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CADJPY Daily: Premium Zone RejectionCADJPY remains in a solid bullish Daily structure (higher highs/higher lows) and is still respecting the ascending channel, but price is now trading inside a major Daily supply/premium zone where the probability of a deeper correction is rising. The latest candles are showing rejection from the highs and RSI is rolling over, signaling weakening momentum right at a key technical area. Below current price, the first major demand/support sits at 112.70–113.00, and if that level fails the next downside target becomes 110.00. Retail sentiment is ~60% short (contrarian supportive, potential squeeze risk), but sentiment alone is not enough to justify longs into supply. COT still points to structural JPY weakness (speculators net-short), keeping the macro bias supportive for CADJPY, but the technical context favors a pullback before continuation. Seasonality in January is mixed/soft for both JPY and CAD, reinforcing the idea of a corrective phase rather than a clean trend acceleration. Plan: avoid chasing longs into supply, wait for confirmation—either a rejection and breakdown targeting 112.70–113.00 then 110.00, or a breakout/acceptance above supply followed by a retest before considering continuation entries.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
GBPAUD: 89% Retail Long + Daily Supply GBPAUD remains clearly bearish on the daily timeframe: we still have a clean LH/LL structure and steady selling pressure inside a well-defined descending channel. The latest bearish leg pushed price back into a key demand zone around 1.98–1.96. This area has produced technical bounces in the past, but it has never turned into a real trend reversal. That’s why the cleanest read right now is simple: bearish trend + sellable pullback, not a reversal. Price already reacted with a sharp spike, but as long as we stay below the 2.00–2.02 supply/imbalance, any upside move is simply a potential spot for trend sellers to step back in. My main scenario is a rebound into supply followed by short continuation, targeting liquidity below the lows: 1.9650 first, then 1.9500 if momentum expands. Invalidation is clear: only a sustained recovery above 2.02/2.03 with strong daily closes and follow-through would shift the bias. On the COT side, I don’t see positioning supporting a sustainable GBP upside, and AUD strength isn’t showing the type of structural shift needed to justify a GBPAUD reversal. This reinforces the idea that most bounces are more likely exit liquidity than real bullish restarts. Seasonality in this phase tends to move in “bursts”: quick rebounds that fade once the market reprices relative strength and flows—perfectly aligned with a bounce → continuation setup. The final piece is retail sentiment: roughly 89% long on the cross. It’s not an entry trigger by itself, but in a bearish trend it often becomes the perfect fuel for the next leg down—because when retail is this crowded on the long side, it doesn’t take much to trigger stops, pressure, and acceleration. Operational summary: below 2.02/2.03, GBPAUD remains a sell-on-rallies market. I want to see a clean pullback, rejection into supply, then a breakdown back toward the lows.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
11
XAUUSD: Key Pullback Zones Before the Next Leg UpXAUUSD remains in a strong daily uptrend, trading inside a well-defined ascending channel. Price is holding around 4,700, near recent highs, and moving in a “stair-step” structure: impulse → controlled pullback, with no major structural breakdowns. This is typical of a healthy trend where liquidity gets absorbed and repositioned progressively. In the short term, the most important level is the GAP/imbalance around 4.63k, acting as a natural magnet zone for a pullback. In a bullish environment, it’s common to see price retrace into that inefficiency to “fill” part of the move before continuation. The key concept is simple: the best long timing is not chasing highs, but waiting for a controlled retracement as long as price remains above demand. Main Daily Demand Zones 4.42k–4.50k: primary pullback area, if it holds, it confirms a classic buy-the-dip continuation scenario. 