USDJPY: Breakout & Bullish Continuation 🇺🇸🇯🇵
There is a high probability that USDJPY will rise more,
following a confirmed breakout of a key daily horizontal resistance.
The next strong key level is 157.6.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Swingtrading
Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity🟡 Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity ⏳✨
Gold is not a market that rewards constant action.
It rewards waiting, observation, and precise timing.
Many traders believe that trading more means earning more. In Gold, this mindset often leads to overtrading, emotional decisions, and unnecessary losses.
⏱️ 1. Gold Moves in Phases, Not Constant Trends
Gold spends a large amount of time in:
consolidation 🔄
slow accumulation 🧩
controlled ranges 📦
During these phases, price appears “boring,” but the market is actually preparing.
Trading aggressively in these conditions usually means trading noise, not opportunity.
🧠 2. Activity Feeds Emotions, Timing Controls Risk
High activity leads to:
impatience 😤
forced entries 🎯
emotional exits ❌
Good timing, on the other hand, comes from:
understanding context 🧭
waiting for price to show intent 📊
acting only when conditions align ✅
Gold punishes impatience faster than most markets.
🏦 3. Institutions Trade Less, But Trade Better
Large players do not chase every candle.
They wait for:
liquidity to build 💧
weak hands to exit 🧹
price to reach meaningful zones 📍
When timing is right, Gold often moves fast and decisively — leaving overactive traders behind.
⚡ 4. Big Gold Moves Come After Quiet Periods
Some of the strongest Gold expansions begin after:
low volatility 😴
reduced participation 📉
trader boredom 💤
This is why patience is not passive — it is strategic.
🧩 Key Insight
In Gold, doing less at the right time often outperforms doing more at the wrong time.
🎯 Final Takeaway
❌ More trades ≠ more profits
✅ Better timing = cleaner execution
🟡 Gold rewards discipline, context, and patience
Master timing, and activity will take care of itself.
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Inverted Head & Shoulders Setup📊 Technical Outlook
Gold is currently forming an inverted head & shoulders pattern, with the right shoulder established around 4308. Price action is consolidating near the neckline zone (4380–4400), and a confirmed breakout above this level would validate the bullish continuation.
🎯 Upside Targets
• TP1: 4540 – First long-term target aligned with measured move projection.
• TP2: 4650 – Extended bullish target, continuation of momentum.
📈 Trade Plan
• Entry Zone: Accumulation around 4308–4320, confirmation above 4380–4400.
• Stop-Loss: Below 4300 (invalidates right shoulder).
• Take Profit:
• TP1: 4540
• TP2: 4650
⚠️ Risk Notes
• A breakdown below 4308 risks invalidating the bullish setup.
• Watch for false breakouts at 4380; volume confirmation is key.
• Macro drivers (Fed policy, inflation, geopolitical tensions) may add volatility.
📌 Summary: As long as 4308 holds, gold remains bullish with potential continuation toward 4540 and 4650. Breakout above 4400 is the trigger for momentum buyers.
Micron Technology - The bullrun will end today!🏒Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is now starting a correction:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, Micron Technology rallied an expected +350%. However, with the current retest of major resistance, it is quite likely that this bullrun will end soon. Just wait for sufficient bearish confirmation after this long rally.
📝Levels to watch:
$350
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Tata ElxsiTata Elxsi gave a breakout of a falling trendline few days back. Now it has given a retest of the trendline and has started its uptrend again. You can a small tight consolidation and a breakout of that range in 4hr timeframe today. A closing of this candle can be a buying opportunity.
Check the chart image for all the entry targets and stoploss and reason for the trade.
Target 1 and stoploss is for short term traders. For long term traders they can look for target 2 and even higher target as this is good pick for long-term.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose.
Jai Shree Ram.
IREDA NEW YEAR PICKHello everyone and Happy New year.
Ireda after a long consolidation and correction it has broken its previous lower high and marking a trend change. This can be a good reversal trade. One can look to accumulate Ireda at 142-144 levels.
SL - 136
Target- 155, 163 and long-term investors can hold for all time highs.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose.
Jai Shree Ram.
SBUX 1D Chart DeclineStarbucks (SBUX) stock, as shown in the 1-day chart, has declined sharply due to a combination of operational challenges, weak earnings, and broader market pressures, making it a poor choice for swing trading. Q4 2025 results revealed a $230 million revenue miss and operating margins contracting to 2.9% from 18.7% the prior year, driven by store closures (over 600 in North America plus plans for 400 more underperforming U.S. locations), rising labor costs, and inflationary pressures from strategies like "Back to Starbucks." U.S. comparable sales fell 2%, with transaction volumes down nearly 4%, compounded by economic pressures on consumers, competition in China, and potential coffee tariff hikes under President Trump, leading to a 13.6% yearly drop that underperforms the S&P 500. For swing traders, the bearish technicals—including a 'death cross' with the 50-day moving average below the 200-day, negative MACD, and price near lower Bollinger Bands—signal continued downside risk and low reward potential amid eroded investor confidence.
