$SPX500 Swing Trade: Bullish SMA Setup!📈 S&P 500 CFD: Thief’s Bullish Pullback Plan 🤑💰
🚨 Swing/Day Trade Setup: S&P 500 Index CFDSteal profits with this 200 SMA Pullback Plan using the "Thief" layered entry strategy! 📊💸 Below is a detailed breakdown combining technicals, fundamentals, and market sentiment to help you navigate this bullish opportunity. Let’s dive in! 🐂
🎯 Trading Plan Overview
Asset: S&P 500 Index CFD ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 )
Bias: Bullish 🐂
Strategy: Pullback to 200 SMA with layered "Thief" limit orders for entries
Why This Plan?
Technicals: The S&P 500 is riding record highs with strong momentum, supported by the 200 SMA as a dynamic support level.
Fundamentals: Cooling inflation (PPI -0.1% vs. +0.3% expected), 100% Fed rate cut probability, and robust corporate earnings (+10% in 2025, +13% in 2026) fuel bullish sentiment.
Sentiment: Neutral Fear & Greed Index (51/100) with low volatility (VIX ~15.04) and AI-driven institutional flows (e.g., Oracle +30%).
📊 Thief’s Technical Setup
Entry Strategy:
Use the Thief Layered Entry approach with multiple buy limit orders to catch pullbacks:
🔔 Buy Limit 1: $6,460
🔔 Buy Limit 2: $6,480
🔔 Buy Limit 3: $6,500
🔔 Buy Limit 4: $6,520
💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layer levels based on your risk tolerance and market conditions. You can enter at any price level or add more layers for flexibility!
Entry Trigger: Pullback to the 200 SMA for optimal risk-reward.
Stop Loss (SL):
Suggested "Thief" SL: $6,440 (below key support).
⚠️ Note: Adjust your SL based on your risk management and strategy. Trade at your own risk, dear Traders!
Take Profit (TP):
Target: $6,700 (near resistance, potential overbought zone, or "police barricade" trap).
🚨 Note: Escape with profits before resistance hits! Set your TP based on your goals—don’t blindly follow mine. Take money at your own risk!
📡 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025, UTC+1)
Daily Change: +37.43 points (+0.57%)
YTD Performance: Record highs driven by AI optimism and Fed rate cut expectations.
😰😊 Fear & Greed Index
Current Sentiment: Neutral (Score: 51/100)
Breakdown:
📈 Market Momentum: Bullish (S&P 500 above 125-day MA).
🌬️ Volatility (VIX): Low (~15.04), signaling calm markets.
🛡️ Safe Haven Demand: Moderate (bonds lagging stocks).
💰 Junk Bond Demand: Slight greed (narrowing yield spreads).
⚖️ Options Activity: Balanced put/call ratio.
🏛️ Macro & Fundamental Analysis
Producer Price Index (PPI): August PPI fell -0.1% (vs. +0.3% expected), easing inflation concerns.
Fed Rate Cut: 100% probability of a 25-50 bps cut in September 2025.
Labor Market: Weaker-than-expected (911K jobs revised down through March 2025).
Corporate Earnings: Strong outlook (+10% growth in 2025, +13% in 2026).
Key Drivers:
🚀 AI investment surge (e.g., Oracle +30%, Nvidia strength).
🌍 Geopolitical risks (Poland-Russia tensions, Middle East concerns).
📉 Trade policy uncertainties (Trump tariff threats).
🐂🐻 Sentiment Analysis
Institutional Outlook: Cautiously optimistic
🏦 Deutsche Bank & Wells Fargo: S&P 500 targets at 7,000+ by 2026.
💡 Focus: AI capex and earnings resilience.
Retail Trader Mood: Mixed but leaning bullish
📈 Meme stock activity (e.g., GameStop +10%).
₿ Crypto correlation (Bitcoin at $111.9K, Solana at 7-month highs).
⚡ Why This Plan Stands Out
Technical Edge: The 200 SMA pullback is a proven strategy for swing/day traders, offering high-probability entries.
