XAUUSD Setup Short📉 XAUUSD Setup Explanation
Gold just retested the 200 EMA / 50 EMA zone, which is acting as dynamic resistance. Price tapped into this resistance and showed rejection wicks, indicating sellers defending the area.
The structure is still bearish overall, and this retest offers a potential sell setup.
🔻 Short Setup
Entry Zone: 4200–4202 (resistance retest area)
Stop-Loss: Above the rejection zone at 4208–4210
Targets:
TP1: 4190
TP2: 4184
TP3: 4178
Reasoning:
Trend is still bearish on lower timeframes.
Price rejected EMA50 & EMA200 resistance.
Lower highs formation continues.
Sellsetup
EURUSD – Breakout Trading SetupPrice is currently sitting just above the support line at 1.15590, which has acted as an important turning zone many times before.
This area is the key level I am watching for the next directional move.
For my approach, it’s very simple:
✨ My Breakout Plan
If price breaks below 1.15590 with a clean candle-body close, I expect EURUSD to extend further downward into the next Fibonacci extension zones.
These green dotted levels are my anticipation areas:
🎯 Target 1 (Fib 1.618): 1.15300
🎯 Target 2 (Fib 2.000): 1.15086
These targets are fully based on the Fib Extension tool, not random.
Once the support level is broken, price usually accelerates toward these extension levels, especially after such a long consolidation.
This is a simple breakout-style idea — no complications.
📘 Disclaimer
This is only my personal breakout approach and not financial advice.
Gold 4H – Bearish Harmonic Rejection SetupGold is currently testing a major descending trendline drawn from the previous swing high (Point A). Price has tapped into a strong supply zone / rejection block around 4150–4170, which also aligns with the 0.618 and 0.70 Fibonacci retracement levels taken from the C–D leg projection.
The structure shows a potential harmonic completion, where the market has printed an A–B–C pattern and is now forming the final leg toward D. The repeated rejections from the shaded supply zone indicate weakening bullish momentum.
As long as price remains below this supply region and fails to break the descending trendline, the setup favors a downside continuation, targeting the lower trendline support near 3800–3850, completing the projected D-leg.
Key Highlights:
Price reacting to multi-touch descending trendline
Strong supply zone (4150–4170) aligned with 0.618/0.70 fib
Bearish harmonic structure aiming for D-leg completion
Potential downside target: 3800–3850
Bias remains bearish unless price breaks and holds above the supply zone
Bulls don't get too comfortable....fundamentals still not goodHave been tracking the swings recently and macros and it's worth noting that the fundamentals of the economy are still weak. The upcoming rate reduction is already priced in, and it won't change the employment / defaults / private credit environment and inflation. Expect a dip very very soon and red across the board. The economy is being propped up with hot air and it's just not sustainable. All the macros are screaming red and people are ignoring until it's too late.
#SQQQ could be an interesting hedge, but would pull out now from any long positions as the AI bubble is showing big cracks and people are deciding to look the other way until they get wiped out.
Gold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum LoadingGold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum Loading
Gold is showing signs of upside exhaustion, with price repeatedly failing to gain momentum as it approaches the mid-range premium zone near the 4,245 area. The recent structure reflects a market transitioning from short-term recovery into renewed weakness, with each bullish attempt losing strength faster than the previous one.
Order flow remains dominated by distribution behaviour, and the chart signals a potential liquidity sweep followed by a bearish continuation. The projected rejection zone suggests that buyers are running into an area of heavy supply, where institutional activity has previously triggered aggressive downside extensions. Volume distribution across the range also highlights diminishing demand at higher prices, reinforcing the likelihood of a downward rotation.
As the market continues to respect its broader range ceiling, the probability increases for price to revisit deeper value regions. With momentum fading and the current leg showing hesitation, gold is positioned for a potential sell-side move toward lower mean-reversion levels.
