SPX.. time to buy nowSPX 500 is in a clear upwards channel and has broken the last bit of resistance (white trendline line shown) - this is a clear confirmation that the next target will be the next resistance zone to the upside shown above (this is a great buy trade opportunity) - time to buy SPX 500 now...
Spx500analysis
SPX500: Bullish Push to 7000?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:SPX500 is eyeing a bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from a key support zone near the upward channel's lower boundary, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend against dips. This setup suggests a continuation opportunity amid the ongoing uptrend, targeting higher resistance levels with 1:2.5 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 6860–6890 for a long position (entry at current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 7000 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 6845 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of 1:2.5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the index's resilience in the channel.🌟
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
6860 – 6890
(Entry at or near current levels is valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Target:
• 7000
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close below 6845
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• ~ 1:2.5
💡 Your view?
Does SPX500 defend the channel support and break toward 7000 — or do we see another consolidation before the next leg higher? 👇
S&P 500 Completes Wave 5 via Ending Diagonal — Correction Ahead?The S&P 500( FX:SPX500 ) is a crucial index in the financial markets, and understanding its trends can greatly help in analyzing other markets, such as cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
The S&P 500 is currently near its resistance lines, and from a classic technical analysis perspective, it has formed a rising wedge pattern.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that the main wave 5 in the S&P 500 index has been completed via an ending diagonal.
Considering the ongoing tensions in the Middle East and the U.S. moving its forces to the region, there’s a possibility that these tensions may escalate in the coming days. Therefore, given that the S&P 500 is currently near its all-time highs, and based on our technical analysis, going long might be risky, and I currently favor short positions for the S&P 500.
I expect that after breaking the support zone($6,930_$6,892), the S&P 500 index could drop to around $6,863.
Furthermore, since Bitcoin has a correlation with the S&P 500, a decline in the S&P 500 could also lead to a drop in Bitcoin .
First Target: $6,923
Second Target: $6,863
Stop Loss(SL): $7,009
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
S&P 500 | SPX | When should fear really exist for the investor?In recognition of surpassing 500 followers, I thought I would take a moment to write about when I plan to fully exit equities, stockpile cash, and continue to acquire into 20-year treasury bonds (which I have started with TLT ). This post is not encouraging others to do as I do. Instead, it's an attempt to answer a common question I am asked: "When do you think this rally will be over?"
The answer is: "I do not know. But, using technical analysis, I can estimate a personal 'fear' indicator."
My 'Fear' Indicator
I use technical analysis to make informed decisions about entries and exits. It reduces emotional trading, chasing, and FOMO. My technical analysis does not conform to the "standard" 50-, 100-, 200-simple moving averages (SMA). In fact, back testing these standard SMAs show they are (arguably) traps for retail traders. The system wants your money, so why on earth would they share their secrets with such basic numbers as 50, 100, etc.?
Instead, the "devil" is in the details. What I will call my "historical SMA". That's as much as I will share because... well... I want your money too ;)
I view my historical SMA as primary support. It's the white line on the chart. Around that area is a range of values that the price can bounce around in (or slightly out) without causing panic or fear that support has been lost. From the historical SMA, other bands can be extended out to estimate additional support or resistance. If you follow me, you've seen I often trade using a "crash" and "major crash" SMA. These zones often indicate bottom areas for price reversal (i.e. algorithmic trading kicks in and pre-programmed computers quickly accumulate shares). Personally, it's a great indicator by taking out guesswork and letting time work for you instead of against you. It's not perfect, but the odds of success have been extremely high.
So, what's the opposite of my crash or major crash SMA? The "fear" SMA. I call it that because it's when people should ***really*** be fearful of their market exposure (unlike the crash and major crash SMAs which are opportunities). It's currently on the chart as purple lines near 7,600 and 7,800 (and rising). This band is where I am moving out of equities completely and going cash and NASDAQ:TLT . The throttle is maxed and headed for a wall, as they say. Does that mean once price hits that zone the market has topped and it's only down from there? Absolutely not. It may ride that level or jump higher for a few months, year, etc. But it's a fool's game at that point. Time will not be on investor's side. FOMO will be real for those who exit, but this is why technical analysis is important. It uses data for informed decision-making. Not emotions. Profits made from reaching the purple bar will be great. More is just glutinous.
