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Dealers Were in Short Gamma. No Surprise We Dropped A massive flip zone just showed up on the GEX map and dealers were positioned deep in short gamma. That means every downward move in spot forced them to sell even more to hedge, amplifying the pressure. So it’s not a random sell-off , it’s a mechanical reaction from the dealer flow itself. When the market enters negative gamma territory, volatility feeds on itself.

Short

EUR/AUD Bulls Fighting Back — Retail 76% Short!🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) Euro (EUR): Non-commercial longs: 252,472 (−789) Non-commercial shorts: 138,127 (+2,625) → Institutional traders have trimmed long positions and increased shorts, signaling a softening bullish bias on the euro. Australian Dollar (AUD): Non-commercial longs: 41,994 (+1,718) Non-commercial shorts: 101,584 (+10,148) → Sharp increase in short exposure versus longs, reflecting renewed bearish pressure on AUD. 📊 Combined Interpretation: While the euro shows mild weakness, the Australian dollar remains under stronger institutional selling pressure. The result is a net bullish bias on EUR/AUD, though upside momentum may moderate as euro positioning cools. 🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning) 76% short / 24% long 📌 Retail traders are heavily short, providing a contrarian bullish signal for EUR/AUD. This skew supports the institutional view, hinting that short covering could drive the next bullish leg. 🔹 Seasonality EUR: October tends to be mildly negative on a 10–20 year horizon (−0.20% to −0.60%), but neutralizing into November. AUD: October is historically flat to slightly positive, though broader Q4 data favors euro recovery over commodity currencies. 📌 Seasonal Bias: Neutral-to-bullish EUR/AUD outlook — seasonality doesn’t contradict the structural bullish setup but suggests limited upside speed. 🔹 Price Action EUR/AUD remains within a broad consolidation range, oscillating between 1.7650–1.7950. The pair has recently bounced strongly from the 1.7600–1.7650 demand zone, aligning with a clean RSI rebound from oversold conditions. Currently trading near 1.7900, approaching the supply area 1.7950–1.8000, which may act as short-term resistance before any continuation move. 🎯 Scenario 1 (Preferred): Continuation higher toward 1.8000, followed by a correction back toward 1.7700 before resuming the broader bullish trend. ❌ Invalidation: Daily close below 1.7650 would invalidate the bullish bias and re-open 1.7500.

Short

by EdgeTradingJourney

Updated

EUR/USD Breakdown Just Starting? Institutions Loading USD Longs 🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) Euro (EUR): Non-commercial longs: 252,472 (−789) Non-commercial shorts: 138,127 (+2,625) → Hedge funds slightly trimmed their long exposure while adding to shorts, signaling a loss of bullish momentum on the euro. US Dollar Index (DXY): Non-commercial longs: 14,032 (+1,541) Non-commercial shorts: 24,376 (−1,009) → Positioning shows a clear strengthening of the dollar, as speculators close shorts and increase longs. 📊 Interpretation: Institutional flow remains decisively in favor of the USD, reflecting renewed dollar strength and moderate euro weakness — keeping a bearish bias on EUR/USD in the short term. 🔹 FX Sentiment 50% long / 50% short 📌 The market is perfectly balanced, showing no contrarian extremes at the moment. However, this neutral sentiment after weeks of long dominance indicates a shift in retail perception, likely preceding a consolidation phase before another bearish leg. 🔹 Seasonality Based on Market Bulls historical data for EUR/USD: October has historically been negative, with average declines between −0.20% and −0.60% across 10–20 year datasets. Seasonality improves from November onward, but October remains a period of weakness for the euro. 📌 Conclusion: The seasonal context is bearish, aligning with institutional positioning and current price structure. 🔹 Price Action EUR/USD has broken the ascending trendline from August and is now consolidating below the 1.1750–1.1800 supply zone, strongly rejected earlier this month. The pair trades inside a descending channel, with key support at 1.1550–1.1500 and resistance near 1.1720–1.1750. The RSI is neutral but showing bearish divergence, hinting at a possible short-term pullback before the next leg lower. 🎯 Base scenario: a corrective bounce toward 1.1700–1.1750, followed by renewed downside pressure targeting 1.1450, with potential extension to 1.1380. ❌ Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1780.

