XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 02) Price is compressing in a structure, wait for the trendline break to choose direction 🎯
Quick summary
After the strong bearish BOS, gold is rebounding and compressing inside a diagonal structure (triangle/flag-like). Today the clean approach is confirmation trading:
SELL only after a confirmed break of the trendline (4348–4350) as marked on your chart.
SELL reactions at the upper supply / VAL zones (4460–4463 and 4513–4518).
BUY is secondary — only if price holds the 4400–4405 key support and shows a clear reaction on lower timeframes.
Macro backdrop (CME FedWatch)
Probability Fed holds rates in January: 85.1%
Probability of a 25 bps cut in January: 14.9%
By March: probability of 25 bps cumulative cut: 51.2%, hold 42.8%, 50 bps cut 5.9%
👉 This keeps markets sensitive to USD / yields expectations. Gold can bounce technically, but volatility spikes are likely — so we stick to levels + confirmation.
Key Levels (from your chart)
✅ Sell zone 1: 4513 – 4518
✅ Sell VAL: 4460 – 4463
✅ Reaction / flip zone: 4400 – 4405
✅ Breakdown trigger: 4348 – 4350 (sell upon confirmed trendline breakout)
Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
1) SELL scenarios (priority)
A. SELL on trendline breakdown confirmation
Trigger: clean break + close below 4348–4350
Entry: sell the retest back into the broken trendline
TP1: 4320–4305
TP2: 4260–4240
TP3: deeper extension (towards the 41xx area) if momentum expands
Logic: This is the clearest “trend confirmation” on your chart. No chasing — let price confirm first.
B. SELL reaction at supply
Sell: 4460–4463 (VAL)
Stronger sell: 4513–4518 (premium supply)
Only sell with visible weakness / rejection on M15–H1.
2) BUY scenario (secondary – reaction only)
Buy zone: 4400–4405
Condition: hold the zone + print higher lows on lower TF
TP: 4460 → 4513 (scale out)
Logic: This is a key support/flip area. If it holds, price can rotate up to test supply above before the next decision.
Key notes
Compression often creates false breaks — don’t trade mid-range.
Two clean plays only: break 4348–4350 to sell with confirmation, or retrace to 4460/4513 to sell the reaction.
What’s your bias today: selling the 4348 breakdown, or waiting for 4460–4463 for a cleaner pullback sell?
Smctrading
Gold at 4300 Demand vs 4397 Supply — Smart Money Sets the Trap🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (02/01)
📈 Market Context
Gold remains structurally supported on higher timeframes, despite the recent corrective leg triggered by a clear CHoCH from premium. Current price action reflects controlled rebalancing and liquidity engineering, not impulsive continuation.
As the market digests USD yield fluctuations and positioning flows at the start of the new trading year, Gold continues to attract institutional interest on pullbacks. However, intraday volatility suggests Smart Money is prioritizing liquidity capture and re-accumulation rather than directional chasing.
This environment favors engineered sweeps, inducement, and delayed confirmation, not clean breakouts.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase:
HTF bullish structure with short-term corrective consolidation
Key Idea:
Expect price interaction at HTF demand (4300–4302) or a reaction from internal supply / FVG (4395–4397) before any meaningful displacement.
Structural Notes:
HTF bullish BOS remains intact
Prior CHoCH initiated corrective downside
Sell-side liquidity has been probed and absorbed
Price is stabilizing above demand
Discount zone aligns with institutional accumulation
Buy-side liquidity rests above internal highs
💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4302 | SL 4290
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4395 – 4397 | SL 4407
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules
🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4302 | SL 4290
Rules:
✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear upside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or refined demand OB
Targets:
4350
4395
4450 – extension if USD weakens and risk-off sentiment expands
🔴 SELL GOLD 4395 – 4397 | SL 4407
Rules:
✔ Reaction into internal supply / FVG
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on LTF
✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB
Targets:
4360
4325
4300 – extension if USD strengthens or yields rise
⚠️ Risk Notes
Compression favors false breakouts
No execution without MSS + BOS confirmation
Expect volatility during U.S. session
Thin liquidity increases stop-hunt probability
Reduce risk around macro headlines and yield spikes
📍 Summary
Gold remains bullish by structure, but today’s edge is patience over prediction.
Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before committing:
• A sweep into 4300–4302 may reload longs toward 4395–4450, or
• A reaction near 4395–4397 could fade price back into discount.
Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm.
Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️
📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
GBPUSDPrice is testing the bullish 1W OB, receives a buyer reaction, and forms confirmation in the form of a 1D RB. Based on this, I expect upside continuation toward the 1W FP target.
An additional scenario within the bullish 1D order flow can be considered: 1D OB ➡️ 4H OB ➡️➡️➡️ 1D/1W FP.
A lower-priority scenario is upside continuation via a sweep of the 1D FP (RB) within the 1W OB zone.
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Controls the Pullback Liquidity-Driven Correction Inside a Broader Bullish Narrative
Gold is entering a technically sensitive phase after an explosive rally. While the long-term narrative remains bullish, short-term price action suggests the market is rotating around liquidity and Fibonacci extension levels rather than trending cleanly.
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
On H1, price has transitioned from an ascending channel into a corrective structure, indicating distribution after a strong impulsive leg.
The recent sell-off broke short-term support, but downside momentum is now slowing as price approaches liquidity clusters.
Current behaviour favours range rotation and liquidity hunts instead of straight-line continuation.
PRIORITY SCENARIO – SELL ON RALLIES
Focus on selling into strong liquidity and Fibonacci extensions
Primary sell zone: 4505 – 4510
Confluence of strong liquidity and Fibonacci 2.618 extension
Secondary sell zone: 4230 – 4235
Fibonacci 1.618 extension and prior reaction zone
Expected behaviour:
Price rebounds into these upper liquidity areas, fails to reclaim structure, and rotates lower as sellers defend premium levels.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – BUY FROM LIQUIDITY SUPPORT
If downside liquidity is fully absorbed, look for selective long setups
Buy liquidity zone: 4347 – 4350
This area represents short-term value where price may stabilise and attempt a corrective bounce before the next directional decision.
KEY TECHNICAL INSIGHTS
The current move is best viewed as a technical correction, not a long-term trend reversal.
Liquidity zones and Fibonacci extensions are acting as the primary decision points.
Chasing price between zones offers poor risk-to-reward; execution should be level-based.
MACRO CONTEXT – WHY GOLD REMAINS SUPPORTED
The surge in gold prices throughout 2025 revealed what markets increasingly suspect:
Rising geopolitical instability
A structurally weaker US dollar
Persistent safe-haven demand
Gold posted its strongest annual gain in 46 years, echoing the late-1970s bull market. While central banks may avoid highlighting these pressures, price action continues to reflect growing systemic uncertainty.
This macro backdrop supports gold in the medium to long term, even as short-term corrections unfold to rebalance positioning.
SUMMARY VIEW
Short term: trade the correction via liquidity and Fibonacci zones
Medium to long term: bullish narrative remains intact
Best edge comes from patience and execution at key levels, not directional bias alone
Let price come to liquidity — that’s where decisions are made.
Is Smart Money Reloading Gold After the Latest Liquidity Sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (30/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold remains structurally supported on higher timeframes, but current price action reflects controlled volatility and liquidity engineering rather than trend continuation.
With markets reacting to fresh U.S. data expectations, USD yield fluctuations, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, Gold continues to attract safe-haven interest — yet extended intraday ranges suggest Smart Money is actively positioning rather than chasing price.
Recent headlines around Fed rate path uncertainty and mixed U.S. macro signals keep Gold bid on pullbacks, while thinning liquidity into the year-end session increases the likelihood of stop hunts and engineered traps on both sides of the range.
Smart Money behavior favors drawing liquidity first, confirming structure later — not clean breakouts.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase:
HTF bullish structure with short-term corrective compression
Key Idea:
Expect liquidity interaction at discount (4320–4318) or reaction from internal supply (4465–4467) before any sustained displacement.
