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XAUUSD (H2) – Liam View: Buy the liquidity pullback, re-buy...XAUUSD (H2) – Liam View: Buy the liquidity pullback, re-buy at the 0.618 zone 1) Macro snapshot (Venezuela headlines = faster repricing) Since Maduro was reportedly detained, Venezuela’s market has reacted aggressively — your note highlights the IBC index surging +74.71% in just two sessions and +156% over 30 days, showing a rapid “repricing” of political risk and expectations. For gold, this kind of backdrop usually means bigger swings + liquidity sweeps: the market can flip between risk-on bursts and renewed safe-haven demand. ➡️ So the best play today is still level-based execution, not chasing candles. 2) Chart read (H2) – Uptrend intact, but it needs a clean pullback From your H2 chart: The broader structure is still bullish, but price is in a short-term pullback after the recent push up. The key level is the 0.618 Buy Zone: 4414–4417 — a classic re-entry area (liquidity + fib confluence). Above, we have Buyside Liquidity near the recent highs — that’s the magnet if buyers regain control. 3) Trade plan (clear Entry / SL / TP) ✅ Scenario A (priority): BUY the 0.618 pullback Buy zone: 4414 – 4417 Stop loss (SL): below 4406 (or safer: below the most recent H2 swing low) Take profit (TP): TP1: 4460–4470 (recent rebound high area) TP2: sweep Buyside Liquidity (above the highs) TP3: if the breakout holds, continue towards the upper resistance band on your chart Logic: In a bullish structure, the 0.618 pullback is often the cleanest “re-buy” entry — especially when headlines trigger sharp dips and fast rebounds. ✅ Scenario B: Shallow pullback → buy only with confirmation If price doesn’t reach 4414–4417 and only dips lightly: Wait for a lower-TF confirmation (M15/H1 shift / rejection) Take a smaller continuation buy and aim for a quick 8–12$ move ⚠️ Scenario C (scalp only): SELL after a buyside sweep and rejection If price runs the highs (buyside liquidity sweep) and then prints a strong rejection: You can sell scalp back into 4460–4445 SL: above the sweep high Not a long-term bearish call while the rising structure is still valid. 4) Key note (headline week) Venezuela headlines can keep volatility elevated, so: Avoid entering mid-candle Use zones + confirmation Reduce size if spreads widen If I had to pick one clean trade today: wait for the 0.618 buy zone (4414–4417), then buy for a push into buyside liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
Learn How to Identify Trend Reversal With Inducement. Smart Mone Smart Money Concepts can be applied for the identification of trend reversal in Forex and Gold trading. In this article, we will discuss how to apply basic SMC techniques: trap and inducement to identify early reversal signs. We will study the important theory and go through real market examples on XAUUSD chart. Imagine that there is a strong historical resistance on a price chart. Because the price reacted to that strongly in the past, many sellers will place selling orders on that in future, anticipating a similar reaction. Placing short trades, their stop losses will lie above the resistance. In case of a bullish violation of the underlined resistance, sellers will be stopped out from their short trades and close their positions in loss. After the violation of a resistance, according to the rules, it should turn into support . Many traders will place their buy orders there, anticipating a bullish continuation. Bearish violation of such a support will stop out the buyers as well. Such a price action will be called an inducement and a bullish trap. With that, smart money grab the liquidity both from the buyers and from the sellers. After that, with a high probability, the market will drop . Bullish violation of one of the previous all-time-highs on Gold could easily be a bullish trap. To confirm that, the price should simply break and close below a broken horizontal resistance. That would confirm a local bearish reversal. With a bullish trap and inducement, smart money are quietly placing HUGE SELLING ORDERS, making the retail traders close short trades in loss (buy their positions) and buy from the broken structure, providing them the liquidity. The ability to recognize the traps will let you understand real intentions of smart money and trade with them. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold Pauses After Expansion — Rotation, Not Continuation🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (07/01) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, following a strong impulsive expansion that delivered price deep into premium. However, recent price action signals a transition from expansion into distribution, with Smart Money beginning to engineer corrective rotations rather than chasing continuation. As the market digests USD flows, U.S. yield sensitivity, and positioning ahead of upcoming U.S. data, Gold is currently rotating between internal liquidity zones. This environment typically favors liquidity sweeps, inducement, and mean reversion, rather than clean directional breakouts. Today’s session is best approached with level-based execution, patience, and confirmation — not prediction. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: HTF bullish structure with an active intraday corrective leg from premium. Key Idea: Expect Smart Money to react at internal supply (4428–4430) for short-term distribution, or at discount demand (4412–4410) for re-accumulation before the next leg. Structural Notes: • HTF bullish structure remains intact • Clear BOS printed during the upside expansion • Price rejected from premium and is rotating lower • Internal supply at 4428–4430 acts as sell-sensitive zone • Demand at 4412–4410 aligns with OB + EMA support + liquidity pocket 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4412 – 4410 | SL 4402 • 🔴 SELL SCALP 4428 – 4430 | SL 4438 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → OB/FVG retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🟢 BUY GOLD 4412 – 4410 | SL 4402 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into discount demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Strong upside BOS with displacement ✔ Entry via refined bullish OB or FVG mitigation Targets: • 4425 — initial reaction • 4435 — internal liquidity • 4480–4500 — premium retest if momentum expands 🔴 SELL SCALP 4428 – 4430 | SL 4438 Rules: ✔ Price taps internal supply / EMA resistance ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on lower timeframe ✔ Clear downside BOS confirming distribution ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: • 4418 — first imbalance • 4410 — demand interaction • Trail aggressively (scalp setup) ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium zones favor stop hunts and fake continuations • Volatility may expand during U.S. session • No entries without MSS + BOS confirmation • Scalp sells require strict risk control 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but today’s edge lies in Smart Money’s intraday rotation: • A sweep into 4412–4410 may reload longs toward premium, or • A reaction at 4428–4430 offers a controlled scalp sell back into demand. Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm second. Smart Money engineers — patience profits. ⚡️ 📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
17
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam View: Buy liquidity pullback.1) Macro snapshot (Venezuela headlines = faster repricing) Since Maduro was reportedly detained, Venezuela’s market has reacted aggressively — your note highlights the IBC index surging +74.71% in just two sessions and +156% over 30 days, showing a rapid “repricing” of political risk and expectations. For gold, this kind of backdrop usually means bigger swings + liquidity sweeps: the market can flip between risk-on bursts and renewed safe-haven demand. ➡️ So the best play today is still level-based execution, not chasing candles. 2) Chart read (H2) – Uptrend intact, but it needs a clean pullback From your H2 chart: The broader structure is still bullish, but price is in a short-term pullback after the recent push up. The key level is the 0.618 Buy Zone: 4414–4417 — a classic re-entry area (liquidity + fib confluence). Above, we have Buyside Liquidity near the recent highs — that’s the magnet if buyers regain control. 3) Trade plan (clear Entry / SL / TP) ✅ Scenario A (priority): BUY the 0.618 pullback Buy zone: 4414 – 4417 Stop loss (SL): below 4406 (or safer: below the most recent H2 swing low) Take profit (TP): TP1: 4460–4470 (recent rebound high area) TP2: sweep Buyside Liquidity (above the highs) TP3: if the breakout holds, continue towards the upper resistance band on your chart Logic: In a bullish structure, the 0.618 pullback is often the cleanest “re-buy” entry — especially when headlines trigger sharp dips and fast rebounds. ✅ Scenario B: Shallow pullback → buy only with confirmation If price doesn’t reach 4414–4417 and only dips lightly: Wait for a lower-TF confirmation (M15/H1 shift / rejection) Take a smaller continuation buy and aim for a quick 8–12$ move ⚠️ Scenario C (scalp only): SELL after a buyside sweep and rejection If price runs the highs (buyside liquidity sweep) and then prints a strong rejection: You can sell scalp back into 4460–4445 SL: above the sweep high Not a long-term bearish call while the rising structure is still valid. 4) Key note (headline week) Venezuela headlines can keep volatility elevated, so: Avoid entering mid-candle Use zones + confirmation Reduce size if spreads widen If I had to pick one clean trade today: wait for the 0.618 buy zone (4414–4417), then buy for a push into buyside liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD (H1) – Bullish channel intact, short pullback...Market context On January 7, spot gold and silver both saw short-term selling pressure. Spot gold slipped toward 4450–4455 USD/oz after a recent rally. Spot silver dropped below 79 USD, reflecting broader short-term profit-taking across precious metals. This pullback looks technical and corrective, rather than a reversal of the broader bullish trend. The macro backdrop remains supportive: geopolitical risks, long-term central bank demand, and expectations of easier monetary policy continue to underpin precious metals. Technical view – H1 (Lana’s perspective) Price is still respecting a rising price channel, showing healthy trend structure despite the current retracement. Key observations from the chart: The ascending channel remains valid; higher highs and higher lows are intact. Price has reacted from the upper half of the channel, triggering short-term selling into sell-side liquidity. The dotted midline and channel support are acting as dynamic reaction zones. The recent drop appears to be a liquidity sweep / correction, not a breakdown. This kind of pullback is common after strong impulsive legs and often provides better positioning for trend continuation. Key levels to watch Sell-side reaction (short-term pressure) Near the channel midline and upper resistance, price may remain choppy. Expect volatility while sell-side liquidity is being absorbed. Buy-side interest zones 4458 – 4463: First reaction zone inside the channel. 