Short

by EdgeTradingJourney

Updated

BTCUSD: Short opportunities on technical retrace BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 17, 2025 Yesterday’s short setup (BB) was triggered and hit target as planned. The main trend remains bearish, confirming that sellers are still in control. For today, the focus remains on looking for short opportunities following the current downtrend. Expecting a technical pullback toward the 40%–60% retracement zone of the previous bearish leg. As price approaches this area and retests the EMA, wait for a clear confirmation signal before entering. If price fails to follow the setup, stay patient and wait for more confirmation to ensure a safe and disciplined trade. Main Plan: Keep a bearish bias — look for shorts near the 40–60% retracement zone once confirmation appears. Daniel Miller @ ZuperView

Short

MSTR: Trend Continues Since our last update, MSTR extended its sell-off. We still expect the low of this wave to form above the support level at $153.49. Once wave 2 is complete, we anticipate a strong wave 3 rally pushing above resistance at $674.18. Our alternative scenario assumes a different wave count: in this case, price may currently be developing the magenta wave alt. to the upside (probability: 30%). This count would be confirmed by a direct move above resistance at $430.50.

Short

00:47

The Control Trap NOTE – This is a post on mindset and emotion. It is not a trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. My intention is to help you preserve your capital, focus, and composure so you can trade your own system with clarity and confidence. You’ve spent months - maybe years designing your system. You know its logic. You’ve backtested the data. You trust the probabilities. And yet… mid-trade, something shifts. The candles stall. The pullback looks deeper than usual. You feel the muscles in your stomach tighten. Your hand hovers over the mouse. Maybe I’ll just move the stop a bit tighter. Maybe I’ll exit early, just this once. Maybe I’ll skip this signal - it doesn’t look right today. It feels like precision. Like prudence. Like control. But look closer. Every time you interfere, you reinforce the belief that you can’t trust yourself. And that belief quietly eats away at your confidence - trade by trade, decision by decision. What’s really happening: When you second-guess your own rules, it’s rarely about the system. It’s about safety. Your mind is trying to avoid the discomfort of uncertainty - that raw, restless sensation that comes with surrendering control to probabilities. Your body feels it first. The quickened pulse. The micro-tension in your shoulders. The eyes darting to every tick, searching for reassurance. You’re not refining your edge - you’re soothing anxiety. The irony is that this constant adjustment creates the very instability you’re trying to avoid. The more you step in, the more you teach your brain that it can’t be trusted to hold steady. And so the cycle repeats - tighter control, lower trust, higher stress. How to shift it: Next time you feel the urge to tweak or touch the trade - pause. Notice the emotion under the surface. Is it fear? Doubt? A need to be right? Let yourself feel that pull without acting on it. Remind yourself: “I built this system for a reason. My job now is to execute, not interfere.” Try sitting through one trade, fully hands-off. Let the outcome be what it is. And observe what happens inside you, not just on the chart. That awareness is where emotional control begins. Trading well isn’t just about the quality of your system It’s about the quality of your state while running it. If this article resonated, check out the post I’d written on System Hopping. Link below:

