Pre Market Movers and News - BABA SurgingDiscussing some of the news related events today.
What do traders need to watch today?
Looking at SPY, Oil, Baba, NVDA, BE, MU, LAC
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
ES (E-mini S&P 500) — Plan for Wed Sep 24Fundamentals (tomorrow, ET)
04:00 Germany IFO Business Climate (often moves European risk tone during London).
10:00 U.S. New Home Sales (Aug) — official Census schedule lists New Residential Sales at 10:00 a.m..
10:30 EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report (standard time each Wed).
13:00 U.S. 5-Year Note auction (can nudge yields/indices).
Context: Yesterday’s U.S. flash PMIs showed slower but still-expanding activity (Composite 53.6 vs 54.6 Aug).
Bias(HTF→LTF)
HTF: Uptrend but near prior highs; Tuesday printed a lower-timeframe selloff into ~6,701–6,705 (confluence with D1 1.272 ≈ 6,705).
Base case into London: Two-way trade inside 6,701–6,744–6,756 triad while Europe digests IFO.
Two paths for NY:
Acceptance ↑ above 6,756.5 → squeeze the weak-highs toward 6,765–6,770, then 6,798–6,800 (D1 1.618).
Acceptance ↓ below 6,701–6,705 → trend rotation toward 6,690s → 6,680s (next liquidity shelves).
London session game plan
If Europe pushes up early: Watch 6,744. Failure there → rotate back to 6,711–6,718; clean reclaim → sets NY for a 6,756 test.
If Europe bleeds down: Look for sweep & hold behavior at 6,701–6,705; loss of that area on 15m body-through tends to trend extend into the 6,69x/6,68x shelves before NY AM.
NY AM (09:30–11:00 ET) and NY PM (13:30–16:00 ET) → full size, run the exact confirmations and targets I gave.
A++ Acceptance LONG — above 6,756.5
Confirmations (15/5/1):
• 15m full-body close above 6,756.5 (acceptance).
• 5m pullback holds ≥ 6,754–6,756 and re-closes up.
• 1m HL entry on first clean re-trigger.
Entry: 6,756–6,758 on the retest (or continuation >6,760 after 5m re-close).
Hard SL: below the 15m trigger wick or < 6,744 by 0.25–0.50 pt (whichever is lower).
Targets: TP1 6,765–6,770, TP2 6,798–6,800, TP3 6,901.
Management: No partials before TP1; at TP1 close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; no trail before TP2. Time-stop 45–60m if neither TP1 nor SL hits. Max 2 attempts at this level.
Invalidation: 15m close back inside < 6,756 after entry that fails the 5m hold → cancel and reassess.
=============
A++ Acceptance SHORT — below 6,701–6,705
Confirmations (15/5/1):
• 15m full-body close below 6,701 (body-through the band).
• 5m LH + re-close down on the retest of 6,701–6,705.
• 1m LH entry on first pullback failure.
Entry: 6,699–6,703 on the retest.
Hard SL: above the 15m trigger wick or > 6,705 by 0.25–0.50 pt (whichever is higher).
Targets: TP1 6,690–6,692, TP2 6,680–6,685, TP3 trail if trend accelerates.
Management: Same rules as Setup #1 (TP1 70% + runner to BE; 45–60m time-stop; max 2 attempts).
Invalidation: Reclaim on 15m back above 6,705 that holds → cancel the short.
⸻
Risk & timing notes
• 10:00 New Home Sales and 10:30 EIA can cause abrupt spikes; favor entries after the first post-data 5m bar closes unless already in with cushion.
• 13:00 5-Year auction can alter yield curve into the NY PM window; manage runners.
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 24, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 24, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
📉 Month-end positioning: Flows light as traders prep for Thursday’s 🚩 GDP + Jobless Claims.
💻 Mega-cap drift: Tech leadership remains central with $AAPL/ NASDAQ:NVDA volatility post-Powell.
💵 Rates + housing: Home affordability narrative continues to weigh on broader risk tone.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — New Home Sales (Aug)
⏰ 4:10 PM — San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speech
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #housing #Powell #economy #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
FOMC 100% Breakout (Check) - Key Resistance and 6500 Gamma PinFOMC was in fact a NOISE candle
So I measured the candle, projected a 100% breakout bullish and bearish
Bulls took the bait and ran higher, but still resistance @ 6700 seen today and hopefully
a short-term window to see a bit of a slide lower into some technical levels
EMA support levels
-watching the 21 period daily EMA
-watching the 50 period daily EMA
6550 FOMC candle lows from last week
6500 Gamma Pin with JP Morgan's quarterly collar trade
This is the first day in several weeks where I've seen some actual follow through
in negative gamma option flows
If futures grinds prices lower, the cascade may take hold and we can see a 100-200 point
selloff quickly in the S&P
I still like scooping up premium and buying the dips, but hopefully at more attractive levels
like 4-5% lower or even 8-10% lower
Let's see how it plays out. I'll be in the markets grinding per usual.
