Sma
HBAR / BTC - Potential Double BottomThe HBAR / BTC pair has reached the (All Time Low) bottom and at the same level of exactly one year ago. Look left and you can see what happend then.
We can see here a potential double bottom on the daily candles.
Wait for a clear reversal to get into this trade.
On the 15 minutes lower timeframe we already see a reversal. The 20 EMA has crosses above the 50 SMA .
If The 20 EMA crosses above 50 SMA on the 1 hour candles we will see a clear start of a new uptrend for the HBAR BTC pair.
My targets for the long run when the 20 EMA crosses above the 50 SMA on the 1 hour candles:
.00000292 (.236 fib)
.00000401 (.382 fib)
.00000489 (.5 fib)
I will take 30% profit around every fib rule and buy it back when it retraces to a support level and makes a new reversal.
!!! Never loose a winning trade !!!
Sheers,
Five types of major support and resistance levelsWant to buy the bottom and sell the top? Want to predict major turning points in a security's price? Want to avoid buying too early or selling too late? Then you need to understand support and resistance levels!
I know a lot of people who mostly trade breakouts. That can be a very successful strategy, and I've used it myself to good effect. But if you buy a breakout after it happens, you pay a "breakout premium"-- especially if you're buying option calls or puts. You'll get a much better price on options if you buy them *before* a breakout or *before* a major change in momentum. How do you do that? Know your support and resistance levels!
Once you know how to identify the different types of support and resistance, you can look to see where several different types of support or resistance coincide . Those will be key price points at which different types of investors who rely on different types of indicators will all buy or sell at the same time.
1D SMITH WESSON TRENDLINE BREAKOUTTrend Line Trading: The Trend Breaker Strategy
This trendline breakout trading strategy uses three indicators, which are the following:
MACD- The inputs for this indicator are: Fast Length= 12 (represents the previous 12 bars of the faster moving average), Slow Length= 26 (Represents the previous 26 bars of the slower moving average), and Signal Smoothing= 9 ( represents the previous 9 bars of the difference between the two moving averages. This is plotted by vertical lines called a histogram).
Simple Moving Average- The inputs for this indicator are: Length 8, Offset 0. (Red line)
Exponential Moving Average-The inputs for this indicator are: Length 20, Offset 0. (Blue line)
This Trend Breaker strategy also uses three different time frames. They are the 4 hour, the 1 hour, and 15 minute time frames. This top-down approach uses these time frames to identify a trend, find a breakout point, determine an entry point, and execute the trade.
Step One to trend line trading: Identify a trend
The first thing you need to do is identify an upward, downward, or sideways trend by switching to a 4-hour and 1 hour time frames. The reason both are used is that it will give you the best perspective in determining a trend according to this strategy. Draw a trend-line so that 3 points of resistance or support was touched. We created this trendline trading system so that you could easily enter trades without a lot of guesswork on your part. Here You can see a funny video about trading levels.
Since this strategy focuses on trends, a trend line will be drawn on the support or resistance lines of the trend. The criteria for a trend is that there needs to be at least three points of resistance or support.
As you can see on the 4- hour time frame this clearly is a downtrend.
Below is the same chart only this is a 1-hour time frame. This is just to get another perspective of this downtrend. It is good to do this to completely confirm this trend by identifying 3 levels of resistance. Trading with trend lines is not easy, that is why it is important to have a clear system of step by step rules to make it easy for you to follow.
Step Two: Identify a Breakout point Trendline Trading System
In order to find a breakout point of the trend that was identified in step one, the strategy will use a combination of the three indicators (MACD, 15 minute SMA, EMA) to identify a break out on the 15-minute time frame. This time frame is used because a trend was already identified in step one on the 4 hours and 1 hour time frames.
As you can see in the chart above on the 15-minute time frame, the MACD lines were crossed. When the crossover of the fast length and slow length occurs, this will signal a new trend. This gave an indication that a trend was breaking. The moving average and exponential moving average lines also crossed. So when the MACD lines cross and the simple moving average/ exponential lines cross wait until the candlesticks go above/below trend line that was drawn in step one, then identify a point of entry into the trade. One of the reasons we like trend line trading so much is that it is straight forward and simple and we recommend all traders have something simple.
So looking at our example above the criteria was met to go to step three because the SMA and EMA crossed and the MACD lines crossed. Also, the trend went upwards and hit our trend line. This is a signal to go to step three.