4.00k–4.18k: deeper major demand, a test here would imply a broader reset and deeper mean reversion risk. Momentum-wise, RSI remains trend-consistent: no clear structural reversal signal, but it highlights that buying “high” without a pullback increases the risk of poor timing. From a macro positioning perspective, COT is clearly bullish: Non-Commercials heavily net long (296k vs 45k short) Commercials heavily net short (typical hedging behavior) With Open Interest rising (527,455), the move looks supported by fresh participation, not just short covering. Seasonality also supports the bullish bias: January is historically positive for gold, especially mid-to-late month. This works best as a probability filter, not an entry trigger. Retail sentiment shows 59% short vs 41% long, which is a clean contrarian bullish signal: the crowd keeps trying to fade the trend, often fueling further upside spikes and extensions. Primary bias: bullish continuation. Scenario A (preferred): pullback into 4.63k–4.65k and/or 4.50k–4.42k → bullish reaction (rejection / engulfing / strong close) → continuation to new highs. Scenario B: direct breakout continuation → more fragile structure, higher risk of fakeouts and a sharp drop back into the GAP. Invalidation: daily breakdown below 4.42k with strong closes below support → potential mean reversion toward the lower demand zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EdgeTradingJourney
9
EUR/USD | Bounce to 1.18 or Breakdown to 1.15?EURUSD is at a key inflection point: on the Daily chart the structure is still bearish (lower highs/lower lows inside a descending channel), but price has now reached a major demand/support zone with an ascending trendline coming in. This creates a high-probability “reaction area” where a corrective bounce can start. This is not a full reversal call: a long only makes sense with confirmation (base holding + higher lows + reclaim of the first key levels). Upside targets are 1.1695–1.1705 as the first magnet, then 1.1750, and finally 1.1800–1.1820 if price can reclaim and hold above resistance. If EURUSD fails to hold demand and closes below the base on the Daily, the long scenario is invalidated and bearish continuation opens toward 1.1570 and 1.1535. COT: Non-Commercials are still net long EUR, but longs are decreasing and shorts are increasing (not a strong bullish signal), while USD Index positioning remains net short without aggressive expansion, so price confirmation is essential. Seasonality for January is often mixed, typically favoring corrective moves over clean trends, meaning a bounce is possible but must be managed with discipline. FX sentiment is retail-short heavy (~57%), so a clean reclaim could trigger a short squeeze and accelerate into higher liquidity pools. Trade idea: look for longs only with confirmation from demand, targeting 1.1700 → 1.1750 → 1.1800/1.1820; a break below the base invalidates the setup and shifts bias back bearish toward 1.1570/1.1535.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
MUltibagger in making After a downfall of 58% from it's high, Jindal Saw formed a base at around 153. After a sequential gains in Q3 results stock surges and gives a breakout at 176. Jindal Saw is a manufacturing company focused on pipes mainly used for water, oil and gas, sewarage with a market cap of 11365 cr. Financials are all good for the company, PE : 10 ROE : 15% Positive cashflow Stock declines to a level of 177 after a breakout and now is the best time to buy this stock for a huge upside.
NSE:JINDALSAWLong
by shubham_sali
AUDCHF - Pullback Into Structure, Watching the ReactionAUDCHF remains overall bullish, trading cleanly inside the rising blue channel. After the recent push higher, price is now pulling back into a very interesting area. We’re approaching the intersection of the demand zone and the lower blue trendline. This is exactly the kind of confluence I like to see in a trending market. As long as this intersection holds and price respects the lower boundary of the channel, I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, with confirmation coming from lower timeframes. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
1/20 - Pre-Market read and Game plan for the day. 1) Primary plan: Sell the retest (bearish continuation) Bias stays short while below POI 1 (25,128) and especially below POI 2/PDL area. A+ entry idea for today: • Let price pop into POI 2 (25,096.5) or POI 1 (25,128) • Wait for rejection (lower high, strong red candle, failure to hold above, wick + close back under) • Targets (scale): 1. POI 3 (25,044.75) 2. POI 4 (25,021.25) 3. POI 5 FVG MID (25,002.5) 4. POI 6 (24,979.25) • Invalidation: A clean reclaim + hold above POI 1, and especially if it starts accepting above 25,128 (don’t fight that). Why this is clean: you’re using your POIs like “stairs” — sell at the top stair, take profit at the next stair down. ⸻ 2) Secondary plan: Bounce scalp ONLY if a POI holds If price sweeps into POI 5 / POI 6 and you get a hard rejection + reclaim (fast snap back), that’s your mean reversion scalp. • Long scalp trigger: reclaim back above the POI you swept (ex: wick under 25,002.5 then closes back above it) • Targets: back to POI 4 → POI 3 → POI 2 • Rule: if it accepts below the POI you’re trying to long, don’t average down — next stop becomes POI 6 / POI 8 zones. ⸻ 3) Flip plan: Only get bullish above POI 1 If price reclaims POI 1 (25,128) and holds (not just wicks), then you can tell members: • “Okay, bears failed — now we look for pullback longs into POI 1/POI 2 as support.” • Upside “checkpoints”: 25,311 (NY PM High) then 25,430 (NY AM High / PDH) ⸻ Why you are NOT changing POIs from yesterday 1. POIs are HTF anchors, not feelings. They’re built off prior session highs/lows, PDH/PDL, and liquidity/FVG zones. Those levels don’t change just because price is noisy. 