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GBPCHF on the Edge: Why a Major Breakdown Could Be Next1. Retail Sentiment 90% of retail traders are long, only 10% are short. Long volume is heavily skewed (536 lots vs 58 short). ➡️ This imbalance suggests a risk of further downside pressure (contrarian view), as markets often move against the retail crowd. 2. COT Report (Sept 2, 2025) CHF: Non-commercials heavily short (34k vs 8k long). Commercials strongly long, hedging in favor of CHF strength. ➡️ Structural bullish bias for CHF. GBP: Non-commercials net short (109k vs 76k long). Commercials significantly long (117k vs 85k short), hedging a weak pound. ➡️ Confirms bearish pressure on GBP. Summary: Strong CHF – Weak GBP → Main direction: Short GBPCHF. 3. Seasonality (September) CHF: Historically strong in September. GBP: Historically weak in September. ➡️ Seasonality supports a short bias on GBPCHF. 4. Price Action Strong rejection from weekly supply zone (1.0850–1.0900). Bearish continuation candle below 1.0800 resistance. Next support: 1.0700–1.0680 zone. RSI trending lower with no divergence → bearish momentum intact. 5. Trading Plan Bias: Short GBPCHF. Key levels: Resistance: 1.0800 / 1.0850 (ideal short re-entry). Support: 1.0700 (first target), extension to 1.0650–1.0620 if bearish pressure continues. Strategy: Wait for a pullback into 1.0800–1.0850 to short, stop above 1.0900. Targets: 1.0700 → 1.0650. If price breaks straight below 1.0700, expect continuation towards 1.0620. ✅ Pro conclusion: All factors (COT, sentiment, seasonality, technicals) align in favor of CHF strength and GBP weakness. The best setup is a short re-entry near 1.0800–1.0850, targeting 1.0700 and 1.0650 with controlled risk above 1.0900.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
CRM Salesforce Options Ahead of EarningsIf you ahven`t bought CRM before the rally: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CRM Salesforce prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 300usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-12-19, for a premium of approximately $7.52. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:CRMLong
by TopgOptions
Strategic Education Inc. — September 02, 2025Sergio Richi Premium ✅ NASDAQ:STRA #StrategicEducation — Strategic Education Inc. (NASDAQ:STRA) Insider Activity Report | Consumer Defensive | Education & Training Services | USA | NASDAQ | September 02, 2025. Price (Sept 2, 2025) : $82.12 On August 29th, Daniel Jackson, EVP & CFO of Strategic Education, stepped in with a 1,900-share open-market buy at $81.50 (~$155K). His total stake now tops 104K shares. It’s not the size of the purchase that matters here — it’s the timing: the transaction followed a Q2 earnings beat (EPS $1.52 vs. $1.42 est.) and nearly 8% YoY revenue growth, driven primarily by their Education Technology Services. (SEC Form 4) www.sec.gov Insiders rarely commit fresh capital unless they see value that the market is missing. What stands out: institutions have been quietly adding — Marshfield Associates increased by 12,500 shares, and American Century expanded their stake earlier in the quarter. Insider ownership sits near 3.3%, and inflows continue despite a flat YTD chart. 1. Company at a glance: • Runs Strayer University, Capella University, Torrens (AU/NZ), plus Sophia Learning & Workforce Edge. • Focused on affordable, flexible, employer-aligned higher ed. • Q2 revenue ~$300M, cash position $133.6M, dividend $0.60/qtr (~3% yield). Market cap around $2B. 2. Catalysts on the horizon: • Dividend payable Sept 15. • Next earnings Oct 29 — potential follow-through if enrollment momentum stabilizes. • Expanding EdTech footprint — Sophia & Workforce Edge gaining traction in B2B partnerships. • Protocol adoption in Australia/NZ could re-accelerate international enrollment. Charts: • (5D) Insider Trades: STRA seasonality: STRA Hedge Fund Flows: STRA Ownership: 3. The setup: Entry: $81.50–$82.06 (aligned with insider buy). 🎯 Take Profit 1: $111.00 (+35.27%) 🎯 Take Profit 2: $119.00 (+45.02%) Base case: 35–45% upside in 6–12 months. Bull case: test $119 on stronger EdTech growth + enrollment recovery.
