Bullish Leg on Gold? Good morning traders,
Here is my forecast on the 4h chart for Gold.
We could potentially see a bullish leg if this 4h breaker block price area holds as support. And could see a retracement towards buyside imbalance in the form of a 4h FVG (Fair Value Gap) at around equilibrium (50%) towards $3,400.
Regards,
Aman
SMC
DXY 1D – Tipping Point: News or Price Action?Hey Guys,
The DXY index is currently moving within a downtrend. This trend is unlikely to reverse unless it breaks above the 98.950 level.
Sure, key fundamental data could shift the trend, but without those news catalysts, a reversal at this point doesn’t seem realistic.
Don’t forget—98.950 is a critical threshold for the DXY.
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US30 SHORT FORM RESISTANCE|
✅DOW JONES index keeps
Growing in a strong uptrend
And we are bullish biased long-term
However the price has hit an all-time-high
Resistance level of 45,072(which can be seen
Further left you zoom out on higher TF)
So as we are already seeing a local
Bearish reaction we will be
Expecting a local bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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GOLD Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is falling down now
But will soon hit a horizontal
Support level of 3375$
And as we are bullish biased
We will be expecting a rebound
And a local bullish correction
Buy!
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AUD_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅AUD_USD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.6590 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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NATGAS Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS keeps falling but
A strong horizontal support
Level is ahead at 3.00$ so
After Gas retests the support
We will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
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SILVER WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend and the price made
A retest of the horizontal support
Level of 39.10$ and we are already
Seeing a bullish reaction so we
Are bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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GOLD LOCAL LONG|
✅GOLD went down from
The resistance just as I predicted
But a strong support level is ahead at 3380$
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 3400$
LONG🚀
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NZD-JPY Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend but the pair is locally
Overbought so after the pair
Hits the horizontal resistance
Level of 88.900 we will be
Expecting a local bearish
Move down
Sell!
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CAD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-JPY made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 107.400 and we
Are already seeing a bullish
Rebound and we will be
Expecting a further local
Bullish move up
Buy!
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Bitcoin - Triangle pattern consolidation!The Bitcoin price action is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, as illustrated in the chart provided. After a significant bullish move earlier this month, BTC has now entered a phase of consolidation, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows. This has formed a triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout as price nears the apex. The upper boundary of the triangle acts as dynamic resistance, while the rising lower trendline provides firm support. Given the preceding upward momentum leading into this consolidation, the bias slightly favors a breakout to the upside, though the market can always surprise.
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case, Bitcoin would need to break convincingly above the descending resistance trendline. Should that occur, the next key level to watch lies within the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $120,500 and $121,400. This region represents an area of inefficiency where price moved rapidly in the past, and it is likely to attract selling pressure again. Bulls would ideally aim to reclaim this zone with strong momentum and potentially use it as support in a retest scenario. A successful retest of the triangle’s upper boundary could also trigger a liquidity grab above recent highs, particularly above the all-time high levels.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, a bearish breakout would involve BTC breaking below the ascending support trendline. If this happens, the most probable downside target would be the CME gap left behind from two weekends ago, located between $114,300 and $115,500. This price gap occurred due to the discrepancy between Friday’s closing price and Sunday’s opening price on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, often a magnet for price reversion. After this gap is filled, it is possible that BTC sees a short-term bounce to retest the triangle from below, before potentially continuing lower to address further imbalances in price action.
How to Confirm a Valid Breakout
Trading triangle patterns can be deceptive, as BTC often exhibits false breakouts designed to trap traders on the wrong side. To confirm a valid breakout, it's crucial to observe at least a few 4-hour candles closing decisively above or below the triangle boundaries. Additionally, breakout strength should be accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. A breakout without volume confirmation is often a sign of a fake move, and entering trades under such conditions can be highly risky.
Final Thoughts
BTC is currently consolidating within this symmetrical triangle formation, signaling a period of indecision and potential volatility ahead. While both bullish and bearish scenarios are plausible, it is essential to wait for clear confirmation before committing to a position. Patience and discipline are key, especially when navigating patterns prone to fake-outs. For now, remaining on the sidelines until a confirmed breakout occurs may be the most prudent strategy.
