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CADJPY Set for October Crash? Institutions Bet Big on Yen 📊 Multi-Factor Analysis – CADJPY COT Data JPY: Net long positions are strongly increasing → Non-Commercial long +14.7K, Commercial long +12K. Institutional flows favor the Yen, confirming a bullish bias on JPY. CAD: Heavy liquidation → Commercial longs -49K, shorts -59K, Non-Commercial longs decreasing (-2.9K). Net positioning shows bearish sentiment on CAD, with a clear prevalence of short exposure among speculators. 👉 Interpretation: Institutional flows point toward a strong JPY and weak CAD → bearish bias on CADJPY. Seasonality CAD: Historically weak in October (negative averages in 20Y and 15Y, worsening in 5Y and 2Y). JPY: Historically strong in October, especially on short-term frames (5Y and 2Y very bullish). 👉 Interpretation: Seasonality supports a bearish scenario on CADJPY during October. Retail Sentiment 90% Long vs 10% Short on CADJPY. 👉 Extreme retail long positioning = contrarian bearish signal → potential for further downside pressure. Technical Analysis CADJPY broke below the descending trendline. Currently trading inside the weekly demand zone (105–106), acting as short-term support. RSI oversold → likely technical bounce toward 106.8–107.2 (supply + trendline) before continuation lower. Primary structure remains bearish, with medium-term targets at 104.80–105.00.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
EUR/GBP Rejected at 0.8760 - Is a Pullback to 0.8660 Next?🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) GBP Futures: Non-commercial longs increased (+3,704) while shorts decreased (-912) → speculators are turning more bullish on the Pound. Commercials slightly increased shorts (-1,853) but remain largely neutral. Euro Futures: Non-commercial longs decreased (-789) while shorts increased (+2,625) → signaling bearish pressure on the Euro. 📌 Combined Result: Clear imbalance in favor of GBP, with stronger net positioning compared to the Euro. 🔹 FX Sentiment (retail positioning) EUR/GBP: 87% short vs 13% long. 📌 Extremely skewed retail positioning → contrarian signal → short-term upside potential for EUR/GBP, but macro context still favors GBP strength. 🔹 Seasonality September and October show a historically neutral to slightly bearish bias over 15–20 years. November–December tend to favor the Euro with seasonal rebounds. 📌 In the short term, there is no strong seasonal support for an EUR/GBP rally. 🔹 Price Action Strong rejection from the 0.8740–0.8760 supply zone, with consolidation below resistance. Possible retracement toward demand area 0.8660–0.8680, aligning with the dynamic trendline. RSI is neutral, no major divergences, but momentum is cooling. Structure remains bullish only above 0.8760; otherwise, risk of reversal toward 0.8620–0.8600.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
8
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.177. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.168 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD Rejected Hard at 1.19 COT (Commitment of Traders) Euro FX: Non-commercials slightly reduced longs (-789) but increased shorts significantly (+2,625). Commercials added both longs (+4,978) and shorts (+3,375), signaling hedging but with a defensive bias. → Net positioning remains positive on the Euro, but short pressure is increasing. USD Index: Non-commercial longs rose (+1,541), while shorts decreased (-1,009). → USD strengthened by large speculators. 📌 Interpretation: Imbalance in favor of the Dollar, with the market turning more cautious on the Euro. FX Sentiment 55% short EUR/USD vs 45% long. 📌 Retail is slightly skewed short → often contrarian → could support limited upside, but not extreme. Seasonality September is historically weak for EUR/USD (-0.01/-0.012 over 5–10 years). October is also negative, while November–December historically show rebounds. 📌 Short-term seasonal bias (September–October) remains bearish. Price Action Strong rejection from the 1.1850–1.1900 supply zone. Currently testing the 1.1740 area. Bearish structure with probable downside targets at demand zones: 1.1650 → first key level. 1.1550 → deeper bearish extension if USD strength persists. Only a stable recovery above 1.1820 would invalidate the bearish scenario. Trading Outlook Main Bias: Bearish in the short term (Sep–Oct), supported by COT (USD strength), negative seasonality, and technical rejection. Contrarian Risk: Slight retail shorts could trigger minor rebounds, but overall setup favors selling rallies.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
12
