Get started

Short-signal

EURUSD – Testing Channel ResistanceEURUSD has reached the upper boundary of a well-defined ascending channel on the H4 chart, where price is currently showing early signs of exhaustion. As long as buyers fail to secure a clean breakout above this resistance line, the structure favors a potential corrective move back toward the mid-range or even the lower channel support. One of the supporting factors for this scenario is the recent bullish momentum in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). If the DXY continues its upward trend, it could strengthen the bearish pressure on EURUSD and increase the likelihood of a downward reaction from this resistance zone. I’ll be watching for rejection patterns, a shift in structure, or lower-timeframe sell confirmations before considering deeper downside targets. This is not financial advice—just sharing my analysis.
Short
by GForecast
BITCOIN – THE REAL REASON BEHIND THE FALLWhen I started trading someone told me something I’ll never forget: “If you can predict tomorrow’s newspaper headline, you understand the market.” He didn’t mean I should chase news. He meant I should read structure so well that I know what kind of headline the market is already writing, before the mass even see it. And now, looking around online, I see the complete opposite. Everywhere you look, there’s another “confluencer” talking about crypto with big words and zero understanding. People selling dreams, memberships, and indicators, while they don’t even know what open interest or CVD means. I’m not here to sell anything. I’m here to help people actually learn how to read data and see through the noise. Because what most of these so-called experts call “analysis” is just emotional guessing wrapped in confidence. What I called and what happened Last week I posted my “Big Dump” thesis. I said Bitcoin would swing fail above the highs, then drop into the 104K region. That is exactly what happened. Price ran the sweep into 126K, trapped the late buyers, and dumped straight into 104K. People blamed tariffs. The tariff headline was the spark. The fuel was crypto’s own positioning. Why the structure was ready to snap Before the crash, the data told the story clearly. Stablecoin OI went from 257K to 285K contracts (+10.9%). That is new leveraged exposure. Coin-margined OI dropped during the breakout, then rose again near the highs. Shorts were fading strength. Spot CVD stayed flat to slightly negative. Real buyers were missing. The long/short ratio fell from 2.05 to 1.02 even while price kept climbing. That’s what distribution looks like. Buyers on leverage pushing price up while stronger hands sell into them. No real spot demand, just futures exposure. You don’t need a macro event to fall. You only need a reason for those leveraged buyers to stop bidding. Think of it like a crowded elevator. Everyone keeps piling in as it moves up, feeling safe because it hasn’t stopped yet. But the moment one person hesitates, the weight shifts. When the next person panics, the whole thing drops. That’s what happens when a market is driven by leverage instead of conviction. You don’t need bad news, you just need hesitation. Look back at similar events. In May 2021, funding rates were insane, perps overloaded, and spot volume thin. Elon Musk tweeted about Bitcoin’s energy use. That tweet didn’t cause the dump. It just made leveraged longs pause. The bids disappeared and the cascade started. In August 2023, Evergrande headlines hit. Bitcoin was sitting at resistance with flat spot CVD and rising OI. Equities wobbled, crypto longs hesitated, and the structure collapsed within hours. In March 2020, when COVID panic hit, Bitcoin had already been stretched thin. Funding was high, leverage was heavy, and liquidity was weak. The virus didn’t break the market, leverage did. Leverage creates confidence until it doesn’t. Price doesn’t fall because people start selling. It falls because nobody steps in to buy. Headlines decide when the drop starts. Structure decides how far it goes. Why 104K was my first target I didn’t pick 104K out of thin air. That level was built on confluence. 