Lingrid | EURUSD Monthly High Rejection Short OpportunityFX:EURUSD has pushed into the 1.17700 supply band, where the October high aligns with a channel border, creating a dense resistance cluster. The rally looks extended after a sharp A-B-C recovery from support, and recent candles show hesitation rather than follow-through. While structure remains technically bullish above the upward trendline, momentum is beginning to stall near premium pricing.
If bears step in at this historic level, price could rotate lower toward the 1.1670 zone, where prior breakout structure and dynamic support converge. That area may attract bids again, but only after a corrective flush relieves the current imbalance.
➡️ Primary scenario: rejection at 1.1770 → pullback toward 1.1670.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a firm close above 1.1780 could invalidate the rejection setup and open continuation toward 1.1800
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Signals
BTC Bearish continuation incomingPrice rejected hard at the descending trendline, now consolidating below 88k key level. Expect breakdown to 77k target, then full retest of 76k lows.
Bulls calling for 100k+ are ignoring the macro downtrend – this is distribution, not accumulation.
Short bias until proven otherwise. Risk management first."
Controversial Title:
"Bears Still Own Bitcoin – 100k Moonboys Are Delusional"
Post this exactly like that. It’ll trigger the perma-bulls, get engagement, and separate real traders from hopium addicts. No mercy – if your setup is wrong, the market will punish you anyway. Grind smart.
AUDCAD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.912.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.919 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 6,339.4.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 6,221.8 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTCUSDT.P - December 17, 2025Price has reversed from a short‑term downtrend and is now forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating emerging bullish momentum toward the marked profit resistance zone near 89,770. The long entry around 85,938 is positioned above a support cluster, with the stop placed below recent swing lows, giving a favorable reward‑to‑risk profile if the current impulsive leg continues. Retracement targets around 86,069–85,808 highlight potential pullback zones where buyers may re‑enter in line with the developing uptrend.
AUD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUDJPY taps into a strong demand zone after a liquidity grab below recent lows. Bullish order flow and clean displacement suggest smart money defending this area, opening room for a pullback-and-go scenario toward premium liquidity. Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDCAD; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders!
Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach:
🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe.
🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games.
❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload.
❌ No overanalyzing the market; use only two time frames.
❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen.
✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style.
✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups.
✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset.
💬 Let’s Talk:
💡Do you trade supply & demand too ?
💡What’s your go-to timeframe ?
💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ?
📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share.
Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
CAD-JPY Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CADJPY shows a clean reaction from a well-defined demand zone, with sell-side liquidity already swept and displacement confirming bullish intent. Current structure favors a continuation higher toward the next liquidity pool above, as price holds in premium mitigation and demand remains respected. Time Frame 4H.
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY LOCAL SHORT|
✅GBPJPY is reacting to a key ICT supply zone after a strong displacement lower, showing clear rejection and bearish market structure shift. The recent pullback looks corrective, favoring a continuation move toward sell-side liquidity resting below, with downside targets aligned in discount. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
S&P500 Will it have a big correction in 2026 back to 5500?The S&500 (SPX) has been trading within a massive 16-year Channel Up since the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis. Within this pattern it has been repeating various shorter fractals as you can see on this chart it is one that truly stands out.
That's the necessity of the market to correct back to its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) every time it reaches a Top after an exhaustion rally. With the 1W RSI on a Lower Highs Bearish Divergence (against the price's Higher Highs), there is no better time to consider a market top, thus a strong correction, especially after such a non-stop exhaustion rally since the April 2025 Low.
Based on the 1W MA200 trajectory, we make a fair estimate that contact can be achieved around the 5500 level, which will be our next long-term buy on stocks. Alternatively, if the 1W RSI approaches the 30.00 oversold level, without the index touching 5500, it will be a good idea to Buy regardless of the price.
