NZDJPY Is Forming A Bullish SetupNew Zealand dollar turned up against the Japanese Yen since April, when we saw a strong rebound from 80.40 support, a key level going back to March 2023. The recovery is quite strong, and it looks like a leading diagonal pattern into wave A; so it's a motive wave structure that already pushed above the 87.34 resistance, which is a strong bullish signal, suggesting more upside ahead. So if we are correct, then current retracement is a contra-trend move; possibly wave B that has a nice support at 85-84 area, which is not that far away, so we may get a new bounce in a few weeks; ideally an impulse, out of a current downward channel.
Setup
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.5770 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5725.
We look to Sell at 0.5800 (stop at 0.5825)
Our profit targets will be 0.5750 and 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5800 / 0.5825 / 0.5850
Support: 0.5760 / 0.5750 / 0.5725
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Zinc - Exponential Move To Profit Along With Copper🔱 I posted about copper and zinc on Sep 17. 🔱
Both are closely correlated, and now zinc is moving exponentially.
The target is at the centerline of course with around an 80% probability.
👉 If you think that these forks are doing a good job, then throw me booster please and check out my links. §8-)
NVIDIA – Enormous Pressure After Reaching the Stretch LevelBetween July 31 and August 13, price kept nagging at the white U-MLH,
but there wasn’t enough strength to break through.
From there, price began to drift lower, pressing against the red U-MLH.
The close last Friday failed to break below the red U-MLH –
a clear sign of weakness!
If the green mini-trendline gives way and the white ¼-Line moves above price as well,
NVDA could be ripe for a short setup.
Let’s stalk the trade.
EUR/USD: A Decision Level for SurePrice managed to reach the white centerline again (80% rule!) after forming a Hagopian in early 2025.
Now it’s sandwiched between the orange U-MLH and the white centerline.
Wherever it breaks out will determine the direction we should trade.
If it breaks upwards, the next targets are the ¼-line and then the U-MLH.
If it breaks below the white centerline, I’ll wait for a test/retest and then jump on the train south toward the white L-MLH.
Patience is key!
SPX - That's all folks?The world has gone nuts, but markets didn't even blink.
Now the SPX has reached it's U-MLH, which means, it's at a real extreme.
This is a level where price starts to stall, then turn.
Often we see "a last attempt" to break through, and it really could happen. But then, gravity again takes it's toll and the rocket starts to turn south.
Here are the scenarios I see:
1. Immediate turn at the U-MLH. Target is the Centerline.
2. A break of the U-MLH, then back into the fork and a fall down to the Centerline.
3. Break the U-MLH, continuation to the WL1.
The most unlikely would be 3.
In my view, Party People should have left allready, but they refused to.
And that's why this time headaches will be the least problem they face.
Wating for a short signal, to load up heavy.
XAUUSD Has Left the buildingOn the way up, we first found support at the L-MLH (1).
Then the Centerline stepped in as resistance (2), but it eventually couldn’t hold price down.
Eating through the Centerline like a mouse through cheese, price found support again at (2) before blasting upward to the U-MLH — and quickly through it.
Once again, the U-MLH turned from prior resistance into fresh support.
From there, price mirrored (2), moving sideways before blasting off to the moon! 🚀
I’m surprised that WL1 offered no resistance at all.
Now that we’ve left WL1 behind, WL2 is the next target.
Watching the show patiently.
BTCUSD – Last Chance to Go HigherOver the weekend, price found support just outside the white L-MLH. That’s where I previously mentioned the red Centerline — the target for the earlier short trade.
Now, however, price has jumped back into the fork. Tthis could be the last chance to break out of the down-sloping yellow fork to the upside.
P3 would be my next level to watch for support after the break of the red Centerline.
GBP/JPY - Trade Setup⚡ GBP/JPY 1H Breakdown – Samurai Short Setup ⚡
The beast is showing its hand again – let’s cook this setup 🍣👇
🕐 1H Structure
Price tapped into that 4H supply zone sitting just above the 71% fib pocket. We had a clean shift in market structure (SHIFTTT 🛑), and now price is chilling below that level – classic distribution vibes.