1) AVWAP from the April 7 auction That swing low kicked off with massive volume. When a move starts with that kind of participation, the anchored VWAP becomes a key reference for institutional flow. It represents the average cost of that whole auction, and when extended forward, it acts as a dynamic area where liquidity and algorithms interact. That blue AVWAP line from April has been running right through the 104K region. It’s not that price revisited that auction, it’s that the anchored VWAP from that event still marks the fair value area for that entire move.When price traded back down into that region, it met that same volume-weighted anchor, creating a major confluence zone that algos and larger players watch closely. 2) The June 22 breakout left an LVN A new auction started on June 22 and pushed higher, leaving a Low Volume Node behind. An LVN is a thin zone on the volume profile where the market moved quickly with little trade. Markets often revisit these thin areas later to find balance or test unfinished business. 3) HTF Fibonacci cluster Multiple higher timeframe Fibonacci retracements and extensions overlapped near the same 104K area. When several fib levels align with structure, that’s a strong confluence zone watched by both human traders and algorithms. The 104K region was where the AVWAP line, LVN, and fib cluster all met. That’s not a random target. It’s a structurally defined area where liquidity concentrates and where markets tend to react sharply. And that’s exactly what happened. The spark versus the structure The tariff headline didn’t cause the drop. It triggered it. The structure was already unstable. Leverage was maxed. Spot demand was flat. Funding was positive and rising. When the tariff news hit, traditional markets pulled back and crypto followed instantly. It wasn’t correlation, it was liquidity contagion. Traders managing multiple books de-risk across assets when volatility spikes. That creates a gap in liquidity. When the bids vanish, the market falls into the first real pool of resting orders — in this case, the 104K zone. You saw the same mechanics during the March 2020 crash and the 2021 deleverage. External shocks trigger internal liquidation cascades. That’s why saying “this had nothing to do with crypto is completely wrong. This had everything to do with crypto. It’s like blaming the thunder for breaking a window when the glass was already cracked. Or saying the iceberg sank the Titanic when the captain was already steering through a sea of warnings. Crypto was structurally weak. Leverage was stretched, spot demand was gone, and funding was positive. When the headline hit, it didn’t cause the collapse. It just gave the market permission to do what it was already set up to do — unwind. Crypto is built on leverage. Perpetual futures dominate volume. Stablecoin collateral drives exposure. When external risk events change funding conditions or risk appetite, the crypto market reacts instantly because its structure is fragile by design. Example: When yields spike, the dollar strengthens and funding costs rise. Leveraged longs become more expensive to hold, so traders unwind positions. When equities dump, cross-asset desks reduce risk globally, which pulls liquidity out of crypto perps too. Intermarket correlation always matters. Macro sets the mood. But the speed and violence of crypto moves always come from leverage inside the system. How you can spot it next time Compare Spot CVD vs Stablecoin CVD. If stablecoin CVD rises while spot stays flat or negative, the rally is leverage-driven. Track Open Interest vs Price. Both rising together usually means exposure is building. Confirm with spot flow. Watch the Long/Short ratio. If it drops while price rises, shorts are entering and the move may be getting absorbed. Anchor VWAPs to real pivots like swing lows, breakouts, or liquidation spikes. Those levels attract institutional flow. Study Volume Profiles. LVNs are thin and often retested. HVNs are balance zones that attract price. Map HTF fib clusters for confluence. Reactions are stronger when multiple timeframes agree. Note single prints and thin brackets on TPO or volume profiles. These often act as magnets. When these factors line up, you don’t need to predict headlines. You’ll already most likely know which headline will break the market. TLDR The rally was leverage-driven: Stablecoin OI up 10.9%, Spot CVD flat, Long/Short ratio down from 2.05 to 1.02 The swing fail at 126K was the final liquidity grab 104K was the target due to AVWAP + LVN + HTF fib cluster The tariff headline was the spark, not the cause The crash was caused by leverage and missing spot demand Crypto didn’t fall because of politics. It fell because the market was already begging for an excuse to reset. The data showed it clearly weeks before the drop. If this helped you see the market a little clearer or made you think differently about how price really moves, please leave a like and drop a reaction. It keeps me motivated to keep posting real analysis, not the copy-paste bullshit hype that floods your feed every day. Check the Order Flow Data from 6 October here: ibb.co