2. POIs only change after “acceptance” or “mitigation.” You adjust levels when price fully breaks + accepts (multiple closes through) or when the zone is clearly mitigated (used up and no longer reacting). 3. Consistency = tradable data for the community. If you move POIs every morning, your members can’t build pattern recognition. Keeping them fixed lets everyone see the same reactions. 4. Your screenshots literally show POIs working. Price is reacting around POI 1/2 and then stair-stepping lower — that’s exactly what POIs are for.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by TradeswithB
EUR/USD: Resistance Broken, Phase One CompletePhase one is complete: the local resistance at 1.1721–1.1736 has been broken. In addition to the 'Call Ladder' opened on January 14, several vertical Call Spreads hit the market this past Friday, just ahead of the rally. While a correction was technically overdue from a charting perspective, the timing of these entries suggests these players might be 'in the know.' So, to answer the big question: is the Euro headed higher? Rather than guessing, I’ll be analyzing the exchange reports (which are currently glitching) and will provide an update shortly. If last week’s portfolios are being closed out, the sentiment will shift back toward a weaker Euro. However, I suspect these positions are still being held. We’ll see what the data says. Relying solely on charts to draw conclusions is definitely not my style — and I hope it isn’t yours either.
CME:6EH2026Long
by ClashChartsTeam
$MSTR counter trend bounce?NASDAQ:MSTR has finally broken out of it's bottoming structure and looks set for a counter trend rally. If we can break above $200, then there's little resistance above. I think the highest probability is that we see $263-272 before the bounce is over so that we fill the gaps left from the move down. There's one gap at $205 and another at $258. I think if btc can rally into $103k-112k, that MSTR will sharply follow to the upper resistance levels. I do not think we'll break the upper blue trend line. Then I think we'll see continuation to the downside to one of the two lower $100 range targets. Let's see how it plays out.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by benjihyam
1
BULL – In My Top 10 Picks for 2026: Is Webull the Next HOOD?I’ve been following BULL (Webull) closely, and it’s firmly in my top 10 picks for 2026. Structurally, the story is very compelling. Retail participation in financial markets continues to grow, and platforms that serve these investors—brokerages like Webull—are direct beneficiaries of this trend. When I think about the trajectory, BULL reminds me a lot of our early calls on HOOD. Robinhood currently trades at a market capitalization of roughly $97 billion. BULL, on the other hand, is valued at only around $4 billion. That gap highlights the potential upside if Webull can continue to grow its user base and improve monetization. The numbers alone are not the full story, of course. Financial results and execution matter, and Webull will need to prove that it can convert its growing user base into consistent revenue streams. But structurally, the ingredients are there. As user monetization improves, I expect financial performance to start reflecting this, which could be a major catalyst for the stock. The stock's 52-week range of $7.57 to $79.56 further fuels my bullish stance. After dipping to its lows amid broader market volatility, BULL has shown resilience, trading around $8.16 as of mid-January 2026. This setup strongly reminds me of our early HOOD call positions when the stock was trading around $9, back in its post-IPO correction phase. Robinhood eventually surged as retail trading boomed, and I anticipate a similar catalyst for Webull—perhaps through strategic partnerships, international expansion, or even acquisition interest in a consolidating industry. In my view, BULL represents a rare combination of structural tailwinds, compelling valuation, and optionality. For those looking for a top pick for the year, it checks all the boxes.