Education

Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR) - Financial Report Date: October 16, 2025 Current Market Context: As of October 16, 2025, Bitcoin trades at approximately $111,469 USD, reflecting a volatile yet upward trajectory influenced by institutional adoption and macroeconomic factors. Strategy Inc., formerly MicroStrategy, holds 640,031 BTC, valued at $71.3 billion USD as of today. The company's market capitalization stands at $84.15 billion USD, representing an 18% premium over its Bitcoin reserve value. This premium accounts for operational assets, including fixed costs, employee salaries, and intellectual property, while underscoring the market's perception of MSTR as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy. Notably, the company's substantial BTC holdings enable potential market influence through strategies involving futures and options, allowing for amplified exposure to cryptocurrency volatility. 1. Company Overview Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is a leading provider of AI-powered enterprise analytics software and services, operating in the business intelligence (BI) and software sector. Founded in 1989 by Michael J. Saylor and Sanju Bansal in Wilmington, Delaware, the company initially focused on data mining and BI tools inspired by systems-dynamics theory from their MIT studies. It secured its first major client, McDonald's, with a $10 million contract in 1992, driving 100% annual revenue growth from 1990 to 1996. By 1994, the firm relocated to Tysons Corner, Virginia, expanding to 50 employees. The company went public in 1998 and evolved into a pioneer in BI platforms, offering products like MicroStrategy ONE for non-technical insights and HyperIntelligence for contextual overlays. In August 2020, under Saylor's leadership, Strategy adopted Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset, purchasing 21,454 BTC for $250 million—a move that transformed it into the world's largest corporate Bitcoin holder. This pivot positioned MSTR as a "Bitcoin spot leveraged ETF" proxy, blending software revenue with cryptocurrency exposure. In February 2025, it rebranded from MicroStrategy to Strategy Inc. to emphasize its dual focus on analytics and Bitcoin innovation. Today, it serves industries including finance, healthcare, retail, and government, with a global presence across North America, EMEA, LATAM, and APAC. Strategic Objectives and Corporate Vision Strategy's vision is to empower organizations with AI-driven analytics while leveraging Bitcoin as a superior store of value against inflation and currency devaluation. Core objectives include: - Expanding market share in BI through innovative technologies like cloud-native platforms and partnerships. - Executing the "21/21 Plan": Raising $21 billion in equity and $21 billion in fixed-income instruments over three years to acquire more BTC, enhancing treasury value. - Balancing software growth (e.g., via Strategy Mosaic for data governance) with Bitcoin strategy for long-term value creation. Saylor, the Executive Chairman, focuses on Bitcoin acquisitions, while CEO Phong Le oversees operations. The company holds 340 patents, emphasizing innovation in BI and blockchain applications. 2. Financial Analysis Consolidated Balance Sheet: Last Three Years Strategy's financials reflect modest BI revenue growth overshadowed by Bitcoin impairments and gains. Data is in USD millions, sourced from annual reports. | Metric | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |--------------------|---------|---------|---------| | Total Revenue | 463.0 | 496.0 | 496.0 | | Cost of Revenue | 138.9 | 148.0 | 152.0 | | Gross Profit | 324.1 | 348.0 | 344.0 | | Operating Expenses | -6,660 | 450.0 | 500.0 | | Operating Income | 6,660 | -102.0 | -156.0 | | Net Income | 4,790 | -670.8 | -1,470 | | Gross Margin (%) | 70.1 | 70.2 | 69.4 | | Net Margin (%) | 1,036.6 | -135.3 | -296.4 | Volatility stems from Bitcoin fair-value adjustments: 2024 gains drove net income surge, while prior years saw impairments. Revenue declined 6.6% YoY in 2024 due to subscription shifts, but gross margins remain robust at ~70%. Cash Flow Analysis Cash flows highlight Bitcoin-driven investing outflows, offset by financing inflows. Data in USD millions. | Category | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |-------------------------|-------- |---------|---------| | Operating Cash Flow | 50.1 | 65.0 | 45.0 | | Investing Cash Flow | -35,630 | -2,100 | -500.0 | | Financing Cash Flow | 35,500 | 2,050 | 450.0 | | Net Change in Cash | -80 | 15.0 | -5.0 | | Free Cash Flow Growth (%) | -1,069 | N/A | N/A | Operating cash flow remains positive but modest (~$50M in 2024), supporting software operations. Investing activities reflect massive BTC purchases ($35.6B in 2024 via debt/equity raises), while financing provides liquidity through convertible notes and ATM offerings. This structure amplifies BTC exposure but increases dilution risk. Key Performance Indicators Financial ratios