GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 17 - Nov 21]Last week, OANDA:XAUUSD prices rose from $3,999/oz to $4,245/oz, but then fell sharply to $4,032/oz and closed the week at $4,084/oz.
The reason gold prices rose sharply last week after news of the US government reopening was because White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) may never release October employment and inflation data because the federal government was shut down during this period, not doing statistical work. These comments put the USD under selling pressure, pushing gold prices above $4,200/oz.
However, hawkish comments from Fed officials later pushed gold prices down sharply to $4,032/oz. Specifically, St. Louis Fed Governor Alberto Musalem said that the labor market is expected to remain at near full employment and the Fed needs to be cautious in operating monetary policy at this time. Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed Governor Neel Kashkari emphasized that inflation is still too high, meaning the Fed should pause interest rate cuts.
The sharp decline in market expectations of a Fed rate cut in December may continue to have a negative impact on gold prices in the short term. However, gold prices will hardly fall sharply as macro risks and geopolitical conflicts persist and central banksโ demand for gold continues to increase.
๐According to technical analysis, the support level for gold prices next week is at 3,930 USD/oz. If it holds above this level, gold prices will continue to hover around 4,000 USD/oz in the short term. However, if gold prices fall below this level next week, they may fall to the 3,800 USD/oz area.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4176 - 4174โก๏ธ
โ โ Stop Loss 4180
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3949 - 3951โก๏ธ
โ โ Stop Loss 3945
Signals
BTCUSD Technical Analysis โ Is a Correction on the Way?BINANCE:BTCUSD is currently trading inside a well-defined falling wedge, and the price is pressing against the lower boundary of the pattern. This level could serve as dynamic support, and if a strong rejection occurs, we may see a corrective move toward the 102,000 resistance area.
If sellers successfully defend that zone, the bearish structure remains intact, increasing the likelihood of BTCUSD moving back down to lower price levels. However, if price breaks above this resistance, a deeper correction toward the upper boundary of the wedge could unfold.
At this stage, closely monitoring candlestick signals and volume activity around this key area is essential for spotting high-quality selling opportunities. Ensure every trade setup is backed by solid confirmation, and always maintain strict risk management.
If you have any thoughts or additional perspectives on this setup, Iโd be happy to hear them. Feel free to share your opinion in the comments!
BTCUSDT.P - November 6, 2025BTCUSDT is currently consolidating above a rising trendline, with potential breakout zones at $104,496 for a bullish move targeting $106,659, or below $102,684 for a bearish continuation toward $101,164. The setup suggests a breakout-driven trade depending on which level is breached first.
GOLD Bearish Pennant! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD bearish pennant has already broken down, confirming displacement and shifting orderflow bearish. Price is now likely to target the next liquidity pocket below. Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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US30 FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
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US30 taps a key demand zone after a clean liquidity sweep, signaling potential displacement higher. If bullish orderflow sustains, a premium retracement toward the target zone is likely.
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Entry: 46,590
Stop Loss: 46,408
Take Profit: 46,808
Time Frame: 4H
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LONG๐
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BITCOIN Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN taps into a major higher-timeframe demand area, reclaiming structure and sweeping downside liquidity. A bullish reaction here may drive price toward the next internal range high.
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Stop Loss: 88,783$
Take Profit: 94,407$
Entry Level: 91,500$
Time Frame: 1D
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Buy!
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TESLA FREE SIGANL|SHORT|
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TESLA Price reacts off a premium-priced supply block, showing bearish displacement and a clean break in structure. Retracement into the imbalance may fuel continuation lower.
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Entry: 408.98$
Stop Loss: 424.00$
Take Profit: 392.00$
Time Frame: 4H
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SHORT๐ฅ
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NATGAS Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS broke down from the bearish wedge, signalling displacement and a shift in order flow. After sweeping internal liquidity, price is expected to expand lower toward the marked target demand zone. Time Frame 4H.
Sell!
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GOLD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
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XAUUSD broke cleanly below the 4H supply after taking buy-side liquidity. With displacement confirming bearish order flow, price is expected to target the sell-side liquidity pool near the marked zone. Time Frame 4H.
LONG๐
โ
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NZD-CHF Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZDCHF already pulled back into the horizontal supply, filling imbalance and grabbing buy-side liquidity. With distribution forming, price is expected to extend lower toward the target sell-side liquidity zone. Time Frame 2H.
Sell!
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VISA flashed a huge Sell SignalVisa Inc. (V) has been trading within a 7-year Channel Up and two weeks ago closed below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Given that this took place after a June Higher High, we can claim that this break-out has confirmed the new Bear Cycle/ Leg of the pattern.
Observe the incredible symmetry of the 1W MACD, which on the current level (-0.0058), it was when the November 01 2021 and March 09 2020 breaks below the 1W MA50 occurred. They both eventually crashed to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up.
As a result, we officially turn bearish on this stock and based on the previous Bearish Leg that broke below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and hit the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding into the new Bullish Leg, we expect to see the price drop to $265.00 before forming a bottom. That would be a potential contact with the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) as well.
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AUD-JPY Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUDJPY reacts from a premium supply zone, showing clear distribution and a shift in structure. Liquidity below remains the next draw as bearish orderflow continues. Time Frame 4H.
Sell!
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XAUUSD Far from signaling a BUY yet.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a +1 year Channel Up and has found itself on a correction (Bearish Leg) since it's All Time High (ATH), which was a Higher High for the pattern, 1 month ago.