Important Note
Obviously, the conditions above are predicated on no major wars, pandemics, global catastrophes, etc. I view any further dips in the market, not due to said conditions, as opportunities. But, as always, stay cautious, trade using your own strategies, and protect yourself and your money at all times.
SPX.. time to buy nowSPX 500 is in a clear upwards channel and has broken the last bit of resistance (white trendline line shown) - this is a clear confirmation that the next target will be the next resistance zone to the upside shown above (this is a great buy trade opportunity) - buy the SPX 500 now...
S&P 500 Makes New ATH — Is This a Fake Breakout?As I expected in the previous idea , the S&P 500 Index( FX:SPX500 ) reached its targets, with a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:67.
The S&P 500 has managed to set new all-time highs as we entered 2026. The question now is whether the S&P 500 will continue its bullish trend throughout 2026 or if we should anticipate a correction in the U.S. stock market.
It’s important to note that the S&P 500 is a key index for the markets, and its correlation with Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is quite high. Therefore, it’s always beneficial to keep an eye on the S&P 500 when analyzing the crypto market, especially Bitcoin.
Currently, the S&P 500 seems to be trading above the resistance zone($6,930_$6,892). However, considering the volume of this breakout, it doesn’t seem like a very convincing breakout.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, we might expect the main wave 5 of the S&P 500 to conclude with the help of an ending diagonal, and this wave 5 could complete near the upper lines of the ending diagonal.
I expect that the S&P 500 may decline at least to around $6,917, and if it breaks back below the resistance zone and the lower lines of the ending diagonal, we could see further declines to around $6,837 or even lower, leading to a downturn in the U.S. stock market.
Note: It’s worth noting that rising tensions in global affairs could also pose a risk to the S&P 500, potentially causing abrupt declines.
First Target: $6,917
Second Target: $6,837
Stop Loss(SL): $6,988
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
US500 Structure Turns Positive as Demand Builds📈 Bullish US500 / SPX500 Swing Trade Opportunity | Thief Layer Strategy 🛡️💰
🔥 Asset: US500 / SPX500 Index
📅 Trade Style: Swing Trade
📊 Market Bias: Bullish Momentum
💡 Trade Plan – Thief Layer Entry Strategy
We’re playing a multi-layered bullish entry using Thief’s layering method 👇
🔹 Limit Layers:
• Buy Limit @ 6820
• Buy Limit @ 6840
• Buy Limit @ 6860
• Buy Limit @ 6880
(Add more layers based on personal risk tolerance & preference)
Layer Method: Using multiple limit orders helps accumulate positions on weakness and improve average entry for swing upside.
🛑 Stop Loss – Thief OG Rule
🔒 SL: 6800 (Thief SL)
➡️ Adjust SL based on your own risk level and strategy. Manage risk yourself — only use my SL as reference, not guidance.
⚠️ I am not recommending you ONLY use my SL/TP — trade at your own risk & adjust as needed.
🏁 Target Zone
🎯 Primary Target: 6980
📌 This zone aligns with strong resistance, potential overbought reaction & trap level — cautious profit-taking area.
🔗 Related Markets to WATCH
Here are correlated markets that often move with SPX500:
✔️ US Dollar Index (DXY) – correlation influences risk sentiment and equities. A stronger USD often supports equity strength, though relationship varies over time.
✔️ NASDAQ / US Tech Index – tech is a big driver for US500 performance due to sector weight.
✔️ Crude Oil (WTI / Brent) – recent patterns showed equities trending in tandem with oil, reflecting risk appetite.
✔️ EUR/USD & GBP/USD — sentiment indicators that often swing with risk on/off market mood.
🧠 Fundamentals & Macro Drivers
📌 Economic Outlook: U.S. growth expected without recession in 2026, aiding risk assets.
📌 Fed Policy: Recent rate cuts and expectation of additional easing support equity valuations.
📌 Earnings Growth: Most major sectors projected with higher expected growth for 2026.
📌 AI + Tech Tailwinds: Continued AI investment remains a key bullish driver for US equities.