Thief Strategy: Layered limit orders maximize flexibility and reduce risk of missing the move.
Macro Support: Cooling inflation, Fed rate cuts, and AI-driven earnings create a bullish backdrop.
Sentiment Boost: Neutral sentiment with low volatility supports steady upside potential.
Risks to Watch: Geopolitical shocks, overvaluation concerns, and seasonal market weakness.
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
Nasdaq 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tracks tech-heavy AI stocks driving S&P 500 momentum.
VIX ( TVC:VIX ): Monitor volatility spikes for potential reversals.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield ( TVC:TNX ): Impacts risk sentiment and stock valuations.
FX:USDJPY : Correlates with risk-on/risk-off market moves.
Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ): Tracks retail sentiment and risk appetite.
🚨 Key Takeaways
🏆 S&P 500 at record highs, supported by soft PPI and Fed cut expectations.
😎 Neutral sentiment with a greedy tilt if macro data improves.
🤖 AI trade dominates institutional flows, powering bullish momentum.
📅 Watch upcoming CPI data and Fed meeting for next catalysts.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#SPX500 #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #AI #FedRateCut #TradingIdeas
Spx500forecast
SPX500 Index – Ready for the Next Pullback Heist Move?🚨 SPX500 / US500 Index – The Money Heist Swing Plan 🎭💰
📊 Plan Overview
Bias: Bullish 200-SMA Pullback Plan @ 6380.00
Entry Strategy (Layering Style):
Thief strategy = multiple buy limit orders stacked like layers 🎯
6400.00 ✅
6410.00 ✅
6420.00 ✅
6440.00 ✅
(You can increase or adjust the layering based on your own style and risk tolerance.)
🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief SL)
SL: 6360.00 ⚠️
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), adjust your SL to fit your risk style. This is just the plan’s guardrail.
🎯 Target / Exit
Target Zone: 6580.00 🚀
Note: This is the “Police Resistance” 🛑 – an overbought + trap zone. Escape with the stolen money 🎭💰 before getting caught.
Reminder: Not financial advice. You decide where to take profits.
🤔 Why This Plan?
🔹 200 SMA Pullback Logic: Price retraced into moving average = classic thief-style entry.
🔹 Layering Strategy Advantage: Building positions gradually improves average entry price & reduces risk.
🔹 Momentum & Sentiment: Neutral Fear & Greed Index (53/100) 😐 and low volatility (VIX 16.9) = stable environment for pullback entries.
🔹 Market Strength: US500 is up +16.81% YTD 🚀 with strong sector support (Alphabet +8.57%, Macy’s +19%).
🔹 Risk Factor: Economic data shows weakness (job openings & factory orders ↓), but bulls remain in control = reason for cautious layering.
🔹 Overall Outlook: Bullish score 65/100 ✅ → Mildly bullish bias fits perfectly with a buy-the-dip pullback strategy.
🔹 Trap Zone Awareness: Plan exits near resistance at 6580.00 to avoid overbought trap — thieves always escape before alarms go off 🚨.
📊 US500 INDEX CFD Real-Time Data (September 03)
Daily Change: +0.51% ↗️
Monthly Performance: +1.87% ↗️
Yearly Performance: +16.81% 🚀
All-Time High: 6,510.93 (August 2025)
😰😊 Investor Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index
Current Reading: 53/100 (Neutral) 😐
Trend: Balanced sentiment with no extreme fear or greed.