Thanks for watching!!!
VISA BACK TO 370 BY 2026 Why Visa (V) Could Hit $370 by 2026: Payments Powerhouse Bull Case Visa’s trading at ~$344 today (Sep 23, 2025), up 15% YTD on digital payments surge, but with EPS climbing 12%+ and global transaction volumes booming, $370 (8% upside) by EOY 2026 is a low-bar target for this steady climber. Here’s the roadmap:Revenue & Payments Growth: Q3 '25 cross-border volume +16% YoY, driving $39B TTM revenue (11% growth). Analysts project 9.4% YoY to $43B+ in FY26 on e-comm (25% of sales) and emerging markets expansion, per Simply Wall St—fueling $370 at 25x forward sales.
2 sources
EPS Acceleration: Consensus EPS hits $10.50 in FY26 (up 12% from $9.37 '25), trading at 28x forward P/E—below historical 32x avg. At norm multiple, that's $336 base; add 11.2% earnings growth for $370 pop, aligning with LiteFinance's $370–$380 range.
2 sources
Innovation Tailwinds: Visa Direct + fintech ties (e.g., Ample Earth climate collab) boost B2B volumes 20%+, hedging crypto/reg risks. Tokenization and AI fraud tech scale margins to 67%+, per management.
Analyst Consensus Backs It: 27–51 firms avg $380–$396 PT (Strong Buy, high $430), with StockScan eyeing $351 avg '26 (high $390). Lows at $305, but bulls dominate on 10%+ CAGR.
TSSI BACK TO 28 BY 2026 Why TSS, Inc. (TSSI) Could Rocket Back to $28 by 2026: AI-Driven Bull Case TSSI’s trading at $18.38 today (Sep 23, 2025, per the finance card above), down from its $31.94 year-high, but with explosive AI infrastructure demand and a Dell partnership, $28 (52% upside) by EOY 2026 is in sight. Here’s the catalyst-fueled case:AI Boom & Dell Contract: Q2 '25 revenue soared 520% YoY to $62.8M, driven by a multi-year Dell deal for AI server racks. Procurement segment (80%+ revenue) eyes $200M+ in '26, with Georgetown facility scaling output. Analysts project 50% YoY growth to $220M+, pushing EPS to $0.15–$0.20.
Analyst Upgrades & Targets: Roth MKM and Singular rate "Buy" (Sep '25), with consensus PT $16.50–$22 (20–60% upside). Walletinvestor forecasts $20.40 by Jun '26, but Reddit bulls and Intellectia eye $30–$81 on 2x sales valuation, hitting $28 easily.
Technical Breakout: The finance card above shows TSSI above its 200-day MA ($13–$14 range), with RSI (35.28) neutral, poised for a momentum flip. Weekly MACD signals bullish crossover, and $18 support holds firm. Break above $20 resistance targets $28, per TradingView’s setup.
Market Tailwinds: $1T AI/data center market by 2030 fuels TSSI’s niche in systems integration. $20M debt financing (Jul '25) funds capacity, with NASDAQ uplisting boosting liquidity. Volatility (13.35%, beta 4.28) risks dips, but $150M shelf offering signals growth bets.
UPS BACK TO 120 BY 2026 See new posts
WRITE A SMALL POST ABOUT TRADING MAG 7 STOCKS ON NYSE
Trading the "Magnificent 7" stocks—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Tesla—on the NYSE offers high potential but comes with unique challenges. These tech giants drive market trends, boasting massive market caps and innovation-driven growth. Their volatility, fueled by earnings reports, product launches, and macroeconomic shifts, creates opportunities for traders. Focus on technical analysis (RSI, moving averages) and stay updated on news like regulatory changes or AI advancements impacting their sectors. Diversify within the group to hedge risks, and use stop-loss orders to manage volatility. Trade smart, stay informed! #Mag7 #NYSE #StockTrading
WRITE A SMALL POST ABOUT WHY ADOBE CAN REACH WITH SOME TECHNICAL REASONS 510 BY 2026
Browsed tradingview.com
Show All (4)
Why Adobe (ADBE) Could Hit $510 by 2026: Technical Breakdown Adobe's trading at ~$365 today, but bullish setups scream upside. Here's why $510 (40% gain) is in play:Bullish Triangle Breakout: ADBE's consolidated in a multi-year ascending triangle since 2020. A recent close above $370 resistance (near 50-day MA ~$383) signals breakout, targeting $510 (measured move from base at $330 low).
RSI Rebound: At 42 (neutral, not oversold), RSI is coiling for momentum shift. Weekly RSI >50 could trigger buy signals, aligning with AI-driven catalysts like Firefly integrations.