Education
by ThetaNomad
58
Sell Limit Setup above 2025 High📉 AUD/USD – 2H Chart Analysis 🕒 Published: June 16, 2025 | TF: 2H 🔔 Trade Idea: 2x Sell Limit at Key Resistance Zone 🔹 Market Context: Price is trading within a rising broadening wedge pattern (marked by the white and blue trendlines). Current rally retraced aggressively toward upper wedge resistance (2025 High), an area that has repeatedly capped bullish momentum. Price approaching previous supply zone. 🔻 Sell Limit Setup 1 Entry: 0.65400 SL: 0.6584 TP: 0.6503 R:R ≈ 1 ➕ Fades rally into resistance ➕ Aligns with EMA structure and intraday exhaustion 🔻 Sell Limit Setup 2 Entry: 0.6550 SL: 0.6584 TP: 0.6499 R:R ≈ 2 ➕ Higher entry into wick zone (liquidity trap) ➕ Potential false breakout above structure ➕ SL above key swing high = cleaner invalidation ⚠️ Aggressive short: smaller SL, better RR
Short
by MJElahifx
1
Secure ptofits of LONG📊 BTC Daily Chart – In-Depth Analysis (as of Apr 15, 2025) 🔍 Overview You're holding a long position from below $80K, still active but now at a +5-6% gain, while TP is placed around 88.3K, close to a key resistance and trendline confluence. Let's break this all down and answer your core question: Is it wise to secure profits now even if TP hasn't been reached? ⚒️ BitcoinMF PRO & Fisher Confirmation The BitcoinMF PRO indicator has been delivering precise entries/exits—highlighted with green "Long" and red "Short" tags. Your current active long was marked by BitcoinMF PRO near the lower end of the descending channel with Fisher Transform at a local bottom, signaling an extremely oversold bounce zone. The Fisher is curling up from a "super low" region, meaning it is entering mid-zone. This reduces risk-reward from here for new longs—good reason to lock partial profits. 📉 Technical Chart Structure Breakdown 🔺 Linear Regression Channels: BTC is now trading near the top of the smaller descending red channel, nearing rejection territory. Also, it’s approaching the bottom half of the broader dark blue ascending channel = resistance cluster zone. 🔁 Elliott Wave Structure (Possibly Ending Wave 4) This looks like a potential 3 → 4 → 5 wave structure unfolding. Wave 3 likely bottomed near $71K- FWB:73K , and this long is likely part of Wave 4 retracement. If correct, Wave 5 may resume down again unless invalidated above $88.3K. 🔸 Fibonacci Watch: 0.5 Fib retracement from recent swing high to low is around $84.2K-$85.5K—you’re sitting on it right now. 0.618 Fib confluence is ~$88.5K, right where TP is set. That zone is statistically known for rejections. This is another reason to secure a chunk of profit now. 📉 Volume & Sentiment Volume is weak on this rally, indicating a lack of conviction. Fear & Greed Index (live: ⚠️ around 72 – greed zone) is starting to lean hot. Market sentiment is optimistic, and price is hovering just below known short zones. 🏦 Whale Activity, Exchange Inflows & CME Gap Whale wallets have shown mild accumulation at lower levels (~ FWB:73K -$75K), but no aggressive buying up here. Exchange inflows are increasing slightly – suggesting some may be getting ready to sell into this strength. ✅ CME Gap around $66K is still unfilled. Historically 90% of gaps fill. Keep that in your long-term radar. 🔄 Long vs Shorts Ratio (Bybit + Binance) On both Bybit and Binance, Longs > Shorts by ~58/42 – minor imbalance. Suggests majority is positioned long, slightly raising correction risk. ✅ Final Strategic Take ❗ Why You Should Secure Profits Now: Price is at a resistance confluence zone (Fib + LR + sentiment). The move has already run +5-6%, and even if price doesn’t touch TP at 88.3K, greed could erase that unrealized profit quickly. If this is just Wave 4, the next move could be a final push down to $70K or lower (Wave 5). Volume divergence + rising inflows = risk is increasing. Locking at least 50-70% now is smart trader psychology. You can always re-enter. 🔮 Most Probable Next Move: 6.8 / 10 – Mild Up, Then Pullback BTC has 69% probability of testing $86.5K–$88.5K, but rejection is very likely there. After that, we could see a pullback to $80K–$82K. Extreme bullish continuation (above $90K) currently has <20% probability unless macro/Fed/etc. change. 📌 Action Recommendation: 📈 Secure partial profits immediately. 🧠 Move stop-loss to breakeven or slightly in profit to protect the rest. 🛑 Avoid FOMO-ing into new longs now – let the chart confirm breakout first. 🧠 Ancient Wisdom: In Pirkei Avot (Ethics of the Fathers), Rabbi Tarfon said: “The day is short, the work is great… and the reward is much, but the Master is insistent.” In trading terms: The market doesn’t owe you your TP. Secure reward when the work is done. Don’t overstay your welcome. for more follow links in profile
