Will the Sky clear for higher Goldprice? Week 8-12 DecContext: After a quiet week with little impact from economic data, Gold FX_IDC:XAUUSD has been moving sideways within a triangle structure. The US economy looks resilient—better than many expected—shifting all eyes to the FED rate cut decision this Wednesday. 🇺🇸👀
📅 Market Recap:
Mon Dec 1 (Asia Session): Price pumped +$60 up to $4264, only to dump -$101 back down to $4163, sweeping liquidity in the beginning of the US Session. 🧹
Consolidation: Since then, Gold has consolidated in a narrow range between $4190 and $4226. ↔️
Friday: US Inflation data was less dramatic than feared, but Gold still dropped around -$64, closing the week near $4191.
🔥 The Week Ahead:
We have key dates coming up, but with the Rate Cut Decision pending on Wednesday, data needs to be dramatic to force a major move before then.
Quiet/Choppy markets until Wednesday. 💤
The Exception: Tuesday, when US Job Data is released. 📊
🎯 The Trade Setup:
If the US Job Market remains stable, there is room for further downside. I am watching for a dip to sweep liquidity before looking for entries.
📉 Downside Targets (Buy Zones):
Primary Target: $4150 🥇
Secondary Target: $4110 🥈
There is strong support between this zones, so it is very possible the drop stops right at $4150 without reaching the second target.
🐂 Strategy: I see the market chopping sideways until the announcement. My plan is to look for LONG positions 🚀 if price sweeps into my targets ($4150 / $4110).
My last idea about was not longer valid because the right shoulder did not went down, but a Quasimodo pattern could be a thing... Maybee FED does skip the cut? Let's see...
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Shortsetup
FireHoseReel | APE at a Critical Breakout Point🔥 Welcome To FireHoseReel !
Let’s dive into APE analysis.
👀 APE 4H Overview
APE remains bearish across most higher timeframes. We’ve applied a Fibonacci retracement on the last 4H bearish leg, which has highlighted several key levels. A break below the current low signals continuation of the downtrend, while a breakout above the PRZ zone would act as the best bullish trigger.
📊 Volume Analysis
APE volume has increased as price reached this zone. This rise in volume suggests that whales may be defending lower prices. If the floor breaks, heavy liquidations and spot selling could follow.
✍️ APE Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Scenario:
A breakout above the PRZ at $0.343, supported by strong buy volume, could activate a long trigger. Prefer entries on the second or third test of the breakout.
🔴 Short Scenario:
A breakdown of the current base with strong selling pressure and whale capitulation could push price lower. The main short trigger lies below $0.2237.
🧠 Protect your capital first. No setup is worth blowing your account. If risk isn’t controlled, profit means nothing. Trade with rules, not emotions.
BTC recovers ahead of interest rate announcementBTC Daily Chart – Short Analysis
Bitcoin is still trading inside a bearish structure, staying below key moving averages and the descending trendline.
Main resistance: $100,000 – $102,000
This zone aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and previous support turned resistance → high probability of rejection.
Current move: Price is bouncing, but no bullish confirmation as long as it stays under $102k.
Expected scenario:
BTC may retest the $100k–$102k zone, fail to break it, and continue downward.
Downside target: $83,700 – $84,000
This level matches liquidity and trendline confluence.
Conclusion:
Trend remains bearish unless BTC breaks and closes above $102k.
Scalp SHORT – FHE🐻 Scalp SHORT – FHE
“The market climbs the stairs but takes the elevator down” perfectly reflects FHE’s current structure.
The price is heavily overbought across all timeframes, with extremely strong bearish divergences appearing simultaneously on the 15m, 1h, and 4h charts — signaling exhausted buying pressure and a high risk of reversal. Price action also shows fading bullish momentum, suggesting that a deep correction is likely.
🎯 TP: 0.016
🛡️ SL: 0.05129
📊 RR: 1 : 5.06
A textbook short setup: multi-timeframe overbought conditions + confluence of strong bearish divergences → high probability of reversal with an attractive profit margin.
Gold 4H: Bearish Scenario
Price is riding a clean rising trendline from the October lows, connecting multiple higher swing lows.
A break and retest of this blue trendline would signal fading momentum and open the door for a deeper correction toward horizontal support.