MACD Crossover Potential: MACD histogram narrowing (-5.26) hints at bullish crossover by Q4 2025. Paired with 200-day MA (~$420) as next support, this flips sentiment to "Strong Buy" per TradingView.
Analyst Backing: Consensus targets $465–$496 short-term, but long-term forecasts (e.g., LongForecast) eye $577 EOY 2026 on 11% revenue growth to $23B+.
Volatility ahead, but AI tailwinds make this a no-brainer long. What's your PT? #ADBE #StockTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
WITE SOME GOOD REASONS WHY TESLA CAN REACH 450 THEN 500 BY EOY OR 2026
Searched for "reasons Tesla stock to reach $450 $500 by end of 2026"
10 results
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Why Tesla (TSLA) Could Hit $450 Then $500 by EOY 2025 or 2026: Key Catalysts Tesla's hovering around $315 today (as of Sept 23, 2025), down ~20% YTD amid sales dips, but the setup for a rebound to $450 (43% upside) and $500 (59% upside) is primed by execution on autonomy, EVs, and energy. Here's the bull case, blending fundamentals and forecasts:Robotaxi & FSD Rollout Momentum: Tesla's Cybercab unveil in Oct 2025 could catalyze a surge, with unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) v13 hitting highways by year-end. ARK Invest's base case eyes $4,600 by 2026 (driven 60%+ by autonomy), but even conservative models like CoinCodex forecast $453 avg in 2026, with highs to $664 on ride-hailing revenue potentially adding $10T market value.
2 sources
Piper Sandler just hiked their PT, calling TSLA the "top idea" for AV investing.
EV Delivery Rebound & Affordable Models: Post-2025 sales weakness (1.8M deliveries est.), expect 2.3M+ in 2026 with Model 2 launch (~$25K EV) ramping production to 3M+ annually. This counters China/EU headwinds, recaptures 20%+ US market share, and boosts EPS to $0.49 next quarter—fueling a $450 breakout per LongForecast's Q3 2026 path.
2 sources
Morningstar sees a 2026 revival echoing 2016's Model 3 surge.
Energy Storage Boom: Megapack deployments exploding (Q2 2025: 9.4 GWh), with 50%+ YoY growth projected through 2026, diversifying revenue to 15%+ of total. This hedges EV volatility, pushing margins to 20%+ and supporting $500 on 11% revenue growth to $130B.
Optimus Humanoid Robot Sales: External sales kick off late 2025/early 2026, targeting $20K/unit with factory pilots scaling to millions. This could add $1T+ valuation long-term, per ARK, but even modest adoption lifts sentiment to $500 by EOY 2026.
2 sources
Analyst consensus (51 firms) averages $391 short-term, but bulls like Fubon ($1,000) and CoinPriceForecast ($526 EOY 2026) back the push.
2 sources
Risks like Musk drama or tariffs loom, but flawless execution flips this to moonshot territory. Long TSLA? #TSLA #EVRevolution #StockForecast
10 web pages
WRITE A OST ABOUT RDW STOCK REACHING 13 DOLLARS BY 2026
Searched for "RDW stock OR Redwire forecast OR price target since:2025-01-01"
9 results
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Why Redwire (RDW) Could Blast to $13 by 2026: Bull Case RDW's trading at ~$9 today (Sep 23, 2025), down post-Q2 earnings miss, but with space infrastructure booming, $13 (44% upside) is conservative amid analyst love and catalysts. Here's the setup:Analyst Consensus Screams Upside: 8 firms rate "Buy" with avg PT $16.56–$18.64 (83–107% gain short-term), max $28—easily clearing $13 by EOY 2026 on execution. Even bears like BofA's $10 see room for rebound; H.C. Wainwright holds $22 Buy post-acquisition.
4 sources
Zacks ABR 1.00 (Strong Buy) backs $26 avg.
NASA & Defense Contract Pipeline: $25M NASA IDIQ award (Aug '25) for space tech, plus prime for Skimsat and Honeywell quantum collab—fuels 20%+ YoY revenue to $550M+ in 2026. Artemis funding stability hedges risks, per Roth MKM Buy.
Edge Autonomy UAS integration adds drone revenue, targeting $100M backlog growth.
Acquisition Synergies & Margin Expansion: Q2's Transformative Acquisition (e.g., Hammerhead integration) boosts EPS from -$1.41 to break-even by Q4 '25, with 132M Q3 revenue est. up 15%. Analysts eye 25% margins by 2026 on in-space manufacturing scale.
2 sources
Space Economy Tailwinds: $1T market by 2040; RDW's solar arrays, 3D printing IP position it for 30% sector growth. CoinCodex forecasts $8.41 avg '26 low-end, but bulls like Canaccord ($17.50) see $13 as floor on 11% EPS ramp.
