US30 -Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: US30
🔹 HTF Overview: Structure bullish; market momentum favors the upside.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for a deep sweep of stop-losses (SSL) to refine continuation setup.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once SSL is taken, drop to lower timeframe for CHoCH confirmation and precise entries.
🔹 Targets: Mid- to long-term highs, aligned with bullish structure and liquidity zones.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is key—let smart money lead before committing.
Structure
EURJPY - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: EURJPY
🔹 HTF Overview: Price structure bullish, though prints not perfectly clean. Monitoring carefully.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for sweep of stop-losses (SSL) into the midterm OB area to refine continuation setup.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once MTF sweep occurs, will drop to lower timeframe for proper alignment and entries.
🔹 Targets: Midterm liquidity pools and highs above recent structure.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is critical—wait for smart money confirmation before committing.
GBPJPY - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: GBPJPY
🔹 HTF Overview: Price has been respecting structure cleanly across all timeframes. Bullish bias intact.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Continuation plays forming toward midterm highs. Momentum aligned with HTF structure.
🔹 LTF Setup: Watching for lower-timeframe alignment to refine entries in line with continuation moves.
🔹 Targets: Midterm highs and liquidity above recent structure.
🔹 Mindset Note: Let structure and smart money lead—patience ensures optimal entries.
NZDUSD - Bearish Bias
🔹 Pair: NZDUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Price showing bearish intent, respecting higher-timeframe structure.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for a sweep of liquidity in the midterm OB. This will highlight smart money interest and refine continuation.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once the sweep occurs, I’ll drop to the lower timeframe to refine entries into premium OB areas for optimal short positions.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity zones aligned with bearish momentum.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is key—let smart money guide before taking the trade.
AUDUSD - Bullish Bias
🔹 Pair: AUDUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Price respected higher-timeframe bullish structure and swept past the MTF OB with momentum.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Mitigation occurred in the deeper hidden anchor OB. Waiting for a clean midterm CHoCH to confirm continuation.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once the MTF CHoCH prints, I’ll drop to the lower timeframe to refine entries and align with discounted areas.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity points above recent structure in line with bullish bias.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience and alignment across timeframes remains the edge.
BTCUSD - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
🔹 HTF Overview: Price remains strong and bullish, respecting higher-timeframe structure with clear upward momentum.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for midterm alignment—once a lower-high (LH) breach occurs, we’ll position for continuation with fresh OB areas.
🔹 LTF Setup: Currently in a deep anchor OB. Waiting for the hold and CHoCH switch before committing to long entries.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity zones above recent highs, aligned with bullish intent.
🔹 Mindset Note: Let smart money lead—patience ensures optimal timing and execution.
XAUUSD - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: Gold (XAUUSD)
🔹 HTF Overview: Market structure remains bullish, with strong upside intent still intact.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for price to sweep short-term sell-side liquidity and mitigate the deeper OB below—this will refine the continuation play.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once MTF objectives are cleared, I’ll align with CHoCH and fresh OB prints on the lower timeframe to position long.
🔹 Targets: Eyes remain on higher liquidity pools in line with bullish market rhythm.
🔹 Mindset Note: Timing is everything—patience until MTF and LTF structure align.
UJ - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: USDJPY
🔹 HTF Overview: Bullish structure well respected, with clean momentum driving price higher.
🔹 MTF Confirmation: Price mitigated our midterm OB, held firmly, and validated the continuation longs we’ve been anticipating.
🔹 LTF Setup: Bullish setups already played out—now waiting for fresh alignments and new mitigations to position for the next leg.
🔹 Targets: Eyes on mid- to long-term highs as liquidity magnets in line with bullish intent.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience sharpens precision—let the market confirm before engaging.
GU - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: GBPUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Price swept liquidity, then respected a higher-timeframe order block. Momentum shifted bullish with a steady rhythm.
🔹 MTF Confirmation: Initial OB mitigation failed cleanly, but price tapped deeper into hidden anchor OBs. From here, expecting smart money to defend and guide the move higher.
🔹 LTF Setup: Waiting for a CHoCH and a fresh OB print. Once midterm structure aligns, I’ll refine entries from the LTF.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity pools above recent highs in line with bullish HTF intent.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the real entry—let smart money confirm before committing.
EU - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: EURUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Major higher-high order block respected cleanly. Strong bullish intent and volume confirmed; market structure favors upside continuation.
🔹 MTF Confirmation: Original OB failed, but price tapped deeper into the hidden anchor block. Expecting this zone to act as the true smart money foundation.
🔹 LTF Setup: Waiting for a CHoCH and lower-high break. After that, I’ll target a pullback below 50% equilibrium into discounted areas for long entries.
🔹 Targets: Continuation toward higher-timeframe liquidity above recent highs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the edge. Smart money confirms before committing.
AUDJPY Trade Recap + Coffee Sell Position Explanation 25.09.25Two positions covered in this recap.