Key Indicators:
Market Momentum: S&P 500 above 125-day moving average (positive momentum) ↗️
Volatility (VIX): Low volatility (16.90), indicating stability 🟢
Options Activity: Put/Call ratio stable (no significant fear)
Junk Bond Demand: Moderate risk appetite
Safe Haven Demand: Bonds underperforming stocks (greed signal)
📈 Fundamental & Macro Score
Market Breadth: Moderate (balanced volume) ⚖️
Economic Data:
Job openings lowest since Sept (weakness) 🔻
Factory orders down -1.3% 🔻
Friday’s jobs report = critical ⚠️
Sector Performance:
Communication services (Alphabet +8.57%) 🟢
Consumer discretionary (Macy’s +19%) 🟢
Energy sector weak (Exxon Mobil -2.08%) 🔻
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Bullish Score: 65/100 (Mildly Bullish) ✅
Reasons:
Strong yearly gains (+16.81%)
Low volatility & neutral sentiment support stability
Tech & communication sectors leading momentum
Risks:
Weakening job & factory data
High valuations near ATH
💡 Key Takeaways
US500 trending upward with neutral short-term sentiment.
Friday’s jobs report = key catalyst.
Sector rotation in play: tech strong, energy weak.
Balanced fear/greed supports controlled bullish setups.
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
FOREXCOM:SPX500
CAPITALCOM:US500
TVC:DJI
NASDAQ:NDX
TVC:VIX (for risk gauge)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#SPX500 #US500 #IndexTrading #SwingTrade #LayeredEntry #SMAPullback #TradingPlan #StockMarket #SP500 #InvestorSentiment #FearGreed
S&P500 about to BREAK downLook at the chart, its very EVIDENT. with this overbought and bullish sentiment, i expect the markets to CORRECT further. its still extreme greedy. You can see the support lines. S&P can correct somewhere between 5-9%. Be prepared.
SP:SPX TVC:SPX CBOE:SPX SPREADEX:SPX CBOE:XSP
S&P500 at Resistance: Nvidia Earnings Could Decide the Next Move📊 US500 (S&P 500) has rallied recently 📈, but it’s still struggling to break through the current highs 🔼🧱.
💡 I believe the next move could hinge heavily on Nvidia’s earnings report tomorrow 🖥️💵.
👉 If the report is positive, watch for a break and retest above the current range to position long 🚀.
👉 If the report is negative, we could see the broader stock market sell off 📉.
⚠️ This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice 📚🔒
S&P 500: Bullish! Buy It!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 25 - 29th:
S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P 500 ended the week with strong bullish momentum, closing above the previous 3 days. The structure is bullish on the HTFs, and there is not good reason to look for sells.
Buy the bullish price action.
No sells until there is a definitive bearish break of market structure!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
I’ve Played This Game Before | SPX500 Fakeout SetupHey, it’s Skeptic.
History doesn’t repeat, but it sure rhymes. SPX500 is showing the same fakeout V pattern again — support break, bounce, then long trigger. Stay sharp, the setup is here.
If it helped you see things clearer, give it a boost and drop your thoughts below.
Let’s keep learning
Until next time, peace out.
📌 Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
"US500 BREAKOUT – TIME TO LOAD LIMIT ORDERS FOR THE PUMP?"🔥🦹♂️ "SPX500 BANK HEIST – LAYERED BULL RAID IN PROGRESS!" 💰📈
(Thief Trader’s Multi-Limit Order Bullish Ambush – No Weak Hands Allowed)
📍 ASSET: US500 / SPX500 (S&P 500 INDEX)
🎯 HEIST PLAN: BULLISH BREAKOUT
💣 ENTRY: ANY PRICE LEVEL (Thieves use Layered Limit Orders – adapt like a pro!)
🔫 SAMPLE LAYERS: (Scale in like a boss!)
BUY LIMIT LAYER 1: 6475.00
BUY LIMIT LAYER 2: 6460.00
BUY LIMIT LAYER 3: 6440.00
(Add more layers if needed – flexibility is key!)
🛑 STOP LOSS: 6400.00 (Thief’s Emergency Exit – adjust based on your risk!)
🎯 TARGET: 6600.00 (First profit zone – trail or take gains!)
🦹♂️ THIEF TRADER’S MASTER PLAN:
"We don’t ask for permission – we take profits."
🔹 ENTRY TACTICS:
Use multiple limit orders (LAYERED STRATEGY) – like planting timed explosives at key levels.
No panic entries – thieves strike with precision, not emotion.
