Swingtrading
Nifty at a Crossroads – Will W Pattern Hold or Breakdown Ahead?Nifty closed the week at 24,741, up 315 points from the previous close. It touched a high of 24,980 and a low of 24,432, once again moving exactly within my projected range of 24,900 – 23,900.
This week, both Nifty and Bank Nifty formed an Inside Candle pattern, making this week’s low of 24,432 a crucial level to watch. A breakdown below it could drag Nifty toward 24,000/23,900.
Bullish Possibility – W Pattern on Weekly Chart
There’s an interesting W pattern developing on the weekly timeframe. If it plays out, we could see an early-week upside (Mon/Tue) toward 25,100/25,200. However, for a sustained rally, Nifty needs to hold above 25,200 – only then can it test 25,700, which for now looks challenging.
⚠️ My View
I’ve been warning about an impending downmove for 2 weeks, and I continue to prepare by hedging my portfolio and making a watchlist of strong stocks to accumulate when the correction comes. The question is – are you ready?
US Market Update – S&P500
The S&P500 closed at 6,481, up 21 points from last week, with a high of 6,532 and a low of 6,360. This index is approaching the key Fibonacci level of 6,568.
👉 For US investors: Move your trailing SL to 6,376 to lock in profits.
👉 Consecutive closes above 6,568 could open the doors to the next major level of 6,579 (around 7% higher from current levels).
👉 Until then, keep trailing positions as long as cracks aren’t visible.
For Indian investors – brace yourselves, because the road ahead could be volatile and bumpy.
Want me to review any index or cryptocurrency for you? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll cover it in my next update!
XRP — $2.5 Liquidity Zone Could Trigger the Next RallyAfter hitting a new all-time high (ATH) on 18th July, XRP failed to hold the previous ATH ($3.40) as support. This breakdown led to a –25% drop, finding support at the 0.5 Fib retracement of the $1.90 → $3.66 move, followed by a solid +24% bounce back to the pATH (200B MC at $3.36) and 0.702 Fib retracement → an ideal short opportunity.
Now XRP has been trending in a descending triangle pattern for 50 days, with $3 acting as the key resistance. This level is the Point of Control (POC) of the last 75-day trading range, adding weight to its importance. On top of that, the anchored VWAP (~$3.035) is currently reinforcing $3 as additional resistance.
🧩 Confluence Support Zone ($2.665–$2.45)
Liquidity cluster: many stop-losses reside here
Anchored VWAP (support): ~$2.62
Yearly anchored VWAP: $2.59 → strong support level
Golden Pocket (0.618–0.666): $2.5777–$2.4936
21 EMA ($2.665) / 21 SMA ($2.576) (weekly): dynamic HTF support
233 EMA ($2.44) / 233 SMA ($2.53) (daily): strong moving average cluster
Market Cap Support: $2.52 aligns with the $150B level
1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension: $2.4498 → aligning perfectly with the $2.5 support zone as a reversal point
This creates a high-probability long entry zone between $2.665–$2.45, with multiple overlapping technical factors.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $2.665–$2.45
Stop-Loss: Below $2.25 for now, to be adjusted once price action confirms a reversal.
Potential Gain: up to +60% depending on execution
Technical Insight
After 50 days of correction, XRP is approaching a major liquidity and confluence zone.
The golden pocket, VWAP, EMA/SMA clusters, market cap support, and 1.0 Fib extension all stack together at around $2.5, making it a powerful reversal point.
Meanwhile, $3 remains the key resistance, reinforced by the POC of the last 75-day range and the anchored VWAP (~$3.035). Bulls must reclaim this level to confirm bullish continuation.
Key Levels to Watch
Support: $2.665–$2.45 (reversal zone)
Resistance: $3.00
🔍 Indicators used
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the weekly 21 EMA/SMA.
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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JPY "Call Butterfly" Update: Not Closed — But Sold
Yesterday’s CME data shows movement in the JPY futures call butterfly (centered at 0.00705):
The entire portfolio was re-sold — not closed.
(See arrow on chart: futures price at moment of transfer.)
🧠 What’s Going On?
Instead of unwinding the position during the dip, the market saw a transfer of ownership.
This suggests:
Another player stepped in to buy it cheaper
He believes JPY futures still has upside potential by expiry
Confidence remains — just in different hands
✅ Bottom Line:
The butterfly didn’t exit — it changed hands.
Likely moved to a more informed or confident trader.
Sentiment: moderately bullish (USDJPY - bearish), not fading.
