Smartmoneyconcepts
EURUSD - Stuck in Consolidation With Downside Bias[EURUSD has been trading inside a clear consolidation zone after an extended move higher, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel structure. Price action remains trapped within this range, with liquidity already taken from the upside during the recent sweep.
Consolidation Dynamics
The pair is currently caught in a sideways structure, compressing between resistance above and support below. We already had a perfect retest inside the fair value gap, and the reaction suggests that momentum is leaning toward the downside. Until price decisively breaks the channel, traders should treat this as a range-bound environment with strong respect for key levels.
Bearish Scenarios
Given that the liquidity grab on the upside of the range has already occurred, the likelihood of a downward move has increased. From here, price could drop directly from the current level to retest the channel line and the demand zone below. This would confirm the idea that buyers are struggling to push beyond the consolidation ceiling.
Alternative Bullish Path
It is still possible that price makes one more push higher into the red supply zone before reversing. If this happens, the move would likely serve as a final inducement before sellers step in, driving price back down into the bottom side of the channel where support and liquidity rest.
Price Targets and Expectations
In both scenarios, the lower boundary of the channel remains the key target area to watch. A clean retest of this level would align with previous reactions and could offer another potential base for continuation higher in the broader trend. Until then, the immediate expectation favors a move toward the downside.
Conclusion
EURUSD is consolidating with signs of weakness after the sweep of the highs, making a retracement toward the lower channel line the most probable outcome. Whether price drops directly from here or first taps into the red supply zone, the downside appears to be the more likely path in the short term.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD-JPY Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY was making a
Strong bullish rebound
But the pair is trading in a
Downtrend so after it hits
The horizontal resistance
Above at 86.827 from where
We will be expecting a
Bearish move down
Sell!
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SILVER MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅SILVER is about to retest
A key structure level of 39.50$
Which implies a high likelihood
Of a move down as some market
Participants will be taking profit
From long positions while others
Will find this price level to be
Good for selling so as usual we
Will have a chance to ride the
Wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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GOLD IS OVERBOUGHT|SHORT|
✅GOLD will be retesting a resistance
Level of 3388$ soon from where
I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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CRUDE OIL Pullback Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is etching closer
And closer towards the
Horizontal resistance of 64.60$
So as we are bearish biased
We will be expecting a local
Pullback on Monday
After the retest
Sell!
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NZD-CAD Local Pullback! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CAD made a sharp
Bullish move up and hit
A horizontal resistance
Of 0.8130 and the pair
Failed to break the level
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
On Monday!
Sell!
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EUR-CAD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Pair is made a bullish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 1.6180
Which is now a support
And as the breakout is
Confirmed we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Continuation on Monday
Buy!
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Bitcoin - A Deep Sweep Setting Up the Next ExpansionBitcoin just swept the monthly low of August as well as the previous day’s low. This was a clear liquidity grab that lined up with today’s bullish momentum in the market. The strong reaction from this zone shows that buyers were waiting for these liquidity levels to get cleared before stepping in.
Liquidity Sweep and Reaction
The sweep was significant because it cleared out resting sell-side liquidity to the left. This kind of move usually sets the stage for a reversal, and the large impulse candle confirms strong demand stepping in. While some might see this as just a reaction to external events, the technical picture supports continuation higher.
Immediate Target
The first target is sitting around 117,000. This level lines up with short-term inefficiencies and is a logical magnet for price in the coming sessions. I expect this liquidity pool to be swept before any meaningful retracement.
Retracement Expectation
After hitting the first target, I anticipate a move back down to fill around 50% of the large green impulse candle. Big candles like this often retrace partially before continuing their main direction. That retracement will provide a cleaner structure and a chance for re-entries on lower timeframes.
Higher-Timeframe Objective
Once the retracement plays out, the bigger objective sits higher at the unmitigated 4H fair value gap around 120,500. This area remains untouched and is likely to act as a price magnet as the market seeks balance.