2 sources
Volatility from govt reliance, but flawless delivery flips this to orbit. Long RDW? #RDW #SpaceStocks #StockForecast
7 web pages
WRITE A SMALL POST ABOUT AMD REACHING 200 THEN 240 LONG TERM BY 2026
Searched for "AMD analyst price targets 2025 2026"
10 results
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Why AMD (AMD) Could Surge to $200 Then $240 Long-Term by 2026: AI-Powered Bull Case AMD's trading at ~$160 today (Sep 23, 2025), up 30% YTD on AI tailwinds, but with EPS exploding to $6+ in 2026, $200 (25% upside) then $240 (50% gain) is locked in for patient bulls. Here's the roadmap:AI Datacenter Dominance: MI355X GPUs ramping Q4 '25, capturing 20%+ market share from Nvidia via cost-efficient accelerators (40% better tokens/$). Oracle's Zettascale cluster + Meta/Microsoft deals project $40B+ revenue in '26 (21% YoY), per analysts—fueling $200 breakout as datacenter hits 50% of sales.
2 sources
EPS Acceleration & Valuation Pop: Consensus EPS jumps 54% to $6.01 in 2026 (from $3.90 '25), trading at 27x forward P/E—undervalued vs. peers at 0.49 PEG. At 33x (Nasdaq-100 avg), that's $199 EOY '26; bulls like Truist eye $213 short-term, scaling to $242 on 35% growth.
3 sources
Gaming/Quantum Rebound: Ryzen AI CPUs + IBM quantum collab revive gaming (15% YoY) and edge AI, adding $10B+ revenue. MI400 launch '26 cements leadership, per CoinPriceForecast's $242 avg.
2 sources
Analyst Consensus Backs It: 34 firms avg $188 PT (high $230), with LongForecast hitting $296 mid-'26 on momentum. Export risks loom, but flawless execution = moon.
2 sources
Long AMD for the AI decade? #AMD #AIStocks #StockForecast
6 web pages
DO THE SAME WITH CHIPOTLE 50 DOLLARS
Why Chipotle (CMG) Could Climb to $50 by 2026: Tasty Bull Case Chipotle’s trading at ~$43 today (Sep 23, 2025), down slightly YTD, but with strong fundamentals and operational wins, $50 (16% upside) by EOY 2026 is achievable long-term. Here’s the recipe:Revenue & Same-Store Growth: Q2 '25 comps +11.1% and $3.8B revenue (15% YoY) signal robust demand. Analysts project 13% YoY growth to $12.5B in '26, driven by 300+ new stores and digital orders (30%+ of sales). This supports $1.75 EPS, pushing P/E to 28x for a $50 target.
Operational Efficiency: Chipotlanes (drive-thru) now in 60% of new locations, boosting margins to 28%+. Automation in prep (e.g., Autocado) cuts costs 5%, per management, fueling EPS growth to $2.10 by '26, aligning with $50 at 24x forward P/E.
Analyst Optimism: 27 firms avg $50.24 PT (high $62), with BMO Capital’s $56 Buy rating citing loyalty program strength (35M+ members). CoinPriceForecast sees $53 mid-'26, clearing $50 on 10% comps.
Consumer Resilience: Despite inflation, CMG’s premium positioning (health-focused, customizable menu) retains Gen Z/Millennial traffic, hedging macro risks. LongForecast eyes $54 by Q3 '26.
Price wars or labor costs could bite, but Chipotle’s growth engine is sizzling. Long CMG? #Chipotle #StockForecast #FastCasual
WRITE A POST ABOUT LUNAR STOCK INUTIVE MACHINES BACK TO 20 DOLLARS BY 2026
Searched for "LUNR stock forecast 2026 revenue growth"
10 results
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Why Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Could Rocket Back to $20 by 2026: Lunar Bull Case LUNR's trading at ~$9.71 today (Sep 23, 2025), down from its $24.95 peak amid mission hiccups, but with NASA contracts stacking and revenue exploding, $20 (106% upside) is in orbit by EOY 2026. Here's the launch sequence:NASA Contract Avalanche: Fresh $2.5M NextSTEP award (Jan '25) for lunar logistics, plus $4.82B Near Space Network (NSN) for comms/nav through 2029 (extendable to 2034). IM-3 mission in '26 delivers South Pole payloads ($116.9M CLPS), scaling DTE services to $200M+ annually.
5 sources
LTV award mid-'25 adds mobility revenue, hedging risks.
Revenue Hypergrowth: From $217M in '25 to $700M+ in '26 (222% YoY) on dual missions, relay sats, and NSN backlog. EPS flips to $0.03 avg (from -$0.22), trading at 20x forward P/E—undervalued vs. space peers at 30x.
2 sources
Analyst Moonshot Targets: Consensus $15.44 short-term (6 firms, Moderate Buy), but bulls like Canaccord ($26, up from $17.50) and Intellectia ($24.94 Dec '26) eye $20+ on Artemis tailwinds. Highs to $31.88 clear it easy.
