XAGUSD Overextended: Watching 40.50 NecklineIn the past months I argued that Silver should rise and reach 40, and the market not only achieved that but even exceeded the level, printing a high at 41.50.
However, just like Gold, this move looks overextended and vulnerable to correction.
📌 Technically, price has tapped 41.50 twice. While it cannot yet be called a confirmed double top, the possibility exists. The neckline of this potential pattern is at 40.50.
• A break below 40.50 could trigger a deeper correction.
• First target: under 40, toward the 39 technical support zone.
🔑 Trading Plan: I remain cautious at these levels.
If 40.50 gives way, I will look for shorts targeting the 39 area. Counter-trend trades carry very high risk, but the setup is worth monitoring. 🚀
Silver
Gold | 30min Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders!
There is a potential head and shoulders in the making.
🧐 Market Overview:
One of the key indicators I watch when trading double tops is negative RSI divergence. On the Gold chart, price has been printing higher highs while RSI has been putting in lower highs — a classic sign of weakening buying momentum.
It’s important to note: negative RSI divergence does not guarantee a correction. It’s simply one element within our robust trading system that helps us build higher-probability setups.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.5
Entry: 3655.1
Stop Loss: 3664.7
Take Profit 1 (50%): 3624
Take Profit 2 (50%): 3614
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Always remember — divergence is a signal, not a certainty. Use it in confluence with structure, patterns, and risk management for the best results.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — do you think this head and shoulders will play out, or is Gold still too strong?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Silver Pullback Ahead? A Buying Opportunity in the MakingSilver is in an uptrend channel both in the short term and the medium term. Significant bullish pressure is coming from gold, rising technology investment that boosts demand for silver, persistent inflation risks, and the Fed being on the verge of cutting rates. Fundamentally, everything supports silver, and upward pressure is likely to continue.
However, in the short term, upward momentum has started to ease despite the push from gold, which could be an early signal of a small correction. The upward move is still expected to continue, but if the green trendline and the 40.50 support both fail, there is a zone between 39.10 and 40.50 with previous low trading volume that could be filled by a selloff. Such low-volume zones often behave similarly to gaps, though not always.
In either case, silver has stronger potential over the medium term, and any sudden selloffs are likely to remain buying opportunities.
Gold | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodGood morning Traders 👋
Gold... Could you please give us a head & shoulders to short? 🧐
I’m keeping a close watch here for potential shorting opportunities. An H1 head & shoulders setup would be the first prize.
After such a strong run over the past few days, surely gold owes us a relief rally at some stage...?
What do you think — are we lining up for a short, or does gold have more gas left in the tank?
Silver (SIL1!): Bullish! Buy The Dip!Silver is at the highest its been since 2011.
There is no reason to short this market. A short term pullback should be seen as a long opportunity.
Price has taken the External Range Liquidity, and a move back to Internal Range Liquidity is naturally expected. The +FVG (blue) looks like a great place to look for high probability buys.
It is intersected by the old high, adding to the confluence of support at that level.
What do you think? Comment down below!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,066.6
Target Level: 3,923.7
Stop Loss: 4,160.4
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 4,131.3.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 4,170.3 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Silver uptrend sideways consolidation supported at 4067The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4067 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4067 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4181 – initial resistance
4224 – psychological and structural level
4260 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4067 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4042 – minor support
4014 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 4067. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethod
🧐 Market Overview:
All my variables have been met.
Some of the variables I look for are as follows:
- RSI divergence
- Lower volume on top 2 (In this case JOLTS came out, which causes an exception to the volume rule)
- Attack candle closes in range
Opened a short position on Silver.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.9
🎯 Entry: 41.29
🛑 Stop Loss: 41.67
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 39.93
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 39.34
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Sometimes news events (like JOLTS) can disrupt normal volume behavior. That’s why it’s key to use multiple variables together, not rely on just one signal.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
SIL ETF US- Silver Miners Mid Term ideaFollow us and don't miss a next idea on global markets
According to Mining Visuals Silver deficit is expected of 118 million ounces. At the same time strong industrial demand - driven by solar, electronics and green technologies.
Historically, mining stocks outperform the growth rates of the metals themselves. This hypothesis is confirmed by the fact that, starting in 2024, ETF SIL (silver miners) has outperform the metal itself.
From a technical point of view, ETF SIL has emerged from a long-term consolidation and there is a high probability of growth to the $80.