reveal efficiency in equity utilization but asset strain from BTC leverage. | Ratio | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | Interpretation | |--------------- --|----------|----------|--------|----------------| | ROE (%) | 18.01 | -25.0 | -40.0 | Strong recovery via BTC gains; measures profitability per equity dollar. | | ROA (%) | 12.75 | -5.0 | -8.0 | Improved asset efficiency; net income/total assets. | | ROI (%) | 12.75 | -4.5 | -7.5 | Aligns with ROA; return on invested capital in BTC/software. | | Debt/Equity | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.30 | Low leverage; supports BTC strategy without excessive risk. | | Interest Coverage | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | Adequate coverage post-2024 gains; EBIT/interest expense. | ROE surged in 2024 due to unrealized BTC appreciation, calculated as Net Income / Average Shareholders' Equity. ROA = Net Income / Total Assets, highlighting BTC's role in boosting returns despite flat software assets. Debt Analysis Total debt stands at $8.21 billion (2024), primarily convertible notes for BTC buys. Debt/Equity ratio of 0.16 indicates conservative leverage, with current ratio at 0.68 signaling short-term liquidity pressure from BTC focus. Interest coverage improved to 5.2x in 2024, mitigating default risk amid rising rates. Strategies include ATM equity sales to repay debt. 3. Market Analysis Stock Performance: Last 12 Months MSTR delivered 43.55% returns over the past 12 months (October 2024–October 2025), far outpacing benchmarks. 52-week high: $473.83 (November 2024); low: $112.00 (October 2024). Current price: ~$296.76, with YTD loss of -1.12%. Volatility and Benchmark Comparison Annualized volatility: 114.6% (MSTR) vs. 20.5% (NASDAQ) and 15.2% (S&P 500), driven by BTC correlation (beta ~3.0 to BTC). MSTR outperformed S&P 500 (+71% vs. +16%) and NASDAQ over 12 months, but with 7x the volatility. Sharpe ratio: 1.82 (MSTR) vs. 0.92 (S&P 500), indicating superior risk-adjusted returns. Competitors and Market Position In Business Intelligence software, Strategy holds ~1.19% market share, trailing Microsoft Power BI (19.85%) and Tableau (16.11%). Key competitors: Tableau (Salesforce), Qlik, IBM Cognos, Oracle BI, and Power BI. Strengths include scalability and mobile BI; weaknesses are higher complexity vs. user-friendly rivals. As a BTC holder, it leads corporates (e.g., vs. Tesla's ~11,000 BTC), positioning MSTR as a unique hybrid: BI challenger with crypto dominance (~3% of BTC supply). 4. Future Outlook Growth Forecasts: 2025–2028 Analysts project 5–10% annual BI revenue growth to $550M by 2028, driven by AI integrations. BTC holdings could reach 1M+ via 21/21 Plan, implying 20–50% stock upside if BTC hits $150K (base case: $400–$600/share by 2028). EPS growth: 1557% in 2025, stabilizing at 15% CAGR. Overall revenue: $500M–$600M by 2028, with net income tied to BTC (projected $10B+ if holdings appreciate 30% annually). Expansion Plans, Acquisitions, and Initiatives - 21/21 Plan: $42B raise for BTC buys; recent $2B preferred stock offering targets Q1 2026. - Acquisitions: Potential in blockchain/BI (e.g., mobile analytics firms); no major 2025 deals announced. - Initiatives: Launch of Bitcoin-linked securities; expansion into APAC BI markets; AI enhancements like Strategy One for predictive analytics. Potential Risks and Mitigation - Risks: BTC volatility (80% drawdown potential); dilution from equity raises; regulatory scrutiny on crypto holdings; BI competition eroding 1–2% share annually. - Mitigation: Diversified revenue (BTC as 90% value driver but software as stabilizer); debt refinancing via ATM sales; hedging via futures/options with its BTC hoard for market influence. Scenario analysis: Base (BTC +20%/yr) yields 25% IRR; bear (BTC -30%) limits downside to 15% via operational cash. 5. Conclusion Overall Assessment and Investment Potential Strategy Inc. exemplifies a high-conviction, transformative play: a BI stalwart amplified by Bitcoin's asymmetric upside. With $84.15B market cap trading at an 18% premium to its $71.3B BTC holdings—factoring in ~$500M annual fixed costs, salaries for 1,530 employees, and BI IP—the firm offers leveraged exposure without direct crypto custody risks. Historical 1,620% returns since 2020 validate Saylor's vision, outperforming S&P 500 by 22x. Potential is strong for 2025–2028 if BTC adoption accelerates, with ROE/ROA signaling efficient capital deployment. Investor Recommendations Buy/Hold for Growth-Oriented Portfolios: Target $400–$500 by end-2026 (20–50% upside) on BTC momentum; allocate 5–10% for high-risk tolerance. Strengths: BTC treasury (market influence via derivatives); resilient 70% margins; innovation (340 patents). Weaknesses: Revenue stagnation (-3.2% CAGR); volatility (114% vs. 20% benchmarks); dilution risk (74% YTD BTC yield via shares). Conservative investors: Monitor Q4 2025 earnings (Oct 30) for BTC yield updates; diversify with S&P 500 ETFs. This is not financial advice—consult professionals.

