SILVER (XAGUSD): Another BoS
Silver did it again.
The price updated the ATH yesterday, breaking and closing above
a major horizontal resistance.
It opens a potential for more growth.
Next resistance will be 68.0
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Silver
Long Term Silver Bull Going ShortThis post is a follow up to my "Grand Silver Supercycle" chart posted on 2/2/2023. I recommend referencing that chart to understand my commentary here. In that chart, I called for silver to double in price by the end of 2025 and to reach $95 by 2027. Since then, silver has overshot my near term price targets. I'm here to argue that silver has gone up too far too quickly and is due for a sharp pullback to the $50-$55 range.
Why am I calling this the near term top?
Silver has very neatly followed Elliot Wave Theory throughout its history. In 2023, I predicted Wave 3 of the current cycle, which began with the low in the summer of 2022, to have a 1.618 extension of Wave 1. Instead, silver just reached the 2.618 extension, which back in 2023, I thought was too bold of a prediction. While it is possible for a 4.618 extension to 102.5, these extensions are very rare. The bias is towards a pullback here.
There is also a convergence between the Elliot Wave extension, a fib retracement level, and logarithmic trendline. This indicates that any attempts to breakout higher will face strong resistance.
Finally, I need to talk about gold. The monthly RSI has been over 90 for 3 months, closing in on 4 months. Gold has only held an RSI above 90 for 4 consecutive months at one point prior in its charted history. Gold is still silver's big brother and will determine the direction the two move.
Last XPT Options Insights & What They Mean for Precious MetalsPlatinum Options showed unusual activity last week — and it’s worth your attention.
Why focus on platinum?
It’s a traditional institutional instrument, with minimal retail presence.
Check your terminal: compare spreads in PL vs. gold or silver — you’ll see the difference.
Low liquidity → less noise → clearer signals from funds and smart money.
And here’s the key:
Platinum often leads the way.
Its moves and positioning frequently foreshadow broader precious metals trends.
🔍 What Are We Seeing Now?
Large structured plays emerged in platinum, targeting a range between 1,750 and 2,200.
Most portfolios are hedged, which tells us:
“We’re bullish long-term — but expect pullbacks before the main move.”
This isn’t speculation.
It’s strategic positioning with risk management built in.
📌 In short:
They believe in higher prices — just not in a straight line.
💡 Silver: Similar Sentiment
The same bias appears across the asset- Bullish call spreads actively traded
Targets:
Silver: $65–85
Horizon: from 16 days to March 2026
🧠 Final Takeaway:
Platinum has already spoken. Precious metals bias is bullish, but a price decline is expected.
Silver Potential Bullish ContinuationAfter a considerable retracement, Silver price still seems to exhibit signs of overall potential Bullish momentum as the price action may form a credible Higher Low with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci Levels, Higher timeframe Harmonic Projections and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Timeframe : 1D
Entry : 61.204
Stop Loss : 55.64
TP 1 : 66.768
TP 2 : 72.315
What is seen in the silver chart!!!The prospect of $62 per ounce of silver is very much on the horizon, but will this price growth be as fast as the price of silver has ever seen? You can read the factors that contribute to the realization of this prospect after reviewing international articles, but I do not think it will be too early to reach this silver rate!
XAG Analysis
Here is my view for today on XAG.
As per the previous analysis the purple line is important resistance as you see we have had a few reactions on 4h timeframe. need to see how its gonna pass this resistance area and with confirmation decide whether to enter or wait.
Check the yesterday's analysis and How much did yo guys made with our last analysis? ;)
Stay tuned for our next updates.
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 6,544.8
Target Level: 6,229.1
Stop Loss: 6,754.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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The Gold–Silver Ratio: The Market Signal Most Traders IgnoreMany traders treat Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) as the same trade with different volatility.
That’s a mistake.
Gold and Silver respond to different macro forces, and understanding when capital rotates from one to the other gives a serious edge — both for trading and physical investing.
1️⃣ Gold vs Silver — Core Difference
Gold = Monetary metal
Store of value
Inflation hedge
Central bank asset
Safe haven during stress
Silver = Hybrid metal
Part monetary
Part industrial
High beta version of gold
More sensitive to growth cycles
This single difference explains why silver moves faster and further than gold — in both directions.
