retracement.
Great MicrosoftMicrosoft (MSFT) has just announced that it will purchase the phone business of Nokia (NOK) for 5.44 billion Euro or roughly $7.2 billion.
Microsoft Cool Setups!This is a simple strategy that is used more often in Forex. What we are looking for is a stock which has its 50 MA under the 100 MA and then the price of the stock is also below the 50 MA. Then we look for the stock %R to reach a high level like -20.0000. We now eneter for a short. As per the chart we can see that microsoft has been doing this for the last little while. Waiting for a good setup to come in the next few days!
AI expanded collaboration with MSFT MicrosoftPositioning for the next wave of enterprise AI adoption, rather than the last earnings print:
1. Deepening Microsoft Integration = Real Distribution Power
The most important recent development is C3ai’s expanded collaboration with Microsoft:
C3 ai is now natively integrated across Microsoft Copilot, Microsoft Fabric and Azure AI Foundry, effectively becoming an “intelligence layer” on top of Microsoft’s enterprise stack.
This makes it much easier for large customers already running on Azure and using Copilot to deploy, manage, and scale vertical AI applications from C3ai (manufacturing, energy, financial services, government, etc.).
In simple terms: Microsoft brings the distribution and cloud muscle; C3ai brings vertical AI apps. If this integration starts to convert more pilots into long-term subscriptions, the current depressed valuation may not last.
2. Beaten-Down Expectations + Long Runway
Bears focus on the obvious problems:
Revenue has recently declined and margins are under pressure as C3 ai spends to convert pilots and expand its product suite.
Cash flow is negative, and there’s no GAAP profitability in sight yet.
However, management guides for positive free cash flow by FY26 and non-GAAP profitability in the second half of FY27, with strong revenue growth resuming as production deployments scale.
If those targets prove even roughly correct, the stock today is pricing in a lot of failure. Any upside surprise on:
deal conversions,
operating leverage, or
new, high-profile customer wins via Microsoft’s ecosystem
could trigger a meaningful re-rating from these levels.
3. Macro Headwinds as Future Tailwinds
Recent economic data and rate worries have hit high-growth tech – including C3ai – as investors fled anything with long-dated cash flows.
For a contrarian bull, that’s exactly the kind of environment where:
expectations are low,
sentiment is washed out,
and good news is under-priced.
If the macro picture stabilizes and rate-cut expectations firm up, beaten-down AI names like C3.ai can suddenly look interesting again, especially with a strategic partner like Microsoft in their corner.
AI is a potential buyout candidate, in my opinion.
World's Top Companies: Who’s in the Exclusive $1T Club & Beyond?But wait, it gets even more exclusive than a mere $1 trillion! There’s a $2 trillion club with just a single player and a super-duper hyper-elite ultra club of $3 trillion. Can you name the participants?
Being part of the world’s biggest companies isn’t easy. It may look easy — these corporate giants gain billions of dollars in market cap before you make your morning cup of coffee (especially if you’re drowsy after a late-night options trading action).
In this Idea, we look at the dynamic docket of the world's most expensive companies, neatly stacked up in the TradingView Top companies list .
The world has never seen so much money concentrated in a few select companies. Fun fact: all of them had humble beginnings like starting out of a garage and trying to get clients through cold calling — but ended up changing the world with things like the iPhone.
Today, a total of seven companies are worth $1 trillion or more each and three of them boast a valuation of over $3 trillion each. Can you guess the common theme across all? It starts with “A” and ends with “I”.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has been popping these stocks to record highs for months now. And there’s no sign of slowing down the insane growth. All of these companies, except for one that’s not based in the US, are listed in the broad-based S&P 500 index and make up about 30% of its total weight. Can you spot them in the S&P 500 Stock Heatmap ?
Note that all numbers and rankings are measured by the companies' performances through mid-June of this year.
Let’s roll!
1. 🧩 Microsoft (ticker: MSFT )
Microsoft is the world’s most valuable company worth a staggering $3.289 trillion. The software maker quickly swooped in to lead the AI race by backing ChatGPT parent OpenAI . It has invested $13 billion in the startup.
Microsoft’s growth is largely driven by the adoption of AI across its product suite. Artificial intelligence-powered assistants such as Microsoft Copilot can operate without human intervention or direct commands, making companies’ lives easier and more productive.
💰 Market Cap : $3.289 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $211.91 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Microsoft's first major deal was with IBM in 1980. They developed the operating system for IBM's new computer, which they named PC DOS. The deal was worth $50,000.
