Gold Regains Direction: Watching Momentum and CluesLooking at the XAUUSD chart, I’m genuinely intrigued by what’s unfolding. Price continues to move steadily within an upward parallel channel, perfectly respecting the market structure, while we are starting to see early signs of renewed buying interest right after a strong rejection at the support zone.
At the moment, I’m focusing on the area around 3,721, near the upper boundary of the channel, as a safe target. If the upward momentum continues with strength and solid volume, this could present a strategic opportunity to enter the market and ride the trend.
Patience is key; I only take action when the price proves its true strength. The market may continue its strong uptrend or create a false move before a deeper correction.
Supportandresitance
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,651, consolidating just under the $3,658 resistance after a strong bullish leg higher. Trend remains bullish above $3,617, but gold is testing key resistance. A breakout could fuel continuation, while rejection raises the risk of a short-term corrective pullback.
A clean break above $3,658 would confirm continuation, targeting $3,674, then $3,690, with an extended move toward $3,706.
On the downside, rejection from current resistance could see a pullback into $3,644, followed by $3,630 and the $3,617 zone. A decisive break below $3,594 would weaken the bullish bias and expose the $3,564 pullback zone.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,658
$3,674
$3,690
$3,706
Support:
$3,644
$3,630
$3,617
$3,594
$3,564
ATHUSDT.P – Trap Zone Absorption → Reversal | High-Timeframe ValBITGET:ATHUSDT.P
🕐 Timeframe: 1H
📊 Strategy: Trap Zone Reversal | Absorption + Delta Flip + HTF Value Reclaim
⸻
📘 CONTEXT:
We’re observing a reversal setup on the 1H chart of ATHUSDT.P (BitGet Mix Perpetual).
Price has recently swept a key trap zone and shown aggressive selling absorption near the lows. We’re now seeing reversal momentum building as price reclaims structure.
This follows a period of:
• Failed sell climaxes at the trap zone
• Absorption of aggressive sellers
• Re-entry above higher timeframe value (HTFV)
These are classic markers of a shift from distribution (short bias) into accumulation (long bias).
⸻
🔍 STRUCTURE BREAKDOWN:
• 🔲 Contraction Box High (BH): 0.03017
• 📉 Higher Timeframe Value (HTFV): 0.03006
• 💚 Trap Zone Absorption Level: 0.02990
• 🔵 Trap Zone Low: 0.02983 (Suggested stop-loss zone)
The chart also marks:
• 📈 Sell climaxes that failed to follow through
• 📉 Buy climaxes that have now been absorbed
This suggests wholesale price acceptance has shifted to the upside.
⸻
🎯 TRADE PLAN:
• Entry Zone: Around 0.02990
• Stop Loss: Below 0.02983 (trap zone low)
• Target 1: 0.03071 ✅ (Remove ~33% at this level)
• Target 2: 0.03151 ✅ (Remove ~90%, leave runners)
• Risk/Reward: Designed for a +5% move
• Execution Type: Reversal entry off structural sweep + absorption
⸻
🧠 NOTES ON INDICATORS:
This chart is deliberately stripped of indicators to maintain focus on raw structure and price behavior.
The following zones are marked visually:
• HTFV = Higher Timeframe Value area (drawn manually)
• Trap Zone = Where previous aggressive sellers are now trapped
• Absorption = Inferred from prior failed lows and clustering behavior
• No footprint data shown, but reversal pressure is visible through price structure alone
⸻
✅ TRADE STATUS:
📈 Active – Position Open
Monitoring structure for expansion continuation and scale-out levels.
XAGUSD Overextended: Watching 40.50 NecklineIn the past months I argued that Silver should rise and reach 40, and the market not only achieved that but even exceeded the level, printing a high at 41.50.
However, just like Gold, this move looks overextended and vulnerable to correction.
📌 Technically, price has tapped 41.50 twice. While it cannot yet be called a confirmed double top, the possibility exists. The neckline of this potential pattern is at 40.50.
• A break below 40.50 could trigger a deeper correction.
• First target: under 40, toward the 39 technical support zone.
🔑 Trading Plan: I remain cautious at these levels.
If 40.50 gives way, I will look for shorts targeting the 39 area. Counter-trend trades carry very high risk, but the setup is worth monitoring. 🚀
ETH/USD: Could $5,000 Be Just Around the Corner?Ethereum (ETH) is currently trading at $4,285, experiencing a slight decline from the previous close. Intraday, it reached a high of $4,474 and a low of $4,261. The $4,300–$4,400 range has been acting as a key support zone, and a breach below this could see ETH testing the $4,000 level, with the 50-day EMA providing additional support. Immediate resistance is observed around $4,530, and a successful breakout above this level could pave the way for a move towards $5,000.