2️⃣ When to Trade GOLD (XAUUSD)
Gold performs best when fear and monetary uncertainty dominate.
Bullish Gold Environment:
Falling or expected rate cuts (Fed pivot)
Rising inflation or sticky CPI
USD weakness
Geopolitical risk (wars, sanctions, OPEC supply risks)
Equity market stress or drawdowns
Trader mindset:
Gold moves first, cleaner, more technically respected.
Best use:
Swing trades
Trend continuation
Capital protection during risk-off phases
Physical gold bars:
Best accumulated when:
Real rates peak
Fed is restrictive but close to easing
Media interest is low (no gold hype)
3️⃣ When to Trade SILVER (XAGUSD)
Silver thrives when liquidity + growth expectations return.
Bullish Silver Environment:
Fed easing or liquidity injections
Improving PMI / industrial demand
Tech expansion (AI, EVs, solar panels)
Rising copper and industrial metals
Risk-on equity sentiment (SP500 strength)
Silver benefits from:
Industrial usage (electronics, AI chips, solar)
Smaller market → easier to push
Speculative flows
Trader mindset:
Silver is late but explosive.
Best use:
Momentum trades
Breakout strategies
Relative strength vs Gold
Physical silver bars:
Best accumulated when:
Gold/Silver Ratio is extremely high
Economy is weak but stabilizing
Nobody wants silver (yet)
4️⃣ Why Silver Often Outperforms Gold
Even though gold is more precious:
Silver supply is tighter relative to demand
Industrial demand is growing structurally (AI, green energy)
Silver market is much smaller → higher volatility
Speculators prefer silver during risk-on cycles
📌 Key metric:
Gold/Silver Ratio
High ratio → Silver undervalued
Falling ratio → Silver outperforming Gold
5️⃣ Gold vs Silver Rotation Framework
Simple rule:
Risk-off → Buy Gold
Early recovery → Gold first
Liquidity expansion → Silver explodes
Late-cycle euphoria → Reduce Silver first
Gold leads.
Silver accelerates.
6️⃣ Macro Context That Matters
Fed: Rates & liquidity decide direction
USD: Inverse correlation for both metals
SP500: Risk appetite indicator
Oil (OPEC): Inflation transmission → Gold support
Earnings cycles: Growth optimism favors Silver
Final Takeaway (Trader Language)
Trade Gold for safety, structure, and macro clarity.
Trade Silver for speed, volatility, and expansion phases.
Buy physical gold when fear is high.
Buy physical silver when nobody cares — before liquidity returns.
Gold protects wealth.
Silver multiplies it — at the right time.
Relevant Hashtags
#Gold #Silver #XAUUSD #XAGUSD #MacroTrading #TradingStrategy #Fed #SP500 #Commodities #Inflation
Silver's Rally Is About To ExhaustSilver has outperformed gold with a huge margin this year
On the 4-hour chart the price perfectly fits into the blue uptrend channel
The 5-wave sequence is almost complete with the following signs of soon trend exhaustion:
1) triangle in the trend usually makes for wave 4 of 5 of (5)
2) price approaches the top of the channel for the third time already
3) RSI "doesn't buy" the current rally showing lower readings at Bearish Divergence
The strong support is located at the bottom of wave 4 at $56.4
XAUUSD: breakout to ATH🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) is demonstrating significant bullish strength, holding firm against a key resistance level. The chart notes that the price has been fixed at the resistance zone since December 12. This behavior—refusing to correct significantly despite hitting resistance—indicates strong underlying demand. The price is compressing between the horizontal resistance at 4,351.35 and an ascending trendline support. The analysis projects a powerful upward breakout, propelling the metal into price discovery mode towards a new target of 4,467.56.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Breakout entry above 4,351.35
🎯 Take Profit: 4,467.56
🔴 Stop Loss: Below the immediate consolidation zone (4,291.38)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current chart patterns; breakout trades carry risk, and false breakouts can occur.