However, from a technical standpoint, we can’t yet speak of bullish confirmation in JPY futures.
A key condition must be met first:
✅ A clear break USDJPY and close above the local low.
And in my methodology, "confirmation" means:
📌 Price must stay above (below) that level for at least 24 hours after the breakout (chart attached)
ZEC ANALYSIS📊 #ZEC Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a breakout and currently pullback around its major support zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after sustain above the major support zone.
👀Current Price: $40.36
🚀 Target Price: $54.41
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ZEC price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ZEC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Moodeng Meme Coin sell-off happening as expectedMoodeng Meme Coin sell-off is happening as expected. It's taking some weeks and this meme coin is dropping as a reaction to the very strong supply imbalance in the bigger timeframes. This trade idea has been shared in the past and for those swing traders holding this meme coin it's time to manage the short positons.
SYRUP ANALYSIS🔮 #SYRUP Analysis - Update 🚀🚀
💲 We can see that there is a formation of Falling Wedge Wedge Pattern in #SYRUP and we can see a bullish movement after a good breakout. Before that we would see a little retest and and then a bullish movement.
💸Current Price -- $0.4800
📈Target Price -- $0.5900
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#SYRUP #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
BTC - Short Plan Update / Reminder Anyone who didn’t take this trade at top entry may enter at the lower level here.
Entry - 110,500-111,000
Stop Loss - 113,000 (High Risk) to 120,000 (Low Risk)
Targets:
1) 81,000
2) 61,000
3) 36,000
4) 9,000
Personally I will time any crypto related trades with this pathway. Everything will drop and rise with bitcoins movement.
Happy trading.
Disclaimer - this is not financial advice and outlines my personal trade plan only
GBPUSD | PDL Sweep → Bullish Swing into PDH LiquidityThis setup is a textbook liquidity play: PDL sweep + CHoCH + refined demand POI. Targeting PDH liquidity next.
📍 Setup Context:
- Price swept the Previous Day Low (PDL), confirming a liquidity grab.
- A CHoCH has formed, signaling bullish intent.
- Refined POI (1H Demand Zone aligned with 15m FVG) gives a clean entry zone.
📊 Trade Plan:
- Entry: Buy limit inside refined POI
- Stop Loss: Below swept PDL (invalidation if daily close returns below)
- Take Profit 1: 1:2R (partial 50%)
- Take Profit 2: Previous Day High (PDH liquidity run)
- Take Profit 3 (extended): Daily imbalance above PDH
NOTE: You can still scale down to 5 minutes for a more refined entry..
CHFJPY: Bullish Accumulation is Over 🇨🇭🇯🇵
It looks like CHFJPY finally completed a bullish accumulation
within a horizontal range on a daily.
Its resistance breakout and a formation of a new local higher
high higher close is an important event.
I believe that the market will grow more and reach 185.4 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURCHF: Move Up Ahead?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
I see a strong bullish pattern on EURCHF on a daily:
the price broke and closed above a resistance line of a bullish
flag pattern after a test of a critical demand zone.
With a high probability, growth will continue soon.
Next resistance - 0.9393
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Holding bullish trend, waiting for PMI to spark the next wave ⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
1. Market Wave 🌍
The USD continues to weaken as investors increasingly believe the FED will cut rates in the coming months.
As the greenback loses appeal, big money is shifting away from cash into safe-haven assets → Gold emerges as the top choice .
👉 This supports a sustained bullish trend . If USD selling pressure continues, the market could witness new breakouts toward the year-end.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On H2, Gold just made a Higher High after BOS , confirming buyers still hold the upper hand.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,450 – 3,452): Overlaps with old FVG, high liquidity area.
Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB ~3,470): Intermediate support, good spot for quick pullback entries.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,538 – 3,540): Fib 0.618–0.786 resistance, profit-taking supply expected on retest.
👉 Intraday bias: Wait for pullback to Buy. Short-term Sell only if Gold tests Storm Breaker.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3,450 – 3,452
Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB Support): 3,470
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone): 3,538 – 3,540
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3,450 – 3,452
SL: 3,444
TP: 3,455 → 3,458 → 3,462 → 3,465 → 34xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction)
Entry: 3,538 – 3,540
SL: 3,548
TP: 3,535 → 3,532 → 3,529 → 35xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"The golden sail still rides the bullish wind, but Storm Breaker 🌊 above may stir counterwaves. Be patient at Golden Harbor 🏝️ for the right entry, and keep eyes on PMI at 21:00 – the catalyst for the next wave."