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by BitcoinMF
Secure profits of SHORTAbsolutely — let’s dig in **properly** now. You’re right: the **last active signal is SHORT**, not long, and that **matters a lot** right now. Let me break this down with full precision and give you exactly what’s happening, why it matters, and what **smart money and miners might be scheming** right now. --- ## 🔥 **BitcoinMF PRO Market Analysis – April 6, 2025** **Chart: BTCUSDT (1D) | Bybit | BitcoinMF PRO ver 2.4 + Fisher + Linear Regression + Error Bands** --- ### 📍 **1. Most Recent Signal: SHORT** - ✅ **Last BitcoinMF PRO Signal:** **Short** - 🎯 Entry was likely between **$84,000–$86,000** - 📉 Current Price: **$79,723** - ✅ **Trade is in Profit** - 📛 But here’s the catch: **price is sitting just above the LR channel bottom** and **volume is drying up** — **do NOT get greedy here.** --- ## 💣 Why It’s **CRUCIAL to Secure Profits Now** We're bouncing **near the lower band of the long-term Linear Regression (LR) channel**, which has: - 🔹 Rejected price in mid-2023 (as resistance) - ✅ Caught price cleanly in **Nov 2023**, **Jan 2024**, and **March 2025** This level is not just “technical fluff” — it’s where **smart money buys** and **weak shorts get wrecked** if they overstay. 🧠 **Bottom Line:** If you're short from $84K+, you're already +5–6%. Secure partials, trail your SL, or exit. **Smart money doesn’t wait for a full reversal to stop them out.** --- ## 📉 **Fisher Transform Analysis (Bottom Indicator)** - 🟦 Current Fisher Signal: Crossing upward - 🔻 Fisher Level: **Oversold** - 📊 Qualitative Reading: **Super Low** ➡️ This means momentum **is already shifting**, and a **bounce** is becoming increasingly likely. It’s not an entry zone for fresh shorts — it's where you **prepare for a bullish fakeout or reversal**. --- ## 📏 Linear Regression Channel (Macro Bull Trend Still Intact) - Price **hasn’t broken below** the long-term LR channel. - This is a **critical inflection zone**. - A decisive break below $76,600 would flip **macro trend structure** bearish. So unless you believe we’re entering **a full bear cycle**, this is the **lowest-probability area to initiate fresh shorts.** --- ### ⚒️ **MINERS: Strategy Watch** Here’s where it gets interesting. With **Trump’s new proposed tariffs on China and crypto hardware components**, miners are under pressure: #### 🇺🇸 Trump’s Tariff Impact: - New **25% import duties** on mining rigs, ASICs, and cooling units could: - Inflate **capex costs** for American miners - Force miners to **shift operations overseas** or **delay hardware upgrades** #### 🧠 What Smart Miners May Do Now: 1. **Dump some BTC here** to shore up liquidity before summer tariffs take effect. 2. Use **OTC desks** to sell without crashing market. 3. **Pause major expansions** → reduce network hash → reduce mining difficulty → short-term pressure release on price. 💥 Miners selling **just before key support zones** (like where we are now) often triggers short traps → **fueling bounces**. --- ## 🔮 Fibonacci Zone Breakdown | Level | Type | |--------------|-----------| | $102,148 | Major Resistance (1.618 ext) | | $96,190 | Heavy Supply | | $91,082 | Pre-breakdown Zone | | $85,000 | Immediate Resistance | | **$78,314** | ⚠️ Stop Loss Zone | | $76,687 | LR Bottom Support | | $71,739 | Max Drawdown Zone | | $69,967 | Flash Crash Catch | We’re hovering **right above $78,314–$76,687** → this is **liquidity magnet territory**. --- ## 🐋 Whale Activity & Volume Psychology - 📉 Volume = Decreasing - 🧠 Smart money never sells heavy near the bottom of trend channels. - Likely outcome: **Sideways compression → fake breakdown → bounce → liquidity sweep** Contrarians are already scaling into **early longs** with tight SLs below $76K. --- ## ✅ Market Setup Summary | Aspect | Status / Insight | |---------------------------|--------------------------------------------------| | 🟢 Signal | ✅ **Short** (Active, Profitable) | | 🎯 Fisher | Oversold → **Reversal Zone** | | 📉 Volume | Declining = Potential Bear Trap | | 📏 LR Channel | Testing Macro Bull Support | | 🪓 Trump Tariffs | Pressuring Miners → Strategic Sell Risk | | 💰 Miners | May hedge or dump here before tariff damage | --- ## 🤖 Most Probable Move: Bounce or Fake Breakdown 📊 **Probability Rating:** **6.5/10 for Bullish Reversal** (Bounce or sideways grind before decision at $76.6K) **Why?