MSCI -Trading Within A Rolling ChopI love it how the Forks catch the most important angle for the underlyings.
Within the fork we can clearly see, that the L-MLH and the Centerline catch the High & Low of the rolling Chop, which is tilted to the upside.
Until the L-MLH is broken, there is no Short in sight, and we just can buy the Low and sell the High, with stops below structure or below the L-MLH.
Sometimes trading is simple - but it's seldom easy §8-)
Setup
WMT - Walmart turns southI attached the A-Handle of the fork to the GAP from November 2025, because a GAP is also a Pivot.
As we see, price reacts not bad at the Centerline.
Price failed to make a new high.
Then it broke the Centerline and retested it.
No we are trading in the midst of the old accummulation zone where Buyers hung out.
A nice bounce would be a good short opportunity.
Breaking the support zone also, but with lower Risk/Reward ratio.
Observing WMT for a potential short.
WTI Crude Oil · M15 · 24-Aug — “Buy the Dip into EMA/Donchian”🟢 Bias: Intraday long after spike, buy the dip into Donchian + EMA support.
Entry: $62.90 – $63.20
Stop-Loss: $61.95
Targets: TP1 $63.80 · TP2 $64.70 · TP3 $66.00
RRR (from $63.10): Risk $1.15 → TP3 +$2.90 = ~1:2.5 ✅
Why this works:
Confluence: Donchian support ($62.91) + 200 EMA M15 ≈ $62.38 (white).
Structure: Higher highs/lows since Aug-20; volume expands on pushes, compresses on pullbacks.
HTF context: H4 pressing toward 200 EMA ≈ $64.7–$65.0 (key pivot).
Execution: Look for a bullish rejection/engulfing inside the box + 8/21 EMA hold (orange/blue) above the 200 EMA (white).
Risk: ≤ 1%. Move SL→BE after TP1.
Trade Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High if retest holds and 8/21 maintain bullish structure)
🔒 Want more? The Prime version below adds: alternate short plan at $64.7–$65.0, management ladder, HL tight-stop variant (~4R), and a full execution checklist. Follow on Skool, link in profile!
⚠️ Trading involves risk. Manage exposure and trade responsibly.
💬 Thoughts on this setup?
Lemonade Inc.: Breakout in Motion — Cup, Flag, and No BrakesLemonade Inc. (LMND) is accelerating after a clean breakout from a textbook cup with handle pattern, where the handle formed as a tight bullish flag. The breakout occurred around $32, and since then, price action has been sharp, controlled, and uncorrected — currently trading at $42.42 with buyers clearly in charge.
On the fundamental side, LMND is moving through a recovery phase: operational losses are narrowing, revenue is stabilizing, and the company is aggressively leveraging AI to automate its insurance processes. Expansion into Europe continues, and institutional interest is visibly rising — confirmed by volume building alongside price. Within the insuretech sector, LMND is starting to look like a comeback story rather than a cautionary tale.
Technically, the setup remains strong:
– Golden Cross confirmed (EMA50 crossing EMA200)
– EMA50/100/200 all below price — bullish structure firmly intact
– Volume expanding on up-days — healthy confirmation
– RSI hovering in the 60–65 range — momentum is intact, no signs of exhaustion
Targets remain aligned with the structure:
– tp1 = $64 — measured move from the flag
– tp2 = $94 — full realization of the cup pattern
Tactically, this is no longer a “wait and see” setup — the move is in progress. No correction so far, only continuation. Momentum traders may consider entries into strength. Above $45, the move could accelerate further as more participants recognize the structure.
LMND is showing technical and fundamental alignment — confirmed breakout, improving narrative, and strong trend structure. While the impulse holds, this chart favors continuation, not hesitation.
+12% potential trade in KRN KRN is showing strong signs of institutional participation with sustained money inflows and a clear Point of Control (POC) shift. After weeks of volume dry-up near the base, we now see a sharp expansion in relative volume (RVol > 6x), confirming demand absorption.
The stock is also respecting my 50 SMA baseline strategy, consolidating above the moving average and building higher lows. The supply zone around ₹933 is being tested, and a clean breakout with heavy volume can open the path toward the ₹1,010+ zone.