📍 Key Levels
Entry : 200.06 (short trigger after the retest)
Stop : 200.47 (above the BSL / invalidation zone)
Target : 198.00 (next demand / liquidity resting below)
R:R ratio = ~5R – heavy sniper play 🎯
🧠 Technical Breakdown
BSL taken: Buy-side liquidity above the swing high got swiped, perfect trap for the bears.
Structure shift: Market flipped bearish after rejection, confirming supply in control.
Confluence: 4H supply + 71% fib + liquidity grab = textbook high-probability short.
🎯 Play Idea
Looking to ride shorts down into the demand zone around 198.00. If stop gets clipped, that means bulls ain’t done hunting yet, but structure says bears got the edge.
✅ Summary
GBP/JPY lining up a short wave – clean liquidity sweep, structure shift, and high R:R. Samurai precision needed here 🗡.
USDCHF - The LONG Shift At Extreme & Confluence Points North🔱 Could this is the turn for USDCHF? 🔱
🏦 Some condensed economic fundamental points first 🏦
📈 Rate Differential: Fed ≈ 5.25-5.50 % vs SNB 0 % → strong yield advantage for USD. Growth Gap: U.S. GDP resilient; Swiss economy soft from tariffs and weak demand → CHF under pressure.
💰 Carry & Flows: Higher U.S. yields attract capital into USD assets.
⚠️ Risk Sentiment: If markets stay risk-on, CHF’s safe-haven bid fades. Sudden risk-off shocks, faster Fed cuts, or unexpected SNB tightening.
🌍 Bias: USD supported by yield spread and stronger growth unless risk-off returns.
🔱 What The Chart Is Telling Us 🔱
he white pitchfork seems to be catching price rather loosely around the centerline — and only now do we see why. It’s likely due to a shift in play.
See the orange parallel? It’s shifted upward if we use the overshoot above the centerline as the reference for the parallel lines.
The red, downward-sloping pitchfork gives us a strong confluence point where price stops falling. It’s also sitting at the L-MLH, the extreme relative to the red fork.
HAGOPIAN?
Yes! If we start to trade away from the red centerline, then I also expect a Hagopian is cooking and we go up farther than from where we came!
I’ll be watching it on lower timeframes, looking to catch the bus north. If this setup plays out, it could be a significant move, so the stop-loss needs to be well-placed.
Just follow me and maybe we can travel together 🚌💨
Nasdaq Pre-Market Long CIB Trade🔱 Here comes the CIB Trade 🔱
Price came down in 5 waves.
The CIB line gives us a heads-up if price breaks through it, and it did!
Now everyone and it's Grandma is long on the breakout.
"...let's scare them out, let's hit their Stop!"
Then we take off upon a test of the CIB-Line, which in essence is the same as a test fo a U-MLH or L-MLH after a break.
We have a nice target with a chance to hit of about 80% at the Centerline, and a fantastic tiny stop below the test at the CIB line.
Let's watch how this unfolds.
EURAUD to find buyers at current support?EURAUD - 24H expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.7859 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.7975.
We look to Buy at 1.7800 (stop at 1.7725)
Our profit targets will be 1.7950 and 1.7975
Resistance: 1.7850 / 1.7900 / 1.7950
Support: 1.7825 / 1.7800 / 1.7750
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USD/JPY - 4H forecast (sell side Imbalance to fill)🔥 USD/JPY – 4H Forecast 💵💴
Dollar-Yen just pulled a slick liquidity grab and is loading for another leg higher. Let’s map it out 👇
🕰 Market Context
Price cleaned up the 8H demand and launched with a monster impulse 🚀.
Structure flipped bullish with a strong Break of Structure (BOS).
We’re consolidating right under buy-side liquidity (BSL), teasing the breakout.