🧱 Why 3,947 is strong support
3,947 marks the previous consolidation base where buyers stepped in aggressively after the last sharp sell‑off, turning it into a clear demand zone.
It also aligns with the last major 4H swing low, so many stop‑losses and resting buy orders are likely clustered there, making it a natural magnet if the trendline fails.
📉 Bearish divergence
While price made higher highs on the 4H chart, the RSI printed lower highs, creating a clear bearish divergence.
This divergence suggests buyers are losing strength, increasing the probability of a trendline break and a move down into the 3,947 support area before any new major leg higher.
FireHoseReel | BNB Daily Analysis #17🔥 Welcome To FireHoseReel !
Let’s dive into BinanceCoin (BNB) analysis.
👀 BNB 1H Overview
After the recent drop, BNB is currently ranging between $895 and $877. A breakdown below the range floor could trigger a deeper correction. This support also aligns with the 38% Fibonacci retracement, making it a valid technical level.
📊 Volume Analysis
Volume increased during the sell-off, then dropped sharply in momentum. A strong sell-off candle hit the maker-buyer zone, followed by range consolidation. Due to the holiday period, volume conditions remain weak.
✍️ BNB Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Scenario:
A breakout above the range high at $922 could activate the next long trigger.
🔴 Short Scenario:
A breakdown of the current floor (maker-buyer zone), potentially driven by a long squeeze and sudden volatility spike, could open the door for a short entry after a pullback with tighter risk.
🧠 Protect your capital first. No setup is worth blowing your account. If risk isn’t controlled, profit means nothing. Trade with rules, not emotions.
EUR/USD: 92.6% Probability Short SetupMost traders stare at price. We measure the behavior driving it.
On November 10th, Structure Lab's data showed an 89.5% probability EUR/USD would reach the 50% retracement of the prior internal leg. Price hit all three statistical levels we identified — 1.21%, 1.65%, and 1.78% — with tradeable reactions at each.
Now the math points down.
Here's what the data says:
The 1.78% level is likely the high of our Phase B (Pro Swing + Counter Internal) pullback. Phase B complete. Phase C ready to fire.
From here, a Phase C short has:
74% probability of breaking the previous internal low at 1.14687
92.6% probability of hitting the EQ (50% retracement / halfway point) of the last move up
Swing structure remains bullish — this is still the pullback phase. But internal structure is set to push lower.
Green lines mark our downside statistical targets.
📊 1-hour timeframe — price as behavior, not noise.
More high-probability setups dropping every week—follow for statistical edges you won't find anywhere else.
Want the full breakdown? Entry trigger, invalidation, and scaling strategy? Drop a "📊" in the comments and I'll share the complete game plan.
Let me know what you want to see more of. 👇
XAUUSD Breakout Rejection – Bearish Correction SetupPrice recently experienced a strong bullish push into the Friday session, followed by a breakout and rejection at the highlighted zone. The breakout area (blue circle) shows exhaustion as buyers failed to maintain momentum, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
After the breakout, price is forming early signs of a bearish correction, suggesting a possible move lower. If bearish momentum continues, we may see price targeting the demand zone around 4201–4198, where previous liquidity and imbalance exist.
Key points:
• Breakout rejection shows weakening bullish sentiment.
• Expecting a short-term pullback if structure continues to break down.
• Main target zone lies within the blue demand area, where a reaction may occur.
This scenario remains valid as long as price stays below the breakout level.
BTC : Channel Breakdown RetestPrice has come back to retest the broken channel and is being rejected again. What matters now is to see if buyers can sustain follow‑through, because that will decide if this is just a relief bounce or the start of a real reversal. For now, it still looks like nothing more than a bounce.
Historically, when Bitcoin reaches oversold territory on the daily RSI, it often forms a bullish divergence rather than reversing immediately on the first oversold tag, price makes a lower low while RSI prints a higher low.
My scenario anticipates another push down in price while RSI refuses to make a new low, creating a classic bullish divergence that frequently precedes strong relief rallies.