ORIENT CERATECH LTD - WEEKLY TRENDLINE BREAKOUT📊 ORIENT CERATECH LTD – Weekly Trendline Breakout Attempt 🔥
📅 Date: Jan 01, 2026
⏱️ Timeframe: 1W
💰 CMP: ₹52.51 (+21.64%)
📌 Exchange: NSE
🔍 Technical Structure Overview
Orient Ceratech has been trading under a long-term descending trendline, forming a broad consolidation / corrective phase after its previous rally.
Recent price action shows strong bullish momentum, with a high-volume bullish candle attempting to break above the falling trendline — a classic early sign of trend reversal.
This move becomes technically significant as it occurs after:
Higher lows formation
Demand stepping in near ₹32–35 zone
Strong weekly close near highs
🎯 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case:
Weekly close above ₹56
Retest and hold of breakout level
Targets: ₹65 → ₹72 → ₹80
⚠️ Caution Case:
Rejection near trendline
Sideways consolidation between ₹46–56
📌 Chart Summary
Orient Ceratech is at a critical inflection point on the weekly timeframe.
The stock is showing early trend reversal signals, supported by strong volume and price expansion. A confirmed breakout could open doors for a fresh medium-term uptrend.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Gold has been moving in a strong bullish channel, but it is now Technical View:
Resistance Zone: The price is climbing towards a significant supply area between 4540.00 and 4633.00 (marked in red).
Channel Top: This resistance zone aligns perfectly with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Expectation: As price hits this upper structure, there is a high probability of a rejection or a pullback. I am watching for bearish reactions from this level to potentially correct downwards (as shown by the arrows).
Trade with care and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD SAXO:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:GOLD
NIFTY Holding Key Support — Reversal in FocusNIFTY 50 – Daily Timeframe Support & Outlook
On the daily timeframe, NIFTY 50 is currently placed near an important short-term support zone.
Short-Term Support Zone: 25,740 – 25,770
If this support zone breaks decisively, NIFTY may extend its decline toward the major support area at 25,200 – 25,300
Reversal & Upside Scenario
If NIFTY sustains above the short-term support range of 25,550 – 25,700, a technical reversal is possible.
In such a case, the index may witness an upside move toward 26,300 followed by 26,600.
Thank You...
GBPJPY: Last 600+ Bullish Push Before Major Swing Sell! HAPPY NEW YEAR 2026🎇
GBPJPY Overview📊
🔺The most significant buying move we anticipate will shape the market. The current price is extremely bullish and is likely to continue building new highs; the buying zone we presented has substantial volume.
🔺The British Pound is likely to remain bullish as it has been since the last few months while the Japanese Yen is likely to continue to depreciate.
Entry, Stop Loss and Take Profit📈👨💻
🔺Enter around the blue-marked zone, set a stop-loss below the buying zone and take profit at 218.
🔺Please like, comment and share which will support us to post such more analysis!
Team SetupsFX_
EURUSD - Bulls in Control… But For How Long?OANDA:EURUSD
Daily Timeframe
Swing Structure: Bullish
Fractal Structure: Bullish
Price continues to respect the daily bullish swing structure, with two upside liquidity pools (previous highs) acting as longer-term objectives.
Our primary Point of Interest (POI) sits within the daily fractal structure, aligned with a Daily FVG, where an immediate bullish response is expected — contingent on LTF confirmation.
Below the daily fractal low, price intersects a confluence of Daily FVG + BB + OB, which could provide another bullish reaction point. However, if price reaches this zone, the daily fractal structure shifts into a potential bearish transition, and therefore stronger confirmation is required before considering long positions.
Invalidation:
A clean break below the Daily OB would weaken the current bullish narrative, suggesting the need to reassess the structure as bearish on the higher timeframe.
4H Timeframe
Swing Structure: Bullish
Fractal Structure: Bearish
On the 4H chart, early short positions taken on the bearish daily fractal structure have been liquidated, followed by price entering a small consolidation phase. From there, we observed a fractal shift from bullish to bearish, aligning the 4H direction with the potential HTF pullback.
The immediate reaction zone is the Daily bullish FVG, where price may deliver a short-term move higher.
The ideal setup would involve a touch of both the Daily FVG + 4H FVG, allowing for structural alignment.
Execution Plan:
Conservative: Wait for 4H bullish fractal confirmation before entering longs.
Aggressive: Look for a dual fractal break to the upside on the 1H as early confirmation.
If the Daily FVG fails, the next POI becomes the next 4H FVG in confluence with a nearby OB.
Again, long positions require 4H bullish fractal change or the same 1H double-break confirmation.
Deeper retracement scenario:
A move below the Daily fractal low places focus on the next Daily FVG + BB + OB confluence, ideally aligned with 4H BB + 4H OB.
In this case, LTF confirmation becomes insufficient — I would require either:
Double 4H fractal break → bullish, or 1D fractal break to the upside to signal a shift in orderflow.
