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XAU/USD – FED dovish, gold extends momentum; SELL only for scalp⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD 1. Market Waves 🌍 The probability of a FED rate cut in September has surged to 96.6% (from 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects. Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, turned dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance, with a scenario of just one cut. As a result, flows rushed back into gold as the #1 safe haven , fueling a strong rally last night. 📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time): ADP Nonfarm (7:15) Jobless Claims (7:30) ISM Services PMI (9:00) 👉 This trio of data could trigger significant volatility for GOLD. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ M30/H1 Chart: gold keeps forming bullish BOS , with the main trend still upward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): old Order Block, strong support if price retraces. Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): suitable only for short-term scalps. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): aligned with fibo 0.618–0.786 resistance, high chance of strong supply. Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority) Entry: 3,477 – 3,479 SL: 3,470 TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx 🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – short-term only) Entry: 3,561 – 3,563 SL: 3,569 TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – strong resistance) Entry: 3,573 – 3,575 SL: 3,581 TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ “The gold sail is filled with dovish winds from the FED. Golden Harbor 🏝️ 3477 remains the safe anchor to ride the trend. SELL setups are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊 , not long voyages.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XRPUSD - How Ripple is preparing for a potential big moveThe white Fork marks the most probable path of price. There is currently no indication, that Ripple really want's to take off to the upside, but: We have some potential points that could give us a clue: 1. Price seems to stabilize at the L-MLH. 2. There's a clear pressing going on (red line), which mostly will vanish when price pops above. 3. The L-MLH and the yellow CIB are pullback levels where price pauses If we trade below the Support Zone, the idea is thrown in the bin. Let's hold the water and see what happens .
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
Holding bullish trend, waiting for PMI to spark the next wave ⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD 1. Market Wave 🌍 The USD continues to weaken as investors increasingly believe the FED will cut rates in the coming months. As the greenback loses appeal, big money is shifting away from cash into safe-haven assets → Gold emerges as the top choice . 👉 This supports a sustained bullish trend . If USD selling pressure continues, the market could witness new breakouts toward the year-end. 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ On H2, Gold just made a Higher High after BOS , confirming buyers still hold the upper hand. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,450 – 3,452): Overlaps with old FVG, high liquidity area. Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB ~3,470): Intermediate support, good spot for quick pullback entries. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,538 – 3,540): Fib 0.618–0.786 resistance, profit-taking supply expected on retest. 👉 Intraday bias: Wait for pullback to Buy. Short-term Sell only if Gold tests Storm Breaker. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3,450 – 3,452 Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB Support): 3,470 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone): 3,538 – 3,540 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority) Entry: 3,450 – 3,452 SL: 3,444 TP: 3,455 → 3,458 → 3,462 → 3,465 → 34xx 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction) Entry: 3,538 – 3,540 SL: 3,548 TP: 3,535 → 3,532 → 3,529 → 35xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "The golden sail still rides the bullish wind, but Storm Breaker 🌊 above may stir counterwaves. Be patient at Golden Harbor 🏝️ for the right entry, and keep eyes on PMI at 21:00 – the catalyst for the next wave."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
2
HG - Copper Setting Up For A Long Opprtunity At Extreme📊 Fundamentals first: - Short-term: The copper market is turbulent—marked by sharp price spikes, crashes, and global shifts in stock levels. - Medium-term: Despite forecasted surpluses from ICSG, technology innovations and steady demand (especially from China and green sectors) may underpin prices. - U.S. risk factor: The tariffs remain a major wildcard, likely restructuring trade flows, increasing domestic input costs, and distorting global price differentials. 📈 Now the Chart: P5/0 at the U-MLH marked the end, and price dropped into the void. Now, at the L-MLH we see support has built up. The momentum we see now will probably lead in a pullback before the potential massive run-up to the Centerline. 💡 If the trading God gives me a pullback, I am willingly risk my 0.5% in this trade to make at least 4x more. 🦊 Happy new week to all §8-)