This price action still fits my broader strategy, as the current rejection and potential bullish divergence keep the scenario alive for another leg up in December, with upside potential toward at least the 115k
When an Uptrend Breaks..Smart Money Doesn’t Hesitate📉 XAUUSD MARKET OUTLOOK (1H)
- Gold has officially transitioned from its previous rising channel into a clear downtrend structure, marked by lower highs, lower lows, and a decisive break below the rising support line. The bullish momentum has faded, and sellers are gradually taking control.
- Price is now moving inside a descending correction channel, and every rally is being absorbed by supply — a textbook shift from accumulation to distribution.
1️⃣ Uptrend Channel Has Been Broken
Gold traded for several days inside a rising channel, respecting both support and resistance.
But price has now:
- Broken below the rising trendline
- Retested it and failed
- Formed a new bearish structure
This confirms the end of the previous bullish phase.
2️⃣ Strong Resistance Zone Holding Firm
The resistance zone around 4,235 – 4,245 has rejected price multiple times.
Each rejection produced:
- Lower swing highs
- Increasing bearish pressure
- Momentum shift toward sellers
This zone is now the ceiling of the new downtrend.
3️⃣ Descending Channel Signals Bearish Continuation
- Price is currently moving cleanly inside a downward-sloping channel.
- Every bounce is shallow → every drop is sharp.
- This is the behavior of a market controlled by sellers.
If the current corrective bounce fails at the upper boundary of the channel, another hard leg down is highly likely.
4️⃣ Key Target: Strong Support Zone Below
The next major liquidity area lies at the 4,105 – 4,120 strong support zone.
This is where buyers previously stepped in aggressively.
If price reaches this zone again, expect:
- Either a strong bullish reaction
- Or a deeper breakdown if momentum remains heavy
➡️ Primary Scenario (High Probability)
Retest of the channel top → rejection → bearish continuation into 4,105 – 4,120 zone.
Sellers remain in control as long as price stays under the broken trendline.
⚠️ Risk Scenario
A clean breakout above the descending channel may trigger a temporary bullish correction, but the overall structure remains bearish unless price reclaims the old resistance zone.
What’s your take on gold’s trend shift?
BTC Is Heating Up — The Next Big Move Is Closer Than You Think!1. Market Analysis (Updated)
Bitcoin has just touched $89,000, aligning perfectly with the recovery structure we expected earlier. After the deep drop toward the $80,000–$85,000 zone, buyers stepped in aggressively, creating a clean rebound and pushing price back into momentum territory.
Today’s move coincides with a strong rally in U.S. tech stocks, shifting overall sentiment toward risk-on assets — a boost that often strengthens crypto markets.
However, the sharp drop earlier this week triggered over $200M in long liquidations, exposing how fragile leveraged positions are in current conditions. This volatility shows that while buyers are present, the broader market still carries elevated risk.
ETF inflows are slowly returning, supporting Bitcoin’s liquidity and helping stabilize short-term price swings. Yet several analysts warn the recent bounce could still be a “dead-cat bounce” if BTC fails to reclaim key structural levels.
In short:
Momentum is back — but conviction is not yet confirmed.
2. Technical Structure Update
The chart shows:
- A major Support Zone at $85,000–$86,000 — recently tested and respected.
- The current rally brings BTC back toward the $89,000–$90,000 Resistance Zone, which previously acted as a pivot and rejection point.
- If price stabilizes and breaks above this zone with strength, the bullish recovery could expand toward higher targets.
- If price gets rejected here, downside pressure can quickly return.
Right now, BTC is trading at a decision point.
3. Scenarios & Trading Strategy
🔸 Main Scenario – Bullish Continuation (Higher Probability)
If BTC holds above $89,000 and successfully breaks through $90,000, price may aim for:
Target 1: 92,500
Target 2: 94,000+
Why this matters:
- Tech-stock rally boosts risk appetite
- ETF inflows returning
- Liquidations flushed weak long positions → cleaner market structure
Strategy: Buy dips above $89K, wait for breakout confirmation.
🔹 Sub Scenario – Bearish Rejection (Caution Required)
If BTC fails to hold $89,000, and especially if it breaks below $86,000, the structure turns bearish again.
Downside targets: 83,000 - 80,000
Why?
- Market still fragile
- Heavy liquidation clusters below
- Risk sentiment turns quickly if buyers lose strength
Strategy: Expect lower highs → potential short setups toward support zones.