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
ESG and Carbon Credit TradingThe New Architecture of Sustainable Finance
In the modern global economy, sustainability has shifted from being a moral consideration to a strategic and financial imperative. At the center of this transformation lie ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) principles and carbon credit trading, two closely linked frameworks that are reshaping how businesses, investors, and governments measure value, manage risk, and pursue long-term growth. Together, they form the backbone of sustainable finance and climate-aligned markets.
Understanding ESG: Beyond Profits
ESG refers to a set of non-financial criteria used to evaluate a company’s operations and long-term resilience.
Environmental (E): How a company manages its impact on nature—carbon emissions, energy usage, waste management, water conservation, and biodiversity.
Social (S): How it treats employees, customers, and communities—labor practices, human rights, diversity, workplace safety, and customer responsibility.
Governance (G): How it is managed—board structure, executive compensation, transparency, shareholder rights, and ethical conduct.
Unlike traditional financial metrics that focus mainly on short-term profitability, ESG frameworks aim to capture long-term sustainability and risk-adjusted performance. Investors increasingly believe that companies with strong ESG practices are better positioned to handle regulatory changes, reputational risks, climate shocks, and social disruptions.
Why ESG Matters in Capital Markets
ESG has become a decisive factor in global capital allocation. Institutional investors, sovereign wealth funds, pension funds, and asset managers now integrate ESG scores into portfolio decisions. This shift is driven by three powerful forces:
Risk Management: Climate change, social unrest, and governance failures can destroy shareholder value. ESG analysis helps identify hidden risks.
Regulatory Pressure: Governments worldwide are mandating ESG disclosures, forcing companies to report sustainability metrics alongside financial results.
Investor Preference: A growing base of investors prefers companies aligned with ethical, environmental, and social responsibility.
As a result, ESG is no longer a “nice-to-have” feature—it directly affects stock valuations, borrowing costs, and access to global capital.
Carbon Credit Trading: Putting a Price on Pollution
Carbon credit trading is a market-based mechanism designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by assigning a monetary value to carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases.
A carbon credit typically represents the right to emit one metric ton of CO₂ (or equivalent gases). Companies that emit less than their allowed quota can sell surplus credits, while high emitters must buy credits to offset excess emissions.
There are two major carbon markets:
Compliance Markets: Mandated by governments (e.g., cap-and-trade systems). Companies must comply with legally binding emission limits.
Voluntary Carbon Markets (VCMs): Companies voluntarily purchase credits to meet sustainability goals, net-zero pledges, or ESG commitments.
By attaching a financial cost to emissions, carbon trading incentivizes businesses to innovate, adopt cleaner technologies, and improve energy efficiency.
The Link Between ESG and Carbon Credit Trading
Carbon credit trading is a practical tool that directly supports the Environmental pillar of ESG. Companies with strong ESG strategies often use carbon credits to:
Offset unavoidable emissions
Achieve carbon neutrality or net-zero targets
Demonstrate measurable climate action to investors
Improve ESG ratings and sustainability scores
In essence, carbon markets convert climate responsibility into a tradable financial instrument, aligning environmental goals with market incentives.
Carbon Credits as a Financial Asset
Over time, carbon credits have evolved from regulatory instruments into tradable assets. They are now bought and sold by:
Corporations managing emissions
Financial institutions and hedge funds
ESG-focused investment funds
Commodity traders and exchanges
This financialization has increased liquidity, price discovery, and global participation, while also introducing volatility and speculation. Carbon prices now respond to policy changes, economic growth, energy transitions, and geopolitical developments—much like traditional commodities.
ESG Ratings and Corporate Strategy
Companies are increasingly embedding ESG into their core strategies rather than treating it as a compliance exercise. Carbon credit trading plays a critical role in this shift:
Operational Strategy: Firms invest in renewable energy, efficiency upgrades, and carbon offsets to reduce exposure to carbon costs.
Reputation Management: Transparent use of high-quality carbon credits enhances credibility with stakeholders.
Capital Access: Strong ESG performance lowers financing costs and attracts long-term investors.