5 sources
Artemis & Market Boom: $1T space economy by 2040; LUNR's Nova-C landers + Khon sats position it for 20-30% YoY growth, per Reddit bulls modeling $500M+ revenue at 20x P/S = $100 PT (conservative slice: $20).
Mission delays or funding cuts loom, but flawless IM-3 execution = liftoff. Long LUNR to the Moon? #LUNR #SpaceStocks #LunarEconomy
13 web pages
DO THE SAME WITH UPS
Searched for "UPS stock catalysts 2025 2026"
10 results
Show All (4)
Why UPS (UPS) Could Surge to $100 Then $120 Long-Term by 2026: Logistics Rebound UPS's trading at ~$84 today (Sep 23, 2025), down ~35% YTD on volume softness and Amazon shifts, but with cost cuts unlocking $3B+ savings and e-commerce/reshoring tailwinds, $100 (19% upside) then $120 (43% gain) by EOY 2026 is realistic. Here's the bull thesis:Efficiency Overhaul & Amazon Pivot: Cutting Amazon volumes >50% by mid-2026 frees capacity for higher-margin SMB/premium parcels, boosting domestic margins to 12%+. Network of the Future automation (164 closures, 20K job cuts) delivers $3.5B annual savings by '26, per management—driving $100 on EPS ramp to $7.38 (13% YoY).
3 sources
Revenue & Margin Expansion: Guidance eyes $108-114B revenue in '26 (above $102B est.), with 1% YoY growth accelerating to 4% in '27 on healthcare logistics (Andlauer acquisition) and nearshoring demand in LatAm/Europe. Operating margins hit 13%+, undervalued at 14x forward P/E vs. 5-yr avg 16.5x—pushing to $120 per Goldman Sachs catalysts.
4 sources
EPS Acceleration: Consensus $7.38 EPS in '26 (up 13% from $6.51 '25), with highs to $8.00 on freight recovery and digital investments. At 16x (historical norm), that's $118+; CoinPriceForecast aligns at $114 EOY '26.
2 sources
Analyst Consensus Fuels It: 29 firms avg $104 PT (24% upside, high $145), with "Buy" ratings from Goldman/Raymond James citing mid-'26 profitability inflection. Zacks sees 26% to $112
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) BACK TO 20 DOLLARS Why Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Could Rocket Back to $20 by 2026: Lunar Bull Case LUNR's trading at ~$9.71 today (Sep 23, 2025), down from its $24.95 peak amid mission hiccups, but with NASA contracts stacking and revenue exploding, $20 (106% upside) is in orbit by EOY 2026. Here's the launch sequence:NASA Contract Avalanche: Fresh $2.5M NextSTEP award (Jan '25) for lunar logistics, plus $4.82B Near Space Network (NSN) for comms/nav through 2029 (extendable to 2034). IM-3 mission in '26 delivers South Pole payloads ($116.9M CLPS), scaling DTE services to $200M+ annually.
5 sources
LTV award mid-'25 adds mobility revenue, hedging risks.
Revenue Hypergrowth: From $217M in '25 to $700M+ in '26 (222% YoY) on dual missions, relay sats, and NSN backlog. EPS flips to $0.03 avg (from -$0.22), trading at 20x forward P/E—undervalued vs. space peers at 30x.
2 sources
Analyst Moonshot Targets: Consensus $15.44 short-term (6 firms, Moderate Buy), but bulls like Canaccord ($26, up from $17.50) and Intellectia ($24.94 Dec '26) eye $20+ on Artemis tailwinds. Highs to $31.88 clear it easy.
5 sources
Artemis & Market Boom: $1T space economy by 2040; LUNR's Nova-C landers + Khon sats position it for 20-30% YoY growth, per Reddit bulls modeling $500M+ revenue at 20x P/S = $100 PT (conservative slice: $20).
$FLY Basing Opportunity?Overview
A recent initial public offering (IPO), NASDAQ:FLY , may be of interest for those looking to update their watchlist. The company operates in the Space and Defense sector, which adds to its appeal.
Technical Analysis
The 30-minute chart for NASDAQ:FLY appears to show a shorter-term basing pattern. This technical setup suggests the potential for future upward movement, making the stock worth monitoring closely.
Investment Position
I currently hold a long position in $FLY. My stop-loss is set just below the lowest low, allowing for risk management while remaining positioned for possible gains.
AMD 200 THEN 240 BY 2026 Why AMD (AMD) Could Surge to $200 Then $240 Long-Term by 2026: AI-Powered Bull Case AMD's trading at ~$160 today (Sep 23, 2025), up 30% YTD on AI tailwinds, but with EPS exploding to $6+ in 2026, $200 (25% upside) then $240 (50% gain) is locked in for patient bulls. Here's the roadmap:AI Datacenter Dominance: MI355X GPUs ramping Q4 '25, capturing 20%+ market share from Nvidia via cost-efficient accelerators (40% better tokens/$). Oracle's Zettascale cluster + Meta/Microsoft deals project $40B+ revenue in '26 (21% YoY), per analysts—fueling $200 breakout as datacenter hits 50% of sales.