AUD / JPY - 1%
COFFEE Short Structure Explanation
Full explanation as to why I executed on this position, using the 4H to my advantage but also understanding price was due a deeper pullback, but these pullbacks do not always happen.
Any questions you have just drop them below 👇
GBPCHF - Oversold at Demand: Longs on Confirmation?GBPCHF has been drifting lower on the 4H inside a falling channel. Price is now tapping a multi-touch demand zone around 1.066–1.070, right at the channel’s lower bound—classic confluence for a bounce.
As long as this base holds, I’ll look for reversal confirmation (wick rejections/HH-HL) to ride a rotation toward 1.075 first, then 1.082–1.085 near the channel midline 📈. A clean 4H close below 1.064 would invalidate the idea and expose 1.060–1.058 next.
What’s your move => buy the dip at demand, or wait for a break of the red channel before joining? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Ethereum Daily Chart Distribution Phase Signals huge dumpIf you’ve been tracking Ethereum on the daily chart, the structure is starting to look heavy — and not in a bullish way. Let’s break this down step by step so it’s easy to follow 👇
Support lost: ETH has already broken its key support zone around $4060, which previously acted as a higher low. Now, the recent dip is printing a new lower low, shifting market sentiment.
Daily close levels matter: If the daily candle closes below $4000, it confirms weakness and opens doors for a further sell-off.
Possible head and shoulders: A pullback toward the $4100 region could simply build the right shoulder of a bearish head and shoulder pattern. The structure matches what we saw earlier on the left shoulder.
Bearish momentum risk: If ETH fails to hold above $4000 after that pullback, we could be looking at extended downside — even a sharp fall toward the $2000 zone based on historical dump patterns.
Market behavior reminder: Over the past two years, whenever ETH started a distribution breakdown, the drop was often fast and violent. That’s why caution is key here.
📌 Key Takeaway: Ethereum is at a make-or-break daily level. Watch $4000 closely — losing this level could accelerate a bearish breakdown. Short-term traders may look for opportunities on the pullback, while long-term holders need to stay cautious of the possible head and shoulders pattern forming.
USDJPY - Red Low or Orange Resistance: Your Trigger Map!USDJPY squeezed off 146.0 and is testing the 148.8–149.2 orange resistance on the 4H while momentum cools.
Here’s the plan 🔑
If the last low in red is broken downward, the bears take over, and I’ll look for 147.2 first, then the 146.0 support zone.
If the orange resistance is broken upward and holds, I’ll expect continuation toward the upper supply at 150.7–151.0 (with 150.0 as a waypoint).
What’s your move => fade a failure at the orange band, or buy a clean break and hold into 150s? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
MSTR - Trendline Support vs. Supply Cap!MSTR has been overall bullish on the daily, respecting a rising trendline since last year. Price is coiling right beneath the 330–350 supply band after multiple rejections.
This area is key 🔑. It overlaps prior supply and the rising trendline—clean confluence. If bulls defend the trendline and we see a clean daily close above 350, momentum could extend toward 400 first, then 470–520 inside the broader range 🚀.
If the trendline gives way, I’ll look for a deeper dip toward 260–240 demand before bulls try again. Until then, structure favors the upside while the line holds.
What’s your plan => buy strength above 350 or wait for a retest on the trendline first? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USDCHF — Rally Into Structure, Short the Retest?USDCHF has been overall bearish on the 4H, sliding inside a falling channel. After a bounce, price is rotating back into the 0.798–0.802 structure zone, right at the channel’s upper bound.
This confluence is key 🔑. If sellers react here, I’ll look for rejection shorts toward 0.790 first, then 0.785–0.780 near the channel floor. A clean 4H close and hold above 0.802 would invalidate the idea and expose 0.806–0.810 next ⏳.
What’s your plan => fade the rally at supply, or wait for confirmation before jumping in? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GBPCHF - Weekly Outlook
Pair: GBPCHF
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Major LH has been broken, signaling clear buy intent. A deep pullback is currently in play, setting up potential continuation.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Price has mitigated the OB zone and pushed deeper into the secret anchor OB area. Structure shows high-probability continuation potential.
LTF (30M/5M):
Waiting for a CHoCH to form. Once the LH breaks, we’ll wait for the pullback to occur and attend the bullish leg.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
GBPCHF can run sharp — patience for the CHoCH and pullback ensures a clean entry aligned with HTF bullish intent.
EURNZD - Weekly OutlookPair: EURNZD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Strong momentum visible toward the upside, structure clearly bullish.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Anticipating continuation to the highs. Waiting for the courtyard liquidity to be taken and slashed before confirming the next leg.
LTF (30M/5M):
Once price mitigates the OB from the MTF, we wait for a full CHoCH. After that prints, we’ll look for a pullback on the bullish leg to catch the move.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Let the CHoCH and mitigation complete — patience ensures the cleanest entry and avoids premature entries against structure.