Gold sideways, selling pressure returns to 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) comes under renewed pressure in Friday’s Asian session, though it continues to trade within its weekly range amid mixed signals. Expectations for a December Fed rate cut have faded further after the delayed September NFP release, supporting the US Dollar’s climb to its strongest level since late May and weighing on the non-yielding metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Downward trend, gold price continues to accumulate at the end of the week: 4000 - 4100
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4144 - 4146 SL 4151
TP1: $4130
TP2: $4120
TP3: $4100
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4006 - 4004 SL 3999
TP1: $4020
TP2: $4040
TP3: $4060
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price continues to decrease, 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) edges up toward $4,110 in early Asian trading on Thursday, supported by a cautious market mood and lingering uncertainty around the US economy. Traders now await the US September NFP report later in the day.
Heightened uncertainty—exacerbated by delayed labor data following the recent government shutdown—has complicated the Fed’s assessment of the job market, boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The long-awaited September jobs report will be closely watched for signals on labor conditions and future US rate policy
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price continues to move sideways and accumulate around 4000 - 4100. H1 forms a short-term downtrend line.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4148 - 4150 SL 4155
TP1: $4140
TP2: $4120
TP3: $4100
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4024 - 4022 SL 4017
TP1: $4035
TP2: $4050
TP3: $4070
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
CADJPY: Strong Reversal Setup - Daily MH RejectionCADJPY: Market Structure High Reversal @ Daily Momentum High
Setup Analysis:
The CADJPY has completed its wave structure followed by a Trend-Changing Pattern, signalling a potential major reversal.
Key Technical Points:
📍 The Setup:
Tuesday's high has been broken (manipulation move)
Price pushed up to the Daily Momentum High (MH)
This MH initiated the downside that created the major low
Classic liquidity grab before potential reversal
🎯 Trade Invalidation: 111.65
This is the critical level
Any trade above 111.65 invalidates the sell setup
Must respect this level for the bearish structure to remain valid
🎯 Main Target: H1 structure @ 109.55
Trade Logic:
Price manipulation above Tuesday's high swept liquidity at the Daily MH. This is where the previous major downtrend began. With wave structure complete and trend-changing pattern formed, we're watching for confirmation to trade the reversal back down to H1 structure support.
Key Principle: Let price prove the reversal. Structure breaks and manipulation moves often precede significant reversals.
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continue to accumulate and wait for NF this week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) climbs toward $4,070 in early Asian trading on Wednesday, ending a three-day losing streak as risk-off sentiment lifts demand ahead of the long-awaited return of US economic data. Traders now focus on the FOMC Minutes later today, followed by Thursday’s US September NFP report.
The September and October 2025 NFP releases were delayed by the US government shutdown, complicating the Fed’s rate outlook heading into its December meeting. This uncertainty could continue to support safe-haven assets like gold
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price after returning to the liquidity zone of 4000, continue to accumulate below 4115 and wait for NF news this week
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4112 - 4114 SL 4119
TP1: $4100
TP2: $4090
TP3: $4080
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4000 - 3998 SL 3993
TP1: $4010
TP2: $4025
TP3: $4040
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price continues to fall back to 3933⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its slide toward $4,030 in early Asian trading on Tuesday, pressured by fading expectations of a US rate cut next month. Markets now await Thursday’s US September Nonfarm Payrolls report for further direction.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar strengthens for a third straight day, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers. Traders continue to look for clarity on the Fed’s policy outlook after the record-long government shutdown delayed key economic data releases
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Continuously breaking support, gold price returns to 3933 below 4000. Selling pressure remains.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4108 - 4110 SL 4115
TP1: $4100
TP2: $4090
TP3: $4080
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3933 - 3931 SL 3926
TP1: $3945
TP2: $3960
TP3: $3970
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold prices continue to fall around 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward $4,105 in early European trading on Friday, breaking a two-day losing streak as a softer US Dollar lends support. Traders now look to upcoming Fed remarks from Williams, Jefferson, Kashkari, and Waller for further direction.