2. 🧩 Apple (ticker: AAPL )
Apple has entered the chat. The iPhone maker just recently figured out how to play catch up in the AI race after doing virtually nothing for a year. Apple Intelligence — the company’s response to AI — got investors excited about the future growth prospects of iPhone sales and overall revenue generation.
The AI announcement, made during Apple’s annual developer conference, helped lift its shares by 10% and propelled the company to the number one spot, dethroning Microsoft. Briefly, though .
💰 Market Cap : $3.258 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $383.29 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Apple traces its humble origins to Steve Jobs’s garage where he and another founder — Steve Wozniak, would test the products before selling them over the phone. A third founder — Ronald Wayne — was in the company for just 12 days and sold his 10% stake for $800. That stake today is worth more than $325 billion.
3. 🧩 Nvidia (ticker: NVDA )
Nvidia is the highflyer technology company responsible for building out the infrastructure layer of the artificial intelligence revolution. Its coveted AI chips are the hottest commodity for all other technology giants and that’s where Nvidia’s power comes from.
Earlier this month, Nvidia’s market value crossed $3 trillion for the first time, overtaking Apple and becoming the third company to ever breathe the rarefied air of so much money. First place coming soon?
💰 Market Cap : $3.244 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $60.92 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Jensen Huang, who never interviews wearing anything other than a black jacket, was cleaning tables and washing dishes at his local Denny’s diner. And that’s where he sat with his two friends — hardware savant Chris Malachowsky and software geek Curtis Priem — when he founded his chip making business Nvidia.
4. 🧩 Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL )
Alphabet, parent of search dominator Google, is taking on Microsoft in the rushed race to market an AI assistant. The company’s first generation AI bot, Bard, suffered a major blow at launch (it returned false information). Subsequent attempts failed to present any threat to ChatGPT so Alphabet rebranded it to Gemini.
💰 Market Cap : $2.194 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $307.39 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : The founders, Larry Page and Sergey Brin, initially worked on their search engine project from their dorm rooms at Stanford University. They later moved to a garage in Menlo Park, California, which was owned by Susan Wojcicki, former CEO of YouTube. Google purchased YouTube for $1.65 billion in 2005. Today, YouTube generates that amount in two weeks.
5. 🧩 Amazon (ticker: AMZN )
Amazon, the ecommerce and cloud computing heavyweight, is riding the AI wave thanks to its cloud computing division Amazon Web Services (AWS). It’s the company’s cash cow, revenue generator, profit driver, or however you want to call it.
For the most recent quarter, AWS hit $100 billion in annual revenue run rate — a financial metric that estimates future growth based on current performance. Or the opposite of "Past performance is no guarantee of future results."
💰 Market Cap : $1.911 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $574.78 billion
👶 How It Started : Amazon was founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994 after he left his analyst job at the hedge fund D. E. Shaw & Co, inspired by the rapid growth of the internet. He took the risk of selling things online and picked books due to their wide selection and ease of distribution. And the rest is history.
6. 🧩 Saudi Arabian Oil (ticker: 2222 )
An outlier in the rankings saturated by tech giants, Saudi Arabian Oil is the world’s largest oil producer. Also known as Saudi Aramco, it’s the single most important revenue source for the Saudi government (makes up 92% of its budget to be exact). In 2022, when energy prices boomed following the Covid lockdown, Aramco pocketed record profits of $161 billion.
💰 Market Cap : $1.783 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $440.80 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Saudi Aramco was established in the 1930s when Standard Oil of California discovered oil in Saudi Arabia and formed the California-Arabian Standard Oil Company. By the 1980s, the Saudi government had fully nationalized the company, renaming it Saudi Aramco.
7. 🧩 Meta Platforms (ticker: META )
Last on our list of $1 trillion companies and beyond is Meta Platforms, previously known as Facebook. The brainchild of Harvard dropout Mark Zuckerberg had a rough 2022 with more than 70% wiped out of its value and knocking it out of the $1 trillion club.
The following year, 2023, was a lot more generous to the social media behemoth as it gained nearly 200% and jumped right back into a 13-digit valuation. The company was up another 45% for the first half of 2024.
💰 Market Cap : $1.279 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $134.90 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Facebook was initially called "Thefacebook" and was limited to Harvard students when it first launched on February 4, 2004. The company’s first office was Mark Zuckerberg’s dorm room.
📣 Let’s Hear from You!
What’s your favorite pick of the world’s top seven companies ranked by market capitalization? Let us know in the comments!
