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Gold 1H – Will 4242 Displace or 4170 Unlock the Next Leg?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (04/12) 📈 Market Context Gold squeezes into engineered liquidity as Donald Trump signals policy authorization for ultra-compact car production in the U.S., adding risk-on volatility to USD narratives. Markets may front-run sentiment shifts into commodities like gold. Expect fast bilateral sweeps before institutions reveal intent. On H1, structure toggles between premium supply at 4242–4244 and discount demand at 4170–4168. The next directional leg requires MSS + BOS + displacement confluence. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes Liquidity Zones & Key Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Bias invalidation only via structure break + displacement validation. Expected Sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 Rules: ✔ Zone tap 4243 → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15) ✔ Clean bearish BOS down + candle displacement ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement Targets: 1. 4200 – 4190 2. 4182 – 4176 3. 4170 – 4168 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Rules: ✔ Sweep under 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up ✔ Displacement candle away from discount ✔ Wick rejection into FVG fill / OB retest confirm Targets: 1. 4186 2. 4210 3. 4242+ ⚠️ Risk Notes • Both sweeps = traps until BOS + Displacement confirms intent • No averaging inside compression • SL = structural invalidation only • Reduce size during headline-driven spikes 📍 Summary Two institutional paths today: • 4243 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4170 or • 4169 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into 4242+ Trade the structure. Let price narrate the intent. Patience = edge. 🚀 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
35
GOLD M15 OUTLOOKGold (XAUUSD) on the M15 timeframe is currently executing a textbook technical maneuver: price is tapping into a key Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone. This zone, derived from Fibonacci retracement theory, represents a high-probability reversal area where institutional order flow often clusters. The setup is promising, but the key to transforming this potential into profit lies in one disciplined step: waiting for Lower Time Frame (LTF) confirmation before initiating any buy trade.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DCBFOREXTRADING
XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: buy according to Wolfe Wave, watch for ..XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: buy according to Wolfe Wave, watch for sell in the expansion area Gold continues its upward momentum as the USD weakens significantly, breaking the downtrend line and forming a Wolfe Wave pattern on H1. The price is currently fluctuating around the POC – VAH cluster of the distribution area, making it easy for a price reaction to occur before the NFP is released. During this period, I prioritize buying according to the main trend, but still prepare a short-term sell scenario in the overly high price area if the market "blows" too much before the news. 🎯 Scenario 1 – PRIORITY BUY AT POC/VAH Buy: 4.209 – 4.212 SL: 4.205 TP: 4.233 – 4.260 – 4.299 Reason: The price is retesting the POC – VAH cluster right after breaking above the downtrend line. The Wolfe Wave pattern targets a higher price area, suitable for the continuation of the upward trend scenario. The 4.209–4.212 area is a region with good liquidity, allowing for a short SL but still attractive R:R. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL REACTION IN HIGH PRICE AREA Sell (only enter when there is a clear reversal signal): 4.323 – 4.325 SL: 4.333 Reference TP: 4.299 – 4.260 – 4.233 Reason: The 4.323–4.325 area is the upper expansion area, coinciding with the resistance of the Wolfe Wave and the old supply area. If before NFP the price is "pushed" to this area but H1 candles show long upper shadows, weakening volume, I see this as an opportunity to sell against the wave back to the POC/support areas below. This is a counter-trend order, the volume should be small, enter-exit decisively. 1️⃣ Fundamental view before NFP The USD is trying to recover from the late October bottom but is held back by expectations that the Fed will soon turn dovish. Recent data shows the US economy is cooling down, the labor market is slowing, increasing the likelihood of the Fed cutting 25bps in the upcoming FOMC meeting. The Government Accountability Office opens an investigation with the "Fed critic," while Mr. Hassett states that the Fed may cut rates – all reinforcing the "peak rate has passed" narrative. Job cuts according to the Challenger report decreased sharply compared to the previous month, but overall the picture still shows growth is slowing, suitable for a medium-term gold-supportive environment. In summary: fundamental news still leans towards supporting gold, NFP only determines the speed and depth of the adjustment, not "breaking the trend" unless the discrepancy is too extreme. 2️⃣ Technical analysis from the chart H1 shows gold has broken the downtrend line, returning to trade above the POC area of the previous decline. Wolfe Wave appears with a target higher than the current price area, reinforcing the buy wave view. The price is clinging around POC – VAH: If it holds above 4.209–4.212, it is likely to head towards 4.26x–4.29x. If strongly rejected at 4.32x before or after NFP, this is a favorable area to watch for a sell reaction. 3️⃣ Plan & risk management Prioritize BUY scenario 4.209–4.212, SL 4.205, TP 4.233–4.260–4.299. Only activate SELL scenario 4.323–4.325 if: If NFP causes too wide price fluctuations, prioritize waiting for the price to stabilize around POC before setting up again. If this perspective helps you shape your plan before NFP, follow the TradingView account and leave a comment
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
Bearish Structure and Short SetupYesterday, price action did not unfold as I anticipated. However, today the market has developed a new bearish internal structure after taking out the daily weak higher high (HH). This shift signals a potential counter-pullback and suggests that momentum is turning to the downside. To align with this emerging trend, I will be looking for short opportunities, confirmed on the 15-minute timeframe. If the bearish confirmation holds, it could provide a favorable setup to capitalize on the continuation of downward pressure.