Conclusion
The sweep of key lows combined with the strong impulsive move is a bullish development. I expect price to first tag 117,000, then retrace into the large candle before resuming higher towards the 4H FVG.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD-JPY Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is making a nice
Rebound form the horizontal
Support of 146.350 after a
Strong move down and as
We are locally bullish biased
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SMC Trading Basics. Liquidity Zones & How to Identify Them
In the today's article, I will teach you the concept of liquidity zones and how to identify them properly, trading Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes.
Simply put, a liquidity zone is a certain area on a price chart where a significant concentration of trading volumes occurred.
Huge trading volumes signify the presence of big players: hedge funds, banks, etc...
Correct identification of liquidity zones is essential for smart money trading, because such zones provide the safest and the most profitable trading opportunities.
There are 3 common characteristics of a valid liquidity zone:
1. Huge volume spikes upon its test
Take a look at the underlined blue area on USDCAD.
We see sharp volume spikes when the market was testing that area.
2. Strong rejections from such an area with a formation of long wicks
Look how the price reacts to the liquidity zone on USDJPY.
We see multiple strong rejections from that.
3. Long consolidation within that zone
Bitcoin was "standing" on a liquidity zone for more than 3 weeks, barely moving while trading volumes were quietly accumulating.
4. Multiple strong bullish or bearish reactions to that area
Just look how many times the underlined area was respected by the buyers and by the sellers. That is a perfect example of a liquidity zone.
To underline a liquidity zone properly, follow these simple rules:
1. If the price is ABOVE the liquidity zone, its lower boundary
will be the lowest wick within that area and its upper boundary will be the lowest candle close. Such a liquidity zone will be called a demand area.
Here is the example of drawing a liquidity zone on GBPUSD.
The lower boundary of the zone is the lowest wick, while its upper boundary is the lowest candle close.
2. If the price is BELOW the liquidity zone, its upper boundary will be the highest wick within that area and its lower boundary will be the highest candle close. Such a liquidity zone will be called a supply area.
Here is the liquidity zone that I identified on Gold following our rules.
Remember, that you can identify liquidity zones on any time frame. However, the rule is that the higher is the time frame, the stronger is the liquidity zone.
I prefer to analyze the liquidity zones on a daily time frame.
Once you underlined liquidity zones, you should realize that within these areas, big players are expected to place their orders in the future.
For that reason, after the tests of such areas, a strong bullish or bearish movements will be expected.
Here is a huge liquidity zone that I spotted on GBPJPY.
Look at a strong bearish movement that initiated after its test.
Your task as a smart money trader will be to identify bullish or bearish confirmations and understand the intentions of big players. With experience, you will learn to recognize valid signals.
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SILVER Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend and Silver shot
Up sharply today and it
Is now locally overbought
So after the retest of the
Horizontal resistance above
At 39.53$ from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bearish move down
Sell!
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USD-CAD Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD made a great
Move down today and has
Almost hit a horizontal support
Of 1.3808 from where we
Will be expecting a
Local bullish correction
Buy!
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AUD_NZD MOVE UP AHEAD|LONG|
✅AUD_NZD made an
Epic bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 1.1020
Then made a retest of the
New support and is now going
Up again so as the pair is
In the uptrend we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up
LONG🚀
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AUD-JPY Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY keeps going up
And the pair is locally oversold
So after it hits the horizontal
Resistance of 95.607 we
Will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP-AUD Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is making
A local bearish correction
So after the retest of the
Horizontal support of 2.0860
We will be expecting a rebound
And a move up
Buy!
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EUR_CHF LOCAL SHORT|
✅EUR_CHF made a retest of the
Strong horizontal resistance level of 0.9395
And as you can see the pair is already
Making a local pullback from
The level which sends a clear
Bearish signal to us therefore
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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NIKKEI Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NIKKEI is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Index is making a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 42,138 from where
We will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.






