Structural Notes:
HTF bullish BOS remains valid
Prior CHoCH triggered a corrective leg
Price is compressing under bearish trendline
Discount zone aligns with potential accumulation
Buy-side liquidity rests above internal highs
Sell-side liquidity recently probed and absorbed
💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4320 – 4318 | SL 4310
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4465 – 4467 | SL 4475
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules
🟢 BUY GOLD 4320 – 4318 | SL 4310
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab into discount zone
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear upside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or refined demand OB
Targets:
4360
4400
4465 – extension if USD weakens and risk sentiment deteriorates
🔴 SELL GOLD 4465 – 4467 | SL 4475
Rules:
✔ Reaction into internal supply / premium imbalance
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on LTF
✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB
Targets:
4430
4385
4320 – extension if USD strengthens or yields rise
⚠️ Risk Notes
Compression favors false breakouts
No execution without MSS + BOS confirmation
Expect volatility during U.S. session
Reduce risk around USD yield spikes or Fed-related headlines
Thin liquidity amplifies stop hunts
📍 Summary
Gold remains bullish by structure, but today’s edge lies in patience, not prediction.
Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before committing:
• A sweep into 4320–4318 may reload longs toward 4400–4465, or
• A reaction near 4465–4467 could fade price back into discount.
Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm.
Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
Gold 1H – Smart Money Breakdown Targets 4040 Liquidity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (30/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold has suffered a sharp breakdown following year-end positioning flows, marking its largest single-day drop in weeks. According to today’s hot ForexFactory update, bearish momentum is accelerating as price decisively breaks below key technical levels, with downside targets now aligning toward the $4040–4050 liquidity zone.
This move appears driven less by fresh macro catalysts and more by portfolio rebalancing, profit-taking, and thin liquidity conditions, typical of late-December trading. Despite some dip-buying interest emerging intraday, the broader flow suggests distribution rather than accumulation, keeping Gold vulnerable to further downside sweeps before any sustainable recovery.
Smart Money behavior in this environment favors sell-side continuation with corrective pullbacks, rather than impulsive trend reversals.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Bearish displacement after HTF distribution
Key Idea: Sell premium pullbacks; buy only at deep discount liquidity
Structural Notes:
• Clear CHoCH confirmed after loss of prior bullish structure
• Strong bearish displacement created inefficiencies below
• Previous bullish trendline invalidated
• Price trading below equilibrium, attempting weak corrective retrace
• Internal liquidity partially cleared; external sell-side liquidity rests below
• Resistance zone aligns with prior supply and breakdown origin
💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4480 – 4490 | SL 4500
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4310 – 4320 | SL 4300
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → continuation
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4480 – 4490 | SL 4500
Rules:
✔ Pullback into premium resistance / supply
✔ Bearish MSS or CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
4420
4370
4310 – extension if bearish momentum persists
🟢 BUY GOLD 4310 – 4320 | SL 4300
Rules:
✔ Sell-side liquidity sweep into deep discount
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms absorption
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
4370
4420
4480 – only if structure flips bullish
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Bearish momentum dominates after structural breakdown
• Year-end liquidity increases fake pullbacks and stop hunts
• No trade without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session and around USD yield headlines
• Reduce position size if volatility expands unexpectedly
📍 Summary
Gold has transitioned from accumulation to distribution, with Smart Money now favoring downside continuation toward deeper liquidity pools. The plan is clear:
• Sell premium pullbacks at 4480–4490, or
• Buy only at deep discount 4310–4320 after confirmation
Let liquidity be engineered.
Let structure confirm intent.
Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
Minor plus major IDMIn this diagram I have briefly explained the difference between minor inducement and major inducement how to use them with proper structure mapping and alignment of all other necessary elements which comes into ICT that how we gonna use the inducement model on the basis of minor swing hunt and major swing hunt
Gold 1H – Institutions Play Liquidity Between 4530 & 4430🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (29/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold remains bullish by higher-timeframe structure, but current price action shows clear signs of compression and distribution after an extended impulsive rally. As price trades near recent highs into year-end, liquidity conditions are thinning — increasing the probability of engineered moves rather than clean continuation.
With USD flows mixed and no decisive macro catalyst dominating, Gold is vulnerable to Smart Money manipulation: attracting breakout buyers near resistance while forcing weak longs out at discount levels before revealing true directional intent.