Improved risk sentiment following the US government’s reopening has weighed on safe-haven demand. The shutdown ended after President Trump signed a funding bill last week, allowing federal employees to return to work after the 43-day closure
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to accumulate - short-term correction downtrend below 4145
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4144 - 4146 SL 4151
TP1: $4130
TP2: $4115
TP3: $4100
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4006 - 4004 SL 3999
TP1: $4018
TP2: $4030
TP3: $4045
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
SHORT ON CAD/JPYCAD/JPY has pulled back to a major supply area and is currently showing bearish pressure/momentum on the lower timeframe.
The Jpy index is also starting to rise from a demand are which will impact cad/jpy falling more.
I am looking to catch 300-400 pips this week selling cadjpy to the next demand zone.
EUR/USD weakened (depreciated) and traded around 1.1550EUR/USD weakened (depreciated) and traded around 1.1550 after experiencing three consecutive days of losses. This weakening was caused by a strengthening US Dollar (USD) driven by good news regarding the US government shutdown.
A. Hopes for an End to the Government Shutdown (Supporting the USD)
- Good News: The USD received support after reports that a group of centrist Democratic Senators agreed to support a deal that would reopen the US government and fund several departments for next year.
- Contents of the Deal: This agreement would ensure federal employees receive their paychecks and allow delayed federal fund transfers to resume.
B. Economic Concerns (Constraining the USD)
- Shutdown Impact: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the impact of the US federal shutdown on the economy is worsening.
- Consumer Sentiment Falls: The US dollar weakened after the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell sharply to 50.3 in November (the lowest since June 2022), reflecting concerns about the government shutdown.
- Inflation Outlook: Bessent expects prices to decline over the coming months.
2. Factors Supporting the Euro (EUR)
The EUR/USD pair has the potential to regain its footing as the Euro (EUR) could receive support from the divergence in monetary policy outlooks between the ECB and the Fed:
- ECB Hawkishness: Market expectations for an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) have declined sharply (only a 45% chance of a cut by September 2026, down from 80% in October).
- ECB Official Comments: ECB officials have urged caution regarding inflation. Vice President Luis de Guindos even warned that any decline in inflation below 2% is likely to be temporary.
Outlook Conclusion:
Although the USD strengthened on news of the shutdown resolution, EUR/USD could find support due to the ECB's relatively more hawkish stance compared to market expectations regarding the Fed, which tends to support the Euro.
continue to accumulate - trading below 4000✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/10/2025 - 11/14/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) climbs 0.64% during Friday’s North American session, trading near $4,002 after rebounding from a daily low of $3,974. The ongoing US government shutdown and rising risk aversion keep equities under pressure, boosting demand for the safe-haven metal.
Gains in bullion are further supported by growing expectations of a December Fed rate cut. Meanwhile, the University of Michigan’s preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for November dropped to its lowest level since June 2022, reflecting mounting concerns over the shutdown’s potential impact on the US economy.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market continues to be in a wait-and-see mode, accumulating as the US government remains shut down, and economic data from the US is delayed.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4022, $4084
Support: $3961, $3917, $3885
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price under 4000 at the end of the week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) gains fresh buying interest near the $4,000 psychological level during Friday’s Asian session, rebounding from Thursday’s late pullback. Renewed concerns over the prolonged US government shutdown and uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff policies weigh on risk sentiment, fueling safe-haven demand for gold.
Additionally, a private-sector survey on Thursday revealed job losses in October, reinforcing expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts and lending support to the non-yielding metal. However, mild US Dollar (USD) buying could cap gains. Overall, the broader fundamentals continue to favor bullish momentum in XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulation and sideways is the main trend of gold at the moment, continuing to trade below 4000
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4028 - 4030 SL 4035
TP1: $4012
TP2: $4000
TP3: $3985
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3949 - 3947 SL 3942
TP1: $3960
TP2: $3970
TP3: $3990
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
DXY recovers - gold price under selling pressure below 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) slips toward $3,970 during Thursday’s Asian session as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook following stronger-than-expected US economic data. Several Fed officials — including Michael Barr, John Williams, Anna Paulson, Beth Hammack, Christopher Waller, and Alberto Musalem — are set to speak later in the day.