Silver is in the Bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Silver - Looking To Buy Pullbacks H4 - Strong bullish move.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Massive Cup & Handle on Silver could take price to $722 by 2046Could also reach that full breakout target much sooner to but the trajectory of the measured mvoe line were it to validate the breakout above the rimline around the arbitrary spot I placed it at has the end of the measured move line in the year 2046. With the right scenario playing out on the global stage a price like that is possible much sooner even, and there’s also always the chance that we go past that timeframe without hitting the full target just yet either but that happens less often than when it hits the target beforehand. *not financial advice*
SILVER BULLISH CONTINUATION|LONG|
✅SILVER compresses into a tightening range above a rising ICT trendline, showing clear bullish market structure and sustained buy-side pressure. Price is coiling below resistance, suggesting smart money accumulation — patience is key while waiting for a clean upside breakout toward higher liquidity. Time Frame 4H.
LONG🚀
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SILVER Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 6,339.4.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 6,221.8 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Precious metals lead the way: silver, platinum, and palladium!On December 2, FreshForex analysts had already highlighted the high potential of the metals market — and the market quickly confirmed this scenario with a sharp rise in prices: silver (XAGUSD) +12.89%, platinum (XPTUSD) +9.03%, and palladium (XPDUSD) +8.75% . Our metals forecasts not only played out — this segment confidently outperformed many other asset classes. Investors are moving away from the dollar and government bonds into real assets amid expectations of U.S. rate cuts. Prices are also being fueled by news of supply deficits and rising industrial demand for these metals. Against this backdrop, interest in precious metals is growing among both retail and large institutional investors.
Growth Drivers:
Silver (XAGUSD) is rising due to a supply shortage : demand from the solar energy sector and electronics is increasing, while inventories are declining. For investors, silver is also a more affordable alternative to gold .
Palladium (XPDUSD) is supported by limited supply and geopolitical risks : the market depends heavily on Russia and South Africa, while demand for palladium in automotive catalysts and electronics remains strong. As a result, even rumors of sanctions or export restrictions can sharply push prices higher.
Platinum (XPTUSD) is gaining value amid mining disruptions in South Africa , which remains a key global supplier. At the same time, demand from industry and hydrogen-related projects keeps the market tight, meaning any news from the mining sector is quickly reflected in prices.
If a dovish Fed policy and a weak dollar persist, interest in precious metals as a “hedge against currency devaluation” is likely to remain high. Silver receives an additional boost from the “green” agenda — the development of solar energy and electric vehicles, where it is used in virtually every component.
Platinum and palladium continue to depend on a limited number of supplier countries, making any disruptions in mining or logistics powerful price triggers. In this environment, even minor news about production cuts or new restrictions can spark another wave of growth. As long as the market sees a supply deficit and no quick way to significantly increase output, the bullish scenario retains strong potential.
FreshForex analysts note that in the coming months, the performance of silver, platinum, and palladium will largely depend on the Fed’s rate-cut trajectory, the pace of the global “green” transition, and mining-related news from key regions — primarily South Africa and Russia. Investors are advised to maintain strict risk management and closely monitor the macroeconomic calendar.
Silver's Advantage over Gold Might Be Coming to an EndThe gold/silver ratio is now below 68. The balance may have turned too much in favor of silver and is currently testing the -2 standard deviation of the 2020-to-date regression trend. The heightened demand from China, rising energy investments, and opposite reactions to tariff fears are some of the main reasons for the imbalance. Sometimes the ratio goes to extremes but eventually comes back to long-term averages. As 2020 was a game changer in the economy, the 2020-to-date regression line can be accepted as the balance point.
When the rebalancing price action begins, a "buy gold, sell silver" pair trade opportunity might emerge.
SLV vs. IAU: Why Silver Is Crushing Gold ETFsMarket Performance: The Silver Surge
The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is significantly outperforming its gold counterpart. Over the past year, SLV delivered a staggering 98.9% return. In contrast, the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) posted a respectable but lower 60.2% gain. Investors focused solely on safety often miss this growth engine. While gold acts as a stable store of value, silver behaves aggressively. This dynamic has resulted in SLV turning a $1,000 investment into $2,532 over five years. Gold generated $2,322 over the same period. The data confirms silver’s dominance in the current bull market.