Market sentiment shows the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching overbought territory, indicating potential for a short-term pullback. Significant institutional accumulation continues, with firms like BlackRock increasing their ETH holdings. The approval of Ethereum ETFs in the U.S. and Australia has led to increased investor participation, contributing to upward price pressure.
Short-term volatility is expected as ETH tests these key support and resistance levels. A breakout above $4,530 could signal a bullish continuation towards $5,000, while a drop below $4,000 may lead to further downside. Long-term prospects remain positive, supported by growing institutional interest and favorable market conditions.
ETH/USD: Will ETH Soar to $8,000 or Crash Below $4,000?As of September 3, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading around $4,466 USD. The market is currently experiencing heightened volatility, influenced by both technical factors and broader macroeconomic developments. Ethereum reached a high of $4,954 in August before retracing to its current levels, suggesting a consolidation phase with key support around $4,200 and resistance near $4,650.
Technically, short-term trends suggest a bullish bias, but caution is advised due to recent fluctuations. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing bearish divergence, indicating potential weakening momentum. A decisive breakout above $4,650 could push ETH toward $5,000, while a drop below $4,200 may lead to retesting the $4,000 support zone.
Investor sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Anticipation of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in September has increased demand for risk assets like Ethereum. Additionally, the upcoming Fusaka upgrade is expected to enhance Ethereum's scalability and reduce transaction costs, further bolstering its appeal.
In the near term, Ethereum is likely to experience continued volatility. Traders should monitor the $4,200 support and $4,650 resistance levels closely. Looking ahead, Ethereum's long-term prospects remain strong. Analysts project that with sustained institutional interest and successful implementation of scalability upgrades, ETH could reach between $6,000 and $8,000 by the end of 2025.
Despite the optimistic outlook, Ethereum's price remains susceptible to broader market dynamics, including Bitcoin’s performance and macroeconomic factors. Investors should be prepared for potential fluctuations and consider these risks when making investment decisions. Overall, Ethereum’s market is at a pivotal point, and key technical levels and upcoming events will play a crucial role in determining its short-term trajectory.
ETH/USD: ETH on the Edge!ETH is currently trading around $4,390–$4,430 after a summer rally and a modest pullback, reflecting broader crypto weakness linked to shifting U.S. rate-cut expectations. Demand from spot ETH ETFs has been a key support factor, with inflows continuing steadily and several trackers reporting multi-billion-dollar monthly additions.
On-chain activity also remains robust, with DeFi TVL, daily transactions, and active addresses near 2025 highs, indicating that real usage underpins price action. The completion of the Pectra upgrade and upcoming scalability improvements further support medium-term confidence, while macro developments remain the main swing factor, as crypto reacts to Fed guidance and broader risk appetite.
Technically, $4,300–$4,350 provides immediate support, with deeper support at $4,150–$4,200, while resistance sits at $4,600, above which $4,950–$5,000 becomes achievable. In the next 2–6 weeks, ETH is likely to trade in a range of $4,200–$4,950, with ETF inflows and strong on-chain metrics cushioning dips, though a decisive close above $4,600 would open a run toward $4,900–$5,000, and a close below $4,300 risks probing $4,150–$4,200.
Into Q4, the outlook remains constructive but choppy, with potential to retest and break $5,000 if flows persist and macro conditions remain favorable. Key risks include a macro downside surprise, ETF outflows, and technical or regulatory setbacks.
Market participants should watch ETF flow prints, on-chain activity, and U.S. rates data, as these will heavily influence ETH price action. Overall, near-term trading likely remains choppy between $4,200 and $4,950, with $4,600 acting as pivotal resistance and $4,300 as immediate support, while ETF inflows and real usage favor buy-the-dip behavior, and macro developments will determine whether ETH can sustainably challenge $5,000.
BTC/USD: Bitcoin Set to Explode?As of August 27, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $111,612, reflecting a slight daily increase. The cryptocurrency market has experienced notable developments recently, influencing both short-term price movements and long-term trends.
The U.S. government's establishment of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in March 2025, under President Trump's executive order, has significantly impacted market sentiment. This move positions Bitcoin as a national reserve asset, with the U.S. Treasury holding an estimated 198,000 BTC. Such institutional adoption has bolstered investor confidence, contributing to Bitcoin's recent price surge to over $124,000 earlier this month...