📅 Watch Upcoming News Events:
• U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls
• Fed Rate Decisions / FOMC Minutes
• CPI & Inflation data
• PMI & Retail Sales
📌 Why This Setup
✅ Multi-layer entries improve execution quality
✅ Bullish macro backdrop + earnings support
✅ Clear risk zone + target
✅ Correlation watchlist for context
💬 Trade smart, manage risk, and always confirm with your own analysis.
If this idea helped, *like 👍, comment 💬, and follow 📌 for more Thief strategy setups!
S&P 500 Hits ATH — Fake Breakout & Start of a Major Correction?The S&P 500 Index ( OANDA:SPX500USD ), as I previously expected , has begun to rise and even reached a New All-Time High($6,823).
It appears that the S&P 500 Index has lost its uptrend line and is currently moving just above the resistance zone($6,930_$6,892). The key point here is that this break above the resistance zone($6,930_$6,892) hasn’t occurred with high volume, and there’s also a noticeable Regular Divergence (RD-).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that the S&P 500 Index has completed main wave 5 at the new All-Time High(ATH), indicating a potential fake breakout above the resistance level.
I expect that the S&P 500 Index may begin to decline and could drop at least to around $6,879, with the next target potentially filling a Runaway Gap($6,857.80_$6,850.80).
What are your thoughts on the S&P 500 Index? How do you see the U.S. stock market unfolding in 2026? I’d love to hear your opinion!
First Target: $6,879
Second Target: Runaway Gap($6,857.80_$6,850.80)
Stop Loss(SL): $6,952
Note: A decline in the S&P 500 index could also affect Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )(due to Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P 500 index).
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
S&P 500 Index Approaches the 7,000-Point LevelOver the past five trading sessions, the U.S. equity index S&P 500 (SPX) has maintained a consistent bullish bias, posting gains of more than 2% in the short term and moving closer to the psychological 7,000-point level. For now, the index has managed to sustain firm buying pressure, supported by optimism around potential interest rate cuts in 2026 by the Federal Reserve. This scenario could foster a lower cost of borrowing, helping market liquidity remain stable while supporting investment and consumption—key pillars for equity market confidence. If this perception holds, it could continue to act as a positive catalyst allowing the SPX to maintain sustained buying pressure toward the close of 2025. As long as confidence remains in place, buying pressure may continue to shape short-term price action.
The Bullish Trend Holds
For several months now, the SPX has sustained a consistent bullish trend across its average price movements, keeping the index very close to the 7,000-point area. At this stage, no meaningful bearish corrections have emerged that would threaten the bullish technical structure, which remains the dominant formation to monitor. However, it is important to note that as prices have reached new highs in recent sessions, a sense of neutrality has begun to appear in price action. If this indecision persists, it could open the door to short-term bearish corrections.
RSI
At present, the RSI remains above the neutral 50 level, suggesting that average momentum over the past 14 sessions continues to favor buyers. However, a notable technical development has emerged: while the SPX price posts higher highs, the RSI shows lower highs, forming a bearish divergence. This pattern may signal a recent excess in buying pressure, increasing the likelihood of selling corrections in the coming trading sessions.
MACD
The MACD continues to display a histogram oscillating very close to the neutral zero line, reflecting persistent neutrality in short-term moving average momentum. If this behavior continues, it may point to an ongoing indecision phase in SPX price action, potentially allowing for a period of consolidation and the emergence of short-term pullbacks.
Key Levels to Watch
7,000 points – Key resistance: A major psychological level that stands out as the most relevant resistance given the lack of prior price references. Sustained moves above this area could trigger a more aggressive bullish bias and extend the current uptrend.
6,900 points – Nearby support: A level associated with the neutrality observed around recent all-time highs. Price action holding near this zone could reinforce a more stable consolidation phase and favor the formation of a short-term sideways range.
6,800 points – Major support: An area where the bullish trendline aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. Bearish moves below this level could put the broader bullish structure at risk and open the door to a more dominant selling bias in the sessions ahead.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
DEC.21,2025 ANALYSIS- DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY CAUTION BEARISH: Weekly closing with a strong Bullish hammer candle suggests resistance block as shown could be broken for further upside. However due a hidden bearish divergence on RSI supported by the 21 EMA crossover resistance zone gives Bears an equal opportunity for reversal. I am personally watching a 5 wave pattern to bring the dollar index to a target around 96.961 This will ultimately close the gaps that occurred on October 5th to October 7th which also corresponds to the daily chart double tops target.