NATIONALUM : Initiated a trade with 1% riskInitiated a swing entry in the scrip. Price had broken its all-time high a few weeks ago with a clean volume expansion, which offered an early entry. However, broader market conditions were not supportive then, so the trade was skipped.
Post breakout, the stock pulled back and found support around the 20 EMA, followed by a rally. The subsequent retracement was smaller, clearly indicating weakening seller pressure. Now, price has once again broken above ATH with volume, and this time the overall market setup also appears favourable, aligning well with the stock’s structure.
Entered the trade with 1% risk, keeping the stop loss below the larger basing structure. The stop is relatively wide by design, as the intent is to stay positioned conservatively and avoid getting shaken out in the current environment.
Fundamentally, the stock remains in a healthy spot. EPS and sales have been improving over the past few quarters. The slight dip seen in the June quarter is visible across many stocks and doesn’t appear to be company-specific. Recent trends suggest a gradual pickup.
A well-aligned structure + volume + market context swing setup with defined risk and open upside. 🎯
#SniperTraders #SwingTrading #Breakout #PriceAction #ATH #IndianStocks
📢📢📢
If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
$GLD – Multiple Breakouts Converging: Flag + Trendline + Gap FilGold ( AMEX:GLD ) is triggering one of the cleanest breakout setups on the entire market right now. We're getting a flag breakout, a longer-term trendline break, and we’re pushing straight into a gap fill from October 20th — all at the same time.
This is the kind of confluence I dream about.
🔹 The Setup (Perfect Storm):
Flag breakout: Tight consolidation resolving to the upside.
Major trendline break: Longer-term resistance finally giving way.
Gap fill trigger: Entering the October 20th gap — once inside, price often accelerates.
Rising EMAs underneath = structural momentum.
This is big-time swing trade stuff.
🔹 Why This Chart Matters:
The entire precious metals complex is heating up.
Silver already broke out — gold often follows and trends harder.
Macro tailwinds (inflation whispers, deficits, dollar wobble) are fueling demand.
🔹 How I’m Trading It (Progressive Exposure):
1️⃣ Starter Position: Bought $400 GLD calls last week.
2️⃣ Futures Position: Long AMEX:MGC for premarket flexibility.
3️⃣ Pyramiding Plan: As the setup improves — more confirmation, more levels break — I add to the trade.
I don’t go full-size at entry.
I scale in as the trade proves itself.
This is the exact progressive exposure method I’ve used for 15+ years.
🔹 Risk:
Stop beneath the 9 EMA on the daily for my futures position.
GLD calls are defined-risk by nature.
This is the real deal — the type of breakout where gold can trend for weeks.
Disney's Possible Swing SetupHi Traders!
As I analyze Disney, I am seeing it's in a counter trend on the 24HR with a resistance at $120. I'm staying patient watching to see how far price will retrace with a 24HR CHOCH sitting at around $102.50. That seems far away, but that would help fill in some of the gap, and give a nice set up for a reversal. In addition, there are 4 days left in the current Monthly candle, and they've been closing small. IMO that could indicate that price could eventually make it to $130.
For now, I have alerts set and I'm planning to take a long swing.
Let me know what you guys think in the comments! Good luck!
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
MRNA Story - On A Smaller ScaleIn continuation of the previous idea, I wanted to cover the shorter time frame move on $NASDAQ:MRNA.
Really, this is a more simple analysis as the base is clearly set on the weekly chart. I should note I have analyzed the consolidation on the 2-Week time period. The 2-Week time period does also give a range expansion signal, but for a more detailed look I am showing the 1-Week time period.
With the current base, and a measure of this consolidation range (from low to high), a first target of $42.76 can be obtained. If the trend continues in a really strong fashion, a second target of $68.17 would look to be hit. Sometimes when an explosive move like this happens, a retest of the mode can occur like in the example path shown below. However, just as the continuation of this trend remains to be seen, so does any retest of this move. Make bets accordingly.
Whether the trend continues, and how strong it remains, of course is yet to be determined. But this analysis allows for educated guesses to be made and positions to be taken.
Best of luck to all of us who are entering positions and looking for continuation of this trend reversal play.
Pasting the regular weekly chart (no path) here:
Enjoy,
Reagen
SWING IDEA - POLY MEDICUREPoly Medicure , a leading Indian medical devices manufacturer with a strong global footprint, is currently offering a favorable swing trading setup backed by strong technical confluence.
Reasons are listed below :
1,950 zone acting as a strong support base
Bullish engulfing candle on the weekly timeframe, signaling reversal strength
Marubozu candle on the daily chart, supported by strong volumes
Golden Fibonacci retracement zone providing support in the larger trend
Price comfortably above the 200 EMA, showing long-term trend strength
Target - 2320 // 2605 // 2935
Stoploss - weekly close below 1815
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights






