Long

by dPEngineering

BTCUSD: Waiting for a range break BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading within a tight accumulation range between 112,004 and 113,524. Today’s plan: Wait for price to consolidate near the upper boundary of the range while the EMA compresses close to price action. Once a clear range break (RB) to the upside occurs, enter a market buy. If the price breaks early without enough consolidation, wait for a pullback to retest the breakout level and look for a buy setup after the range break (ARB). Profit targets and stop loss levels should be chosen according to individual risk management preferences. Daniel Miller @ ZuperView

BTCUSD: Failing to recover, short setup near EMA BTC analysis – october 14, 2025 At the moment, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has failed to sustain its recovery and is pulling back toward the 111,192 USD area. The overall trend remains bearish, as price is now trading below the EMA, indicating that sellers still have control over the market. Trading plan for today: Priority: look for short (sell) opportunities in line with the main trend. Wait for a pullback as price retests the EMA zone. Once price reaches that area, watch for one of the following price action setups: DD (Double Doji) SB (Second Break) → When either setup appears, consider a market entry. Trade management: Stop loss: above the nearest swing high of the pullback. Take profit: targeting a 2R – 3R reward-to-risk ratio, depending on price behavior. Summary: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD remains in a clear downtrend. Any short-term bounce is seen as an opportunity to sell with the trend. Patience is key wait for a clean setup around the EMA zone to secure a good entry and minimize risk. Daniel Miller @ ZuperView

Short

BTCUSD: Buy signal forming 📊 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 13, 2025 🔁 Last Week Summary Last week, we successfully completed the BTC Sell plan, and the trade reached its target as expected. 📈 Market Outlook for the New Week After a deep correction, BTC is showing signs of recovery. Currently trading around 115,561, above the EMA, indicating that a short-term bullish structure is forming. 🧭 Trading Plan for Today Scenario 1 – Buy with trend: Wait for a pullback to EMA and look for a DD (Double Doji) setup. If confirmation appears near EMA → enter long following the bullish momentum. Profit target for long position is 2R or more. Scenario 2 – No setup / breakdown below EMA: If price fails to form DD and closes back below EMA, it may lead to the formation of a wider consolidation range. In this case, stay on the sidelines and wait for clear trading signals before entering. 🎯 Summary: Short-term bias: Slightly bullish, pending confirmation. Key plan: Buy near EMA if DD forms. If price breaks below EMA → expect wider accumulation, stay patient. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Daniel Miller @ ZuperView

Long

Updated

BTCUSD: 1R secured, looking for next short signal 📊 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 10, 2025 🔁 Current Position Update The Sell position from October 8 remains active and profitable. The trade is currently up around 1R. Traders can move stop-loss to breakeven to secure profits and eliminate downside risk. 📈 Market Outlook & Trading Plan Trend bias remains bearish. The main plan for today: continue looking for short entries in line with the trend. On the H2 timeframe: Price has closed below the EMA, confirming ongoing bearish momentum. Wait for DD (Double Doji) or SB (Second Breakout) setup as confirmation for the next Sell opportunity. For traders already holding positions, consider DCA add-on entries to compound profits if the downtrend extends further. ⚙️ Position Managemen t The current trade remains safe and in profit. Monitor price reaction near the H2 EMA for possible re-entry setups. Avoid impulsive entries – focus only on clear signals with a proper R:R structure. 🎯 Summary: The active Sell trade has reached 1R – stop can be moved to breakeven. Continue monitoring for DD/SB setups on H2 to scale in or add new short positions in line with the trend. You can refer to my previous analysis here: Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Daniel Miller @ ZuperView

Short

Updated

SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Trade Recap – GOLD 15M • Both targets achieved: 4,021 ✅ and 4,060 ✅. • Price respected the support zone after the institutional reset and followed the SMC roadmap step by step. • The bullish cycle completed with precision: reset → liquidity grab → rejection → distribution → targets hit. • This is the kind of setup that shows how patience + structure = consistency. 💡 Motivational Caption (English) “Both targets smashed 🎯🎯 – structure never lies. Institutional footprints led us step by step into a perfect bullish cycle. Patience, discipline, and SMC… that’s the formula 🚀📈.” GOOD JOB TRADERS……. ;)

Long

Global Markets Turn Defensive as Trump’s Tariff Threats Shake Co Global Markets Turn Defensive as Trump’s Tariff Threats Shake Confidence. U.S. President Donald Trump has announced he is considering a “massive increase” in tariffs on imports from China, signalling a possible escalation in the long-running trade dispute between the world’s two largest economies. In response, Beijing has vowed to impose countermeasures should Washington proceed with the proposed 100% tariffs, defending its recent export rules while warning that such moves would further raise tensions. A high-level meeting between President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping — expected on the sidelines of the APEC leaders’ meeting in South Korea later this month — now appears uncertain, with Washington’s recent rhetoric jeopardising the diplomatic groundwork for the summit. Markets are already reacting. Investors have been shifting capital toward safe-haven assets, with gold and silver among the biggest beneficiaries of the risk-off move. Gold notably pushed past the $4,000-per-ounce mark amid the turmoil, underscoring strong demand for protection against trade-driven volatility. According to World-Signals analysis, with gold prices holding above $4,000 per ounce, any correction toward $3,950–$3,975 is likely to trigger fresh buying interest. As geopolitical strategy increasingly intersects with resource control — from oil to rare earth elements — the global economic balance may be entering a new phase of heightened volatility. Traders and portfolio managers should watch tariff announcements, export-control actions on critical inputs (including rare earths), and developments around planned diplomatic meetings for signs of market direction.