BITCOIN: STILL BEARISH, BTC has consolidated for the last 4 weeks now in a channel consolidation suggesting a bearish continuation rather than an accumulation for reversal. On the daily chart price has now exited the Bearish Flag pattern and I think based on the daily double tops rejection of the fib 0.382 retrace level within the bear flag formation, this week price action could gains momentum for the downtrend to test the liquidity zone of $80,524 and put the next target around $74k zone.
NAS100 & SPX500 WIDE RANGE TRADE: Both indices closed last week with a strong Bullish candles. Whiles our lower targets from last week wasn't achieved we got close enough. The setup this week spells caution as the gaps from last week's trade could now be filled as price is poised to test the all time high resistances again.
GOLD & SILVER ALMOST TOPPING: Gold on the weekly chart has hit a perfect double top with divergences on indicators like RSI and MACD. However, we still closed the week with a green candle suggesting that price could move towards $4,475 before getting rejected. The divergences don't give me a comfortable long position and so I will stay on the sideline and wait for confirmations for pullback trade towards the weekly 21 EMA.
Silver is still in a last wave and also ending so there is not much reward for the risk. My up target is about $68.38 before the major pullback. There are already divergences on the both daily and weekly chart but these divergences don't make the risk reward attractive for a long trade.
I hope my publications are helpful to your own analysis and perspective. Thank you and please show your support for these analysis with a boost or comment so it's shown to other traders and gets featured on Trading View editors desk. Have a great and profitable trading week and remember risk management is your first job as a trader. Cheers!!
S&P 500 index at PRZ — Next Bullish Rally!!!In general, I place significant importance on the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ), especially over the past month, because of its strong correlation with the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ). When sharp movements occur in the S&P 500 index, we often see a mirrored effect in the crypto market and Bitcoin’s chart.
Currently, the S&P 500 index is moving near the support zone($6,776_$6,712) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and it appears to have successfully broken the upper line of the descending channel, which is a positive sign for a continued bullish trend in the coming days.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that the S&P 500 has completed a zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) within the descending channel, and we can expect an upward wave towards the resistance zone($6,853_$6,823).
I expect that the S&P 500 will begin to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and could climb at least up to $6,816. If it breaks resistance zone($6,853_$6,823), we can expect even more gains, which can also positively impact the broader markets.
What’s your outlook on the S&P 500 index and the U.S. stock market?
First Target: $6,816
Second Target: $6,834
Stop Loss(SL): $6,739(Worst)
Note: During U.S. trading hours, market volatility and emotions tend to increase. Please make sure to apply strict risk and capital management.
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
SPX...time to buySPX 500 is in a clear upwards channel and has broken the last bit of resistance (white trendline line shown) - this is a clear confirmation that the next target will be the next resistance zone to the upside shown above (this is a great buy trade opportunity) - time to buy the SPX 500 now
DEC.14,2025 ANALYSIS- DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY BEARISH: Weekly closing with a strong bearish candle for continuation to the downside after a small bounce to about 98.186 from the support zone of 97.820 or most likely sideways consolidation for this coming week. Ultimately, the gaps that occurred on October 5th to October 7th will be filled putting our next fall target to about 97.200 which also corresponds to the daily chart double tops target.
BITCOIN: STILL BEARISH, BTC has consolidated for the last 3 weeks and I think based on the daily double tops rejection of the fib 0.382 retrace level within the bear flag formation, this week actually gains momentum for the downtrend to resume with initial target at the liquidity zone of $80, 524 and a clear breakdown of the Bear flag trend line will put the next target around $74k zone.
NAS100 & SPX500 BEARISH: Both indices closed last week with a strong bearish engulfing candles. This confirms the retrace towards the highs is now completed and next leg down to targets of about $23,169 for Nas100 and $6,418 for SPX500 is highly probable this week.