However, the effectiveness of ESG depends on authentic action, not cosmetic compliance.
Challenges and Criticism
Despite their promise, ESG and carbon credit markets face several challenges:
Greenwashing: Some companies exaggerate ESG claims or rely excessively on low-quality carbon offsets.
Lack of Standardization: ESG ratings vary widely across agencies, creating confusion and inconsistency.
Carbon Credit Quality: Not all credits deliver real, additional, and permanent emission reductions.
Market Transparency: Voluntary carbon markets still lack unified oversight and pricing benchmarks.
These issues have sparked calls for stricter regulation, better disclosure standards, and improved verification mechanisms.
The Role of Technology
Technology is accelerating trust and efficiency in ESG and carbon markets:
Blockchain: Ensures traceability and prevents double-counting of carbon credits.
AI and Data Analytics: Improve ESG scoring, emissions tracking, and risk assessment.
Satellite Monitoring: Verifies forest conservation, renewable energy output, and land-use projects.
These innovations are helping transform ESG and carbon trading into more reliable and scalable systems.
Future Outlook: ESG and Carbon Trading as Economic Pillars
Looking ahead, ESG and carbon credit trading are expected to become central pillars of the global financial system. As climate risks intensify and governments tighten emissions regulations, carbon prices are likely to rise, making sustainability a competitive advantage rather than a cost burden.
Key future trends include:
Integration of carbon pricing into mainstream financial models
Expansion of regulated carbon markets across emerging economies
Greater convergence of ESG reporting standards
Increased investor scrutiny of carbon offset quality
Conclusion
ESG and carbon credit trading represent a fundamental shift in how markets define value, risk, and responsibility. By embedding environmental and social costs into financial decision-making, they bridge the gap between economic growth and planetary limits. While challenges remain, their evolution signals a future where sustainability and profitability are no longer opposing goals—but interconnected drivers of long-term success.
In this new financial architecture, companies that adapt early and authentically will not only comply with regulations but also gain strategic, reputational, and financial advantages in a rapidly changing world.
USD/JPY Trading Below SMA Signals Downside RiskUSD/JPY "THE NINJA" - BEARISH PROFIT PATHWAY SETUP 📉💰
📊 MARKET STATUS (REAL-TIME VERIFIED)
Current Price: ~154.79 - 155.14 ✅
Timeframe: 4H Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment: BEARISH with Strong Technical Confirmation
🎯 TRADE SETUP BREAKDOWN
🔴 ENTRY STRATEGY
Wait for Confirmation: Simple Moving Average BREAKOUT & RETEST
Entry Zone: Near @154.700
⚠️ IMPORTANT: Do NOT enter blindly! Wait for proper SMA breakout and retest confirmation in 4H timeframe.
🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT
Recommended SL: @155.500 (Thief's SL)
⚡ CRITICAL NOTES FOR OG TRADERS:
Place your SL AFTER breakout & retest confirmation
Adjust based on YOUR strategy and risk tolerance
This is NOT financial advice - trade at your own risk
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's): YOU control your risk management!
🎯 PROFIT TARGET
Primary TP: @153.500
Why This Target? 🔍
✅ Strong Support Zone
✅ Oversold Conditions
✅ Liquidity Trap Area
✅ Multi-pair Correlation Confluence
💎 SMART EXIT STRATEGY:
Scale out profits at psychological levels
Trail your SL as price moves in your favor
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's): Take money at YOUR discretion!
NOT a recommendation - YOUR money, YOUR rules!