Long

by World-Signals

Friday - the day the market shows its true face Everyone loves chasing moves early in the week - Monday, Tuesday, news, data drops. But if you look closer, the most honest market signals usually appear on Fridays. By that time, the fight between buyers and sellers is settled, and the price reveals who really has control. When big funds and banks are confident about direction, they don’t rush to close positions before the weekend. The market often ends the week at its highs - and Monday continues the same move. But if selling pressure picks up late on Friday, it’s usually a warning sign: traders are nervous and prefer not to hold risk over the weekend. Friday’s close isn’t just another candle - it’s the verdict for the entire week. A close near the top of the range means demand is strong; near the bottom means fear and profit-taking are taking over. Retail traders often close everything before the weekend to “stay safe.” But smart money uses those thin Friday hours to shake out weak hands and grab liquidity. That’s why the real moves often begin right after those late-week impulses. What to keep an eye on: 1. Watch where the price closes within the weekly range - it sets the tone for Monday. 2. Check volume during the last trading hours - it tells you who’s really in control. 3. A strong Friday move with no news? Often that’s the setup for next week’s trend. Friday’s action is rarely random. It’s the final scene before the next act of the market drama.

Education

by TotoshkaTrades

BTC - Use Order Blocks to Predict if Price with move UP OR DOWN I will give a practical demonstration here on how to draw your own order blocks and heat maps to predict if price will move up or down from this 121,400 current level. First understand that stop loss order blocks are opposite to what we have learned as traders. We are told that buy orders are below price (limit buys) and sell orders are above us (limit sells). The truth of Bitcoin however is the exact opposite is true. The stop loss orders carry much more power than limit orders, as they are filled for the “whole leveraged position size”, not for only the margin used. While limit buys will automatically fill if price is below that price, or limit sells will automatically fill if price is above that price - this is not true for stop loss orders or liquidation orders. Stop Losses and Liquidations only FILL if price CROSSES the level. This means we can use order blocks from open candle sets, extended out past price currently, to understand where these gaps of orders are located. Green boxes for BUYS above price. Red boxes for SELLS below price. When price enters into these boxes zones, these orders will start filling - acting as a type of propellant that’s implanted in the chart from traders previous choices. This creates “wicks” and fast movements. WILL PRICE GO UP OR DOWN FROM 21,400? In this example from 121,400 I drew both long stops and sell stops. The emptied green boxes have already been reclaimed. The filled in green boxes are left unreclaimed and contain these orders. For price to go up, it would have to move past the previous wick, and enter into these zones - which have a significant gap in between them. For price to DROP, we can look at the boxes of long stops or sell orders. Note that these order blocks are neatly placed one after the next, with no significant gaps between them. Therefor, there is much better odds of price dropping from 121,400 - entering into these sell order blocks, and naturally dropping as those orders are filled one into the other. It would be a good day trade strategy to SHORT the 121,400 level, and expect the price to move down through these blocks. It would be a bad day trade strategy to LONG the 121,400, as the orders are very few compared to the downside, therefor, lower odds. This is really the only strategy you need to scalp trades on Bitcoin and predict where price is going. If you find these helpful, please let me know below. Yours truly, - DD

Short

BTCUSD: Short still in play, eyes on 117K support 📊 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 9, 2025 🔁 Review of Yesterday’s Plan As projected in yesterday’s plan (Oct 8), after BITSTAMP:BTCUSD broke above the EMA and moved toward the upper resistance zone, our Sell entry at 123,449 was triggered. Price then dropped sharply, following the expected scenario perfectly. 🎯 Objective for Today The focus for today is trade management on the current open position. The active trade is now approaching a profit range of 2R – 3R. We expect BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to continue declining toward 117,000 – 116,000, → which is also the key support area to look for potential Buy setups, according to the Daily plan mentioned in yesterday’s analysis. ✅ Trading Plan for Today Maintain the current Sell position, monitoring price action near 117,000 – 116,000. Once price reaches this zone, watch for confirmation signals (DD/FB or strong volume reaction) to prepare for a Buy setup aligned with the main trend. Avoid new entries between current levels — focus on managing the running trade and waiting for key zone reactions. 🎯 Summary: The Sell setup worked precisely as planned, now yielding solid profits. Next focus: monitor 117,000 – 116,000 for a potential Buy opportunity aligned with the higher timeframe structure. You can refer to my previous analysis here: Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Daniel Miller @ ZuperView