NASDAQ:STRALong
by SergioRichi
EURGBP at Supply – Short Setup Ahead?EURGBP is testing a key supply zone while also entering the overbought region. Sellers could step in here, making it an interesting area to look for shorts. However, if buyers manage to break above, further bullish continuation may follow. ⚡ What do you think? 👉 Will the bears take control, or will the bulls push through? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
SOL - Retest the Zone, Reload the Longs!Solana continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel on the daily timeframe. After a strong bullish leg, price is now pulling back toward the highlighted support zone, which also aligns with the lower bound of the short-term channel. As long as this area holds, it offers an attractive spot to look for fresh long opportunities. A confirmed bounce here could set the stage for continuation higher toward the channel’s upper boundary. The structure remains bullish, and dips into demand are where the best risk-to-reward setups lie. Keep an eye on this zone for the next move. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk management, and trade execution. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,417.84 (resistance) and $3,403.41 (support). We’re trading around $3,410–$3,411 inside a tight box. Scalps can work, but reversals are quick. 🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation) Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,417.84 (not just a wick). Targets: $3,419.55 → $3,420.54 → $3,422.10. Management: Take partials at $3,419.55, move SL to breakeven once $3,418 holds on a retest. 🔽 Bearish Plan (cleaner below support) Trigger: 30min body close below $3,403.41. Targets: $3,401.29 → $3,398.36 (trail if sellers stay in control). Management: Scale partials at $3,401.29, protect the rest at breakeven. 🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size) Shorts: $3,416–$3,417 on a clear rejection → aim $3,410–$3,412, SL above rejection high / $3,420. Longs: $3,403–$3,404 on a strong rejection wick → aim mid-range, SL below $3,401. ✅ Break Confirmation Strong 30min close through the level. ❌ Invalidation Breakout closes back inside the box on the next candle (trap). Multiple wick with no momentum. 📌 Bottom Line Above $3,417.84 → bullish bias to $3,420.54 and $3,422.10. Below $3,403.41 → bearish bias to $3,401.29 and $3,398.36. Inside the box = scalp only, keep risk tight.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxt8
EURNZD - Bullish Control Ahead!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURNZD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. This week, EURNZD has been retesting the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, the red zone is a strong structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and red structure. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURNZD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
BTC – Fakeout Before the Big Breakout!Bitcoin has been repeating a familiar pattern: - Fakeouts below key support zones, trapping early sellers. - Breakouts back above structure, followed by strong impulsive moves. We’ve already seen this sequence twice in the past months, and BTC might be setting up for it once again. Price faked out below support, reclaimed it, and is now eyeing a breakout from the falling channel. 🔁If history rhymes, the next leg could trigger a powerful impulse toward new highs. Traders should keep an eye on the $112,000–$114,000 zone — a breakout from here could be the spark for the next rally. Is BTC about to repeat its playbook? 👀 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
20
HPQ HP Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold HPQ before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of HPQ HP prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 26usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2025-8-29, for a premium of approximately $0.42. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:HPQShort
by TopgOptions
Setting up for a Long Swing TradeHi Traders! I've been keeping an eye on CHEWY for a few weeks now. Chewy dipped into the 78% fib, and set up for a reversal. I'd like to see a possible retest at a Daily Breaker Order Block at around $39.50. If that can verify that the Daily CHOCH is valid, I'm planning to swing this Options trade for a few weeks. My first target would be around $42. In addition, the monthly IMO is bullish and could give us another long term swing. Alerts are set for now. *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
NYSE:CHWYLong
by thattradergirl
2
USDCHF – Bearish Channel, But Bulls Eye This Zone!USDCHF has been sliding within a falling channel 📉 , keeping the broader outlook bearish. Yet, the pair is once again testing the 🟩 demand zone, an area that has acted as a strong base in the past. If buyers manage to hold this level 💪 , we could see a short-term rebound toward the upper bound of the channel. For now, the plan is simple: while the macro bias stays bearish, this zone offers a potential window for trend-following longs before the sellers step back in. ⚠️ Risk management remains key, as a clean break below the zone would signal that bears 🐻 are tightening their grip. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