GBP/JPY Bears Back in Control – Is 195.50 the Next Target?🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) GBP Futures: Non-commercial longs increased (+3,704) while shorts decreased (-912) → speculators are turning more bullish on the Pound. JPY Futures: Non-commercial longs sharply increased (+14,727) while shorts declined (-3,362) → strong bullish momentum returning to the Yen. 📌 Combined interpretation: Opposite momentum — both GBP and JPY show long accumulation, but the strength is significantly higher on the Yen, suggesting potential short-term weakness for GBP/JPY. 🔹 FX Sentiment (retail positioning) 59% short vs 41% long. 📌 Retail slightly skewed short → moderate contrarian signal, but not extreme. A short-term bounce is possible, though the broader macro picture remains fragile for GBP. 🔹 Seasonality October is historically bullish for GBP/JPY on a 5–10 year average (+1.8% to +2.4%). However, 15–20 year data show a more neutral to slightly negative bias, reflecting volatility rather than stable direction. 📌 Overall, a neutral-to-bullish seasonal bias, but vulnerable to a technical correction after the strong rallies seen in August–September. 🔹 Price Action Strong rejection from the 200.50–201.00 supply zone with consecutive bearish daily closes. Current dynamic support sits around 197.00–196.50, aligned with the ascending trendline. RSI remains neutral and far from oversold → room for further downside. Possible pullback toward 199.00–199.50 before a new bearish leg. Main downside targets: 195.50, then 194.00 as an extended target. 🔹 Trading Outlook Main Bias: Short-term bearish, with JPY strength (COT) and a corrective structure following the 201.00 top. Contrarian Risk: Slight retail short bias could trigger a minor bounce before continuation lower. Key Levels: Resistance: 199.50 / 200.50 Support: 197.00 / 195.50 / 194.00 🎯 Outlook: Expect a pullback toward 199.00 before another bearish move toward 195.50. Daily structure remains bearish as long as 200.50 holds.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
ICP: False Break, Bullish Reversal in PlaySince the low from early April, ICP has traded within a well-defined range between $4.5 and $6.0. Recently, the price broke below the range support, reaching as low as $4.0, but this move lacked follow-through. Instead, ICP quickly rebounded — a classic false break signal. This rebound also resulted in a break above the descending trendline that started in mid-August, giving the chart a decisively bullish tone. At this stage, all signals point toward further upside continuation, with the upper boundary near $6.0 as the first natural target. However, considering that false breaks in one direction often lead to real breaks in the opposite, there’s a strong possibility that ICP could break above $6.0 in the medium term, potentially accelerating toward the key $10.0 zone. ________________________________________ ✅ Key Takeaways: • Range: $4.5 – $6.0 • False break below $4.0 reversed quickly • Trendline from August broken to the upside • Bullish outlook → targets $6.0 and possibly $10.0
COINBASE:ICPUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Bitcoin: Mild Pullback Before Eyeing Fresh HighsHello everyone, Bitcoin continues to capture attention after reaching a peak of 120,324 USD before easing slightly to around 119,793 USD. This pullback is viewed as a technical pause within a broader uptrend rather than a sign of reversal. From a technical perspective, BTC remains above the Ichimoku cloud and is supported by FVG zones around 119,000–118,500 USD. Trading volume surged at the 120,000 USD level, highlighting strong institutional buying and reinforcing the bullish outlook. On the news front, the US dollar is weakening due to the risk of a government shutdown, while capital inflows from ETFs and major institutions continue to flow into the market. Combined with the current low interest rate environment, Bitcoin increasingly stands out as an attractive safe-haven asset. In the near term, Bitcoin is expected to hold support at 119,000–118,500 USD and rebound towards 122,000 USD, with extended targets at 125,000 USD and even 128,000 USD if momentum remains strong. Only a break below 118,500 USD would open the door for a deeper correction towards 117,800–116,500 USD before recovery attempts resume. What’s your view? Will BTC/USDT hold the line and move on to conquer 125,000 USD?
Long
by EmmaChartist
14
AVL/USDT (AVALON LABS) WILL THE BURN SYSTEM BREAKOUT THIS COIN..This is a cycle update with the DCA effect. The coin has entered a new DCA phase, which includes the possibility of a decrease in supply. A reduced supply could support higher prices, especially with the team’s burning mechanism that has already been implemented in part. If the burning system continues as expected, there is a strong chance that the price of this token could soon target $0.50. ✅ Fact: Avalon Labs has already conducted significant burns (e.g., ~80M AVL and later ~14M AVL), which reduced supply. ✅ Possible outcome: If they continue burning tokens and demand remains stable or grows, the reduced supply could push the price upward — mathematically, $0.50 is a reasonable short-term target (especially given the ~$0.26–0.27 current range).