Short

Updated

BTCUSD: Short term sell setup - Long term buy opportunity ahead 🔁 Review of Yesterday’s Plan After BITSTAMP:BTCUSD rallied and set a new high at 126,190, the market entered a corrective phase. In yesterday’s plan, we expected that: Once the H1 candle closed below EMA, BTC could continue its decline and retest the lower support zone. After touching support, price might pause briefly, then break lower to continue the downtrend. Currently, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has broken below and is consolidating sideways within a narrow range on H1, aligning perfectly with the anticipated correction scenario. 📈 Trading Plan for Today On the H1 timeframe Two key levels to watch for the Sell plan: Resistance: 123,449 Support: 121,293 Scenario 1: If price fails to break above EMA and keeps consolidating near 121,238While staying below EMA, → wait for a BB (Break Block) confirmation → Sell following the breakout signal. Scenario 2: If price retraces toward EMA and moves up to test 123,471→ wait for bearish confirmation around resistance to Sell from that level. On the Daily timeframe After the strong rally, BTC is now undergoing a technical correction. The plan is to wait for price to pull back to retest the upper boundary of the previous range around 116,995, and Buy from that area. Alternative setup: If price reaches EMA sooner without testing the 116,995 zone,→ wait for BTC to accumulate momentum, then look for DD (Double Doji) / FB (First Breakout) pattern confirmation → Buy after signal confirmation. 🎯 Summary: Short-term (H1): Bearish correction. Mid-term (Daily): Bullish bias intact, waiting for confirmation near support. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Daniel Miller @ ZuperView

Updated

BTCUSD: Sideways market plan 🔁 Review of Yesterday’s Plan Yesterday, we had two breakout trading plans for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD : IRB (Inside Range Break) Price moved exactly as projected. Trade reached a profit of 2R – 2.5R, depending on individual target exits. RB/ARB (Range Break / Advance Range Break) Price reached the top boundary of the range and formed a bullish breakout candle, but was immediately followed by a strong bearish candle pulling back into the range. This was a clear False Breakout → No trade was taken, waiting instead for the next clear setup. 📈 Market Outlook for Today BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has now moved back inside the larger range (125,710 – 122,383), showing that the market is currently sideways within a wide range. The most recent candle closed below the EMA, indicating no clear signal for continuation trades yet. 🧭 Trading Plan for Today Wait for a new compression setup to form before entering. If price consolidates and compresses near the upper boundary of the range, prepare to Buy once confirmation appears. If price continues to drop toward the lower boundary of the range, consider Sell setups, depending on how price reacts to support. 🎯 Summary: BTC is currently in an accumulation (sideway) phase. Be patient and wait for a valid breakout setup before taking action — avoid chasing the market and focus on trading only when momentum and confirmation align. You can refer to my previous analysis here: Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Daniel Miller @ ZuperView

Updated

EUR/AUD Ready for Another Drop? Watch 1.7500!🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) Euro Futures: Non-commercial longs slightly decreased (-789) while shorts increased (+2,625) → mild bearish sentiment on the Euro. AUD Futures: Non-commercial longs increased (+1,718) while shorts surged strongly (+10,148) → clear bearish positioning on the Australian Dollar. 📌 Combined Interpretation: Mixed signals — institutional investors are trimming Euro longs while heavily increasing AUD shorts, which could sustain EUR/AUD strength in the short term despite mild Euro weakness. 🔹 FX Sentiment (retail positioning) 56% short vs 44% long. 📌 Retail slightly net short → mild contrarian signal supporting short-term upside for EUR/AUD, but not extreme enough to indicate a reversal. 🔹 Seasonality October is historically neutral to slightly bullish for the Australian Dollar, suggesting potential resilience. However, Euro tends to gain modestly into late Q4, often supported by defensive flows. 📌 Seasonal bias leans slightly bearish for EUR/AUD in October, but momentum remains fragile and can easily flip on macro catalysts. 🔹 Price Action EUR/AUD rejected from the 1.7920–1.7950 supply zone, confirming a descending channel structure. Price bounced from the local support around 1.7660–1.7680, with sellers still in control below the upper trendline. RSI neutral, showing potential for continuation lower after a minor corrective pullback. Key downside target remains at 1.7500, followed by 1.7400 extension if momentum persists. Bullish invalidation only above 1.7930, which would confirm a breakout from the descending channel. 🔹 Trading Outlook Main Bias: Bearish short-term, supported by technical rejection and macro weakness in the Euro. Contrarian Risk: Slightly short retail exposure could trigger a corrective bounce before the next leg down. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.7800 / 1.7930 Support: 1.7600 / 1.7500 / 1.7400