In this environment, patience and confirmation are critical. Smart Money is likely to sweep liquidity on one side of the range before committing to the next expansion.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: HTF bullish structure, short-term corrective distribution
Key Idea: Liquidity interaction expected at premium or discount before displacement
Structural Notes:
• Higher-timeframe BOS remains intact
• Short-term CHoCH signals corrective phase
• Price trades inside a rising corrective channel
• Premium conditions favor stop hunts
• Clear imbalance and demand sit below current price
• Defined range between resistance and correction lows
• Buy-side liquidity above 4528–4530
• Sell-side liquidity resting below 4430
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4528 – 4530 | SL 4540
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4430 – 4432 | SL 4420
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation:
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (Matching Exact Zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4528 – 4530 | SL 4540
Rules:
✔ Sweep into resistance / buy-side liquidity
✔ Bearish MSS or CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
4500
4475
4430 – extension if downside momentum accelerates
🟢 BUY GOLD 4430 – 4432 | SL 4420
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab into correction / demand zone
✔ Bullish MSS or CHoCH confirms demand control
✔ Upside BOS with strong displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
4460
4500
4528 – extension if bullish structure resumes
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Premium pricing increases fake breakout probability
• No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session
• Reduce risk in thin year-end liquidity conditions
📍 Summary
Gold remains bullish by structure, but current price action favors liquidity games inside a defined range. Smart Money is likely to engineer stops before expansion:
• A sweep above 4528–4530 may fade back toward 4475–4430, or
• A liquidity grab near 4430–4432 could reload longs toward 4500–4530+
Let price show intent — Smart Money waits, retail reacts. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns._
Gold 1H – Liquidity Games Set Up Between 4532–4473🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (26/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to respect a bullish higher-timeframe structure, supported by a rising trendline and a series of higher lows. However, recent price action shows clear hesitation near highs, suggesting short-term distribution rather than clean continuation.
With year-end liquidity thinning and USD flows remaining mixed, Gold is vulnerable to Smart Money manipulation — engineered stop hunts above resistance and liquidity grabs into demand before the next impulsive move.
This environment favors patience and confirmation-based execution, not chasing breakouts.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Bullish HTF structure, short-term range engineering
Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at premium (4530–4532) or discount (4475–4473) before displacement
Structural Notes:
• HTF bullish BOS remains intact
• Short-term CHoCH hints at distribution near highs
• Price is trading above equilibrium, extended into premium
• Unmitigated demand rests around 4475–4473
• Clear liquidity pools above 4530 and below 4475
• Compression favors stop-driven moves before expansion
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4530 – 4532 | SL 4540
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4475 – 4473 | SL 4465
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation:
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4530 – 4532 | SL 4540
Rules:
✔ Sweep above buy-side liquidity near highs
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
4510
4490
4475 – extension if USD strengthens or risk-off flows appear
🟢 BUY GOLD 4475 – 4473 | SL 4465
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab into discount and prior demand
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
4495
4515
4530 – extension if USD weakens and bullish momentum resumes
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Trading in premium increases fake breakout probability
• No entries without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session and thin year-end liquidity
• Reduce position size around unexpected USD or yield headlines
📍 Summary
Gold remains bullish by structure, but current price action suggests liquidity games inside a defined range. Smart Money is likely to run stops before revealing direction:
• A sweep above 4530–4532 may fade back toward 4490–4475, or
• A liquidity grab into 4475–4473 could reload longs toward 4515–4530+
Let price show intent — Smart Money waits, retail reacts. ⚡
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
BCHUSD The Exact Blueprint For Late BuyersHello traders,
Bitcoincash broke a very strong downtrend earlier and we had a very good entry point at $527 (already 15% ahead so far)
So for late buyers, is it over? Not really imo. Here is my break down.
Price has made 2 major BOS in a 4HTF uptrend. That confirms the market intentions to push price higher. We trade where the overall structure flows.
I think the most recent OB and SSL has been swept. However, a not very common scenario can happen which is a 3 bullish drive formation. Where price can sweep deeper liquidity around $550 then push higher.
If you are a late buyer, set a buy limit order @$550, $570 and wish for the best.