📈 Bullish Flow
4H Imbalance (IMB) has been filled → confirms buyers are still strong.
71% retrace + strong support zone aligning at 147.8–148.0 → golden buy zone 🎯.
Swing range shows room for expansion into new highs above 149.5–150.0.
⚡ Key Levels
Support / Buy Zone:
148.0 → ideal retrace entry
147.5 (deep discount if we sweep liquidity)
Resistance / Targets:
149.2–149.5 (first stop)
150.0+ (big figure liquidity magnet)
🎯 Forecast Path
Expect a dip into 148.0 zone for liquidity grab 🔄.
From there → bullish continuation into 149.5–150.0 🚀.
If 147.5 cracks → deeper retrace into 146.8 swing low support.
📝 Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish (structure flip + demand respected).
Plan : Longs on 148.0 retest.
Targets : 149.5 → 150.0.
Invalidation : 4H close below 146.8 kills the long bias.
📌 Summary : USD/JPY just reloaded off demand and is primed for a push into 150. Dips into 148.0 are gifts for buyers, unless 146.8 breaks.
AU200 to breakdown?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
8727 has been pivotal.
We look for losses to be extended today.
Short term momentum is bearish.
A break of the recent low at 8727 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 8719 (stop at 8759)
Our profit targets will be 8601 and 8571
Resistance: 8800 / 8850 / 8890
Support: 8726 / 8700 / 8650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
ETHFI/USDT Analysis – Long Setup
On ETHFI we have a trend break. Below the current price we have several support zones, and we expect buying activity to resume upon testing these levels, targeting a move back to $1.70.
Buy Zones:
• ~$1.555 (initiative volume)
• $1.50–$1.46 (volume zone)
• $1.42–$1.37 (volume zone)
We are waiting for a test of these zones and will consider long positions if a strong reaction occurs.
⚠️ This publication is not financial advice.
SIGNAL 1 - SET UP TRADE I SEP/24/2025SET UP TRADE 24/09/2025
🕯BUY GOLD: 3763– 3765
⚠️SL: 3760
✔️TP: 3770→ 3774→ 3778
The information and figures in this chart are provided for informational purposes only. We do not guarantee absolute accuracy and shall not be held legally liable for any damages arising from the use of this chart.
NZDJPY to continue in the downward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
5 negative daily performances in succession.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
50 1hour EMA is at 86.68.
We look to Sell at 86.67 (stop at 87.01)
Our profit targets will be 85.67 and 85.47
Resistance: 86.74 / 86.97 / 87.22
Support: 86.38 / 85.99 / 85.56
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD to find buyers at previous swing low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
The selloff is close to an exhaustion count on the intraday chart.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5875 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5900.
We look to Buy at 0.5840 (stop at 0.5820)
Our profit targets will be 0.5895 and 0.5900
Resistance: 0.5875 / 0.5895 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5850 / 0.5840 / 0.5825
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Adobe (ADBE) — Daily — Double BottomSetup
Pattern: Double bottom on the daily chart with two clear lows and a visible neckline.
Timeframe: Daily
Measuring rule (target)
Measure the vertical distance from the bottoms to the neckline and add it to the breakout point. Using this method the measured target equals +$24.38 per share from the breakout.
Entry & trigger
- Enter long on a confirmed close above the neckline (daily close above neckline).
- If you prefer an earlier entry, a volume-backed intraday break above the neckline can be used, but prefer a daily close for confirmation.
Stop loss
- Place stop loss just below the recent low (the second bottom). Use a few cents/pips buffer below that low to avoid noise.
Position sizing & risk
- Risk per share = entry price − stop loss price.
- With the stop placed just below the recent low, risk per share is small and gives a risk/reward ratio ≈ 1.02 .
Given the measured target of +$24.38, ensure your entry and stop sizing produce the stated R:R — example calculations below.
Notes & trade management
- Prefer a daily close above the neckline with increased volume for higher probability.