Starbucks to 118SBUX has consolidated nicely at the anchored VWAP and has put in a strong low on the weekly timeframe. The easy money is for a push to ~118. Extension targets could take this as high as 145. A breach of the strong low would invalidate the hypothesis. This trade could take a few months to play out.
LINK — The $20 Pivot ZoneLINK has been in a corrective phase, dropping –21% in the past 10 days. The big question: where is the next high-probability long entry?
Looking at the liquidity, there’s a clear pocket between $21–$20 where many stop-losses are positioned. Let’s break down the confluences.
🧩 Confluence Support Zone ($21–$20)
0.618 Fib retracement of the move: $20.19 → sits right in the liquidity pocket
Yearly Open (yOpen): $20.02 → major confluence
Psychological level: $20 key support
Trend-based Fib extension 1.0: $21.04 → ideal entry zone
Anchored VWAP: ~$20.85 → additional support
55 EMA ($20.835) / 55 SMA ($20.33) (daily): strong dynamic support cluster
0.73 Fib Speed Fan: aligning with the zone
Imbalances (FVG): could be filled here
Together, these create a solid support range between $21–$20 for long positioning.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $21–$20
Stop-Loss: Below golden pocket / yearly open
Target (TP): $30.94 (key high + potential short opportunity)
Potential Move: +50%
R:R: 1:5+
🔍 Indicators used
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the daily 55 EMA/SMA.
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
SUI — The $3 Confluence ZoneFor almost 2 months, SUI has been trading sideways in a range between $4 and $3. Today, price tapped the 0.618 Fib retracement ($3.115) of the entire move and bounced, giving a clean long trigger.
Looking ahead, the 1.0 trend-based Fib extension sits at $3.00 → a psychological key level in confluence with the 0.666 Fib retracement, making it the ideal long entry if price sees another drop.
🧩 Confluence Support Zone
0.618–0.702 Fib retracement → primary long entry range
Trend-based Fib extension 1.0: $3.00
0.666 Fib retracement: overlapping $3.00
377 EMA (daily): $2.919
377 SMA (daily): $3.03
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $3.115 (0.618) → down to $3.00 (extension + retracement confluence)
Best Entry: Around $3.00
Stop-Loss: Below $2.80 (beneath 377 EMA support)
Target: Range highs
Potential Move: +50%
R:R: 1:5+
🔍 Indicators used
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the weekly 21 EMA/SMA.
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
ADA — Fib Harmony With EMA/SMA SupportADA has been in a downtrend for the past 18 days and is now approaching a cluster of key support levels. Today, price tapped the 0.702 Fib retracement ($0.7841) — an optimal area for long entries.
The main focus, however, is the 0.786 Fib retracement, which aligns with a liquidity pocket and multiple layers of confluence, making it the most ideal entry zone.
🧩 Confluence at 0.702–0.786 Fib Zone
0.702–0.786 Fib retracement → prime long entry range
Liquidity pocket → sitting around the 0.786 Fib
200 EM ($0.7424) / 200 SMA ($0.726) (daily)
21 EMA ($0.766) / 21 SMA ($0.735) (weekly)
Pitchfork lower support line → intersecting the zone
0.618/0.666 Fib Speed Fan → adding another support layer
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: 0.702–0.786 Fib retracement
Best Entry: Around the 0.786 Fib
Stop-Loss: Below $0.70 (to be adjusted after seeing more price action)
Target (TP): $1.1757 (–0.618 Fib, in confluence with key high & buy-side liquidity at $1.1747)
Potential Move: +50%
R:R: ~1:4.5 up to 1:7 (depending on entry)
Technical Insight
ADA is testing deeper retracements within its current downtrend, the 0.702–0.786 Fib zone combines structural, dynamic, and liquidity-based confluence.
The added support of the weekly 21 EMA/SMA strengthens this area as a pivotal level for bulls to defend.
If held, this zone could fuel a swing long setup with great upside potential.
The $1.1747–$1.1757 zone is both a high-confluence take-profit area and a potential short opportunity, given the liquidity resting above that level.
🔍 Indicators used
LuxAlgo — Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored)
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the weekly 21 EMA/SMA
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
SWING IDEA - NAVA Nava Ltd , a diversified natural resources and energy company, is showing a promising swing opportunity with a breakout backed by strong technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
Cup and Handle breakout, a strong bullish continuation pattern
Confirmed bullish price action post breakout
Bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe
Volume spike, confirming breakout strength
Trading near its 52-week high, showing momentum
Sustaining above 50 & 200 EMA on the daily chart
Target - 750 // 810
Stop loss - daily close below 645
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
XRP 1D: a correction that feels like an endless coffee breakXRP keeps testing investors’ patience trading in the 2.65–2.80 zone right at the 0.5
Fibonacci level.