NASDAQ:BULLLong
by TopgOptions
The Trade That Changed Me ForeverThere was a trade years ago that worked perfectly. Not because it was lucky. Not because the market was easy. But because I didn’t think. Everything was already decided. Structure was clear. Risk was defined. I just executed. And that moment stayed with me. Think about driving. The road changes. Traffic changes. Conditions are never the same. Yet you don’t overthink every move. You don’t debate the steering or the brakes. You just drive. Because repetition turned chaos into instinct. That’s exactly what happened with my trading. Flawless Execution Is the Turning Point That trade taught me something simple: Trading becomes profitable when execution becomes automatic. When price reaches your level, there’s no conversation. No hesitation... No emotion... No noise... YOU. JUST. ACT. I didn’t feel excitement. I didn’t feel fear. I felt calm. When execution becomes second nature, trading stops being heavy, and starts flowing... Just like driving. Question for you: When did trading start to feel natural for you? or are you still forcing every decision? ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~ Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
44
AUD/USD: Bull Trap Incoming?AUD/USD is showing clear signs of a slowdown in the bullish trend after December’s impulse, with price now consolidating below a key supply area and within a structure that is starting to lose momentum. On the daily chart, the market delivered a clean directional move, but the current phase is typical of a context where institutional players begin to distribute gradually, while retail traders tend to enter late, chasing the trend. This makes the current zone a major decision area: either price breaks higher and accelerates, or it triggers a bearish rotation into the demand blocks below. From a technical standpoint, price action highlights a recent top in the 0.6740–0.6760 area, followed by an immediate rejection and pullback. At the moment, AUD/USD is trading within a balance zone between 0.6660–0.6685, which acts as a “holding” range where the market could attempt one last recovery before a potential breakdown. The key point is that the structure is becoming increasingly fragile: bounces are less explosive and price is no longer printing progressive highs with the same efficiency. The most attractive probabilistic scenario is tied to a bearish rotation: a clean breakdown below the 0.6660 level would significantly increase the odds of a move into the first intermediate demand zone around 0.6600–0.6620, with a potential extension toward the deeper demand block between 0.6450–0.6520 (the area where the market previously accumulated before the bullish impulse). This lower zone represents the natural “magnet” if distribution completes, as it aligns with liquidity and a prior rebalancing area within the trend. Daily RSI is also losing strength and normalizing, consistent with a market shifting from an impulsive phase into a corrective one. In this type of environment, the most dangerous moves are “W-shaped” patterns or sharp spikes above recent highs, as they often serve to grab liquidity before reversing aggressively. For this reason, the 0.6740–0.6760 range remains the ideal zone to monitor for a potential fake breakout, followed by a drop back below 0.6700 as a weakness trigger. Looking at the COT report, Australian Dollar positioning shows Non-Commercial traders still net short (short exposure higher than long exposure). Meanwhile, the Dollar Index also shows a speculative component leaning short, but with dynamics that require caution: if USD finds macro support, even for a technical rebound, AUD/USD would automatically become vulnerable. The key takeaway is that we do not have a “clean bullish” positioning backdrop for AUD, making an extended rally less sustainable without a fresh accumulation phase. From an FX sentiment perspective, the signal is extremely clear: the majority of traders are short AUD/USD (87%), with only 13% long. This matters because, from a contrarian angle, it could still fuel one final upside push via a short squeeze. However, when price is trading below supply and fails to progress, such an extreme sentiment imbalance can also act as a trap signal: if the market breaks lower, many shorts already in position may take profits too early, while late longs get liquidated, accelerating the downside move. Finally, seasonality on AUD/USD suggests that January is often not a linear month: the market frequently experiences rotation and rebalancing phases after year-end trends. This fits perfectly with the idea of a mean reversion / pullback phase before any potential new directional cycle. Operational conclusion: as long as AUD/USD remains below 0.6740–0.6760, the bias stays for a controlled correction, with downside acceleration risk below 0.6660. My focus is on a distribution pattern followed by a rotation toward 0.6600 and then 0.6450–0.6520, while keeping the alternative scenario open for one last bullish liquidity grab before the real move unfolds.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
16