COMEX:HG1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
NQ - Nasdaq Short Playbook for the next weeksIn the NQ, they took out the high and then hit it on the head day by day. It finally stopped below the 1/4 line. If you look closely, you see that this was the slanted zone of Support — just like the slanted Resistance. "As above, so below." ...write me in the comments who said this already a couple hundred years ago §8-) The small Modified Schiff Fork tells a story too. Price reached the Center Line and got rejected. Now it's on its way down towards the small Fork's L-MLH. A break of it would indicate further selling ahead. And the last bastion is the green support level, which stems from the second-to-last prior confirmed Swing Low. Beyond this level, it's only a question of time before price hits the Center Line. And — God forbid — below the Center Line, the Sh...t hits the fan. So you better run... behind price with a decent short trade and ride it down to the Abyss. No worries, I'm with you §8-) Happy Monday, folks!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
SPY washed away the Stops, and now rinse supportAt the U-MLH the air is very, very thin now. SPY is experience this and it looks like this market shows it's hand. It's the second time where the breakout failed. A classical Double-Top. Today SPY will open back into the Fork, which is a very bad sign for climbing markets. And if SPY can't close outside the Fork today, it would be a clear short to me. So, after the Wash of the Stops at the Top, what follows is the "Rinse" of the support level and then way down to the PTG1, the 1/4 line, and further to the PTG2 at the Center-Line.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
WMT ran into a buyers zone. A nice Long opportunityOn the daily time-frame we see WMT running into the old buyers zone and stopping dead, instead of breaking through it. It's exactly where the 1/4 line is. So, if price can't get to the L-MLH, we have a "potential" Hagopian at hand. And that tells us, price will go more in the opposite direction than from where price came - which was the Center-Line. Additionally, Friday closed higher than the high day a day prior. This is also proper momentum long signal, and because we have a decent Risk-Reward. A couple facts coming together, which is a clear must take signal to me. Happy Monday folks - another day in paradise §8-)
NYSE:WMTLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
NZDJPY to find sellers at current market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Our short term bias remains negative. The lack of interest is a concern for bulls. Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 50 4hour EMA is at 86.59. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. We look to Sell at 86.48 (stop at 86.88) Our profit targets will be 85.28 and 85.08 Resistance: 86.65 / 87.00 / 87.50 Support: 86.00 / 85.55 / 85.00 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NVDA - Watch the show, until the Sh** hits the FanThe expected “end of hype” around Nvidia stems from its current inability to forecast H20 chip sales to China, forced production halts, and growing political friction—despite its strong financial performance elsewhere. The tension between U.S. export policy and China’s technological self-reliance is creating real operational and strategic obstacles for Nvidia. In this weekly chart we still have an upward projection. Nonetheless do we all know what a Game NVDA is playing by selling to its one companies. The air is thin, very thin up there. And after the Earnings Report we all know how the books are pimped. A breach of the CIB line would make me go "hmmm....", and starting to look for a short. Until then, just relax and watch the show.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Tr8dingN3rd
EURAUD to see a turnaround?EURAUD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 1.7900 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 1.7950. We look to Buy at 1.7850 (stop at 1.7815) Our profit targets will be 1.7925 and 1.7950 Resistance: 1.7900 / 1.7925 / 1.7950 Support: 1.7875 / 1.7850 / 1.7825 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Crude Oil Short After Finding A Recurring BehaviorAfter I cleared the CL chart, I immediately saw a behavior that we can use for a setup right now. You see that the highs got cracked, and then immediately price turns to the south. And since we are in a downtrend on Crude, we have a legit Short-Trade at hand. With the modified Shiff-Fork you see how nice CL is reacting at the U-MLH, where it get's rejected. This level also coincides with the crack level. I personally would love a pullback up to the crack-zone before shorting it. Maybe the trading Gods give us a gift on this Wednesday. Talking about Wednesday: today we get the Crude Oil EIA numbers, which will probably move the markets. However you plan is if you trade it, don't have FOMO. There are many more trades to come in your trading career. Have a happy hump day §8-)