Additionally, the rise of Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCs), such as MicroStrategy, which now holds around 630,000 BTC, has further reduced available supply on exchanges. Reports indicate that Bitcoin availability on exchanges fell below 15% in July 2025, a low not seen since 2018. This scarcity has intensified demand, driving prices higher.
Bitcoin is currently consolidating between the $112,000 and $115,000 levels. The 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) near $114,000 has acted as a resistance point, while support is observed around $110,000. A breakout above $115,000 could pave the way for a retest of the $120,000 to $125,000 range.
Conversely, a decline below $110,000 may lead to further downside, with potential support levels at $108,000 and $105,000. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 42, indicating that the market is not overbought, allowing room for upward movement.
*Bitcoin's market is currently characterized by strong institutional support, reduced supply on exchanges, and positive regulatory developments. While short-term fluctuations are possible, the overall trend points towards continued growth. Investors should monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as macroeconomic indicators, to navigate the evolving landscape effectively.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,370 after the Asian session rally, which began with a manipulation-style dip lower, followed by a sharp bullish candle driving price into the $3,386 resistance. Price was rejected at this level and is now consolidating just above the $3,363 support.
Structure remains constructive as long as gold holds above $3,363, with both the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green) starting to slope upward, providing short-term bullish momentum.
A clean break and hold above $3,386 would open the path toward $3,406 and potentially $3,422. On the downside, failure to defend $3,363 would expose the $3,347–$3,328 support zone, with deeper losses shifting focus back toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,386
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
$3,304
$3,281
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Tuesday, Aug 26
Key events today: Durable Goods Orders, Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index, plus FOMC speakers. Data may drive volatility in gold.
⚠️ Expect intraday swings — manage risk and wait for confirmation.
Silver’s Roadmap: Support at 37, Eyes on 451. What happened last week
As I mentioned in previous analyses, Silver is more bullish than Gold. Last week confirmed this view once again: the dip from 37 was quickly absorbed by buyers, showing strong demand. On the weekly chart (left), the reversal from the lows printed a clear bullish engulfing candle, while on the daily chart (right), the bounce shaped a classic three white soldiers pattern.
2. Key resistance and current challenge
Friday’s advance, however, stalled exactly at the resistance zone around 39, an area defined by the high from previous months. This makes 39 the immediate hurdle for bulls. Without a clean breakout above this zone, the risk of another short-term pullback remains.
3. Bigger picture outlook
Looking further ahead, many traders might see a move toward 45 as “stretched,” considering it implies a rally of nearly 6000 pips from here. But in percentage terms, that’s only about 15%, which is well within Silver’s historical volatility. In fact, such moves are not unusual for Silver market when momentum builds.
4. Trading plan
With this in mind, as long as the 37 level holds as support, the strategy remains to buy dips into weakness. A decisive break above 39 would provide confirmation for continuation, opening the door toward the 45 target area.
5. Final note
Silver continues to show relative strength compared to Gold. The technical picture is bullish, the levels are well-defined, and the price action is clean. Now the market simply needs confirmation above resistance.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
ETH/USD: Could $ETH Hit $7,000 by Year-End?As of August 25, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at approximately $4,795.60, showing a steady upward trajectory since early August. This bullish momentum is supported by several key factors, including institutional interest, ETF inflows, and the ongoing strength of decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.
ETH has recently surpassed the $4,750 resistance level, indicating a potential move towards the $5,000–$5,200 range. The next significant resistance is around $5,000, which, if broken, could pave the way for a retest of the all-time high near $5,200. Conversely, support levels are found at $4,700 and $4,600–$4,400. A drop below $4,600 could signal a short-term pullback.
Ethereum's recent price surge is attributed to increased institutional demand, particularly following the launch of Ethereum ETFs, which have attracted significant capital inflows. Additionally, the Ethereum network's upgrades and the growing adoption of Layer 2 solutions have enhanced scalability and reduced transaction costs, further bolstering investor confidence.
Outlook for Q4 2025
Looking ahead, if ETH maintains its current trajectory and breaks through the $5,200 resistance, it could target the $6,000–$7,000 range by the end of the year. However, market volatility remains a factor, and investors should be prepared for potential fluctuations.
*Ethereum's current bullish trend is supported by strong technical indicators and positive fundamental developments. While the path to new all-time highs appears promising, it's crucial for investors to monitor key support and resistance levels and remain cautious of market volatility.