Data from ADP on Wednesday showed US private-sector employment rose by 42,000 in October, rebounding from September’s revised 29,000 decline, suggesting signs of stabilization in the labor market after two months of weakness.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to accumulate below 4000, DXY recovers when efforts are made for the US government to operate. Gold continues to lack current upward momentum.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4087 - 4089 SL 4094
TP1: $4070
TP2: $4050
TP3: $4030
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3948 - 3946 SL 3941
TP1: $3960
TP2: $3970
TP3: $3990
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTC continues to correct below 100k🟠 BTCUSD Technical Plan
Current Price: 101,960
Overview: BTC continues to follow a downtrend structure, with each lower high being rejected from the descending trendline (marked with red arrows). The market recently broke below key Fibonacci support and is now trading around the 1.0 extension level near 100,950.
📉 Short-term Expectation:
Price may retest the broken support zone around 104,700 – 105,800 (Fib 0.5–0.618 + EMA zone).
This area is expected to act as strong resistance where sellers may re-enter the market.
If the rejection is confirmed, BTC could continue dropping toward the 95,200 – 94,700 support zone (1.618 extension).
📈 Alternative Scenario (Bullish Correction): If price breaks above 105,800, a short-term correction could extend toward the trendline resistance near 111,400 before another potential reversal.
Selling pressure below 4000, signs of a breakout⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) rises above $3,950 during Wednesday’s Asian session as persistent US government shutdown concerns and geopolitical tensions fuel safe-haven demand. The stalemate between Democrats and Republicans has stretched into a new month, putting the US on track for its longest-ever shutdown.
However, gains may be capped as traders take profits amid a stronger US Dollar (USD) and waning expectations for additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts this year. A firmer dollar typically makes gold costlier for overseas buyers, limiting its appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price under selling pressure below 4000, downtrend after breaking trendline
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4040 - 4042 SL 4047
TP1: $4030
TP2: $4015
TP3: $4000
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3888 - 3886 SL 3881
TP1: $3900
TP2: $3915
TP3: $3930
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GBPUSD within Bearish StructureHi Traders!
With price failing to swing higher I'm still seeing it's within bearish structure. The 1.35000 area looks like a strong resistance/supply zone. If price fails to break and close above it, that reinforces my bearish bias.
As of now, the current bounce looks corrective- possibly a retracement toward the 1.3500 zone before sellers step in again.
If price rejects near 1.35000 and continues to break below, then the next level I'd be considering would be 1.30000.
In addition, DXY is sitting at a higher low zone on a higher TF. It hasn't broken its longer-term uptrend yet. The price action looks like it's attempting a base/reversal. If it holds within 98.000-98.500 and starts pushing up, that could align with GBPUSD weakness.
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Gold is sideways and waiting for a breakout⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) slips toward $4,000 in early Asian trading on Tuesday as investors scale back expectations for additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. Markets now await comments from Fed Governor Michelle Bowman later in the day.
Last week, the Fed delivered its second rate cut of the year, lowering the benchmark range to 3.75%–4.00%. However, Chair Jerome Powell’s remark that another cut is “not a foregone conclusion” reinforced a hawkish tone, pressuring the non-yielding metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still maintaining the accumulation price range, not clearly determining a certain trend. Waiting for a breakout.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4089 - 4091 SL 4096
TP1: $4076
TP2: $4050
TP3: $4030
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3922 - 3920 SL 3915
TP1: $3940
TP2: $3950
TP3: $3965
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account






