Why Long
Institutional money inflow visible in OBV/volume structure
PPV showing accumulation and higher control zone
Extended period of volume contraction → classic re-accumulation setup
Price reclaiming and holding above 50SMA baseline
Breakout from supply with strong relative volume (RVol 600%+)
FORM/USDT Analysis. Two Interesting Trade Opportunities
This asset has broken its overall uptrend, and in the long term the potential remains directed towards $3–$2.7. However, during the current decline, we observe a strong divergence with cumulative delta: the price is falling while delta is rising, which indicates a possible strong limit buy.
Locally, we consider a long entry on a test of the $3.55–$3.5 zone if a reaction occurs. After that, if the price reaches the $3.85–$4 zone, we will consider a short position.
This publication is not financial advice.
NZDUSD to see a temporary move higher<NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.5800 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5860.
We look to Sell at 0.5850 (stop at 0.5880)
Our profit targets will be 0.5775 and 0.5760
Resistance: 0.5850 / 0.5860 / 0.5875
Support: 0.5800 / 0.5775 / 0.5760
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
SKL/USDT Analysis. Interesting Long Opportunity
We have previously provided analysis on this token, along with an update in the comments (the post is pinned).
At the moment, the price has entered an important buy zone, where a market buyer has appeared, and a graphical trend break has occurred.
We consider joining long positions on a retest of the local zone at $0.0315–$0.03. The initial target is $0.04.
This publication is not financial advice.
GOLD 4H - all eyes on 3350, death cross at workThe technical picture on gold strengthens the bearish case: on the 4H chart, a death cross (MA50 crossing MA200 downward) has formed, signaling short-term pressure from sellers. The key sell zone is 3350, where the 0.618 Fibonacci, descending trendline, and volume cluster converge. From here, a downward move is expected with first targets at 3311, then 3285, and extended potential towards 3270 (127.2–161.8 Fibo). Volume confirms declining buyer interest near local highs, while RSI shows reversal divergence, adding weight to the bearish scenario.
Fundamentally , gold is under pressure as the market factors in the possibility of more aggressive Fed actions if inflation risks persist. At the same time, safe-haven demand is weakening due to DXY stabilization. Geopolitics is not providing immediate triggers for gold hedging, which also cools investor interest.
Tactical plan: if 3350 acts as resistance, it opens an attractive short opportunity toward the mentioned targets. However, if price breaks and consolidates above 3350, the scenario must be reassessed as stop-hunting will begin.
Ironically, gold - the eternal store of value - acts like a teenager again: offended at 3350 and ready for a tantrum downwards.
GBPAUD intraday dips continue to attract buyers.GBPAUD - 24h expiry
Price action is forming a bullish flag which has a bias to break to the upside.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 2.0862.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We look to Buy at 2.0871 (stop at 2.0811)
Our profit targets will be 2.1051 and 2.1091
Resistance: 2.1006 / 2.1050 / 2.1100
Support: 2.0880 / 2.0820 / 2.0783
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
MSTR Ponzi is paying for my yearly steak & lobster subscriptionWe can see that from the white Centerline, MSTR has only been heading south. In contrast, Bitcoin has held up quite a bit better so far.
If you go back through my posts, you’ll see that I’ve been warning for a long time that MSTR is basically feeding itself. That simply can’t end well!
Either way – we gratefully take our profit and wait until we reach the lower centerline. Because we know there’s about an 80% chance that the price will fall back into temporary equilibrium, the Centerline
And if you’re not too greedy, well then you take 70%–80% of the profits now and let the rest run.
Anyone who was able to learn something from this trade or even make profits is welcome to boost and comment. §8-)
YT video will be available tomorrow.
...and on we go.
EURAUD to find support at market price?EURAUD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.7975 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.8050.
We look to Buy at 1.7950 (stop at 1.7915)
Our profit targets will be 1.8025 and 1.8050
Resistance: 1.7975 / 1.8000 / 1.8025
Support: 1.7950 / 1.7925 / 1.7915
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
SKL/USDT Analysis — Key Decision Zones
This coin has been among the top gainers over the last three days.
Currently, it is in a correction phase and is approaching the local buy zone at $0.0414–$0.039. Given the weak price action, it is likely that we’ll see a reaction from this zone.
Above the current price, there is also a very important zone at $0.047–$0.0515, with significant volume-based profit-taking already positioned for short bias. Upon a test of this zone and a confirmed reaction, a short position could be considered.
