BTC - Fear & GreedAs Bitcoin falls below $100,000, now is a good time to check the Fear & Greed index to map out the sentiment around the move, and to compare similar scores at other places in this bull run move.
As painful as it may be, buying the fear and selling the green is an effective strategy. Every local bottom since the start of 2023 has had a F&G score below 50:
Jan 26th 2023 - 26
March 10th 2023 - 34
June 14th 2023 - 46
Sept 11th 2023 - 40
July 7th 2024 - 29
Aug 5th 2024 - 26
Sept 6th 2024 - 22
Feb 26th 2025 - 21
March 10th 2025 - 20
April 8th 2025 - 24
Today - 16
As of writing the current fear and greed score is lower than it has been for nearly three years!
What is important to note is that bullish momentum has faded but structure remains (higher lows + higher highs). IF the pattern continues then this is a good place to buy historically, obviously that does not guarantee the same pattern will continue to play out but if the bull market is still alive then this level usually gets a bullish reaction.
The timing also adds another layer of complexity as the US Government shutdown is ending. Bitcoin is super reactive to liquidity, once the shut down began it is clear liquidity did drop resulting in price falling. This correlation implies an expected rise in liquidity and Bitcoins price along with it.
For the bears the target area is $89,000-$92,000. In my opinion this will cap the downside at least temporarily.
Short!!!!
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1629 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.1642
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1607
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURAUD Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.781.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.773 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 4,235.87.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 4,172.53 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBP/AUD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/AUD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 2.006 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD FOLLOW THROUGHFollowing the success of our intial setup on gold, which you will find attached
Gold Bought and filled our FVG zone, filling up all the inefficiency in that area,
We currently have slow movement in the FVG Zone and with the current taking out of the previous Higher Low, we formed a Change Of Character
Using our FVG Zone, we may expect price to sell to take out or even break with this sell ???
Lets monitor and react as the markets talk to us
DISCLAIMER : This is purely for motivational purposes and the infomation provided is not to be considered as investment advise, Risk Accordingly
XAUUSD Retests Resistance — Pullback Toward $4,060 SupportHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). After a prolonged bullish movement within a well-defined ascending channel, price reached a significant Resistance Level near $4,200, where sellers stepped in to regain control. This resistance coincides with the upper boundary of a descending resistance line, confirming its importance as a reaction area. Following this rejection, Gold experienced a sharp correction, forming a Range structure near the top before breaking below it — marking a shift in short-term sentiment. The breakout from this range confirmed the beginning of a downward phase, where price continued to move inside a new descending pattern. Currently, XAUUSD is testing the resistance line once again after a breakout retest from below. This area aligns with a former pivot zone where several reversals occurred in the past. The overall structure suggests that buyers are losing momentum, while sellers are preparing to defend this key zone. As long as price remains below the $4,160–$4,200 resistance, a corrective pullback toward the $4,060 Support Level (TP1) looks likely. This area also aligns with the ascending support line, which may act as the next major decision point. A clean break below $4,060 could extend the decline toward the $3,950–$3,970 zone, while a confirmed breakout above $4,200 would invalidate the short scenario and potentially trigger another bullish continuation phase. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN SHORT (EXPERIMENTAL)In a bear market scenario, Bitcoin might see extended periods of stagnation or decline, which could challenge its perception as a store of value or its role in a diversified investment portfolio. However, bear markets can also present buying opportunities for long-term investors, as they may view the price declines as temporary setbacks in Bitcoin's overall growth trajectory.
A Pitchfork For The LEAPI enjoy a good challenge.
Probably more than is strictly healthy.
That’s why I jumped into the LEAP.
This time I’ve actually got enough hours in the day to show up for the fight. I’m genuinely curious whether I can trade my way into the top 50, even though I’ve already committed a few strategic blunders that shaved off some perfectly good profit.
But that’s trading in the real world, isn’t it?
A comedy of precision errors.
My plan is simple: stick to the Andrews Pitchfork framework and nothing else. The goal isn’t just to place well; it’s to demonstrate how much of an edge this tool offers when you use its rules properly.
Don’t wish me luck - I’m aiming to get there by skill and stubbornness.
XAUUSD Short: Rejection From Supply Targets $4,070 Demand LineHello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential corrective move after a strong bullish rally from the $3,950–$3,970 Demand Zone, where multiple fake breakouts confirmed the presence of strong buyers. This area coincides with the ascending Demand Line, which has provided consistent support for price growth. Each touch on this line has led to notable bullish impulses, signaling accumulation and strengthening buyer momentum.
Currently, the price approached the $4,140–$4,160 Supply Zone, which aligns with both a Supply Line and the neckline of a previous Double Top pattern. This confluence area represents a critical resistance zone where sellers have historically regained control. The current rejection from this level suggests that a short-term pullback could be underway as the market seeks to retest lower support.
I expect the first key area to watch is the $4,070 pivot level, which aligns with the Demand Line. This zone is expected to act as dynamic support for a potential rebound. If price holds above this level, the bullish structure remains valid, with a possible retest of the $4,150–$4,160 Supply Zone. However, a confirmed break below $4,070 could trigger a deeper correction toward the $3,950 Demand Zone, where fresh buying opportunities may emerge. Manage your risk!