If neither of the indicators crosses before the candlesticks close and hit the trend line then do not go any further because the trade does not meet the criteria of the rules. The indicators need to show that the trend broke before it touched the trend line.
Note* When our indicators are crossing, the trend needs to be heading toward the trend line that was drawn in step one. This is because the trend is breaking and a breakout is about to occur. When the breakout happens we will discuss when to make an entry.
Step Three: Trend Line Trading Identify a point of entry
Here is a list of the entry criteria:
These 4 things must happen to enter a trade with this Trend Breaker Strategy.
Simple Moving Average Must Cross below the Exponential moving average.
Macd Must Cross
The price must break below or above the trend line.
After the break of the trendline, you must wait for 3 candles to close on the 15-minute chart before taking your entry.
Now we need to identify a point of entry. To identify a point of entry always use the 15 minute time frame in this strategy.
So in our example below, we see that there is an obvious stand-off between buyers and sellers on the trend line.
Once there are at least three candlesticks above or below the trend line, you execute the trade.
In this example, there are three candlesticks that fell above the trend line after our indicators signaled that the trend was broken. At this point, you want to make an entry. Also, read about Trader's Tech and Installing MT4 EAs with Indicators.
Step four: How to Trade with Trend Lines: Determine where to place a stop loss. 1 Use Pong Position Icon on left side toolbar. Adjust Top Prifit line until center text says 1 to 3 risk reward. This will show you where SL should be placed. OR
Place a stop loss past the last support and resistance levels in the trend itself. Again, use the 15 minute time frame to find this point of resistance/ support level.
In the example shown below, place the stop loss below the last support level. This will ensure that if there was a bearish move, it will hit the last point of support and make a bullish move upwards.
You can clearly see that there are two levels of support in the above example. Use the support levels to determine the stop loss. The rules were to place the stop loss below the last support level which is why you see the stop loss below these levels.
Step five: Trendline Trading System Exit Strategy
The plan clearly identified a trend, a breakout point, point of entry, and determined a stop loss. The final step is to determine the exit point. This Trend Breaker strategy uses 1 risk to 3 reward ratio.
What that means is you have the potential to make 3 times more than you are risking.
Use the Long Position Icon on the left side toolbar. Adjust top profit level until the center text says 1 to 3 risk reward.
Conclusion
This Trend Breaker Strategy is simple and yet effective. There is no need to stress and worry that you made the wrong trade. You follow the rules and do not let anything else make you back out of a trade. If it follows the rules, execute the trade with confidence.
Always remember to only be risking no more than 2% of your account!
This will help you identify daily trends and points where they break. There is no need to force yourself into a trade. If it does not follow your rules and guidelines then search for another pair to trade. Feel free to check out one of our other trading strategies.
🎯 USDJPY is rejecting at 200SMA and FibonacciFX:USDJPY is rejecting off of 200sma and Fibonacci currently, which means it will retest the trend line shown and potentially break below, following the main trend.
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YFI/USDT - How to play the Game on Daily CandlesYFI (YearnFinance) - 200% Gains
I received a lot of question to explain how to play the game with the Advanced Buy/Sell Indicator.
This is one of the easy strategies:
Setup:
- Set the candle bar style to "Heikin Ashi" (Be aware that the "Heikin Ashi" candles don't provide the actual price)
- Add the Advanced Buy/Sell Indicator to your chart
- Add an alarm when a Buy or Sell signal got triggered
- Use this setup on trading pairs with a lot of Volume (Top 100 trading pairs)
Very Important:
Be patient - Don't panic - Trade Emotionless
When to Buy:
(1) Wait for the buy signal on the daily candles
(2) Wait for a clear reversal on the 1h candles. When the 20 ema crossing up on the 50 sma
Again:
Be patient - Don't panic - Trade Emotionless
When to Sell:
(3) Wait for the sell signal on the daily candles
(4) Sell if you are happy with your gains or sell the latest when the 20 ema is crossing down on the 50 sma
Remark:
If you go to bed use a stop loss. You can always buy it back.
If you are around use alerts.
Never Loose a winning trade
Cheers,
🎯 An opportunity from earlier this morning with GBPUSDWe have been running a fresh long with GBPUSD after taking profit from yesterdays analysis this morning. Thought it would be worth publishing the analysis now that the market has had time to settle. I would say this trade is still available for an entry.