High-Tech and Science: The Industrial Driver
Silver is not just a currency; it is a critical industrial component. Science dictates this market reality. Silver possesses the highest electrical and thermal conductivity of all metals. Consequently, the high-tech sector drives massive demand. Manufacturers require silver for 5G networks, advanced electronics, and medical devices. Unlike gold, which sits in vaults, industry consumes silver. This consumption creates a fundamental scarcity that drives price appreciation during economic expansions.
Green Tech and Patent Analysis
The global shift toward renewable energy directly benefits SLV. Patent filings for photovoltaic (solar) technologies have surged globally. Silver is the primary conductive element in solar panels. As the world transitions to net-zero emissions, solar demand creates a price floor for silver. Furthermore, electric vehicle (EV) patents increasingly rely on silver for contacts and circuitry. This structural trend ensures that SLV tracks the green energy boom, not just monetary policy.
Geopolitics and Geostrategy: Critical Minerals
Geopolitical tensions are reshaping the precious metals landscape. Nations now view silver as a strategic material rather than just a luxury good. Governments are securing supply chains for critical minerals to ensure technological sovereignty. This geostrategic hoarding reduces global supply elasticity. As major powers decouple their economies, control over silver mining and refining becomes a national security issue. Investors in SLV profit from this heightened competition for physical resources.
Macroeconomics: The Inflation Hedge
Both trusts capitalize on global debt concerns. Sovereign debt levels are rising uncontrollably across major economies. Investors traditionally use precious metals to hedge against currency debasement. However, silver offers a "high beta" play on inflation. When inflation expectations rise, silver typically rises faster than gold due to its smaller market size. Current macroeconomic conditions favor this volatility. The market anticipates continued currency devaluation, fueling inflows into hard assets like SLV.
Business Models and Fund Structure
The iShares business model focuses on accessibility. Both SLV and IAU allow investors to bypass the costs of storing physical bars. However, their cost structures differ. IAU charges a lean 0.25% expense ratio, appealing to cost-conscious holders. SLV charges 0.50%. Investors pay this premium for silver’s explosive growth potential. The fund structure is a grantor trust, meaning it holds physical bullion. This protects investors from counterparty risks associated with futures contracts or derivatives.
Risk Management and Volatility
High returns come with higher risk. SLV carries a beta of 0.18, indicating positive correlation with equity volatility. IAU holds a beta of -0.06, acting as a true diversifier. Consequently, SLV suffered a maximum drawdown of nearly 39% over five years. Gold dropped only 21.8% in the same period. Management of portfolio risk requires understanding this difference. Aggressive traders prefer SLV for its torque; conservative savers choose IAU for stability.
Conclusion: The Strategic Choice
The iShares Silver Trust offers superior leverage to the global industrial recovery. While IAU remains the safer, cheaper hedge, SLV is the growth leader. The combination of green technology demand and monetary debasement creates a perfect storm for silver. Investors willing to tolerate higher fees and deeper drawdowns have reaped larger rewards. As long as the precious metals bull market persists, silver’s dual nature ensures it will continue to outpace gold.
Silver Fibonacci Analysis 03/02/2021simply showing the power of Fibonacci
we had seen a Bullish Divergence and Hidden Bullish Divergence on MACD and by the confluences of 4 Fibonacci tools (Retracement, Extension, Projection, Time Zones) in an ascending Chanel...
So we are
Speculating...$$$
A TP Zone Starting from 39.43$ to 41.16$
a Safe and Sure TP can be 39.43$
It is a Swing Trade and it Shall take Few weeks time to develop.
I am expecting the TP to happen at middles of April 2021,
Please thanks Me In the Comments when you enjoyed your 125250 PIPS of Joyful Profits.
Silver bullish rebound support at 6288The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 6288 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 6288 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
6500 – initial resistance
6600 – psychological and structural level
6700 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 6288 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
6190 – minor support
6110 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 6288. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.






