IS THIS MAG7 DARLING ABOUT TO CRASH?!NASDAQ:MSFT
🔥 IS NASDAQ:MSFT ABOUT TO FALL OVER 21%?! 🔥
Let's not panic yet, but Microsoft's weekly charts are flashing some intriguing signals. Here’s the lowdown:
As long as NASDAQ:MSFT stays within its symmetrical pattern, we’re in the clear. But if it breaks downward, we’re looking at a potential 6% drop from the Volume profile shelf and possibly a dangerous 22% plunge, breaking the 2024 Head & Shoulders pattern. Enter the "Low Five Setup"—the bearish counterpart to my "High Five Setup."
Key factors to watch:
- Williams %R: Lower High
- MACD: Dangerously close to crossing below the zero line (BEARISH)
- RSI: Below RSI MA with lower highs, at 46—lots of room before oversold
- Trend: Lower high, red through yellow downward move indicating a downtrend on the weekly chart
Microsoft has been Wall Street’s golden goose, untouched by the FUD that hit the MAG7 stocks. Apple had China FUD, Tesla faced the ELON BAD FUD, Google with AI SEARCH FUD, Amazon with spending and margins FUD, Meta with metaverse spending FUD, and Nvidia with growth concerns FUD.
But as Willy Wonka taught us, every golden goose lays a bad egg sometimes. This is a weekly chart setup, so it will take time to play out. No one's immune to Wall Street’s FUD wrath, not even Microsoft. We shall see what happens...
P.S. I’m not in this name yet—just putting it on your radar. We’re early to the party, just like I always am with my setups. If you’re still here, you value solid, well-thought-out market analysis. Props to you!
Have a great Sunday, friends! 👊
Not Financial Advice #HighFiveSetup #LowFiveSetup
Drawn trendline + LR on QuisCharts are an amazing tool. Been an amazing 1.5 years having control of my money to learn about technical analysis. I have been meaning to take a look at quis technically on this uptrend, Linear Regression I find is a great tool to price gain further context on longer time frames.
I started this chart by inputting my own support and resistance trend lines. It follows that as you map out a line acting as resistance and one as support, you are going to find alot of the stocks price action in between. This price action acts as data to be inputted into a Linear Regression model. Utilizing 3 regression lines set from Standard Deviations -3 to +3, we capture 99.7% of data-price, for Quis.
Quis over the past week has again started tightening up. Trading well below its daily average today into last weeks session. I have to admit I was off on the last tighten up around earnings. stock slipped up and went the other way for a week. these weeks candles and volume will be very telling to me on Quis being ready to go.
Catalysts on the near term horizon include Visa end point certification for LedgerPay. LedgerPay is the first payment processing solution that is built on cloud technology, Microsofts Azure Cloud to be specific. You may have seen news out that Amazon is looking to build its own payment platform for retail business. Its to be able to take in all the data on AWS network and make AWS more valuable. Microsoft in a battle forever now on cloud with Amazon got here first by working with Quisitive, a premier partner of microsoft. Microsoft expects to punch back here with Quis as its boxer, this is due to the product offering and funcationality of Ledgerpay and its data intelligence arm and those capabilities.
Further to certification, I think a contract being landed (guidance given on last earnings call Q&A that customers for Ledgerpay would likely be signing contracts before or shortly after LP is fully commercialized with Visa end point cert. It is on news of these contracts I feel the stock can push up to an area in the +2-+3 SD Channel. CEO Mike Reinhart represented Quis on an gateway investor webinar last week and guided that an uplist in Canada to the TSX was foundationally in place, and that US uplist was near as well. $QUISF currently trade on the pinks OTC. Quis also just filed an updated and amended SBP, as i note in my DD pieces, dilution is part of the game here and a risk to upside movement. Given the last two raises made by quis came after moves up, I think it follows that this will will too, but that may not align with acquisition opportunity forcing it to come earlier.
In any case please always do your DD, feel free to check out my substack lebellechart for my own DD, and follow your own trading & investing rules.
Cheers,
Luke
MSFT Pair : MSFT - Microsoft
Description :
Triple Top pattern in Short Time Frame
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " A " Corrective Waves
RSI - Divergence
Break of Structure
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame
MSFT 24/04Pair : MSFT - Microsoft
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves
Break of Structure and Retracement
RSI - Divergence
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of Lower Trend Line
Apple and Microsoft: Which Stock Offers Greater Tech Potential?Apple and Microsoft: Which Stock Offers Greater Technical Potential?
