BTCUSD: Waiting for breakout confirmation near the range highBTCUSD – Analysis for October 24, 2025
Yesterday, we had two trading setups for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD .
The IRB setup played out as planned when the price rebounded from the EMA, formed a consolidation zone within the range, and then broke out strongly, pushing up toward the upper boundary of the range.
This move shows that bullish momentum is still present, although the resistance near the range high remains a key area where short-term profit-taking may occur.
Today’s Trading Plan
Wait for the price to compress and form a tight consolidation zone near the upper boundary of the range.
Confirmation condition: No candle closes below the EMA, which would confirm that buying pressure remains in control.
Once a RB or ARB setup appears, that will be our signal to enter long positions.
Bullish Scenario (primary bias):
Entry: On confirmed RB/ARB setup near the upper edge of the range
Stop Loss: Below the nearest EMA
Take Profit: Targeting extended resistance levels above the range
Alternative Scenario:
If the price closes below the EMA and breaks the compression structure, we’ll stay out of the market and wait for a new setup once the structure stabilizes.
Summary
BTC continues to show strength, but the upper range boundary remains a key test.
Today’s plan: Wait – Confirm – Execute. Avoid FOMO until a clear confirmation appears.
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
Shortsetup
Gold price is consolidating around 4100⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) slips below $4,150 in Friday’s Asian session, weighed down by a firmer US Dollar and cautious sentiment after recent sharp losses. The end of India’s Diwali festival may also curb physical demand. However, lingering US government shutdown risks, global trade tensions, and expectations of US rate cuts could lend support to the non-yielding metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold's downward correction is still continuing, accumulating below 4200. Buying power is weakening and there is not much momentum to increase prices this week.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4217 - 4219 SL 4224
TP1: $4202
TP2: $4190
TP3: $4170
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3954 - 3956 SL 3949
TP1: $3970
TP2: $3990
TP3: $4015
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
DIA 5M Short Aggressive CounterTrend DayTradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
- one bar reversal
+ irregular volumed 2Ut-
+ weak test?
+ weak retest?
Calculated affordable stop market
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1H CounterTrend
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance level
+ weak approach
+ biggest volumed unsuccessful manipulation bar"
1D CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ expanding CREEK
+ weak approach"
1M countertrend
"- long impulse
- neutral zone
+ exhaustion volume?"
1Y CounterTrend
"- long impulse
+ beyond rotation point
- neutral zone"
DIA 1H Swing Short Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ short impulse
- resisting bar level below BUI
+ resistance zone
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Ut-
Bought a put
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1D CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ biggest volume expanding CREEK
+ volumed 2Ut+
+ weak test"
1M CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- neutral zone
+ exhaustion volume?"
1Y CounterTrend
"- long impulse
+ beyond rotation point
- neutral zone"
IDOL - Scalp Short🎯 Trade Setup – SHORT
Reason: Strong bearish momentum signs — RSI shows clear divergence (price rising while RSI drops) → signal of weakening buying strength.
Volume is declining despite price increase, indicating low participation and possible exhaustion of the up-move.
Short‐term uptrend support line has been broken → structure shift favouring downside.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry: After confirmation of trend-line breakdown + momentum/volume confirmation.
TP (Take Profit): 0.03086
SL (Stop Loss): 0.04007
Risk/Reward (RR): ~ 1 : 2
✅ Key Guidelines:
Size position accordingly: risk defined by SL.
Only enter after breakdown and/or bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish candle, retest failure).
If momentum fails (volume picks up on rises) then abort.
Maintain discipline — trust the plan, not the hope.
GILD 5M Short CounterTrend Daytrade (Buy Put to Open)5M CounterTrend Trade
- long impulse
+ exhaustion volume
1H CounterTrend
"- long impulse
+ volumed T1
+ resistance zone
+ volumed reaction bar"
1D CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance level
+ volumed manipulation bar "
1M CounterTrend
"- long impulse
+ volumed T1 level
+ resistance zone"
1Y CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance zone"
GM Short 5M DayTrade Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ short impulse
+ T2 level
+ resistance level
+ volumed 2Ut-?