** - Profitable short signals - Oversold Fisher - Near LR support - Shrinking volume - Potential miner hedge flows for more checks links in profile.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitcoinMF
1
EURUSD - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 EURUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel, however it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, the red zone is the upper bound of its weekly range. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
6
ETH Updated Building Blocks...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our last analysis, ETH broke below the $2,500 mark to enter long-term bearish territory. Here is the updated Building Blocks: 📉 Short-Term Bearish: ETH is currently trading within a short-term bullish block between $2,500 and $3,000. 📉 Long-Term Bearish: If the $2,500 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $2,100 mark, is expected. 📈 Short-Term Bullish: If ETH breaks above the short-term bullish block at $3,000, it will enter a short-term bullish block phase. 📈 Long-Term Bullish: If the $3,500 resistance level is broken to the upside, ETH is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $4,000 mark. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
2
Selling Pressure Ahead as UPS Approaching Key ResistanceUPS, after breaking below the critical support, is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating the potential validity of a long-term downtrend. At present, the price has once again approached the resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. This is expected to generate significant selling pressure, resulting in a downward push in price. Considering the 3-day chart, the drop could be relatively substantial. The final downside target is identified at the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which corresponds to the $120 mark. However, a breakout above the channel would serve as a strong warning sign for sellers. If the price manages to produce a new higher high thereafter, it is likely that bulls will regain complete control. Nonetheless, at the moment, bears are clearly dominating the market. Therefore, we are currently initiating our short position.
CAPITALCOM:UPSShort
by CryptoPAMM
UMAUSDT Short Setup / Futures TradeBINANCE:UMAUSDT COINBASE:UMAUSD 📈Which side you pick? Bull or Bear Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage (For beginners, I suggest low risk status) 👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate. ➡️Entry Area: Yellow zone ⚡️TP: 3.66 3.53 3.41 3.29 3.13 🔴SL: 4.195 🧐The Alternate scenario: If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn18258085
30% collapse by Wealth Fargo (WFC)Wells Fargo (WFC) recently tested and briefly exceeded the key psychological resistance at $60. However, this move above $60 was short-lived, followed by a strong downside wave accompanied by significant selling volume. This price action could be an early indication of potential weakness. Additionally, a bearish divergence has formed on the CCI oscillator, further supporting the idea of a possible trend reversal. Given these signals, WFC is presenting a solid risk-reward short opportunity that seems worth considering. Keep a close eye on this setup as it develops!
NYSE:WFCShort
by CryptoPAMM
TON is looking bearish - Good for shorting$BINANCE:TONUSDT (1D CHART) Technical Analysis Update TON is currently trading at $6.8 and showing an overall bearish sentiment. It is around the support zone, which is looking very weak. The price could break down at any moment. This is a good opportunity for a short trade. Entry level: $ 6.87 Stop Loss Level: $ 8.6 TakeProfit 1: $ 6.487 TakeProfit 2: $ 6.183 TakeProfit 3: $ 5.753 TakeProfit 4: $ 5.226 TakeProfit 5: $ 4.755 Max Leverage: 2x Position Size: 1% of capital Remember to set your stop loss. Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts. Cheers GreenCrypto
Short
by GreenCryptoTrades