💹 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (USD DOLLAR PAIRS)
🔗 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together with USD/JPY)
USD/CHF - Swiss Franc pair (Strong USD correlation)
USD/CAD - Canadian Dollar pair (Commodity-linked)
🔄 NEGATIVE CORRELATION (Move Opposite to USD/JPY)
EUR/USD (~-1.1765) - Euro inverse relationship
GBP/USD (~1.3387) - Pound inverse movement
AUD/USD (~0.6650) - Aussie inverse correlation
YEN CROSS PAIRS TO MONITOR
EUR/JPY (~182.05) - Euro-Yen correlation check
GBP/JPY (~207.39) - Pound-Yen higher volatility
AUD/JPY (~102.77) - Commodity currency correlation
🧠 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS & CORRELATION INSIGHTS
📌 WHY THIS SETUP WORKS:
1. USD Strength Dynamics
When USD/JPY moves down, we typically see:
EUR/USD and GBP/USD move UP (negative correlation)
JPY strength across all yen crosses (EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY decline)
2. Multi-Pair Confirmation
Watch these for bearish confirmation:
If EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY show weakness = Strong JPY buying
If AUD/JPY breaks support = Risk-off sentiment (JPY gains)
If USD/CHF weakens = General USD weakness
3. Risk Sentiment Indicator
JPY is a SAFE-HAVEN currency:
Risk-off = JPY strengthens (USD/JPY drops)
Risk-on = JPY weakens (USD/JPY rises)
4. Central Bank Watch 🏦
Federal Reserve: Rate decisions impact USD strength
Bank of Japan: Potential policy shifts affect JPY direction
Interest rate differential = KEY driver for this pair
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
🚨 READ CAREFULLY:
This is a trade idea, NOT financial advice
Past performance ≠ future results
Forex trading carries significant risk
Only risk capital you can afford to lose
Always use proper risk management (1-2% per trade max)
Adjust position sizing based on YOUR account size
NO guarantees of profit - markets are unpredictable
👥 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's):
I am NOT recommending you blindly follow this setup. This is MY analysis based on technical confluence. YOU make your own decisions. YOU manage your own risk. YOU take responsibility for YOUR trades.
📈 TRADE MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST
✅ Wait for SMA breakout confirmation
✅ Confirm retest at @154.700 zone
✅ Check correlated pairs for confluence
✅ Set SL at @155.500 (or based on YOUR strategy)
✅ Monitor EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY for JPY strength
✅ Watch USD/CHF for USD weakness confirmation
✅ Scale out at @153.500 or your target
✅ Trail SL as trade progresses
🎯 FINAL WORD
This setup combines:
Technical breakout strategy
Multi-timeframe analysis
Correlation confluence
Risk management principles
Smart money concepts
Remember: The market doesn't owe you anything. Trade smart, manage risk, and protect your capital FIRST, profits SECOND.
💬 ENGAGE WITH THIS IDEA
👍 If you found this analysis helpful!
💭 Comment your thoughts and strategy
📊 Share your USD/JPY setups
🔔 Follow for more professional trade ideas
Stay Sharp. Trade Smart. "THE NINJA" Way! 🥷
Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk. This is educational content only. Always do your own research and consult with financial professionals before trading.
#USDJPY #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #PriceAction #TheNinja #BearishSetup #ForexStrategy #CurrencyCorrelation #RiskManagement #ForexEducation #TradingIdeas #JPY #USD #ForexSignals
HYPERLIQUID Is it getting a relief rally?A month ago (November 13, see chart below), we gave a strong Sell Signal on Hyperliquid (HYPEUSD) after the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern turned into an obvious Channel Down, which easily hit our $30.00 Target:
Now we see some short-term relief before the next, larger drop as not only did the price make contact with the bottom (Lower Low trend-line) of the Channel Down, but also the 1D RSI is displaying the same kind of bottoming sequence it did on October 17.
Even though the resulting rebound/ Bullish Leg rose by +50.50%, even breaking above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, this time the move might be limited by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) posing as a Resistance, even though the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is the standard long-term one during Bear Cycles.
In any event, our 'modest' short-term Target for this bounce is $33.00.