But what if price didn't retract that much? Take your buy orders @$630 AFTER a clear BOS & retest of support zone. I repeat... AFTER a break & retest.
That is your blueprint for this BCH move.
Good Luck!
All our analysis is shared with honesty, care, and real effort. If you find value in it, a like or comment means a lot to show your support🙏📊
BTC M15 Partial FVG Tap to Lower FVG Fill Play📝 Description
BTC on M15 is trading inside a short-term corrective range after a sharp impulse. Price already made a partial tap into the upper FVG (30M/15M), but the reaction was weak. With imbalance still unfilled, odds favor a deeper move toward the lower FVG before any continuation attempt.
________________________________________
📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Short-term pullback while below 89,000–89,100
Short Setup (Reactive):
• Entry (Sell): 88,950
• Stop Loss: Above 89,080
• TP1: 88,750
• TP2: 88,530
• TP3: 88,400
________________________________________
🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Partial FVG fill and imbalance still open
• Price reacting from premium
• Liquidity resting below recent range lows
• Structure favors mean reversion, not expansion
________________________________________
🧩 Summary
This is a classic partial FVG tap full fill scenario. As long as BTC stays capped below 89k, a rotation into the lower FVG is the higher-probability path. Acceptance above premium invalidates the short.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With markets still headline-driven and liquidity tight, short-term reactions around imbalances are favored. Keep size light and manage risk around key levels.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Gold 1H – Smart Money Traps Form Near 4540–4450 Range🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, but price is now trading inside a compression zone after a clear impulsive expansion. With year-end liquidity thinning and traders positioning ahead of fresh Fed rate expectations and USD yield fluctuations, Gold is vulnerable to liquidity manipulation rather than clean continuation.
Recent USD softness and mixed macro headlines keep Gold supported, yet extended pricing near highs increases the probability of stop hunts on both sides before the next decisive move.
Smart Money behavior here favors range engineering — drawing in breakout traders above highs and shaking out impatient longs below key demand — before revealing true intent.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Bullish HTF structure with short-term distribution
Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at premium (4540–4542) or discount (4450–4448) before displacement
Structural Notes:
• Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact
• Recent CHoCH signals short-term distribution risk
• Price is trading in premium, extended from equilibrium
• Clear impulsive leg left unmitigated inefficiencies below
• A defined scalping range has formed between premium and discount
• Liquidity rests clearly above 4540 and below 4450
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation:
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560
Rules:
✔ Sweep above premium buy-side liquidity
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
1. 4510
2. 4485
3. 4450 – extension if USD strengthens or yields push higher
🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab into discount and prior demand
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
1. 4480
2. 4510
3. 4540 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Premium trading increases fake breakout probability
• No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session and thin year-end liquidity
• Reduce risk around Fed-driven or USD yield headlines
📍 Summary
Gold is still bullish by structure, but current price action signals liquidity games inside a defined range. Smart Money is likely to engineer stops before expansion:
• A sweep above 4540 may fade back toward 4485–4450, or
• A liquidity grab near 4450 could reload longs toward 4510–4540+
Let price show intent — Smart Money waits, retail reacts. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
Gold 1H – Liquidity Compression Sets Traps Around 4500–4420🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a strong bullish structure after a clean impulsive expansion, currently hovering in a premium zone near recent highs. With price extended from the mean, the market is vulnerable to liquidity engineering rather than immediate continuation.
CPI uncertainty and mixed USD flows continue to reduce directional conviction, favoring stop hunts at key psychological levels instead of clean breakouts. This environment often rewards patience and confirmation-based execution rather than anticipation.