4428 – 4400: Stronger support aligned with channel base and prior structure. Acceptance above these zones favors bullish continuation. Fundamental angle Short-term weakness in gold and silver is driven mainly by profit-taking after recent highs. Broader fundamentals remain constructive: Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty Strong central bank demand USD valuation and global risk sentiment These factors suggest that dips are more likely to be corrective opportunities, not trend-ending signals. Lana’s trading mindset 💛 Avoid chasing price during pullbacks. Respect the channel structure and wait for price to come into value. Look for clear confirmation at support zones before engaging. As long as the channel holds, the bullish bias remains valid. This analysis reflects a personal technical view for educational purposes only. Always manage risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD (H1) – Bullish channel intact, short-term pullback in...XAUUSD (H1) – Bullish channel intact, short-term pullback in progress ✨ Market context On January 7, spot gold and silver both saw short-term selling pressure. Spot gold slipped toward 4450–4455 USD/oz after a recent rally. Spot silver dropped below 79 USD, reflecting broader short-term profit-taking across precious metals. This pullback looks technical and corrective, rather than a reversal of the broader bullish trend. The macro backdrop remains supportive: geopolitical risks, long-term central bank demand, and expectations of easier monetary policy continue to underpin precious metals. Technical view – H1 (Lana’s perspective) Price is still respecting a rising price channel, showing healthy trend structure despite the current retracement. Key observations from the chart: The ascending channel remains valid; higher highs and higher lows are intact. Price has reacted from the upper half of the channel, triggering short-term selling into sell-side liquidity. The dotted midline and channel support are acting as dynamic reaction zones. The recent drop appears to be a liquidity sweep / correction, not a breakdown. This kind of pullback is common after strong impulsive legs and often provides better positioning for trend continuation. Key levels to watch Sell-side reaction (short-term pressure) Near the channel midline and upper resistance, price may remain choppy. Expect volatility while sell-side liquidity is being absorbed. Buy-side interest zones 4458 – 4463: First reaction zone inside the channel. 4428 – 4400: Stronger support aligned with channel base and prior structure. Acceptance above these zones favors bullish continuation. Fundamental angle Short-term weakness in gold and silver is driven mainly by profit-taking after recent highs. Broader fundamentals remain constructive: Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty Strong central bank demand USD valuation and global risk sentiment These factors suggest that dips are more likely to be corrective opportunities, not trend-ending signals. Lana’s trading mindset 💛 Avoid chasing price during pullbacks. Respect the channel structure and wait for price to come into value. Look for clear confirmation at support zones before engaging. As long as the channel holds, the bullish bias remains valid. This analysis reflects a personal technical view for educational purposes only. Always manage risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam View: Geopolitical risks support gold.XAUUSD (H2) – Liam View: Geopolitical risk remains high, gold continues to be supported | Trade the pullback, target ATH liquidity Quick summary The latest White House messaging on Venezuela is very direct: officials are signaling Washington will push Caracas to “act in America’s interests,” with Rubio reportedly in contact, while Stephen Miller framed the situation bluntly as “the world runs on power.” For markets, this kind of rhetoric keeps the geopolitical risk premium elevated — and gold typically benefits as a safe haven when uncertainty increases. On the chart (H2), gold is holding a bullish recovery structure and is now pushing into a higher-value area. My plan is to stay patient, buy pullbacks into liquidity, and watch for a final push toward ATH liquidity. 1) Macro context (why gold remains bid) When major powers use strong language around military campaigns and “power-first” policy, traders price in: Higher headline risk (sudden escalations / sanctions / retaliation) More demand for safe havens (gold) Potential volatility in USD and yields, which can create fast spikes and liquidity sweeps ➡️ That’s why the best execution is still level-based: let the price come to liquidity zones and trade the reaction. 2) Technical view (H2 – based on your chart) Price bounced strongly and is building a clear recovery leg. The chart highlights a value area / volume node (pink profile) where price is currently accepting — this usually acts like a magnet and a base for continuation. Upside roadmap on your chart points toward: a pullback into the mid-zones continuation into “strong Fibonacci” resistance then a run into ATH liquidity above 3) Key levels to watch (from the chart) ✅ ATH zone (major liquidity / ceiling) ✅ Strong Fibonacci (upper resistance band) ✅ Mid support zones (stacked demand areas below current price — ideal for pullback buys) (Your chart marks multiple horizontal demand bands — I’m using them as reaction zones rather than exact-to-the-dollar predictions.) 4) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A (priority): BUY the pullback (trend continuation) ✅ If price dips into the nearest demand band (below current consolidation): Buy on reaction (M15–H1 confirmation) SL: below the demand band TP1: return to current highs TP2: Strong Fibonacci zone TP3: ATH liquidity sweep Logic: In geopolitical-risk conditions, gold often continues higher but still does “healthy” pullbacks to collect liquidity before the next push. Scenario B: Breakout continuation (only if price holds above value) ✅ If price holds above the value area and breaks higher cleanly: Look for a small retrace to re-enter (no chasing) Targets remain Strong Fibonacci → ATH Scenario C: Rejection at Strong Fibonacci (short-term scalp) ✅ If price taps the Strong Fibonacci zone and shows clear rejection: Sell scalp back toward value SL: above the rejection swing TP: nearest demand band / value zone Logic: This is a reaction trade only — not a long-term bearish call while geopolitical premium is active. 5) Risk notes for headline-driven sessions Expect wicks and fast sweeps — reduce size and avoid market orders at the open. Wait for confirmation at the zone (rejection/engulf/MSS) before entering. Don’t overtrade: one clean setup at a key level is enough.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
5
XAUUSD H1 –Liquidity Reaction After Geopolitical SpikeXAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Reaction After Geopolitical Spike Gold surged strongly at the start of the week as escalating geopolitical tensions boosted safe-haven demand, while expectations of further Fed rate cuts continued to support the broader bullish narrative. From a technical perspective, price is now reacting around key liquidity and Fibonacci zones rather than trending impulsively. TECHNICAL OVERVIEW On H1, gold experienced a sharp sell-off followed by a recovery, forming a V-shaped reaction that suggests aggressive liquidity clearing. Price is currently trading below prior breakdown zones, indicating that supply remains active at higher levels. The market structure favours sell-on-rallies in the short term, while deeper pullbacks may attract fresh buyers. KEY LEVELS & MARKET BEHAVIOUR Upper sell zones (supply & Fibonacci confluence): 4497 – 4500 (FVG sell zone, premium area) 4431 – 4435 (Fibonacci + former support turned resistance) These zones represent areas where sellers previously stepped in aggressively, making them important reaction levels if price rebounds. Lower buy-side liquidity: 4345 – 4350 (Value Low / buy-side liquidity zone) This area aligns with trendline support and prior accumulation, making it a key level to monitor for a bullish reaction if price rotates lower. EXPECTED PRICE FLOW Short term: price may continue to consolidate and rotate between resistance and liquidity below, with choppy price action likely. A rejection from the upper resistance zones could lead to another leg lower toward buy-side liquidity. If buy-side liquidity is absorbed and defended, the market may attempt another recovery move. FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT Gold’s strength is underpinned by two major factors: Rising geopolitical risk, which increases demand for safe-haven assets. Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, as markets continue to price in additional rate cuts, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. These fundamentals support gold on higher timeframes, even as short-term technical corrections play out. BIG PICTURE VIEW Medium-term bias remains constructive due to macro and geopolitical support. Short-term price action is driven by liquidity and reaction zones rather than trend continuation. Patience is key—allow price to interact with major levels before committing to the next directional move. Let the market show its hand at liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
2
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam View: Geopolitical risk stays hot, gold ...XAUUSD (H2) – Liam View: Geopolitical risk stays hot, gold remains supported | Trade the pullback, target ATH liquidity Quick summary The latest White House messaging on Venezuela is very direct: officials are signalling Washington will push Caracas to “act in America’s interests”, with Rubio reportedly in contact, while Stephen Miller framed the situation bluntly as “the world runs on power.” For markets, this kind of rhetoric keeps geopolitical risk premium elevated — and gold typically benefits as a safe-haven when uncertainty increases. On the chart (H2), gold is holding a bullish recovery structure and is now pushing into a higher-value area. My plan is to stay patient, buy pullbacks into liquidity, and watch for a final push toward ATH liquidity. 1) Macro context (why gold stays bid) When major powers use strong language around military campaigns and “power-first” policy, traders price in: Higher headline risk (sudden escalations / sanctions / retaliation) More demand for safe-havens (gold) Potential volatility in USD and yields, which can create fast spikes and liquidity sweeps ➡️ That’s why the best execution is still level-based: let price come to liquidity zones and trade the reaction. 