Long
by SatochiTrader
USDCAD Rejected on its 1D MA200. Sell signal.Last time we looked at the USDCAD pair (August 21, see chart below), the Channel Up gave us an excellent sell signal right on its top, which easily hit our 1.37715 Target: The market is currently giving us a strong signal yet again as the price not only hit the top of its Channel Up but also the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since May 13 2025. That was the time it suffered a brutal rejection to multi-month lows and again upon testing it yesterday, it is being rejected. With the 1D RSI also hitting its own Resistance Zone, we expect the price to pull-back to at least its 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, similar to August 07. As a result, our short-term Target is 1.8570. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
NVIDIA What happens when it retests a Resistance after a break?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been on a strong rise since the mid-term September 05 Low and this week finally broke above its previous $184 High. During the current Bull Cycle (since the October 2022 bottom), every time the price broke above a previous High and re-tested it as a Support, it started a secondary rally to new Highs. Technically, as long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds, we should see at least a 1.382 Fibonacci extension test, similar to the February 2023 and June 2024 Highs. As a result, once the current former High / Resistance level finishes getting re-tested, we expect an end-of-the-year rally to $240. Additionally, we will keep an eye on the 1W RSI. Typically, once it gets massively overbought above 85.00 and then starts to decline within an Arc peak formation, the time to Sell is after the middle of that Arc. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
7
NZD-CAD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! NZDCAD taps into demand and holds structure, with Smart Money accumulation pointing to higher pricing. Imbalance fills hint at continuation toward premium levels. ------------------- Stop Loss: 0.8105 Take Profit: 0.8158 Entry: 0.8136 Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
2
CHF-JPY Short From Supply Ahead! Sell! Hello,Traders! CHFJPY is about to retest the horizontal supply area, where Smart Money seeks to mitigate orders. A rejection from this zone signals distribution, with price likely to rebalance inefficiency toward 184.95. Time Frame 3H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
CAD/JPY: Recovery in Progress with Key Resistance Levels AheadCAD/JPY has bounced from the 105.25 low following a recent selloff and is now climbing back within the ascending channel. Price action is forming a recovery structure, with momentum building toward the 106.50–107.00 resistance zone. Maintaining support above the 105.60–105.80 area is crucial for the bullish outlook to remain intact. If momentum holds, the pair may extend the move into a broader reversal, targeting the higher 107.90 resistance level in the sessions ahead.
Long
by RTED_Investing
2
XAU/USD: Bullish Continuation Builds Within Upward ChannelXAU/USD continues to hold its structure inside the upward channel, recently rebounding from trendline support near 3,845. Price action is forming a series of higher lows, with bullish momentum strengthening after a breakout above equal highs, pointing toward the 3,923 resistance level. As long as the price remains above 3,844, the bullish bias stays intact, supporting continuation toward the 3,940–3,960 target zone within the channel. Momentum favors buyers, with the broader trend still aligned to the upside.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
EURUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17430 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17339.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
AVL/USDT IS ABLE TO BREAK IN THE COMING TIME TO $0,50✅ AVL has confirmed above both the low time frame and the main trend, showing strong bullish structure. 📈 With this setup, the chart is signaling a potential continuation move toward the $0.50 zone – the next major resistance. Current support zone is holding well, which adds strength to the bullish case. As long as AVL stays above the trend confirmations, momentum remains in favor of a breakout. ⚡ Outlook: Structure is positive, and upside potential toward $0.50 is active.
Long
by SatochiTrader
BTCUSD: Weekly reviewThis week, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD recorded a strong rally, moving from 109,900 → 120,800, equivalent to about +10,900 USD (+9.9%). After last week’s sharp decline, the market clearly reversed into an uptrend as price broke out and held firmly above the EMA. Today is Friday, and the market may experience strong volatility due to the Non-Farm Employment Change (NFP) report – an event that often has a major impact on price movement and trading strategies during the day. Key Setups of the Week 1. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Review – September 29 After a sharp drop, BTC rebounded, broke out of the range, and held above the EMA. This was an early signal confirming a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. 2. BTC Review – September 30 After breaking out of the larger range and rallying strongly, the plan was to wait for a pullback toward the EMA. Price formed a diagonal wave and gave confirmation signals through DD (Double Doji) / FB (First Breakout). The entry was triggered, and the market rallied nicely, hitting the target as expected. 3. BTC Review – October 1 After the rally, BTC retraced and closed below the EMA. At this point, the short-term trend was unclear → staying out and waiting for more market data to avoid unnecessary risk. 4. BTC Review – October 2 On the following day, price recovered and consolidated right at the upper boundary of the range. EMA pressed tightly, creating a momentum compression zone and setting up for the next breakout. The plan was to wait for RB/ARB confirmation, then Buy following the breakout. This setup worked out successfully, BTC broke out strongly and continued to hit the target. 5. BTC Review – October 3 The main bullish trend continued, showing no signs of weakness. The plan: wait for a pullback to the EMA, confirm a FB/SB (Second Breakout) signal, then Buy in line with the uptrend. The scenario played out accurately, delivering another profitable setup. Conclusion Trend of the week: Clearly bullish. Buy setups around EMA and breakout strategies performed effectively, resulting in a consistent winning streak. Caution for today: With NFP on the schedule, unusual volatility may occur. Traders should manage risk carefully and patiently wait for clear confirmation signals before entering the market. You can refer to my previous analysis here: Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ZuperView