- If price returns to retest the neckline, consider adding only if support holds and risk remains acceptable.
- Trail stop to breakeven after a significant portion of the measured move is achieved (for example, after +50% of the $24.38 move).
XHB - Housing Is In Real Trouble - My Short explained🏠 Some Facts & Fundamentals first 🏠
The Fed has made its first rate cut in 2025, and more are expected if inflation remains under control. That could put downward pressure on long-term mortgage rates, which may give the market a little boost.
Builders (like Lennar) are 🏚️ facing profit pressure 🏚️ due to affordability and are offering incentives (rate buydowns, other discounts) to spur demand.
📈 Now to the technicals 📉
Price went up to the Centerline. The 80% rule played out like textbook.
Then it closed above the Centerline, and failed to move further up to the U-MLH, which is a loud 🚨 warning sign 🚨.
And finally, we have a confirmed "Hagopian", when we close below the Centerline this Week.
To me it's all perfect in line - I mean, the TA & Fundamentals.
My plan is, to play XHB short with LEAP Options (182 Days) and take profit on the way down, which is at the Centerline, 1/4 Line and the L-MLH.
Of cours I would bail out or hedge, if price open & close again above the Centerline on the weekly time frame Chart.
⚠️ Stay updated ⚠️
I will start something new in one or two weeks, so you better don't miss it and follow! §8-)
❤️ THANK YOU ALL ❤️
...for the Boosts and Follow from this week. Your feedback is what makes it worth to post!
I wish you all a relaxing and happy weekend §8-)
KMNO/USDT Analysis. Short Setup
After a prolonged rally on this asset, we are observing strong buy absorption. A significant volume zone has formed above the current price at $0,094–$0,102 — if price retests this zone and shows a bearish reaction, we consider opening a short position with a first target at $0,077.
This publication is not financial advice.
EUR/USD Trading Plans EUR/USD Trade Plan
1. Bearish Setup (higher probability right now)
Entry: If price closes below 1.16945 on the daily chart.
Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.1765 (recent resistance).
Take Profit (TP):
TP1 → 1.1500 (psychological level & prior demand)
TP2 → 1.1135 (major demand zone marked on your chart).
📉 Risk/Reward: Good (approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on TP).
---
2. Bullish Setup (if support holds)
Entry: If price rejects 1.16945 with a bullish engulfing or strong pin bar.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.1640 (under support wick).
Take Profit (TP):
TP1 → 1.1867 (immediate resistance)
TP2 → 1.2191 (major resistance / supply).
📈 Risk/Reward: Decent (1:2 if aiming for 1.2191).
3. Neutral Zone (wait mode)
If price is stuck between 1.16945 – 1.1765, better to wait. That’s a “decision zone” → market could flip either way.
✅ Summary
Bias: Short-term bearish after rejection at 1.2191.
Main level to watch: 1.16945 (support).
Best plan:
Sell below 1.16945 → aim for 1.1500 → 1.1135.
Buy only if bullish rejection candles form at 1.16945.
⚠️ Always use proper risk management (1–2% risk per trade max).
USD/CHF - Trade Setup 🕰 1H Structure
Price has shifted bullish after a BOS and liquidity sweep. We’ve tapped into discount levels near the 71% retracement and held demand.
📊 Technical Breakdown
MSS → BOS confirmed bullish intent.
Demand zone sits at 0.7880 – 0.7900.
Price cleared SSL liquidity and is now seeking upside inefficiency.
Next magnet = 0.8000 – 0.8030 swing range.
🎯 Entry / Exit Zones
Entry: Wait for a pullback into the 0.7880 – 0.7900 demand zone.
Target 1: 0.7950 (intra-range).
Target 2: 0.8000 – 0.8030 (swing range high).
Invalidation : Break below 0.7860.
⚖️ Outlook
Short-term pullback into demand → continuation bullish towards 0.8000+.
Bias : 📈 Bullish continuation after retrace.






