GOLD & SILVER SIDEWAYS: Gold on the weekly chart has hit a double top with divergences on indicators like RSI and MACD. With a green closing candle on the weekly it's likely the tops of $4,381 could be tested before the pullback. Momentum is flat hence price could stays sideways first before the pullback. However, the daily chart is giving us a rejection candle from the previous high so I think a double tops could form unless a clear breakout occurs. Silver is in a last wave and also ending so there is not much reward for the risk. My up target is about $68.38 before the major pullback. There are already divergences on the both daily and weekly chart but these divergences are not confirmed until next week's candle print.
I hope my publications are helpful to your own analysis and perspective. Thank you and please show your support for these analysis with a boost or comment so it's shown to other traders and gets featured on Trading View editors desk. Have a great and profitable trading week and remember risk management is your first job as a trader. Cheers!!
SPX500 Eyes 7000 — Breakout or Bull Trap Ahead?🦸♂️ SPX 500 Heist: The 7K Bull Run Playbook (Swing Trade Setup) ✅
Alright, crew, listen up! The market is a vault, and we're here to make a strategic withdrawal. The SPX 500 is showing us the blueprints for a potential bullish breakout. This is our plan to ride the wave.
🎯 The Master Plan: BULLISH
We're looking for a classic breakout play. The gates are at 6780, and once they're open, we're going in.
⚡ Entry Signal (The "Go" Signal)
Action: Consider long positions ONLY AFTER a confirmed daily breakout and close above the key level of 🎯 6780.00.
Translation: Don't jump the gun. Wait for the market to show its hand.
🚨 Stop Loss (The "Escape Route")
Location: My suggested escape hatch is down at 🛡️ 6600.00. Place it after the breakout we talked about.
A Note from the OG: "Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), I am not recommending you set only my SL. It's your own choice. You can make money, then take money at your own risk." 😉
💰 Profit Target (The "Loot Bag")
Destination: We're aiming for the major resistance zone at 🎯 7000.00. This is a psychological magnet and a previous area where sellers stepped in.
Why Here? It's a zone of strong resistance, potential overbought conditions, and traps for the greedy. Be smart and escape with your profits!
Another OG Note: "Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), I am not recommending you set only my TP. It's your own choice. You can make money, then take money at your own risk." 😎
🔍 Market Intel: Pairs to Watch
A master thief always checks the surrounding area. Keep an eye on these correlated assets:
AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF): The direct tracker. Moves almost tick-for-tick with the SPX.
NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100): Tech-heavy cousin. If NDX is strong, it often pulls SPX up with it.
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Our usual antagonist. A stronger dollar can be a headwind for large-cap stocks.
CME_MINI:ES1! (S&P 500 E-mini Futures): The real-time action. This is where the big moves often happen first.
✨ Community Boost
If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#SPX500 #SP500 #SwingTrading #MarketPlaybook #PriceAction #ThiefTrader #IndexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #US500 #Equities #BreakoutStrategy #TradingView #StockMarket #RiskManagement
S&P 500 Breakdown Alert — Rising Wedge Reversal in Play!Today I want to share an S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ) analysis, as this index plays a major role in guiding correlated markets—especially crypto, and particularly Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
The S&P 500 index entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and resistance zone($6,902_$6,875), where it began to fall.
The S&P 500 index also failed to form new Higher Highs(HH) and Higher Lows(HL), which signals weakening bullish momentum over the past 7 trading sessions.
From a classical technical-analysis perspective, it appears that the S&P 500 index has broken below the lower line of its rising wedge pattern, which is considered a bearish reversal pattern. The index is currently in the process of completing a pullback/retest of the broken structure.
My expectation is that the S&P 500 index may decline at least toward $6,823, and if important support lines break, we could see a deeper correction toward the measured move (target) of the rising-wedge pattern.
What’s your outlook on the S&P 500 index and the U.S. stock market?
