S&P500 about to BREAK downLook at the chart, its very EVIDENT. with this overbought and bullish sentiment, i expect the markets to CORRECT further. its still extreme greedy. You can see the support lines. S&P can correct somewhere between 5-9%. Be prepared.
SP:SPX TVC:SPX CBOE:SPX SPREADEX:SPX CBOE:XSP
Spx500analysis
SPX Weak Bearish Bias → 6440P Caution Trade
# 🏦 SPX Weekly Options Analysis – 8/18
📉 **Market Context**
* Mixed signals across metrics → weak bearish bias
* Price below VWAP → potential short-term downside
* Volume insufficient → low conviction
* Call/Put ratio neutral → no strong directional bias
---
## 🎯 Trade Setup (Cautious Put)
* **Instrument**: SPX
* **Direction**: PUT (SHORT)
* **Strike**: 6440
* **Expiry**: 2025-08-18
* **Entry Price**: \$0.60
* **Profit Target**: \$1.20
* **Stop Loss**: \$0.30
* **Size**: 1 contract
* **Confidence**: 60%
* **Entry Timing**: Market Close
---
## 📈 Breakeven @ Expiry
👉 6439.40 (Strike – Premium)
SPX must **close < 6439.40 by market close** to profit at expiry.
---
## 🧠 Key Risks
* Mixed signals → potential whipsaw ⚡
* Market structure unclear → downside not guaranteed
* Theta decay risk → short-term option, fast time decay
---
# ⚡ SPX 6440P SHORT PLAY ⚡
🎯 In: \$0.60 → Out: \$1.20
🛑 Stop: \$0.30
📅 Exp: 8/18
📈 Bias: Weak Bearish, trade cautiously 🐻
---
📊 **TRADE DETAILS JSON**
```json
{
"instrument": "SPX",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 6440.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-18",
"confidence": 0.60,
"profit_target": 1.20,
"stop_loss": 0.30,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.60,
"entry_timing": "close",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-18 15:02:25 UTC-04:00"
}
"US500 BREAKOUT – TIME TO LOAD LIMIT ORDERS FOR THE PUMP?"🔥🦹♂️ "SPX500 BANK HEIST – LAYERED BULL RAID IN PROGRESS!" 💰📈
(Thief Trader’s Multi-Limit Order Bullish Ambush – No Weak Hands Allowed)
📍 ASSET: US500 / SPX500 (S&P 500 INDEX)
🎯 HEIST PLAN: BULLISH BREAKOUT
💣 ENTRY: ANY PRICE LEVEL (Thieves use Layered Limit Orders – adapt like a pro!)
🔫 SAMPLE LAYERS: (Scale in like a boss!)
BUY LIMIT LAYER 1: 6475.00
BUY LIMIT LAYER 2: 6460.00
BUY LIMIT LAYER 3: 6440.00
(Add more layers if needed – flexibility is key!)
🛑 STOP LOSS: 6400.00 (Thief’s Emergency Exit – adjust based on your risk!)
🎯 TARGET: 6600.00 (First profit zone – trail or take gains!)
🦹♂️ THIEF TRADER’S MASTER PLAN:
"We don’t ask for permission – we take profits."
🔹 ENTRY TACTICS:
Use multiple limit orders (LAYERED STRATEGY) – like planting timed explosives at key levels.
No panic entries – thieves strike with precision, not emotion.
DCA if needed – but keep bullets for the real move.
🔹 STOP LOSS RULES:
6400 = Danger Zone – if price breaks, abort mission & regroup.
SL too tight? You’ll get stopped out by market noise. SL too wide? You’ll bleed. Find balance.
🔹 TAKE PROFIT STRATEGY:
First TP @ 6600 – secure partial profits.
Let runners ride with trailing stop – or full exit if momentum fades.
🚨 THIEF’S GOLDEN RULES:
✅ Only LONG – no revenge shorts, no greed traps.
✅ Trade in SILENCE – avoid high-impact news (CPI, NFP, Fed).
✅ Risk management = Survival – don’t blow your account on one play.
✅ BOOST & SHARE – if this plan helps, spread the word!
📢 FINAL WARNING:
"This is not financial advice – it’s a thief’s blueprint.
Plan your escape before entry. Market heists require discipline."
💬 COMMENT "ROBBING SPX" if you’re in!