Smart Money is likely to manipulate both sides of the range — sweeping late buyers above 4500 or shaking out weak longs into the 4420 discount before the next meaningful expansion.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Bullish structure with signs of short-term distribution
Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4500–4502 (premium) or 4420–4418 (discount) before displacement
Structural Notes:
• Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact
• Price is trading deep in premium, extended from equilibrium
• Clear impulsive leg created unmitigated FVGs below current price
• Momentum is slowing near highs → distribution risk
• Liquidity is resting clearly above 4500 and below 4420
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation:
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510
Rules:
✔ Sweep above psychological 4500 buy-side liquidity
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
1. 4470
2. 4450
3. 4420 – extension if USD firms or risk-off accelerates
🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab into discount and bullish structure support
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
1. 4450
2. 4475
3. 4500 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Extended bullish moves increase fake breakout probability
• No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session
• Reduce risk around CPI-related or Fed-driven headlines
📍 Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish, but trading at premium levels where conviction is fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before the next expansion:
• A sweep above 4500 may fade toward 4450–4420, or
• A liquidity grab near 4420 could reload bullish flow toward 4475–4500+
Let price reveal intent — Smart Money waits, retail rushes. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
XAUUSD – Technical Analysis on 3H FrameXAUUSD – Technical Analysis on 3H Frame
✅ Lana waits for a correction to buy safely 💛
Trend: Very strong increase, continuously setting new highs
Monitoring frame: 3H
Current status: Price is rising sharply, no significant correction yet
Strategy: Do not chase buying, wait for a correction to the liquidity zone to Buy
Market context
In today's Asian session, gold has surged strongly and approached the 4500 zone, an unprecedented price level. The increase is very steep, with almost no pause or small correction, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant.
From a fundamental perspective, the expectation that the Fed will continue to maintain a dovish stance is weakening the USD, combined with escalating geopolitical tensions, has reinforced gold's role as a safe haven. The decisive break of the 4375–4380 zone and then 4400 has triggered additional speculative inflows following the upward trend.
Technical view on 3H frame
On the 3H frame, the upward structure is still very clear and the price channel is well maintained. However, when the increase range is too large and continuous, entering orders at high zones becomes very risky.
For Lana, in such phases, patiently waiting for a correction is more important than trying to catch up with the market.
If the buying force continues after a pause, further targets around 4580 can be fully aimed for.
Price zones Lana is monitoring
Near Buy zone – Liquidity
Buy around: 4415
This is the nearest liquidity zone, where the price may return to "gain momentum" before continuing to rise. Lana will closely observe the price reaction here.
Long-term Buy zone – Deep correction
Long-term Buy: 438x
If the market shows a clearer correction, this is the price zone Lana prioritizes to find safer buying opportunities for the medium-term trend.
Notes when trading
Do not chase buying during phases with too large a range
Only enter orders when the small frame creates a clear structure according to Dow theory
Reduce volume, prioritize risk management during high market excitement phases
FOLLOW LANA TO ANALYZE TOGETHER EVERY DAY.
Smart Money Can Exit Their PositionThis video explains how smart money is able to exit their positions by operating as a coordinated group rather than as individual traders. The discussion focuses on how institutions plan exits using liquidity, timing, and market structure, and why these exits often occur without creating obvious signals for retail participants.
The objective of this video is to help understand smart money thinking, team-based execution, and exit behavior from a market-structure and price-action perspective—purely for learning and awareness, not for trade recommendations.
XAUUSD Trade SetupBackground:
- XAUUSD broke all time high at 4375
- zoned around 4378 - 4385
Trade Setup as per the chart.
⚠️ Disclaimer ⚠️This journal entry is for educational and documentation purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade. All trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a licensed financial professional before making trading decisions.
XAUUSD (H1) – Trading by LiquidityXAUUSD (H1) – Trading by Liquidity
Price breaks the channel but buying power is weakening, wait for a pullback to the trendline to enter a trade
Summary of today's strategy
Gold has broken the price channel, but the key point is that buying power is weakening after the breakout. As the market is about to enter the holiday season – with thin liquidity, I prioritize trading in the "right zone" (liquidity), not FOMO. Plan: watch for a Buy when the price pulls back to the trendline/old channel, and Sell reactively at the Fibonacci liquidity zone 4474–4478.
1) Key Levels today (according to the chart)
✅ BUY Zone (liquidity pullback)
Buy Zone 1: 4379 – 4382
SL: 4373
Buy Zone 2: 4361 – 4358
SL: 4353
These are the "beautiful" price zones to wait for a pullback – true to the spirit of trading by liquidity: wait for the price to return to the reactive zone, do not chase buying at the top.