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Lingrid | GOLD Buying Opportunity From Swap ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD is still trading within a well-defined rising channel, with the latest push printing a higher high before stalling inside the upper resistance band. The subsequent retracement appears controlled, with price rotating back into the former swap zone rather than breaking structure. This pullback looks more like digestion than distribution, as higher-timeframe trend alignment remains intact.
If buyers react around the 4,260 area where trend support and prior balance overlap, TVC:GOLD might regain upside traction and attempt another advance toward 4,335. The current zone could act as a springboard if demand absorbs the retracement pressure.
➡️ Primary scenario: support holds at 4,260 → continuation toward 4,335.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive breakdown below 4,235 may open room toward the 4,220 support.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD falls as signs of peace emerge between Russia and UkraineOANDA:XAUUSD opened the week in a noticeably weaker state. After touching the $4,350/ounce mark, the market quickly reversed course and declined as diplomatic signals related to Russia and Ukraine emerged, eroding the safe-haven role that had supported gold prices for weeks.
This time, the story didn't stem from economic data, but from politics. Progress in peace negotiations with direct participation from the US and Europe, and "leading" statements from President Trump, rapidly changed market sentiment. As geopolitical risks eased, defensive capital flows immediately faltered.
Trump publicly stated that talks with European leaders and Russian President Putin "are going well," and expressed confidence that a peace deal is more possible than ever. At the same time, Ukrainian President Zelensky signaled his willingness to abandon his goal of joining NATO in exchange for security guarantees from the West, a landmark concession in the negotiating logic.
The market reacted very pragmatically. When a prolonged conflict scenario was no longer the only option, the "risk premium" added to the price of gold had to be adjusted. Profit-taking intensified as investors realized that the safe-haven narrative was temporarily interrupted.
On the monetary side, gold also lacks new momentum. Last week, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the third time this year, but at the same time signaled it would act more cautiously. The Fed is entering a "data-waiting" phase, and the market understands that the room for easing is no longer as wide as previously expected.
Now, attention is focused on the US non-farm payrolls and retail sales reports. These figures will determine whether the Fed has sufficient grounds to continue its interest rate cutting cycle next year. With interest rates not expected to fall rapidly, gold, a non-yielding asset, is likely to experience repositioning adjustments.
The current picture suggests that gold is not entering a long-term downtrend, but is losing one of its most important pillars: "market fear." In the short term, the market will continue to trade between monetary policy expectations and geopolitical developments, where every statement from the negotiating table can have an impact no less significant than an economic report.
The core message is clear: gold isn't weakening because it's losing value, but because the world, at least for now, temporarily believes that the biggest risks can be controlled. And in financial markets, that belief, however fragile, is always enough to create volatility.
Technical analysis and suggestions OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices are entering a healthy technical correction after failing to break above the resistance zone near the all-time high around 4,330 USD. On the daily timeframe, the uptrend structure remains intact, as higher lows are still being formed and price continues to fluctuate within a medium-term ascending channel.
The current pullback mainly reflects short-term profit-taking pressure as gold approached a psychologically and technically sensitive zone. The 4,245 – 4,216 USD area is acting as a key support, converging with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement of the latest rally and short-term moving averages. The fact that price is correcting without breaking this zone suggests that large capital is still patiently holding positions.
For a new bullish cycle to form, gold needs to hold firmly above the above-mentioned support zone and achieve a clear daily close above 4,330 USD. At that point, the market would return to a “price discovery” phase, opening room for a move toward new highs.
On the risk side, if the 4,216 USD level is decisively broken, the correction could extend toward 4,130 – 3,970 USD (Fibonacci 0.236–0.382). This would represent a trend rebalancing correction, not sufficient to reverse the medium-term trend unless the higher-low structure is clearly violated.
In terms of indicators, RSI remains above the neutral zone, indicating that the uptrend is still under control. However, short-term momentum is cooling, which aligns with the current consolidation and corrective environment.
Gold is correcting within an uptrend, not reversing. This phase requires patience and discipline—the market rewards positions that align with structure, not emotion.