Short
by fxtrends28
XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES BUY SCALPING 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE DATA XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES BUY SCALPING 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE DATA 1. Fundamental Analysis This weekend, the market is almost "holding its breath" waiting for the PCE report – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, seen as the final piece before the year-end meeting. Surveys show weakening consumer confidence, increasing recession risks. But shopping season sales and Black Friday indicate purchasing power is still quite strong. Therefore, PCE will decide: If inflation continues to cool, the market strengthens the expectation ~87% that the Fed will cut 25bps, supporting stocks and in the medium term also providing a positive foundation for gold. Before the data release, gold tends to move sideways, compressing the range, with money staying out waiting for more signals. Today Lana only sees this as a weekend scalping session, not opening additional long positions. 2. Technical Analysis H1 Frame: Gold is moving in an upward price channel, with higher lows. The lower trendline of the channel passes through the 4180–4185 area. Above is the 4219 resistance zone and further is the POC cluster 4241–4244, but with the current sideways state, the price has not shown a clear breakout intention. On Thursday and Friday morning, the fluctuation range was quite noisy, with candles crisscrossing around the middle of the channel – indicating an accumulation state, waiting for a breakout. Therefore, Lana does not chase Buy/Sell in the middle of the zone, but only chooses a clear liquidity area near the upward trendline for scalping. 3. Price Areas to Watch Buy scalping area: 4185 – 4180 (coincides with upward trendline + support) Secondary support: 4165 – 4156 Near resistance: 4219 Far resistance / POC: 4241 – 4244 4. Trading Scenario ⭐️ Only Scenario – Weekend Buy Scalping Buy: 4185 – 4180 SL: 4178 TP: minimum +15–20 points from entry (you can actively close around near resistance zones). Today Lana does not open additional long-term positions, only focusing on this one entry. Next week, if a larger wave forms more clearly after the PCE data and the Fed's decision, I will update everyone. 💛 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
6
XAUUSD – H1 in a downtrend channel, prioritize selling at the...XAUUSD – H1 in a downtrend channel, prioritize selling at the channel top – buying at the trendline & Fibonacci On H1, gold is sliding in a clear downtrend channel after peaking around 4.22x–4.23x. In this context, I do not enter trades in the middle of the channel but only trade at two extreme zones: Sell at the resistance/channel top. Buy at the trendline + Fibonacci below. 🎯 Today's trading plan 1️⃣ SELL Scenario – Watch for shorting at the resistance zone 4.203 Sell: 4.203 SL: 4.225 (aggressive) 4.249 (safer for swing) TP: 4.183 – 4.161 – 4.143 Zone 4.203 is: Resistance of the H1 downtrend channel. Near the supply zone where price was previously sold off strongly. If the price retests 4.203 during the day, I prioritize selling according to the downtrend channel, with the first target near the bottom at 4.183, further at 4.161–4.143 – corresponding to the demand zone in the middle of the channel. 2️⃣ BUY Scenario – Buy at the channel bottom: trendline + Fibonacci Buy: 4.142 SL: 4.119 (aggressive) 4.098 (safer) TP: 4.170 – 4.198 – 4.205 Zone 4.142 is a confluence of the long-term uptrend line + Fibonacci + old support zone. If gold is sold off to this area and a good price reaction appears (wick candles, increased buying volume), I see this as an opportunity to buy against the corrective phase, expecting the price to return to the middle of the channel and resistance 4.20x. 1️⃣ Basic Context USD is trying to recover from the lowest bottom since late October, creating short-term corrective pressure on gold. However, the USD's upward momentum is limited by expectations that the Fed will soon shift to a dovish stance: Recent macro data shows the US economy is cooling down, with growth slowing. The labor market shows signs of weakening in November. This increases the probability of the Fed cutting 25bps at next week's FOMC, keeping the medium-term picture for gold positive, even though it is currently undergoing technical correction. In summary: short-term has room to decline in the H1 channel, but medium-term gold is still supported by rate cut expectations. 2️⃣ Technical & Market Sentiment View The H1 downtrend channel represents a distribution/correction phase after the previous strong rally. Every time the price touches the upper edge of the channel, selling pressure appears, indicating that shorts are still taking advantage of high areas to enter. Conversely, the lower edge of the channel + long-term trendline around 4.14x is where medium-term buying power is likely to appear – those waiting for a discount to re-enter the larger trend. Current sentiment: Short-term traders: prioritize selling at resistance, buying at support within the channel. Medium-term traders: wait for the deeper 4.14x zone to accumulate gradually, instead of FOMO at the 4.20x zone. 3️⃣ Execution Plan Do not enter trades in the middle of the channel, only act at: 4.203 for the SELL scenario. 4.142 for the BUY scenario. Each trade limits risk to 1–2% of the account, choose one of the two SL levels (aggressive/safer) depending on the trading timeframe. If the price decisively breaks the downtrend channel (H1 candle closes above 4.249 or below 4.098), I stop all current scenarios and reassess the structure. If you find this perspective useful, follow the TradingView account.