First Target: $6,823
Second Target: $6,803
Stop Los(SL): $6,889(Worst)
------------------------------------------------
We should also keep in mind that several important US economic indicators will be released this week, which could significantly impact market direction. So be extra cautious with your positions, especially during data releases:
JOLTS Job Openings➡️09 December
Federal Funds Rate➡️10 December
FOMC Statement➡️10 December
FOMC Press Conference➡️10 December
Unemployment Claims➡️11 December
------------------------------------------------
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BUY SPX NOW...time to buySPX 500 is in a clear upwards channel and has broken the last bit of resistance (white trendline line shown) - this is a clear confirmation that the next target will be the next resistance zone to the upside shown above (this is a great buy trade opportunity) - Time to buy the SPX 500 now
BUY SPX NOW...time to buy nowSPX 500 is in a clear upwards channel and has broken the last bit of resistance (white trendline line shown) - this is a clear confirmation that the next target will be the next resistance zone to the upside shown above (this is a great buy trade opportunity) - Time to buy SPX 500
SPX500 Bullish Plan in Motion with SMA + Kijun Confirmation🚀 US500/SPX500 INDEX MARKET SWING TRADE MASTERCLASS 🎯
📊 ASSET: S&P 500 Index (US500 | SPX500)
Timeframe: 4H-Daily | Strategy Type: Swing Trade | Market Context: Bullish Pullback Confirmation
🎲 TRADE SETUP: THE "THIEF PROTOCOL" STRATEGY ⚡
✅ TECHNICAL CONFIRMATION
🔹 Primary Signal: Simple Moving Average (SMA) Pullback Retest
🔹 Secondary Confirmation: Kijun-sen (Ichimoku MA) Retest
🔹 Market Structure: Higher Lows Formation + Bullish Consolidation
🔹 Bias: LONG with Layered Entry Methodology
💰 ENTRY STRATEGY: MULTI-LAYER LIMIT ORDER APPROACH
The "Thief Layering Method" - Stack multiple buy limit orders for optimal risk distribution:
🟢 Layer 1 Entry: $6,750.00 - Initial Probe Entry (30% Position Allocation)
🟢 Layer 2 Entry: $6,800.00 - Aggressive Add (35% Position Allocation)
🟢 Layer 3 Entry: $6,850.00 - Final Confirmation Entry (35% Position Allocation)
Entry Flexibility: Adjust layers based on your account size & risk tolerance. Spread entries across pullback zones for superior fill pricing.
🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT
Recommended SL Level: $6,720.00 - Placed below the support trendline + SMA confluence
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Dear Traders! This is YOUR trading journey. We strongly recommend adjusting stop loss based on YOUR risk management rules. Account sizing is crucial - never risk more than 2-3% per trade. Your SL placement = YOUR decision, YOUR responsibility. Use proper position sizing ALWAYS.
🎯 PROFIT TARGET ZONES
Primary Target: $7,050.00 ⚡
📊 Technical Reasoning: This level represents strong resistance confluence zone, historical supply level in overbought territory, and creates a risk/reward sweet spot of 1:3+ return potential. Alert: Trap zone exists here - smart money reversal area confirmed.
Exit Strategy Recommendation: Close 50% of position at $7,000-7,020 to lock partial profits. Hold remaining 50% with trailing stop or until $7,050 for maximum upside capture. Lock profits incrementally to secure gains.
⚠️ CRITICAL REMINDER: Your profit target = YOUR choice! This TP represents technical confluence, but market conditions evolve. Trade YOUR plan, manage YOUR risk, protect YOUR capital.
🌍 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 🔗
📈 PRIMARY CORRELATIONS
1️⃣ QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF) - 0.99 Correlation 💻
This is the tech-heavy composition that typically leads SPX rallies. Current focus remains on AI/Mag7 momentum and overall growth stock sentiment. Key watch: QQQ strength = SPX bullish confirmation signal. When QQQ breaks out, SPX follows closely.
2️⃣ IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) - 0.95 Correlation 📍
Small-cap composition with high tariff sensitivity. Current status shows small-cap underperformance zones vulnerable to trade policy shifts. Trading tip: IWM weakness = Sector rotation risk, so watch for divergence from SPX strength.
3️⃣ DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse/Mixed Correlation 💵
Recent positive correlation emerging in 2025 market dynamics. Current dynamic shows dollar strength now sometimes supports equities due to policy-driven factors. Risk factor alert: DXY spike above 108 = potential SPX headwind to monitor.
📊 SECONDARY WATCH PAIRS
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - Mirror of SPX, use for volume confirmation and institutional positioning.