USD/CAD: The Perfect Storm for a Bullish BreakoutUSD/CAD is consolidating above 1.3850 after a strong bullish impulse. The technical structure shows: A breakout from the summer bullish channel projecting towards 1.3950–1.4050, a key weekly resistance zone. RSI remains neutral but strengthening, with no signs of immediate overextension. Institutional demand around 1.3700 firmly rejected the downside, signaling strong long accumulation. 📌 Key levels: Support at 1.3750 / 1.3700 – Resistance at 1.3950 / 1.4050. Commitments of Traders (COT) USD Index: Non-commercial longs increasing (+1,330) with a slight reduction in shorts. Moderately bullish bias for USD. CAD Futures: Significant increase in non-commercial shorts (+7,966) while longs decline (-2,691). Institutions are clearly selling CAD. 📌 This reinforces the bullish bias on USD/CAD, with speculative positioning strongly in favor of the US Dollar. Seasonality (August–September) Historically, August tends to be neutral/slightly bearish for USD/CAD, but September shows a strong bullish pattern, with consistent positive averages over the last 10–20 years. 📌 This supports a continuation of the bullish trend in the coming weeks, especially towards the 1.40+ area. Retail Sentiment 78% of retail traders are short on USD/CAD, with an average entry price at 1.3780. Only 22% are positioned long. 📌 Classic contrarian signal: excessive retail bearishness increases the probability of further upside. ✅ Trading Outlook The overall picture shows alignment across technicals, COT, seasonality, and sentiment. USD/CAD maintains a bullish bias: Primary scenario: Extension towards 1.3950 and then 1.4050, a major weekly supply zone. Alternative scenario: Controlled pullback to 1.3800–1.3750 before resuming higher. Invalidation: Daily close below 1.3700 would open space towards 1.3550. 📌 Bias: Long USD/CAD towards 1.3950–1.4050.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
9
USDJPY - Bulls Loading at the Golden Zone?USDJPY has been overall bullish 📈 , trading inside a rising channel after bouncing from the April lows. Recently, price rejected the weekly resistance zone (~152.000) and is now approaching the daily support zone (~146.000 – 144.000). This support area also lines up with the lower bound of the channel 🔵, making it a potential launchpad for the next bullish impulse 🚀. If buyers step in here, we could see a rebound toward the upper blue trendline, while a confirmed break below support would flip the outlook bearish. In Brief: - Trend: Overall bullish 📈 - Key Levels: 146.000 – 144.000 support | 152.000 resistance - Plan: Look for long setups near support ✅ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Trading Imbalances: How to Use Fair Value GapsDifficulty: 🐳🐳🐋🐋🐋 (Novice+) This article is designed for traders who want to understand Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) in a simple, practical way — without drowning in complex Smart Money Concepts terminology. 🔵 INTRODUCTION If you’ve studied Smart Money Concepts (SMC), you’ve likely come across Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). For many, the concept feels overcomplicated. In reality, an FVG is just an imbalance in price — a spot where the market moved so fast that it didn’t fully trade both sides. 🔑When price leaves a gap behind, it often comes back later to “rebalance.” This gives traders powerful zones for entries, exits, and target setting. 🔵 WHAT IS A FAIR VALUE GAP? A Fair Value Gap is formed over three candles : Candle 1: The first move (anchor). Candle 2: The big impulsive candle (the imbalance). Candle 3: The follow-up candle. The gap exists when the high of Candle 1 is below the low of Candle 3 (in a bullish case). This leaves an “untraded zone” inside Candle 2. Think of it as a skipped step. Price rushed through so quickly, there wasn’t enough time to trade at fair value. 🔵 WHY DOES PRICE RETURN TO FVGs? Markets seek balance. When an imbalance forms, algorithms and institutional flows often revisit the gap to collect liquidity and rebalance orders. This doesn’t mean every FVG gets filled instantly — some remain open for days or even weeks. But many serve as magnets for price. 🔑Key point: An FVG is not a magic level. It’s a clue about where inefficiency sits. 🔵 HOW TO TRADE FVGS SIMPLY 1️⃣ Mark the Zone Identify the three-candle imbalance. Highlight the gap inside Candle 2. 2️⃣ Wait for Return Don’t chase the impulsive candle. Instead, wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone. 3️⃣ Trade the Reaction Bullish FVG → wait for price to dip into the zone and show bullish reaction Bearish FVG → wait for price to retest zone and reject downward Stops are usually placed beyond the gap, targets set toward the next liquidity pool or swing level. 🔵 EXAMPLE SCENARIO A strong bullish candle leaves an imbalance. Price continues higher, but a day later revisits the gap. At bullish rejection candles form with increasing volume. Entry taken, stop below gap, target at next swing high. 🔵 TIPS FOR ADVANCED TRADERS Higher timeframe FVGs are stronger and attract price longer. Not every gap fills — filter with trend direction. Combine with OBs (Order Blocks) or liquidity zones for more precision. Ignore small random gaps in low-volume markets. 🔵 CONCLUSION Fair Value Gaps don’t need to be mysterious. They’re simply imbalances in the auction process. By waiting for price to return and react, traders can build structured entries with defined risk. 🔑Instead of overcomplicating SMC concepts, think of FVGs as footprints of urgency — and opportunities for balance. Do you already trade FVGs, or is this your first time hearing about them? Share your setups below!
Education
by BigBeluga
13
GBPJPY – Bulls Knocked Out, Bears Step In!After rejecting the 200.00 resistance, GBPJPY broke below key structure and shifted momentum to bearish. Price is now retesting the broken support turned resistance, aligned with a descending trendline. 🔎 As long as this area holds, the bias remains bearish with potential for another downward leg. 👉 Plan: Look for short opportunities around the retest zone. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
MSTR Ponzi is paying for my yearly steak & lobster subscriptionWe can see that from the white Centerline, MSTR has only been heading south. In contrast, Bitcoin has held up quite a bit better so far. If you go back through my posts, you’ll see that I’ve been warning for a long time that MSTR is basically feeding itself. That simply can’t end well! Either way – we gratefully take our profit and wait until we reach the lower centerline. Because we know there’s about an 80% chance that the price will fall back into temporary equilibrium, the Centerline And if you’re not too greedy, well then you take 70%–80% of the profits now and let the rest run. Anyone who was able to learn something from this trade or even make profits is welcome to boost and comment. §8-) YT video will be available tomorrow. ...and on we go.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Tr8dingN3rd