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA WATCH SELL 4190–4194 AND BUY 4100–4102 ON 04/12 XAUUSD – LANA WATCH SELL 4190–4194 AND BUY 4100–4102 ON 04/12 1. Fundamental Analysis The current context revolves around concerns of a global economic growth slowdown. In a recession cycle, yields in the US and Europe tend to drop faster than in Japan due to more "room" to cut interest rates. This leads to: Narrowing yield spreads, USD/JPY carry trade transactions being reversed. Increased risk aversion, with capital flows tending to return to JPY and defensive assets like gold. If the risk-off wave is strong, USD/JPY may not decline gradually but could experience quite rapid drops. In such an environment, currency market volatility can easily lead to strong fluctuations in gold, creating trading opportunities in more attractive liquidity zones instead of chasing prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, gold is compressed between: Descending trendline above: connecting from the peak area 4,245–4,260, selling pressure remains present whenever the price touches this trendline. Ascending trendline below: extending from the bottom of last month, acting as support for the medium-term trend. Some key areas on the chart: Timing zone 4190–4194: close to the descending trendline, coinciding with the previous Volume cluster, is the area Lana prioritizes for short-term Sell watch. Buy POC – VAL Volume Profile zone below: a price area where the market previously traded heavily, buying force may return when the price adjusts deeply. Buy Liquidity zone 4100–4102 lies right above the large ascending trendline: this is a beautiful liquidity area to seek Buy opportunities in line with the longer trend if the market shakes off strongly. In summary, Lana leans towards the scenario: The price may rebound to test 4190–4194 then weaken. If it drops deeply to 4100–4102 and holds the ascending trendline, this will be the area to consider buying back up. 3. Price Areas to Watch Resistance / Sell watch zone: 4190 – 4194 Invalidation zone for Sell setup (wide SL): 4219 – 4231 Support / Buy watch zone: 4100 – 4102 SL levels for Buy setup: 4081 – 4063 – 4045 (depending on individual risk tolerance) 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐️ Short-term Sell scenario Sell entry: 4190 – 4194 SL: 4219 – 4231 TP: 4181 – 4155 ⭐️ Deep Buy scenario following the trend Buy entry: 4100 – 4102 SL: 4081 – 4063 – 4045
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
8
Gold 1H – 4262 Sweep Drop or 4188 Hold the Floor?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (03/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading into policy-driven liquidity engineering as former White House adviser Kevin Hassett gains renewed spotlight after public commentary from former U.S. President Donald Trump referencing potential Federal Reserve leadership influence. Expect sharp liquidity sweeps both sides before institutions commit. Technically, H1 price coils between premium and discount extremes, and the next leg unlocks only after MSS (CHoCH) + BOS + displacement validation. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes Liquidity zones & key triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 Institutional idea: sweep above premium → bearish MSS + valid BOS down → FVG/OB retest → delivery into discount. • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 Institutional idea: sweep below discount → bullish MSS + BOS up → FVG/OB retest → demand expansion. • 🟡 Equilibrium / Chop: no trading unless structure proves intent. Expected sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 Rules: ✔ Price taps 4266 zone → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15) ✔ Confirm clean bearish BOS down with displacement ✔ Enter on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 2. 4225 – 4215 3. 4186 – 4184 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 Rules: ✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up ✔ Confirm displacement away from discount ✔ Enter on wick rejection + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation Targets: 1. 4215 2. 4240 3. 4265+ ⚠️ Risk Notes • Both sweeps = traps until BOS + displacement proves intent. • No averaging inside compression. • SL = structure invalidation only. • Reduce lot size during volatility spikes from headline risk. 📍 Summary Two institutional routes today: • 4266 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4185 or • 4185 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into new 4266+ Trade the structure. Let price narrate intent. Patience = edge. 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
5
XAUUSD – H1 sideways, prioritize trading at the liquidity ....XAUUSD – H1 sideways, prioritize trading at the liquidity zone Today gold is sideways on H1, price is fluctuating around the balance zone, not choosing a clear direction. In this state, I do not chase the price in the middle of the range but only trade at both ends of the liquidity zone, where there is high volume and clear traces of cash flow. 🎯 BUY Scenario – Watch for “Liquidity Buy” below the range bottom Buy: 4.191 – 4.194 SL: 4.187 TP: 4.212 – 4.235 – 4.260 – 4.290 The 4.191–4.194 area on the chart is the liquidity buy zone: Coincides with the nearest bottom of the strong shakeout. Near the bottom of the thick volume cluster, indicating absorption of previous sell pressure. If the price sweeps to this area, I prioritize buying back up to the upper boundary of the range, gradually closing from 4.212 to 4.26x. This order follows the idea: capturing the buying flow defending around the bottom of the accumulation zone. 🔁 SELL Scenario – Watch for Sell POC at the upper boundary 4.237–4.240 Sell: 4.237 – 4.240 SL: 4.245 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.155 The 4.237–4.240 area is the Sell POC / supply zone: Where thick volume concentrates at the top. Confluence with the current range top and previous price touches that were sold down. When the price retraces to this area, I prioritize selling down to the middle and bottom of the range, keeping a tight SL above 4.245 to avoid a real breakout. 1️⃣ Larger Context – Market shocked but not easily collapsed 2013 – Abenomics: BOJ eased extremely, market fluctuated violently but no systemic crisis occurred. 2022–2023: Fed raised rates very quickly, risky assets adjusted but eventually recovered structure. Lesson: modern financial markets have good "elasticity" to policy shocks. For gold, this means: current adjustments are not signs of trend collapse, but just a process of redistributing positions. Our task is to read price and liquidity zones, not overreact to each short-term news cycle. 