2 sources
EPS Acceleration & Valuation Pop: Consensus EPS jumps 54% to $6.01 in 2026 (from $3.90 '25), trading at 27x forward P/E—undervalued vs. peers at 0.49 PEG. At 33x (Nasdaq-100 avg), that's $199 EOY '26; bulls like Truist eye $213 short-term, scaling to $242 on 35% growth.
3 sources
Gaming/Quantum Rebound: Ryzen AI CPUs + IBM quantum collab revive gaming (15% YoY) and edge AI, adding $10B+ revenue. MI400 launch '26 cements leadership, per CoinPriceForecast's $242 avg.
TESLA 500 BY EOY OR 2026 Why Tesla (TSLA) Could Hit $450 Then $500 by EOY 2025 or 2026: Key Catalysts Tesla's hovering around $315 today (as of Sept 23, 2025), down ~20% YTD amid sales dips, but the setup for a rebound to $450 (43% upside) and $500 (59% upside) is primed by execution on autonomy, EVs, and energy. Here's the bull case, blending fundamentals and forecasts:Robotaxi & FSD Rollout Momentum: Tesla's Cybercab unveil in Oct 2025 could catalyze a surge, with unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) v13 hitting highways by year-end. ARK Invest's base case eyes $4,600 by 2026 (driven 60%+ by autonomy), but even conservative models like CoinCodex forecast $453 avg in 2026, with highs to $664 on ride-hailing revenue potentially adding $10T market value.
2 sources
Piper Sandler just hiked their PT, calling TSLA the "top idea" for AV investing.
EV Delivery Rebound & Affordable Models: Post-2025 sales weakness (1.8M deliveries est.), expect 2.3M+ in 2026 with Model 2 launch (~$25K EV) ramping production to 3M+ annually. This counters China/EU headwinds, recaptures 20%+ US market share, and boosts EPS to $0.49 next quarter—fueling a $450 breakout per LongForecast's Q3 2026 path.
2 sources
Morningstar sees a 2026 revival echoing 2016's Model 3 surge.
Energy Storage Boom: Megapack deployments exploding (Q2 2025: 9.4 GWh), with 50%+ YoY growth projected through 2026, diversifying revenue to 15%+ of total. This hedges EV volatility, pushing margins to 20%+ and supporting $500 on 11% revenue growth to $130B.
Optimus Humanoid Robot Sales: External sales kick off late 2025/early 2026, targeting $20K/unit with factory pilots scaling to millions. This could add $1T+ valuation long-term, per ARK, but even modest adoption lifts sentiment to $500 by EOY 2026.
2 sources
Bulls and Bears zone for 09-23-2025Last two trading sessions Bulls were very active. Hopefully, Bulls will continue the trend and make 3 sessions in a row.
Level to watch : 6752 --- 6750
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 23, 2025 🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 23, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
📉 Post-Fed digestion: Equities and bonds still recalibrating after last week’s SEP + Powell tone.
💻 Mega-cap watch: Tech + AI flows continue to drive AMEX:XLK sentiment.
🌐 Central bank chatter: A busy Fed speaker slate gives extra volatility into month-end.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 9:00 AM — Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman speech
⏰ 🚩 9:45 AM — S&P Global Flash PMIs (Sep) — Services & Manufacturing
⏰ 10:00 AM — Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speech
⏰ 🚩 12:35 PM — Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Powell #Fed #PMI #economy #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
Weekly Analysis of the S&P 500 (ES) - Sep 22 - 26 - Fundamental Bias
So, here's the deal: we're still on an upward trend, but price is pushing against a "ceiling cluster" just above us. Expect a slow climb for now until something changes.
As long as we stay above 6,700–6,705, dip buyers will probably step in and try to push things back up to the 6,73x/6,75x range.
When we hit 6,745–6,760, we might see some stalls or rejections because there’s not much support there. If we can get above 6,760 and hold it for 15 minutes, we could squeeze up to around 6,798.
On the flip side, if we drop below 6,700–6,705 and stay there for 15 minutes, the vibe could switch to a downward trend, with potential targets around 6,693 and then about 6,660.
In short: I'm feeling slightly bullish as long as we’re above 6,700. Watch for some action around 6,745–6,760, and consider going long only if we cleanly break above 6,760.
Quick game plan for tomorrow (NY kill-zones 9:30–11:00 & 13:30–16:00 ET)
Open > 6,710 and < 6,731: Buy dips into 6,720/6,710 aiming back to 6,731 → 6,745.