✅ SELL Zone (Fibonacci liquidity)
Sell zone: 4474 – 4478
SL: 4482
This zone is "premium + liquidity" so if the price touches it and cannot hold, the likelihood of a profit-taking/reversal is very high.
2) Main Scenario: Wait for a pullback to the channel/trendline to Buy
After a breakout, the market often tends to retest the old trendline/channel to check real buying power.
Since buying power is weakening, the likelihood of fluctuations to sweep liquidity is high → must be patient to wait for the zone 4379–4382 or deeper 4361–4358.
Expected target (scalp/short swing): capture a pullback of 8–15 points depending on volatility, take partial profits when the price bounces according to the plan.
3) Secondary Scenario: Sell reactively at the zone 4474–4478
If the price continues to pull up to the fib zone, I prioritize reactive Sell instead of chasing buy.
Only sell when there are signs of "weakness" (long wick/shadow, not closing strongly above the zone).
4) News Context: Weak liquidity → easy "sweep"
The market is approaching the holiday season, liquidity is weakening, making it easy for spikes/stop-hunts to occur.
Political-economic stories related to policy/tax refunds are causing businesses to prepare strategies, but during this period, prices often react strongly to short-term cash flows rather than sustainable trends.
Conclusion: Today prioritize "right zone – right discipline", limit entering trades mid-way.
5) Risk Management
Maximum risk per trade 1–2%.
Do not enter trades when spreads widen/unusual candle spikes.
Which scenario are you leaning towards today: pullback to 4379/4361 to Buy, or pull up to 4474–4478 to Sell reactively?
XAUUSD – Lana prioritizes Buying on retracement XAUUSD – Lana prioritizes Buying on retracement 💛
The uptrend has been confirmed: Lana prioritizes Buying on retracement 💛
Quick Summary
Trend: Strong upward, no clear correction signs
Status: New ATH has been established
Monitoring Frame: H1
Strategy: Prioritize Buying, wait for price to retrace to liquidity zones
Market Perspective
Gold is maintaining a very strong upward momentum and continuously setting new highs. When drawing the price channel, it can be seen that the price is currently touching the upper area of the channel, indicating the possibility of a slight reaction or short retracement before continuation.
The next Fibonacci target is around 4414, which is an area where short-term technical reactions may occur, but the main trend remains upward.
Technical Perspective
After a strong breakout, the market often tends to return to test the liquidity/ value area before continuing. Lana does not chase buying at high levels but prioritizes waiting for technical retracements to enter orders in line with the trend.
Priority Buy Trading Plan
Buy Scenario 1 – Near Liquidity Zone
Buy: 4371 – 4374
SL: 4165
This is a price area with strong liquidity, suitable for waiting for a reaction to continue the upward trend if the price retraces slightly.
Buy Scenario 2 – Deeper Retracement Zone
Buy zone: 4342 – 4339
SL: 4330
If the market adjusts deeper in the year-end liquidity condition, this is the area Lana prioritizes for finding a safer entry point.
Fundamental Perspective
Spot gold prices have surpassed the $4,400/ounce mark for the first time, recording a nearly 68% increase for the year.
The upward momentum is not only seen in gold but also extends to silver and platinum, supported by:
Expectations of continued Fed rate cuts
Strong inflows into ETF funds
Net buying activities by central banks
Escalating geopolitical tensions
The year 2025 closes with a very impressive picture for the precious metals group.
Lana's Notes 🌿
Strong upward trend → prioritize Buying on retracement, avoid FOMO
Always set clear stop-losses, reduce volume during high volatility periods
If the price does not reach the waiting area, Lana is ready to stay out
Gold Analysisafter bullish choch . market is bullish so buying looks more valid setup, we can trade from recent ob or liquidity sweep.
in December end we usually have low volume , so i am aware this may be the buyers trap. in that case we will sell after bearish scoob conformation to target trendline liquidity. for now everything is bullish , so we will go buy side.
Gold 1H – CPI Ambiguity Sets Liquidity Traps Near 4400🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (22/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading near the upper boundary of a well-defined bullish channel as markets react to renewed uncertainty surrounding U.S. inflation data and the Fed’s policy outlook.