2️⃣ Technical View from H1 Price is moving sideways between two boundaries ~4.19x and ~4.24x. Volume Profile shows a large volume cluster in the middle, while both ends of the range are thin liquidity areas – very suitable for stop sweeps and reversals. Further below, the Buy Zone POC around 4.16x remains the last support area of the current trend; if the price breaks this area and closes below 4.155, the short-term uptrend structure is truly threatened. In the context of no clear breakout up or down, I choose a mean-reversion strategy: Buy at the bottom of the liquidity zone, Sell at the top of the supply zone, until the market breaks the sideways structure. 3️⃣ Today's Trading Plan Only act in two areas: Buy 4.191–4.194, SL 4.187, TP 4.212–4.235–4.260–4.290. Sell 4.237–4.240, SL 4.245, TP 4.220–4.202–4.180–4.155. Do not enter orders in the middle of the range, avoid being "bitten at both ends". For each scenario, keep risk at 1–2% of the account, do not widen SL. If the price breaks strongly out of one of the boundary areas and holds steady, I stop the range trading strategy and wait for a new structure. If you find this analysis useful, you can follow the account on TradingView and leave comments on today's scenario – prioritize BUY at the range bottom or SELL above the POC area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold H1 – Will 4278–4280 Trigger a Drop Into 4170 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (01/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. Spot gold recently surged past $4,230/oz — hitting a multi-week high — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength, soft U.S. macro data, and dovish comments from Fed officials have fueled speculative buying in gold. Technically, gold remains elevated, hovering inside a rising channel — similar to what’s shown on your chart. Price compression following strong displacement suggests a consolidation before the next institutional move. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~ 4278–4280 (near upper channel resistance) — aligns with your SELL zone. • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~ 4172–4170 (near lower channel support / trendline) — aligns with your BUY zone. • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel / recent consolidation zone — avoid trading blindly here unless structure breaks. Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion Given the macro tailwinds (weak USD, rate-cut odds), gold remains primed for a directional move once structure confirms. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4278 – 4280 | SL 4288 • Thesis: A liquidity sweep at channel top / premium zone followed by engineered bearish displacement — capturing liquidity before a reversal. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price touches 4280 zone • Bearish CHoCH / MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Entry ideally on FVG fill or after order-block retest post-BOS • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 area (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (mid-channel retest) 3. 4175 – 4172 (lower channel + buy zone) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 • Thesis: Discount-origin tap near lower channel support / trendline — smart money likely to accumulate for next leg up, especially amid dovish Fed sentiment. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price dips into 4170 zone • Bullish CHoCH / MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • Strong bullish wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 1. 4225 – 4230 (first reaction / mid-channel) 2. 4255 – 4265 (upper mid-channel) 3. 4278 – 4280+ (premium liquidity retest) ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside the mid-channel chop zone without structural confirmation — no “blind” entries. • Do not treat sweeps (top or bottom) as trend entries — these are often traps. • Use tight SL (structure invalidation), avoid averaging in consolidation. • Given potential volatility from macro headlines or a USD bounce, consider reducing lot size. Summary Gold is currently riding macro tailwinds — weak USD + Fed rate-cut odds — but from a technical perspective, it’s compressed inside a rising channel. The day’s price action may be a classic Smart Money liquidity hunt: either a sweep at 4278–4280 leading to a sharp drop toward 4170, or a retracement to 4170 that sets up a fresh bull leg. Only trade after structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS + retest) — avoid “trend-hop” entries. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
74
XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES FOR BUY WAVE 5, SKIPS SELL ORDERS ON 03/12XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES FOR BUY WAVE 5, SKIPS SELL ORDERS ON 03/12 1. Quick Summary Main View: H2 – H4 Data: TPO, Footprint, Elliott wave, futures/options Idea: Today Lana prioritizes BUY with wave 5, skips Sell orders. Lana's focus area: buy timing 4190–4194, SL 4185, TP according to wave 5 peak around 4315. 2. Futures & Market Profile Data 1. US Session TPO – “Thin” Pattern Last night's TPO formed a Thin Profile, often appearing after strong shakeouts in an uptrend. VA was accepted at a low area but the Market didn't spend much time here, the upper auction areas are still incomplete → high probability of price returning to test these levels. 2. Footprint – Trap Sell with Strong Delta On the H1 candle, Footprint recorded a Trap Sell with Delta ~ -1113 contracts. The Sell side tried to push the price down but was completely absorbed, the candle bottom became an area with a large number of trapped Sell orders. Lana sees this as a sign: Smart money is accumulating, shaking off weak Buy positions, and collecting more FOMO Sell bottoms. 3. Elliott Wave & Key Price Areas The raw chart according to Elliott wave is still following the scenario Lana shared earlier this week: Monday: confirmed the up wave scenario. Tuesday: wave 4 correction, short Sell opportunity. Wednesday (today): waiting for wave 5 to rise, Lana prioritizes Buying. Buy timing area 4190–4194 coincides with the nearest swing bottom and accumulation area – strong liquidity. Ideal TP: Minimum: current wave 5 peak. If the wave expands nicely: around 4315, or higher are the Liquidity clusters 4250–4260 and 4365–4370 as on the H4/H2 chart. 