CADJPY – Bullish Structure IntactOn the CADJPY daily chart, price is trading within a well-defined bullish structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows and supported by an ascending dynamic trendline. Following the impulsive move into the 114.50–115.00 area, the market is currently undergoing a consolidation phase below a daily supply zone, with compressed highs and a short-term loss of momentum. This price behavior is consistent with a technical pause rather than a structural reversal, especially considering that the lower demand areas between 112.50–111.00 remain clean, well-defended, and aligned with previous breakout levels. From a COT perspective, the outlook remains constructive for CADJPY. On the CAD side, Commercials are showing a renewed increase in net long exposure, while JPY positioning continues to reflect structural weakness, leaving the market exposed to further carry-driven flows. January seasonality reinforces this setup: historically, the Japanese yen tends to underperform during this month, while the Canadian dollar shows relative stability, creating a favorable backdrop for a bullish continuation after potential pullbacks. On the FX sentiment side, retail positioning is heavily skewed to the short side (above 70%), providing a clear contrarian signal. The majority of market participants remain positioned against the prevailing trend, increasing the probability of continuation once weak hands are flushed out. In summary, CADJPY remains medium-term bullish, with a preference for long exposure on pullbacks into daily demand. Only a decisive and confirmed break below 111.00 would invalidate the constructive scenario and require a reassessment of the directional bias.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
EURUSD at a Turning Point: Bull Trap Rally Into SupplyRight now, EURUSD is trading within a very clean daily structure, where price is essentially “compressed” between two major forces: a higher-timeframe supply zone overhead and a strong daily demand zone below. After the latest bearish leg, price is rotating back toward the lower side of the range again, and this is exactly the type of area where institutional money makes real decisions: either defend demand and rotate higher, or break the base and trigger continuation into deeper liquidity. From a pure price action perspective, the market is not trending aggressively at the moment, it’s transitioning, and transition phases are where traders either catch their best trades… or get chopped if they force entries too early. On the daily chart, the most important element is the major demand area below current price, which has already acted as a pivot for bullish rotations in the past. This zone is not just a generic “support”: it’s a real liquidity pocket where buyers previously stepped in with enough strength to reverse momentum. Price is now revisiting that same area again after rejecting the upper side of the structure, and the reaction here will likely define the directional flow over the next 1–3 weeks. Above, the chart shows a well-defined supply zone sitting under a descending trendline. This creates a classic “sell-the-rally” environment, unless the market proves otherwise through a clear daily reversal sequence. Technically, the current downside move looks more like a controlled retracement than panic selling. Price is bleeding lower into demand, and that usually opens two scenarios: the first is a rotation long from demand back into the mid-range/premium area, and the second is a “fake bounce” that fails under resistance and leads to a bearish breakdown continuation. The projected path on the chart highlights exactly this concept: a potential rebound into the grey zone (where sellers can re-enter), followed by a deeper push lower if bulls fail to reclaim structure. From an RSI perspective, the market is pushing into oversold territory on the daily, which supports the idea that selling at these levels may be “late.” Oversold doesn’t mean “buy immediately,” but it does increase the probability of a bounce, especially when it aligns with a demand zone. Looking at positioning, the COT picture is sending a key message: the Euro side is not positioned as a strong bullish story right now. In the Euro FX report, Large Speculators remain net long, but positioning is not extreme and the longer-term COT index is still relatively depressed. This suggests EUR is not in a “crowded long” state that would fuel an explosive bullish continuation. On the USD side, the COT index is higher, signaling that the market still holds a structural bias toward USD strength. This combination supports the idea that any EURUSD upside is more likely to be corrective/rotational, rather than the start of a new macro bull trend — unless price breaks and holds above the key daily supply. Seasonality adds another layer: EURUSD in January often shows choppy and mixed performance early in the month, with direction becoming clearer later on. Finally, FX sentiment shows around 60% of retail traders currently long EURUSD, versus 40% short. This isn’t an extreme reading, but it still leans toward a classic contrarian interpretation: retail is already positioned for upside while price remains in a technically vulnerable area. From an execution standpoint, this means that if EURUSD bounces from demand, it can still be a valid long, but it should be treated as a tactical long, not a “buy and hold” narrative. And if the bounce fails under resistance, sentiment positioning can amplify the downside move as late longs get trapped. At this stage, my bias is neutral with a slight bearish tilt on the broader picture, but bullish for a short-term rotation if demand prints a strong and credible daily reaction. The key is not predicting direction, it’s reacting to confirmation at the most important location on the chart.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