🔥 LIKE & BOOST if you ride with the Thief Trader crew!
🦹♂️ THIEF TRADER OUT.
💸 STEAL SMART. GET RICH. REPEAT.
S&P500’s Bullish Island Turns Risky: Elliott Wave Says “Top”The S&P500 Index( SP:SPX ) started to rise and even created a new All-Time High(ATH=$6,428) with the help of the Bullish Long Island Pattern , as I published in my previous idea on May 14, 2025 .
The S&P500 Index is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , upper line of the ascending channel , the Important Resistance line , and the Yearly Resistance(1) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the S&P500 Index appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the S&P500 Index to correct at least -4% and fall to the lower line of the ascending channel .
First Target: $6,233
Second Target: $6,033
Note: Stop Loss(SL) $6,513
Do you think S&P500 Index can create a new ATH above $6,500 !?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), Daily time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Rob the Rally SPX500: Enter Before Resistance Catches You🦹♂️💎 “SPX500 Vault Breach – Layered Robbery in Progress!” 💼📈
(Thief Trader's Multi-Limit Entry Bullish Blueprint – No Mercy, Just Money)
📍Asset: SPX500 / US500
🎯Plan: Bullish Heist
🧠Style: Layered Limit Orders | Thief Strategy Entry | Zero Mercy Execution
📈Target: 6600.00
🛑Stop Loss: 6200.00
💣Entry: Any level — thieves adapt, not wait!
🌍 Welcome to the Global Robbery Room, Traders!
It’s your boy Thief Trader, back in the vault with another plan to crack the SPX500 like a safe on Wall Street. This one’s for the bold bulls who like to rob with precision, not permission. 🎯💰
💼 The Setup – High Stakes, High Floors
SPX500 is lining up for a classic breakout breach. This isn’t just technical — it’s tactical warfare. Market noise? Ignore it. We operate on strategy and steel nerves. 🧠🔫
🔥 Entry Protocol – Layer Up or Miss Out
🧱 Multiple limit orders across price zones — like planting C4 charges on every door.
🎯 Enter wherever price dips — don’t wait for permission from retail traders.
🎯 No fixed entry — this is Thief Layering: get in where you fit in.
🚪 Escape Plan – Stop Loss Strategy
📍 SL: 6200.00
Why? That’s where the guards start showing up. If price drops below, we vanish.
💡 Be flexible — smart robbers don’t get caught, they regroup.
💎 Target Loot – The Golden Zone
📍 Primary TP: 6600.00
Once we breach the 6500+ resistance, it's a moonwalk. Lock gains or trail with confidence.
📢 Warning for Scalpers & Swing Thieves Alike:
Only play Long-side. Don’t try to rob both ends — that’s suicide.
Big wallet? Scale heavy. Small bag? Layer light but tight.
Always use trailing stops — never trust the market with your escape bag. 🎒💸
📊 Thief Intel – Why We’re Bullish
✅ Index rotation favors large-cap strength
✅ Macro sentiment + institutional bias points UP
✅ No bearish COT signals in sight
✅ Fed tone & economic backdrop: neutral to supportive
This isn’t hopium. It’s strategy.
🚨 NEWS FLASH – Stay Stealthy!
Do NOT enter during economic bombs 💣 (NFP, CPI, Fed minutes, etc.)
Market noise kills precision. We only move in silence and with SLs trailing tight.
💬 Smash that BOOST 💖 if you’re riding with the Thief Army.
Share this plan, spread the word, and let’s rob the markets the smart way.
📢 Tag your crew, stack your layers, and let’s hit 6600 like pros.
📌Disclaimer: Not financial advice — this is a market operation plan for educational use. Trade at your own risk. Smart thieves plan exits before entries. 💼📉📈
🦹♂️ Thief Trader out.
💸 Rob smart. Rob clean. Rob global.
US500 Bulls Assemble | Breakout Heist Strategy📈🚨 MASTER HEIST PLAN: “SPX500 ROBBERY – THIEF TRADING STYLE 🔥💸” 🚨📈
(The Ultimate Long Strategy Blueprint for Smart Day/Swing Traders)
🌍 Greetings to All Market Bandits, Bullish Burglars, and Chart Snipers!
Hola! Bonjour! Ola! Hallo! Marhaba! 🙌
🦹♂️This is your friendly chart thief checking in with the latest SPX500/US500 masterplan!