4. Trading Scenario ⭐️ Priority Scenario – ONLY BUY Buy: 4190 – 4194 SL: 4185 TP: Near the current wave 5 peak Far: around 4315 (everyone can split profits according to their personal plan) During the day, Lana does not encourage selling against the trend. This is Lana's personal perspective based on TPO, Footprint, and Elliott wave. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView for the earliest updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – Can 4265 Breakout or Trap Into 4185?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (02/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Spot gold recently surged — reflecting multi-week highs — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength and rate-cut odds have kept gold bid. From a technical perspective, price sits compressed at the channel top, signaling liquidity plays before the next institutional leg. Macro tone from Powell’s opening remarks on ForexFactory adds volatility fuel. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~4265–4267 (upper-edge pool of liquidity) • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~4186–4184 (demand liquidity near prior displacement base) • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel compression → no blind trading unless structure validates direction Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → FVG/OB Retest → Expansion Gold remains primed for a directional move only after structure confirms intent. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 • Thesis: Liquidity sweep above equal highs at premium edge, followed by engineered bearish BOS confirming institutional selling intent. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price pokes 4266 zone → bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after BOS validation • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (channel EQ retest) 3. 4186 – 4184 (full delivery into discount) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 • Thesis: Discount liquidity tap at institutional base, buy absorption after sweep + bullish BOS signaling new intraday demand. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on rejection wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 4. 4215 5. 4240 6. 4265+ ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside mid-range without CHoCH/BOS validation — sweeps are traps until proven by MSS + BOS. • Use SL for structure invalidation only — no averaging in compression. • Reduce lot size during Powell’s delivery window; macro impulses can run both sides of liquidity fast. 📍 Summary Gold is coiling at highs for liquidity. Either Powell triggers a 4266 sweep → bearish BOS → delivery, or price hunts 4185 discount → bullish BOS → continuation. Trade the structure, not the narrative — wait for CHoCH & BOS + retest to unlock expansion. 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
28
Bullish Analysis 15M-Gold Breakdown – XAU/USD ✨ Clean structure, institutional narrative, and a clear bullish roadmap. 🔹 1. Bearish Liquidity Mitigation (Sell-Side Liquidity) The market completed its job by sweeping all sell-side liquidity below previous lows 🟠. This provides the fuel institutions need to build long positions at discount levels. 🔥 🔹 2. Institutional Reversal from the POI After the liquidity grab, price taps your POI at 4,190 and shows a sharp rejection 🔁. This is a strong indication of bullish institutional intent. ✔️ 🔹 3. Fake Out + Bullish BOS The fake out was used to trap late sellers ❌ while big players loaded longs. The following bullish BOS confirms the shift in character and trend direction. 📈 🔹 4. Projected Path Toward Buy-Side Liquidity Price is now targeting upside liquidity and higher-timeframe inefficiencies. 🎯 🎯 Institutional Targets (TPs) • TP1 – 4,230: internal liquidity sweep 💧 • TP2 – 4,254: FVG mitigation ⚡ • TP3 – 4,277: continuation of bullish impulse 📊 • TP4 – 4,300: major liquidity grab / expected HH 🏆
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
4
GOLD Elliott H1: waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrendXAUUSD – Elliott H1: waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrend Brian – Short sell correction, prioritize Buy according to the major trend 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold has just broken the upward Dow structure and completed 5 small waves – a common signal before an ABC correction. The larger trend is still a very strong uptrend: gold is on track for its best year since 1979, up more than 60% in 2025, with the YTD performance gap between XAU and BTC continuing to widen. Therefore: selling is only a short-term strategy, while the priority position for next week remains to buy on deep corrections. 2. Technical structure – Elliott H1 H1: 5 upward waves have completed → the base scenario is for the price to create a wave A down – B retrace – C down before continuing the trend. The price area above 4,227–4,238 is a zone with selling liquidity + retesting the structure after breaking the H1 peak. The 4,183–4,173 area (Fibo 0.618 of the most recent increase) is the main demand zone, reasonable to watch for buying in line with the trend with a good R:R. 3. Trading plan for next week Scenario 1 – Short sell ABC correction (counter-trend) Idea: take advantage of the A/B correction wave after 5 upward waves on H1. Sell watch area: 4,227–4,238 SL: 4,246 Reference targets: TP1: area 4,200–4,195 TP2: towards the Fibo/Buy zone 4,183–4,173 Note: this is a counter-trend order, only suitable for accounts accepting intraday risk, volume should be smaller than buy orders. Scenario 2 – Buy according to the major trend at Fibo 0.618 (priority) Idea: wait for the ABC correction to complete, buy at the "discount" price area according to Elliott and Fibo. Buy watch area: 4,183–4,173 (Fibo 0.618 + technical support area). SL: 4,166 Target direction: Initially: return to the 4,220–4,230 area Extended: depending on developments, it may aim for new highs in the context of a record growth year. 4. Fundamental context – Why prioritize Buy on deep corrections? Gold increased +6% in November, marking the 4th consecutive month of gains. Previously it was +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September – a very rare series of increases, reinforcing the long-term bull market story. When an asset has risen strongly but still maintains momentum for many consecutive months, ABC-type corrections on H1 are often just opportunities for new money to participate, rather than trend reversals.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
XAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Short Sell Priority – Buy at POCXAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Short Sell Priority – Buy at POC Gold has just touched a new peak around 4,264 – the highest level in six weeks – and is entering a technical correction phase. The sell-side liquidity has been tested, but the medium-term uptrend remains, so I choose to trade both ways: Short sell when the price rebounds to the supply zone. Buy back at the POC zone – where buying flow is likely to return. 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL AT POC ZONE 4,236–4,238 Sell: 4,236 – 4,238 SL: 4,244 TP: 4,220 – 4,202 – 4,180 – 4,145 On H1, the 4,236–4,238 zone is the POC + peak volume distribution zone, coinciding with the upper edge of the sideways price cluster after a steep rise. If the price bounces back to retest this zone, I prioritize scalping sell according to the current correction rhythm, targeting: Returning to 4,220 – 4,202: short-term support zone. Deeper to 4,180 – 4,145: near the bottom of the previous demand zone, also where it converges with the large uptrend line. This is a counter-trend medium-term order, so I keep the volume small and the SL must be firm at 4,244. ⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY AT BUY ZONE POC 4,156–4,158 Buy: 4,156 – 4,158 SL: 4,150 TP: 4,175 – 4,190 – 4,225 – 4,250 The 4,156–4,158 zone is the Buy Zone POC on the chart: Confluence with the uptrend line from the bottom. Price zone where the market previously accumulated strongly before exploding to 4.26x. If gold corrects deeply here and creates a good price reaction (wick candles, increased buying volume), I see it as a DCA opportunity following the medium-term uptrend, aiming to recover to the 4.19x – 4.225 zone, further to 4.25x. 1. Basic Context Gold and silver are both benefiting from expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates, a weakening USD, and signs of a slowdown in the US economy. Gold increased by +6% in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of gains, and has risen over 60% this year – on track to become the strongest year in 46 years. Economic-political instability continues to drive money towards safe assets, with silver further supported by industrial demand, indirectly reinforcing positive sentiment for the precious metals group. On December 2, the market focuses on: 08:00: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaks. 22:00: Fed Governor Bowman testifies before the House Financial Services Committee. These two events could trigger strong intraday volatility, especially if the Fed's tone differs from the "easing" expectations. 2. Technical & Market Sentiment View After a steep rise to 4.26x, gold is gradually sliding along the H1 down channel, indicating a short-term sell-off phase to take profits. Sell POC 4,236–4,238 is the zone where sellers are trying to suppress, each time the price returns close, supply force appears. Below, Buy Zone POC 4,156–4,158 is the zone where buyers previously absorbed most of the sell orders and then pushed the price up; it is highly likely this will be where they protect the medium-term uptrend. Current sentiment: Short-term: the sell side dominates due to the profit-taking effect after creating a new peak. Medium-term: money flow still prioritizes holding gold, so I am not in a hurry to reverse the bias unless the 4,145 zone is completely broken. 3. Action Plan Short sell if the price rebounds to 4,236–4,238, SL 4,244, TP 4,220–4,202–4,180–4,145. Wait to buy back at 4,156–4,158 if there is a good reaction, SL 4,150, TP 4,175–4,190–4,225–4,250. Keep the risk of each scenario within 1–2% of the account, absolutely do not widen the SL when the market goes against. During the hours when Powell/Bowman speaks, prioritize reducing volume or staying out, avoiding being swept by spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA'S VIEW ON ADJUSTMENT PHASE 02/12 ...XAUUSD – LANA'S VIEW ON ADJUSTMENT PHASE 02/12 1. Quick Update Today, Lana views gold in the context of a short-term adjustment, mainly wave 4 according to Elliott, after a fairly strong previous increase. The goal is to take advantage of the technical decline to: Short sell to a lower price range Then buy back at a beautiful support area according to the main trend 2. Technical Analysis The Liquidity zone 4250–4260 on the weekly frame is a very strong liquidity area according to Market Profile. Lana sees this as an area prone to a “fake break”: price pushes up to take liquidity and then adjusts down. Based on Session data, Lana prioritizes the scenario: Price is rejected around the above area Forming a decline to the 418x area to complete wave 4 adjustment. After wave 4 is completed, the medium-term uptrend can still continue. 3. Price Areas to Watch Strong Liquidity / resistance area: 4250 – 4260 Short sell watch area: 4236 – 4241 Buy back area according to trend: 4180 – 4175 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐️ Scenario 1 – Sell according to adjustment phase Sell: 4236 – 4241 SL: above 4245 Target: 418x (can gradually close around 4180) ⭐️ Scenario 2 – Buy according to trend after adjustment Buy: 4180 – 4175 SL: 4170 TP: minimum 20 points (everyone can choose the nearest resistance area to gradually close) Lana's priority: Do not rush to Buy right at the Liquidity area 4250–4260 Be patient and wait for the price to reach the 4236–4241 area to Sell, then 4180–4175 to Buy according to the trend. This is Lana's personal view on the adjustment phase on 02/12, everyone should consider carefully and manage risks before entering a trade. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Bullish Analysis Gold-15M (SMC)Breakdown On the 15-minute chart, I’m seeing a very clean accumulation → manipulation → expansion sequence that aligns perfectly with institutional behavior. 