DCA if needed – but keep bullets for the real move.
🔹 STOP LOSS RULES:
6400 = Danger Zone – if price breaks, abort mission & regroup.
SL too tight? You’ll get stopped out by market noise. SL too wide? You’ll bleed. Find balance.
🔹 TAKE PROFIT STRATEGY:
First TP @ 6600 – secure partial profits.
Let runners ride with trailing stop – or full exit if momentum fades.
🚨 THIEF’S GOLDEN RULES:
✅ Only LONG – no revenge shorts, no greed traps.
✅ Trade in SILENCE – avoid high-impact news (CPI, NFP, Fed).
✅ Risk management = Survival – don’t blow your account on one play.
✅ BOOST & SHARE – if this plan helps, spread the word!
📢 FINAL WARNING:
"This is not financial advice – it’s a thief’s blueprint.
Plan your escape before entry. Market heists require discipline."
💬 COMMENT "ROBBING SPX" if you’re in!
🔥 LIKE & BOOST if you ride with the Thief Trader crew!
🦹♂️ THIEF TRADER OUT.
💸 STEAL SMART. GET RICH. REPEAT.
S&P500’s Bullish Island Turns Risky: Elliott Wave Says “Top”The S&P500 Index( SP:SPX ) started to rise and even created a new All-Time High(ATH=$6,428) with the help of the Bullish Long Island Pattern , as I published in my previous idea on May 14, 2025 .
The S&P500 Index is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , upper line of the ascending channel , the Important Resistance line , and the Yearly Resistance(1) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the S&P500 Index appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the S&P500 Index to correct at least -4% and fall to the lower line of the ascending channel .
First Target: $6,233
Second Target: $6,033
Note: Stop Loss(SL) $6,513
Do you think S&P500 Index can create a new ATH above $6,500 !?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), Daily time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
US500 Bearish Idea: Waiting for Structure Break ConfirmationWatching the SPX US500 right now 📈 — it’s rallied hard with strong momentum and is pushing into a key resistance level ⚠️. Since price is overextended, I’m expecting a pullback towards equilibrium on the current move 🔄. My bias is bearish from this level 🔻, with entry dependent on a break in structure on the 30-min timeframe ⏳.
All is explained in the video 🎥 (not financial advice).
New All-Time Highs for S&P 500 – No Resistance AheadThe S&P 500 is officially in price discovery mode, printing new all-time highs with clean higher highs and higher lows.
Each old resistance flipped into strong support—textbook bullish market structure.
As long as this trend holds, there's no ceiling in sight. Bulls are fully in control.
Rob the Rally SPX500: Enter Before Resistance Catches You🦹♂️💰**“SPX500 Street Heist” – Thief-Style Robbery Plan for Bulls!**📈💸
(Powered by Thief Trader's Market Robbing Tactics – Scalp | Swing | Day Trade Edition)
🌍Hello, Global Money Hunters!
📣 Salaam, Bonjour, Ola, Hola, Hallo, Marhaba & Welcome to the heist floor! 🎩💼
Thief Trader is back again with a loaded plan to rob the market clean — this time targeting the mighty SPX500 / US500 🎯. Based on a fusion of technical setups, macro sentiment, and the Thief Trading System, we’ve set our sights on the next breakout vault of Wall Street.
🎯 The Gameplan – Heist the Resistance Vault
The index is entering a high-risk resistance barricade — overbought, consolidated, and heavily guarded by bearish robbers (sellers). This is the zone where the market police lurk and trend reversals often get triggered. However, smart thieves always plan with precision.
Here’s the mission briefing:
🔓Entry Zone (Break-in Point)
💥 “The vault is open — grab the bullish loot!”
Enter Long anywhere close to market price or on pullbacks near recent swing lows/highs.
Preferred timeframes: 15-min to 30-min for sniper-level accuracy.
Deploy DCA-style limit orders (layered entries for maximum control).
🛑Stop Loss (Escape Hatch)
Base SL on recent swing low candle wicks on the 4H timeframe.