Recent CPI-related commentary has reignited debate over whether inflation is cooling fast enough to justify near-term easing, keeping USD flows unstable and risk sentiment mixed.
This macro backdrop favors liquidity engineering over clean continuation, with Smart Money likely targeting both premium and discount extremes to induce breakout traders before the next directional expansion.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Bullish structure approaching premium exhaustion
Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4400–4402 (premium) or 4340–4338 (discount) before meaningful displacement
Structural Notes:
• Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains valid
• Price is pressing into buy-side liquidity near channel highs
• Clear impulsive leg up created an unmitigated FVG above 4370
• Rising structure shows signs of short-term distribution, not confirmed reversal
• Liquidity rests clearly above 4400 and below 4340
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation:
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410
Rules:
✔ Sweep above psychological 4400 buy-side liquidity
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
1. 4370
2. 4350
3. 4340 – extension if USD strengthens on CPI reassessment
🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab into discount and channel support
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
1. 4360
2. 4385
3. 4400 – extension if USD weakens amid CPI doubt
⚠️ Risk Notes
• CPI-driven uncertainty increases fake breakouts
• No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session
• Reduce risk around unexpected Fed or inflation headlines
📍 Summary
Gold is trading at a decisive premium within a bullish structure, but CPI ambiguity keeps conviction fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity at the extremes before committing:
• A sweep above 4400 may fade toward 4350–4340, or
• A liquidity grab near 4340 could reload bullish flow toward 4385–4400+
Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
TRADE BREAKDOWN – XAU/USD (SUCCESSFULLY CLOSED)📈 🔍 Analysis….. 🧐
• Price swept sell-side liquidity, followed by a clear Change of Character (CHoCH).
• Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed the bias, with a precise entry from a 5M POI, aligned with higher-timeframe structure.
• Proper mitigation of the 1H Fair Value Gap, confirming institutional intent.
🎯 Execution
• Entry executed with patience and confirmation, no chasing price.
• First and second targets reached according to plan.
• Stop Loss moved to Break Even, fully securing the trade.
• Price continued toward the final TP (4,365).
✅ Result
• Trade closed with excellence and professionalism.
• Risk management followed flawlessly.
• Execution driven by process, not emotion.
📌 Consistency over emotion. Discipline over impulse. good job traders
Gold 1H – CPI Data Uncertainty Fuels Liquidity Traps at Extremes🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (19/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading in a tightly engineered range as markets digest the latest U.S. CPI print, which has drawn caution from economists over data reliability and seasonal distortions.
Despite headline inflation showing signs of cooling, analysts warn the data lacks clarity, keeping the Fed firmly data-dependent and USD flows unstable.
This uncertainty-driven backdrop favors liquidity manipulation over clean trends, with Smart Money likely probing both premium and discount zones to trigger stops before committing to expansion.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Rising structure losing momentum near premium supply
Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4363–4365 (premium) or 4300–4298 (discount) before displacement
Structural Notes:
• Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains valid but is pausing
• Multiple rejections near highs suggest distribution, not confirmed reversal
• Equal highs above 4360 and sell-side liquidity below 4300 are exposed
• Price is rotating inside a controlled liquidity channel
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4363 – 4365 | SL 4370
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4298 | SL 4290
Institutional Flow Expectation:
liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4363 – 4365 | SL 4370
Rules:
✔ Sweep above recent equal highs into premium
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
1. 4340
2. 4320
3. 4302 – extension if USD firms post-CPI reassessment
🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4298 | SL 4290
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab below sell-side lows / channel support
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
1. 4325
2. 4350
3. 4380 – extension if CPI skepticism weakens USD
⚠️ Risk Notes
• CPI-related uncertainty increases fake breaks — wait for structure
• No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session
• Reduce risk near unscheduled Fed or inflation commentary
📍 Summary
Today’s gold setup is driven by CPI-driven uncertainty and Fed caution, creating prime conditions for liquidity engineering:
• A sweep above 4365 may fade toward 4300–4320
or
• A liquidity grab near 4300 could reload bullish flow toward 4350+
Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.






