ETH/USD: Could ETH Surge Past $5,000 This Week?Over the next seven days, Ethereum (ETH) is projected to experience moderate bullish momentum, potentially reaching a price range between $4,800 and $5,000.
Currently, ETH is trading at approximately $4,852.49, reflecting a recent uptick of 14.33%. This positive movement is attributed to favorable macroeconomic indicators, including expectations of an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which has historically supported risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Technical analysis suggests that ETH is trading above key support levels and is approaching resistance zones. If the price breaks through these resistance levels, it could pave the way for further gains. Conversely, a failure to maintain upward momentum may lead to a consolidation phase or a slight pullback.
Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with institutional interest continuing to grow. However, investors should remain vigilant, as the cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility and susceptibility to sudden shifts in sentiment.
In summary, ETH is poised for potential gains over the next week, but market participants should stay informed and prepared for any unforeseen developments that could impact price movements.
ETH/USD: Will ETH Crash Back to $3,800?Ethereum has demonstrated a strong bullish trend in August, with prices approaching key resistance levels. Analysts suggest that a sustained break above $4,800 could propel ETH toward $5,500–$6,000 by the end of the month.
Institutional interest remains robust, with significant inflows into Ethereum-based ETFs and increased holdings by digital asset treasury firms like Bitmine Immersion Technologies and Sharplink Gaming.
* Resistance Levels: $4,800, $5,000, $5,500
* Support Levels: $4,000, $3,800
* Key Indicators: Strong Relative Strength Index (RSI) and bullish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) suggest continued upward momentum.
Ethereum is poised for a potential breakout. A decisive move above $4,800, supported by strong trading volumes, could initiate a rally toward $5,500–$6,000. Conversely, a drop below $4,000 might lead to a retest of the $3,800 support zone.
GBP/NZD POTENTIONAL SHORT OPPORTUNITYThis is an idea for GBPNZD's potential short opportunity based on what the technicals indicate.
The trend has been emphasising its bullish approach for almost three years.
Price respected almost 11 times due to the strong resistance within 150 days between 2.265 & 2.275 and bounced off bullish OB on the daily chart and FVG on the weekly chart.
An institutional sharp decline on the weekly chart, followed by a clear wedge, can support a further drop once swept by bearish daily OB. A breakout to the micro wedge (orange) within a macro wedge can also help further down move.
Given that a bearish pin bar followed by a bearish doji is a strong warning signal of potential reversal or bearish continuation that appears inside the micro wedge.
TP1 is considered the first support at the bottom, where the daily OB and the weekly FVG meet at around 2.22000 or the area close to the trendline. If the price breaks through the trendline, TP2 and TP3 will be expected to be achieved.
TP2 may be located at the micro accumulation around 2.20000, and TP3 at the following major support around 2.15000-2.17000 that previously acted as both support and resistance.
Good luck and have a great weekend.
BTC/USD: $100K Shakeout or New All-Time High Incoming?Bitcoin has been trading in a strong bullish cycle, recently touching highs above $124,000, driven by institutional inflows, favorable macro sentiment, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. However, the market is now showing early signs of exhaustion, with prices struggling to maintain momentum above the $118,000–$120,000 resistance zone.
From a technical perspective, the 50-day moving average currently sits near $107,000, acting as the first major support level. A decisive break below it could open the door to a deeper retracement toward the psychological $100,000 level, which also aligns with a key historical demand zone.
The RSI on the daily chart is entering overbought territory, suggesting that a short-term pullback may be healthy for the market. Meanwhile, MACD momentum is flattening, indicating that bulls may be losing steam after an aggressive rally.
Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains in a strong long-term uptrend, but short-term risks cannot be ignored. Regulatory headlines, macroeconomic shocks, or a failure to hold technical support could accelerate a correction. Many analysts, including Arthur Hayes, have mentioned the possibility of a drop to $100K, not as a collapse but as a potential accumulation phase before another leg higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
*Support: $107,000 – $100,000
*Resistance: $120,000 – $124,500
*Breakout Target: Above $125,000 could trigger a run toward $135,000+
*Breakdown Target: Below $100,000 could extend to $95,000
While the macro trend remains bullish, a short-term dip toward $100K is a realistic scenario if momentum continues to fade. Long-term holders may see such a move as an opportunity, while short-term traders should watch for a confirmed break of $107K to position accordingly.
ETH/USD: Ethereum on the Edge of History!Ethereum recently surged over 50% in the last month, currently trading near $4,700, approaching its all-time high of ~$4,868 from November 2021.