📈✨ The market first formed a consolidation range, building both buy-side and sell-side liquidity. 💧⬆️⬇️ After that liquidity was engineered, price delivered a Buy-Side Liquidity sweep, followed by a strong move down that broke structure, giving me a clear BOS and shortly after a CHOCH, signaling a potential shift in momentum. ⚡🔄 Once the shift was confirmed, price tapped directly into my POI at 4,230, which aligns with an order block and a previous support zone that has shown strong reactions. 🎯📍 This is the level I’m interested in for entries because institutions often return here to mitigate before starting their expansion phase. Inside this POI we got a small fake out, followed by a clean rejection, confirming the setup. From here, I project a bullish move with a 1:4 R/R, protected with a stop-loss at 4,212. 🛡️📊 I set three take-profit levels based on liquidity and imbalances: • TP1: 4,254 → first reaction zone & nearby liquidity. 🥇📌 • TP2: 4,277 → unmitigated imbalance and previous liquidity. 🥈📈 • TP3: 4,300 → expected mitigation at the previous higher highs; major liquidity target. 🥇🎯✨ My bullish bias remains intact as long as price respects the POI. Liquidity, structure, and the unmitigated 4H FVG above all support the idea of price pushing toward those higher highs. 🚀💚 💬 Motivational Message Every analysis—win or loss—brings you one step closer to mastery. Trust your process, stay disciplined, and remember: the market rewards those who stay consistent even when the setup takes time. You’re leveling up every single day. Keep pushing. GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. 💪🔥📈
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
2
A Thesis Of A Trade: Developing A Story For Each TradeThe plan is the same, but each pair has a different story and different thesis. Previously, I have reported that I open a batch of trades and closing them all when I reach a certain profit percentage based on the Stochastic Plan. Last week the batch stayed negative, but all are still within the plan and not a single one broke the idea of the reason why they were opened. This opened the door for me to start treating each trade on its own instead of opening and closing batches. This is something that I wanted to implement but did not have the heart for it, especially that this is the first time for me to trade the scary daily time frame. Today is Monday, and accidentally it is the 1st of the month, and the 1st of December. This month I am going to try to keep at the methodology of treating each trade independently and create a thesis for each trade. Such a methodology with a thesis for each trade allows, as one of the comments of one of my previous videos here suggested, to create structural Stop Loss and Take Profit points. The thesis will tell a story of the pair. Why I opened the trade and where do I see it going based on the stochastic trigger and the chart elements. The thesis will also show when is the thesis going to be negated and no more stands and therefore needs to be stopped even at a loss. A break of thesis means that the reason why a trade was opened no longer exists and I need to get out of it. In the same manner, the thesis will look at the chart elements and see potential areas where the price might stop moving in my direction and this is again a point where I would close the trade in my favor. Everyday now I feel closer to reaching a solid Forex trading plan that I can depend on, and the day of funding a live account is getting closer. I am looking at funding an account by the end of this month to start the year 2026 trading live.
Education
by TheInvestor_Diary
XAUUSD – Early Week Buying Continues, Watch for Closing at ...XAUUSD – Early Week Buying Continues, Watch for Closing at Fibo Extension Zone Gold enters the week in a very special context: +6.0% in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of increase. This streak follows a +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September. Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by about 60.7%, on track to become the strongest year in nearly half a century. With a market making such history, I am not looking for a peak. I continue to prioritize buying with the trend, only selling briefly when the price hits the high Fibo extension zone. 🎯 Scenario 1 – BUY THE DIP FOLLOWING THE UPWARD TREND Buy: 4,194 – 4,195 SL: 4,185 TP: 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295 The 4,194–4,195 zone on H1 is the VAL/volume distribution bottom area after a steep increase, coinciding with the short-term support zone in the current structure. If the price neatly adjusts back here and shows a good reaction candle, I prioritize accumulating more BUY positions following the trend. Profit targets are: 4,210 – 4,235: near resistance zone, also around the 1.618 Fibo of the increase. 4,270 – 4,295: 2.618 Fibonacci extension zone – where profit-taking pressure and short-term reversal potential may appear stronger. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL SHORT-TERM AT 2.618 EXTENSION ZONE Sell: 4,285 – 4,287 SL: 4,295 TP: 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210 This is a scenario against the main trend, only for small volume short-term orders. If the price is pushed to the 4,285–4,287 zone (near the 2.618 Fibo peak) but cannot maintain the upward momentum, leaving a long upper shadow or a clear reversal candle pattern, I will consider SELLing back to the 4.26x–4.24x zone and deeper to 4,210. 1. Technical Perspective from the Chart The trend on H1/H4 is still clearly upward, with a series of higher lows, and the price clinging along the upward channel. The most recent increase has extended above the 1.618 Fibo mark, currently heading towards the 2.618 zone around 4.28x–4.29x. Below, the VAL around 4.19x is the first support; deeper is the sell-side liquidity zone around 4.16x – where many buyer stops are concentrated, only suitable for a deeper intraday adjustment scenario. With this structure, any pullback to the immediate support zone I see as an opportunity to join the upward wave, not a reversal signal. 