2) Technical view (H2 – based on your chart) Price bounced strongly and is building a clear recovery leg. The chart highlights a value area / volume node (pink profile) where price is currently accepting — this usually acts like a magnet and a base for continuation. Upside roadmap on your chart points toward: a pullback into the mid-zones continuation into “strong Fibonacci” resistance then a run into ATH liquidity above 3) Key levels to watch (from the chart) ✅ ATH zone (major liquidity / ceiling) ✅ Strong Fibonacci (upper resistance band) ✅ Mid support zones (stacked demand areas below current price — ideal for pullback buys) (Your chart marks multiple horizontal demand bands — I’m using them as reaction zones rather than exact-to-the-dollar predictions.) 4) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A (priority): BUY the pullback (trend continuation) ✅ If price dips into the nearest demand band (below current consolidation): Buy on reaction (M15–H1 confirmation) SL: below the demand band TP1: return to current highs TP2: Strong Fibonacci zone TP3: ATH liquidity sweep Logic: In geopolitical-risk conditions, gold often continues higher but still does “healthy” pullbacks to collect liquidity before the next push. Scenario B: Breakout continuation (only if price holds above value) ✅ If price holds above the value area and breaks higher cleanly: Look for a small retrace to re-enter (no chasing) Targets remain Strong Fibonacci → ATH Scenario C: Rejection at Strong Fibonacci (short-term scalp) ✅ If price taps the Strong Fibonacci zone and shows clear rejection: Sell scalp back toward value SL: above the rejection swing TP: nearest demand band / value zone Logic: This is a reaction trade only — not a long-term bearish call while geopolitical premium is active. 5) Risk notes for headline-driven sessions Expect wicks and fast sweeps — reduce size and avoid market orders at the open. Wait for confirmation at the zone (rejection/engulf/MSS) before entering. Don’t overtrade: one clean setup at a key level is enough.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
EURGBP — FRGNT DAILY CHART FORECAST Q1 | D6 | W1 | Y26📅 Q1 | D6 | W1 | Y26 📊 EURGBP — FRGNT DAILY CHART FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on: • Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ • Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐 • Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 • Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅ This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price. 💡 My Motto “Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.” A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ On Losses Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed. We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section. Stay sharp 🧠 Stay consistent 🎯 Protect your capital 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 FX:EURGBP
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD — FRGNT DAILY CHART FORECAST Q1 | D6 | W1 | Y26📅 Q1 | D6 | W1 | Y26 📊 GBPUSD — FRGNT DAILY CHART FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on: • Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ • Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐 • Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 • Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅ This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price. 💡 My Motto “Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.” A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ On Losses Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed. We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section. Stay sharp 🧠 Stay consistent 🎯 Protect your capital 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
XAUUSD (H1) – Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed, but caution neXAUUSD (H1) – Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed, but caution near POC 💛 Market overview Spot gold has pushed above $4,470/oz, extending its strong performance after setting multiple record highs throughout 2025. The broader bullish backdrop remains intact, supported by trade-war concerns, ongoing geopolitical instability, and accommodative monetary policy across major economies. Strong and persistent buying from central banks continues to underpin gold’s long-term outlook into 2026. Technical view – Inverse Head & Shoulders On the H1 chart, gold has clearly formed an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure: Left shoulder: Formed after the initial sharp sell-off Head: A deeper liquidity sweep with strong rejection Right shoulder: Higher low, showing sellers losing momentum Neckline / POC zone: Around the 4460–4470 area, where price is currently reacting The breakout above the neckline confirms bullish intent. However, price is now trading around a POC (Point of Control), which is often prone to psychological reactions and choppy price action. Key levels to watch Bullish continuation zone Holding above the neckline keeps the bullish structure valid. A clean acceptance above the POC opens the door for continuation toward higher liquidity and Fibonacci extension targets. Pullback & risk zone Liquidity risk: 4333 – 4349 If the market fails to hold above the neckline, a deeper pullback into this liquidity zone is possible before buyers step back in. Fundamental context Gold’s recovery is driven by trade-war fears, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of looser monetary policy globally. Central bank demand remains a key pillar supporting prices. In 2026, gold performance will continue to be influenced by USD valuation, overall risk sentiment, and central bank policy decisions. Lana’s trading approach No chasing near the POC. Expect reactions and fake moves. Prefer buying pullbacks rather than entering at highs. If price holds above the neckline with strong structure, bullish continuation remains the main scenario. If the neckline fails, wait patiently for liquidity to be taken lower before looking for new buy setups. This analysis reflects Lana’s personal market view and is for study purposes only. Always manage risk carefully. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD Smart Money Levels: Demand at 4325, Supply at 4494🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (05/01) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, but current price action reflects a premium-side liquidity operation rather than clean continuation. After a strong upside leg, price is now rotating inside premium where Smart Money typically distributes positions before initiating corrective delivery. Today’s focus revolves around USD strength, U.S. yield sensitivity, and ongoing Fed rate path speculation, with traders positioning ahead of upcoming U.S. macro releases and Fed commentary. As real yields fluctuate and risk sentiment remains fragile, Gold continues to attract safe-haven flows — but not without engineered pullbacks. This environment favors liquidity sweeps, false continuation, and inducement above highs, rather than impulsive breakout buying. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Higher-timeframe bullish structure with an active short-term corrective leg from premium. Key Idea: Expect Smart Money interaction either at internal supply (4492–4494) for distribution, or HTF demand (4327–4325) for re-accumulation before the next expansion. Structural Notes: • HTF bullish structure remains valid • Recent CHoCH confirms corrective rotation • Buy-side liquidity above highs has been partially tapped • Supply cluster at 4492–4494 acts as distribution zone • Demand zone at 4327–4325 aligns with OB + liquidity pool 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4327 – 4325 | SL 4317 • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4492 – 4494 | SL 4500 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → OB/FVG retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🟢 BUY GOLD 4327 – 4325 | SL 4317 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirmation on M5–M30 ✔ Strong upside BOS with impulsive candles ✔ Entry via refined bullish OB or FVG mitigation Targets: • 4390 — initial displacement • 4450 — internal liquidity • 4490+ — premium retest if USD weakens 🔴 SELL GOLD 4492 – 4494 | SL 4500 Rules: ✔ Reaction into premium supply zone ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on lower timeframe ✔ Clear downside BOS confirming distribution ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: • 4455 — first imbalance fill • 4395 — internal discount • 4327 — HTF demand sweep ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium zones favor fake breakouts and stop hunts • Volatility may spike around U.S. data and Fed remarks • No entries without MSS + BOS confirmation • Stops often triggered before real displacement 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but today’s edge lies in trading Smart Money’s range: • A sweep into 4327–4325 may reload longs toward 4450–4490, or • A reaction at 4492–4494 offers a sell opportunity back into discount. Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm second. Smart Money engineers — patience profits. ⚡️ 📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
11
XAUUSD Smart Money Levels: Demand at 4312, Supply at 4436🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (05/01) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, yet short-term price action shows pullback pressure after premium liquidity was elected near 4440. As markets brace for ongoing USD direction from macro catalysts (Fed commentary, U.S. jobs data, Treasury yields), institutional participation is oscillating between liquidity hunts and controlled re-accumulation. Global risk sentiment and safe-haven bids are intensifying as traders weigh inflation trajectory with central bank pivot expectations — leading Gold to exhibit rotational distribution behavior rather than clean continuation. Controlled swings and sweep-driven moves dominate price progression. This environment favors engineered liquidity access and inducement, not blind breakout chasing. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Higher-timeframe bullish bias with short-term corrective displacement. Key Idea: Expect structural engagement near HTF demand (~4312–4314) or internal supply liquidity (~4434–4436) before meaningful displacement sequences. Structural Notes: • HTF bullish structure remains intact • Recent CHoCH confirms corrective leg • Buy-side liquidity above recent highs is targeted • Supply cluster near 4436 acts as engineered lure • Demand confluence aligns with institutional accumulation 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → internal supply retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🟢 BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirmation on M5–M30 ✔ Clear upside BOS with impulse candles ✔ Entry via refined demand OB or FVG fill Targets: • 4370 — initial displacement • 4410 — internal supply test • 4440+ — extended run if USD weakens 🔴 SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 Rules: ✔ Reaction into internal supply cluster ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH confluence ✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: • 4390 — first discount zone • 4350 — deeper pullback • 4314 — HTF demand scan ⚠️ Risk Notes • False breaks favored near thin Asian session volume • Macro catalysts (U.S. data, Fed speakers) may spike volatility • Avoid entries without MSS + BOS confirmations • Stops triggered by engineered liquidity hunts 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but today’s edge lies in disciplined entries and liquidity awareness: • A sweep into 4312–4314 may reload longs with targets up to 4410–4440, or • A reaction near 4434–4436 provides a fade opportunity back into discount. Let liquidity initiate the move. Let structure confirm. Smart Money sets traps — retail chases them. ⚡️ 📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