Grand Silver SupercycleI present the Grand Silver Supercycle. Silver has followed Elliott Wave Theory nicely through the years. The price hit a century low during The Great Depression, beginning what I believe to be the first wave of a supercycle. There is a clear five wave pattern up from this low, peaking in 1980. This is supercycle wave 1. Then, we see a five wave corrective pattern down, bottoming out in the early 90s. Alternatively, a three wave ABC pattern could be drawn. This is where supercycle wave 3 begins. Wave 3 is typically much more prominent than wave 1 in Elliott Wave Theory. For this reason, it makes sense that the next five wave pattern ending in 2011 is only the first subwave of supercycle wave 3. The second subwave corrected to the 2020 low, and we are currently on the third subwave. Within this subwave, we could either be starting a third wave (as shown in the chart) or still be on the corrective second wave. I believe the former is much more likely due to fundamentals.
Price targets within the current subwave were estimated as follows:
wave 3 length = 1.618 X wave 1
wave 3 target = $48
wave 4 length = 38.2% retracement of wave 3
wave 5 length = 1.618 X (wave 3 end - wave 1 start)
I'm more confident on wave 3 ending near $48 than I am of wave 5 ending near $95. There is strong resistance at $50, which coincides with the Elliott target zone. Wave 5 length can vary significantly. For silver at least, fifth waves have traditionally been long ones.
Fundamentals
Elliott Wave Theory is only a tool. It needs to be backed up by fundamentals when forecasting on long time frames. Silver is undervalued due to many years of supply outstripping demand, creating cheap prices. That is in the early stages of changing as now demand outpaces supply. Global silver demand was expected to hit an all time high of 1.21 billion ounces in 2022 (www.silverinstitute.org). This is largely due to increases in demand in both industry (Green Revolution) and personal investment (stackers hedging against inflation). Silver reserves currently stand at 530,000 metric tons (www.statista.com). The current demand is 38,000 metric tons per year. A simple calculation shows existing reserves could be depleted in 14 years. However, this calculation doesn't take into account new discoveries and recycling, which have so far kept pace with demand. Estimates of time to depletion of reserves vary wildly from a couple decades to a few centuries. At the moment, the prime driver of price (in addition to inflation) will be the deficit, not depletion of reserves.
Inflation is a totally different animal that is much harder to forecast long term due to its close relationship to government and Federal Reserve policy. It is more likely that when presented the choice, our leaders choose high inflation over debt default and depression. How this all is going to play out is anyone's guess. It seems for now our leaders are trying to kick the can down the road for as long as possible. If hyperinflation hits, the silver price will reach extraordinary heights.
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 40.925 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 40.796 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER TRADE SETUP CHECK NOW📉 SILVER TRADE IDEA (SILVER )
🔎 Based on technical analysis, I’m watching this Buy zone:
Potential Entry Zone: 41.13 – 41.10
Invalidation Level (Stop Loss): 41.00
Target Zones (TPs):
✔️ TP1 – 41.40
✔️ TP2 – 41.60
✔️ TP3 – 41.70
💡 This is just my personal view based on chart structure & price action. Always manage risk properly.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only.
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41.252 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41.509.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial streSilver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial strength
Technical Perspective
XAGUSD is consolidating within an ascending triangle, a continuation pattern that implies a bullish breakout post accumulation phase.
Bullish alignment of EMA cross also reinforces the positive outlook within consolidation.
Currently, XAGUSD is testing the upper boundary of the sideways range. A close above the 41.50 upper bound resistance would confirm a bullish continuation, with the next upside target at 44.80 based on the 261.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
However, failure to break above 41.50 may trigger a pullback toward the ascending trendline. A breakdown below this line would expose the key psychological support at 40.00.
Fundamental Perspective
Silver maintains a high correlation with gold, often rallying alongside it when gold prices rise.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding silver, boosting demand.
Industrial demand remains robust, especially in solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, with China driving consumption. Meanwhile, years of persistent supply deficits have tightened the market, providing strong fundamental support.
Geopolitical risks and safe-haven flows attract capital into broadly precious metals including silver.
In summary, silver’s latest rally is supported by monetary easing expectations, strong industrial demand, and heightened geopolitical tensions that reinforce safe-haven demand.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Ivanhoe Mines - a 50% discount opportunity !The share price of this mining monster has suffered a 50% price decline in the last 6 months.