2. Market Sentiment & Action Plan After a strong multi-month increase, the market is in a "chasing gold" state – FOMO is quite evident. This is why I no longer buy near the resistance zone, but wait for the price to return to the market-accepted zone (VAL/POC) for a good R:R entry point. The SELL scenario is only a backup plan when the price is pushed to the high Fibo extension zone and fails, triggering massive profit-taking from previous buy positions. My plan: Prioritize BUY 4,194–4,195, SL 4,185, TP 4,210–4,235–4,270–4,295. Only SELL short at 4,285–4,287 if there is a clear reversal signal, SL 4,295, TP 4,262–4,240–4,210. In each scenario, the risk is limited to 1–2% of the account, no widening of SL, and ready to stay out if the price breaks the established structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES BUYING ACCORDING TO SWING WAVES AT...XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES BUYING ACCORDING TO SWING WAVES AT THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK Fundamental Analysis The Fed has just announced it will end the QT (quantitative tightening) program from December 1st, accompanied by a target federal interest rate of 3.75–4%. When the Fed stops QT, the pace of balance sheet reduction slows down, meaning the pressure to withdraw liquidity from the market decreases, which is usually a positive factor for risky assets and gold. Mechanism: QE: balance sheet expands, injecting liquidity into the market. QT: balance sheet contracts, withdrawing liquidity. The temporary halt of QT leads the market to expect the Fed is being softer with monetary policy, thereby supporting the medium-term upward trend of gold. In this context, Lana perceives that gold at the beginning of the week still has room to rise, but there will be fluctuations around important liquidity zones. Technical Analysis On the H4 chart, the price structure is following an upward Elliott wave, with clear waves (1)–(2)–(3)–(4)–(5). The current upward wave has not yet shown a major reversal signal. The Swing zone 4190–4195 below is the nearest important bottom, acting as the main short-term support. This is also where Lana prioritizes watching for swing wave buying. Above, two notable Liquidity zones: 4250–4260: near liquidity zone, potential for fake break/adjustment. 4365–4370: further liquidity zone, coinciding with the old peak, likely a strong profit-taking area if the price continues to expand the upward wave. Lana's preferred scenario: gold may slightly adjust to the swing zone 4190–4195, then continue to expand the wave to test the upper liquidity zones in turn. However, right at the Liquidity zone, the market is very prone to stop sweeps, fake breaks, so Lana does not encourage chasing Buy at these zones. Price Zones to Watch Main Support (Swing & Buy Zone): 4190 – 4195 Resistance / Liquidity Zones: 4250 – 4260 4365 – 4370 Trading Scenario Buy 4190 – 4195 SL: 4185 TP: 4250 – 4260 – 4365 – 4370
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Can USDJPY Break the 157.9 Barrier This Week?💶 USDJPY – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | 30/11 | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context • Price remains supported inside a 4H bullish trendline, showing multiple BOS footprints from the lower structure. • The pair has delivered strong upside displacement but is now compressing near highs, forming a clear institutional accumulation box before the next weekly expansion. • Liquidity pools are cleanly positioned: o Premium side → above 157.9, ideal for buy-stop hunting before potential distribution. o Discount side → under 155.34, resting sell-side liquidity for a sweep into demand. • Expect liquidity engineering → displacement → expansion from the edges, not the middle. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) • Price rallied into equal highs then printed a sell-side sweep zone at 157.238–157.240, later rejecting and forming a local ChoCH pocket inside a descending micro-channel. • The upper edge 157.905–157.907 is the key unmitigated 4H supply zone + liquidity magnet sitting above the recent high, making it an ideal “fake breakout → reversal” weekly scenario if defended by sellers. • The lower edge 155.341–155.339 aligns cleanly under inducement lows and liquidity shelf – a textbook discount demand sweep pocket inside trend. • Institutions are likely to run price into one side first: o If swept above 157.9 → watch rejection for distribution o If swept below 155.34 → watch expansion for continuation 🟢 Buy Zone: 155.341 – 155.339 • Entry: 155.341 – 155.339 • SL: 155.330 🎯 TP Targets • TP1: 156.00 – 156.20 (internal liquidity pocket) • TP2: 157.24 – 157.20 (equal highs + liquidity shelf) • TP3: 157.90 – 158.40 (premium sweep zone) Rationale (Buy) • The zone sits in discount, protected by the bullish trendline. • Positioned under inducement lows → ideal for sell-side liquidity sweep → bullish displacement. • Best scenario confirmation: o M15/M5 rejection wick + bullish engulfing o Market prints BOS upward with strong candle expansion 🔴 Sell Zone: 157.905 – 157.907 • Entry: 157.905 – 157.907 • SL: 157.910 🎯 TP Targets • TP1: 157.24 – 157.20 (initial liquidity release) • TP2: 156.50 – 156.40 (equilibrium pullback) • TP3: 155.34 – 155.30 (weekly return to demand) Rationale (Sell) • This is a premium supply pocket above equal highs, filled with breakout stops. • Textbook scenario for liquidity sweep high → wick rejection → sell displacement. • Strong confluence from the descending micro-trend + supply imbalance above structure. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Only execute after confirmation inside zones (wick rejection, engulfing, or expansion candle). • Do not chase mid-range (156.20 – 157.00) unless clear displacement prints. • Take partial profits at each TP, then move SL to breakeven after TP1. • Expect higher volatility during London ↔ US session overlap. Summary Weekly liquidity terrain is set at: • 157.9 = Premium supply sweep zone (liquidity trap) • 155.34 = Discount demand sweep zone (liquidity defense) Bias will form after the sweep, not before. Wait for the grab → trade the reaction. 🔔 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly Smart Money insight ⚡
Long
by Ryan_TitanTrader
32