Gap/push into 6,745–6,760 early: Look for a 15m rejection to fade back toward 6,731/6,720. Accept > 6,760? Switch long and target 6,798.
Break and hold < 6,700–6,705: Stand down on longs; hunt bounces to sell toward 6,693 → 6,660.
Use Key Levels as a map.
Week-ahead fundamentals (ET) — what can move ES
Mon 9/22 — CFNAI (Chicago Fed) 8:30a. Tracks broad U.S. activity; August print due.
Tue 9/23 — S&P Global “flash” PMIs (Mfg/Services) 9:45a indicative timing; S&P’s week-ahead notes flash PMI on the 23rd.
Wed 9/24 — New Home Sales (Aug) 10:00a. Census’ July release notes the Aug report is scheduled Sep 24.
Thu 9/25 — Q2 GDP (third) 8:30a (BEA), Durable Goods (Aug) 8:30a (Census), Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30a (DOL).
Fri 9/26 — PCE & Core PCE (Aug) 8:30a (BEA) and U. Michigan sentiment (final Sep) 10:00a.
Fed speakers (mid-day risk): Mon 12:00p Gov. Miran; Tue 12:35p Powell; Thu 9:00a/1:00p Bowman/Barr; Fri 10:00a Bowman.
Treasury supply: 13- & 26-wk bill auctions Mon 9/22; 6-wk bill Tue 9/23; 2-yr FRN reopen Wed 9/24 (tentative schedule).
Earnings to note (Thu): Costco Q4 FY25 call Thu 9/25 2:00 pm PT; broader week list light otherwise.
Weekly Analysis of the S&P 500 (ES) - Sep 22 - 26 - UpdatedThe analysis for the upcoming week contained an error in the drawing. I have updated it, so this version is correct.
Bias
So, here's the deal: we're still on an upward trend, but price is pushing against a "ceiling cluster" just above us. Expect a slow climb for now until something changes.
As long as we stay above 6,700–6,705, dip buyers will probably step in and try to push things back up to the 6,73x/6,75x range.
When we hit 6,745–6,760, we might see some stalls or rejections because there’s not much support there. If we can get above 6,760 and hold it for 15 minutes, we could squeeze up to around 6,798.
On the flip side, if we drop below 6,700–6,705 and stay there for 15 minutes, the vibe could switch to a downward trend, with potential targets around 6,693 and then about 6,660.
In short: I'm feeling slightly bullish as long as we’re above 6,700. Watch for some action around 6,745–6,760, and consider going long only if we cleanly break above 6,760.
Quick game plan for tomorrow (NY kill-zones 9:30–11:00 & 13:30–16:00 ET)
Open > 6,710 and < 6,731: Buy dips into 6,720/6,710 aiming back to 6,731 → 6,745.
Gap/push into 6,745–6,760 early: Look for a 15m rejection to fade back toward 6,731/6,720. Accept > 6,760? Switch long and target 6,798.
Break and hold < 6,700–6,705: Stand down on longs; hunt bounces to sell toward 6,693 → 6,660.
Use Key Levels as a map.
Week-ahead fundamentals (ET) — what can move ES
Mon 9/22 — CFNAI (Chicago Fed) 8:30a. Tracks broad U.S. activity; August print due.
Tue 9/23 — S&P Global “flash” PMIs (Mfg/Services) 9:45a indicative timing; S&P’s week-ahead notes flash PMI on the 23rd.
Wed 9/24 — New Home Sales (Aug) 10:00a. Census’ July release notes the Aug report is scheduled Sep 24.
Thu 9/25 — Q2 GDP (third) 8:30a (BEA), Durable Goods (Aug) 8:30a (Census), Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30a (DOL).
Fri 9/26 — PCE & Core PCE (Aug) 8:30a (BEA) and U. Michigan sentiment (final Sep) 10:00a.
Fed speakers (mid-day risk): Mon 12:00p Gov. Miran; Tue 12:35p Powell; Thu 9:00a/1:00p Bowman/Barr; Fri 10:00a Bowman.
Treasury supply: 13- & 26-wk bill auctions Mon 9/22; 6-wk bill Tue 9/23; 2-yr FRN reopen Wed 9/24 (tentative schedule).
Earnings to note (Thu): Costco Q4 FY25 call Thu 9/25 2:00 pm PT; broader week list light otherwise.
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 22 → Sept 26, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 22 → Sept 26, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
📉 Post-Fed positioning: Traders continue to recalibrate after last week’s cut + SEP; rates & USD tone drive risk.
💻 Mega-cap watch: NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:NVDA guidance/AI chatter keeps AMEX:XLK leadership in focus.
🛢️ Energy & FX: Oil swings and a firm dollar remain cross-asset headwinds.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
Tue 9/23
⏰ 9:45 AM — S&P Global Flash PMIs (Sep) (Mfg & Services).