This isn’t just a trade—it’s a heist 🎯. We’re not here to participate, we’re here to dominate! Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, where we map, trap, and snatch those pips with ruthless precision. 🧠🔍💰
🚀 THIEF TRADE SETUP - SPX500/US500
A mix of technical sniper entries + fundamental black ops analysis = 💸 Maximum Extraction. 💸
🎯 ENTRY PLAN: THE BREAKOUT HEIST
📍Buy Entry Zone: Wait for the clean breakout + candle close above 6270.00.
"The vault opens once we clear that wall. Let the bullish getaway begin!" 💥🚪📈
🛠️Thief Tips for Entry:
Use Buy Stop Orders above resistance levels.
OR layer in Buy Limit Orders near recent pullbacks (15/30m swing zones) using DCA Style (Dollar Cost Average layering like a pro).
Want stealth mode? Set that alert (alarm), and strike when the breakout sings. 🔔🎯
🛑 STOP LOSS – PROTECT THE LOOT
🧨Set your SL smart—beneath the nearest swing low using the 2H timeframe for stronger structure.
💬 “Look, don’t gamble. A thief knows when to run. Set that stop where I showed ya, or risk losin’ the bag.” 💼💣
❗Your SL should reflect your risk per trade, lot size, and number of entries. It’s your getaway plan—don’t mess it up.
💥 TARGETS – WHERE WE CASH OUT
🏴☠️Primary Take Profit (TP1): 6310.00
🏴☠️Secondary Take Profit (TP2): 6370.00
💹 Scalp Traders: Stick to the Long Side Only. Ride the momentum, but use trailing SL to lock it in.
🔍 THIEF FUNDAMENTAL INTEL: WHY THIS IS OUR MOMENT
Current SPX500 bullishness driven by:
✅ Positive macro & geopolitical tailwinds
✅ Institutional positioning (COT reports)
✅ Intermarket analysis showing strong correlations
✅ Momentum building with sentiment and volume
📌 Stay sharp—check all your fundamental reports, news catalysts, and sentiment tools before executing your move. Smart thieves plan every detail. 🎓📊
⚠️ NEWS RELEASE REMINDER
📢 News = Chaos. Don’t get caught in the spray:
🔒Avoid entering trades just before big announcements.
🚀 Use Trailing SL to secure profit if you're already in.
Stay agile. Stay smart. Stay rich. 💼🚁
❤️ SUPPORT THE HEIST – HIT THAT BOOST BUTTON!
👊 Liked the plan? Hit the Boost to join the elite robbery crew.
Every boost fuels the mission. Every like sharpens the strategy. Let's build a team of smart, profitable traders. 🚀💸🔥
🧠 Remember: This is general analysis – not financial advice. Manage your risk like a true thief. Stay updated. Adapt fast. Don't get caught. 🕵️♂️
🎉See you in the next Heist Plan! Keep your tools sharp, your charts cleaner, and your profit bags fatter. 🤑🔥
Market Mood Sours as Inflation Surprises AgainU.S. stock markets were under pressure on Tuesday after new inflation data came in higher than expected. This has made investors rethink how soon the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates.
What Happened?
● The Consumer Price Index (CPI) recorded its biggest monthly rise in 5 months.
● Core inflation (which excludes food and energy) jumped by 2.9% compared to last year — more than the Fed's 2% target.
What It Means
● Investors had expected the Fed to cut interest rates multiple times in 2025.
● After the inflation report, they now think the Fed will cut less than expected.
● The chances of a rate cut in September also dropped sharply.
Market Impact
● Bond yields went up — the 10-year U.S. government bond yield rose to 4.49%, making borrowing more expensive.
● Stock futures fell (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq), as higher yields tend to hurt company profits and stock prices.
S&P 500 and Dow Struggle at Resistance
● Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones faced resistance near all-time highs.
● This rejection suggests potential for further short-term pullback, especially if macro pressures like inflation and rate uncertainty persist.
Near-Term Outlook
With inflation running hotter than expected, hopes for early Fed rate cuts have cooled. Traders and investors should remain cautious, manage risk actively, and prepare for continued volatility in the coming weeks.