4. Summary & Personal View
- Overall Trend: Neutral → Slightly Bullish
- Short-Term Bias: Bullish above $89K; Bearish below $86K
- Momentum: Returning, but not fully confirmed
- Opportunity: High volatility = high reward if risk is managed
- Caution: Market still sensitive to macro news & ETF flows
BTC is entering a decisive phase — the next move will shape the rest of the week.
Going Short TESLA HereTrading Fam,
I'm taking my first ever short here since implementing my new indicator. It has been killing it on the long side. We've exited our last 17 trades, all for wins, with an average profit of 30% per trade and our portfolio is up over 86% on the year. Now, it's time to test the short signals. We received two here on TSLA. I've taken a small entry since this is my first short, representing around 9% of the portfolio total. I'm going to target $350 but will not take more than a 7% loss, thus my stops are set at $476 bring the rrr on this trade entry to 1:3. Let's see how this goes.
✌️Stew
Scalp SHORT – PIPPIN🐻 Scalp SHORT – PIPPIN
“Price climbs the stairs but takes the elevator down” — and Pippin looks ready for that elevator.
RSI is extremely overbought across all timeframes, with the daily RSI hitting 95. On the 4H and 1H, multiple strong bearish divergences have formed, signaling exhaustion of buying pressure and a likely top. A sharp downside move can be triggered at any moment.
🎯 TP: 0.01614
🛡️ SL: 0.25765
📊 RR: 1 : 4.72
A textbook short setup: extreme overbought conditions + multi-timeframe bearish divergence → high probability of a strong correction.
Scalp SHORT – PIEVERSE🐻 Scalp SHORT – PIEVERSE
Pieverse is printing a massive bearish divergence on the 1H timeframe, while RSI has entered extreme overbought conditions across most higher timeframes. Buying pressure is clearly fading, and price action is signaling the formation of a local top. A strong correction is highly likely.
🎯 TP: 0.3806
🛡️ SL: 0.7875
📊 RR: 1 : 5.2
A clean short setup: multi-TF overbought conditions + a strong bearish divergence → high probability of reversal.
Short PalantirTrading Fam,
This will be only the second short I have taken since implementing my new indicator. We are up 250%+ pending exits in just over a year; however, during that time, I have taken long entries only. Now, it's time to test accuracy on the short side.
On my NASDAQ:TSLA short (my first ever short entry), we are already comfortably in profits. More to come on that.
As far as NASDAQ:PLTR goes, my signal gave me a SELL at $195. As I have been in the habit of waiting for confirmation, I did not enter immediately. Yesterday and today, I believe I have been given the chance for a decent entry. I've entered short at a price of $190 and will shoot for that 200-day SMA at somewhere around $145 for a 2.37 rrr.
Let's see how this goes.
✌️Stew
EURUSD – Support Breakout ViewPrice has been sitting on this strong support line for multiple sessions.
This level is also a round-number zone, so the market naturally reacts here with both hesitation and sudden moves.
Now price is attempting to break below this strong support, and for me this is a simple breakout-style setup.
✨ My Approach
If EURUSD breaks below this support area with a clean candle close, I expect price to extend directly into the next Fib Extension zones drawn on the chart.
These are my expectation levels:
🎯 1.15740 (Fib 1.618)
🎯 1.15420 (Fib 2.000)
These levels form naturally from the completed swing, and once the round-level support is taken out, the market usually accelerates toward these extensions.
This is a pure breakout idea — no extra confirmation needed other than a strong break of the level.
📘 Disclaimer
This is only my personal approach and not financial advice.
$NVDA - $140 Target - Short Position - AI Bubble About to BurstIn my opinion, Nvidia does not have much to continue the next needed support for a pro-longed bull run, at least in terms of sentiment. The AI bubble has gone on for too long and the actual multiples of valuations in comparison to revenue and profit generations do not seem to have strong support when considering traditional investing strategies. Also, the next wave seems getting closer and closer to a red trend. Retracement potential is possible after hitting $140, but Nvidia needs to do far more benefit for the public good and have a differentiation that doesn't rely on trends such as crypto mining and the boost of LLMs. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.






