Suggested: ~6250.00 — but adapt based on your risk appetite, lot size, and position stacking.
📈Target / Loot Location
🎯 Primary Take-Profit: 6450.00
Or… pull out early if you spot resistance fighters guarding the vault.
Use trailing SL to secure gains and manage getaway.
⚡Scalper’s Notice
Only Long-side allowed!
Got big capital? Jump in now.
Running low? Tag along with swing traders and follow the robbery protocol.
Always protect your bag with dynamic trailing stops.
🧠Fundamental Fuel Behind the Plan
Bullish sentiment across major indices
Macro trends, COT positioning, sentiment outlook, and intermarket analysis all greenlit
Geopolitical and Fed tone supportive — tap into real data before entering
👉 Always analyze: News, Fundamentals, Sentiment, COT reports, and macro conditions.
🚨NEWS ZONE ALERT – No Loud Moves!
Avoid entry during major economic news drops
Use trailing SLs to guard profits
Don’t let your open trades get caught in the chaos of news releases!
💥Let’s Boost the Thief Army!
Smash the BOOST button 💖 to power up the robbery crew.
Support the strategy, share the love, and stay ahead of the game using Thief Trading Style. Every trade is a step closer to freedom from financial traps. 🚀💰🎉
📌Disclaimer: This is a general market analysis for educational purposes and should not be considered personal financial advice. Please evaluate your own risk management strategy before placing trades.
📌Markets shift fast — stay flexible, stay alert, and always rob smart.
🔥Stay locked in for the next heist plan — Thief Trader signing off for now…
💸💼📈 Trade smart. Rob harder. 🤑🦹♂️📊
S&P 500 Counter-Trend Setup After Bullish Week US500Currently watching the S&P 500 (US500) closely 👀. The index has been in a strong bullish trend 📈, but I’m now evaluating a potential counter-trend opportunity.
Given the strength we’ve seen this week — possibly a “foolish rally” — there’s a chance we’ve either printed or are close to printing the high of the week 🧱. That opens the door for a retracement setup, particularly as we head into Monday’s open 🗓️.
🧠 Trade idea: If we get a bearish market structure break, I’ll be looking to enter short — targeting a 1R take profit initially, and holding a portion for a 2R–3R extension 🎯.
Friday sessions, especially after strong trends, often present clean intraday pullbacks — and when Monday’s low is set early, it can trap late buyers and fuel the move 📉.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my thought process and trade plan.
Equity Markets Ahead of the US Inflation ReportEquity Markets Ahead of the US Inflation Report
Today at 15:30 GMT+3, the US inflation report (Consumer Price Index, or CPI) is scheduled for release. According to ForexFactory, analysts expect the inflation rate to rise from 2.4% to 2.6%.
The actual figures will provide market participants with grounds to debate not only the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut, but also the evolving tensions between Donald Trump and Jerome Powell.
Should the report deliver any surprises, it will almost certainly trigger heightened volatility across the equity markets. For now, however, investors are seemingly optimistic about the upcoming fundamental data — especially given the commencement of Q2 earnings season, which lends additional weight to today’s macroeconomic indicators.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
The S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows the index fluctuating within a range defined by support at 6,222 and resistance at 6,290.
The upward impulses (as indicated by arrows) suggest that:
→ current market optimism, combined with the CPI release, may lead to a bullish breakout above resistance and the establishment of a new all-time high;
→ in a broader context, such a breakout could be interpreted as a continuation of the rally that began in April, following a period of consolidation between the aforementioned levels.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Decade-Long Uptrend Holds Strong – SPX Hits Fresh HighsS&P 500 Just Hit a New All-Time High (ATH) 🚀
The index has been in a strong uptrend for over a decade, consistently printing higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
Every major resistance level has flipped into support, classic bull market structure.
Even during corrections, the 33 EMA and 100 EMA have acted like dynamic support zones.
Now that SPX has cleared its previous ATH, the structure remains intact, unless a strong breakdown occurs, momentum is still with the bulls.