GBPNZD: Retail Is 68% Long…GBPNZD is trading around 2.3269 and after the strong rally we’ve seen, this feels like a zone where price may “breathe” a bit before the next move. In simple terms: we’re already high, so this is not the best place to chase a fresh long. Around this area (roughly 2.33–2.35), the market usually does one of two things: either it breaks and keeps running, or it delivers a classic “messy move” where it first flushes late buyers and then continues higher. My base case is the second scenario: a pullback first, with a move down into the 2.305–2.300 zone, which is the most logical area where real buying interest could step in. I still like the GBP-stronger-than-NZD idea. The COT positioning supports that NZD is structurally weaker than GBP, so even if we get a short-term drop, I don’t see it as a trend reversal, more like a reset before the next leg. Seasonality also helps the bias: January tends to be mildly supportive for GBP, while NZD doesn’t really shine in this period. That’s why, in my view, any aggressive short from here is only a tactical pullback trade, not something I’d want to hold as a long-term bearish swing idea. One more key point: retail sentiment is already heavily skewed long (around 68% long). And when the crowd is stacked on one side, the market often pulls a fake move first, shaking people out, hitting stops, and only then delivering the clean continuation. That’s exactly why I’d rather not buy up here. Plan: I’m treating this area as “sell to buy lower.” Either price rejects from here and pulls back into 2.305–2.300, or I stay patient and wait for price to reach that zone and show confirmation before looking for a long with better upside and less stress. The only thing that would invalidate the pullback idea is strong acceptance above the 2.345–2.35 area, because if price holds above that zone, it’s not pulling back… it’s simply continuing.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
Elliot Waves Strategy ExplainedElliott Wave theory is not a forecasting tool. The moment it’s used that way, it becomes useless. It does not tell you where price will go. It describes how participation unfolds once direction is already present. At its simplest, markets alternate between expansion and digestion. Impulse waves show commitment and follow-through. Corrective waves show hesitation, overlap, and redistribution. Everything else traders add on top is interpretation, not edge. Most traders fail with Elliott Waves because they try to label the market instead of read it. Wave counts are adjusted after every pullback to protect bias. When a count needs defending, it has already lost its value for execution. Wave completion does not mean reversal. Strong trends extend, truncate, or move into complex corrections without ever giving clean countertrend entries. Acting on a “finished” wave without a structural break is just early positioning dressed up as analysis. The subjectivity of Elliott Waves is the warning label. If two valid counts exist, neither can justify risk on its own. Structure, location, and participation come first. The wave count only adds context to what price is already showing. Used correctly, Elliott Waves help with expectations and trade management. They stop traders from chasing late impulses and from exiting too early during normal corrections. Used incorrectly, they create the illusion of control over an uncertain market. Elliott Waves don’t give certainty. They give restraint. And restraint is far more valuable.
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDEducation
by tomas_jntx
15
1/14 Pre-Market Read - Game plan Pre-market POIs / Game Plan (MNQ 15m) Key context from the chart: • We mapped the session range + prior levels and stacked POIs to create a clean “ladder” for targets. • Important nearby references on your screenshot: Asia High ~25926, Asia Low ~25852.50, London High ~25878.75, London Low ~25701, PDL ~25803.25, and upside POIs. My POI Ladder (targets) Upside • POI 1: 25,871.25 • POI 2: 25,920.50 • POI 3: 26,006.00 • POI 4: 26,083.50 • POI 5: 26,106.25 Downside • Bear POI 1: 25,738.75 • Bear POI 2: 25,652.75 • Bear POI 3: 25,615.50 How I’m trading it today (simple rules) Bullish idea • If price reclaims/holds POI 1 (25,871) and starts holding above POI 2 (25,920) → I’m looking for step-ups into POI 3 (26,006) then POI 4/5. • Best entries: retest/hold of POI after a breakout candle (confirmation > guessing). Bearish idea • If price loses PDL (~25,803) and can’t reclaim, that’s a warning. • Break + hold below POI 1 (25,871) opens the door to Bear POI 1 (25,738) then Bear POI 2 (25,652). What to watch at open • Reaction at POI 1 / POI 2 (they’re your “decision levels”). • Sweeps into a POI then immediate reclaim = reversal trigger. • Clean hold above POI = continuation trigger. Not financial advice — just my plan + levels from my system.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by TradeswithB
1
XRP - Waiting for the Market to Confirm the Next Move!XRP is currently sitting at a key area of interest. Price is holding around a strong demand zone, right on top of the $2.00 round number. That combination alone is enough to grab attention, especially after the recent impulsive move higher. For now, this area is where buyers are expected to defend. That’s why my focus is on buy setups, not chasing price. That said, I’m not jumping in blindly. The last major high marked in green is the line in the sand. A clean break and hold above that level would confirm that bulls are taking control, and that’s when I’d look for entries with more confidence. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
6