That concludes the article. Wishing readers a productive and happy working day!
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4317 - 4315⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4321
→Take Profit 1 4309
↨
→Take Profit 2 4303
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4245 - 4247⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4241
→Take Profit 1 4253
↨
→Take Profit 2 4259
USDJPY – Daily Compression at Key Demand: COT Divergence PointsFrom a COT perspective, the overall picture remains consistent with a phase of potential short-term structural weakening in the JPY, while at the same time showing signs of maturity in the USDJPY move. On JPY futures, Non-Commercial traders are still net long the yen (longs exceeding shorts), but the latest data highlights an increase in short positions alongside a reduction in longs, a typical distribution pattern following months of accumulation. At the same time, Non-Commercials on the Dollar Index remain heavily net short, suggesting that USD strength is increasingly fragile and driven more by tactical flows than by strong long-term conviction. This COT divergence historically tends to favor corrective moves on USDJPY rather than impulsive upside extensions.
On the daily chart, the technical structure is well defined: after the strong bullish impulse in November, price is developing a consolidation flag / descending channel, characterized by lower highs and compression toward a clearly defined daily demand zone between 154.00 and 154.50. This area has already been defended multiple times and aligns with a volume equilibrium zone. A clean break below this demand would open room toward the lower demand area around 152.00–152.50, while as long as price holds above the base of the channel, the bias remains corrective rather than structurally bearish. From a technical standpoint, the higher-probability scenario is a reaction from the demand zone with an attempt to break the upper trendline, rather than an immediate downside acceleration.
USDJPY seasonality in December has been historically positive to neutral-bullish over the past 10–20 years, with a tendency for recoveries in the second half of the month following early weakness. This supports the case for a technical rebound rather than a direct bearish continuation. Retail sentiment is almost perfectly balanced (51% long / 49% short), providing no extreme contrarian signal and reinforcing the idea of a market in a waiting and building phase, consistent with the current daily range and compression.
Overall, the operational bias remains neutral-to-bullish on weakness. The 154.00–154.50 area is a key reaction zone where a change in structure could justify tactical long exposure, with invalidation below daily demand. Only a decisive break and acceptance below 154 would shift the outlook toward a bearish continuation targeting 152, while a break of the descending trendline would confirm the resumption of the medium-term bullish trend toward 157.50–158.00.
Lingrid | SOLUSDT Consolidation Phase Then Bearish ContinuationBINANCE:SOLUSDT continues to trade beneath the descending trendline, with repeated failures around the 135–138 supply band reinforcing a sequence of lower highs. Price remains compressed inside a narrow consolidation zone, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation as momentum fades. The structure still leans bearish, as buyers struggle to reclaim broken support levels with conviction.
If price breaks below the upward trendline, CRYPTOCAP:SOL could roll over toward the 110 region, where prior demand and the lower channel boundary intersect. That zone may act as a temporary pause, but acceptance below 135 would keep downside risks dominant.
➡️ Primary scenario: rejection from 135 → continuation toward 110.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive reclaim above 138–140 could disrupt the bearish structure and force a reassessment toward 150.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD ANALYSIS 12/16/20251. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economic:
• USD: Stable after a pullback → no longer a strong driver pushing gold higher.
• U.S. equities: Moving sideways → capital waiting for news, not yet risk-on.
• FED: Entering a rate-cut cycle → supportive in the medium–long term, but already priced in for the short term.
• TRUMP: No new policies or statements → neutral impact.
• Gold ETFs: SPDR sold 1.43 tons → short-term profit-taking pressure, consistent with a distribution-at-the-top phase → negative for gold. If SPDR continues selling, gold could drop sharply.
b) Politics:
• No new geopolitical shocks → gold lacks a catalyst for a breakout.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Heavy news flow, defensive sentiment ahead of key events.
• Large capital tends to perform technical selling – shaking out positions before choosing a direction.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Price is within a mildly ascending channel, but with lower highs → sign of a weakening trend.