DIA (Dow Jones ETF) - Large-cap value barometer, less tech-sensitive than QQQ, shows rotation signals.
VIX (Volatility Index) - Above 25 = caution mode, below 15 = complacency warning.
📱 KEY CORRELATION INSIGHTS FOR THIS TRADE
🔴 RED FLAGS - Watch These Closely:
VIX spiking above 30 signals potential fear spike. DXY breaking above 108 creates dollar strength pressure. QQQ failing to confirm breakout indicates tech weakness divergence. IWM hitting new lows signals broad market weakness.
🟢 GREEN LIGHTS - Trade Confirmation:
QQQ and SPX moving in sync above SMA is bullish. IWM holding key support levels confirms breadth. DXY consolidating means no headwind pressure building. VIX below 20 indicates low fear environment.
🎯 TRADE PSYCHOLOGY & EXECUTION TIPS
✅ Pre-Trade Checklist:
Confirm SMA pullback on 4H chart before entry. Verify Kijun retest on Ichimoku indicator. Check QQQ alignment for correlation confirmation. Monitor DXY to avoid strong dollar days. Set alerts at all 3 entry layers for execution readiness.
✅ During Trade Management:
Take partial profit at 50% move up to secure gains. Move SL to breakeven after hitting first target. Trail stop every 50-pip move in your favor. Document your execution for journal review and performance tracking.
🔥 TRADE EXECUTION SUMMARY
Signal Type: Bullish Pullback Retest ✅ Confirmed
Entry Method: 3-Layer Limit Orders 🎯 Optimized for Best Fill Pricing
SL Level: $6,720.00 🛑 Defined and Placed Below Support
TP Level: $7,050.00 🎯 Defined at Resistance Confluence
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3+ 💰 Favorable Trade Structure
Best Tradeable Window: Next 48-72 Hours ⏰ Active Setup Zone
Good Luck, Traders! 🚀 Trade Smart. Trade Safe. Trade Often.
Remember: Your SL = Your Protection | Your TP = Your Goal | Your Risk = Your Responsibility
#SPX500 #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdea #S&P500 #MarketAnalysis #TradeSetup #RiskManagement
S&P 500 index Bull Run Continues — Symmetrical Triangle BreakoutThe S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ) has shown solid bullish momentum over the last 7 trading days, gaining more than +5% during this period.
The S&P 500 has once again moved back above Important Support lines, and it now appears to be breaking through a resistance line as well.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, the S&P 500 seems to be moving inside a symmetrical triangle pattern.
From an Elliott Wave standpoint, the S&P 500 looks to be completing Wave 4. A confirmed breakout above the upper line of the symmetrical triangle could validate the end of Wave 4.
I expect the S&P 500 to continue its upward movement and extend toward the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the Resistance zone ($6,902_$6,875).
What’s your view on the S&P 500 index and the broader U.S. stock market?
First Target: $6,859
Second Target: $6,887
Stop Los(SL): $6,774(Worst)
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
SPX500: Bullish Push to 6927?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:SPX500 is eyeing a bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from a key support zone near recent lows , converging with potential entry area that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend against dips. This setup suggests a continuation opportunity amid the ongoing uptrend, targeting higher resistance levels with favorable risk-reward.🔥
Entry between 6700–6720 for a long position. Targets at 6880 (first), 6927 (second). Set a stop loss at a close below 6643 to limit exposure, yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:2 to first target and up to 1:2.5 overall. Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the index's resilience near ATH.🌟
Fundamentally , the S&P 500 is pushing toward new highs in November 2025, driven by bets on Fed rate cuts and strong global demand, though underlying issues like market concentration (top 10 companies over 40% of the index) and recent weekly dips (~2%) highlight volatility. Positive factors include liquidity, consumer strength, and earnings growth, with forecasts eyeing upside to 7000 amid election stability and AI investments. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
6700 – 6720
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 6880
• TP2: 6927
❌ Stop Loss:
• Any 4H candle close below 6643
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• ~1:2 to the first target
• Up to 1:2.5 if full target is hit
👇 Share your thoughts below! 👇






