18
XAU/USD BULLISH ANALYSIS – PROFESSIONAL TRADE MANAGEMENTThis trade was not luck — it was structure, liquidity, and patience. 🧠 MARKET CONTEXT Price was coming from a distribution phase, where the market: • Took buy-side liquidity • Trapped late buyers • Prepared the real move Then we had: ✅ Sell-side liquidity sweep ✅ CHOCH (Change of Character) ✅ BOS (Break of Structure) This confirmed a clear shift to a bullish bias. 🎯 ENTRY 📍 Buy POI (15M): 4,328 After: • Fakeout • Liquidity sweep • Structural confirmation 🎯 Risk / Reward: 1:3 🟢 TRADE MANAGEMENT ✔️ TP1 mitigated: 4,390 ✔️ TP2 mitigated: 4,458 🔒 Stop moved to BE at 4,345 ➡️ Capital protected, risk-free trade. ⏳ CURRENT SCENARIO 📌 Price is consolidating above TP2, showing bullish strength. 🎯 Waiting for TP3: 4,521 Area of buy-side liquidity / previous HH. As long as structure holds: ➡️ Bullish bias remains intact.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
3
Week of 1/14/26: AUDUSDThis week price is continuing to correct in the 4h where we have finally reached a daily POI level where the 4h could finish correcting. We will follow the 1h trend where internal structure is bullish at the moment. If 1h internal structure breaks 1h external structure bullish, it will further make our case of bullish price action to an eventual new 4h high. If it breaks bearish, then we can expect the 4h to continue in the correction phase. Major News: Mon - PMI Tues - CPI Wed - ADP NFP, PMI, JOLTS Thu - Unemployment Fri - Hourly Earnings, NFP, Unemployment Rate, UoM
by Yoken
XAUUSD (D1) – Elliott ABC in play Lana sells the pullback, waits to buy at major liquidity 💛 Quick summary Timeframe: Daily (D1) Elliott view: Price is likely developing an ABC corrective structure after a strong rally Strategy: Sell the B-wave pullback into supply, buy only when price returns to strong liquidity Context: Precious metals started 2026 strong, but short-term volatility and re-accumulation swings are still expected Fundamental backdrop (supports the bigger trend) Gold and silver opened 2026 with strong momentum, extending the best run since the late 1970s. Goldman Sachs remains bullish on precious metals and continues to highlight an aggressive long-term target (around $4,900 for gold). Lana’s key point: the long-term bull cycle can remain intact, but the market still needs healthy corrections to reset liquidity and build new structure. Technical view (D1) – Elliott ABC structure On the Daily chart, after the powerful top, gold dropped sharply, forming a clean Wave A. The current structure suggests: Wave B: a corrective rebound into resistance/supply Wave C: a potential move back down into liquidity zones before the next major direction is confirmed This ABC lens helps avoid getting trapped when the news looks bullish, but price is still in a corrective phase. Key levels from the chart 1) Sell zone (B-wave supply) Sell: 4435 – 4440 This zone aligns with marked resistance and a Fibonacci pullback cluster (0.236 / 0.382). If price retraces here and shows rejection, it’s a strong area to look for B-wave selling pressure. 2) Buy zone (major liquidity – potential C-wave completion) Buy Liquidity: 4196 – 4200 This is the strongest liquidity area on the chart. If Wave C plays out, Lana will look for buying opportunities here with clearer risk control. 3) Deeper accumulation liquidity Accumulate liquidity: the lower accumulation area highlighted on the chart If the market sweeps deeper than expected, this is the region where longer-term buyers may step in. Trading plan (Lana’s approach) Primary idea: Sell rallies into 4435–4440 if price shows weakness (B-wave rejection). Primary buy plan: Wait for price to revisit 4196–4200 and confirm support (liquidity absorption). If price breaks and holds above the sell zone, Lana stops selling and waits for a new structure to form. Note on early-year behavior The first weeks of the year often bring “messy” moves as liquidity returns and positioning resets. Lana will only trade at planned zones and avoid entries in the middle of the range. This is Lana’s personal market view and not financial advice
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
10
ETHUSD | HTF narrative..Bullish signsHello traders, Its been a while since I said anything bullish about ETH, but I'm actually seeing a bullish framework developing. Price is expanding to the upside, but it’s leaving inefficiencies behind (FVG). From an execution standpoint, I’m not interested in chasing this strength. My optimal longs will be in discount area. If the market has taught me 1 thing, its that liquidity must be swept more often than not. So that buy side liquidity shall be visited before price moves up again. What’s interesting is the BTC–ETH relationship. While BTC is currently looking heavier/corrective, ETH is displaying relative strength and cleaner structure. Bias: Bullish short-term | Execution area: Discount only | Target: HTF swing high | Overall: Still bearish Good Luck! All our analysis is shared with honesty, care, and real effort. If you find value in it, a like or comment means a lot to show your support🙏📊