NZDUSD: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the NZDUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURNZD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
EURNZD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURNZD
Entry Level - 2.0515
Sl - 2.0534
Tp -2.0483
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURCAD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.6263 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.6246
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.6272
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/JPY - Potential Sell offMy notes of this Pair:
USD/JPY – 1H Breakdown (Clean SMC Flow)
📌 1. Market Context
USD/JPY is still trading inside a bullish HTF structure, and the recent 1H movements are simply internal retracements inside that bullish leg.
The chart shows:
A clean sweep of sell-side liquidity (SSL)
A strong displacement candle upward
A bullish correction forming a ChoCH
Price now making its way back into 1H supply
This gives us a short-term bearish reaction expectation before continuation.
🟠 2. Liquidity Story
The liquidity is extremely clean here.
Sweeps Identified:
SSL at the low → swept
BSL inside internal structure → taken
Next meaningful target → External BSL above 155.00
So liquidity narrative:
👉 Sweep the lows → retrace → deliver up into higher BSLs.
Everything aligns with bullish continuation after the pullback.
⚪ 3. Pullback & Mitigation Zone
Price dipped into the 1H imbalance (IMB) and the 4H discounted zone (the grey block), tagging:
71% fib retracement
4H/1H overlap zone
Clear IMB at the origin
Lower liquidity (SSL) swept before tapping the zone
This is a textbook pullback.
Your chart marks this as the higher-low formation, which is valid given the sweep and BOS.
🧱 4. Current Structure
After the clean ChoCH to the upside, price has:
Printed a small BSL above current price
Begun climbing back into 1H supply
Rejected once, but maintaining bullish structure
Still holding HL → HH sequence
This means:
👉 The bearish push was corrective.
👉 Control is shifting back to buyers.
🎯 5. The Bullish Delivery Target
Your chart marks a clear upside objective:
🎯 External BSL @ ~155.05–155.10
This is the magnet for price.
Before that, the 1H supply zone (grey box) will be the first reaction point.
If supply holds briefly → expect pullback.
If supply breaks cleanly → straight shot to the BSL.
🔥 6. Likely Path (Based On Your Drawing)
Your projected arrow makes perfect sense:
Price taps into the 1H supply
Rejects slightly
Forms a deeper HL
Then pushes up to take the External BSL
This is the cleanest, most logical sequence.
📉 7. Trading Notes
Bias = Bullish
SSL swept → bullish
ChoCH confirmed → bullish
Pullback into 1H IMB → bullish
Next target → External BSL
The only invalidation would be a deep break below the SSL sweep, which would signal redistribution rather than accumulation.
EUR/NZD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR-NZD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2.023 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/NZD pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 4232.5
Sl - 4252.7
Tp - 4194.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/CAD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CAD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.618 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EUR/USD - Im still Bearish until HTF followsEUR/USD – 4H Outlook (HTF SMC Breakdown)
🟤 1. HTF Range & Macro Context
Price is still trading inside a large higher-time-frame bearish range, with the entire structure sitting below the previous major BSL that got taken earlier in the chart.
The massive orange zone at the bottom is your HTF demand range — the last big corrective area before the external sell-side at 1.13–1.14.
This zone has been tested, respected, and held strongly.
HTF takeaway:
👉 Market is still bearish overall, but short-term bullish from HTF demand.
🔶 2. Reaction From HTF Demand
Price dipped into the HTF demand block, tapped the 71% discount level, swept internal SSL, and then gave a clean BOS to the upside.
Inside that orange zone:
Strong rejection wick
Multiple BOS confirmations
Mitigation of IMB/FVG
Clean liquidity sweep
This gives bulls temporary control.
This is the origin of the current bullish leg.
⚪ 3. Current 4H Structure
Price is now working its way back toward the 4H supply zone (your grey box), which also aligns with:
A BSL sitting above
4H imbalance
Micro premium zone
Unmitigated distribution candles
We’re in a mid-range climb from HTF demand → into 4H supply.
4H view:
👉 Expect bullish continuation until supply is reached.
🎯 4. Key Levels To Watch
🟢 Upside Targets
4H Supply Zone → First reaction area
BSL above supply → Liquidity draw
If price breaks, next target → 1.1750 region
🟠 Downside Levels
Your marked arrow shows price may:
Tap into 4H supply
Reject
Either return back into HTF demand
Or create a higher low for continuation
Most probable based on your chart:
👉 Tap supply → pullback → continuation up
(as long as HTF demand holds)
🧭 5. Bias Going Forward
Short-term = Bullish
Macro = Still bearish but correcting
Flow = Bullish until 4H supply
Your chart implies a bullish path:
Liquidity above (BSL) is the next draw
Price is climbing cleanly
No weakness until supply is met
After hitting the grey zone:
📍 Look for rejection + change of character
OR
📍 Strong break + retest for bullish continuation
(depends on reaction)
🔥 Summary (Quick Version)
HTF demand respected beautifully
Price created BOS after SSL sweep → bullish
Now climbing to 4H supply
Expect a reaction there
If supply breaks → next leg to 1.17
If supply holds → pullback into mid-range or demand
AUDUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.658.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.641 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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