Short

by EdgeTradingJourney

BTCUSD: Monday analysis and buy plan within range Last week, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD had a strong bullish recovery, setting a new all-time high. At the moment, the trading plan remains bullish (Buy bias), but risk and position sizing should be managed carefully, as the market may experience short-term corrections after such an extended rally. 🧭 BTC Trading Plan Small Range within a Larger Range Price is currently moving inside a smaller range within a larger range. Wait for price to accumulate momentum and form an IRB (Inside Range Break) signal before setting up a potential Buy entry. Upper Boundary of the Larger Range Once price breaks the IRB and approaches the upper boundary of the major range, look for price compression near EMA. Upon confirmation of an RB/ARB (Range Break / Advance Range Break), execute a Buy market order, aiming for a reward ratio of 2R or higher. If the Market Deviates from Plan Stay on the sidelines and wait for clearer signals before re-entering the market. 🎯 Summary: BTC remains in a bullish structure, but selective entries and disciplined risk control are essential. Wishing everyone a productive and profitable trading week ahead! You can refer to my previous analysis here: Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Daniel Miller @ ZuperView

Long

US100: Strong resistance sell setup on the 30-minute chart 📈 SKILLING:US100 — Technical Analysis: Sell Setup Near Strong Resistance 🔍 Technical Analysis: • Currently, US100 price is approaching a significant resistance zone (highlighted in red). This area has acted as a strong ceiling in recent sessions, where sellers tend to emerge. • The price has rallied back after a sharp decline but is showing signs of slowing momentum as it nears this resistance. This often leads to a rejection rather than a clean breakout, especially on a 30-minute timeframe. • Below, the light blue zones represent key support levels, which could serve as realistic targets if sellers regain control. These zones are important areas where buyers previously stepped in, creating potential bounce points. • The drawn dashed lines illustrate a possible price path: a test of the resistance level, failure to break higher, followed by a pullback and continuation of the downward trend. • For confirmation of the sell setup, traders should look for reversal candlestick patterns such as rejection wicks (long upper shadows), bearish engulfing candles, or pin bars at the resistance zone. These signals help validate that sellers are gaining dominance. • Volume and momentum indicators should also be monitored for divergence or weakening bullish pressure near resistance to strengthen the case for a sell. 📊 Trade Considerations: • Entering a sell position should be done only after clear confirmation of price rejection at resistance. • Setting a stop loss slightly above the resistance zone helps manage risk in case of a false breakout. • Targets can be placed near the support zones (light blue areas), with partial profit-taking to lock gains while allowing some position to run if price reacts there. 📌 Summary: The technical structure of US100 on the 30-minute chart suggests a high probability of price reversal from the strong resistance area. A cautious sell setup is favored, waiting for confirming price action signals to reduce risk. Proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility near this key level. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Harry Andrew @ ZuperView

Short

USDCAD – Testing a Major Resistance Zone USDCAD remains overall bullish, trading within a rising channel. However, price is now approaching a key intersection between the upper trendline and a major resistance zone around 1.4000. As price nears this confluence area, we’ll be looking for potential short opportunities, anticipating a possible rejection before any continuation higher. The next support zone sits near 1.3750, where buyers might step back in if a pullback occurs. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr

Short

by TheSignalyst

AUDJPY — Buy the Retest?AUDJPY remains overall bullish inside a rising channel. Price is hovering above a 96.0–96.5 support zone, which previously acted as resistance and now aligns with the channel’s lower boundary, a solid confluence area. 🔑 Key levels Support: 96.0–96.5 (zone to watch for bullish rejection) Resistance: 98.5 then 100.0 (round number / channel upper band) 📊 Scenarios Bullish 📈 If price retests 96.0–96.5 and prints confirmation (higher low / bullish candle), I’ll look for longs toward 98.5 → 100.0. Bearish 📉 A daily close below 96.0 would invalidate the setup and open room toward the next liquidity pocket near the channel low. What’s your plan here => wait for the retest into 96s, or trade the continuation if momentum kicks in first? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr

Long

by TheSignalyst

Updated

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Select market data provided by ICE Data Services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc.Copyright © 2025, American Bankers Association. CUSIP Database provided by FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. SEC fillings and other documents provided by Quartr.© 2025 TradingView, Inc.

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