Weekly momentum remains strong; Ethereum is riding a bullish channel. Some technical indicators hint at potential overbought conditions, but these can persist in strong rallies.
*Support lies between $4,400–4,500, with more substantial support around $4,145 and down to $3,800–3,700 in case of deeper pullbacks
*Most indicators point toward a continuation of the bullish channel, with potential for slight corrections as Ethereum tests key resistance levels.
Ethereum is currently in a strong bullish phase, trading near its all-time high, with momentum supported by institutional inflows, regulatory clarity, and recent protocol upgrades. Short-term projections suggest a possible breakout above $4,800, with targets between $5,200 and $6,000 in the coming weeks. By the end of 2025, most forecasts see ETH reaching at least $7,500, while more aggressive scenarios point toward $10,000 or higher.
In the longer term, Ethereum’s expanding role in stablecoins, decentralized finance, and institutional adoption could drive substantial price appreciation, with major banks forecasting $25,000 by 2028 and some optimistic models aiming for $40,000+ by 2030. However, this growth path is not without risks; potential market corrections, regulatory changes, and competition from other blockchain platforms could affect momentum.
Overall, Ethereum remains one of the most promising digital assets in the crypto market, with both technical and fundamental factors aligning for continued growth, provided broader market sentiment stays positive.
SHIB/USDT at a Crucial Crossroad!Shiba Inu is exhibiting a neutral to slightly bullish trend. The price is currently testing the support level around $0.00001350, with resistance near $0.00001400. A breakout above this resistance could signal a continuation of the upward momentum.
*Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $0.00001400 could lead to a rally towards $0.00001500.
*Bearish Scenario: A drop below $0.00001350 may result in a decline towards $0.00001250.
BTC/USDT: Key Levels to Watch Now!Bitcoin remains in a macro bullish structure, but recent price action shows consolidation after breaking through major resistance levels earlier this month. Similar to previous cycles, BTC tends to form short-term ranges after strong rallies before deciding the next move.
Currently, BTC is trading near $116,500–$117,000, just above a key support zone from $115,200 to $114,500. This area aligns with previous breakout levels and the 20 EMA on the 4H chart, making it critical for the short-term trend.
*Bullish Scenario: Holding above $115,200 and breaking $118,600 with strong buying volume could push BTC toward $120,500–$122,000 within days.
*Bearish Scenario: A close below $114,500 could trigger a correction toward $112,800–$111,900. Losing this level may extend the retracement to $110,200 (major demand zone).
Summary:
BTC is consolidating near key support. Past scenarios suggest a breakout above $118,600 could fuel the next bullish leg, but losing $114,500 risks a deeper pullback toward $112,800. The next 2–4 days should define short-term direction.
SHIB/USDT: Will the Bulls Win?Over the next seven days, SHIB/USDT is likely to consolidate within a range around $0.0000122 to $0.0000132. If it breaks above the 200‑day EMA (~$0.0000145) and trading volume rises, SHIB could climb toward $0.0000150–$0.0000152.
However, failure to hold $0.0000120–$0.0000122 support may lead to a downturn toward $0.0000118 or lower...
Factors That Could Influence the Path
-Investor behavior – Whale activity and institutional purchasing are key; recently high volume hinted at institutional positioning
-Network events – Any burn campaigns or Shibarium adoption updates could spur bullish movement.
-Market sentiment – Overall crypto risk appetite matters; a bearish broader market may weigh on SHIB despite upcoming support.
-Competitive tokens – Alternatives like Little Pepe (LILPEPE) or PEPE Coin are garnering attention, which might divert speculative capital
Risk & Summary:
*Moderate upside potential if momentum continues up to ~20% gain from current levels.
*Downside limited to ~3–5% if support fails.
*Short‑term behavior will largely depend on volume, burn incentives, and broader crypto sentiment.
DOGE Setup Heating Up: These Levels Could Define the Next Move!Prediction for the Period Ahead (Next 1–2 Weeks):
*Base case: Holding support at $0.198–$0.200 → test $0.215.
*Bull trigger: Break above $0.215 with volume → possible move to $0.232 and higher.
*Downside risk: Falling below $0.182 could drag the price to $0.175 before any recovery.
DOGE is currently consolidating in a tight range with a neutral to slightly bearish technical bias. However, a breakout above $0.215, particularly supported by volume, could set the stage for further gains targeting $0.232–$0.287 zone. Conversely, a downturn past $0.182 opens the risk of a deeper test toward $0.175. In either scenario, the upcoming weeks seem pivotal...