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by VIPCryptoVault
5
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Controls the Pullback Liquidity-Driven Correction Inside a Broader Bullish Narrative Gold is entering a technically sensitive phase after an explosive rally. While the long-term narrative remains bullish, short-term price action suggests the market is rotating around liquidity and Fibonacci extension levels rather than trending cleanly. TECHNICAL OVERVIEW On H1, price has transitioned from an ascending channel into a corrective structure, indicating distribution after a strong impulsive leg. The recent sell-off broke short-term support, but downside momentum is now slowing as price approaches liquidity clusters. Current behaviour favours range rotation and liquidity hunts instead of straight-line continuation. PRIORITY SCENARIO – SELL ON RALLIES Focus on selling into strong liquidity and Fibonacci extensions Primary sell zone: 4505 – 4510 Confluence of strong liquidity and Fibonacci 2.618 extension Secondary sell zone: 4230 – 4235 Fibonacci 1.618 extension and prior reaction zone Expected behaviour: Price rebounds into these upper liquidity areas, fails to reclaim structure, and rotates lower as sellers defend premium levels. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – BUY FROM LIQUIDITY SUPPORT If downside liquidity is fully absorbed, look for selective long setups Buy liquidity zone: 4347 – 4350 This area represents short-term value where price may stabilise and attempt a corrective bounce before the next directional decision. KEY TECHNICAL INSIGHTS The current move is best viewed as a technical correction, not a long-term trend reversal. Liquidity zones and Fibonacci extensions are acting as the primary decision points. Chasing price between zones offers poor risk-to-reward; execution should be level-based. MACRO CONTEXT – WHY GOLD REMAINS SUPPORTED The surge in gold prices throughout 2025 revealed what markets increasingly suspect: Rising geopolitical instability A structurally weaker US dollar Persistent safe-haven demand Gold posted its strongest annual gain in 46 years, echoing the late-1970s bull market. While central banks may avoid highlighting these pressures, price action continues to reflect growing systemic uncertainty. This macro backdrop supports gold in the medium to long term, even as short-term corrections unfold to rebalance positioning. SUMMARY VIEW Short term: trade the correction via liquidity and Fibonacci zones Medium to long term: bullish narrative remains intact Best edge comes from patience and execution at key levels, not directional bias alone Let price come to liquidity — that’s where decisions are made.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
2
Gold at 4300 Demand vs 4397 Supply — Smart Money Sets the Trap🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (02/01) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally supported on higher timeframes, despite the recent corrective leg triggered by a clear CHoCH from premium. Current price action reflects controlled rebalancing and liquidity engineering, not impulsive continuation. As the market digests USD yield fluctuations and positioning flows at the start of the new trading year, Gold continues to attract institutional interest on pullbacks. However, intraday volatility suggests Smart Money is prioritizing liquidity capture and re-accumulation rather than directional chasing. This environment favors engineered sweeps, inducement, and delayed confirmation, not clean breakouts. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: HTF bullish structure with short-term corrective consolidation Key Idea: Expect price interaction at HTF demand (4300–4302) or a reaction from internal supply / FVG (4395–4397) before any meaningful displacement. Structural Notes: HTF bullish BOS remains intact Prior CHoCH initiated corrective downside Sell-side liquidity has been probed and absorbed Price is stabilizing above demand Discount zone aligns with institutional accumulation Buy-side liquidity rests above internal highs 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4302 | SL 4290 • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4395 – 4397 | SL 4407 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4302 | SL 4290 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or refined demand OB Targets: 4350 4395 4450 – extension if USD weakens and risk-off sentiment expands 🔴 SELL GOLD 4395 – 4397 | SL 4407 Rules: ✔ Reaction into internal supply / FVG ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on LTF ✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: 4360 4325 4300 – extension if USD strengthens or yields rise ⚠️ Risk Notes Compression favors false breakouts No execution without MSS + BOS confirmation Expect volatility during U.S. session Thin liquidity increases stop-hunt probability Reduce risk around macro headlines and yield spikes 📍 Summary Gold remains bullish by structure, but today’s edge is patience over prediction. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before committing: • A sweep into 4300–4302 may reload longs toward 4395–4450, or • A reaction near 4395–4397 could fade price back into discount. Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm. Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
16