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Simple Swing Trading Strategy with Smart Money Concept Explained
I will share with you the essential basics of swing trading forex gold with Smart Money Concepts.
You will learn how to do swing trading with the best SMC strategy.
I will teach you to c ombine order blocks, liquidity zones and imbalances to spot accurate entries and confirmation signals.
If you just started learning swing trading Forex with Smart Money Concepts, I strictly recommend trading with the trend only.
The cases and examples that we will discuss will be strictly trend-following ones.
Swing Trading with SMC in Uptrend
For swing buying any forex pair, we will look for the market that is trading in a bullish trend.
To confirm that the market is rising, you will need to execute structure mapping and find a forex pair that updates Higher Highs HH and Higher Lows HL.
Above is the example how I confirmed that GBPUSD is bullish with structure mapping. You can see that the pair consistently updates the highs.
Once you identified a bullish pair, your next step will be to find the zone from where the next swing move will follow.
According to the rules, the market remains in uptrend till the price is staying above or on the level of the last Higher Low HL.
Here is such a zone on GBPUSD.
It is based on the last Higher Low and current price levels.
We will assume that buying orders will concentrate within that area and from that a bullish rally will follow.
The problem is that this area is extremely wide, and we can not just buy randomly within.
Our next step will be to find liquidity zones within.
To buy, we need demand areas.
I found 4 price action based historic demand zones on GBPUSD.
We will need to wait for the test of one of these zones and then wait for an order block - a place where smart money are placing their buy orders.
The problem is that we don't know in which of these areas the order block is, so we will need to wait for tests of these zones and a consequent imbalance to confirm it.
To confirm a bullish imbalance for swing trading Forex, I recommend analyzing a 4H time frame after a test of a demand zone.
According to Smart Money Concepts, a bullish imbalance can be any sign of strength of the buyers : bullish breakout of a vertical/horizontal resistance, change of character, high momentum bullish candle, bullish price action pattern, etc.
An order block on GBPUSD was confirmed with a breakout of a resistance line of a falling channel on a 4H time frame.
That was the signal that Smart Money are buying, and that is your signal to open a swing long trade.
You place a buy position then with a stop loss below the order block and a target - at least a current high.
Swing Trading with SMC in Downtrend
For swing selling any forex pair, you will need to find a market that is trading in a bearish trend.
I suggest applying structure mapping to identify such a pair.
It simply should update Lower Lows LL and Lower Highs consistently.
USDCAD is trading in a bearish trend.
Structure mapping helps to easily confirm that.
Then, we will need to identify the zone from where the next bearish wave will start.
According to Smart Money Concepts structure mapping rules, the market remains bearish till the price is staying below or on the level of the last Lower High LH.
That's such a zone on USDCAD.
It is based on current prices and the last Lower High.
We will assume that selling orders will be distributed along the entire lenth of our zone.
Of course, we can not sell randomly within that zone because it is relatively extended.
Our next task will be to find liquidity supply zones within.
I found 2 price action based supply zones within our underlined area.
Before we sell, we will need to find an order block.
A place from where smart money are selling big.
To spot that, I suggest waiting for a test of one of our supply zones and wait for a bearish imbalance on a 4H time frame.
According to SMC, a bearish imbalance can be a bearish high momentum candle, a bearish CHoCH, a bearish price action pattern, a bearish breakout of a horizontal/vertical support , etc.
You can see that a lower supply zone was tested on USDCAD.
Our bearish order block confirmation is a bearish Change of Character, a formation of a high momentum bearish candle and a breakout of a rising trend line.
After that we can open a swing sell position and expect a bearish movement at least to a current low.
Stop loss should lie strictly above the order block.
TP should be at least a c urrent low.
That is how a trade should be executed on USDCAD pair.
Remember that there is no guarantee that the order block will be within a liquidity zone. You should learn to track the signs of smart money and their operations.
A proper combination of a trend analysis, liquidity zones and order block is the essential basis of a profitable swing trading Forex.
Mastering that, practice recognizing the imbalances and confirmations for spotting the best swing trading entries.
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NZDCHF - Follow the Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈NZDCHF has been overall bearish , trading within the falling orange channel and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is rejecting a structure marked in blue.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDCHF is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes. (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
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