• 4,330 – 4,350: Strong resistance, aligns with MA and upper channel boundary → ideal sell zone.
• 4,300 – 4,306: Current consolidation area, no clear momentum → choppy zone.
• 4,260 – 4,250: Key demand zone; a break below opens the door for a deeper drop.
• RSI: Weak rebound, unable to break above 50–55 → buyers lack initiative.
• MA: Flat, showing no clear trend.
=> Current structure: Sideways with a bearish bias.
RESISTANCE: 4,330 – 4,351 – 4,380
SUPPORT: 4,288 – 4,263 – 4,237
3. Previous Session (15/12/25):
• Gold failed to break resistance and was pushed lower within the channel.
• SPDR selling + stable USD → sideways market, draining buying momentum.
• Main trend: Wide-range sideways – position shakeout.
4. Today’s Strategy (16/12/25):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4317 – 4315
SL: 4321
TP1: 4309
TP2: 4303
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4263 – 4265
SL: 4259
TP1: 4261
TP2: 4267
Gold Pulls Back from 4,350 as Uptrend Remains IntactAfter reaching a peak at 4,350 USD per ounce, gold quickly corrected to the 4,306 area. This decline appears to be technical in nature, occurring precisely within the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and near short-term resistance, without any clear signal of a trend reversal.
From a broader perspective, profit-taking pressure emerged following an extended bullish run, while market sentiment shifted modestly toward a risk-on stance amid positive signals from Russia–Ukraine negotiations. Although a weaker DXY and falling US Treasury yields around 4.18% typically provide support for gold, short-term profit-taking temporarily dominated price action. At the same time, crude oil prices slipping to around 56.5 USD per barrel eased inflation expectations to some extent, slowing capital inflows into gold in the near term.
Gold at $4,300: A Structural Bull Market Takes ShapeGold’s surge to a new all-time high at $4,300 is not a short-lived spike, but a confirmation of a broader structural trend. A 62% gain in 2025, 150% over three years, and consistent outperformance versus bonds signal a shift: gold is no longer just a cyclical hedge, but a long-term strategic asset. Falling yields, persistent inflation risks, and a weakening USD continue to attract sustained institutional inflows.
On the H1 chart, price action reflects a textbook re-accumulation phase. Fair Value Gaps are created and efficiently filled, indicating controlled pullbacks rather than distribution. Gold remains firmly above a rising Ichimoku cloud, keeping bullish momentum intact. The recent dip merely absorbed liquidity around the 4,305–4,315 zone before price stabilized again.
As long as gold holds above that support, the next upside extension toward 4,335–4,350 remains likely. A decisive breakout could open the door toward the 4,375–4,400 region, aligning technical structure with increasingly bullish long-term projections from major institutions.
EURUSD Keeps Its Uptrend, Eyes 1.1780–1.1820EURUSD remains in a well-defined bullish structure on the H4 timeframe, driven less by speculative enthusiasm and more by a steady shift in relative monetary expectations. The pair continues to benefit from a softening USD backdrop while the euro holds its ground.
Recent Fed communication has reinforced a dovish bias, pulling US yields and the Dollar Index lower as US macro data increasingly point to slowing momentum. In contrast, the ECB has avoided committing to aggressive easing, allowing the policy gap to tilt modestly in favor of EUR.
From a price-action perspective, EURUSD is displaying a classic bullish consolidation. Pullbacks remain shallow, value gaps are gradually absorbed, and price stays comfortably above an expanding Ichimoku cloud. The former resistance near 1.1700 has transitioned into a key support zone, while volume distribution suggests selling pressure remains below current levels.
As long as the pair holds above 1.1710–1.1730, upside continuation toward 1.1780 and potentially 1.1820 remains the dominant scenario. A sustained break below 1.1660 would be required to invalidate the short-term bullish structure.






