+ weak test
+ first selling bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
I also bought puts at $4.91 for March 20th
1H CounterTrade
"- long balance
+ unvolumed expanding CREEK
+ volumed Ut"
1D CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- neutral zone
+ exhaustion volume?"
1M CounterTrade
"- long impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance zone
+ volumed manipulation bar
- volumed reaction bar looks for break
- volume distribution is long"
1Y CounterTrend
"- long balance
+ expanding volumed CREEK
+ resistance level"
WMB 1D Short Aggressive CounterTrend Trade (Put Buy to Open)Aggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed TE / T1
+ weak approach
+ biggest volume Ut
+ weak test
+ first selling bar close entry level
Buying put
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ volumed expanding CREEK
+ resistance level
= wrong volume distribution weak approach"
Yearly CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ volumed expanding CREEK
+ resistance level
= wrong volume distribution weak approach"
Bitcoin - Ultimate Swing Short As a compilation and summary of my previous ideas explaining in depth this signal - the why, when, how - here are the specific details for this swing short position.
Entry - 109,000 to 109,200
Stop Loss - 113,600
Target 1 - 97,600
Target 2 - 81,000
Target 3 - 63,400
Target 4 - 34,800
(Here is where I’ll potentially be signalling for a hedge long on Bitcoin from 34,700 to 80,000 - trading the retracement wave)
Target 5 - 20,000
Target 6 - 8,000
Ultimate wick bottom expected to be 7,200 to 7,800 range.
Good luck to all and any questions at all, please comment below.
I’ve linked any related ideas to this post here which you can view below.
- DD
Is this a Bump and Run Reversal for Nike - 60% gains potential In this video I cover what could potentially be a reversal pattern playing out on Nike .
I cover the price action from the ATH down to the lows and present the idea of a bump and run
reversal pattern which could generate 60% gains .
Setting alerts is key and watching volume as explained in the video .
Please like and support my work any questions then ask below the chart .
Safe trading
23 OCT 2025: MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE DAYUpdate to 20 OCT 2025 Weekly Outlook
The devil is in the detail...
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Gold price tries to recover back to 4200⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) drops below $4,100 in Wednesday’s Asian session, extending its sharpest selloff in over a decade as traders lock in profits after a nine-week record-breaking rally. Easing US-China trade tensions ahead of the November 1 tariff deadline further dampen safe-haven demand.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is accumulating, trying to recover back to 4163, 4200
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4163 - 4165 SL 4170
TP1: $4150
TP2: $4135
TP3: $4120
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4003 - 4001 SL 3996
TP1: $4020
TP2: $4035
TP3: $4050
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GBPUSD Short Confluence and stacking the oddsFPMARKETS:GBPUSD
Fundamental: Bearish (5/5).
Technical: Bearish (7/7) — Diamond Vault (7-Stack) candidate; SL=0.0121, TP distance=0.0314.
Weak UK inflation and growth; dollar steadies. Trend structure bearish across EMAs; momentum favors sellers while rebounds face supply overhead.
GBPUSD - SELL - Descending channel Market Context:
• Descending Channel in play
• Price testing upper boundary (dynamic resistance)
• Previous Supply Zone adds strong rejection potential
Trade Plan:
• Entry: 1.3400 – 1.3420
• Stop Loss: 1.3470 (above last swing high)
• Target 1: 1.3350 (channel midpoint)
• Target 2: 1.3220 (major demand zone)
• RR: ~1:3.6 to T2
Key Notes:
• Wait for bearish candlestick confirmation
• Take partial profit at T1, move SL to breakeven
• High-probability counter-trend trade within channel
Gold prices begin to recover, big fluctuations⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) drops below $4,100 in Wednesday’s Asian session, extending its sharpest selloff in over a decade as traders lock in profits after a nine-week record-breaking rally. Easing US-China trade tensions ahead of the November 1 tariff deadline further dampen safe-haven demand.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Currently, the gold price fluctuates greatly and moves quickly. There are signs of recovery and retreat to the resistance zone around 4235.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4235 - 4237 SL 4242
TP1: $4222
TP2: $4200
TP3: $4170
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTC - Prepare for Wick to 35,000Here I display the long stop loss orders contained in order blocks below price.