Reading time: 7 minutes
Tech giants Apple (ticker: AAPL) and Microsoft (ticker: MSFT) both outperformed last year, adding 48.0% and 57.0%, respectively. Both are also part of the widely talked-about Magnificent Seven Stocks (includes Amazon , Nvidia , Meta Platforms , Tesla and Alphabet ), which collectively rose nearly 80.0% in 2023, according to the Bloomberg Magnificent Seven Total Return Index. However, while Microsoft has continued to climb higher in 2024 (+13.0% year to date), Apple has struggled to find acceptance at higher levels (-12.0% year to date).
According to an analysis of the weekly timeframes, the technical picture for Apple and Microsoft is interesting for the months ahead.
Trend?
Microsoft's shares are in a solid position in terms of trend. A basic analysis of the stock’s trend illustrates that the company’s share price is in a clear uptrend, forming an all-time high at $430.82 in recent trading. This is positive for buyers and could encourage investors to buy into this market.
On the other hand, Apple’s shares show that while the stock formed an all-time high at $199.62 in late 2023, the technical environment suggests trouble could be ahead for the stock price. The weekly chart is in the process of forming a double-top pattern off all-time highs and is closing in on the pattern’s neckline at $165.67. A break here would be considered technical confirmation for bears to target lower levels, with a price target generally based on the difference between the highest peak and the neckline, which is then extended from the breakout point to form a profit target.
Both stocks also remain above their 200-week simple moving averages. However, Apple is poised to converge and retest the upper edge of this dynamic value if the double-top pattern’s neckline is engulfed, with Microsoft diverging from the moving average.
Momentum?
The price of Apple shows that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests average losses are exceeding average gains after crossing below the 50.00 centreline. This tells us that the stock is in a phase of negative momentum and does not bode well for buyers, particularly as there is still room for the indicator to continue moving lower until the oversold area (0.00-30.00).
Regarding Microsoft's stock, early negative divergence from the RSI is displayed around the overbought area (100.00-70.00). This indicates that while price action may have shaped higher highs in line with its current trend, momentum is slowing for now. Does this mean we will see a reversal here like Apple? No, not necessarily. While negative divergence should not be overlooked, this may be a false reversal signal or just a signal that the market is pausing for breath before pushing on to fresh all-time highs. Investors will want to see the RSI explore lower levels below the overbought area and maybe probe beneath the 50.00 centreline to confirm upside momentum is weakening for this stock.
Given the above, there is some uncertainty with both stocks at the moment.
Volume?
Volume studies for Apple’s stock remained consistent since early 2023, fluctuating around the 20-period average. For investors who focus on volume, there is not much to go on right now. What could excite investors, nevertheless, is a breakout above the average volume at a point when support enters the market or price breaks above resistance. One thing to bear in mind is that average periods of volume tend to be followed up with phases of increased volume and possible price breakouts.
It is clear for Microsoft that although price continues to make higher highs, volume is unsupportive. It is trading below average volume (20 periods). Investors who analyse volume are unlikely to be willing buyers at this point. An uptrend that lacks volume suggests that investors lack enthusiasm for the stock and that this is perhaps a weak rally we’re seeing.
Price Action?
Sticking to basics, we can see that both Apple and Microsoft benefit from nearby potential trendline support. Apple, at its current price, has support in the $155.00 area. This consists of trendline support drawn from the low of $53.15 and another potential trendline resistance turned potential support drawn from the high of $182.94.
However, for Microsoft's price, there is trendline support seen closer, taken from the low of $219.35.
Out of the two markets, Apple’s trendline support combination is the more attractive in terms of technical confluence.
Apple or Microsoft?
While opinions will differ on which stock has the greater potential, both appear worthy of attention.
According to Apple's technical position, it has room to continue moving lower to the double-top pattern’s neckline at $165.67. This, coupled with Apple’s trend being meaningfully weakened and the RSI trading below the 50.00 centreline (negative momentum), may cause technical analysts to deem this a bearish market for the time being. What is likely to attract bullish eyes, nonetheless, is the trendline support combination around $155.00 and the nearby 200-week simple moving average. However, bear in mind that at this point, technical selling will also be present on the back of the double-top neckline breach.
Although Microsoft is showing early negative divergence from the RSI, it is unlikely to be sufficient to draw in sellers right now and could remain overbought for prolonged periods. Should Microsoft form a correction and volume continue to slow, investors could buy the dip from trendline support. Both stocks have declining volume, yet both have the potential to see above-average volume, particularly if buyers step in at trendline supports.