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
GBPNZD to continue in the upward move?GBPNZD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 2.3000 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 2.3075. We look to Buy at 2.2950 (stop at 2.2900) Our profit targets will be 2.3100 and 2.3125 Resistance: 2.3000 / 2.3050 / 2.3075 Support: 2.2975 / 2.2950 / 2.2925 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Nasdaq - Intraday Setup & Potential TradePrice was not abel to trade out of the white forks U-MLH and got constantly rejected. It cracked the little support and fell down, but missed the white Centerline, creating a HAGOPIAN. Then price traded outside of the white fork, following a textbook test/retest at the white U-MLH and found support. The yellow fork points upwards, showing us the most probable path of price. Going long near the white U-MLH gives us several potential targets: 1. the orange Centerline 2 the yellow Centerline 3. the HAGOPIAN target line. 4. the orange U-MLH Stops would be below the last red bars low, because this, as of the time of writing, is the best structural level to hide behind. I'm off to the mountains, have a happy trading day!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 0.5850 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5800. We look to Sell at 0.5880 (stop at 0.5910) Our profit targets will be 0.5805 and 0.5800 Resistance: 0.5880 / 0.5900 / 0.5910 Support: 0.5850 / 0.5825 / 0.5800 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
WMT - Walmart turns southI attached the A-Handle of the fork to the GAP from November 2025, because a GAP is also a Pivot. As we see, price reacts not bad at the Centerline. Price failed to make a new high. Then it broke the Centerline and retested it. No we are trading in the midst of the old accummulation zone where Buyers hung out. A nice bounce would be a good short opportunity. Breaking the support zone also, but with lower Risk/Reward ratio. Observing WMT for a potential short.
NYSE:WMTShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
WTI Crude Oil · M15 · 24-Aug — “Buy the Dip into EMA/Donchian”🟢 Bias: Intraday long after spike, buy the dip into Donchian + EMA support. Entry: $62.90 – $63.20 Stop-Loss: $61.95 Targets: TP1 $63.80 · TP2 $64.70 · TP3 $66.00 RRR (from $63.10): Risk $1.15 → TP3 +$2.90 = ~1:2.5 ✅ Why this works: Confluence: Donchian support ($62.91) + 200 EMA M15 ≈ $62.38 (white). Structure: Higher highs/lows since Aug-20; volume expands on pushes, compresses on pullbacks. HTF context: H4 pressing toward 200 EMA ≈ $64.7–$65.0 (key pivot). Execution: Look for a bullish rejection/engulfing inside the box + 8/21 EMA hold (orange/blue) above the 200 EMA (white). Risk: ≤ 1%. Move SL→BE after TP1. Trade Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High if retest holds and 8/21 maintain bullish structure) 🔒 Want more? The Prime version below adds: alternate short plan at $64.7–$65.0, management ladder, HL tight-stop variant (~4R), and a full execution checklist. Follow on Skool, link in profile! ⚠️ Trading involves risk. Manage exposure and trade responsibly. 💬 Thoughts on this setup?
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by JudasSwingClub
Lemonade Inc.: Breakout in Motion — Cup, Flag, and No BrakesLemonade Inc. (LMND) is accelerating after a clean breakout from a textbook cup with handle pattern, where the handle formed as a tight bullish flag. The breakout occurred around $32, and since then, price action has been sharp, controlled, and uncorrected — currently trading at $42.42 with buyers clearly in charge. On the fundamental side, LMND is moving through a recovery phase: operational losses are narrowing, revenue is stabilizing, and the company is aggressively leveraging AI to automate its insurance processes. Expansion into Europe continues, and institutional interest is visibly rising — confirmed by volume building alongside price. Within the insuretech sector, LMND is starting to look like a comeback story rather than a cautionary tale. Technically, the setup remains strong: – Golden Cross confirmed (EMA50 crossing EMA200) – EMA50/100/200 all below price — bullish structure firmly intact – Volume expanding on up-days — healthy confirmation – RSI hovering in the 60–65 range — momentum is intact, no signs of exhaustion Targets remain aligned with the structure: – tp1 = $64 — measured move from the flag – tp2 = $94 — full realization of the cup pattern Tactically, this is no longer a “wait and see” setup — the move is in progress. No correction so far, only continuation. Momentum traders may consider entries into strength. Above $45, the move could accelerate further as more participants recognize the structure. LMND is showing technical and fundamental alignment — confirmed breakout, improving narrative, and strong trend structure. While the impulse holds, this chart favors continuation, not hesitation.
NYSE:LMNDLong
by TotoshkaTrades