These leveraged sell orders only fulfill when price crosses over the level, leaving a chain reaction or sell orders in the chart already - ready to trigger off one into the next.
This mechanic within crypto is what created wicks. I’m showing you here that they can be predicted and traded.
Prepare for this to happen anytime now.
- DD
Rejected Hard from 112K | BTC Headed for 105K and Beyond!?
Hey all, just sharing my short-term bias and levels I’m watching for BTCUSD based on price action and RSI clues.
Price got a clean rejection from the 112k supply zone, and now it’s sliding down with momentum. That orange box acted as a solid wall — no surprise there.
After that drop, price is hovering around 107.5k, but I don’t expect this to hold for long without some bullish fuel (which I don’t see right now).
📉 My Plan:
I’m looking for two key levels to the downside:
🥇 Expect 1: 105025 – This is my first target. I think we’ll see a short bounce from here, maybe a fakeout or trap move before further fall.
🥈 Expect 2: 102286 – If price closes below 105k and fails to reclaim it quickly, then I’m confident this level will be tested next.
I might look to enter short again if we bounce to 108.5–109.5k zone and start showing weakness (wick rejections, lower highs, RSI divergence, etc.).
Short term correction - down below 4300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) dips to around $4,245 in early Asian trading on Monday, pausing after its record-breaking rally. The pullback comes as physical demand eases following the festive surge, while traders await China’s Q3 GDP, Industrial Production, and Retail Sales data later in the day. Last week, the metal gained support from India’s festive demand and robust ETF inflows. However, with fundamentals largely priced in, a short-term correction or consolidation appears likely.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price started to accumulate, adjusted down below 4300 at the beginning of the week. Short-term downtrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4320 - 4322 SL 4327
TP1: $4310
TP2: $4300
TP3: $4283
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4222-$4224 SL $4217
TP1: $4235
TP2: $4250
TP3: $4270
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTCUSDT: Short Setup Active Below $110,700Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
On the 1H timeframe, Bitcoin continues to move inside a descending channel, maintaining a clear bearish structure.
After multiple tests and breakouts, the price is still unable to break through the Resistance Area around $110,700, which remains a strong supply zone.
Recently, we saw a fake breakout, followed by a return below the resistance area — confirming that buyers are losing strength. Currently, the price is forming a range near the Support Zone ($104,500–$105,000), which indicates a short-term consolidation phase before a possible next move.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect that after the range is broken to the downside, BTC will continue its decline toward the Support Zone ($104,500). If this level fails to hold, the next potential target will be the lower boundary of the descending channel around $102,300.
However, a breakout and close above $110,700 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could indicate a shift in market structure.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
9 Weeks Bull Run Is Over, $4000 In Sight Gold has officially broken out of its 9-week bullish rally, marking a shift in market structure. The recent breakout below the ascending channel signals the end of the strong upward momentum.
Now, price is clearly respecting key support levels on its way down. Each level is acting as a temporary pause in the move, but momentum remains bearish.
If this structure continues to hold, we anticipate a continued correction toward the $4000 zone, which aligns with previous demand and technical confluence.
Bearish Outlook
Bullish channel broken
Price respecting lower support zones
Correction likely to extend to $4000
Note: A clean break below each support zone increases the probability of reaching the $4000 target.
Opendoor Technologies Big Correction coming ?In this video I explore the recent explosion in the price of Opendoor Technologies .
Still along way off its All time highs but up some 2000% from the past few months alone
I analyse what could be a very key zone to build upon .
Tools used Fibs, VPR, VWAP, TPO Chart
BTC Short Update - Prepare for Wicks to these LevelsAn update on my ultimate swing short trade:
There’s a good possibility this swing will be the speed of a scalp trade, at least the first drop to 35,000
Prepare for wicks to the following lows:
Wick 1 - 34,700-35,000 bottom
Retrace Up to 77,500, reject at 77,500
Wick 2 - 7,250 to 9,000 range
Happy trading and thanks for following my ideas.
- DD






