CHFJPY - Pullback Into a Key Confluence!CHFJPY has been overall bullish , respecting the rising blue channel nicely over the past weeks. Right now, price is pulling back into an important intersection: the demand zone lining up with the lower blue trendline. This is the kind of area where trends usually get tested, not broken. As long as this confluence zone (highlighted by the blue circle) continues to hold, my bias remains straightforward: I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, preferably after confirmation on lower timeframes. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
11
CVD and Open Interest DivergenceOpen Interest answers a simple but critical question: are traders committing new risk, or are they exiting existing positions? When price rises while Open Interest increases, new contracts are being added in the direction of the move. This confirms expansion and signals that the market is willing to fund higher prices. When price rises while Open Interest falls, positions are being closed into strength. That behavior reflects distribution rather than continuation. The same logic applies on the downside. Falling price with rising Open Interest signals aggressive short participation. Falling price with declining Open Interest signals profit-taking, not fresh selling pressure. Cumulative Volume Delta adds context to this positioning data. It measures whether aggressive market orders are driving price or being absorbed by passive liquidity. When price prints higher highs but CVD fails to confirm, buying pressure is weakening despite higher prices. Participants are lifting offers with less urgency, and absorption is occurring. When price stalls or compresses while CVD continues to rise, it suggests that aggressive buyers are being absorbed by larger passive sellers. The move looks strong on price, but commitment is thinning. These divergences become most meaningful when they appear at structurally relevant locations. Inside ranges, they frequently expose failed breakouts where price briefly escapes but participation does not follow. At highs and lows, they reveal exhaustion, where liquidity has been collected but no new initiative remains. During established trends, they help differentiate healthy continuation from late-stage rotation, where the trend persists visually but weakens internally. The highest-quality environments occur when structure and participation align. A clean break of structure followed by expanding Open Interest and confirming CVD indicates that the market has accepted the new direction. Risk is being added, not removed, and aggressive flow supports price discovery. When one of these components is missing, vulnerability increases. Breaks without Open Interest expansion often fade. Moves with Open Interest but no CVD confirmation frequently stall or retrace. Many traders struggle because they trade direction without measuring commitment. They react to candles instead of assessing whether the move is being funded. CVD and Open Interest shift the focus from where price moved to why it moved. This perspective reduces overtrading, filters false momentum, and clarifies when patience is required. Used correctly, these tools are not predictive indicators. They do not call tops or bottoms. They expose when a market narrative is weakening before structure fully changes. That awareness improves timing, limits unnecessary exposure, and prevents chasing moves already sustained by trapped or exiting participants. In leveraged markets, understanding participation is not an edge. It is a requirement for survival.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD.MH2026Education
by HyroTrader
11
USDJPY – Structural Bullish ContinuationUSDJPY remains structurally bullish on the daily timeframe, with price continuing to respect an ascending channel that has been intact since Q4. The recent consolidation phase above prior daily demand has allowed the market to absorb supply without breaking structure, confirming strong underlying demand pressure. From a price action perspective, the pair is printing higher lows within the channel, while the most recent impulsive leg has reclaimed the mid-range equilibrium, suggesting continuation rather than distribution. The current pullback scenario appears corrective and controlled, with no signs of structural weakness as long as price holds above the daily demand zone around 154.50–155.00. From a COT standpoint, non-commercials remain net long Japanese Yen futures, but recent changes show a reduction in long exposure rather than aggressive short building. This typically aligns with trend continuation phases in USDJPY, especially when paired with rising open interest on USD Index futures, signaling sustained USD strength rather than exhaustion. Retail sentiment remains heavily skewed to the short side, with approximately 78% of traders positioned against the move. This persistent bearish crowd positioning acts as a contrarian fuel, increasing the probability of further upside expansion as stops remain above recent highs. From a seasonality perspective, January historically favors USDJPY strength, with positive average performance across 5, 10, and 20-year datasets. While short-term volatility is expected mid-month, the broader seasonal bias supports continuation rather than reversal. Conclusion: As long as price holds above the daily demand zone and maintains channel structure, USDJPY remains a buy-on-dips market. Upside targets remain aligned with the upper channel resistance and the 160.50–161.50 supply zone, where profit-taking and structural reassessment become relevant.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
8