Equity Markets Ahead of the US Inflation ReportEquity Markets Ahead of the US Inflation Report
Today at 15:30 GMT+3, the US inflation report (Consumer Price Index, or CPI) is scheduled for release. According to ForexFactory, analysts expect the inflation rate to rise from 2.4% to 2.6%.
The actual figures will provide market participants with grounds to debate not only the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut, but also the evolving tensions between Donald Trump and Jerome Powell.
Should the report deliver any surprises, it will almost certainly trigger heightened volatility across the equity markets. For now, however, investors are seemingly optimistic about the upcoming fundamental data — especially given the commencement of Q2 earnings season, which lends additional weight to today’s macroeconomic indicators.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
The S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows the index fluctuating within a range defined by support at 6,222 and resistance at 6,290.
The upward impulses (as indicated by arrows) suggest that:
→ current market optimism, combined with the CPI release, may lead to a bullish breakout above resistance and the establishment of a new all-time high;
→ in a broader context, such a breakout could be interpreted as a continuation of the rally that began in April, following a period of consolidation between the aforementioned levels.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Decade-Long Uptrend Holds Strong – SPX Hits Fresh HighsS&P 500 Just Hit a New All-Time High (ATH) 🚀
The index has been in a strong uptrend for over a decade, consistently printing higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
Every major resistance level has flipped into support, classic bull market structure.
Even during corrections, the 33 EMA and 100 EMA have acted like dynamic support zones.
Now that SPX has cleared its previous ATH, the structure remains intact, unless a strong breakdown occurs, momentum is still with the bulls.
S&P 500 Hit Record High Ahead of Holiday BreakS&P 500 Hit Record High Ahead of Holiday Break
Today, financial markets in the United States are closed in observance of Independence Day. Investor sentiment was likely buoyed by the latest rally in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), which set a new all-time high yesterday, surpassing 6,280.
The bullish momentum has been driven by robust labour market data in the US. According to ForexFactory, analysts had anticipated a rise in the unemployment rate from 4.2% to 4.3%, but instead, it unexpectedly declined to 4.1%.
Can the stock market continue to climb?
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
Analysing the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen)on 30 June, we observed the following:
→ An ascending channel was formed (indicated in blue);
→ A developing bullish impulse (marked with an orange line) suggested the price would move towards the upper boundary of the channel – a scenario that materialised with yesterday’s rally (as shown by arrow 1).
However, from a price action perspective, the recent downward move (arrow 2) has now gained significance. It may indicate that sellers are becoming more active around the identified resistance level.
Should the price decline towards the lower orange line, this could negate the current bullish impulse altogether, effectively reflecting a classic bearish engulfing pattern.
Given the above, there is reason to believe that bears are attempting to regain control after the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) surged over 5% in the past 10 days. As such, a potential breakout below the orange line cannot be ruled out, with price action possibly targeting the median of the blue ascending channel.
What happens next?
The market’s trajectory will largely hinge on developments related to tariffs. Trade policy will remain in the spotlight next week, as key deadlines set by the White House approach — events that traders will be closely monitoring.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
S&P 500 Sets New All-Time High, Surges Above 6200S&P 500 Sets New All-Time High, Surges Above 6200
The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) started the week by reaching a fresh all-time high. As shown on the chart, the index hit 6,210 points earlier this morning.
In addition to a reduced risk of US involvement in a large-scale war in the Middle East, market optimism has been fuelled by:
→ Tariff-related news. Last week, the US President announced the signing of a trade deal with China, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed hope that the US would conclude trade negotiations with over a dozen countries by early September.
→ Strong corporate performance. On Friday, Nike (NKE) shares led the stock market, rising by more than 15% following an earnings report that exceeded analysts’ expectations. This could be boosting investor sentiment ahead of the upcoming earnings season.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
Evaluating the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) in the context of June’s price movements reveals key reference points (marked on the chart) that outline an ascending channel. A consolidation zone, marked with an arrow, highlights a temporary equilibrium between supply and demand—after which buyers gained the upper hand, pushing the price upward.
It is possible that the ongoing bullish momentum could carry the price toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, attention should be paid to the RSI indicator, which suggests the market is heavily overbought; in fact, Friday’s reading marked the highest level of the year. In such conditions, a price correction cannot be ruled out—potentially back toward the local ascending trendline (shown in orange).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.






