Wed 9/24
⏰ 10:00 AM — New Home Sales (Aug).
Thu 9/25
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly).
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — GDP (Q2, Third Estimate).
⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Aug).
⏰ 10:00 AM — Existing Home Sales (Aug).
Fri 9/26
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Personal Income & Outlays (Aug) incl. PCE/Core PCE.
⏰ 10:00 AM — UMich Consumer Sentiment (Final, Sep).
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #PCE #GDP #PMI #joblessclaims #housing #consumer #Fed #Dollar #oil #megacaps
S&P 500 (ES1!): Bullish! Buy The Dip! Keep It Simple!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 22 - 26th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P500 is still bullish, and there is no reason to short it.
Wait for price to pullback to a +FVG, and then look for valid buy setups on your entry TFs.
Don't jump into sells! They are against the trend and lower probability!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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SPY still bullish but this is the last moveGiven the High in Feb25 at 619.22 ; the Low in Apr25 at 481.8, we have the following Fibon* extension targets
Target 0.382 = 681.51 Fair
Target 0.618 = 723.09 Expensive
Target 0.764 = 750.07 Overextended
In case SPY reaches 750.07 and declines afterwoods the correction can reach :
Target 0.618 = 570.55 Oversold
Target 0.382 = 633.38 Fair
In case SPY reaches 723.09 and declines afterwoods the correction can reach :
Target 0.618 = 562.63 Oversold
Target 0.382 = 619.20 Fair
SPY is likely to reach 681.51 in this Wave which we label Elliott Wave 5
Given the fair targets of the upcoming corrections at 633.38 or 619.20 it makes little sense to buy, unless one seeks to catch the latest upward move
It is not possible to predict how long this wave with last and how much time it will take to reverse
*calculated with the natural logarithms of datas
SPY: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
SPY
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SPY
Entry Point - 663.63
Stop Loss - 664.95
Take Profit - 661.51
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
SPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 663.70
Target Level: 646.15
Stop Loss: 675.36
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Huge Dark Pools and Prints... Will this time be Different?Stock Market Forecast | Mag 7 TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN
QQQ CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! SP:SPX NASDAQ:NDX stock market Forecast
SPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 663.63
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 661.35
Recommended Stop Loss - 664.75
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US500 (S&P500) Projection📊 US500 (S&P500) Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉
Asset Class: US500 CFD (SPX, SPY, S&P500)
Current Closing Price: 6,661.8 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Market Overview
The S&P500 remains highly volatile as it consolidates near all-time highs. Both bullish continuation and reversal traps are emerging.
We integrate Elliott Wave 🌊, Ichimoku ☁️, Gann 🔺, and VWAP 📏 tools to frame trade setups.
⚡ Intraday Technical Levels
Immediate Support: 6,635 – 6,610 🟢
Key Resistance: 6,690 – 6,725 🔴
VWAP Zones: Anchored support at 6,628 📏
RSI: Neutral (52) → room to swing both sides 📈📉
🎯 Intraday Trade Ideas
Buy (Scalp): 6,620 – 6,635 🛒
Target: 6,670 → 6,690 🚀
Stop Loss: Below 6,600 ❌
Sell (Scalp): 6,690 – 6,710 🛑
Target: 6,645 → 6,625 📉
Stop Loss: Above 6,730 ❌
⏳ Swing Trading Outlook
Swing Support: 6,580 – 6,520 📉
Major Resistance: 6,750 – 6,820 🚀
Ichimoku Cloud: Bullish bias (daily/weekly) ☁️
Wave Count: Elliott suggests Wave 4 consolidation before Wave 5 breakout 🌊
🎯 Swing Trade Ideas
Buy (Swing): 6,580 – 6,600 🛒
Target: 6,720 → 6,800 🚀
Stop Loss: 6,520 ❌
Sell (Swing): 6,750 – 6,820 🛑
Target: 6,640 → 6,600 📉
Stop Loss: 6,860 ❌
📐 Pattern Watchlist
⚠️ Potential Bull Trap: Above 6,725 – rejection zone
⚠️ Head & Shoulders risk: Breakdown below 6,580
📏 Gann Levels: Time cycle indicates critical reversal window next week
☁️ Ichimoku Twist: Signals momentum shift by month-end
📌 Strategy Recap
🎯 Intraday Bias: Range trade → watch VWAP flips 📊
📈 Swing Bias: Bullish above 6,600, bearish below 6,580 🔑
⏳ Patience Key: Avoid chasing breakouts without volume confirmation 📉📊
🧭 Conclusion
The US500 (S&P500) is at a make-or-break zone.
✅ Buy dips near 6,600
❌ Sell rallies into 6,750 – 6,820
🔮 Expect volatility as macro events drive direction
📊 Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and adapt quickly 🚀📉
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX/US30
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