Despite this -11% Bearish Leg so far, it hasn't even broken yet below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is something it has done on both previous Bearish Legs. As you can see those have been fairly similar to the current one (-10.92% and -9.32% respectively). All started after roughly +40% Bullish Legs led to those.
Notice also that both Bullish Legs had to test the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) before the started. At the same time the 1W RSI hit its Buy Zone.
As a result, Gold hasn't waved a buy signal yet.
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ASTERUSDT.P - November 18, 2025Price is trading within a broad range, with clear resistance around 1.27โ1.28 and major support near 1.18โ1.19. A descending trendline from recent highs suggests weakening bullish momentum, and the chart implies a possible retest of resistance before a move back toward support.
BTCUSDTP. - November 18, 2025Price is pulling back toward a clear support zone around 93,000, with a deeper support level near 92,000, while the nearest resistance sits around 96,200 along a descending trendline. The chart suggests a possible bounce from support toward resistance, but a break below 93,000 could open the way toward 92,000.
If trading this setup, the long scenario is higher-risk, as price is currently trending downward into support and could continue lower before reversing.
Lingrid | AUDUSD Weekly High False Breakout - Sell SetupFX:AUDUSD is rejecting the resistance block after forming a clear lower high right beneath the descending red trendline. Price is now slipping back under the minor breakout zone, showing fading bullish momentum inside the shaded range. As long as price stays below 0.6550, sellers remain in control with a clean path toward the 0.6500 liquidity zone. A break and retest of that zone may open further downside into the deeper support area.
โ ๏ธ Risks:
A strong reclaim above 0.6550 would invalidate the bearish structure.
Sudden USD weakness could trigger a corrective bounce.
Failure to hold below the blue trendline may cause a short-term squeeze before continuation lower.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. Iโm excited to read your thoughts!
NASDAQ Can the 1D MA50 give one more rally??Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 6-month Channel Up and Friday saw the price breaking below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the pattern, but managed to close back above it for the 2nd time in a week (blue circles).
This resembles the September 02 break, which eventually also closed above it and initiated a +9.59% Bullish Leg. With the 1D RSI also testing a similar Support Zone with September's, we expect the index to initiate the new Bullish Leg, as long as it continues to close its daily candles above the 1D MA50.
Our Target is 26900 (+9.59%).
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BITCOIN The 1W MA50 Bear confirmation you didnt want, happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed last week below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 06 2023. Since that break-out, the 1W MA50 had been tested and held on 3 major occasions within the Bull Cycle, providing the most optimal mid-Cycle entries during those 2.5 years.
What's even more important than this time distance, is the fact that every 1W candle closing below the 1W MA50 has always marked/ confirmed the start of the new Bear Cycle historically. This is something that we've presented to you and discussed numerous times this year, as we were analyzing BTC's 4-year Cycle theory and why October was the most likely Cycle Top candidate time-wise.
This time we are looking at the previous Cycle more specifically, due to the strong similarities so far leading to the current Top. First of all the end-of-Cycle rallies on both started after a clear test and rebound on the 1W MA50. At the same time, the both displayed Higher Highs, against the 1W RSI's Lower Highs, which is a huge Bearish Divergence and the first strong indication that the Cycle Top may be forming.
The Cycle Top on both came when the 1W RSIs were 70.00. Also the 1W MA50 break-out took place around the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the last test/ rebound. As you may realize, there is a high degree of symmetry here both price-wise and in terms of RSI. If that continues, we can expect the Bear Cycle bottom to be at least on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $55000.
So do you think that the closing below the 1W MA50 has confirmed the new Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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NZD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 86.923 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NZ/JPY pair.
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: The $4,000 Gatekeeper DecidesOANDA:XAUUSD recent rally hit a wall, surrendering a significant chunk of its weekly gains as trading volume dried up, signaling waning bullish conviction. The critical resistance zone near $4,250 proved impenetrable, acting like a magnet that pulled price back down after a brief flirtation. This failure to break higher, combined with the fading volume, suggests the market run out of steam. A decisive breach below the $4,000 psychological and technical level could act as a catalyst, unleashing deeper corrective pressure and potentially retesting the recent higher low near $3,900.
Looking at the broader picture, the 4H chart reveals a powerful uptrend from Octoberโs bottom, which has now entered a complex corrective phase. Price is currently consolidating within a triangle pattern, defined by a lower high trendline and a rising support line converging near $4,000. This setup is a classic sign of indecision; a breakdown through the triangleโs lower boundary would confirm bearish momentum and likely target the next major support zone around $3,900-$3,850. Conversely, a bounce off would invalidate this bearish scenario and could propel price toward the $4,200 resistance area once more. The previous weekly high (PWH) at $4,030 acts as an immediate pivot point; holding above it offers a glimmer of hope for bulls, while a close below it would be a bearish signal.
For the coming week, the key watchlist is the $4,000 level. If price holds firm here, expect continued consolidation or a shallow bounce toward the $4,200. However, if sellers gain control and push price decisively under $4,000, the narrative shifts entirely. We should prepare for a potential ABC corrective wave, the drop below $4,000 becomes final leg down. Keep an eye on the triangle formation; its resolution will dictate the short-term direction. At the moment, the path of least resistance lies at $4,000 โ the last barrier between consolidation and correction.
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GOLD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 4,085.57.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 3,997.50 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.161.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.167 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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