The correction from the historical impulse has hit exactly 50 percent and the market looks like it’s simply pausing before another run. If buyers hold the line the way up opens first to 3.06 and 3.23 with 3.67 in sight.
A breakdown would target 2.39 and 2.09 at the 0.382 and 0.236 retracements. Moving averages are consolidating, RSI is far from overbought leaving plenty of room for a new impulse.
On the fundamental side XRP still gets support from institutional interest in blockchain solutions for cross-border payments while legal risks with the SEC fade into the background.
The market is simply waiting for a catalyst and any positive headline can quickly push the price into a fresh rally because the technical base for growth is already set.
Title: USDX 4H — expectations vs realityThe dollar index once again finds itself in a position where heroic posture doesn’t match reality. Price is capped at 97.85 right at the 0.382 Fibonacci level and every move higher quickly fades like a spark in the rain. If the breakout fails the road towards 97.24 and 96.90 seems far more realistic since the 0.618 retracement and demand zone are located there.
Moving averages are pressing from above, volumes don’t support the bulls and technically the setup favors weakness rather than strength.
Watching USD behavior every dip in gold silver euro and pound becomes a clear swing trading buy opportunity.
Fundamentally the dollar is also under pressure as markets expect a dovish Fed, Treasury yields stay weak and risk appetite drives capital into other assets. In the end the greenback looks more like a tired runner than a sprinter ready to race.
Nifty at Make-or-Break Zone – Big Move Loading?Nifty ended the week at 24,426, down 444 points from last week’s close. It touched a high of 25,021 and a low of 24,404, once again respecting my projected range of 25,350 – 24,400.
Last week, I highlighted the Shooting Star formation and warned about increasing bearish pressure – this week we saw exactly that play out. Now, Nifty is hovering dangerously close to the strong support of 24,400. A daily close below 24,400 could open the gates for a slide towards 24,000 – 23,900.
Next Week’s Range Expectation:
➡️ Likely range → 24,900 – 23,900
➡️ Below 24,400 = 24,000/23,900 possible
➡️ Sideways consolidation for 1–2 weeks also on the table before momentum resumes
My View:
From the 2nd week of September, I still expect more selling pressure. But before that, big players may try to take markets higher to trap unsuspecting retailers. After all, they need someone to offload their stakes – and who better than us poor retailers 😅.
✅ What Traders & Investors Should Do:
Traders: Stay flexible. Be ready for both sideways action and a breakdown.
Investors: Use upcoming corrections to load quality stocks at attractive prices. Do your research, keep a watchlist ready, and pounce when the opportunity comes.
US Market Update – S&P500
The S&P500 closed at 6,460, almost flat compared to last week. It formed a weak, indecisive candle, signaling hesitation. For bulls to regain control, we need a close above 6,500, which could take the index toward the 6,568 Fibonacci level. On the downside, a break below 6,429 can trigger profit booking, pushing the index toward 6,400/6,373. At 6,373, fresh buyers may step in to drive the next upward leg.
Want me to review any index or cryptocurrency for you? Drop it in the comments and I’ll include it in my next update!
GOLD – Breakout Confirmed, Retesting 3415 Before PushGOLD has broken out of a 4-month bullish symmetric triangle, where volatility had been contracting as the pattern matured.
The triangle showed 3 reversal points on the bottom trendline and 2 on the top before the breakout.
Momentum confirmed the move, pushing price through resistance.
We will now see a strong sell-off for a healthy retest of the breakout zone around 3415. So short in the short term but long on the long term.
The measured move projection points to a new target at 3845.
📊 Key levels to watch:
Retest support: 3415 (critical level to hold)
Stop-loss zone: near the apex of the triangle (invalidates the pattern if broken)
Target: 3845
The breakout structure remains bullish, and as long as 3415 holds, the path toward 3845 remains intact.
Indecision and Potential StallingHi Traders!
GBPUSD is telling me indecision right now. When mapping out my trading plan I'm seeing price recently made a higher low on the weekly, dipped into a Daily Order Block, and currently testing the 1.36000 neckline. However, unless GBPUSD closes above 1.35200, retests with continuation, this looks like consolidation. Alerts set, and waiting for some more confirmation right now.
Key levels:
Bullish breakout- Close above 1.35200.
Bearish caution- Break below 1.34600/1.34500.
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*