One of the main reasons for the share price decline is the suspension of underground operations at the Kakula mine due to seismic activity. This suspension has led to a withdrawal of production and cost guidance for 2025, causing investor uncertainty and a subsequent drop in share price 1,2,3 Additionally, the company has faced challenges with its smelter, including a fire that damaged onsite generators and caused a three-month delay in commissioning. These issues, combined with power constraints and grid instability in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), have contributed to a more conservative production outlook.
However there are lots of positive catalysts for Ivanhoe Mines: the upcoming rise in precious metal prices, especially the wake up of the severely undervalued PLATINUM prices.
Platreef PGM project in South Africa contains 7 million ounces of gold (0.25 gpt) and 50 million ounces of AuEq. About 90% of annual production (1 million ounces) will consist of PGMs (platinum group metals), making it the largest PGM mine in the world ! Platreef is expected to have low all-in production costs, though more precise figures will become available after the ramp-up phase, scheduled for the second half of 2025.
Platreef PGM, Kakula-Kamoa (massive copper mine, the largest high grade mine globally) and Kipushi (a high-grade zinc operation); With all three of their mines expected to be in production, 2025 could be a pivotal year for them.
Chart wise, the price is still rising in a long term rising wedge. Price just found support on the lower resistance and is bouncing strongly. OBV on balance volume is still on a steady rise. I own Ivanhoe Mines since I got in at sub 1$ (thanks to Rick Rule's reccomandation - God may bless him). and I am not willing to let go before we reach 50$, which is my long term target.
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Why Silver Miners Are Poised for a Historic Breakout...After 14 long years of being left in the dust by the S&P 500, the silver mining sector is finally signaling that its time has come. The chart of the SIL/SPX ratio tells a powerful story, suggesting we're on the brink of a massive capital rotation.
The Technical Evidence Is Clear
The long-term downtrend, which has defined this ratio for well over a decade, is officially over. Following the completion of a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, the ratio has now logged a decisive monthly close above its crucial "Capital Rotation Trendline." This isn't just a minor blip; it's a major technical breakout that signals a fundamental shift in market sentiment.
The Fundamental Logic Is Unstoppable
For years, capital has overwhelmingly funneled into technology and the broader S&P 500. Now, as those sectors look increasingly overvalued, the money has to go somewhere. The asymmetry here is staggering: the sheer difference in market capitalization means that even a small percentage of funds rotating out of tech and into silver miners could trigger an explosive price move in the silver mining sector.
Physical Silver Is Providing the Catalyst
This breakout isn't happening in isolation. It's being confirmed by the price of physical silver itself, which is pushing past key resistance levels at $40 and has its sights set on $50. This move provides the perfect fuel for the miners, as higher silver prices dramatically increase their profit margins and overall value.
The situation is clear: the smart money is likely already moving. The question is, are you ready to join them?
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 40.955 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 41.109.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m watching silver closely for a potential short setup. Price action suggests a possible head and shoulders formation, but I’m still waiting for confirmation from key variables before committing. For example:
- I’d like to see the current 1H candle close within my range
- Lower volume on the right shoulder compared to the left.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/reward = 3.0
Entry price = 40.88
Stop loss price = 41.14
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 40.17
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 39.77
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patience is a trading edge. Waiting for confirmation before entering means fewer trades, but higher-quality ones.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts – I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Silver Unfolds A New Impulse Within 5th WaveSilver is moving higher as expected, pushing even beyond 39, but since the market also broke to new highs, it’s clear that higher degree wave four is finished as a flat correction back at 36.20, so be aware of even further continuation higher into wave five while makret trades above 39. We need five subwaves now in this blue wave 5 cycle, so more gains can follow after some intraday setbacks. But keep in mind that we are in the final leg of the higher-degree fifth wave impulse that could come to an end around 42/43 this year.
Trump’s Bond Strategy vs. Saylor’s High-Stakes Bitcoin BetBitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) Macro Analysis: Trump’s Bond Strategy vs. Saylor’s High-Stakes Bitcoin Bet
1. Trump’s Bond Play and Crypto Ventures: A Dual Macro Hedge
Since returning to office in January 2025, Donald Trump has purchased over $100 million in corporate and municipal bonds, including debt from Meta, Citigroup, and local governments. These purchases are notable for two reasons:
Yield Lock: Trump’s bond buys were made at yields near 5%, a level not seen since the pre-2022 low-rate era. If the Federal Reserve cuts rates as expected in late 2025, the value of these bonds will rise, and their fixed 5% coupons will become increasingly attractive compared to new, lower-yielding issues.