This publication is not financial advice.
EURAUD to find buyers at market price?EURAUD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.7950 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.8000.
We look to Buy at 1.7920 (stop at 1.7885)
Our profit targets will be 1.7995 and 1.8000
Resistance: 1.7950 / 1.7975 / 1.8000
Support: 1.7920 / 1.7900 / 1.7885
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
ASX200 continues to trade around the all time highs.ASX200 - 24h expiry
Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 8910.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The lack of interest is a concern for bears.
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
20 4hour EMA is at 8848.
We look to Buy at 8851 (stop at 8807)
Our profit targets will be 8981 and 9001
Resistance: 8910 / 8950 / 9000
Support: 8865 / 8830 / 8788
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPAUD to find buyers at current market price?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
We look to buy dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 2.0633.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
We look to Buy at 2.0651 (stop at 2.0591)
Our profit targets will be 2.0831 and 2.0861
Resistance: 2.0760 / 2.0800 / 2.0850
Support: 2.0669 / 2.0590 / 2.0550
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GHST/USDT Analysis — High Probability of Correction
On the hourly chart, we can see a clear break in trend to the downside. At the moment, the price has reached a key volume zone at $0.51–$0.53, showing volume divergence. We are considering a short position with potential to retest and break the local low at $0.45.
This publication is not financial advice.
NZDJPY to find buyers at previous support?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Previous support located at 87.60.
87.44 has been pivotal.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
The overnight dip has been bought into and there is scope for further bullish pressure going into this morning.
Prices have reacted from 86.67.
We look to Buy at 87.57 (stop at 87.17)
Our profit targets will be 88.75 and 88.95
Resistance: 87.90 / 88.13 / 88.50
Support: 87.55 / 87.25 / 87.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GSL - Global Shipping Lease With Exceptional SignalsGlobal Ship Lease (GSL) stands out as a financially solid, deeply undervalued shipping play with improving earnings and favorable macro tailwinds.
If the stock breaks out above the Cup-& Handle pattern, it could be an attractive long opportunity.
For value-focused traders, the combination of low multiples, strong fundamentals, and technical setups makes GSL hard to ignore.
Global Ship Lease has nearly fully chartered its fleet—96% for 2025 and 80% for 2026—giving it strong cash flow visibility amid market turbulence.
On to the technical side:
From 2022 until now, the stock has traded within a large range of 14.62 – 29.90 and is now facing, for the third time, a breakout from the currently formed cup & handle pattern.
In anticipation of today’s breakout on news, I take this as my starting gun to begin building a position. I will be monitoring the stock closely intraday and trading accordingly.
Within the fork, we can see the price hitting the 1/4 line and getting slightly sold off. Ideally, we’d see a pullback to the CL or below. In the longer term, provided the fundamentals support the price, I would build larger positions at the LPL (Last Pivot Low).
The target for this stock is at least the U-MLH as PTG1 = 50% target at $36, and next the WL1 (PTG2) as the 100% target at around $48.
It goes without saying that this trade is not a quickie.
Good luck, and thanks for a like!
Reddit - Impressive But I Stalk A ShortReddit is currently delivering excellent figures – revenue and user base are booming, profits have returned, and AI partnerships are creating strong conditions for growth. However, the current share price reflects this upward momentum with (over-)enthusiasm. Exciting for speculative investors, but those focused on value should wait for a pullback.
And that’s exactly the hook for why I’m lying in wait for a short trade.
Let’s take a look at the technical side – the chart analysis:
We can see that several CIB lines (Change in Behavior) have been broken.
And bam! – the market hits our 80%-probability profit target.
We know what that means: the market is in equilibrium.
And when the market acts like a couch potato, we also know it can’t stay that way for long.
So, what are the options?
Up or down.
Up?
Could happen – human greed is boundless and goes further than the moon, as we’re currently seeing.
Down?
If we take the fundamental analysis into account, and our common sense also tells us that Reddit is overheated, then this short idea is definitely worth investigating.
I see two possibilities:
1. Speculative short:
Here I would go with options, since shorts are always trickier than longs. You simply have more time to be right.
2. Wait for a trigger signal:
If we see the market leave the couch (the CL), we look at the bars and find a good entry with a sensible risk/reward, targeting:
a) the 1/4 line
b) the L-MLH
Happy hunting!