Policy Alignment: Trump has publicly pressured the Fed to lower rates, which would further inflate the value of his bond portfolio. His administration’s fiscal and trade policies (e.g., tariffs, deregulation) could also indirectly support bond markets by stimulating demand for safe-haven assets.
Trump’s Crypto Ventures: Profiting from the Public
Unlike traditional crypto investors, the Trump family’s involvement in the sector is not built on holding Bitcoin or other digital assets. Instead, their companies focus on selling crypto-related products, cashing in on trading fees, and enriching themselves at the expense of an uninformed public. These ventures have been widely criticized as predatory, leveraging Trump’s political influence and public persona to attract unsuspecting investors into high-fee, low-value schemes—effectively an open scam that prioritizes short-term profits over genuine market participation.
Implications for Bitcoin:
If rates fall, bond yields become less competitive with risk assets like Bitcoin, potentially driving capital back into crypto.
However, Trump’s bond strategy and his family’s exploitative crypto ventures signal a preference for traditional financial instruments and extractive business models over supportive crypto policies. This could temper any positive impact on Bitcoin from his administration’s economic agenda.
2. Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy: A Leveraged Bitcoin Bet
MicroStrategy, under Michael Saylor, has become the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with over 446,000 BTC (worth ~$50 billion as of September 2025). The company’s strategy relies heavily on convertible debt issuance:
Debt Structure: MicroStrategy has issued billions in zero- or ultra-low-interest convertible notes (as low as 0.625%), using the proceeds to buy Bitcoin. This allows the company to avoid high interest payments and benefit from Bitcoin’s price appreciation.
Risks:
Leverage: If Bitcoin’s price falls sharply, MicroStrategy may face margin calls or be forced to sell BTC to meet debt obligations, exacerbating downward pressure on $BTCUSD.
Equity Dilution: The company’s aggressive stock issuance (planned dilution from 330M to 10B shares) could depress shareholder value if Bitcoin underperforms.
Recent Performance:
MicroStrategy’s stock NASDAQ:MSTR has outperformed Bitcoin in 2024–2025, but its valuation is now highly correlated with BTC’s price and market sentiment toward leverage.
3. Federal Reserve Policy: The Wild Card
Current Rates: The Fed has held rates at 4.25–4.50% since late 2024, but markets anticipate cuts in late 2025 (potentially 0.50–0.75% by year-end).
Impact on Bitcoin:
Rate Cuts: Historically, lower rates boost risk assets. Bitcoin could benefit from increased liquidity and weaker dollar, as seen in late 2024 when BTC rallied following Fed easing.
Inflation & Macro Risks: If cuts are delayed or inflation resurges, Bitcoin may face headwinds as investors favor bonds or cash.
4. The Crypto Winter Thesis: Is Doomsday Coming?
Bull Case: If the Fed cuts aggressively and liquidity floods markets, Bitcoin could resume its upward trajectory, especially if institutional demand (e.g., ETF inflows) remains strong.
Bear Case:
MicroStrategy’s Leverage: A sharp BTC drop could force NASDAQ:MSTR to liquidate holdings, triggering a cascade effect.
Regulatory Risks: Trump’s bond focus, his family’s extractive crypto ventures, and potential regulatory crackdowns could dampen sentiment.
Macro Uncertainty: Geopolitical tensions, recession fears, or a stronger-than-expected dollar could further pressure risk assets.
Technical Outlook:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading at $109,430 (as of September 4, 2025), up 1.63% over the past week but still range-bound between $107K–$112K.
Support/Resistance: Watch $105K (psychological support) and $115K (next resistance). A breakout or breakdown here could signal the next major move.
Conclusion: A Tale of Two Strategies
Trump’s bond purchases and push for rate cuts could indirectly benefit Bitcoin by reducing the appeal of fixed income, but his administration’s stance on crypto, and his family’s history of exploiting the public through crypto ventures, remains a significant red flag. Meanwhile, MicroStrategy’s leveraged Bitcoin bet is a high-risk, high-reward play that could either propel BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to new highs or accelerate a downturn if forced liquidations occur.
Traders should monitor:
Fed meetings (next: September 16–17, 2025) for rate cut signals.
MicroStrategy’s debt maturity schedule and Bitcoin holdings.
Trump’s policy shifts on crypto regulation and fiscal stimulus, as well as any new developments in his family’s crypto-related businesses.
Final Thought: The stage is set for a volatile Q4 2025. While the macro backdrop favors risk assets if the Fed eases, the specter of leverage unwinding, regulatory risks, and the Trump family’s extractive crypto practices looms large. Caution and active risk management are advised.
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